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1.
BMJ Nutr Prev Health ; 7(1): 204-211, 2024.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38966119

RESUMEN

Background: Obesity is influenced by a complex, multifaceted system of determinants, including the food environment. Governments need evidence to act on improving the food environment. The aim of this study was to review the evidence from spatial environmental analyses and to conduct the first series of meta-analyses to assess the impact of the retail food environment on obesity. Methods: We performed a systematic review and random-effects meta-analyses, focusing on geographical-statistical methods to assess the associations between food outlet availability and obesity. We searched OvidSP-Medline, Scielo, Scopus and Google Scholar databases up to January 2022. The search terms included spatial analysis, obesity and the retail food environment. Effect sizes were pooled by random-effects meta-analyses separately according to food outlet type and geographical and statistical measures. Findings: Of the 4118 retrieved papers, we included 103 studies. Density (n=52, 50%) and linear and logistic regressions (n=68, 66%) were the main measures used to assess the association of the food environment with obesity. Multilevel or autocorrelation analyses were used in 35 (34%) studies. Fast-food outlet proximity was positively and significantly associated with obesity (OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.30, p=0.02). Fresh fruit and vegetable outlet density and supermarket proximity were inversely associated with obesity (OR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90 to 0.96, p<0.001; OR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.82 to 0.98, p=0.02). No significant associations were found for restaurants, convenience stores or any of the body mass index measures. Conclusions: Food outlets which sell mostly unhealthy and ultra-processed foods were associated with higher levels of obesity, while fruit and vegetable availability and supermarket accessibility, which enable healthier food access, were related to lower levels of obesity. The regulation of food outlets through zoning laws may not be enough to tackle the burden of obesity. Regulations that focus on increasing the availability of healthy food within stores and ensure overall healthy food environments require further attention. PROSPERO registration number: CRD42018111652.

2.
Bull World Health Organ ; 102(8): 588-599, 2024 Aug 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39070597

RESUMEN

The aim of this paper is to contribute technical arguments to the debate about the importance of health examination surveys and their continued use during the post-pandemic health financing crisis, and in the context of a technological innovation boom that offers new ways of collecting and analysing individual health data (e.g. artificial intelligence). Technical considerations demonstrate that health examination surveys make an irreplaceable contribution to the local availability of primary health data that can be used in a range of further studies (e.g. normative, burden-of-disease, care cascade, cost and policy impact studies) essential for informing several phases of the health planning cycle (e.g. surveillance, prioritization, resource mobilization and policy development). Examples of the use of health examination survey data in the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region (i.e. Finland, Italy, Malta and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland) and the WHO Region of the Americas (i.e. Chile, Mexico, Peru and the United States of America) are presented, and reasons why health provider-led data cannot replace health examination survey data are discussed (e.g. underestimation of morbidity and susceptibility to bias). In addition, the importance of having nationally representative random samples of the general population is highlighted and we argue that health examination surveys make a critical contribution to external quality control for a country's health system by increasing the transparency and accountability of health spending. Finally, we consider future technological advances that can improve survey fieldwork and suggest ways of ensuring health examination surveys are sustainable in low-resource settings.


Cet article a pour objet d'apporter des arguments techniques au débat sur l'importance des enquêtes de santé par examen et sur leur utilisation continue pendant la crise post-pandémique du financement de la santé et dans le contexte d'un essor de l'innovation technologique qui offre de nouvelles façons de collecter et d'analyser les données individuelles sur la santé (comme l'intelligence artificielle). Les considérations techniques démontrent que les enquêtes de santé par examen apportent une contribution irremplaçable à la disponibilité locale de données de santé primaires qui peuvent servir dans une série d'études complémentaires (telles que des études normatives, sur la charge de morbidité, la cascade des soins, les coûts et l'impact des politiques). Ces études sont essentielles pour renseigner plusieurs phases du cycle de planification sanitaire (par exemple: surveillance, priorisation, mobilisation de ressources et élaboration de politiques). Cet article présente des exemples d'utilisation des données d'enquêtes de santé par examen dans la Région OMS de l'Europe (Finlande, Italie, Malte et Royaume-Uni de Grande-Bretagne et d'Irlande du Nord) et dans la Région OMS des Amériques (Chili, États-Unis d'Amérique, Mexique et Pérou) et aborde les raisons pour lesquelles les données fournies par les prestataires de soins de santé ne peuvent pas remplacer les données d'enquêtes de santé par examen (par exemple la sous-estimation de la morbidité et la vulnérabilité aux biais). En outre, il soulignet l'importance de disposer d'échantillons aléatoires représentatifs de la population générale au niveau national, et nous soutenons que les enquêtes de santé par examen apportent une contribution essentielle au contrôle externe de la qualité du système de santé d'un pays en renforçant la transparence des dépenses de santé et l'obligation de rendre des comptes à leur sujet. Enfin, nous envisageons les futures avancées technologiques susceptibles d'améliorer le travail d'enquête sur le terrain et suggérons des moyens d'assurer la viabilité des enquêtes de santé par examen dans les environnements à faibles ressources.


