Advanced HIV disease in East Africa and Nigeria, in The African Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Earlier antiretroviral therapy (ART) may decrease progression to advanced HIV disease (AHD) with CD4 count of <200 cells per cubic millimeter or clinical sequelae. We assessed factors associated with AHD among people living with HIV before and during the "test and treat" era. SETTING: The African Cohort Study prospectively enrolls adults with and without HIV from 12 clinics in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Nigeria. METHODS: Enrollment evaluations included clinical history, physical examination, and laboratory testing. Generalized estimating equations were used to estimate adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for factors associated with CD4 count of <200 cells per cubic millimeter at study visits. RESULTS: From 2013 to 2021, 3059 people living with HIV with available CD4 at enrollment were included; median age was 38 years [interquartile range: 30-46 years], and 41.3% were men. From 2013 to 2021, the prevalence of CD4 count of <200 cells per cubic millimeter decreased from 10.5% to 3.1%, whereas the percentage on ART increased from 76.6% to 100% ( P <0.001). Factors associated with higher odds of CD4 count of <200 cells per cubic millimeter were male sex (adjusted odds ratio 1.56 [confidence interval: 1.29 to 1.89]), being 30-39 years (1.42 [1.11-1.82]) or older (compared with <30), have World Health Organization stage 2 disease (1.91 [1.48-2.49]) or higher (compared with stage 1), and HIV diagnosis eras 2013-2015 (2.19 [1.42-3.37]) or later (compared with <2006). Compared with ART-naive, unsuppressed participants, being viral load suppressed on ART, regardless of ART duration, was associated with lower odds of CD4 count of <200 cells per cubic millimeter (<6 months on ART: 0.45 [0.34-0.58]). CONCLUSION: With ART scale-up, AHD has declined. Efforts targeting timely initiation of suppressive ART may further reduce AHD risk.

Cumulative exposure to depressive symptoms and all-cause mortality among adults with HIV in Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, and Uganda.

OBJECTIVE: We estimated the effects of cumulative exposure to depressive symptoms on risk of all-cause mortality among people with HIV (PWH) in four African countries. DESIGN: An analysis of prospective cohort data. METHODS: The African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) is a prospective cohort of people receiving care at twelve clinics in Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, and Uganda. Every 6 months from January 2013 to May 2020, participants underwent laboratory monitoring, structured surveys, and assessment of depressive symptom severity using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). All-cause mortality was the outcome of interest. The predictor of interest was a time-updated measure of the percentage of days lived with depression (PDD). Marginal structural Cox proportional hazards regression models were used, adjusting for potential confounders including time-varying alcohol use, drug use, and viral load. RESULTS: Among 2520 enrolled participants, 1479 (59%) were women and the median age was 38 (interquartile range [IQR]: 32-46). At enrollment, 1438 (57%) were virally suppressed (<200 copies/ml) and 457 (18%) had CES-D at least 16, indicating possible depression. Across 9093 observed person-years, the median PDD was 0.7% (IQR: 0-5.9%) with 0.8 deaths per 100 person-years. Leading causes of death included cancer (18% of deaths) and accidents (14%). Models suggested that each 25% absolute increase in PDD was associated with a 69% increase in the risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 1.69; 95% confidence interval: 1.18-2.43). CONCLUSION: Cumulative exposure to depressive symptoms was substantially associated with the risk of mortality in this cohort of PWH in Africa.

HIV prevalence and awareness among adults presenting for enrolment into a study of people at risk for HIV in Kisumu County, Western Kenya.

INTRODUCTION: Despite declines in new HIV diagnoses both globally and in Kenya, parts of Western Kenya still report high HIV prevalence and incidence. We evaluated HIV prevalence to inform the development of policies for strategic and targeted HIV prevention interventions. METHODS: Adult participants aged 18-35 years were recruited in Kisumu County and screened for HIV for a prospective HIV incidence cohort. Questionnaires assessed HIV-associated risk behaviors. Participants who tested positive for HIV were disaggregated into groups based on prior knowledge of their HIV status: previously-diagnosed and newly-diagnosed. In separate analyses by prior knowledge, robust Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors potentially associated with a positive HIV test in each group, as compared to participants without HIV. RESULTS: Of 1059 participants tested for HIV, 196 (18.5%) had a positive HIV test. Among PLWH, 78 (39.8%) were newly diagnosed with HIV at screening. After adjusting for other variables, previously-diagnosed HIV was more common among females than males (PR 2.70, 95%CI 1.69-4.28), but there was no observed sex difference in newly-diagnosed HIV prevalence (PR 1.05, 95%CI 0.65-1.69). Previously-diagnosed HIV was also more common among people reporting consistent use of condoms with primary sexual partners as compared to inconsistent condom use (PR 3.19, 95%CI 2.09-4.86), but newly-diagnosed HIV was not associated with such a difference between consistent and inconsistent condom use (PR 0.73, 95%CI 0.25-2.10). CONCLUSION: Prevalence of newly-diagnosed HIV was high, at approximately 8% of participants, and not statistically different between genders, highlighting the need for improved HIV case finding regardless of sex. The higher prevalence of previously-diagnosed HIV in female participants may reflect higher rates of HIV testing through more encounters with the healthcare system. Higher prevalence of consistent condom use amongst those previously-diagnosed suggests behavioral change to reduce HIV transmission, a potential benefit of policies to facilitate earlier HIV diagnosis.

