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BACKGROUND: Cohort studies linking greenspace exposure to a lower risk of obesity-related cancer (ORC) are scarce. Existing evidence on site-specific cancers has predominantly relied on non-specific greenspace measures, including vegetation indices. We examined the associations of total greenspace, private residential gardens, and other greenspace types with the risk of being diagnosed with overall and site-specific ORC. METHODS: We used data from the participants in the UK Biobank recruited between 2006 and 2010 and censored until December 31, 2016. We defined greenspace variables using Ordnance Survey MasterMap™ greenspace categories. The incidence of ORC was ascertained through data linkage to cancer registries. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models and adjusted for covariates. We conducted mediation and modification analysis by physical activity, serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], and particulate matter air pollution with an aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), as well as subgroup analysis by covariates. RESULTS: Among 279,326 participants, 9550 developed ORC over a median follow-up period of 7.82 years. An increase in private residential gardens within a 100 m buffer was associated with a decreased risk of overall ORC (HR:0.92; 95 % CI: 0.88, 0.96), breast cancer (HR: 0.91; 95 % CI: 0.84, 0.98), and uterine cancer (HR:0.80; 95 % CI: 0.67, 0.96). There was no association between other greenspace types and ORC, except for uterine cancer. The association for ORC was partly mediated by NO2 and modified by physical activity levels, 25(OH)D, PM2.5, and NO2, and sociodemographic factors, including sex and neighbourhood socioeconomic status. CONCLUSION: Increased exposure to private residential gardens may lower the risk of being diagnosed with obesity-related cancer, particularly breast and uterine cancer. Future studies might move beyond considering greenspace quantity to explore functional types of greenspace exposure that should be prioritized for targeted health intervention and cancer prevention.
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Jardines , Neoplasias , Obesidad , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios de Cohortes , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Obesidad/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Biobanco del Reino Unido , Reino Unido/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Occupational heat stress, exacerbated by factors such as climate change and insufficient cooling solutions, endangers the health and productivity of workers, especially in low-resource workplaces. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of two cooling strategies in reducing physiological strain and productivity of piece-rate workers over a 9-h work shift in a southern Thailand sawmill. METHODS: In a crossover randomized control trial design, 12 (33 ± 7 y; 1.58 ± 0.05 m; 51 ± 9 kg; n = 5 females) medically screened sawmill workers were randomly allocated into three groups comprising an established phase change material vest (VEST), an on-site combination cooling oasis (OASIS) (i.e., hydration, cold towels, fans, water dousing), and no cooling (CON) across 3 consecutive workdays. Physiological strain was measured via core temperature telemetry and heart rate monitoring. Productivity was determined by counting the number of pallets of wood sorted, stacked, and stowed each day. RESULTS: Relative to CON, OASIS lowered core temperature by 0.25°C [95% confidence interval = 0.24, 0.25] and heart rate by 7 bpm [6, 9] bpm, compared to 0.17°C [0.17, 0.18] and 10 [9,12] bpm reductions with VEST. It was inconclusive whether productivity was statistically lower in OASIS compared to CON (mean difference [MD] = 2.5 [-0.2, 5.2]), and was not statistically different between VEST and CON (MD = 1.4 [-1.3, 4.1]). CONCLUSIONS: Both OASIS and VEST were effective in reducing physiological strain compared to no cooling. Their effect on productivity requires further investigation, as even small differences between interventions could lead to meaningful disparities in piece-rate worker earnings over time.
