Peripheral artery disease and risk of kidney outcomes: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The potential impact of peripheral artery disease (PAD) on kidney outcomes is not well understood. The aim of this study was to explore the association between PAD and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: Among 14,051 participants (mean age 54 [SD 6 years]) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, we categorized PAD status as symptomatic PAD (intermittent claudication or leg revascularization), asymptomatic PAD (ankle-brachial index [ABI] ≤0.90 without clinical history of symptoms), and ABI 0.91-1.00, 1.01-1.10, 1.11-1.20 (reference), 1.21-1.30, and >1.30. We evaluated their associations with two kidney outcomes: ESKD (the need of renal replacement therapy or death due to kidney disease) and CKD (ESKD cases or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 with a ≥25 % decline from the baseline) using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Over ∼30 years of follow-up, there were 598 cases of incident ESKD and 4686 cases of incident CKD. After adjusting for potential confounders, both symptomatic PAD and asymptomatic PAD conferred a significantly elevated risk of ESKD (hazard ratio 2.28 [95 % confidence interval 1.23-4.22] and 1.75 [1.19-2.57], respectively). Corresponding estimates for CKD were 1.54 (1.14-2.09) and 1.63 (1.38-1.93). Borderline low ABI 0.91-1.00 also showed elevated risk of adverse kidney outcomes after adjustment for demographic variables. Largely consistent results were observed across demographic and clinical subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Symptomatic PAD and asymptomatic PAD were independently associated with an elevated risk of ESKD and CKD. These results highlight the importance of monitoring kidney function in persons with PAD, even when symptoms are absent.

Ultra-Processed Food Consumption and Risk of Incident Hypertension in US Middle-Aged Adults.

BACKGROUND: Consumption of ultra-processed food, which is manufactured food that is high in additives and sparse in intact foods, is adversely associated with cardiovascular health, primarily in non-US study populations. We aimed to estimate the association between ultra-processed food consumption and incident hypertension in middle-aged adults in the United States. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 8923 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study participants who were hypertension free at baseline and had complete dietary, covariate, and hypertension data from visit 1 (1987-1989). Over a median (25th, 75th percentile) follow-up of 13 (6-21) years, 79% of participants developed hypertension. Participants in the highest quartile of ultra-processed food consumption had 15% higher risk of incident hypertension than those in the lowest quartile (hazard ratio [HR], 1.15 [95% CI, 1.08-1.23]). Participants in the highest quartile of consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages, red and processed meat, and margarine had 16% (HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.08-1.24]; p-trend <0.001), 10% (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.03-1.19]; P trend = 0.005), and 6% (HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.99, 1.45]; P trend = 0.045) higher risk of incident hypertension, respectively, when compared with the lowest quartiles of consumption. Each additional serving of minimally or unprocessed food was associated with a 2% lower risk of incident hypertension (HR, 0.98 [95% CI, 0.98, 0.99], P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: High consumption of ultra-processed foods, specifically of sugar-sweetened beverages, red and processed meat, and margarine, was associated with a higher incidence of hypertension, whereas minimally or unprocessed food consumption was associated with lower hypertension risk.

Association of central arterial stiffness with atrial myopathy: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

Atrial myopathy-defined as abnormal left atrial (LA) size and function-is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and dementia. Central arterial stiffness is associated with increased atrial afterload and fibrosis and may be a risk factor for atrial myopathy. We examined the association of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) with LA function and assessed potential causal relationships. We included 2825 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants from Visit 5 (2011-2013). cfPWV was related to echocardiographic LA function continuously per 1-SD and categorically in quartiles. Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed using U.K. Biobank-derived genetic variants associated with arterial stiffness index and cardiac magnetic resonance measures of LA function. When analyzed per SD increment (297.6 cm/s), higher cfPWV was significantly associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain (ß = -0.53%, 95% CI [-0.81, -0.25] and ß = -0.46%, 95% CI [-0.68, -0.25], respectively) after adjusting for demographics, clinical characteristics, systolic blood pressure, and left ventricular (LV) morphology and function. In MR analyses there was a non-significant inverse association of arterial stiffness index with LA total, passive, and active emptying fractions. Higher cfPWV is associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain, independent of systolic blood pressure and LV morphology and function. No evidence for a causal relationship between arterial stiffness index and alterations in LA function was found. Future studies should examine the prospective association of central arterial stiffness with LA function alterations.