Implications of asymptomatic malaria infections on hematologic parameters in adults living with HIV in malaria-endemic regions with varying transmission intensities.

OBJECTIVES: HIV and malaria coinfection impacts disease management and clinical outcomes. This study investigated hematologic abnormalities in malaria-asymptomatic people living with HIV (PLHIV) in regions with differing malaria transmission. METHODS: Study participants were enrolled in the African Cohort Study: two sites in Kenya, one in Uganda, and one in Nigeria. Data was collected at enrollment and every 6 months. Logistic regression estimated odds ratios for associations between HIV/malaria status and anemia, thrombocytopenia, and leucopenia. RESULTS: Samples from 1587 participants with one or more visits comprising 1471 (92.7%) from PLHIV and 116 (7.3%) without HIV were analyzed. Parasite point prevalence significantly differed across the study sites (P <0.001). PLHIV had higher odds of anemia, with males at lower odds compared to females; the odds of anemia decreased with age, reaching significance in those ≥50 years old. Participants in Kisumu, Kenya had higher odds of anemia compared to other sites. PLHIV had higher odds of leucopenia, but malaria co-infection was not associated with worsened leucopenia. The odds of thrombocytopenia were decreased in HIV/malaria co-infection compared to the uninfected group. CONCLUSION: Hematological parameters are important indicators of health and disease. In PLHIV with asymptomatic malaria co-infection enrolled across four geographic sites in three African countries, abnormalities in hematologic parameters differ in different malaria transmission settings and are region-specific.

Early sexual debut is associated with drug use and decreased educational attainment among males and females in Kisumu County, Kenya.

Differing global sociocultural contexts of sexual relationships influence age at first sexual intercourse with potentially long-lasting region-specific effects such as increased risk of contracting HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs). In these cross-sectional analyses of data from the screening and enrollment visits for an HIV incidence study in Kisumu County, Kenya, we evaluated factors associated with having experienced an early sexual debut (ESD) among males and females aged 18-35 years. Clinical evaluation was performed and sexual behaviors were assessed via questionnaire. ESD was defined as self-reported age 15 years or younger at first sexual intercourse. Robust Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for factors associated with ESD. Of 1057 participants, 542 (51.3%) were female. Participants' median age at study screening was 25 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 22-29), and at sexual debut was 16 years (IQR: 14-17). Five hundred and four participants (47.7%) reported ESD. ESD was less common among females (PR 0.78, CI 0.67-0.90) and participants with more than primary education (PR 0.56, CI 0.47-0.66). ESD was more common in participants with a history of drug use (PR 1.28, CI 1.10-1.49). Drug use removed the protective effect of education (some secondary education or less, no drug use: PR 0.72, CI 0.61-0.85; some secondary education or less, drug use: PR 0.94, CI 0.74-1.18). ESD was common in our study and associated with lower educational attainment and increased likelihood of drug use. Interventions are needed early in life, well before 15 years of age, to encourage engagement in schooling and prevent drug use. Comprehensive sexual education and interventions to prevent drug use may be beneficial before the age of 15 years.

Early sexual debut can be defined as first sexual intercourse at or before 15 years of age. There are many social and cultural factors that influence the age of sexual debut. People who start having sex early in life may exhibit behaviors that increase risk for HIV and other sexually transmitted infections. We conducted a study of men and women aged 18­35 years in Kisumu County, Kenya, which included documentation of medical history, physical examination, laboratory tests, and a questionnaire to assess sexual behaviors. Among the 1057 people studied, the average age of sexual debut was 16.0 years for females and 15.4 years for males. A total of 504 (47.7%) participants reported early sexual debut. The data showed that early sexual debut was less common in females and in participants with more years of education. Early sexual debut was more common in participants with a history of drug use. The findings suggest that interventions to prevent early sexual debut might be improved if they focus on educational attainment and prevention of drug use.