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Estudios Cruzados , Trastornos de Estrés por Calor , Humanos , Tailandia , Femenino , Adulto , Masculino , Trastornos de Estrés por Calor/prevención & control , Frecuencia Cardíaca/fisiología , Enfermedades Profesionales/prevención & control , Enfermedades Profesionales/etiología , Ropa de Protección , Eficiencia , Calor/efectos adversos , Exposición Profesional/prevención & control , Exposición Profesional/efectos adversos , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Extreme heat alerts are the most common form of weather forecasting services used in Australia, yet very limited studies have documented their effectiveness in improving health outcomes. This study aimed to examine the temporal changes in temperature-related mortality in relation to the activation of the heat-health alert and response system (HARS) in the State of Victoria, Australia. We examined the relationship between temperatures and mortality using quasi-Poisson regression and the distributed lag non-linear model (dlnm) and compared the temperature-mortality association between the two periods: period 1- prior-HARS (1992-2009) and period 2- post-HARS (2010-2019). Since the HARS heavily weights heatwave effects, we also compared the main effects of heatwave events between the two periods. The heatwaves were defined for three levels, including 3 consecutive days at 97th, 98th, and 99th percentiles. We also controlled the potential confounding effect of seasonality by including a natural cubic B-spline of the day of the year with equally spaced knots and 8 degrees of freedom per year. The exposure-response curve reveals the temperature mortality was reduced in period 2 in comparison with period 1. The relative risk ratios (RRR) of Period 2 over Period 1 were all less than one and gradually decreased from 0.86 (95% CI, 0.72-1.03) to 0.64 (95% CI, 0.33-1.22), and the differences in attributable risk percent increased from 13.2 to 25.3%. The reduction in the risk of heatwave-related deaths decreased by 3.4% (RRp1 1.068, 95% CI, 1.024-1.112 versus RRp2 1.034, 95% CI, 0.986-1.082) and 10% (RRp1 1.16, 95% CI, 1.10-1.22 versus RRp2 1.06, 95% CI, 1.002-1.119) for all groups of people. The study indicated a decrease in heat-related mortality following the operation of HARS in Victoria under extreme heat and high-intensity heatwaves conditions. Further studies could investigate the extent of changes in mortality among populations of differing socio-economic groups during the operation of the heat-health alert system.
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Calor , Mortalidad , Humanos , Victoria/epidemiología , Mortalidad/tendencias , Calor/efectos adversos , Calor Extremo/efectos adversos , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Predicción , Femenino , Masculino , Trastornos de Estrés por Calor/mortalidad , Estaciones del AñoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Patients with sedative overdose may have residual cognitive impairment at the time they are deemed medically cleared for discharge. Impairment could affect the performance of high-risk activities, including driving. The Trail Making Test is an alpha-numeric assessment that can be performed at the bedside to assess cognitive function. We examined whether there were differences in cognitive function when medically cleared between patients that overdosed on sedative and non-sedative drugs. METHODS: A prospective, observational study assessed cognitive function using the Trail Making Test between 2018 and 2021. Patients (16 years and greater) completed testing upon medical clearance if they spoke English and had no previous neurological injury. Continuous covariates were compared using t-tests or Mann-Whitney U tests and multiple linear regression; binary variables were modelled using logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 171 patients enrolled, 111 (65 per cent) had sedative overdose; they were older (median 32.1 versus 22.2 years) and more likely to be male (58.6 per cent versus 36.7 per cent). Benzodiazepines and paracetamol were the commonest drug overdoses. Patients with sedative overdose performed worse on Trail Making Test part A (37.0 versus 33.1 seconds, P = 0.017) and Trail Making Test part B (112.4 versus 81.5 seconds, P = 0.004). Multiple linear regression analysis indicated that patient age (P < 0.001, 1.7 seconds slower per year, 95 per cent confidence interval: 0.9-2.6 seconds) and perception of recovery (P = 0.006, 36.4 seconds slower if perceived not recovered, 95 per cent confidence interval: 10.8-62.0 seconds) were also associated with Trail Making Test part B times. Patients with sedative overdose were more likely to be admitted to the intensive care unit (Odds Ratio: 4.9, 95 percent confidence interval: 1.1-22.0; P = 0.04). DISCUSSION: Our results are broadly in keeping with previously published work, but include a wider range of drug overdose scenarios (polypharmacy and recreational drugs). While patients demonstrated some perception of their cognitive impairment, our model could not reliably be used to provide individual discharge advice. The study design did not allow us to prove causation of cognitive impairment, or to make comparison between the strength of an overdose to the trail making test time. CONCLUSIONS: Trail Making Test results suggested that patients who had sedative drug overdoses may have significant cognitive deficits even when medically cleared. Risk of harm may be minimised with advice to avoid high-risk activities such as driving. More profound impacts seen on the Trail Making Test part B than A may mean higher-order thinking is more affected than simple cognitive function.
