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BACKGROUND: Prediabetes is a highly prevalent condition that heralds an increased risk of progression to type 2 diabetes, along with associated microvascular and macrovascular complications. The Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) is an established effective intervention for diabetes prevention. However, participation in this 12-month lifestyle change program has historically been low. Digital DPPs have emerged as a scalable alternative, accessible asynchronously and recognized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Yet, most digital programs still incorporate human coaching, potentially limiting scalability. Furthermore, existing effectiveness results of digital DPPs are primarily derived from per protocol, longitudinal non-randomized studies, or comparisons to control groups that do not represent the standard of care DPP. The potential of an AI-powered DPP as an alternative to the DPP is yet to be investigated. We propose a randomized controlled trial (RCT) to directly compare these two approaches. METHODS: This open-label, multicenter, non-inferiority RCT will compare the effectiveness of a fully automated AI-powered digital DPP (ai-DPP) with a standard of care human coach-based DPP (h-DPP). A total of 368 participants with elevated body mass index (BMI) and prediabetes will be randomized equally to the ai-DPP (smartphone app and Bluetooth-enabled body weight scale) or h-DPP (referral to a CDC recognized DPP). The primary endpoint, assessed at 12 months, is the achievement of the CDC's benchmark for type 2 diabetes risk reduction, defined as any of the following: at least 5% weight loss, at least 4% weight loss and at least 150 min per week on average of physical activity, or at least a 0.2-point reduction in hemoglobin A1C. Physical activity will be objectively measured using serial actigraphy at baseline and at 1-month intervals throughout the trial. Secondary endpoints, evaluated at 6 and 12 months, will include changes in A1C, weight, physical activity measures, program engagement, and cost-effectiveness. Participants include adults aged 18-75 years with laboratory confirmed prediabetes, a BMI of ≥ 25 kg/m2 (≥ 23 kg/m2 for Asians), English proficiency, and smartphone users. This U.S. study is conducted at Johns Hopkins Medicine in Baltimore, MD, and Reading Hospital (Tower Health) in Reading, PA. DISCUSSION: Prediabetes is a significant public health issue, necessitating scalable interventions for the millions affected. Our pragmatic clinical trial is unique in directly comparing a fully automated AI-powered approach without direct human coach interaction. If proven effective, it could be a scalable, cost-effective strategy. This trial will offer vital insights into both AI and human coach-based behavioral change strategies in real-world clinical settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05056376. Registered on September 24, 2021, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05056376.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Tutoría , Estado Prediabético , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevención & control , Estado Prediabético/terapia , Tutoría/métodos , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Resultado del Tratamiento , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aplicaciones MóvilesRESUMEN
Importance: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a complication of diabetes that can lead to vision loss. Outcomes of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) and insulin pump use in DR are not well understood. Objective: To assess the use of CGM, insulin pump, or both, and DR and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) in adults with type 1 diabetes (T1D). Design, Setting, and Participants: A retrospective cohort study of adults with T1D in a tertiary diabetes center and ophthalmology center was conducted from 2013 to 2021, with data analysis performed from June 2022 to April 2023. Exposure: Use of diabetes technologies, including insulin pump, CGM, and both CGM and insulin pump. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was development of DR or PDR. A secondary outcome was the progression of DR for patients in the longitudinal cohort. Multivariable logistic regression models assessed for development of DR and PDR and association with CGM and insulin pump use. Results: A total of 550 adults with T1D were included (median age, 40 [IQR, 28-54] years; 54.4% female; 24.5% Black or African American; and 68.4% White), with a median duration of diabetes of 20 (IQR, 10-30) years, and median hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) of 7.8% (IQR, 7.0%-8.9%). Overall, 62.7% patients used CGM, 58.2% used an insulin pump, and 47.5% used both; 44% (244 of 550) of the participants had DR at any point during the study. On univariate analysis, CGM use was associated with lower odds of DR and PDR, and CGM with pump was associated with lower odds of PDR (all P < .05), compared with no CGM use. Multivariable logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, race and ethnicity, diabetes duration, microvascular and macrovascular complications, insurance type, and mean HbA1c, showed that CGM was associated with lower odds of DR (odds ratio [OR], 0.52; 95% CI, 0.32-0.84; P = .008) and PDR (OR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23-0.75; P = .004), compared with no CGM use. In the longitudinal analysis of participants without baseline PDR, 79 of 363 patients (21.8%) had progression of DR during the study. