A comparison of respiratory oscillometry and spirometry in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: performance time, symptom burden and test-retest reliability.

Study question: In large multinational patient surveys, spirometry (which requires repeated, reproducible maximal efforts) can be associated with cough, breathlessness and tiredness, particularly in those with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Oscillometry is an effort-independent test of airways resistance and reactance. We hypothesised that oscillometry would take less time to perform and would be associated with reduced symptom burden than spirometry. Patients and methods: Spirometry and oscillometry were performed in 66 participants with IPF and repeated 2 weeks later. We compared time taken to perform tests, symptom burden and test-retest reliability with Bland-Altman plots and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). Results: Oscillometry took significantly less time to perform than spirometry (mean -4.5 (99% CI -6.0 to -3.0) min) and was associated with lower symptom burden scores for cough (-1.3, 99% CI -1.7 to -0.8), breathlessness (-1.0, 99% CI -1.4 to -0.5), and tiredness (-0.5, 99% CI -0.9 to -0.2). On Bland-Altman analysis, all measures showed good agreement, with narrow limits of agreement and the mean bias lying close to 0 in all cases. The ICCs for forced expiratory volume in 1 s and forced vital capacity were 0.94 and 0.89, respectively, and ranged between 0.70 and 0.90 for oscillometry measures. Conclusion: Oscillometry is quicker to perform and provokes less symptoms than spirometry in patients with IPF.

Longitudinal change in ultrasound-derived rectus femoris cross-sectional area in COPD.

Background: Skeletal muscle dysfunction is common in COPD. Ultrasound-derived rectus femoris cross-sectional area (RFCSA) is a radiation free, non-invasive measure of muscle bulk that relates to quadriceps strength in people with COPD. However, there are limited longitudinal data for RFCSA, and it is not known whether longitudinal change in RFCSA reflects change in quadricep strength, exercise capacity, lower limb function or muscle mass. We aimed to quantify longitudinal change in ultrasound-derived RFCSA and assess its relationship with change in quadriceps maximal voluntary contraction (QMVC), incremental shuttle walk test (ISWT), five-repetition sit-to-stand (5STS) and fat-free mass (FFM) over 12 months in people with COPD. Methods: We measured ultrasound-derived RFCSA, QMVC, ISWT, 5STS and FFM (measured by bioelectric impedance analysis) at baseline and 12 months in 169 people with stable COPD. Change was correlated using Pearson's or Spearman's coefficients. Results: Baseline characteristics: mean±sd age 70.4±9.4 years; FEV1 53.3±18.9% predicted. Over the course of 12 months mean RFCSA change was -33.7 mm2 (99% CI -62.6- -4.9 mm2; p=0.003) representing a mean±sd percentage change of -1.8±33.5%. There was a weak correlation between change in RFCSA and FFM (r=0.205, p=0.009), but not with change in QMVC, ISWT or 5STS. Conclusion: There is a statistically significant decrease in ultrasound-derived RFCSA over 12 months in people with stable COPD, but this decrease does not correlate with change in quadriceps strength, exercise capacity, FFM or lower limb function.

Comprehensive geriatric assessment for people with both COPD and frailty starting pulmonary rehabilitation: a mixed-methods feasibility trial.