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Disfunción Cognitiva , Sobredosis de Droga , Hipnóticos y Sedantes , Humanos , Masculino , Hipnóticos y Sedantes/envenenamiento , Femenino , Disfunción Cognitiva/inducido químicamente , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adolescente , Prueba de Secuencia Alfanumérica , Cognición/efectos de los fármacos , Benzodiazepinas/envenenamientoRESUMEN
During the last two decades, an epidemic of a severe form of chronic kidney disease (CKD) unrelated to traditional risk factors (diabetes and hypertension) has been recognized in low- to middle-income countries. CKD of unknown aetiology (CKDu) mainly affects young working-age adults, and has become as an important and devastating public health issue. CKDu is a multifactorial disease with associated genetic and environmental risk factors. This review summarizes the current epidemiological evidence on the burden of CKDu and its probable environmental risk factors contributing to CKD in Africa. PubMed/Medline and the African Journals Online databases were searched to identify relevant population-based studies published in the last two decades. In the general population, the burden of CKD attributable to CKDu varied from 19.4% to 79%. Epidemiologic studies have established that environmental factors, including genetics, infectious agents, rural residence, low socioeconomic status, malnutrition, agricultural practise and exposure to agrochemicals, heavy metals, use of traditional herbs, and contaminated water sources or food contribute to the burden of CKD in the region. There is a great need for epidemiological studies exploring the true burden of CKDu and unique geographical distribution, and the role of environmental factors in the development of CKD/CKDu.
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Metales Pesados , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Adulto , Humanos , Enfermedades Renales Crónicas de Etiología Incierta , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Metales Pesados/análisis , África/epidemiología , Sri Lanka/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The prevalence of antimicrobial resistance genes (ARGs) in aquaculture has raised serious public concerns for food safety and human health, but its relationships to the use of antimicrobials in aquacultural ponds and even to their residues in the whole aquatic environment remain unclear. In this study, a better coverage of 323 target ARGs and 40 mobile genetic elements (MGEs) was analyzed in sediment using a smart chip-based high-throughput quantitative PCR approach (HT-qPCR) in random 20 ponds of a tilapia farming base in southern China, whose antimicrobial residues were reported previously. In total, 159 ARGs and 29 MGEs were quantified in 58 surface sediment samples across the ponds. Absolute abundance of ARGs ranged from 0.2 to 13.5 × 106 copies g-1, dominated by the categories of multidrug and sulfonamides. The quantified ARGs abundance and the antimicrobial compound residues were significantly correlated instead with the antimicrobial categories, mainly compounds in categories of fluoroquinolones and sulfonamides and trimethoprim (TMP). Antimicrobial residues alone explained 30.6 % of the ARGs' variation quantified in sediment across the ponds, indicating the clear link between antimicrobials and the proliferation of ARGs in aquaculture. Co-proliferation of the ARGs with non-related antimicrobial compounds quantified in sediment was also observed, especially for aminoglycosides' ARGs, which were highly associated with integrons (intI 1) as argued being carried by the intI 1 gene cassette arrays. Physicochemical properties of sediment (pH, electric conductivity, and total sulfur content) highly contributed the variations of the quantified ARGs abundance (21 %) across all the sediment samples equaling to the MGEs (20 %), suggesting co-selection for ARGs' proliferation in the aquaculture environment. This study provides insights into the interactions between residual antimicrobials and ARGs, which would enhance the understandings on the use and management of antimicrobials in aquaculture worldwide to strategize mitigation of antimicrobial resistance in aquaculture.
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Antibacterianos , Tilapia , Animales , Humanos , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Genes Bacterianos , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana , Estanques , Agricultura , Proliferación CelularRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Evidence has suggested a bidirectional association between both the effects and onset of asthma and anxiety. The direction of this association in children and adolescents is less clear. The study evaluates whether anxiety in children is associated with the development of later asthma or, by contrast, whether asthma in children precedes anxiety. METHODS: Parental reports from 9369 children at two age points (4-5 and 14-15 years old) and from baby (B) (recruited at birth in 2004) and kindergarten (K) (recruited at 4-5 years of age in 2004) cohorts of the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC) were analyzed. Asthma cases were defined as reports of doctor-diagnosed asthma and the use of asthma medication or/and wheezing. Scores of the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ) defined anxiety. RESULTS: We found a unidirectional association between asthma in children aged 4-5 years and future anxiety development in weighted generalized linear adjusted models (B cohort OR (CI 95%) = 1.54 (1.14-2.08); K cohort OR (CI 95%) = 1.87 (1.40-2.49)). Children with asthma (no anxiety at 4 years) had a higher prevalence of anxiety in adolescence compared with nonasthmatics (B cohort = 26.8% vs 17.6%: K cohort = 27.7% vs 14.3%). Anxiety in childhood was not associated with the development of asthma from 6 years old to adolescence. CONCLUSION: Australian children with asthma have a greater risk of developing anxiety from 6 to 15 years old. This suggests that early multidisciplinary intervention may be required to support children with asthma to either prevent the increased risk of anxiety and/or promote optimal anxiety management.