Achieving the third 95 in sub-Saharan Africa: application of machine learning approaches to predict viral failure.

OBJECTIVE: Viral failure in people with HIV (PWH) may be influenced by multiple sociobehavioral, clinical, and context-specific factors, and supervised learning approaches may identify novel predictors. We compared the performance of two supervised learning algorithms to predict viral failure in four African countries. DESIGN: Cohort study. METHODS: The African Cohort Study is an ongoing, longitudinal cohort enrolling PWH at 12 sites in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Nigeria. Participants underwent physical examination, medical history-taking, medical record extraction, sociobehavioral interviews, and laboratory testing. In cross-sectional analyses of enrollment data, viral failure was defined as a viral load at least 1000 copies/ml among participants on antiretroviral therapy (ART) for at least 6 months. We compared the performance of lasso-type regularized regression and random forests by calculating area under the curve (AUC) and used each to identify factors associated with viral failure; 94 explanatory variables were considered. RESULTS: Between January 2013 and December 2020, 2941 PWH were enrolled, 1602 had been on antiretroviral therapy (ART) for at least 6 months, and 1571 participants with complete case data were included. At enrollment, 190 (12.0%) had viral failure. The lasso regression model was slightly superior to the random forest in its ability to identify PWH with viral failure (AUC: 0.82 vs. 0.75). Both models identified CD4 + count, ART regimen, age, self-reported ART adherence and duration on ART as important factors associated with viral failure. CONCLUSION: These findings corroborate existing literature primarily based on hypothesis-testing statistical approaches and help to generate questions for future investigations that may impact viral failure.

Impact of weight gain with dolutegravir on antiretroviral adherence and viral suppression in four African countries.

OBJECTIVE: We hypothesized that total body weight (TBW) gain after switching antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/lamivudine/dolutegravir (TLD) may negatively impact ART adherence and viral load (VL) and therefore sought to examine these associations. METHODS: The ongoing African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) enrols people with HIV at 12 facilities in Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania and Uganda supported by The US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief. Among ART-experienced participants who switched to TLD, we used multivariable multinomial logistic regression to examine associations between pre-/post-TLD changes in percentage TBW (≥5% gain, <5% change, ≥5% loss) and changes in self-reported ART adherence (0, 1-2, ≥3 days missed doses in past 30 days) and VL [(<50 copies/mL (undetectable), 50-999 copies/mL (detectable, but suppressed), ≥1000 copies/mL (unsuppressed)]. RESULTS: Among 1508 participants, median time from starting TLD to follow-up was 9 months (interquartile range: 7-11). Overall, 438 (29.1%) participants experienced a TBW gain ≥5%, which was more common among females than among males (32.2% vs 25.2%, p = 0.005) and participants switching from efavirenz [32.0% vs nevirapine (19.9%) and boosted protease inhibitor (20.0%); p < 0.001]. Compared with a TBW change <5% [950 (63.0%) participants], TBW gain ≥5% was not significantly associated with more days with missed ART doses [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.77, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.48-1.23] or VL becoming detectable and/or unsuppressed (aOR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.41-1.16). CONCLUSIONS: Although a substantial proportion of participants experienced weight gain after switching to TLD, we did not identify a significant impact on adherence or virological outcomes.

Epidemiology of Tuberculosis Among People Living With HIV in the African Cohort Study From 2013 to 2021.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence and incidence of tuberculosis (TB) is high among people living with HIV (PLWH) but is often underdiagnosed in HIV programmatic settings. SETTING: President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR)-supported research sites in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Nigeria. METHODS: All patients underwent molecular testing at entry into a longitudinal cohort of PLWH and annually thereafter. We assessed the prevalence and incidence of TB and identified clinical and demographic factors associated with prevalent and incident TB using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: From 21 January, 2013, to 1 December 2021, 3171 PLWH were enrolled with a TB prevalence of 3% (n = 93). Of the cases with prevalent TB, 66% (n = 61) were bacteriologically confirmed. The adjusted odds of prevalent TB were significantly higher among those with higher educational attainment, PLWH for 1-5 years since their HIV diagnosis, those who were underweight, and those with CD4 counts <200 cells/mm 3 . The overall TB incidence rate was 600 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 481-748). We found that shorter time since HIV diagnosis, being underweight, taking antiretroviral therapy <6 months, and having a CD4 count <200 cells/mm 3 were significantly associated with incident TB. PLWH on dolutegravir/lamivudine/tenofovir had a 78% lower risk of incident TB compared with those on tenofovir/lamivudine/efavirenz (hazard ratio: 0.22; 95% CI: 0.08-0.63). CONCLUSION: The prevalence and incidence of TB was notably high in this cohort sourced from PEPFAR clinics. Aggressive efforts to enhance HIV diagnosis and optimize treatment in programmatic settings are warranted to reduce the risk of HIV-TB co-occurrence in this cohort.