El objetivo de este artículo es aportar argumentos técnicos al debate sobre la importancia de las encuestas de salud y su uso continuado durante la crisis de financiación sanitaria pospandémica y en el contexto de un auge de la innovación tecnológica que ofrece nuevas formas de recopilar y analizar datos sanitarios individuales (por ejemplo, la inteligencia artificial). Las consideraciones técnicas demuestran que las encuestas de salud contribuyen de manera insustituible a la disponibilidad local de datos sanitarios primarios que pueden utilizarse en toda una serie de estudios posteriores (por ejemplo, estudios normativos, de carga de morbilidad, de cascada asistencial, de costes y de impacto de las políticas) esenciales para fundamentar varias fases del ciclo de planificación sanitaria (por ejemplo, vigilancia, establecimiento de prioridades, movilización de recursos y elaboración de políticas). Se presentan ejemplos del uso de los datos de las encuestas de salud en la Región Europea de la Organización Mundial de la Salud (Finlandia, Italia, Malta y el Reino Unido de Gran Bretaña e Irlanda del Norte) y en la Región de las Américas de la OMS (Chile, Estados Unidos de América, México y Perú) y se analizan las razones por las que los datos obtenidos por los proveedores sanitarios no pueden sustituir a los de las encuestas de salud (por ejemplo, la subestimación de la morbilidad y la posibilidad de sesgo). Además, se destaca la importancia de contar con muestras aleatorias representativas de la población general a escala nacional y se argumenta que las encuestas de salud contribuyen de forma decisiva al control de calidad externo del sistema sanitario de un país, al aumentar la transparencia y la rendición de cuentas del gasto sanitario. Por último, se examinan los futuros avances tecnológicos que pueden mejorar el trabajo de campo de las encuestas y se sugieren métodos para garantizar que las encuestas de salud sean sostenibles en entornos con pocos recursos.


Asunto(s)
Organización Mundial de la Salud , Humanos , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , COVID-19/epidemiología , Salud Global
3.
Prev Med ; 186: 108064, 2024 Jul 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38977204

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Most evidence on transport use and mortality has focused on the commute to work. This study aims to fill a gap by assessing relationships between public transport use and mortality among older adults. METHODS: Data come from a cohort of 10,186 individuals aged 50 or older who participated in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), with survey data linked to mortality records over 16 years (2002-2018). We assessed a binary measure of public transport use and frequency of use from 'every day or nearly every day' to 'never'. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between public transport use and mortality. Analyses were adjusted for a range of covariates including socio-demographic factors, chronic disease, and self-reported problems with daily living activities. RESULTS: Overall, 3371 participants (33.1%) died within the study period. Mortality was lower among public transport users (21.3%) compared with non-users (64.2%). Adjusted analyses found that users had 34% lower mortality than non-users (HR 0.66 (95% CI 0.61;0.71)). Adjusted analyses showed similar association sizes across frequencies of public transport use, with those using public transport every day or nearly every day having 41% lower mortality than never users (HR 0.59 (0.49;0.71)). Associations were similar among those with and without a longstanding illness. CONCLUSION: The use of public transport among older adults is linked to lower levels of mortality. Reductions in provision of public transport services could be detrimental to both transportation and population health.