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Asma , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Femenino , Niño , Humanos , Adolescente , Preescolar , Estudios Longitudinales , Australia/epidemiología , Asma/diagnóstico , Ansiedad/epidemiología , Trastornos de Ansiedad , Ruidos Respiratorios/etiología , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
ISSUE ADDRESSED: The complexity and uncertainty of the COVID-19 pandemic highlights the need to change training of public health professionals in higher education by shifting from siloed specialisations to interdisciplinary collaboration. At the end of 2020 and 2021, public health professionals collaboratively designed and delivered, a week-long intensive course-Public Health in Pandemics. The aim of this research study was to understand whether the use of systems thinking in the design and delivery of the course enabled students to grasp the interdisciplinary nature of contemporary health promotion and public health practice. RESEARCH METHODS: Two focus group interviews (n = 5 and 3/47) and a course opinion survey (n = 11/47) were utilised to gather information from students regarding experiences and perceptions of course design and delivery, and to determine if students felt better able to understand the complex nature of pandemics and pandemic responses. MAJOR FINDINGS: Students provided positive feedback on the course and believed that the course design and delivery assisted in understanding the complex nature of health problems and the ways in which health promotion and public health practitioners need to work across sectors with diverse disciplines for pandemic responses. CONCLUSIONS: The use of an integrated interdisciplinary approach to course design and delivery enabled students used systems thinking to understand the complexity in preparing for and responding to a pandemic. This approach may have utility in preparing an agile, iterative and adaptive health promotion and public health workforce more capable of facing the challenges and complexity in public health.
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COVID-19 , Pandemias , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudiantes , Salud Pública/educación , Análisis de Sistemas , CurriculumRESUMEN
The objective of this study is to determine the impacts of low-intensity heat on human health in regions with hot, humid summers. Current literature has highlighted an increase in mortality and morbidity rates during significant heat events. While the impacts on high-intensity events are established, the impacts on low-intensity events, particularly in regions with hot, humid summers, are less clear. A scoping review was conducted searching three databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science) using key terms based on the inclusion criteria. We included papers that investigated the direct human health impacts of low-intensity heat events (single day or heatwaves) in regions with hot, humid summers in middle- and high-income countries. We excluded papers written in languages other than English. Of the 600 publications identified, 33 met the inclusion criteria. Findings suggest that low-intensity heatwaves can increase all-cause non-accidental, cardiovascular-, respiratory- and diabetes-related mortality, in regions experiencing hot, humid summers. Impacts of low-intensity heatwaves on morbidity are less clear, with research predominantly focusing on hospitalisation rates with a range of outcomes. Few studies investigating the impact of low-intensity heat events on emergency department presentations and ambulance dispatches were found. However, the data from a limited number of studies suggest that both of these outcome measures increase during low-intensity heat events. Low-intensity heat events may increase mortality. There is insufficient evidence of a causal effect of low-intensity heat events on increasing morbidity for a firm conclusion. Further research on the impact of low-intensity heat on morbidity and mortality using consistent parameters is warranted.