Associations of Dietary Calcium and Phosphorus With Vascular and Valvular Calcification: The ARIC Study.

Background: High dietary calcium and phosphorus may accelerate vascular calcification, but epidemiological data are inconsistent. Most of those studies assessed diet at one point and have not been systematically evaluated. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to assess the associations of dietary calcium and phosphorus intakes in middle age with coronary artery and extra-coronary calcification at older age. Methods: We studied 1,914 participants from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study (mean age 80.5 years) without coronary heart disease who underwent chest computed tomography scans at visit 7 (2018-2019) and completed a 66-item food frequency questionnaire at 2 earlier visits (visit 1 [1987-1989] and visit 3 [1993-1995]). Dietary calcium and phosphorus intakes were averaged between these 2 visits. Calcification was quantified by the Agatston score in coronary artery, ascending aorta, descending aorta, aortic valve ring, aortic valve, and mitral valve. Results: Dietary calcium intake was inversely associated with coronary artery and ascending aorta calcification, whereas the association was not significant for other measures of extra-coronary calcification. For example, the highest vs lowest quartile of calcium intake showed an adjusted OR of 0.66 (95% CI: 0.45-0.98) for coronary artery calcification (Agatston score ≥75th percentile). Dietary phosphorus intake demonstrated similar results, but the magnitude of the association was weaker than dietary calcium intake. Conclusions: Dietary calcium and phosphorus intakes at middle age were not positively associated with vascular and valvular calcification at over 75 years old. Our findings did not support the link between a calcium or phosphorus-rich diet and vascular and valvular calcification.

Text messaging to improve retention in hypertension care in Bangladesh.

Visit non-attendance is a common barrier to hypertension control in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of mobile text messaging in improving visit attendance among patients with hypertension in primary healthcare facilities in Bangladesh. A randomized A/B testing study was conducted with two patient groups: (1) patients regularly attending visits (regular patients) and (2) patients overdue for their follow-up clinic visit (overdue patients). Regular patients were randomized into three groups: a cascade of three text reminders, a single text reminder, or no text reminder. Overdue patients were randomized into two groups: a single text reminder or no text reminder. 20,072 regular patients and 12,708 overdue patients were enrolled. Among regular patients, visit attendance was significantly higher in the cascade reminder group and the single reminder group compared to the no reminder group (78.2% and 76.6% vs. 74.8%, p < 0.001 and 0.027, respectively). Among overdue patients, the single reminder group had a 5.8% higher visit attendance compared to the no reminder group (26.5% vs. 20.7%, p < 0.001). The results remained consistent in multivariable analysis; adjusted prevalence ratio (PR) was 1.04 (95% CI 1.02-1.06) for the cascade reminder group and 1.02 (95% CI 1.00-1.05) for the single reminder group among regular patients. The adjusted PR for the single reminder group vs. the no reminder group among overdue patients was 1.23 (95% CI 1.15-1.33). Text message reminders are an effective strategy for improving retention of patients in hypertension treatment in LMICs, especially for patients overdue to care.

Chest Symptoms and Long-Term Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: We sought to evaluate the associations of chest pain and dyspnea with the long-term risk of cardiovascular disease including coronary disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and stroke. METHODS: In 13,200 participants without cardiovascular disease in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (1987-1989), chest pain was categorized into definite angina, possible angina, non-anginal chest pain, and no chest pain using the Rose questionnaire. Dyspnea was categorized into grades 3-4, 2, 1, and 0 by the modified Medical Research Council scale. The associations of chest pain and dyspnea with incident myocardial infarction, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and stroke over a median follow-up of ∼27 years were quantified with multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: Definite angina and possible angina were associated with myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratios [HR] 1.80 [95%CI 1.45-2.13] and 1.65 [1.27-2.15]). Although lesser magnitude than myocardial infarction, both definite and possible angina were associated with heart failure. For atrial fibrillation, possible angina showed higher HR than definite angina. Dyspnea showed similar HRs for myocardial infarction and heart failure in grades 3-4 (2.00 [1.61-2.49] and 1.94 [1.62-2.32]). Stroke was least associated with chest symptoms. Chest pain and dyspnea significantly improved the discrimination of cardiovascular disease except stroke, beyond traditional risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: In individuals without cardiovascular disease, chest pain and dyspnea were independently associated with incident cardiovascular disease for about 3 decades, suggesting the need for evaluating chest pain from a broader perspective of cardiovascular disease beyond coronary disease and the importance of dyspnea for cardiovascular risk assessment including myocardial infarction.

