Lupus and other autoimmune diseases: Epidemiology in the population of African ancestry and diagnostic and management challenges in Africa.

Autoimmune diseases are prevalent among people of African ancestry living outside Africa. However, the burden of autoimmune diseases in Africa is not well understood. This article provides a global overview of the current burden of autoimmune diseases in individuals of African descent. It also discusses the major factors contributing to autoimmune diseases in this population group, as well as the challenges involved in diagnosing and managing autoimmune diseases in Africa.

Minimum National Prevalence of Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation Inferred From California Acute Care Facilities.

BACKGROUND: Prevalence estimates of atrial fibrillation (AF) from large populations have not been updated for >2 decades. Using data from 1996 to 1997, a previous study projected that there would be 3.3 million adults with AF in the United States in 2020. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the contemporary age-, sex-, and race-standardized prevalence and the number of adults with diagnosed AF in the United States. METHODS: We merged California's state-wide health care databases to assemble a cohort of adults aged ≥20 years who received hospital-based care in California from 2005 to 2019. International Classification of Diseases codes were used to identify AF and other comorbidities. After accounting for deaths, we utilized the U.S. Census to calculate the national age-, sex-, and race-standardized estimates of diagnosed AF. RESULTS: Of 29,250,310 patients (mean age 50.6 ± 19.8 years, 53.8% women, 50.1% White), 2,003,867 (6.8%) had an AF diagnosis. The proportion of patients with diagnosed AF increased from 4.49% in 2005 to 2009 to 6.82% in 2015 to 2019. Over time, AF patients became relatively younger, were less likely to be female or White, and were more likely to have hypertension and diabetes. Standardizing based on age-, sex-, race-, and ethnicity-based proportions to the U.S. population, we estimate that the current national prevalence of diagnosed AF is at least 10.55 million (95% CI: 10.48-10.62 million), comprising 4.48% (95% CI: 4.47%-4.49%) of the adult population. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of diagnosed AF in the United States is higher than previously estimated. More efficient prevention and treatment strategies are needed to curb the burden of AF in the United States.

Global prevalence of depression in chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is commonly associated with psychosocial problems, especially depression, contributing to poor overall outcomes. Depression has not been given adequate priority in the management of CKD patients despite its significant adverse impact on all major outcomes. This systematic review and meta-analysis determined the pooled prevalence of clinical depression in the global CKD population and sub-populations. METHODS: PubMed, African Journals Online (AJOL), and EMBASE were systematically searched to identify published articles with relevant data. The pooled prevalence of clinical depression in the global CKD population was determined using random effects meta-analytic techniques. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42022382708). RESULTS: Sixty-five articles were included in this review, comprising 80,932 individuals with CKD from 27 countries. The participants' mean age ranged from 11.0 to 76.3 years. Most (70.4%) of the studies had medium methodological quality. The overall pooled prevalence of depression was 26.5% (95% CI 23.1-30.1%). Studies using the Diagnostic Statistical Manual for Mental Diseases (DSM) and International Classification of Disease (ICD) returned a pooled prevalence of 25.5% and 39.6%, respectively, p = 0.03. There was a significant difference in the pooled prevalence across regions; p = 0.002.The prevalence of depression was higher among individuals on chronic hemodialysis compared to pre-dialysis patients (29.9% versus 18.5%; p = 0.01) and among those on hemodialysis compared to peritoneal dialysis (30.6% versus 20.4%; p = 0.04). There was no significant difference between adults and children (26.8% versus 15.9%, p = 0.21). There was an increasing temporal trend in depression prevalence, though this did not achieve statistical significance (p = 0.16). CONCLUSION: Depression is common in patients with CKD. The findings of this study highlight the need for clinicians to make efforts to evaluate individuals with CKD for depression, especially those with advanced stages of the disease.

Prevalence and associated factors of hypertension among people living with HIV/AIDS on antiretroviral therapy in Benin's National Teaching Hospital.