4.
Eur J Public Health ; 33(6): 959-967, 2023 12 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37634091

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Social-economic factors and health behaviours may be driving variation in ethnic health inequalities in multimorbidity including among distinct ethnic groups. METHODS: Using the cross-sectional nationally representative Health Surveys for England 2011-18 (N = 54 438, aged 16+), we performed multivariable logistic regression on the odds of having general multimorbidity (≥2 longstanding conditions) by ethnicity [British White (reference group), White Irish, Other White, Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Chinese, African, Caribbean, White mixed, Other Mixed], adjusting for age, sex, education, area deprivation, obesity, smoking status and survey year. This was repeated for cardiovascular multimorbidity (N = 37 148, aged 40+: having ≥2 of the following: self-reported diabetes, hypertension, heart attack or stroke) and multiple cardiometabolic risk biomarkers (HbA1c ≥6.5%, raised blood pressure, total cholesterol ≥5mmol/L). RESULTS: Twenty percent of adults had general multimorbidity. In fully adjusted models, compared with the White British majority, Other White [odds ratio (OR) = 0.63; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.53-0.74], Chinese (OR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.36-0.93) and African adults (OR = 0.54, 95% CI 0.42-0.69), had lower odds of general multimorbidity. Among adults aged 40+, Pakistani (OR = 1.27, 95% CI 0.97-1.66; P = 0.080) and Bangladeshi (OR = 1.75, 95% CI 1.16-2.65) had increased odds, and African adults had decreased odds (OR = 0.63, 95% CI 0.47-0.83) of general multimorbidity. Risk of cardiovascular multimorbidity was higher among Indian (OR = 3.31, 95% CI 2.56-4.28), Pakistani (OR = 3.48, 95% CI 2.52-4.80), Bangladeshi (OR = 3.67, 95% CI 1.98-6.78), African (OR = 1.61, 95% CI 1.05-2.47), Caribbean (OR = 2.18, 95% CI 1.59-2.99) and White mixed (OR = 1.98, 95% CI 1.14-3.44) adults. Indian adults were also at risk of having multiple cardiometabolic risk biomarkers. CONCLUSION: Ethnic inequalities in multimorbidity are independent of social-economic factors. Ethnic minority groups are particularly at risk of cardiovascular multimorbidity, which may be exacerbated by poorer management of cardiometabolic risk requiring further investigation.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Etnicidad , Adulto , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Multimorbilidad , Grupos Minoritarios , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Factores Económicos , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Biomarcadores
5.
medRxiv ; 2023 Jul 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37503238

RESUMEN

National health examination surveys (HESs) have been developed to provide important information that cannot be obtained from other sources. A HES combines information obtained by asking participants questions with biophysical measurements taken by trained field staff. They are observational studies with the highest external validity and make specific contributions to both population (public health) and individual health. Few countries have a track record of a regular wide-ranging HES, but these are the basis of many reports and scientific papers. Despite this, little evidence about HES usefulness and impact or the factors that influence HES effectiveness have been disseminated. This paper presents examples of HES contributions to society in both Europe and the Americas. We sought information by emailing a wide list of people involved in running or using national HESs across Europe and the Americas. We asked for examples of where examination data from their HES had been used in national or regional policymaking. We found multiple examples of HES data being used for agenda-setting, including by highlighting nutritional needs and identifying underdiagnosis and poor management of certain conditions. We also found many ways in which HES have been used to monitor the impact of policies and define population norms. HES data have also been used in policy formation and implementation. HES data are influential and powerful. There is need for global support, financing and networking to transfer capacities and innovation in both fieldwork and laboratory technology.

6.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1442, 2023 07 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37501159

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that those in lower socioeconomic positions (SEPs) generally have higher levels of behavioural non-communicable disease (NCD) risk factors. However, there are limited studies examining recent trends in inequalities. This study examined trends in socioeconomic inequalities in NCD behavioural risk factors and their co-occurrence in England from 2003-19. METHODS: This time-trend analysis of repeated cross-sectional data from the Health Survey for England examined the relative index of inequalities (RII) and slope index of inequalities (SII) in four NCD behavioural risk factors: smoking; drinking above recommended limits; insufficient fruit and vegetables consumption; and physical inactivity. FINDINGS: Prevalence of risk factors has reduced over time, however, this has not been consistent across SEPs. Absolute and relative inequalities increased for physical inactivity; relative inequalities also increased for smoking; for insufficient fruit and vegetable consumption, the trends in inequalities depended on SEPs measure. Those in lower SEPs experienced persistent socioeconomic inequalities and clustering of behavioural risk factors. In contrast, those in higher SEPs had higher prevalence of excessive alcohol consumption; this inequality widened over the study period. INTERPRETATION: Inequalities in smoking and physical inactivity are persisting or widening. The pattern of higher drinking in higher SEPs obscure the fact that the greatest burden of alcohol-related harm falls on lower SEPs. Policy attention is required to tackle increasing inequalities in smoking prevalence, low fruit and vegetable consumption and physical inactivity, and to reduce alcohol harm.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades no Transmisibles , Humanos , Factores Socioeconómicos , Enfermedades no Transmisibles/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Factores de Riesgo , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Verduras , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud
7.
BMJ Open ; 13(1): e061809, 2023 01 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36639207

