Interferon-mediated NK cell activation is associated with limited neutralization breadth during SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Best known for their ability to kill infected or malignant cells, natural killer (NK) cells are also underappreciated regulators of the antibody response to viral infection. In mice, NK cells can kill T follicular helper (Tfh) cells, decreasing somatic hypermutation and vaccine responses. Although human NK cell activation correlates with poor vaccine response, the mechanisms of human NK cell regulation of adaptive immunity are poorly understood. We found that in human ancestral SARS-CoV-2 infection, broad neutralizers, who were capable of neutralizing Alpha, Beta, and Delta, had fewer NK cells that expressed inhibitory and immaturity markers whereas NK cells from narrow neutralizers were highly activated and expressed interferon-stimulated genes (ISGs). ISG-mediated activation in NK cells from healthy donors increased cytotoxicity and functional responses to induced Tfh-like cells. This work reveals that NK cell activation and dysregulated inflammation may play a role in poor antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 and opens exciting avenues for designing improved vaccines and adjuvants to target emerging pathogens.

Electronic health record biobank cohort recapitulates an association between the MUC5B promoter polymorphism and ARDS in critically ill adults.

Background: Large population-based DNA biobanks linked to electronic health records (EHRs) may provide novel opportunities to identify genetic drivers of ARDS. Research Question: Can we develop an EHR-based algorithm to identify ARDS in a biobank database, and can this validate a previously reported ARDS genetic risk factor? Study Design and Methods: We analyzed two parallel genotyped cohorts: a prospective biomarker cohort of critically ill adults (VALID), and a retrospective cohort of hospitalized participants enrolled in a de-identified EHR biobank (BioVU). ARDS was identified by clinician-investigator review in VALID and an EHR algorithm in BioVU (EHR-ARDS). We tested the association between the MUC5B promoter polymorphism rs35705950 with development of ARDS, and assessed if age modified this genetic association in each cohort. Results: In VALID, 2,795 patients were included, age was 55 [43, 66] (median [IQR]) years, and 718 (25.7%) developed ARDS. In BioVU, 9,025 hospitalized participants were included, age was 60 [48, 70] years, and 1,056 (11.7%) developed EHR-ARDS. We observed a significant age-related interaction effect on ARDS in VALID: among older patients, rs35705950 was associated with increased ARDS risk (OR: 1.44; 95%CI 1.08-1.92; p=0.012) whereas among younger patients this effect was absent (OR: 0.84; 95%CI: 0.62-1.14; p=0.26). In BioVU, rs35705950 was associated with increased risk for EHR-ARDS among all participants (OR: 1.20; 95%CI: 1.00-1.43, p=0.043) and this did not vary by age. The polymorphism was also associated worse oxygenation in mechanically ventilated BioVU participants, but had no association with oxygenation in VALID. Interpretation: The MUC5B promoter polymorphism was associated with ARDS in two cohorts of at-risk adults. Although age-related effect modification was observed only in VALID, BioVU identified a consistent association between MUC5B and ARDS risk regardless of age, and a novel association with oxygenation impairment. Our study highlights the potential for EHR biobanks to enable precision-medicine ARDS studies.

Evaluation of the feasibility and efficacy of point-of-care antibody tests for biomarker guided management of COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Biomarker guided therapy could improve management of COVID-19 inpatients. Although some results indicate that antibody tests are prognostic, little is known about patient management using point-of-care (POC) antibody tests. METHODS: COVID-19 inpatients were recruited to evaluate 2 POC tests: LumiraDX and RightSign. Ease of use data was collected. Blood was also collected for centralized testing using established antibody assays (GenScript cPass). A nested case-control study assessed if POC tests conducted on stored specimens were predictive of time to sustained recovery, mortality, and a composite safety outcome. RESULTS: While both POC tests exhibited moderate agreement with the GenScript assay (both agreeing with 89% of antibody determinations), they were significantly different from the GenScript assay. Treating the GenScript assay as the gold standard, the LumiraDX assay had 99.5% sensitivity and 58.1% specificity while the RightSign assay had 89.5% sensitivity and 84.0% specificity. The LumiraDX assay frequently gave indeterminant results. Both tests were significantly associated with clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Although both POC tests deviated moderately from the GenScript assay, they predicted outcomes of interest. The RightSign test was easier to use and was more likely to detect those lacking antibody compared to the LumiraDX test treating GenScript as the gold standard.

Association between emergency department disposition and mortality in patients with COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome.

Objectives: Patients hospitalized for COVID-19 frequently develop hypoxemia and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) after admission. In non-COVID-19 ARDS studies, admission to hospital wards with subsequent transfer to intensive care unit (ICU) is associated with worse outcomes. We hypothesized that initial admission to the ward may affect outcomes in patient with COVID-19 ARDS. Methods: This was a retrospective study of consecutive adults admitted for COVID-19 ARDS between March 2020 and March 2021 at Stanford Health Care. Mortality scores at hospital admission (Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium Mortality Score [4C score]) and ICU admission (Simplified Acute Physiology Score III [SAPS-III]) were calculated, as well as ROX index for patients on high flow nasal oxygen. Patients were classified by emergency department (ED) disposition (ward-first vs. ICU-direct), and 28- and 60-day mortality and highest level of respiratory support within 1 day of ICU admission were compared. A second cohort (April 2021‒July 2022, n = 129) was phenotyped to validate mortality outcome. Results: A total of 157 patients were included, 48% of whom were first admitted to the ward (n = 75). Ward-first patients had more comorbidities, including lung disease. Ward-first patients had lower 4C and similar SAPS-III score, yet increased mortality at 28 days (32% vs. 17%, hazard ratio [HR] 2.0, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.0‒3.7, p = 0.039) and 60 days (39% vs. 23%, HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.04‒3.22, p = 0.037) compared to ICU-direct patients. More ward-first patients escalated to mechanical ventilation on day 1 of ICU admission (36% vs. 14%, p = 0.002) despite similar ROX index. Ward-first patients who upgraded to ICU within 48 h of ED presentation had the highest mortality. Mortality findings were replicated in a sensitivity analysis. Conclusion: Despite similar baseline risk scores, ward-first patients with COVID-19 ARDS had increased mortality and escalation to mechanical ventilation compared to ICU-direct patients. Ward-first patients requiring ICU upgrade within 48 h were at highest risk, highlighting a need for improved identification of this group at ED admission.