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has extended the lifespan of people living with HIV/AIDS (PLHIV), exposing them to a higher risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Hypertension (HTN), the primary contributor to CVD burden, is increasingly concerning for PLHIV. This study aimed to assess the prevalence and associated factors of hypertension in PLHIV on ART at the National Teaching Hospital Hubert Koutoukou Maga (HKM) of Benin using a prospective cross-sectional study conducted between October and December 2021. Patients who had a systolic blood pressure ≥ 140 mmHg or/and diastolic blood pressure ≥ 90 mmHg or/and current use of antihypertensive medication from medical records were considered to have HTN. A total of 352 patients, including 260 women with a sex ratio of 0.3 were included. The mean age was 42.9 ± 11.9 years. Most patients were educated and did not use tobacco. 42.0% were current alcohol drinkers. The duration of ART treatment ranged from 0 to 22 years, with a median duration of 5.0 years. 14.2% were hypertensives with 3.1% newly diagnosed and 11.1% known with hypertension. Age above 40 years, living with a partner, alcohol consumption and body mass index greater than 25 were significantly associated with HTN. HTN in PLHIV is associated with numerous factors. Reducing the burden of the disease in target people in Benin requires a wide range of actions that need to be implemented.

Sex Differences in Outcomes of an Intensive Risk Factor Modification Program in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The outcomes of atrial fibrillation (AF) seem to be variable between males and females. We therefore aimed to determine sex differences in weight loss, cardiorespiratory fitness gain, and recurrence and progression of AF following risk factor management. METHODS: Of 1415 consecutive patients referred for electrophysiology management of AF, 825 had a body mass index of ≥27 kg/m2; after exclusions, 355 (males, 234; females, 121) were offered risk factor management and participation in a tailored exercise program. RESULTS: Females were older than males (65.5±10.4 versus 62.5±10.6 years; P=0.013) with a higher body mass index (34.1±5.4 versus 32.6±4.1 kg/m2; P=0.003) and more commonly paroxysmal AF (67.8% versus 48.3%; P<0.001). There was no sex difference in clinic attendance (58.7% versus 60%; P=0.82), weight loss (P=0.86), fitness gain (P=0.44), or improvement in AF symptoms (P=0.35). Weight loss (≥10% compared with <10%) was associated with lower total AF recurrence in males (hazard ratio, 0.41 [95% CI, 0.23-0.73]) and females (hazard ratio, 0.41 [95% CI, 0.20-0.83]). Fitness gain (≥2 metabolic equivalents compared with <2 metabolic equivalents) was associated with lower total AF recurrence in females (hazard ratio, 0.13 [95% CI, 0.05-0.30]) but not in males (hazard ratio, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.38-1.04]; P=0.002). There was a trend toward more reversal from persistent to paroxysmal AF in males compared with females (21.8% versus 14.0%; P=0.079). CONCLUSIONS: Males and females with AF demonstrate a similar degree of weight loss and fitness gain through structured risk factor management. However, fitness had a much greater benefit for total arrhythmia recurrence in females compared with males, whereas there was a trend toward more AF reversal in males. REGISTRATION: URL: https://anzctr.org.au; Unique identifier: ACTRN12614001123639.

The prevalence and risk of mortality associated with intradialytic hypertension among patients with end-stage kidney disease on haemodialysis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Intradialytic hypertension (IDHTN) is a common but less frequently recognised complication of haemodialysis. However, it is associated with increased overall mortality in patients on haemodialysis. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the prevalence of IDHTN and associated mortality risk in the global haemodialysis population. METHOD: A systematic search of PubMed and EMBASE was undertaken to identify articles with relevant data published between 1990 and 2023. The pooled prevalence of IDHTN in the global haemodialysis population was determined using the DerSimonian-Laird random-effects meta-analysis. The pooled hazards ratio for mortality in patients with IDHTN was also computed from the studies that reported mortality among haemodialysis patients with IDHTN. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023388278). RESULTS: Thirty-two articles from 17 countries were included, with a pooled population of 127,080 hemodialysis patients (median age 55.1 years, 38.2% females). Most studies had medium methodological quality (53.1%, n = 17). The overall pooled prevalence of IDHTN was 26.6% [(95% CI 20.2-33.4%), n = 27 studies, I2 = 99.3%, p<0.001 for heterogeneity], with significant differences depending on the definition used. The pooled proportion of haemodialysis sessions with IDHTN was 19.9% [(95% 12.5-28.6%, n = 8 studies, I2 = 99.3%, p<0.001 for heterogeneity)] with significant differences across the different definition criteria. The p-value for the Begg test was 0.85. The median pre-dialysis blood pressure was not significantly associated with IDHTN. The pooled hazard ratio for mortality was 1.37 (95% CI 1.09-1.65), n = 5 studies, I2 = 13.7%, and p-value for heterogeneity = 0.33. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of IDHTN is high and varies widely according to the definition used. A consensus definition of IDHTN is needed to promote uniformity in research and management. The increased mortality risk forecasted by IDHTN highlights the need for optimal blood pressure control in patients on hemodialysis.