Introduction: Many people with COPD experience frailty. Frailty increases risk of poor health outcomes, including non-completion of pulmonary rehabilitation. Integrated approaches to support people with COPD and frailty throughout and following rehabilitation are indicated. The aim of the present study was to determine the feasibility of conducting a randomised controlled trial of integrating comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) for people with COPD and frailty starting pulmonary rehabilitation. Methods: A multicentre mixed-methods randomised controlled feasibility trial ("Breathe Plus"; ISRCTN13051922) was carried out. People with COPD, aged ≥50 years, Clinical Frailty Scale ≥5 and referred for pulmonary rehabilitation were randomised 1:1 to usual pulmonary rehabilitation, or pulmonary rehabilitation plus CGA. Remote intervention delivery was used during COVID-19 restrictions. Outcomes (physical, psychosocial, service use) were measured at baseline, 90 and 180 days, alongside process data and qualitative interviews. Results: Recruitment stopped at 31 participants (mean±sd age 72.4±10.1 years, 68% Medical Research Council Dyspnoea Scale 4-5), due to COVID-19-related disruptions. Recruitment (46% eligible recruited) and retention (87% at 90- and 180-day follow-up) were acceptable. CGAs occurred on average 60.5 days post-randomisation (range 8-129) and prompted 46 individual care recommendations (median 3 per participant, range 0-12), 65% of which were implemented during follow-up. The most common domains addressed during CGA were nutrition and cardiovascular health. Participants valued the holistic approach of CGA but questioned the optimal time to introduce it. Conclusion: Integrating CGA alongside pulmonary rehabilitation is feasible and identifies unmet multidimensional need in people with COPD and frailty. Given challenges around timing and inclusivity, the integration of geriatric and respiratory care should not be limited to rehabilitation services.

Comparing performance of primary care clinicians in the interpretation of SPIROmetry with or without Artificial Intelligence Decision support software (SPIRO-AID): a protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Spirometry is a point-of-care lung function test that helps support the diagnosis and monitoring of chronic lung disease. The quality and interpretation accuracy of spirometry is variable in primary care. This study aims to evaluate whether artificial intelligence (AI) decision support software improves the performance of primary care clinicians in the interpretation of spirometry, against reference standard (expert interpretation). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A parallel, two-group, statistician-blinded, randomised controlled trial of primary care clinicians in the UK, who refer for, or interpret, spirometry. People with specialist training in respiratory medicine to consultant level were excluded. A minimum target of 228 primary care clinician participants will be randomised with a 1:1 allocation to assess fifty de-identified, real-world patient spirometry sessions through an online platform either with (intervention group) or without (control group) AI decision support software report. Outcomes will cover primary care clinicians' spirometry interpretation performance including measures of technical quality assessment, spirometry pattern recognition and diagnostic prediction, compared with reference standard. Clinicians' self-rated confidence in spirometry interpretation will also be evaluated. The primary outcome is the proportion of the 50 spirometry sessions where the participant's preferred diagnosis matches the reference diagnosis. Unpaired t-tests and analysis of covariance will be used to estimate the difference in primary outcome between intervention and control groups. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been reviewed and given favourable opinion by Health Research Authority Wales (reference: 22/HRA/5023). Results will be submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals, presented at relevant national and international conferences, disseminated through social media, patient and public routes and directly shared with stakeholders. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05933694.

Motivations for completing pulmonary rehabilitation - A qualitative analysis.

Background: Previous studies have focused on demographic factors that might predict non-completion of pulmonary rehabilitation (PR). We aimed to identify key modifiable factors that promote completion of PR. Methods: A mixed methods survey was offered to participants completing a discharge assessment following PR. Descriptive statistics and inductive thematic analysis were used to analyse the survey responses, with investigator triangulation. Results: 62 of 187 (33%) patients attending a PR discharge assessment between November 2022 and April 2023 returned the anonymised survey. Desire to improve health and wellbeing was the main reason for both initially committing to a course and for continuing with PR past transient thoughts of leaving. The positive impact of staff was the second most common reason. The enjoyment of the PR programme, being held accountable to attend classes, and the importance of other group members were other key themes identified. Conclusions: In conclusion, our findings suggest PR services need to implement strategies which ensure regular promotion and reinforcement of the health benefits of PR as well as implementation of PR modalities which best monopolise on the positive impact skilled staff have on motivating patients to complete PR.

Singing for lung health in COPD: a multicentre randomised controlled trial of online delivery.