Perinatal Depressive Symptoms and Viral Non-suppression Among a Prospective Cohort of Pregnant Women Living with HIV in Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania.

Depression is common during pregnancy and is associated with reduced adherence to HIV-related care, though little is known about perinatal trajectories of depression and viral suppression among women living with HIV (WLHV) in sub-Saharan Africa. We sought to assess any association between perinatal depressive symptoms and viral non-suppression among WLWH. Depressive symptomatology and viral load data were collected every 6 months from WLWH enrolled in the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS; January 2013-February 2020). Generalized estimating equations modeled associations between depressive symptoms [Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression (CES-D) ≥ 16] and viral non-suppression. Of 1722 WLWH, 248 (14.4%) had at least one pregnancy (291 total) and for 61 pregnancies (21.0%), women reported depressive symptoms (13.4% pre-conception, 7.6% pregnancy, 5.5% one-year postpartum). Depressive symptomatology was associated with increased odds of viral non-suppression (aOR 2.2; 95% CI 1.2-4.0, p = 0.011). Identification and treatment of depression among women with HIV may improve HIV outcomes for mothers.

Coronavirus Antibody Responses before COVID-19 Pandemic, Africa and Thailand.

Prior immune responses to coronaviruses might affect human SARS-CoV-2 response. We screened 2,565 serum and plasma samples collected from 2013 through early 2020, before the COVID-19 pandemic began, from 2,250 persons in 4 countries in Africa (Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, and Uganda) and in Thailand, including persons living with HIV-1. We detected IgG responses to SARS-CoV-2 spike (S) subunit 2 protein in 1.8% of participants. Profiling against 23 coronavirus antigens revealed that responses to S, subunit 2, or subunit 1 proteins were significantly more frequent than responses to the receptor-binding domain, S-Trimer, or nucleocapsid proteins (p<0.0001). We observed similar responses in persons with or without HIV-1. Among all coronavirus antigens tested, SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV-1, and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus antibody responses were much higher in participants from Africa than in participants from Thailand (p<0.01). We noted less pronounced differences for endemic coronaviruses. Serosurveys could affect vaccine and monoclonal antibody distribution across global populations.

Non-communicable diseases by age strata in people living with and without HIV in four African countries.

INTRODUCTION: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are an important driver of morbidity among ageing people living with HIV (PLWH). We examined the composite role of age and HIV status on NCDs in people living with and without HIV. METHODS: The African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) prospectively enrols participants aged ≥15 years with and without HIV at 12 sites in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and Nigeria. From 21 January 2013 to 1 September 2021, we assessed participants for renal insufficiency (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/minute/1.73 m2 ), elevated blood pressure (BP) (any systolic BP >139 mmHg or diastolic BP >89 mmHg), obesity (body mass index >30 kg/m2 ), diabetes mellitus (DM) (fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dl or antidiabetic medication) and dysglycemia (fasting glucose ≥99 mg/dl or non-fasting ≥199 mg/dl). Multivariable logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with each NCD. The main exposure of interest was a composite of HIV status and age dichotomized around 50 years. All models were adjusted for study site and sex. The renal insufficiency model was additionally adjusted for elevated BP and dysglycemia. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Of 3761 participants with age data, 557 (14.8%) were age ≥50, 2188 (58.2%) were females and 3099 (82.4%) were PLWH. At enrolment, the prevalence of elevated BP, dysglycemia, renal insufficiency and obesity were n = 128 (26.9%), n = 75 (15.8%), n = 8 (1.7%) and n = 40 (8.4%), respectively, for PLWH ≥50. Compared to people without HIV age <50, PLWH age ≥50 had increased adjusted odds of having DM (OR: 2.78, 95% CI: 1.49-5.16), dysglycemia (OR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.51-2.61) and renal insufficiency (OR: 6.20, 95% CI: 2.31-16.66). There were significant differences by study site, specifically, participants from Nigeria had the highest odds of elevated BP, dysglycemia and renal insufficiency as compared to Uganda. CONCLUSIONS: There was a high burden of NCDs in this African cohort with differences by geographic region. In order to promote healthy ageing with HIV, screening and treatment for common NCDs should be incorporated into routine HIV care with attention paid to geographic heterogeneity to better allocate resources.