Sex-Based Outcomes of Dual-Antiplatelet Therapy After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Pairwise and Network Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Although dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) improves the outcomes of patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), sex-specific differences in efficacy and safety of DAPT remain unresolved. We compared sex differences for DAPT outcomes and DAPT durations (1-3 months [short-term], 6 months [mid-term], and >12 months [extended] vs. 12 months). METHODS: We searched databases through 31 December 2023 for trials reporting DAPT after PCI. The endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), net adverse clinical and cerebrovascular events (NACCE), and any bleeding. Extracted data were pooled in a frequentist network and pairwise, random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Twenty-two trials (99,591 participants, 25.2% female) were included. Female sex was significantly associated with a higher 1-year MACCE risk (hazard ratio 1.14 [95% confidence interval 1.02-1.28]) and bleeding (1.13 [1.00-1.28]), but not NACCE (1.12 [0.96-1.31]). In sub-analyses, the association between female sex and MACCE was related to use of clopidogrel as the second antiplatelet agent (1.11 [1.03-1.20]), whereas higher bleeding events were related to newer P2Y12 inhibitors (P2Y12i) (1.58 [1.01-2.46]). For DAPT duration, short-term DAPT followed by P2Y12i monotherapy was non-inferior for MACCE in females and males (0.95 [95% CI 0.83-1.10; and 0.96 [0.80-1.16]) but tended to be superior in males for NACCE versus 12-month DAPT (0.96 [0.91-1.01]); mid-term DAPT tended to be associated with a lower bleeding risk in males (0.43 [0.17-1.09]). CONCLUSIONS: Female sex is associated with higher MACCE and bleeding when newer P2Y12i agents are used. Short-term DAPT followed by P2Y12i monotherapy is safe and effective in both sexes undergoing PCI. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: PROSPERO ID: CRD42021278663.

Contemporary trends in incident ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and mortality in individuals with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients is based on data that is decades old. Given evolving standards of clinical practice, we sought to evaluate temporal trends in clinically important outcomes among patients with AF. METHODS: California's Department of Health Care Access and Information databases were used to identify adults aged ≥ 18 years with AF receiving hospital-based care in California. We compared 3 time-periods: 2005-2009, 2010-2014, and 2015-2019. ICD codes were used to identify chronic diseases and acute events. The outcomes were incident ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and overall mortality. RESULTS: We included 2 009 832 patients with AF (52.7% males, 70.7% Whites, and mean age of 75.0 years), divided in 3 cohorts: 2005-2009 (n = 738 954), 2010-2014 (n = 609 447), and 2015-2019 (n = 661 431). Each outcome became substantially less common with time: compared to 2005-2009, AF patients diagnosed in 2015-2019 experienced a 34% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% CI 0.64-0.69), 22% (HR 0.78, 0.75-0.82), and 24% (HR 0.76, 0.75-0.77) reduction in risk of incident ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and mortality, respectively. Between 2005-2009 and 2015-2019, patients aged ≥ 65 years experienced more reductions in each outcome compared to younger patients (p < 0.001 for all), and declines in each outcome were significantly lower for Hispanics and Blacks compared to white patients. CONCLUSION: The risks of stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and death have significantly declined among AF patients, although differences in the magnitude of improvement of these outcomes by demographic groups were observed. Commonly described estimates of the prognosis for AF patients should be updated to reflect contemporary care.