Peripheral artery disease, chronic kidney disease, and recurrent admissions for acute decompensated heart failure: The ARIC study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) has not only been associated with recurrent hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) but is also associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD), a known risk factor for worse heart failure outcomes. The interaction of CKD with PAD in post-discharge ADHF outcomes is not well known. METHODS: Since 2005, hospitalizations for ADHF were sampled from 4 US regions by the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and classified by physician review. We examined the adjusted association of PAD with 1-year ADHF readmissions, in patients with and without CKD (defined by glomerular filtration rate [GFR] ≤60 mL/min/1.73 m2 [stage 3a or worse]). RESULTS: From 2005 to 2018, there were 1049 index hospitalizations for patients with ADHF (mean age 77 years, 66 % white) with creatinine data, who were discharged alive. Of these, 155 (15 %) had PAD and 66 % had CKD. In comparison to those without PAD, patients with PAD had more comorbid conditions and higher 1-year ADHF readmission rates, irrespective of CKD status. After adjustment, PAD was associated with a greater risk of 1-year ADHF readmissions, both for patients with concomitant CKD (HR, 1.70; 95 % CI: 1.29-2.24) and those without CKD (HR, 1.97; 95 % CI: 1.14-3.40); p-interaction = 0.8. CONCLUSION: Among patients hospitalized with ADHF, those with concurrent PAD have more prevalent cardiovascular comorbidities and higher likelihood of 1-year ADHF readmission, irrespective of CKD status. Integrating a more holistic approach in management of patients with concomitant heart failure, PAD and CKD may be an important strategy to improve the prognosis in this vulnerable population.

Evaluation of the World Health Organization-HEARTS hypertension control package in Bangladesh: a quasi-experimental trial.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) promotes the HEARTS technical package for improving hypertension control worldwide, but its effectiveness has not been rigorously evaluated. OBJECTIVE: To compare hypertension outcomes in clinics implementing HEARTS versus clinics continuing usual hypertension care in rural Bangladesh. METHODS: A matched-pair cluster quasi-experimental trial in Upazila Health Complexes (UHCs; primary healthcare facilities) was conducted in rural Bangladesh. A total of 3935 patients (mean age 52.3 years, 70.5% female) with uncontrolled hypertension (blood pressure (BP) ≥140/90 mm Hg regardless of treatment history) were enrolled: 1950 patients from 7 HEARTS UHCs and 1985 patients from 7 matched usual care UHCs. The primary outcome was systolic BP at 6 months measured at the patient's home; secondary outcomes were diastolic BP, hypertension control rate (<140/90 mm Hg) and loss to follow-up. Multivariable mixed-effects linear and Poisson models were conducted. RESULTS: Baseline mean systolic BP was 158.4 mm Hg in the intervention group and 158.8 mm Hg in the usual care group. At 6 months, 95.5% of participants completed follow-up. Compared with usual care, the intervention significantly lowered systolic BP (-23.7 mm Hg vs -20.0 mm Hg; net difference -3.7 mm Hg (95% CI -5.1 to -2.2)) and diastolic BP (-10.2 mm Hg vs -8.3 mm Hg; net difference -1.9 mm Hg (95% CI -2.7 to -1.1)) and improved hypertension control (62.0% vs 49.7%, net difference 12.3% (95% CI 9.0 to 16.8)). Rate of missed clinic visits was lower in the intervention group (8.8% vs 39.3%, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: After WHO-HEARTS package implementation in rural Bangladesh, BP was lowered and hypertension control improved significantly compared with usual care. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04992039.