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Hospitalización , Calor , Ambulancias , Humanos , Morbilidad , Estaciones del AñoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Chronic Kidney Disease of unknown origin (CKDu) excludes known primary renal conditions or systemic disease (such as diabetes mellitus or hypertension). Prominence of CKDu has been noted for some decades in Sri Lanka, especially among men in particular rural areas, prompting many studies directed towards environmental causation. This article critically reviews relevant primary studies. METHODS: Articles for this literature review (n = 86) were found by searching Medline, Embase, Global Health and ProQuest databases over 2000-2020 utilizing a standard algorithm. Articles were critiqued according to criteria for diagnosis of CKDu, aetiological agents investigated, analytic methods employed and findings. RESULTS: Criteria for diagnosis of CKDu varied significantly, including pre-selection by proteinuria, eGFR and biopsy proven interstitial nephritis. Prevalence studies have been largely conducted in the North Central Province, with recent studies demonstrating the presence of CKDu in other regions. Aetiological factors investigated in primary studies included water source, use of agrochemicals, agricultural work, heavy metals, snake bites, ayurvedic medication, heat stress, infectious diseases and usage of tobacco and betel leaf. There is no conclusive evidence for any one aetiological agent despite consistent evidence of distal factors such as male sex, rural residence and farming. CONCLUSIONS: The current body of evidence for any aetiological agent as the cause of CKDu in Sri Lanka is limited. Further research with stronger study designs is necessary to increase knowledge of aetiology of CKDu in Sri Lanka to identify and eliminate exposure to possible causative agent(s) prior to concluding that the disease is multifactorial.
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Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/etiología , Investigación Biomédica , Estudios Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Sri Lanka/epidemiología , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
Asthma is a complex disease with multiple environmental factors proposed to contribute to aetiology. Geographical analyses can shed light on the determinants of asthma. Ultraviolet radiation has been associated with asthma prevalence in past ecological studies. We have increased the detail of examining the association between asthma and ultraviolet radiation with addition of the variables of temperature, relative humidity and precipitation. An ecological study was designed to investigate meteorological factors associated with asthma prevalence in England. Data from the 2005 quality outcomes framework were used to determine the prevalence of asthma in primary care in England. This information was supplemented with indicators of obesity and smoking of the General Practitioner practice and population (by age and sex), deprivation and ethnicity at lower super output level from the 2001 and 2011 census. Annual mean meteorological data was attained from the Met Office and Joint Research Centre. We used a multiple linear regression to examine individual and multiple climatic factors through a principal components analysis. We tested for an association with asthma prevalence, after taking into account the spatial autocorrelation of the data. Asthma prevalence from general practice surgeries in England was 5.88% (95% CI 5.83 to 5.92). In the highest ultraviolet radiation weighted by the pre-vitamin D action spectrum (UVvitd) quartile (2.12 to 2.50 kJ/m2/day), asthma had a 5% reduction in prevalence; compared to the lowest quartile here (0.95 (95% CI 0.92 to 0.98)). Similar reductions were found in the higher temperature 0.93 (95% CI 0.90 to 96). The opposite was found with relative humidity 1.09 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.12). A combination of high temperature and UVvitd highlighted postcode districts in the South East of England with a climate beneficial to low asthma prevalence. The South West of England represented a climate which had both beneficial and detrimental associations with asthma development. Climate is associated with asthma prevalence in England. Understanding the contribution of multiple climatic factors and the relationship with the indoor environment could help to explain the population distribution of asthma.
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Asma , Medicina General , Médicos Generales , Asma/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Humanos , Prevalencia , Rayos UltravioletaRESUMEN
Allergic rhinitis is an inflammation in the nose caused by overreaction of the immune system to allergens in the air. Managing allergic rhinitis symptoms is challenging and requires timely intervention. The following are major questions often posed by those with allergic rhinitis: How should I prepare for the forthcoming season? How will the season's severity develop over the years? No country yet provides clear guidance addressing these questions. We propose two previously unexplored approaches for forecasting the severity of the grass pollen season on the basis of statistical and mechanistic models. The results suggest annual severity is largely governed by preseasonal meteorological conditions. The mechanistic model suggests climate change will increase the season severity by up to 60%, in line with experimental chamber studies. These models can be used as forecasting tools for advising individuals with hay fever and health care professionals how to prepare for the grass pollen season.