BACKGROUND: Singing for lung health (SLH) is an arts-based breathing control and movement intervention for people with long-term respiratory conditions, intended to improve symptoms and quality of life. Online, remotely delivered programmes might improve accessibility; however, no previous studies have assessed the effectiveness of this approach. METHODS: We conducted an assessor-blind randomised controlled trial comparing the impact of 12 weeks of once-weekly online SLH sessions against usual care on health-related quality of life, assessed using the RAND 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) Mental Health Composite (MHC) and Physical Health Composite (PHC) scores. RESULTS: We enrolled 115 people with stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), median (IQR) age 69 (62-74), 56.5% females, 80% prior pulmonary rehabilitation, Medical Research Council dyspnoea scale 4 (3-4), forced expiratory volume in 1 s % predicted 49 (35-63). 50 participants in each arm completed the study. The intervention arm experienced improvements in physical but not mental health components of RAND SF-36; PHC (regression coefficient (95% CI): 1.77 (95% CI 0.11 to 3.44); p=0.037), but not MHC (0.86 (95% CI -1.68 to 3.40); p=0.504). A prespecified responder analysis based on achieving a 10% improvement from baseline demonstrated a response rate for PHC of 32% in the SLH arm and 12.7% for usual care (p=0.024). A between-group difference in responder rate was not found in relation to the MHC (19.3% vs 25.9%; p=0.403). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: A 12-week online SLH programme can improve the physical component of quality of life for people with COPD, but the overall effect is relatively modest compared with the impact seen in research using face-to-face group sessions. Further work on the content, duration and dose of online interventions may be useful. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04034212.

Remote pulmonary rehabilitation for interstitial lung disease: developing the model using experience-based codesign.

BACKGROUND: Remote delivery may improve access to pulmonary rehabilitation (PR). Existing studies are largely limited to individuals with COPD, and the interventions have lacked codesign elements to reflect the needs and experiences of people with chronic respiratory disease, their carers/families and healthcare professionals. The aim of this study was, using experience-based codesign (EBCD), to collaborate with people with interstitial lung disease (ILD), their carers/families and healthcare professionals, to codesign a remote PR programme ready for testing in a future study. METHODS: EBCD comprises interviews, stakeholder workshops and codesign meetings. One-to-one videorecorded interviews with purposively selected people with ILD with experience of PR, their carers/families and healthcare professionals, were edited into a 20 min film. The film was shown at three audiorecorded stakeholder feedback events to identify key themes and touchpoints, and short-list key programme components. The programme was finalised at two further codesign workshops. RESULTS: Ten people with ILD, four carers/families and seven healthcare professionals were interviewed. Participants in the codesign workshops included service-user group: n=14 and healthcare professional group: n=11; joint event: n=21. Final refinements were made with small codesign teams, one comprising three people with ILD and one carer/family member, one with five healthcare professionals. The final codesigned model is a group based, supervised programme delivered by videoconference. Key elements of programme specific to ILD include recommendations to ensure participant safety in the context of desaturation risk, dedicated time for peer support and adaption of the education programme for ILD needs, including signposting to palliative care. CONCLUSION: In this EBCD project, a remote PR programme for people with ILD was codesigned by service-users, their carers/families and multidisciplinary healthcare professionals. Future research should explore the feasibility and acceptability of this intervention.