Epidemiology of thromboembolic events in children and adolescents with antiphospholipid syndrome: A systematic review with meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: This was a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of thromboembolic events in children and adolescents with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science to select relevant articles published between 1 January 2000 and 27 February 2022. We used the random-effects meta-analysis to estimate pooled point prevalence rates of thromboembolic events in studies with a minimum sample size of 30. RESULTS: We included five studies reporting data of 336 children and adolescents with primary APS and secondary APS (SAPS). Pooled point prevalence rates of initial general thrombosis, arterial thrombosis, venous thrombosis and stroke in individuals with seropositive APS were 98.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 87.5-100), 27.6% (95% CI 21.4-34.2), 51.1% (95% CI 38.2-63.9) and 13.4% 95% CI (6.3-22.7), respectively. Pooled point prevalence rates of initial arterial and venous thromboses in children and adolescents with SAPS were 45.7% (95% CI 21.1-71.6) and 29.2% (95% CI 14.8-46), respectively. CONCLUSION: Arterio-venous thromboembolism is highly frequent in children and adolescents with SAPS. More studies using thrombotic and non-thrombotic APS classification criteria are warranted to better assess the frequency and predictors of thromboembolism in age- and ancestry-diverse pediatric populations affected by different types of APS.

Cardiac imaging correlates and predictors of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: New nonclinical parameters are needed to improve the current stroke risk stratification schemes for patients with atrial fibrillation. This study aimed to summarize data on potential cardiac imaging correlates and predictors of stroke or systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science were searched to identify all published studies providing relevant data through 16 November 2022. Random effects meta-analysis method was used to pool estimates. RESULTS: We included 64 studies reporting data from a pooled population of 56 639 patients. Left atrial spontaneous echo-contrast [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 3.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.98-5.49], nonchicken wing left atrial appendage (LAA) morphology (aOR 2.15, 95% CI 1.11-4.18), left atrial enlargement (aOR 2.12, 95% CI 1.45-3.08), and higher LAA orifice diameter (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.18-2.05) were highly associated with stroke. Other parameters associated with stroke included higher left atrial sphericity (aOR 1.14, 95% CI 1.01-1.29), higher left atrial volume (aOR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.04), higher left atrial volume index (aOR 1.014, 95% CI 1.004-1.023), lower left atrial reservoir strain [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.86, 95% CI 0.76-0.98], higher left ventricular mass index (aOR 1.010, 95% CI 1.005-1.015) and E / e' ratio (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07-1.16). There was no association between LAA volume (aOR 1.37, 95% CI 0.85-2.21) and stroke. CONCLUSION: These cardiac imaging parameters identified as potential predictors of thromboembolism may improve the accuracy of stroke risk stratification schemes in patients with atrial fibrillation. Further studies should evaluate the performance of holistic risk scores including clinical factors, biomarkers, and cardiac imaging.

Prevalence and distribution of primary glomerular diseases in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.

Glomerulonephritis (GN) is a predominant cause of kidney failure in Africa. The prevalence of primary GNs varies widely across Africa depending on the relative proportion of secondary GNs and genetic predispositions. We assessed the overall and sub-regional prevalence of primary GN and its histologic subtypes in Africa. We searched PubMed, EMBASE and African Journals Online for studies of biopsy-proven primary GNs across all age groups in Africa published between 2010 and 2022. Data for primary GNs [minimal change disease (MCD), focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), membranous nephropathy (MN), mesangioproliferative GN (MesPGN), membranoproliferative GN (MPGN), post-infectious GN (PIGN), IgA Nephropathy (IgAN), and crescentic GN (CresGN)] were extracted. Pooled prevalence was determined using the random effects model. Seventeen eligible articles (n = 6,494 individuals) from 8 African countries met the inclusion criteria. The overall pooled prevalence of FSGS, MCD, MN, MPGN, MesPGN, PIGN, IgAN and CresGN was 26.10%, 22.40%, 8.40%, 6.40%, 6.40%, 2.60%, 2.60%, 1.40%, respectively. Only 4 studies (23.5%) used light microscopy (LM), immunofluorescence (IF), and electron microscopy (EM) for diagnosis. There were significant differences in the distribution of histologic subtypes in the paediatric compared to the adult population and across geographic sub-regions, with West Africa having a higher prevalence of FSGS. Overall, the dominance of FSGS across most regions and age groups has implications for disease diagnosis and ongoing care. Research efforts to understand the impact of this trend on kidney disease outcomes and efforts to improve kidney biopsy practice as a means of early disease detection are needed in Africa.