Contralateral differences in ankle SBP and pulse wave velocity: associations with incident heart failure and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Contralateral differences in brachial SBP are indicative of underlaying cardiovascular issues. OBJECTIVES: To examine the association of contralateral differences in ankle SBP, brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV), and heart-ankle pulse wave velocity (haPWV) with incident heart failure and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. METHODS: Cox proportional-hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) in 5077 participants (75 ±â€Š5 years) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 7.5 ±â€Š2.2 years, there were 457 heart failure events, 1275 all-cause and 363 cardiovascular deaths. Interankle SBP difference of at least 10 mmHg [hazard ratio = 1.12; confidence interval (CI) 1.00-1.28], at least 15 mmHg (hazard ratio = 1.21; CI 1.03-1.43), contralateral difference in baPWV more than 240 cm/s (hazard ratio = 1.22; CI 1.02-1.46), and haPWV more than 80 cm/s (hazard ratio = 1.24; CI 1.04-1.48) were each independently associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment for confounders. Contralateral differences in ankle SBP of at least 15 mmHg (hazard ratio = 1.56; CI 1.17-2.09), and haPWV more than 80 cm/s (hazard ratio = 1.42; CI 1.03-1.96) were both independently associated with cardiovascular mortality. Unadjusted analysis revealed that those with contralateral differences in ankle SBP of at least 10 and at least 15 mmHg, baPWV more than 240, and haPWV more than 80 cm/s had higher risks of heart failure (all P  < 0.05). CONCLUSION: These results underscore the significance of evaluating contralateral differences in ankle SBP and PWV as potential markers of increased mortality risk among older adults.

Association of Left Atrial Function With Incident Chronic Kidney Disease in Older Adults.

Objective: To examine the association of left atrial (LA) function with incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) and assess the clinical utility of adding LA function to a CKD risk prediction equation. Patients and Methods: We included 4002 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants without prevalent CKD (mean ± SD age, 75±5 years; 58% female, 18% Black). Left atrial function (reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain) was evaluated by 2D-echocardiograms on 2011 to 2013. Chronic kidney disease was defined as greater than 25% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, end-stage kidney disease, or hospital records. Cox proportional hazards models were used. Risk prediction and decision curve analyses evaluated 5-year CKD risk by diabetes status. Results: Median follow-up was 7.2 years, and 598 participants developed incident CKD. Incidence rate for CKD was 2.29 per 100 person-years. After multivariable adjustments, the lowest quintile of LA reservoir, conduit, and contractile strain (vs highest quintile) had a higher risk of CKD (hazard ratios [95% CIs]: 1.94 [1.42-2.64], 1.62 [1.19-2.20], and 1.49 [1.12-1.99]). Adding LA reservoir strain to the CKD risk prediction equation variables increased the C-index by 0.026 (95% CI: 0.005-0.051) and 0.031 (95% CI: 0.006-0.058) in participants without and with diabetes, respectively. Decision curve analysis found the model with LA reservoir strain had a higher net benefit than the model with CKD risk prediction equation variables alone. Conclusion: Lower LA function is independently associated with incident CKD. Adding LA function to the CKD risk prediction enhances prediction and yields a higher clinical net benefit. These findings suggest that impaired LA function may be a novel risk factor for CKD.

Guidelines for clinical evaluation of chronic kidney disease in early stages : AMED research on regulatory science of pharmaceuticals and medical devices.

BACKGROUND: For the development of pharmaceutical products in kidney field, appropriate surrogate endpoints which can predict long-term prognosis are needed as an alternative to hard endpoints, such as end-stage kidney disease. Though international workshop has proposed estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) slope reduction of 0.5-1.0 mL/min/1.73 m /year and 30% decrease in albuminuria/proteinuria as surrogate endpoints in early and advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD), it was not clear whether these are applicable to Japanese patients. METHODS: We analyzed J-CKD-DB and CKD-JAC, Japanese databases/cohorts of CKD patients, and J-DREAMS, a Japanese database of patients with diabetes mellitus to investigate the applicability of eGFR slope and albuminuria/proteinuria to the Japanese population. Systematic review on those endpoints was also conducted including the results of clinical trials published after the above proposal. RESULTS: Our analysis showed an association between eGFR slope and the risk of end-stage kidney disease. A 30% decrease in albuminuria/proteinuria over 2 years corresponded to a 20% decrease in the risk of end-stage kidney disease patients with baseline UACR ≥ 30 mg/gCre or UPCR ≥ 0.15 g/gCre in the analysis of CKD-JAC, though this analysis was not performed on the other database/cohort. Those results suggested similar trends to those of the systematic review. CONCLUSION: The results suggested that eGFR slope and decreased albuminuria/proteinuria may be used as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials for early CKD (including diabetic kidney disease) in Japanese population, though its validity and cutoff values must be carefully considered based on the latest evidence and other factors.