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of adults with T1D, CGM use was associated with lower odds of developing DR and PDR, even after adjusting for HbA1c. These findings suggest that CGM may be useful for diabetes management to mitigate risk for DR and PDR.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Retinopatía Diabética , Insulinas , Enfermedades de la Retina , Adulto , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/tratamiento farmacológico , Retinopatía Diabética/epidemiología , Automonitorización de la Glucosa Sanguínea , Estudios de Cohortes , Hemoglobina Glucada , Estudios Retrospectivos , GlucemiaRESUMEN
Background: SGLT2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) and GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RAs) reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, their effectiveness relative to each other and other second-line antihyperglycemic agents is unknown, without any major ongoing head-to-head trials. Methods: Across the LEGEND-T2DM network, we included ten federated international data sources, spanning 1992-2021. We identified 1,492,855 patients with T2DM and established cardiovascular disease (CVD) on metformin monotherapy who initiated one of four second-line agents (SGLT2is, GLP1-RAs, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor [DPP4is], sulfonylureas [SUs]). We used large-scale propensity score models to conduct an active comparator, target trial emulation for pairwise comparisons. After evaluating empirical equipoise and population generalizability, we fit on-treatment Cox proportional hazard models for 3-point MACE (myocardial infarction, stroke, death) and 4-point MACE (3-point MACE + heart failure hospitalization) risk, and combined hazard ratio (HR) estimates in a random-effects meta-analysis. Findings: Across cohorts, 16·4%, 8·3%, 27·7%, and 47·6% of individuals with T2DM initiated SGLT2is, GLP1-RAs, DPP4is, and SUs, respectively. Over 5·2 million patient-years of follow-up and 489 million patient-days of time at-risk, there were 25,982 3-point MACE and 41,447 4-point MACE events. SGLT2is and GLP1-RAs were associated with a lower risk for 3-point MACE compared with DPP4is (HR 0·89 [95% CI, 0·79-1·00] and 0·83 [0·70-0·98]), and SUs (HR 0·76 [0·65-0·89] and 0·71 [0·59-0·86]). DPP4is were associated with a lower 3-point MACE risk versus SUs (HR 0·87 [0·79-0·95]). The pattern was consistent for 4-point MACE for the comparisons above. There were no significant differences between SGLT2is and GLP1-RAs for 3-point or 4-point MACE (HR 1·06 [0·96-1·17] and 1·05 [0·97-1·13]). Interpretation: In patients with T2DM and established CVD, we found comparable cardiovascular risk reduction with SGLT2is and GLP1-RAs, with both agents more effective than DPP4is, which in turn were more effective than SUs. These findings suggest that the use of GLP1-RAs and SGLT2is should be prioritized as second-line agents in those with established CVD. Funding: National Institutes of Health, United States Department of Veterans Affairs.
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BACKGROUND: Precision medicine has the potential to improve cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction in individuals with Type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies to identify potentially novel prognostic factors that may improve CVD risk prediction in T2D. Out of 9380 studies identified, 416 studies met inclusion criteria. Outcomes were reported for 321 biomarker studies, 48 genetic marker studies, and 47 risk score/model studies. RESULTS: Out of all evaluated biomarkers, only 13 showed improvement in prediction performance. Results of pooled meta-analyses, non-pooled analyses, and assessments of improvement in prediction performance and risk of bias, yielded the highest predictive utility for N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (high-evidence), troponin-T (TnT) (moderate-evidence), triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index (moderate-evidence), Genetic Risk Score for Coronary Heart Disease (GRS-CHD) (moderate-evidence); moderate predictive utility for coronary computed tomography angiography (low-evidence), single-photon emission computed tomography (low-evidence), pulse wave velocity (moderate-evidence); and low predictive utility for C-reactive protein (moderate-evidence), coronary artery calcium score (low-evidence), galectin-3 (low-evidence), troponin-I (low-evidence), carotid plaque (low-evidence), and growth differentiation factor-15 (low-evidence). Risk scores showed modest discrimination, with lower performance in populations different from the original development cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Despite high interest in this topic, very few studies conducted rigorous analyses to demonstrate incremental predictive utility beyond established CVD risk factors for T2D. The most promising markers identified were NT-proBNP, TnT, TyG and GRS-CHD, with the highest strength of evidence for NT-proBNP. Further research is needed to determine their clinical utility in risk stratification and management of CVD in T2D.