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Grass (Poaceae) pollen is the most important outdoor aeroallergen,1 exacerbating a range of respiratory conditions, including allergic asthma and rhinitis ("hay fever").2-5 Understanding the relationships between respiratory diseases and airborne grass pollen with a view to improving forecasting has broad public health and socioeconomic relevance. It is estimated that there are over 400 million people with allergic rhinitis6 and over 300 million with asthma, globally,7 often comorbidly.8 In the UK, allergic asthma has an annual cost of around US$ 2.8 billion (2017).9 The relative contributions of the >11,000 (worldwide) grass species (C. Osborne et al., 2011, Botany Conference, abstract) to respiratory health have been unresolved,10 as grass pollen cannot be readily discriminated using standard microscopy.11 Instead, here we used novel environmental DNA (eDNA) sampling and qPCR12-15 to measure the relative abundances of airborne pollen from common grass species during two grass pollen seasons (2016 and 2017) across the UK. We quantitatively demonstrate discrete spatiotemporal patterns in airborne grass pollen assemblages. Using a series of generalized additive models (GAMs), we explore the relationship between the incidences of airborne pollen and severe asthma exacerbations (sub-weekly) and prescribing rates of drugs for respiratory allergies (monthly). Our results indicate that a subset of grass species may have disproportionate influence on these population-scale respiratory health responses during peak grass pollen concentrations. The work demonstrates the need for sensitive and detailed biomonitoring of harmful aeroallergens in order to investigate and mitigate their impacts on human health.
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Asma , ADN Ambiental , Rinitis Alérgica Estacional , Alérgenos , Asma/epidemiología , Asma/genética , Humanos , Poaceae , Polen , Rinitis Alérgica Estacional/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To identify key predictors of general practitioner (GP) consultations for allergic rhinitis (AR) using meteorological and environmental data. DESIGN: A retrospective, time series analysis of GP consultations for AR. SETTING: A large GP surveillance network of GP practices in the London area. PARTICIPANTS: The study population was all persons who presented to general practices in London that report to the Public Health England GP in-hours syndromic surveillance system during the study period (3 April 2012 to 11 August 2014). PRIMARY MEASURE: Consultations for AR (numbers of consultations). RESULTS: During the study period there were 186 401 GP consultations for AR. High grass and nettle pollen counts (combined) were associated with the highest increases in consultations (for the category 216-270 grains/m3, relative risk (RR) 3.33, 95% CI 2.69 to 4.12) followed by high tree (oak, birch and plane combined) pollen counts (for the category 260-325 grains/m3, RR 1.69, 95% CI 1.32 to 2.15) and average daily temperatures between 15°C and 20°C (RR 1.47, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.81). Higher levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) appeared to be associated with increased consultations (for the category 70-85 µg/m3, RR 1.33, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.71), but a significant effect was not found with ozone. Higher daily rainfall was associated with fewer consultations (15-20 mm/day; RR 0.812, 95% CI 0.674 to 0.980). CONCLUSIONS: Changes in grass, nettle or tree pollen counts, temperatures between 15°C and 20°C, and (to a lesser extent) NO2 concentrations were found to be associated with increased consultations for AR. Rainfall has a negative effect. In the context of climate change and continued exposures to environmental air pollution, intelligent use of these data will aid targeting public health messages and plan healthcare demand.
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Médicos Generales , Rinitis Alérgica , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Humanos , Londres/epidemiología , Derivación y Consulta , Estudios Retrospectivos , Rinitis Alérgica/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The correct presentation name of the 4th Author is shown in this paper.
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In the more than 15 years since its introduction, quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) has become a widely used technique for assessing population health risk posed by waterborne pathogens. However, the variation in approaches taken for QMRA in relation to drinking water supply is not well understood. This systematic review identifies, categorises, and critically synthesises peer-reviewed and academic case studies of QMRA implementation for existing distributed public drinking water supplies. Thirty-nine English-language, peer-reviewed and academic studies published from 2003 to 2019 were identified. Key findings were synthesised in narrative form. The overall designs of the included studies varied widely, as did the assumptions used in risk calculation, especially in relation to pathogen dose. There was also substantial variation in the degree to which the use of location-specific data weighed with the use of assumptions when performing risk calculation. In general, the included studies' complexity did not appear to be associated with greater result certainty. Factors relating to pathogen dose were commonly influential on risk estimates whereas dose-response parameters tended to be of low relative influence. In two of the included studies, use of the 'susceptible fraction' factor was inconsistent with recognised guidance and potentially led to the underestimation of risk. While approaches and assumptions used in QMRA need not be standardised, improvement in the reporting of QMRA results and uncertainties would be beneficial. It is recommended that future authors consider the water supply QMRA reporting checklist developed for the current review. Consideration of the broad types of uncertainty relevant to QMRA is also recommended. Policy-makers should consider emergent discussion on acute microbial health-based targets when setting normative guidelines. The continued representation of QMRA case studies within peer-reviewed and academic literature would also enhance future implementation. Further research is needed on the optimisation of QMRA resourcing given the application context.