Physical Activity, Cardiovascular Status, Mortality, and Prediabetes in Hispanic and Non-Hispanic Adults.

Importance: Data are limited on the association of physical activity (PA) with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in prediabetes, especially in racial and ethnic minority groups, including Hispanic and Latino populations. Objective: To determine the association of PA with incident CVD and mortality by prediabetes status among Hispanic or Latino and non-Hispanic adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included data from 2 cohorts of adults with prediabetes or normoglycemia who were free of CVD at baseline visit: the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL) from baseline examination through 2017, with median (IQR) follow-up of 7.8 (7.2-8.5) years, and the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) with non-Hispanic participants from index examination through 2019, with median (IQR) follow-up of 9.6 (8.1-10.7) years. Analyses were conducted between September 1, 2022, and January 10, 2024. Exposure: The primary exposure was baseline accelerometry-measured moderate to vigorous PA, insufficient vs sufficient to meet 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans (PAG) in both cohorts; additional accelerometer-measured exposures in HCHS/SOL were steps per day, sedentary behavior, and counts per min. Main Outcomes and Measures: The outcome was a composite of incident CVD or all-cause mortality, whichever came first. Results: This cohort study included 13 223 participants: from HCHS/SOL, there were 9456 adults (all self-identified Hispanic or Latino ethnicity; survey-adjusted mean [SD] age, 38.3 [13.9] years, unweighted counts 5673 (60.0%) female; 4882 [51.6%] with normoglycemia; 4574 [48.4%] with prediabetes), and from FHS there were 3767 adults (3623 [96.2%] non-Hispanic and 140 [3.7%] Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, with 4 [0.1%] participants missing ethnicity; mean [SD] age, 54.2 [13.6] years; 2128 (56.5%) female; 2739 [72.7%] with normoglycemia; 1028 [27.3%] with prediabetes). Not meeting PAG was associated with higher risk of the composite outcome among participants with normoglycemia (vs PAG met; hazard ratio [HR], 1.85 [95% CI, 1.12-3.06]), but not among participants with prediabetes (HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.72-1.58]). For HCHS/SOL, no statistically significant association was found between the composite outcome and other PA metrics, although estimated HRs tended to be higher for lower activity in the normoglycemia group but not for the prediabetes group (eg, for steps less than vs at least 7000 per day, the HR was 1.58 [95% CI, 0.85-2.93] for normoglycemia vs 1.08 [95% CI 0.67-1.74] for prediabetes). While there was also no association in HCHS/SOL between the composite outcome and sedentary behavior, results were similar in the prediabetes group (HR per 30 minutes per day of sedentary behavior, 1.05 [95% CI 0.99-1.12]) and in the normoglycemia group (HR, 1.07 [95% CI 0.98-1.16]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of US Hispanic or Latino and non-Hispanic adults, lower moderate to vigorous PA levels were associated with CVD or mortality among participants with normoglycemia but not participants with prediabetes. Adults with prediabetes may benefit from reducing sedentary behavior and improving multiple lifestyle factors beyond improving moderate to vigorous PA alone.

Carotid Ultrasound-Based Plaque Score for the Allocation of Aspirin for the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease Events: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery calcium testing using noncontrast cardiac computed tomography is a guideline-indicated test to help refine eligibility for aspirin in primary prevention. However, access to cardiac computed tomography remains limited, with carotid ultrasound used much more often internationally. We sought to update the role of aspirin allocation in primary prevention as a function of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included 11 379 participants from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) and ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) studies. A harmonized carotid plaque score (range, 0-6) was derived using the number of anatomic sites with plaque from the left and right common, bifurcation, and internal carotid artery on ultrasound. The 5-year number needed to treat and number needed to harm as a function of the carotid plaque score were calculated by applying a 12% relative risk reduction in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events and 42% relative increase in major bleeding events related to aspirin use, respectively. The mean age was 57 years, 57% were women, 23% were Black, and the median 10-year ASCVD risk was 12.8%. The 5-year incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) were 5.5 (4.9-6.2) for ASCVD and 1.8 (1.5-2.2) for major bleeding events. The overall 5-year number needed to treat with aspirin was 306 but was 2-fold lower for individuals with carotid plaque versus those without carotid plaque (212 versus 448). The 5-year number needed to treat was less than the 5-year number needed to harm when the carotid plaque score was ≥2 for individuals with ASCVD risk 5% to 20%, whereas the presence of any carotid plaque demarcated a favorable risk-benefit for individuals with ASCVD risk >20%. CONCLUSIONS: Quantification of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis can help improve the allocation of aspirin therapy.

