The fractional-order discrete COVID-19 pandemic model: stability and chaos.

This paper presents and investigates a new fractional discrete COVID-19 model which involves three variables: the new daily cases, additional severe cases and deaths. Here, we analyze the stability of the equilibrium point at different values of the fractional order. Using maximum Lyapunov exponents, phase attractors, bifurcation diagrams, the 0-1 test and approximation entropy (ApEn), it is shown that the dynamic behaviors of the model change from stable to chaotic behavior by varying the fractional orders. Besides showing that the fractional discrete model fits the real data of the pandemic, the simulation findings also show that the numbers of new daily cases, additional severe cases and deaths exhibit chaotic behavior without any effective attempts to curb the epidemic.

The effect of the Caputo fractional difference operator on a new discrete COVID-19 model.

This study aims to generalize the discrete integer-order SEIR model to obtain the novel discrete fractional-order SEIR model of COVID-19 and study its dynamic characteristics. Here, we determine the equilibrium points of the model and discuss the stability analysis of these points in detail. Then, the non-linear dynamic behaviors of the suggested discrete fractional model for commensurate and incommensurate fractional orders are investigated through several numerical techniques, including maximum Lyapunov exponents, phase attractors, bifurcation diagrams and C 0 algorithm. Finally, we fitted the model with actual data to verify the accuracy of our mathematical study of the stability of the fractional discrete COVID-19 model.

Chaos in Cancer Tumor Growth Model with Commensurate and Incommensurate Fractional-Order Derivatives.

Analyzing the dynamics of tumor-immune systems can play an important role in the fight against cancer, since it can foster the development of more effective medical treatments. This paper was aimed at making a contribution to the study of tumor-immune dynamics by presenting a new model of cancer growth based on fractional-order differential equations. By investigating the system dynamics, the manuscript highlights the chaotic behaviors of the proposed cancer model for both the commensurate and the incommensurate cases. Bifurcation diagrams, the Lyapunov exponents, and phase plots confirm the effectiveness of the conceived approach. Finally, some considerations regarding the biological meaning of the obtained results are reported through the manuscript.

A novel discrete-time COVID-19 epidemic model including the compartment of vaccinated individuals.

Referring tothe study of epidemic mathematical models, this manuscript presents a noveldiscrete-time COVID-19 model that includes the number of vaccinated individuals as an additional state variable in the system equations. The paper shows that the proposed compartment model, described by difference equations, has two fixed points, i.e., a disease-free fixed point and an epidemic fixed point. By considering both the forward difference system and the backward difference system, some stability analyses of the disease-free fixed point are carried out.In particular, for the backward difference system a novel theorem is proved, which gives a condition for the disappearance of the pandemic when an inequality involving some epidemic parameters is satisfied. Finally, simulation results of the conceived discrete model are carried out, along with comparisons regarding the performances of both the forward difference system and the backward difference system.

Chaotic dynamics in a novel COVID-19 pandemic model described by commensurate and incommensurate fractional-order derivatives.

Mathematical models based on fractional-order differential equations have recently gained interesting insights into epidemiological phenomena, by virtue of their memory effect and nonlocal nature. This paper investigates the nonlinear dynamic behavior of a novel COVID-19 pandemic model described by commensurate and incommensurate fractional-order derivatives. The model is based on the Caputo operator and takes into account the daily new cases, the daily additional severe cases, and the daily deaths. By analyzing the stability of the equilibrium points and by continuously varying the values of the fractional order, the paper shows that the conceived COVID-19 pandemic model exhibits chaotic behaviors. The system dynamics are investigated via bifurcation diagrams, Lyapunov exponents, time series, and phase portraits. A comparison between integer-order and fractional-order COVID-19 pandemic models highlights that the latter is more accurate in predicting the daily new cases. Simulation results, besides to confirming that the novel fractional model well fit the real pandemic data, also indicate that the numbers of new cases, severe cases, and deaths undertake chaotic behaviors without any useful attempt to control the disease. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11071-021-06867-5.

Synchronization of the Glycolysis Reaction-Diffusion Model via Linear Control Law.

The Selkov system, which is typically employed to model glycolysis phenomena, unveils some rich dynamics and some other complex formations in biochemical reactions. In the present work, the synchronization problem of the glycolysis reaction-diffusion model is handled and examined. In addition, a novel convenient control law is designed in a linear form and, on the other hand, the stability of the associated error system is demonstrated through utilizing a suitable Lyapunov function. To illustrate the applicability of the proposed schemes, several numerical simulations are performed in one- and two-spatial dimensions.

Finite-time stabilization of a perturbed chaotic finance model.

Introduction: Robust, stable financial systems significantly improve the growth of an economic system. The stabilization of financial systems poses the following challenges. The state variables' trajectories (i) lie outside the basin of attraction, (ii) have high oscillations, and (iii) converge to the equilibrium state slowly. Objectives: This paper aims to design a controller that develops a robust, stable financial closed-loop system to address the challenges above by (i) attracting all state variables to the origin, (ii) reducing the oscillations, and (iii) increasing the gradient of the convergence. Methods: This paper proposes a detailed mathematical analysis of the steady-state stability, dissipative characteristics, the Lyapunov exponents, bifurcation phenomena, and Poincare maps of chaotic financial dynamic systems. The proposed controller does not cancel the nonlinear terms appearing in the closed-loop. This structure is robust to the smoothly varying system parameters and improves closed-loop efficiency. Further, the controller eradicates the effects of inevitable exogenous disturbances and accomplishes a faster, oscillation-free convergence of the perturbed state variables to the desired steady-state within a finite time. The Lyapunov stability analysis proves the closed-loop global stability. The paper also discusses finite-time stability analysis and describes the controller parameters' effects on the convergence rates. Computer-based simulations endorse the theoretical findings, and the comparative study highlights the benefits. Results: Theoretical analysis proofs and computer simulation results verify that the proposed controller compels the state trajectories, including trajectories outside the basin of attraction, to the origin within finite time without oscillations while being faster than the other controllers discussed in the comparative study section. Conclusions: This article proposes a novel robust, nonlinear finite-time controller for the robust stabilization of the chaotic finance model. It provides an in-depth analysis based on the Lyapunov stability theory and computer simulation results to verify the robust convergence of the state variables to the origin.