People living with type 2 diabetes (T2D) are more likely to develop problems with their heart or blood circulation, known as cardiovascular disease (CVD), than people who do not have T2D. However, it can be difficult to predict which people with T2D are most likely to develop CVD. This is because current approaches, such as blood tests, do not identify all people with T2D who are at an increased risk of CVD. In this study we reviewed published papers that investigated the differences between people with T2D who experienced CVD compared to those who did not. We found some indicators that could potentially be used to determine which people with T2D are most likely to develop CVD. More studies are needed to determine how useful these are. However, they could potentially be used to enable clinicians to provide targeted advice and treatment to those people with T2D at most risk of developing CVD.
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Screening for autoantibodies associated with type 1 diabetes can identify people most at risk for progressing to clinical type 1 diabetes and provide an opportunity for early intervention. Drawbacks and barriers to screening exist, and concerns arise, as methods for disease prevention are limited and no cure exists today. The availability of novel treatment options such as teplizumab to delay progression to clinical type 1 diabetes in high-risk individuals has led to the reassessment of screening programs. This study explored awareness, readiness, and attitudes of endocrinology providers toward type 1 diabetes autoantibody screening.
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IMPORTANCE AND AIMS: Diabetic microvascular complications significantly impact morbidity and mortality. This review focuses on machine learning/artificial intelligence (ML/AI) in predicting diabetic retinopathy (DR), diabetic kidney disease (DKD), and diabetic neuropathy (DN). METHODS: A comprehensive PubMed search from 1990 to 2023 identified studies on ML/AI models for diabetic microvascular complications. The review analyzed study design, cohorts, predictors, ML techniques, prediction horizon, and performance metrics. RESULTS: Among the 74 identified studies, 256 featured internally validated ML models and 124 had externally validated models, with about half being retrospective. Since 2010, there has been a rise in the use of ML for predicting microvascular complications, mainly driven by DKD research across 27 countries. A more modest increase in ML research on DR and DN was observed, with publications from fewer countries. For all microvascular complications, predictive models achieved a mean (standard deviation) c-statistic of 0.79 (0.09) on internal validation and 0.72 (0.12) on external validation. Diabetic kidney disease models had the highest discrimination, with c-statistics of 0.81 (0.09) on internal validation and 0.74 (0.13) on external validation, respectively. Few studies externally validated prediction of DN. The prediction horizon, outcome definitions, number and type of predictors, and ML technique significantly influenced model performance. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: There is growing global interest in using ML for predicting diabetic microvascular complications. Research on DKD is the most advanced in terms of publication volume and overall prediction performance. Both DR and DN require more research. External validation and adherence to recommended guidelines are crucial.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Nefropatías Diabéticas , Neuropatías Diabéticas , Retinopatía Diabética , Humanos , Inteligencia Artificial , Nefropatías Diabéticas/diagnóstico , Neuropatías Diabéticas/diagnóstico , Retinopatía Diabética/diagnóstico , Aprendizaje Automático , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend deintensifying hypoglycemia-causing medications for older adults with diabetes whose hemoglobin A1c is below their individualized target, but this rarely occurs in practice. OBJECTIVE: To understand physicians' decision-making around deintensifying diabetes treatment. DESIGN: National physician survey. PARTICIPANTS: US physicians in general medicine, geriatrics, or endocrinology providing outpatient diabetes care. MAIN MEASURES: Physicians rated the importance of deintensifying diabetes medications for older adults with type 2 diabetes, and of switching medication classes, on 5-point Likert scales. They reported the frequency of these actions for their patients, and listed important barriers and facilitators. We evaluated the independent association between physicians' professional and practice characteristics and the importance of deintensifying and switching diabetes medications using multivariable ordered logistic regression models. KEY RESULTS: There were 445 eligible respondents (response rate 37.5%). The majority of physicians viewed deintensifying (80%) and switching (92%) diabetes medications as important or very important to the care of older adults. Despite this, one-third of physicians reported deintensifying diabetes medications rarely or never. While most physicians recognized multiple reasons to deintensify, two-thirds of physicians reported barriers of short-term hyperglycemia and patient reluctance to change medications or allow higher glucose levels. In multivariable models, geriatricians rated deintensification as more important compared to other specialties (p=0.027), and endocrinologists rated switching as more important compared to other specialties (p<0.006). Physicians with fewer years in practice rated higher importance of deintensification (p<0.001) and switching (p=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: While most US physicians viewed deintensifying and switching diabetes medications as important for the care of older adults, they deintensified infrequently. Physicians had ambivalence about the relative benefits and harms of deintensification and viewed it as a potential source of conflict with their patients. These factors likely contribute to clinical inertia, and studies focused on improving shared decision-making around deintensifying diabetes medications are needed.