The use of digital health in heart rhythm care.

INTRODUCTION: Digital health is a broad term that includes telecommunication technologies to collect, share and manipulate health information to improve patient health and health care services. With the growing use of wearables, artificial intelligence, machine learning, and other novel technologies, digital health is particularly relevant to the field of cardiac arrhythmias, with roles pertinent to education, prevention, diagnosis, management, prognosis, and surveillance. AREAS COVERED: This review summarizes information on the clinical use of digital health technology in arrhythmia care and discusses its opportunities and challenges. EXPERT OPINION: Digital health has begun to play an essential role in arrhythmia care regarding diagnostics, long-term monitoring, patient education and shared decision making, management, medication adherence, and research. Despite remarkable advances, integrating digital health technologies into healthcare faces challenges, including patient usability, privacy, system interoperability, physician liability, analysis and incorporation of the huge amount of real-time information from wearables, and reimbursement. Successful implementation of digital health technologies requires clear objectives and deep changes to existing workflows and responsibilities.

Task shifting roles, interventions and outcomes for kidney and cardiovascular health service delivery among African populations: a scoping review.

BACKGROUND: Human resources for health (HRH) shortages are a major limitation to equitable access to healthcare. African countries have the most severe shortage of HRH in the world despite rising communicable and non-communicable disease (NCD) burden. Task shifting provides an opportunity to fill the gaps in HRH shortage in Africa. The aim of this scoping review is to evaluate task shifting roles, interventions and outcomes for addressing kidney and cardiovascular (CV) health problems in African populations. METHODS: We conducted this scoping review to answer the question: "what are the roles, interventions and outcomes of task shifting strategies for CV and kidney health in Africa?" Eligible studies were selected after searching MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), CINAHL, ISI Web of Science, and Africa journal online (AJOL). We analyzed the data descriptively. RESULTS: Thirty-three studies, conducted in 10 African countries (South Africa, Nigeria, Ghana, Kenya, Cameroon, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, and Uganda) were eligible for inclusion. There were few randomized controlled trials (n = 6; 18.2%), and tasks were mostly shifted for hypertension (n = 27; 81.8%) than for diabetes (n = 16; 48.5%). More tasks were shifted to nurses (n = 19; 57.6%) than pharmacists (n = 6; 18.2%) or community health workers (n = 5; 15.2%). Across all studies, the most common role played by HRH in task shifting was for treatment and adherence (n = 28; 84.9%) followed by screening and detection (n = 24; 72.7%), education and counselling (n = 24; 72.7%), and triage (n = 13; 39.4%). Improved blood pressure levels were reported in 78.6%, 66.7%, and 80.0% for hypertension-related task shifting roles to nurses, pharmacists, and CHWs, respectively. Improved glycaemic indices were reported as 66.7%, 50.0%, and 66.7% for diabetes-related task shifting roles to nurses, pharmacists, and CHWs, respectively. CONCLUSION: Despite the numerus HRH challenges that are present in Africa for CV and kidney health, this study suggests that task shifting initiatives can improve process of care measures (access and efficiency) as well as identification, awareness and treatment of CV and kidney disease in the region. The impact of task shifting on long-term outcomes of kidney and CV diseases and the sustainability of NCD programs based on task shifting remains to be determined.