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Adults typically overestimate height and underestimate weight compared with directly measured values, and such misreporting varies by sociodemographic and health-related factors. Using self-reported and interviewer-measured height and weight, collected from the same participants, we aimed to develop a set of prediction equations to correct bias in self-reported height and weight and assess whether this adjustment improved the accuracy of obesity prevalence estimates relative to those based only on self-report. DESIGN: Population-based cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: 38 940 participants aged 16+ (Health Survey for England 2011-2016) with non-missing self-reported and interviewer-measured height and weight. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Comparisons between self-reported, interviewer-measured (gold standard) and corrected (based on prediction equations) body mass index (BMI: kg/m2) including (1) difference between means and obesity prevalence and (2) measures of agreement for BMI classification. RESULTS: On average, men overestimated height more than women (1.6 cm and 1.0 cm, respectively; p<0.001), while women underestimated weight more than men (2.1 kg and 1.5 kg, respectively; p<0.001). Underestimation of BMI was slightly larger for women than for men (1.1 kg/m2 and 1.0 kg/m2, respectively; p<0.001). Obesity prevalence based on BMI from self-report was 6.8 and 6.0 percentage points (pp) lower than that estimated using measured BMI for men and women, respectively. Corrected BMI (based on models containing all significant predictors of misreporting of height and weight) lowered underestimation of obesity to 0.8pp in both sexes and improved the sensitivity of obesity over self-reported BMI by 15.0pp for men and 12.2pp for women. Results based on simpler models using age alone as a predictor of misreporting were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with self-reported data, applying prediction equations improved the accuracy of obesity prevalence estimates and increased sensitivity of being classified as obese. Including additional sociodemographic variables did not improve obesity classification enough to justify the added complexity of including them in prediction equations.


Asunto(s)
Estatura , Obesidad , Adulto , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Peso Corporal , Estudios Transversales , Autoinforme , Prevalencia , Obesidad/epidemiología , Índice de Masa Corporal , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados
8.
medRxiv ; 2023 Dec 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38168286

RESUMEN

Objective: To quantify changes over time in waist circumference (WC) relative to body mass index (BMI) by sex in the Americas (United States of America, Mexico, Chile, Peru) and England. Methods: Data from adults aged 25-64 years between 1997 and 2020 was analysed; US data was stratified by racial-ethnic groups. Sex-specific BMI and WC means, and obesity and abdominal obesity prevalence, were compared between the first and last surveys. Using data from all survey years, secular changes across the BMI and WC distributions were estimated applying quantile regression models. BMI was added as a predictor of WC to estimate secular changes in WC relative to BMI. Interaction terms were included in all models to evaluate differences by sex. Results: BMI and WC (except Peru) showed larger secular increases at the upper-tails of the distributions in both sexes. Increases at the 50th and 75th WC centiles relative to BMI were more pronounced in women than in men, with larger increases in US non-Hispanic whites and in England. In men, increases in WC independently of BMI were most evident in Mexico. Conclusions: Disease risk associated with visceral fat, is potentially underestimated by national surveillance efforts that quantify secular changes only in BMI.