Assessment of tuberculosis disease activity in people infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis and living with HIV: A longitudinal cohort study.

Background: Early detection of asymptomatic incipient tuberculosis (TB) could improve clinical outcomes and reduce the spread of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) infection, particularly in HIV endemic settings. This study assessed TB disease activity over 5 years in people living with HIV co-infected with MTB using a surrogate biomarker. Methods: Between Jan 1, 2013 and Aug 31, 2018, 2014 people living with HIV were screened annually for active TB using the Xpert MTB/RIF diagnostic assay in 11 clinics in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and Nigeria. Longitudinal blood mononuclear cell samples from 46 selected patients with active and recurrent tuberculosis, latent infection, or incipient TB were further analysed for MTB-specific T-cell activation (defined by CD38 expression) as a well-defined surrogate marker for TB disease covering a total of 1758 person-months. Findings: MTB-specific CD4 T-cell activation differentiated active, Xpert MTB/RIF positive TB from latent TB with a sensitivity and specificity of 86% and was reduced upon TB treatment initiation. Activated MTB-specific T cells were present in 63% and 23% of incipient TB cases 6 and 12 months before diagnosis of active disease, respectively. Transient increases of MTB-specific T cell activation were also observed in individuals with latent infection, while persistent activation was a hallmark of recurrent TB after the end of treatment. Interpretation: In most cases, progression to active TB disease started 6-12 months before diagnosis by clinical symptoms and sputum occurrence of bacilli. Blood biomarkers could facilitate early detection of incipient TB, improve clinical outcomes, and reduce the transmission of MTB. Funding: This work was supported by the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief via a cooperative agreement between the Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., and the U.S. Department of Defense [W81XWH-11-2-0174, W81XWH-18-2-0040] and by the Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BmBF) through funding of the Deutsches Zentrum für Infektionsforschung (DZIF, TTU-TB personalized medicine TTU 02_813).

Transitioning women to first-line preferred TLD regimen is lagging in Sub-Saharan Africa.

INTRODUCTION: In 2019, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-lamivudine-dolutegravir (TLD) as the preferred first line regimen for adults and adolescents regardless of childbearing status. Nevertheless, final eligibility is determined by local policies which may vary from WHO recommendations. We examined TLD transition by gender across five PEPFAR-supported HIV care programs in sub-Saharan Africa. METHODS: The African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) enrolls people living with HIV (PLWH) engaged in care in Uganda, Kenya (South Rift Valley and Kisumu West), Tanzania and Nigeria. PLWH with at least one study visit after the country introduced TLD were included. We generated Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves to compare TLD transition by gender from 1) time countries' introduction of TLD and 2) time of TLD eligibility according to local policies. RESULTS: Among 2.476 participants enrolled through September 2021 at 4 sites in sub-Saharan Africa and eligible to transition to TLD, fewer women (68%) compared to men (80%, p < 0.001) were taking TLD. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed time to transition varied by site, with women in Tanzania transitioning at the same rate as men. In Nigeria, women initially had a slower transition but caught up to men. After adjusting for local policies, women[1] in Kisumu West transitioned at the same rate as men. In South Rift Valley and Uganda, women were less likely to be transitioned. CONCLUSIONS: Despite TLD being the WHO's preferred regimen since 2019, transition of women to potentially lifesaving TLD has been slower than men at certain clinical sites even after accounting for local eligibility criteria.

Dissecting drivers of immune activation in chronic HIV-1 infection.