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BACKGROUND: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a poor prognosis. Identifying modifiable risk factors, such as diabetes, is crucial. In the context of PDAC diagnosis, diabetes manifests as long-term (LTD), new-onset (NOD), or postsurgical (PSD) phenotypes. The link between these diabetes phenotypes and PDAC survival is debated. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective study on patients with resectable PDAC who underwent pancreatectomy at Johns Hopkins Hospital from 2003 to 2017. We utilized the National Death Index and electronic medical records to determine vital status. We categorized diabetes as LTD, NOD, or PSD based on the timing of diagnosis relative to pancreatic resection. Using multivariable Cox models, we assessed hazard ratios (HRs) for survival times associated with each phenotype, considering known PDAC prognostic factors. RESULTS: Of 1556 patients, the 5-year survival was 19% (95% CI, 17-21). No significant survival differences were observed between diabetes phenotypes and non-diabetic patients. NOD and PSD presented nonsignificant increased risks of death (aHR: 1.14 [95% CI, 0.8-1.19] and 1.05 [95% CI, 0.89-1.25], respectively). LTD showed no survival difference (aHR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.99-1.31). CONCLUSIONS: No link was found between diabetes phenotypes and survival in resectable PDAC patients. Comprehensive prospective studies are required to validate these results.
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Adenocarcinoma , Carcinoma Ductal Pancreático , Diabetes Mellitus , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Pronóstico , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/patología , Carcinoma Ductal Pancreático/patología , Pancreatectomía/métodos , Adenocarcinoma/cirugía , Adenocarcinoma/patologíaRESUMEN
Objective: To assess the uptake of second line antihyperglycaemic drugs among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who are receiving metformin. Design: Federated pharmacoepidemiological evaluation in LEGEND-T2DM. Setting: 10 US and seven non-US electronic health record and administrative claims databases in the Observational Health Data Sciences and Informatics network in eight countries from 2011 to the end of 2021. Participants: 4.8 million patients (≥18 years) across US and non-US based databases with type 2 diabetes mellitus who had received metformin monotherapy and had initiated second line treatments. Exposure: The exposure used to evaluate each database was calendar year trends, with the years in the study that were specific to each cohort. Main outcomes measures: The outcome was the incidence of second line antihyperglycaemic drug use (ie, glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, and sulfonylureas) among individuals who were already receiving treatment with metformin. The relative drug class level uptake across cardiovascular risk groups was also evaluated. Results: 4.6 million patients were identified in US databases, 61 382 from Spain, 32 442 from Germany, 25 173 from the UK, 13 270 from France, 5580 from Scotland, 4614 from Hong Kong, and 2322 from Australia. During 2011-21, the combined proportional initiation of the cardioprotective antihyperglycaemic drugs (glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors) increased across all data sources, with the combined initiation of these drugs as second line drugs in 2021 ranging from 35.2% to 68.2% in the US databases, 15.4% in France, 34.7% in Spain, 50.1% in Germany, and 54.8% in Scotland. From 2016 to 2021, in some US and non-US databases, uptake of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors increased more significantly among populations with no cardiovascular disease compared with patients with established cardiovascular disease. No data source provided evidence of a greater increase in the uptake of these two drug classes in populations with cardiovascular disease compared with no cardiovascular disease. Conclusions: Despite the increase in overall uptake of cardioprotective antihyperglycaemic drugs as second line treatments for type 2 diabetes mellitus, their uptake was lower in patients with cardiovascular disease than in people with no cardiovascular disease over the past decade. A strategy is needed to ensure that medication use is concordant with guideline recommendations to improve outcomes of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