9.
BMC Infect Dis ; 22(1): 513, 2022 Jun 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35650527

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Herpes zoster (commonly called shingles) is caused by the reactivation of varicella zoster virus, and results in substantial morbidity. While the risk of zoster increases significantly with age and immunosuppression, relatively little is known about other risk factors for zoster. Moreover, much evidence to date stems from electronic healthcare or administrative data. Hence, the aim of this study was to explore potential risk factors for herpes zoster using survey data from a nationally-representative sample of the general community-dwelling population in England. METHODS: Data were extracted from the 2015 Health Survey for England, an annual cross-sectional representative survey of households in England. The lifetime prevalence of self-reported herpes zoster was described by age, gender and other socio-demographic factors, health behaviours (physical activity levels, body mass index, smoking status and alcohol consumption) and clinical conditions, including; diabetes, respiratory, digestive and genito-urinary system and mental health disorders. Logistic regression models were then used to identify possible factors associated with shingles, and results were presented as odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: The lifetime prevalence of shingles among the sample was 11.5% (12.6% among women, 10.3% among men), which increased with age. After adjusting for a range of covariates, increased age, female gender (odds ratio: 1.21; 95%CI: 1.03, 1.43), White ethnic backgrounds (odds ratio: 2.00; 95%CI: 1.40, 2.88), moderate physical activity 7 days per week (odds ratio: 1.29; 95%CI: 1.01, 1.66) and digestive disorders (odds ratio: 1.51; 95%CI: 1.13, 1.51) were each associated with increased odds of having had herpes zoster. CONCLUSIONS: Age, gender, ethnicity and digestive disorders may be risk factors for herpes zoster among a nationally representative sample of adults in England. These potential risk factors and possible mechanisms should be further explored using longitudinal studies.


Asunto(s)
Herpes Zóster , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Herpes Zóster/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalencia
10.
Disabil Rehabil ; 44(25): 7985-7992, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34919448

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Road traffic injuries (RTIs) are a major public health issue worldwide. The importance of physical rehabilitation following RTI is well documented. However, globally there has been very little research on the accessibility of rehabilitation services following road injury. Namibia is one of the five African countries with a fuel tax levy fund (Motor Vehicle Accident Fund, MVAF), a system of case managers, medical care, and case management system for coordination of long-term care. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We investigated the availability of physical rehabilitation services to RTI injured in Namibia, through interviews with RTI patients and health care workers. RESULTS: Unlike the few other studies done in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), most RTI injured individuals in Namibia report they are able to access some rehabilitation following injury. In large measure, this is due to the effective MVAF system which they felt ensures follow up care for many after having an RTI. However, we found that access to rehabilitation is skewed in favour of those living in Windhoek and other urban areas compared with those in non-urban areas. CONCLUSIONS: The MVAF model seems to enhance access to rehabilitation and is a model which could be replicated in other SSA countries and other low and middle income countries.Implications for rehabilitationRoad traffic injuries (RTIs) are a major global public health challenge with over 1.2 million people killed and a high burden of disability and Namibia is one of the worst affected countries globally.There is lack of knowledge on the availability to physical rehabilitation following road injury in Namibia.Our study shows the Motor Vehicle Accident Fund (MVAF) model seems to enhance access to rehabilitation and is a model which could be replicated in Sub-Saharan Africa and other low and middle income countries.


Asunto(s)
Personas con Discapacidad , Heridas y Lesiones , Humanos , Namibia , Accidentes de Tránsito , Salud Pública , Manejo de Caso
12.
Disabil Rehabil ; 44(18): 5184-5190, 2022 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34088259

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Road traffic injuries (RTIs) are a major problem worldwide. Namibia is one of the worst affected countries globally; however, there has been very little research on RTIs. When RTIs are discussed, the focus usually is on statistics, and healthcare workers (HCWs) are rarely asked to share their experiences and insights on the impact of RTIs on the healthcare system in which they work. METHODS: In this study, we investigated the experiences and opinions of HCWs concerning RTIs in Namibia. In our survey, we asked them to reflect on RTIs as a public health issue, and on how they view national road safety efforts. RESULTS: HCWs were knowledgeable about RTIs and the related burden of injury, and problems with road safety in Namibia, including the lack of a coordinated multi-sectoral approach. Despite this and being often very involved with care, HCWs are rarely or never consulted by the Namibian government or ministries that deal with road safety and related matters. CONCLUSIONS: It is suggested these findings will contribute to discussions about how HCWs can contribute to addressing and improving the care provided to people injured in RTIs in Namibia and other low and middle income countries with similar contexts.Implications for rehabilitationRoad traffic injuries (RTIs) are a major global public health challenge with over 1.2 million deaths and a high burden of disability.Namibia is one of the worst affected countries globally.Despite being involved in a national programme specifically targeting victims of RTIs, healthcare workers (HCWs) in Namibia are rarely included in road safety programming and policy making.Our study shows HCWs were knowledgeable about RTIs and the related problems and their inclusion in policy making has potential benefits.