Five-Repetition Sit-to-Stand Test: Responsiveness and Minimal Important Difference in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: Standing from a sitting position is an important activity of daily living. The five-repetition sit-to-stand test (5STS) is a simple physical performance test that measures the fastest time taken to stand five times from a chair with arms folded. It can be measured in most healthcare settings and at home, where traditional field walking tests may not be possible. The 5STS has been validated in community-dwelling older adults and people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, but data in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) are limited.Objectives: The aims of this cohort study were to establish the construct validity, responsiveness to pulmonary rehabilitation (PR), and minimal important difference (MID) of the 5STS in IPF.Methods: In 149 people with IPF, we compared the 5STS with measures of lung function, exercise capacity, quadriceps strength, breathlessness, and health-related quality of life. Responsiveness and effect sizes were determined by measuring the 5STS before and after PR. The MID was estimated using anchor- and distribution-based methods.Results: The 5STS correlated significantly with incremental shuttle walk test (ISW) (r = -0.55), isometric quadriceps maximum voluntary contraction (QMVC) (r = -0.45), Medical Research Council dyspnea scale score (r = 0.40), Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire-Total (r = -0.21), and King's Brief Interstitial Lung Disease Questionnaire-Total (r = -0.21) but not forced vital capacity percentage predicted or quadriceps one-repetition maximum (1RM). There was a significant but very weak correlation between change in 5STS and changes in Medical Research Council (r = 0.18), ISW (r = -0.21), and Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire-Total (r = -0.26) but no significant correlation with change in 1RM (r = -0.12) or QMVC (r = -0.18). 5STS time improved with PR (median [25th percentile, 75th percentile] change, -1.97 [-3.47, -0.62] s; P < 0.001). The effect size for the 5STS was 0.66 and higher than quadriceps 1RM, QMVC, and ISW. The mean (range) MID estimate was -1.93 (-1.85 to -2.10) seconds.Conclusions: In people with IPF, the 5STS is a valid physical performance measure that is responsive to exercise-based interventions and suitable for use in most healthcare settings.

Spirometry services in England post-pandemic and the potential role of AI support software: a qualitative study of challenges and opportunities.

BACKGROUND: Spirometry services to diagnose and monitor lung disease in primary care were identified as a priority in the NHS Long Term Plan, and are restarting post-COVID-19 pandemic in England; however, evidence regarding best practice is limited. AIM: To explore perspectives on spirometry provision in primary care, and the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) decision support software to aid quality and interpretation. DESIGN AND SETTING: Semi-structured interviews with stakeholders in spirometry services across England. METHOD: Participants were recruited by snowball sampling. Interviews explored the pre- pandemic delivery of spirometry, restarting of services, and perceptions of the role of AI. Transcripts were analysed thematically. RESULTS: In total, 28 participants (mean years' clinical experience = 21.6 [standard deviation 9.4, range 3-40]) were interviewed between April and June 2022. Participants included clinicians (n = 25) and commissioners (n = 3); eight held regional and/or national respiratory network advisory roles. Four themes were identified: 1) historical challenges in provision of spirometry services; 2) inequity in post- pandemic spirometry provision and challenges to restarting spirometry in primary care; 3) future delivery closer to patients' homes by appropriately trained staff; and 4) the potential for AI to have supportive roles in spirometry. CONCLUSION: Stakeholders highlighted historic challenges and the damaging effects of the pandemic contributing to inequity in provision of spirometry, which must be addressed. Overall, stakeholders were positive about the potential of AI to support clinicians in quality assessment and interpretation of spirometry. However, it was evident that validation of the software must be sufficiently robust for clinicians and healthcare commissioners to have trust in the process.

Unsupervised home spirometry versus supervised clinic spirometry for respiratory disease: a systematic methodology review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The number of patients completing unsupervised home spirometry has recently increased due to more widely available portable technology and the COVID-19 pandemic, despite a lack of solid evidence to support it. This systematic methodology review and meta-analysis explores quantitative differences in unsupervised spirometry compared with spirometry completed under professional supervision. METHODS: We searched four databases to find studies that directly compared unsupervised home spirometry with supervised clinic spirometry using a quantitative comparison (e.g. Bland-Altman). There were no restrictions on clinical condition. The primary outcome was measurement differences in common lung function parameters (forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC)), which were pooled to calculate overall mean differences with associated limits of agreement (LoA) and confidence intervals (CI). We used the I2 statistic to assess heterogeneity, the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool to assess risk of bias and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach to assess evidence certainty for the meta-analyses. The review has been registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021272816). RESULTS: 3607 records were identified and screened, with 155 full texts assessed for eligibility. We included 28 studies that quantitatively compared spirometry measurements, 17 of which reported a Bland-Altman analysis for FEV1 and FVC. Overall, unsupervised spirometry produced lower values than supervised spirometry for both FEV1 with wide variability (mean difference -107 mL; LoA= -509, 296; I2=95.8%; p<0.001; very low certainty) and FVC (mean difference -184 mL, LoA= -1028, 660; I2=96%; p<0.001; very low certainty). CONCLUSIONS: Analysis under the conditions of the included studies indicated that unsupervised spirometry is not interchangeable with supervised spirometry for individual patients owing to variability and underestimation.