Association of Cumulative Systolic Blood Pressure With Left Atrial Function in the Setting of Normal Left Atrial Size: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Lower left atrial (LA) function is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease events; data on risk factors for impaired LA function are limited. We evaluated the effect of cumulative systolic blood pressure (cSBP) from midlife to older age on LA strain in adults with normal LA size. METHODS: We included participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study with LA strain measured on the visit 5 echocardiogram (2011-13), excluding those with atrial fibrillation and LA volume index >34 mL/m2. The cSBP was calculated from visit 1 (1987-89) through visit 5. Linear regression models were used to evaluate associations between cSBP and LA strain measures. RESULTS: A total of 3,859 participants with a mean (SD) age of 75.2 (5.0) years were included in the analysis; 725 (18.8%) were Black and 2,342 (60.7%) were women. After adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular disease risk factors, heart failure, and coronary heart disease, each 10 mm Hg increase in cSBP was associated with 0.32% (95% CI, -0.52%, -0.13%) and 0.37% (95% CI, -0.51%, -0.22%) absolute reduction in LA reservoir and conduit strain, respectively. Associations were attenuated after adjustment for left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic function and mass (-0.12%: 95% CI, -0.31, 0.06 for reservoir strain; and -0.24%: 95% CI -0.38%, -0.10% for conduit strain). In subgroup analyses, the association of cSBP with conduit strain was statistically significant among those with normal LV systolic and diastolic function. CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative exposure to elevated blood pressure from midlife to late life was modestly associated with lower LA reservoir and conduit strain in older adults with normal LA size, mostly related to the effect of blood pressure on LV function and mass. However, the association of cSBP and LA conduit strain in subgroups with normal LV function suggests that LA remodeling in response to hypertension occurs before LV dysfunction is detected on echocardiography.

Risk of recurrent stroke and dementia following acute stroke by changes in kidney function: results from the Perindopril Protection Against Recurrent Stroke Study.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist on the relationship between declining kidney function and cardiovascular events, dementia, and mortality in patients with a history of stroke.Thus the aims of the study were to investigate functional relationships between dynamic kidney function change and cardiovascular outcomes, and clarify whether adding kidney parameters to conventional cardiovascular risk factors improves model discrimination. METHODS: Post hoc analysis of the Perindopril Protection Against Recurrent Stroke Study (PROGRESS) clinical trial of blood pressure lowering for the secondary prevention of stroke. We examined the association between dynamic kidney function defined as percentage change (declines of >30%, and >0 to ≤30%, and increases of ≥0 to <30%, and ≥30%) in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over 2 years and recurrent stroke, major cardiovascular events, dementia and all-cause death over the next 2 years using Cox proportional hazard models controlling for eGFR at registration and potential confounders. Restricted cubic splines were used to assess the functional relationships. C-statistics and Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) at 2 years were used to assess model discrimination. RESULTS: In 4591 patients followed for a mean of approximately 2 years, 254 (5.5%) developed recurrent stroke, 391 (8.5%) had a major cardiovascular event, 221 (4.8%) developed dementia, and 271 (5.9%) died. Reverse J-like or U-like relationships were observed for percent declines in eGFR and outcomes. Using declines in eGFR of >0 to ≤30% as a reference, increased risks were evident for a greater decline (>30%) in relation to recurrent stroke [adjusted hazard ratio 1.85, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-2.85], major cardiovascular event (2.24, 1.62-3.10) and all-cause death (2.09, 1.39-3.15). A larger increase (≥30%) in eGFR was also associated with a greater risk of all-cause death (1.96, 1.14-3.37). Improvements in the C-statistic were found by adding baseline eGFR and percent change compared with a model with conventional cardiovascular risk factors alone, for major cardiovascular events, dementia, and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: Declining kidney function following an incident cerebrovascular event is associated with additional risk of a major cardiovascular events, dementia, and 2-year mortality. However, a large increase in kidney function was also found to be associated with a higher risk of mortality.

Premorbid physical activity and prognosis after incident myocardial infarction: The atherosclerosis risk in communities study.