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Background Precision medicine has the potential to improve cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Methods We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies to identify potentially novel prognostic factors that may improve CVD risk prediction in T2D. Out of 9380 studies identified, 416 studies met inclusion criteria. Outcomes were reported for 321 biomarker studies, 48 genetic marker studies, and 47 risk score/model studies. Results Out of all evaluated biomarkers, only 13 showed improvement in prediction performance. Results of pooled meta-analyses, non-pooled analyses, and assessments of improvement in prediction performance and risk of bias, yielded the highest predictive utility for N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (high-evidence), troponin-T (TnT) (moderate-evidence), triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index (moderate-evidence), Genetic Risk Score for Coronary Heart Disease (GRS-CHD) (moderate-evidence); moderate predictive utility for coronary computed tomography angiography (low-evidence), single-photon emission computed tomography (low-evidence), pulse wave velocity (moderate-evidence); and low predictive utility for C-reactive protein (moderate-evidence), coronary artery calcium score (low-evidence), galectin-3 (low-evidence), troponin-I (low-evidence), carotid plaque (low-evidence), and growth differentiation factor-15 (low-evidence). Risk scores showed modest discrimination, with lower performance in populations different from the original development cohort. Conclusions Despite high interest in this topic, very few studies conducted rigorous analyses to demonstrate incremental predictive utility beyond established CVD risk factors for T2D. The most promising markers identified were NT-proBNP, TnT, TyG and GRS-CHD, with the highest strength of evidence for NT-proBNP. Further research is needed to determine their clinical utility in risk stratification and management of CVD in T2D.
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In this retrospective analysis, we explored the correlation between measured average glucose (mAG) and A1C-estimated average glucose (eAG) in hospitalized patients with diabetes and identified factors associated with discordant mAG and eAG at the transition from home to hospital. Having mAG lower than eAG was associated with Black race, other race, increasing length of stay, community hospital setting, surgery, fever, metformin use, certain inpatient diets, home antihyperglycemic treatment, and coded type 1 or type 2 diabetes. Having mAG higher than eAG was associated with certain discharge services (e.g., intensive care unit), higher BMI, hypertension, tachycardia, higher albumin, higher potassium, anemia, inpatient glucocorticoid use, and treatment with home insulin, secretagogues, and glucocorticoids. These factors should be considered when using patients' A1C as an indicator of outpatient glycemic control to determine the inpatient antihyperglycemic regimens.
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OBJECTIVE: To determine physicians' approach to deintensifying (reducing/stopping) or switching hypoglycemia-causing medications for older adults with type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In this national survey, U.S. physicians in general medicine, geriatrics, or endocrinology reported changes they would make to hypoglycemia-causing medications for older adults in three scenarios: good health, HbA1c of 6.3%; complex health, HbA1c of 7.3%; and poor health, HbA1c of 7.7%. RESULTS: There were 445 eligible respondents (response rate 37.5%). In patient scenarios, 48%, 4%, and 20% of physicians deintensified hypoglycemia-causing medications for patients with good, complex, and poor health, respectively. Overall, 17% of physicians switched medications without significant differences by patient health. One-half of physicians selected HbA1c targets below guideline recommendations for older adults with complex or poor health. CONCLUSIONS: Most U.S. physicians would not deintensify or switch hypoglycemia-causing medications within guideline-recommended HbA1c targets. Physician preference for lower HbA1c targets than guidelines needs to be addressed to optimize deintensification decisions.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Hipoglucemia , Médicos , Humanos , Anciano , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamiento farmacológico , Hemoglobina Glucada , Glucemia , Hipoglucemiantes/uso terapéutico , Hipoglucemia/tratamiento farmacológicoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Continuous glucose monitors have shown great promise in improving outpatient blood glucose (BG) control; however, continuous glucose monitors are not routinely used in hospitals, and glucose management is driven by point-of-care (finger stick) and serum glucose measurements in most patients. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate times series approaches for prediction of inpatient BG using only point-of-care and serum glucose observations. METHODS: Our data set included electronic health record data from 184,320 admissions, from patients who received at least one unit of subcutaneous insulin, had at least 4 BG measurements, and were discharged between January 1, 2015, and May 31, 2019, from 5 Johns Hopkins Health System hospitals. A total of 2,436,228 BG observations were included after excluding measurements obtained in quick succession, from patients who received intravenous insulin, or from critically ill patients. After exclusion criteria, 2.85% (3253/113,976), 32.5% (37,045/113,976), and 1.06% (1207/113,976) of admissions had a coded diagnosis of type 1, type 2, and other diabetes, respectively. The outcome of interest was the predicted value of the next BG measurement (mg/dL). Multiple time series predictors were created and analyzed by comparing those predictors and the index BG measurement (sample-and-hold technique) with next BG measurement. The population was classified by glycemic variability based on the coefficient of variation. To compare the performance of different time series predictors among one another, R2, root mean squared error, and Clarke Error Grid were calculated and compared with the next BG measurement. All these time series predictors were then used together in Cubist, linear, random forest, partial least squares, and k-nearest neighbor methods. RESULTS: The median number of BG measurements from 113,976 admissions was 12 (IQR 5-24). The R2 values for the sample-and-hold, 2-hour, 4-hour, 16-hour, and 24-hour moving average were 0.529, 0.504, 0.481, 0.467, and 0.459, respectively. The R2 values for 4-hour moving average based on glycemic variability were 0.680, 0.480, 0.290, and 0.205 for low, medium, high, and very high glucose variability, respectively. The proportion of BG predictions in zone A of the Clarke Error Grid analysis was 61%, 59%, 27%, and 53% for 4-hour moving average, 24-hour moving average, 3 observation rolling regression, and recursive regression predictors, respectively. In a fully adjusted Cubist, linear, random forest, partial least squares, and k-nearest neighbor model, the R2 values were 0.563, 0.526, 0.538, and 0.472, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: When analyzing time series predictors independently, increasing variability in a patient's BG decreased predictive accuracy. Similarly, inclusion of older BG measurements decreased predictive accuracy. These relationships become weaker as glucose variability increases. Machine learning techniques marginally augmented the performance of time series predictors for predicting a patient's next BG measurement. Further studies should determine the potential of using time series analyses for prediction of inpatient dysglycemia.
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Artificial intelligence can use real-world data to create models capable of making predictions and medical diagnosis for diabetes and its complications. The aim of this commentary article is to provide a general perspective and present recent advances on how artificial intelligence can be applied to improve the prediction and diagnosis of six significant complications of diabetes including (1) gestational diabetes, (2) hypoglycemia in the hospital, (3) diabetic retinopathy, (4) diabetic foot ulcers, (5) diabetic peripheral neuropathy, and (6) diabetic nephropathy.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Pie Diabético , Nefropatías Diabéticas , Neuropatías Diabéticas , Retinopatía Diabética , Humanos , Inteligencia Artificial , Pie Diabético/diagnóstico , Retinopatía Diabética/diagnóstico , Neuropatías Diabéticas/etiología , Neuropatías Diabéticas/complicaciones , Nefropatías Diabéticas/diagnóstico , Nefropatías Diabéticas/etiología , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnósticoRESUMEN
Background: Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) improves glycemic control. Less than half of youth with type 1 diabetes (T1D) use CGM, with disparities among minority and low-income youth. The aim of this study was to determine if trial CGM use increases uptake of personal CGM. Methods: T1D youth were provided sample CGM placement at the point of care, with CGM education and app setup. Follow-up calls at 5 and 10 days assessed CGM data, and desire to continue using CGM. Follow-up at 3-6 months recorded CGM use, CGM data, and A1c. Participants completed surveys at enrollment, 10 days, and 3 months. Differences were assessed between baseline and follow-up. Results: Of the 26 enrolled participants with T1D, 15 were CGM naive, and 11 were prior CGM users. The mean age was 14.1 ± 2.9 years, 65% male, 42% were Black, 12% were Hispanic, 65% were on public insurance, and 43% had household income of <$50,000. The median duration of diabetes was 4.6 years (interquartile range 2.4-7.7), mean baseline A1c was 10.7% ± 2.4%. After trial CGM use, 85% of participants reported wanting personal CGM, and at 3-6 months follow-up 76% had obtained one and 43% were using a personal CGM. There were no improvements in A1C or time in range, but participants reported an increase in the perceived benefits of CGM usage (4.0 vs. 4.3, p = 0.03). Conclusions: Placing a sample CGM at the point of care can improve uptake of personal CGM and may help mitigate disparities in CGM use in minority and underserved youth. Long-term studies are needed to determine how similar interventions impact glycemic control and patient outcomes. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04721145.