Asunto(s)
Personas con Discapacidad , Heridas y Lesiones , Accidentes de Tránsito , Personal de Salud , Humanos , Renta , Namibia/epidemiología , Heridas y Lesiones/epidemiología
13.
PLoS One ; 16(9): e0256680, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34495980

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is a leading public health problem, with substantial burden and economic implications for healthcare systems, mainly due to renal replacement treatment (RRT) for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The aim of this study is to develop a multistate predictive model to estimate the future burden of CKD in Chile, given the high and rising RRT rates, population ageing, and prevalence of comorbidities contributing to CKD. METHODS: A dynamic stock and flow model was developed to simulate CKD progression in the Chilean population aged 40 years and older, up to the year 2041, adopting the perspective of the Chilean public healthcare system. The model included six states replicating progression of CKD, which was assumed in 1-year cycles and was categorised as slow, medium or fast progression, based on the underlying conditions. We simulated two different treatment scenarios. Only direct costs of treatment were included, and a 3% per year discount rate was applied after the first year. We calibrated the model based on international evidence; the exploration of uncertainty (95% credibility intervals) was undertaken with probabilistic sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: By the year 2041, there is an expected increase in cases of CKD stages 3a to ESKD, ceteris paribus, from 442,265 (95% UI 441,808-442,722) in 2021 to 735,513 (734,455-736,570) individuals. Direct costs of CKD stages 3a to ESKD would rise from 322.4M GBP (321.7-323.1) in 2021 to 1,038.6M GBP (1,035.5-1,041.8) in 2041. A reduction in the progression rates of the disease by the inclusion of SGLT2 inhibitors and pre-dialysis treatment would decrease the number of individuals worsening to stages 5 and ESKD, thus reducing the total costs of CKD by 214.6M GBP in 2041 to 824.0M GBP (822.7-825.3). CONCLUSIONS: This model can be a useful tool for healthcare planning, with development of preventive or treatment plans to reduce and delay the progression of the disease and thus the anticipated increase in the healthcare costs of CKD.


Asunto(s)
Costo de Enfermedad , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Fallo Renal Crónico/economía , Fallo Renal Crónico/epidemiología , Modelos Estadísticos , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Chile/epidemiología , Comorbilidad , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Predicción/métodos , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Fallo Renal Crónico/patología , Fallo Renal Crónico/terapia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Terapia de Reemplazo Renal/economía
14.
Obesity (Silver Spring) ; 29(8): 1347-1362, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34155827

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate trends in cardiovascular disease risk factors by BMI category among adults in England (n = 115,860). METHODS: Risk factors included cigarette smoking, hypertension, total diabetes, and raised total cholesterol. Risk factor prevalence was computed in the following four 4-year time periods: 2003-2006; 2007-2010; 2011-2014; and 2015-2018. Change was computed as the difference between the first and last time periods, expressed in percentage points (PP). RESULTS: Hypertension remained at a stable level among men with normal weight but decreased among men with obesity (-4.1 PP; 95% CI: -7.1 to -1.0). Total diabetes remained at a stable level among adults with normal weight but increased among adults with obesity (men: 3.5 PP, 95% CI: 1.2 to 5.7; women: 3.6 PP, 95% CI: 1.8 to 5.4). Raised total cholesterol decreased in all BMI groups but fell more sharply among women with obesity (-21 PP; 95% CI: -25 to -17) versus their counterparts with normal weight (-16 PP; 95% CI: -18 to -14). CONCLUSIONS: Greater reductions in hypertension and raised total cholesterol among adults with overweight and obesity partially reflect improvements in screening, treatment, and control among those at highest cardiovascular risk. Higher levels of risk factor prevalence among adults with overweight and obesity, in parallel with rising diabetes, highlight the importance of national prevention efforts to combat the public health impact of excess adiposity.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Obesidad/epidemiología , Sobrepeso , Factores de Riesgo
15.
BMJ Open ; 11(2): e040540, 2021 02 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33589448