Prevalence of swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise following hospitalisation for COVID-19: the PHOSP-COVID analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Identify prevalence of self-reported swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise following hospitalisation for COVID-19. DESIGN: Multicentre prospective observational cohort study using questionnaire data at visit 1 (2-7 months post discharge) and visit 2 (10-14 months post discharge) from hospitalised patients in the UK. Lasso logistic regression analysis was undertaken to identify associations. SETTING: 64 UK acute hospital Trusts. PARTICIPANTS: Adults aged >18 years, discharged from an admissions unit or ward at a UK hospital with COVID-19. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Self-reported swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise. RESULTS: Compromised swallowing post intensive care unit (post-ICU) admission was reported in 20% (188/955); 60% with swallow problems received invasive mechanical ventilation and were more likely to have undergone proning (p=0.039). Voice problems were reported in 34% (319/946) post-ICU admission who were more likely to have received invasive (p<0.001) or non-invasive ventilation (p=0.001) and to have been proned (p<0.001). Communication compromise was reported in 23% (527/2275) univariable analysis identified associations with younger age (p<0.001), female sex (p<0.001), social deprivation (p<0.001) and being a healthcare worker (p=0.010). Cognitive issues were reported by 70% (1598/2275), consistent at both visits, at visit 1 respondents were more likely to have higher baseline comorbidities and at visit 2 were associated with greater social deprivation (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Swallow, communication, voice and cognitive problems were prevalent post hospitalisation for COVID-19, alongside whole system compromise including reduced mobility and overall health scores. Research and testing of rehabilitation interventions are required at pace to explore these issues.

Meditative movement for breathlessness in advanced COPD or cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The effect of meditative movement, which includes yoga, tai chi and qi gong, on breathlessness in advanced disease is unknown. This systematic review aims to comprehensively assess the evidence on the effect of meditative movement on breathlessness (primary outcome), health-related quality of life, exercise capacity, functional performance and psychological symptoms (secondary outcomes) in advanced disease. 11 English and Chinese language databases were searched for relevant trials. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane tool. Standardised mean differences (SMDs) with 95% confidence intervals were computed. 17 trials with 1125 participants (n=815 COPD, n=310 cancer), all with unclear or high risk of bias, were included. Pooled estimates (14 studies, n=671) showed no statistically significant difference in breathlessness between meditative movement and control interventions (SMD (95% CI) 0.10 (-0.15-0.34); Chi2=30.11; I2=57%; p=0.45), irrespective of comparator, intervention or disease category. Similar results were observed for health-related quality of life and exercise capacity. It was not possible to perform a meta-analysis for functional performance and psychological symptoms. In conclusion, in people with advanced COPD or cancer, meditative movement does not improve breathlessness, health-related quality of life or exercise capacity. Methodological limitations lead to low levels of certainty in the results.

Rehabilitation for People with Respiratory Disease and Frailty: An Official American Thoracic Society Workshop Report.