BACKGROUND: Immune activation is a significant contributor to HIV pathogenesis and disease progression. In virally-suppressed individuals on ART, low-level immune activation has been linked to several non-infectious comorbid diseases. However, studies have not been systematically performed in sub-Saharan Africa and thus the impact of demographics, ART and regional endemic co-infections on immune activation is not known. We therefore comprehensively evaluated in a large multinational African cohort markers for immune activation and its distribution in various settings. METHODS: 2747 specimens from 2240 people living with HIV (PLWH) and 477 without HIV from the observational African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) were analyzed for 13 immune parameters. Samples were collected along with medical history, sociodemographic and comorbidity data at 12 HIV clinics across 5 programs in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania and Nigeria. Data were analyzed with univariate and multivariate methods such as random forests and principal component analysis. FINDINGS: Immune activation was markedly different between PLWH with detectable viral loads, and individuals without HIV across sites. Among viremic PLWH, we found that all immune parameters were significantly correlated with viral load except for IFN-α. The overall inflammatory profile was distinct between men and women living with HIV, in individuals off ART and with HIV viremia. We observed stronger differences in the immune activation profile with increasing viremia. Using machine learning methods, we found that geographic differences contributed to unique inflammatory profiles. We also found that among PLWH, age and the presence of infectious and/or noninfectious comorbidities showed distinct inflammatory patterns, and biomarkers may be used to predict the presence of some comorbidities. INTERPRETATION: Our findings show that chronic immune activation in HIV-1 infection is influenced by HIV viral load, sex, age, region and ART use. These predictors, as well as associations among some biomarkers and coinfections, influence biomarkers associated with noncommunicable diseases. FUNDING: This work was supported by the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief via a cooperative agreement between the Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., and the U.S. Department of Defense [W81XWH-11-2-0174, W81XWH-18-2-0040]. The investigators have adhered to the policies for protection of human subjects as prescribed in AR 70-25. This article was prepared while Michael A. Eller was employed at Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine for the U.S. Military HIV Research Program. The views expressed are those of the authors and should not be construed to represent the positions of the US Army or the Department of Defense. The opinions expressed in this article are the author's own, and do not reflect the view of the National Institutes of Health, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, or the U.S. government.

Weight gain during the dolutegravir transition in the African Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Dolutegravir (DTG) has become a preferred component of first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) in many settings but may be associated with excess weight gain. We evaluated changes in weight and body mass index (BMI) after switch to single-tablet tenofovir/lamivudine/dolutegravir (TLD) by people living with HIV (PLWH) in four African countries. METHODS: The African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) prospectively follows adults with and without HIV in Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Nigeria. Demographics, ART regimen, weight, BMI and waist-to-hip ratio were collected every 6 months. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with developing a BMI ≥25 kg/m2 . Linear mixed effects models with random effects were used to examine the average change in BMI, weight and waist-to-hip ratio. RESULTS: From 23 January 2013 to 1 December 2020, 2950 PLWH were enrolled in AFRICOS and 1474 transitioned to TLD. In adjusted models, PLWH on TLD had 1.77 times the hazard of developing a high BMI (95% CI: 1.22-2.55) compared to PLWH on non-TLD ART. Examining change in weight among all PLWH on ART, participants on TLD gained an average of 0.68 kg (95% CI: 0.32-1.04) more than PLWH on other regimens after adjusting for duration on ART, sex, age, study site and CD4 nadir. Among participants who switched to TLD, the average change in weight prior to TLD switch was 0.35 kg/year (95% CI: 0.25-0.46) and average change in weight was 1.46 kg/year (95% CI: 1.18-1.75) in the year following transition to TLD after adjustment for confounders. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated BMI and weight gain among PLWH on TLD are concerning safety signals. Implications for the development of metabolic comorbidities should be monitored, particularly if annual weight gain persists during continued follow-up after transitioning to TLD.

Clinical similarities and differences between two large HIV cohorts in the United States and Africa.