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Agua Potable , Medición de Riesgo , Microbiología del Agua , Incertidumbre , Abastecimiento de AguaRESUMEN
Grass pollen is the world's most harmful outdoor aeroallergen. However, it is unknown how airborne pollen assemblages change across time and space. Human sensitivity varies between different species of grass that flower at different times, but it is not known whether temporal turnover in species composition match terrestrial flowering or whether species richness steadily accumulates over the grass pollen season. Here, using targeted, high-throughput sequencing, we demonstrate that all grass genera displayed discrete, temporally restricted peaks of incidence, which varied with latitude and longitude throughout Great Britain, revealing that the taxonomic composition of grass pollen exposure changes substantially across the grass pollen season.
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Alérgenos , Polen , Flores , Humanos , Poaceae , Estaciones del AñoRESUMEN
The influence of early life exposures on later life disease has for some time provided clues to modifiable risk factors of disease. The “atopic march” is thought to play a role in the progression of allergic diseases and may offer an opportunity to lower asthma’s health and socioeconomic burden, although evidence remains controversial. We aimed to examine the relationship between early life eczema and asthma later in life. Using the National Child Development Study, we examined infant eczema and childhood and adult asthma. Data related to asthma or wheezing bronchitis were available for 13,503 (73%; 95% CI 72â»74), 11,503 (61%; 95% CI 60â»61), 12,524 (68%; 95% CI 67â»69), 11,194 (60%; 95% CI 60â»60), 9377 (51%; 95% CI 51â»51), and 9760 (53%; 95% CI 52â»53) subjects at ages 11, 16, 23, 33, 44, and 50 years, respectively. Logistic regression models were fitted to examine each wave separately before and after adjusting for a range of potential confounders. Generalised estimating equation (GEE) methods were undertaken to examine the associations after pooling all data from questionnaires. The prevalence of self-reported asthma in those that had previously reported infant eczema ranged from 1.0%; 95% CI 0.9â»1.4 (age 44 years) to 2.2%; 95% CI 2.1â»2.3 (age 33 years). Participants with infant eczema had a 2â»3-fold increased risk of reporting asthma in childhood and adulthood; this was 1.6 times at age 44 years when using spirometry measures. Similar effect sizes were observed in the GEE models when considering all participants (OR 2.9; 95% CI 2.6â»3.2). Childhood and adult asthma were consistently associated with infant eczema both by using the self-reported data and lung measures.
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Asma/epidemiología , Dermatitis Atópica/epidemiología , Adulto , Asma/inmunología , Asma/fisiopatología , Niño , Desarrollo Infantil , Dermatitis Atópica/inmunología , Dermatitis Atópica/fisiopatología , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Lactante , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
The major circulating metabolite of vitamin D (25(OH)D) has been implicated in the pathogenesis for atopic dermatitis, asthma and other allergic diseases due to downstream immunomodulatory effects. However, a consistent association between 25(OH)D and asthma during adulthood has yet to be found in observational studies. We aimed to test the association between 25(OH)D and asthma during adulthood and hypothesised that this association would be stronger in non-atopic participants. Using information collected on the participants of the 1958 birth cohort, we developed a novel measure of atopic status using total and specific IgE values and reported history of eczema and allergic rhinitis. We designed a nested case-control analysis, stratified by atopic status, and using logistic regression models investigated the association between 25(OH)D measured at age 46 years with the prevalence of asthma and wheezy bronchitis at age 50 years, excluding participants who reported ever having asthma or wheezy bronchitis before the age of 42. In the fully adjusted models, a 10 nmol/L increase in serum 25(OH)D prevalence had a significant association with asthma (aOR 0.94; 95% CI 0.88â»1.00). There was some evidence of an atopic dependent trend in the association between 25(OH)D levels and asthma. Further analytical work on the operationalisation of atopy status would prove useful to uncover whether there is a role for 25(OH)D and other risk factors for asthma.