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Quantify income-based inequalities in self-reported moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) in England and the USA by sex. DESIGN: Population-based cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: 4019 adolescents aged 11-15 years in England (Health Survey for England 2008, 2012, 2015) and 4312 aged 12-17 years in the US (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007-2016). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Three aspects of MVPA: (1) doing any, (2) average min/day (MVPA: including those who did none) and (3) average min/day conditional on participation (MVPA active). Using hurdle models, inequalities were quantified using the absolute difference in marginal means (average marginal effects). RESULTS: In England, adolescents in high-income households were more likely than those in low-income households to have done any formal sports/exercise in the last 7 days (boys: 11%; 95% CI 4% to 17%; girls: 13%; 95% CI 6% to 20%); girls in high-income households did more than their low-income counterparts (MVPA: 6 min/day, 95% CI 2 to 9). Girls in low-income households spent more time in informal activities than girls in high-income households (MVPA: 21 min/day; 95% CI 10 to 33), while boys in low-income versus high-income households spent longer in active travel (MVPA: 21 min/week; 95% CI 8 to 34). In the USA, in a typical week, recreational activity was greater among high-income versus low-income households (boys: 15 min/day; 95% CI 6 to 24; girls: 19 min/day; 95% CI 12 to 27). In contrast, adolescents in low-income versus high-income households were more likely to travel actively (boys: 11%; 95% CI 3% to 19%; girls: 10%; 95% CI 3% to 17%) and do more. CONCLUSIONS: Policy actions and interventions are required to increase MVPA across all income groups in England and the USA. Differences in formal sports/exercise (England) and recreational (USA) activities suggest that additional efforts are required to reduce inequalities.


Asunto(s)
Ejercicio Físico , Adolescente , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Inglaterra , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Encuestas Nutricionales , Autoinforme
16.
BMJ Open ; 11(2): e038500, 2021 02 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33622938

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Excess winter deaths are a major public health concern in England and Wales, with an average of 20 000 deaths per year since 2010. Feeling cold at home during winter is associated with reporting poor general health; cold and damp homes have greater prevalence in lower socioeconomic groups. Overheating in the summer also has adverse health consequences. This study evaluates the association between indoor temperature and general health and the extent to which this is affected by socioeconomic and household factors. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: England. PARTICIPANTS: Secondary data of 74 736 individuals living in England that took part in the Health Survey for England (HSE) between 2003 and 2014. The HSE is an annual household survey which uses multilevel stratification to select a new, nationally representative sample each year. The study sample comprised adults who had a nurse visit; the analytical sample was adults who had observations for indoor temperature and self-rated health. RESULTS: Using both logistic and linear regression models to examine indoor temperature and health status, adjusting for socioeconomic and housing factors, the study found an association between poor health and higher indoor temperatures. Each one degree increase in indoor temperature was associated with a 1.4% (95% CI 0.5% to 2.3%) increase in the odds of poor health. After adjusting for income, education, employment type, household size and home ownership, the OR of poor health for each degree temperature rise increased by 19%, to a 1.7% (95% CI 0.7% to 2.6%) increase in odds of poor health with each degree temperature rise. CONCLUSION: People with worse self-reported health had higher indoor temperatures after adjusting for household factors. People with worse health may have chosen to maintain warmer environments or been advised to. However, other latent factors, such as housing type and energy performance could have an effect.


Asunto(s)
Vivienda , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Humanos , Factores Socioeconómicos , Temperatura , Gales/epidemiología
17.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 28(2): 167-178, 2021 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33567973

RESUMEN

Namibia is one of five countries in sub-Saharan Africa that has a fuel tax levy designed to support road injury victims. This study examines how the scheme operates from the perspective of seriously injured or permanently disabled beneficiaries. Using qualitative methods, we conducted semi-structured interviews with RTI survivors in Namibia, and healthcare workers involved in caring for them, in order to investigate the role played by the MVAF. While some wealthier drivers continue to buy private insurance, most Namibians now rely on the MVAF. The analysis show the MVAF is effectively helping to enhance access to rehabilitation and other health services for RTI survivors. There however exist some weaknesses in the system which can be addressed. It is hoped these findings will contribute to discussions about whether the current system is fit for purpose and could serve as a replicable model in other low and middle-income countries (LMICs).