BACKGROUND: Washington, DC, and sub-Saharan Africa are both affected by generalized HIV epidemics. However, care for persons living with HIV (PLWH) and clinical outcomes may differ in these geographically and culturally diverse areas. We compared patient and clinical site characteristics among adult persons living with HIV (PLWH) enrolled in two longitudinal HIV cohort studies-the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) and the DC Cohort. METHODS: The DC Cohort is a clinic-based city-wide longitudinal cohort comprised of PLWH attending 15 HIV clinics in Washington, DC. Patients' socio-demographic characteristics, clinical evaluations, and laboratory data are retrospectively collected from electronic medical records and limited manual chart abstraction. AFRICOS is a prospective observational cohort of PLWH and uninfected volunteers attending 12 select HIV care and treatment facilities in Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania. AFRICOS study participants are a subset of clinic patients who complete protocol-specific visits every 6 months with history and physical examination, questionnaire administration, and blood/sputum collection for ascertainment of HIV outcomes and comorbidities, and neurocognitive and functional assessments. Among participants aged ≥ 18 years, we generated descriptive statistics for demographic and clinical characteristics at enrollment and follow up and compared them using bivariable analyses. RESULTS: The study sample included 2,774 AFRICOS and 8,420 DC Cohort participants who enrolled from January 2013 (AFRICOS)/January 2011 (DC Cohort) through March 2018. AFRICOS participants were significantly more likely to be women (58.8% vs 27.1%) and younger (83.3% vs 61.1% aged < 50 years old) and significantly less likely to be MSM (only 0.1% of AFRICOS population reported MSM risk factor) than DC Cohort. Similar rates of current viral suppression (about 75% of both samples), hypertension, hepatitis B coinfection and alcohol use were observed. However, AFRICOS participants had significantly higher rates of CD4<200 and tuberculosis and significantly lower rates of obesity, DM, hepatitis C coinfection and syphilis. CONCLUSIONS: With similar viral suppression outcomes, but many differences between our cohorts noted, the combined sample provides unique opportunities to assess and compare HIV care and treatment outcomes in the U.S. and sub-Saharan Africa. Comparing these two cohorts may inform care and treatment practices and may pave the way for future pathophysiologic analyses.

Non-communicable diseases in older people living with HIV in four African countries: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The lifespan of people living with HIV is increasing, and non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are becoming an important driver of morbidity in this population. We examined the prevalence of NCDs in older people with HIV and factors associated with development of NCDs. METHODS: The African Cohort Study is a prospective cohort enrolling adults with and without HIV at 12 sites in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and Nigeria. Using data collected from Jan 21, 2013 to June 30, 2021, we assessed the prevalence and odds of NCDs, including renal insufficiency (estimated glomerular filtration rate [GFR] <60 mL/min/1·73 m²), elevated blood pressure (any systolic blood pressure >139 mm Hg or diastolic BP >89 mm Hg), obesity (body mass index >30), diabetes (fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dL or receiving medication for diabetes) or hyperglycaemia (fasting glucose ≥99 mg/dL or non-fasting ≥199 mg/dL). Diabetes and hyperglycaemia were collectively evaluated as dysglycaemia. We used multivariable logistic regression with generalised estimating equations to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with NCDs. Diabetes and hyperglycaemia models were adjusted for potential confounders including study site and sex. Renal insufficiency models had similar adjustments with the addition of elevated blood pressure and hyperglycaemia. FINDINGS: Of 3434 participants, 2003 (59·3%) were female and 1431 (40·7%) were male, and 2949 (85·9%) were living with HIV. Of people living with HIV, 2188 (74·2%) were younger than 50 years and 761 (25·8%) were aged 50 years or older. Among people living with HIV aged 50 or older, 27·5% (n=209 had elevated blood pressure, 13·4% (102) had dysglycaemia, 4·3% (33) had renal insufficiency, and 11·7% (89) had obesity at last visit. Compared with people without HIV under 50, people living with HIV aged 50 or older had increased adjusted odds of having diabetes (5·29, 95% CI 2·61-10·70), hyperglycaemia (1·86, 1·38-2·50), and renal insufficiency (6·37, 2·38-17·1). We found no differences between individuals aged 50 years or older with and without HIV for diabetes, hyperglycaemia, and renal insufficiency. INTERPRETATION: There was a high burden of NCDs in this cohort. HIV status was not associated with NCD prevalence, although the study was probably underpowered to detect such an association. Screening and treatment for common NCDs, such as raised blood pressure and dysglycaemia, should be considered as part of HIV integrated care. Such an approach might help to prevent other NCDs, such as renal insufficiency, and improve the span of healthy life. FUNDING: PEPFAR via cooperative agreements between HJF and the US Department of Defense.