People with respiratory disease have increased risk of developing frailty, which is associated with worse health outcomes. There is growing evidence of the role of rehabilitation in managing frailty in people with respiratory disease. However, several challenges remain regarding optimal methods of identifying frailty and delivering rehabilitation for this population. The aims of this American Thoracic Society workshop were to outline key definitions and concepts around rehabilitation for people with respiratory disease and frailty, synthesize available evidence, and explore how programs may be adapted to align to the needs and experiences of this population. Across two half-day virtual workshops, 20 professionals from diverse disciplines, professions, and countries discussed key developments and identified opportunities for future research, with additional input via online correspondence. Participants highlighted a "frailty rehabilitation paradox" whereby pulmonary rehabilitation can effectively reduce frailty, but programs are challenging for some individuals with frailty to complete. Frailty should not limit access to rehabilitation; instead, the identification of frailty should prompt comprehensive assessment and tailored support, including onward referral for additional specialist input. Exercise prescriptions that explicitly consider symptom burden and comorbidities, integration of additional geriatric or palliative care expertise, and/or preemptive planning for disruptions to participation may support engagement and outcomes. To identify and measure frailty in people with respiratory disease, tools should be selected on the basis of sensitivity, specificity, responsiveness, and feasibility for their intended purpose. Research is required to expand understanding beyond the physical dimensions of frailty and to explore the merits and limitations of telerehabilitation or home-based pulmonary rehabilitation for people with chronic respiratory disease and frailty.

Mood disorder in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: response to pulmonary rehabilitation.

Background: Pulmonary rehabilitation improves mood disorder in COPD, but there are limited data in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The aims of this cohort study were to investigate whether pulmonary rehabilitation reduces mood disorder in IPF, and estimate the minimal important difference (MID) of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS). Methods: HADS and core pulmonary rehabilitation outcomes were measured in 166 participants before and after an 8-week, in-person, outpatient pulmonary rehabilitation programme. Anchor- and distribution-based methods were used to calculate the MID of HADS-Anxiety (A) and HADS-Depression (D). Results: Suggestive or probable anxiety and depression (HADS ≥8) were present in 35% and 37% of participants, respectively, at baseline, and this reduced significantly following pulmonary rehabilitation (post-pulmonary rehabilitation: HADS-A 23%, HADS-D 26%). Overall, there was a significant reduction in HADS-D (mean change -1.1, 95% CI -1.6- -0.5), but not HADS-A (-0.6, -1.3-0.15) with pulmonary rehabilitation. Subgroup analysis of those with HADS ≥8 revealed significant improvements in HADS domains (mean change: HADS-A -4.5, 95% CI -5.7- -3.4; median change: HADS-D -4.0, interquartile range -6.0- -1.0). The mean (range) MID estimates for HADS-A and HADS-D were -2 (-2.3- -1.7) and -1.2 (-1.9- -0.5), respectively. Conclusion: In people with IPF and suggestive or probable mood disorder, pulmonary rehabilitation reduces anxiety and depression.

Collaboration between explainable artificial intelligence and pulmonologists improves the accuracy of pulmonary function test interpretation.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the collaborative potential between artificial intelligence (AI) and pulmonologists for diagnosing pulmonary disease. We hypothesised that the collaboration between a pulmonologist and AI with explanations (explainable AI (XAI)) is superior in diagnostic interpretation of pulmonary function tests (PFTs) than the pulmonologist without support. METHODS: The study was conducted in two phases, a monocentre study (phase 1) and a multicentre intervention study (phase 2). Each phase utilised two different sets of 24 PFT reports of patients with a clinically validated gold standard diagnosis. Each PFT was interpreted without (control) and with XAI's suggestions (intervention). Pulmonologists provided a differential diagnosis consisting of a preferential diagnosis and optionally up to three additional diagnoses. The primary end-point compared accuracy of preferential and additional diagnoses between control and intervention. Secondary end-points were the number of diagnoses in differential diagnosis, diagnostic confidence and inter-rater agreement. We also analysed how XAI influenced pulmonologists' decisions. RESULTS: In phase 1 (n=16 pulmonologists), mean preferential and differential diagnostic accuracy significantly increased by 10.4% and 9.4%, respectively, between control and intervention (p<0.001). Improvements were somewhat lower but highly significant (p<0.0001) in phase 2 (5.4% and 8.7%, respectively; n=62 pulmonologists). In both phases, the number of diagnoses in the differential diagnosis did not reduce, but diagnostic confidence and inter-rater agreement significantly increased during intervention. Pulmonologists updated their decisions with XAI's feedback and consistently improved their baseline performance if AI provided correct predictions. CONCLUSION: A collaboration between a pulmonologist and XAI is better at interpreting PFTs than individual pulmonologists reading without XAI support or XAI alone.