Asunto(s)
Administración Financiera , Heridas y Lesiones , Accidentes de Tránsito , Servicios de Salud , Humanos , Vehículos a Motor , Namibia/epidemiología , Salud Pública , Heridas y Lesiones/epidemiología
18.
Int J Obes (Lond) ; 45(6): 1215-1228, 2021 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33597735

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Mexico has one of the highest rates of obesity and overweight worldwide, affecting 75% of the population. The country has experienced a dietary and food retail transition involving increased availability of high-calorie-dense foods and beverages. This study aimed to assess the relationship between the retail food environment and body mass index (BMI) in Mexico. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Geographical and food outlet data were obtained from official statistics; anthropometric measurements and socioeconomic characteristics of adult participants (N = 22,219) came from the nationally representative 2012 National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT). Densities (store count/census tract area (CTA)) of convenience stores, restaurants, fast-food restaurants, supermarkets and fruit and vegetable stores were calculated. The association of retail food environment variables, sociodemographic data and BMI was tested using multilevel linear regression models. RESULTS: Convenience store density was high (mean (SD) = 50.0 (36.9)/CTA) compared with other food outlets in Mexico. A unit increase in density of convenience stores was associated with a 0.003 kg/m2 (95% CI: 0.0006, 0.005, p = 0.011) increase in BMI, equivalent to 0.34 kg extra weight for an adult 1.60 m tall for every additional 10% store density increase (number of convenience stores per CTA (km2)). Metropolitan areas showed the highest density of food outlet concentration and the highest associations with BMI (ß = 0.01, 95% CI: 0.004-0.01, p < 0.001). A 10% store density increase in these areas would represent a 1 kg increase in weight for an adult 1.60 m tall. CONCLUSIONS: Convenience store density was associated with higher mean BMI in Mexican adults. An excessive convenience store availability, that offers unhealthy food options, coupled with low access to healthy food resources or stores retailing healthy food, including fruits and vegetables, may increase the risk of higher BMI. This is the first study to assess the association of the retail food environment and BMI at a national level in Mexico.


Asunto(s)
Índice de Masa Corporal , Abastecimiento de Alimentos/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , México/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Encuestas Nutricionales , Restaurantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Supermercados
19.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 105, 2021 Jan 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33482752

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Better information on the typical course and management of acute common infections in the community could inform antibiotic stewardship campaigns. We aimed to investigate the incidence, management, and natural history of a range of infection syndromes (respiratory, gastrointestinal, mouth/dental, skin/soft tissue, urinary tract, and eye). METHODS: Bug Watch was an online prospective community cohort study of the general population in England (2018-2019) with weekly symptom reporting for 6 months. We combined symptom reports into infection syndromes, calculated incidence rates, described the proportion leading to healthcare-seeking behaviours and antibiotic use, and estimated duration and severity. RESULTS: The cohort comprised 873 individuals with 23,111 person-weeks follow-up. The mean age was 54 years and 528 (60%) were female. We identified 1422 infection syndromes, comprising 40,590 symptom reports. The incidence of respiratory tract infection syndromes was two per person year; for all other categories it was less than one. 194/1422 (14%) syndromes led to GP (or dentist) consultation and 136/1422 (10%) to antibiotic use. Symptoms usually resolved within a week and the third day was the most severe. CONCLUSIONS: Most people reported managing their symptoms without medical consultation. Interventions encouraging safe self-management across a range of acute infection syndromes could decrease pressure on primary healthcare services and support targets for reducing antibiotic prescribing.


Asunto(s)
Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Infecciones/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones/patología , Derivación y Consulta/estadística & datos numéricos , Programas de Optimización del Uso de los Antimicrobianos , Estudios de Cohortes , Atención a la Salud , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Infecciones/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Síndrome
20.
J Public Health (Oxf) ; 43(3): 664-672, 2021 09 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32424415

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study explored barriers and facilitators to integrating health evidence into spatial planning at local authority levels and examined the awareness and use of the Public Health England 'Spatial Planning for Health' resource. METHODS: A sequential exploratory mixed-methods design utilized in-depth semi-structured interviews followed by an online survey of public health, planning and other built environment professionals in England. RESULTS: Views from 19 individuals and 162 survey responses revealed high awareness and use of the Spatial Planning for Health resource, although public health professionals reported greater awareness and use than other professionals. Key barriers to evidence implementation included differences in interpretation and the use of 'evidence' between public health and planning professionals, lack of practical evidence to apply locally and lack of resource and staff capacity in local authorities. Key facilitators included integrating health into the design of local plans, articulating wider benefits to multiple stakeholders and simplifying presenting evidence (regarding language and accessibility). CONCLUSION: The Spatial Planning for Health resource is a useful resource at local authority level. Further work is needed to maximize its use by built environment professionals. Public health teams need support, capacity and skills to ensure that local health and well-being priorities are integrated into local planning documents and decisions.


Asunto(s)
Personal de Salud , Salud Pública , Inglaterra , Humanos , Investigación Cualitativa
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