BACKGROUND: High to moderate levels of physical activity (PA) are associated with low risk of incident cardiovascular disease. However, it is unclear whether the benefits of PA in midlife extend to cardiovascular health following myocardial infarction (MI) in later life. METHODS: Among 1,111 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participants with incident MI during Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities follow-up (mean age 73 [SD 9] years at MI, 54% men, 21% Black), PA on average 11.9 (SD 6.9) years prior to incident MI (premorbid PA) was evaluated as the average score of PA between visit 1 (1987-1989) and visit 3 (1993-1995) using a modified Baecke questionnaire. Total and domain-specific PA (sport, nonsport leisure, and work PA) was analyzed for associations with composite and individual outcomes of mortality, recurrent MI, and stroke after index MI using multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 4.6 (IQI 1.0-10.5) years after incident MI, 823 participants (74%) developed a composite outcome. The 10-year cumulative incidence of the composite outcome was lower in the highest, as compared to the lowest tertile of premorbid total PA (56% vs. 70%, respectively). This association remained statistically significant even after adjusting for potential confounders (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.80 [0.67-0.96] for the highest vs. lowest tertile). For individual outcomes, high premorbid total PA was associated with a low risk of recurrent MI (corresponding aHR 0.64 [0.44, 0.93]). When domain-specific PA was analyzed, similar results were seen for sport and work PA. The association was strongest in the first year following MI (e.g., aHR of composite outcome 0.66 [95% CI 0.47, 0.91] for the highest vs. lowest tertile of total PA). CONCLUSIONS: Premorbid PA was associated positively with post-MI cardiovascular health. Our results demonstrate the additional prognostic advantages of PA beyond reducing the risk of incident MI.

Atrial Fibrillation and Clonal Hematopoiesis in TET2 and ASXL1.

Importance: Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) may contribute to the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) through its association with inflammation and cardiac remodeling. Objective: To determine whether CHIP was associated with AF, inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers, and cardiac structural changes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a population-based, prospective cohort study in participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and UK Biobank (UKB) cohort. Samples were collected and echocardiography was performed from 2011 to 2013 in the ARIC cohort, and samples were collected from 2006 to 2010 in the UKB cohort. Included in this study were adults without hematologic malignancies, mitral valve stenosis, or previous mitral valve procedure from both the ARIC and UKB cohorts; additionally, participants without hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and congenital heart disease from the UKB cohort were also included. Data analysis was completed in 2023. Exposures: CHIP (variant allele frequency [VAF] ≥2%), common gene-specific CHIP subtypes (DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1), large CHIP (VAF ≥10%), inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, interleukin 6 [IL-6], IL-18, high-sensitivity troponin T [hs-TnT] and hs-TnI, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), and echocardiographic indices. Main Outcome Measure: Incident AF. Results: A total of 199 982 adults were included in this study. In ARIC participants (4131 [2.1%]; mean [SD] age, 76 [5] years; 2449 female [59%]; 1682 male [41%]; 935 Black [23%] and 3196 White [77%]), 1019 had any CHIP (24.7%), and 478 had large CHIP (11.6%). In UKB participants (195 851 [97.9%]; mean [SD] age, 56 [8] years; 108 370 female [55%]; 87 481 male [45%]; 3154 Black [2%], 183 747 White [94%], and 7971 other race [4%]), 11 328 had any CHIP (5.8%), and 5189 had large CHIP (2.6%). ARIC participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 7.0 (5.3-7.7) years, and UKB participants were followed up for a median (IQR) period of 12.2 (11.3-13.0) years. Meta-analyzed hazard ratios for AF were 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01-1.25; P = .04) for participants with vs without large CHIP, 1.29 (95% CI, 1.05-1.59; P = .02) for those with vs without large TET2 CHIP (seen in 1340 of 197 209 [0.67%]), and 1.45 (95% CI, 1.02-2.07; P = .04) for those with vs without large ASXL1 CHIP (seen in 314 of 197 209 [0.16%]). Large TET2 CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 levels. Additionally, large ASXL1 was associated with higher hs-TnT level and increased left ventricular mass index. Conclusions and Relevance: Large TET2 and ASXL1, but not DNMT3A, CHIP was associated with higher IL-6 level, indices of cardiac remodeling, and increased risk for AF. Future research is needed to elaborate on the mechanisms driving the associations and to investigate potential interventions to reduce the risk.