Prevalence of physical frailty, including risk factors, up to 1 year after hospitalisation for COVID-19 in the UK: a multicentre, longitudinal cohort study.

Background: The scale of COVID-19 and its well documented long-term sequelae support a need to understand long-term outcomes including frailty. Methods: This prospective cohort study recruited adults who had survived hospitalisation with clinically diagnosed COVID-19 across 35 sites in the UK (PHOSP-COVID). The burden of frailty was objectively measured using Fried's Frailty Phenotype (FFP). The primary outcome was the prevalence of each FFP group-robust (no FFP criteria), pre-frail (one or two FFP criteria) and frail (three or more FFP criteria)-at 5 months and 1 year after discharge from hospital. For inclusion in the primary analysis, participants required complete outcome data for three of the five FFP criteria. Longitudinal changes across frailty domains are reported at 5 months and 1 year post-hospitalisation, along with risk factors for frailty status. Patient-perceived recovery and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) were retrospectively rated for pre-COVID-19 and prospectively rated at the 5 month and 1 year visits. This study is registered with ISRCTN, number ISRCTN10980107. Findings: Between March 5, 2020, and March 31, 2021, 2419 participants were enrolled with FFP data. Mean age was 57.9 (SD 12.6) years, 933 (38.6%) were female, and 429 (17.7%) had received invasive mechanical ventilation. 1785 had measures at both timepoints, of which 240 (13.4%), 1138 (63.8%) and 407 (22.8%) were frail, pre-frail and robust, respectively, at 5 months compared with 123 (6.9%), 1046 (58.6%) and 616 (34.5%) at 1 year. Factors associated with pre-frailty or frailty were invasive mechanical ventilation, older age, female sex, and greater social deprivation. Frail participants had a larger reduction in HRQoL compared with before their COVID-19 illness and were less likely to describe themselves as recovered. Interpretation: Physical frailty and pre-frailty are common following hospitalisation with COVID-19. Improvement in frailty was seen between 5 and 12 months although two-thirds of the population remained pre-frail or frail. This suggests comprehensive assessment and interventions targeting pre-frailty and frailty beyond the initial illness are required. Funding: UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research.

Change in gait speed and adverse outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Gait speed is associated with survival in individuals with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The extent to which four-metre gait speed (4MGS) decline predicts adverse outcome in IPF remains unclear. We aimed to examine longitudinal 4MGS change and identify a cut-point associated with adverse outcome. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study, we recruited 132 individuals newly diagnosed with IPF and measured 4MGS change over 6 months. Death/first hospitalization at 6 months were composite outcome events. Complete data (paired 4MGS plus index event) were available in 85 participants; missing 4MGS data were addressed using multiple imputation. Receiver-Operating Curve plots identified a 4MGS change cut-point. Cox proportional-hazard regression assessed the relationship between 4MGS change and time to event. RESULTS: 4MGS declined over 6 months (mean [95% CI] change: -0.05 [-0.09 to -0.01] m/s; p = 0.02). A decline of 0.07 m/s or more in 4MGS over 6 months had better discrimination for the index event than change in 6-minute walk distance, forced vital capacity, Composite Physiologic Index or Gender Age Physiology index. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a significant difference in time to event between 4MGS groups (substantial decline: >-0.07 m/s versus minor decline/improvers: ≤-0.07 m/s; p = 0.007). Those with substantial decline had an increased risk of hospitalization/death (adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI] 4.61 [1.23-15.83]). Similar results were observed in multiple imputation analysis. CONCLUSION: In newly diagnosed IPF, a substantial 4MGS decline over 6 months is associated with shorter time to hospitalization/death at 6 months. 4MGS change has potential as a surrogate endpoint for interventions aimed at modifying hospitalization/death.