Routine HIV clinic visit adherence in the African Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Retention in clinical care is important for people living with HIV (PLWH). Evidence suggests that missed clinic visits are associated with interruptions in antiretroviral therapy (ART), lower CD4 counts, virologic failure, and overlooked coinfections. We identified factors associated with missed routine clinic visits in the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS). METHODS: In 2013, AFRICOS began enrolling people with and without HIV in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Nigeria. At enrollment and every 6 months thereafter, sociodemographic questionnaires are administered and clinical outcomes assessed. Missed clinic visits were measured as the self-reported number of clinic visits missed in the past 6 months and dichotomized into none or one or more visits missed. Logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between risk factors and missed visits. RESULTS: Between January 2013 and March 2020, 2937 PLWH were enrolled, of whom 2807 (95.6%) had initiated ART and 2771 had complete data available for analyses. Compared to PLWH 50+, missed clinic visits were more common among those 18-29 years (aOR 2.33, 95% CI 1.65-3.29), 30-39 years (aOR 1.59, 95% CI 1.19-2.13), and 40-49 years (aOR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07-1.89). As compared to PLWH on ART for < 2 years, those on ART for 4+ years were less likely to have missed clinic visits (aOR 0.72, 95% CI 0.55-0.95). Missed clinic visits were associated with alcohol use (aOR 1.34, 95% CI 1.05-1.70), a history of incarceration (aOR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07-1.88), depression (aOR 1.47, 95% CI 1.13-1.91), and viral non-suppression (aOR 2.50, 95% CI 2.00-3.12). As compared to PLWH who did not miss any ART in the past month, missed clinic visits were more common among those who missed 1-2 days (aOR 2.09, 95% CI 1.65-2.64) and 3+ days of ART (aOR 7.06, 95% CI 5.43-9.19). CONCLUSIONS: Inconsistent clinic attendance is associated with worsened HIV-related outcomes. Strategies to improve visit adherence are especially needed for young PLWH and those with depression.

Clinical factors and outcomes associated with immune non-response among virally suppressed adults with HIV from Africa and the United States.

A significant minority of people living with HIV (PLWH) achieve viral suppression (VS) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) but do not regain healthy CD4 counts. Clinical factors affecting this immune non-response (INR) and its effect on incident serious non-AIDS events (SNAEs) have been challenging to understand due to confounders that are difficult to control in many study settings. The U.S. Military HIV Natural History Study (NHS) and African Cohort Study (AFRICOS). PLWH with sustained VS (< 400 copies/ml for at least two years) were evaluated for INR (CD4 < 350 cells/µl at the time of sustained VS). Logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with INR. Cox proportional hazards regression produced adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for factors associated with incident SNAE after sustained VS. INR prevalence was 10.8% and 25.8% in NHS and AFRICOS, respectively. Higher CD4 nadir was associated with decreased odds of INR (aOR = 0.34 [95% CI 0.29, 0.40] and aOR = 0.48 [95% CI 0.40, 0.57] per 100 cells/µl in NHS and AFRICOS, respectively). After adjustment, INR was associated with a 61% increase in relative risk of SNAE [95% CI 1.12, 2.33]. Probability of "SNAE-free" survival at 15 years since sustained VS was approximately 20% lower comparing those with and without INR; nearly equal to the differences observed by 15-year age groups. CD4 monitoring before and after VS is achieved can help identify PLWH at risk for INR. INR may be a useful clinical indicator of future risk for SNAEs.

Predictors of All-Cause Mortality Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) in a Prospective Cohort Study in East Africa and Nigeria.

BACKGROUND: Introduction of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been associated with a decline in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related mortality, although HIV remains a leading cause of death in sub-Saharan Africa. We describe all-cause mortality and its predictors in people living with HIV (PLWH) in the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS). METHODS: AFRICOS enrolls participants with or without HIV at 12 sites in Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Nigeria. Evaluations every 6 months include sociobehavioral questionnaires, medical history, physical examination, and laboratory tests. Mortality data are collected from medical records and survivor interviews. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with mortality. RESULTS: From 2013 through 2020, 2724 PLWH completed at least 1 follow-up visit or experienced death. Of these 58.4% were females, 25.8% were aged ≥ 50 years, and 98.3% were ART-experienced. We observed 11.42 deaths per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 9.53-13.68) with causes ascertained in 54% of participants. Deaths were caused by malignancy (28.1%), infections (29.7%), and other non-HIV related conditions. Predictors of mortality included CD4 ≤ 350 cells/µL (aHR 2.01 [95% CI: 1.31-3.08]), a log10copies/mL increase of viral load (aHR 1.36 [95% CI: 1.22-1.51]), recent fever (aHR 1.85[95% CI: 1.22-2.81]), body mass index < 18.5 kg/m2 (aHR 2.20 [95% CI: 1.44-3.38]), clinical depression (aHR 2.42 [95% CI: 1.40-4.18]), World Health Organization (WHO) stage III (aHR 2.18 [95% CI: 1.31-3.61]), a g/dL increase in hemoglobin (aHR 0.79 [95% CI: .72-.85]), and every year on ART (aHR 0.67 [95% CI: .56-.81]). CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rate was low in this cohort of mostly virally suppressed PLWH. Patterns of deaths and identified predictors suggest multiple targets for interventions to reduce mortality.