Chaos in fractional system with extreme events.

Understanding extreme events attracts scientists due to substantial impacts. In this work, we study the emergence of extreme events in a fractional system derived from a Liénard-type oscillator. The effect of fractional-order derivative on the extreme events has been investigated for both commensurate and incommensurate fractional orders. Especially, such a system displays multistability and coexistence of multiple extreme events.

Generating Multidirectional Variable Hidden Attractors via Newly Commensurate and Incommensurate Non-Equilibrium Fractional-Order Chaotic Systems.

This article investigates a non-equilibrium chaotic system in view of commensurate and incommensurate fractional orders and with only one signum function. By varying some values of the fractional-order derivative together with some parameter values of the proposed system, different dynamical behaviors of the system are explored and discussed via several numerical simulations. This system displays complex hidden dynamics such as inversion property, chaotic bursting oscillation, multistabilty, and coexisting attractors. Besides, by means of adapting certain controlled constants, it is shown that this system possesses a three-variable offset boosting system. In conformity with the performed simulations, it also turns out that the resultant hidden attractors can be distributively ordered in a grid of three dimensions, a lattice of two dimensions, a line of one dimension, and even arbitrariness in the phase space. Through considering the Caputo fractional-order operator in all performed simulations, phase portraits in two- and three-dimensional projections, Lyapunov exponents, and the bifurcation diagrams are numerically reported in this work as beneficial exit results.

Dynamical Analysis of a New Chaotic Fractional Discrete-Time System and Its Control.

This article proposes a new fractional-order discrete-time chaotic system, without equilibria, included two quadratic nonlinearities terms. The dynamics of this system were experimentally investigated via bifurcation diagrams and largest Lyapunov exponent. Besides, some chaotic tests such as the 0-1 test and approximate entropy (ApEn) were included to detect the performance of our numerical results. Furthermore, a valid control method of stabilization is introduced to regulate the proposed system in such a way as to force all its states to adaptively tend toward the equilibrium point at zero. All theoretical findings in this work have been verified numerically using MATLAB software package.

The discrete fractional duffing system: Chaos, 0-1 test, C0 complexity, entropy, and control.

In this paper, we study the dynamics and control of a Caputo fractional difference form of the Duffing map. We use phase plots, bifurcation diagrams, and Lyapunov exponents to establish the existence of chaos over a wide range of fractional orders and examine the nature of the dynamics. Also, we present the 0-1 test to detect chaos and C0 complexity, which is an alternative nonlinear statistical measure that can quantify the regularity of a time series. In addition, we measure the approximate entropy to see the performance of our numerical results. Through phase plots and bifurcation diagrams, it is shown that the proposed fractional map exhibits a range of different dynamical behaviors including chaos and coexisting attractors. A one-dimensional feedback stabilization controller is proposed. The asymptotic convergence of the proposed controller is established by means of the stability theory of linear fractional order discrete-time systems. Simulation results have been carried out to illustrate the findings of the study.

Chaotic Map with No Fixed Points: Entropy, Implementation and Control.

A map without equilibrium has been proposed and studied in this paper. The proposed map has no fixed point and exhibits chaos. We have investigated its dynamics and shown its chaotic behavior using tools such as return map, bifurcation diagram and Lyapunov exponents' diagram. Entropy of this new map has been calculated. Using an open micro-controller platform, the map is implemented, and experimental observation is presented. In addition, two control schemes have been proposed to stabilize and synchronize the chaotic map.

On Chaos in the Fractional-Order Discrete-Time Unified System and Its Control Synchronization.

In this paper, we propose a fractional map based on the integer-order unified map. The chaotic behavior of the proposed map is analyzed by means of bifurcations plots, and experimental bounds are placed on the parameters and fractional order. Different control laws are proposed to force the states to zero asymptotically and to achieve the complete synchronization of a pair of fractional unified maps with identical or nonidentical parameters. Numerical results are used throughout the paper to illustrate the findings.

The Co-existence of Different Synchronization Types in Fractional-order Discrete-time Chaotic Systems with Non-identical Dimensions and Orders.

This paper is concerned with the co-existence of different synchronization types for fractional-order discrete-time chaotic systems with different dimensions. In particular, we show that through appropriate nonlinear control, projective synchronization (PS), full state hybrid projective synchronization (FSHPS), and generalized synchronization (GS) can be achieved simultaneously. A second nonlinear control scheme is developed whereby inverse full state hybrid projective synchronization (IFSHPS) and inverse generalized synchronization (IGS) are shown to co-exist. Numerical examples are presented to confirm the findings.

Fractional Form of a Chaotic Map without Fixed Points: Chaos, Entropy and Control.

In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of a fractional order chaotic map corresponding to a recently developed standard map that exhibits a chaotic behavior with no fixed point. This is the first study to explore a fractional chaotic map without a fixed point. In our investigation, we use phase plots and bifurcation diagrams to examine the dynamics of the fractional map and assess the effect of varying the fractional order. We also use the approximate entropy measure to quantify the level of chaos in the fractional map. In addition, we propose a one-dimensional stabilization controller and establish its asymptotic convergence by means of the linearization method.