High-risk carotid plaques and incident ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation in the Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Whether carotid artery disease could improve stroke risk stratification tools in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains uncertain. This study was undertaken to investigate the risk of ischemic stroke associated with occlusive and nonocclusive carotid atherosclerotic disease in patients with AF in the prospective population-based Cardiovascular Health Study. METHODS: We included participants aged ≥65 years with AF. We used multivariable Cox regression analysis to explore the risk of ischemic stroke associated with the percentage of carotid stenosis, plaque irregularity, echogenicity, and vulnerability (markedly irregular, ulcerated, or hypoechoic plaques). RESULTS: A total of 1398 participants were included (55.2% female, 61.7% aged 65-74 years). The maximum carotid stenosis was <50%, 50%-99%, and 100% in 94.5%, 5%, and 0.5% of participants, respectively. High-risk plaques based on echogenicity and plaque irregularity were found in 25.6% and 8.9% of participants, respectively. After a median follow-up of 10.9 years (interquartile range = 7.5-15.6), 298 ischemic strokes were recorded. There was no difference in the incidence of ischemic stroke according to the degree of carotid artery stenosis (p = 0.44), plaque echogenicity (low vs. high risk, p = 0.68), plaque irregularity (low vs. high risk, p = 0.55), and plaque vulnerability (p = 0.86). The CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.28, 95% confidence interval = 1.18-1.40, p < 0.001). Both maximum grade of stenosis and plaque vulnerability were not associated with incident ischemic stroke (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Neither the degree of carotid stenosis nor the presence of vulnerable plaques was associated with incident ischemic stroke in this cohort of individuals with AF. This suggests that carotid disease was probably not a significant contributor to ischemic stroke in this population.

Fifty Years of Global Cardiovascular Research in Africa: A Scientometric Analysis, 1971 to 2021.

Background To analyze the quantity and impact of cardiovascular research done in Africa or coauthored by researchers based in Africa, their determinants, and the patterns of research collaboration. Methods and Results We retrieved data from Web of Science and additional sources. We analyzed temporal trends from 1971 to 2021 and geographical distribution, research impact using country-level h-index, international research cooperation, and associations of research quantity and quality using linear regression. The annual volume of cardiovascular research from Africa has increased from 4 publications in 1971 to 3867 in 2020 and currently represents ~3% of the global cardiovascular research output. Authors from South Africa (28.1%) and Egypt (24.1%) accounted for more than half of all publications from African countries, and they had the highest h-index (209 and 111, respectively). Important collaborators outside Africa included the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Australia. The country's publication count was associated with larger population size (P<0.001), whereas the country's h-index was associated with larger population size (P=0.001) and higher human development index (P=0.023). International collaboration was dominated by the United States, South Africa, United Kingdom, Egypt, and Canada. The level of collaboration between African countries was lower than their collaboration with non-African countries. Conclusions Cardiovascular research output from African authors remains low, despite marked progress over the past 5 decades. These findings highlight the urgent need to improve the quantity and quality of cardiovascular research in Africa through increased investments, training of human resources, improved infrastructures, and expansion of collaborative research networks, particularly within Africa.

Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Relation to Ventilatory Parameters: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: There is a paucity of data on the association between respiratory function and atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to assess the relationship between forced expiratory volume (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC), and FEV1/FVC and incident AF. METHODS: We performed an analysis of prospectively collected data from the UK Biobank. We included all participants with available spirometry and excluded those with prior AF. Incident AF was ascertained through hospitalisation and death records, and dose-response associations were assessed by means of multivariable Cox regression analysis with adjustment for known AF risk factors. RESULTS: We studied 348,219 white individuals (54.1% female) with a median age of 58.1 years (interquartile range [IQR] 50.8-63.5 years). Over a median follow-up time of 11.5 years (IQR 11.0-12.6 years), a total of 18,188 incident AF events occurred. After standardisation to sex, age, and height, the risk of AF consistently increased with decreasing FEV1 percentage predicted, FEV1 z score, and FVC z score. The risk of AF linearly increased with decreasing FEV1/FVC ratio, and those that had airway obstruction as defined by FEV1/FVC ratio < 0.70 had a 23% greater risk of incident AF (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.28) compared with those without airway obstruction. Patients with known chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma were at 40% (aHR 1.40, 95% CI 1.29-1.51) and 17% (aHR 1.17, 95% CI 1.12-1.22) increased risk of incident AF respectively. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that reduced ventilatory function is associated with increased risk of AF independently from age, sex, smoking, and other known AF risk factors.