Molecular Endotypes of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Latent Class Analysis of Two Multicenter Observational Cohorts.

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) causes irreversible fibrosis of the lung parenchyma. Although antifibrotic therapy can slow IPF progression, treatment response is variable. There exists a critical need to develop a precision medicine approach to IPF. Objectives: To identify and validate biologically driven molecular endotypes of IPF. Methods: Latent class analysis (LCA) was independently performed in prospectively recruited discovery (n = 875) and validation (n = 347) cohorts. Twenty-five plasma biomarkers associated with fibrogenesis served as class-defining variables. The association between molecular endotype and 4-year transplant-free survival was tested using multivariable Cox regression adjusted for baseline confounders. Endotype-dependent differential treatment response to future antifibrotic exposure was then assessed in a pooled cohort of patients naive to antifibrotic therapy at the time of biomarker measurement (n = 555). Measurements and Main Results: LCA independently identified two latent classes in both cohorts (P < 0.0001). WFDC2 (WAP four-disulfide core domain protein 2) was the most important determinant of class membership across cohorts. Membership in class 2 was characterized by higher biomarker concentrations and a higher risk of death or transplant (discovery, hazard ratio [HR], 2.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.64-2.48; P < 0.001; validation, HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.34-2.82; P < 0.001). In pooled analysis, significant heterogeneity in treatment effect was observed between endotypes (P = 0.030 for interaction), with a favorable antifibrotic response in class 2 (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.45-0.93; P = 0.018) but not in class 1 (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.77-1.84; P = 0.422). Conclusions: In this multicohort study, we identified two novel molecular endotypes of IPF with divergent clinical outcomes and responses to antifibrotic therapy. Pending further validation, these endotypes could enable a precision medicine approach for future IPF clinical trials.

Viral and Host Factors Are Associated With Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Persistent mortality in adults hospitalized due to acute COVID-19 justifies pursuit of disease mechanisms and potential therapies. The aim was to evaluate which virus and host response factors were associated with mortality risk among participants in Therapeutics for Inpatients with COVID-19 (TICO/ACTIV-3) trials. METHODS: A secondary analysis of 2625 adults hospitalized for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection randomized to 1 of 5 antiviral products or matched placebo in 114 centers on 4 continents. Uniform, site-level collection of participant baseline clinical variables was performed. Research laboratories assayed baseline upper respiratory swabs for SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA and plasma for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antigen (viral Ag), and interleukin-6 (IL-6). Associations between factors and time to mortality by 90 days were assessed using univariate and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Viral Ag ≥4500 ng/L (vs <200 ng/L; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.07; 1.29-3.34), viral RNA (<35 000 copies/mL [aHR, 2.42; 1.09-5.34], ≥35 000 copies/mL [aHR, 2.84; 1.29-6.28], vs below detection), respiratory support (<4 L O2 [aHR, 1.84; 1.06-3.22]; ≥4 L O2 [aHR, 4.41; 2.63-7.39], or noninvasive ventilation/high-flow nasal cannula [aHR, 11.30; 6.46-19.75] vs no oxygen), renal impairment (aHR, 1.77; 1.29-2.42), and IL-6 >5.8 ng/L (aHR, 2.54 [1.74-3.70] vs ≤5.8 ng/L) were significantly associated with mortality risk in final adjusted analyses. Viral Ag, viral RNA, and IL-6 were not measured in real-time. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline virus-specific, clinical, and biological variables are strongly associated with mortality risk within 90 days, revealing potential pathogen and host-response therapeutic targets for acute COVID-19 disease.

Elevated Plasma Interleukin-18 Identifies High-Risk Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Patients not Distinguished by Prior Latent Class Analyses Using Traditional Inflammatory Cytokines: A Retrospective Analysis of Two Randomized Clinical Trials.

OBJECTIVES: Interleukin-18 (IL-18) plasma level and latent class analysis (LCA) have separately been shown to predict prognosis and treatment response in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). IL-18 is a measure of inflammasome activation, a pathway potentially distinct from inflammation captured by biomarkers defining previously published LCA classes. We hypothesized that elevated IL-18 would identify distinct "high-risk" patients not captured by prior LCA classifications. DESIGN: Statins for acutely injured lungs from sepsis (SAILS) and hydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA reductase inhibition with simvastatin in acute lung injury to reduce pulmonary dysfunction trial (HARP-2) are two large randomized, controlled trials in ARDS in which both LCA assignments and IL-18 levels were shown to predict mortality. We first evaluated the overlap between high IL-18 levels (≥ 800 pg/mL) with prior LCA class assignments using McNemar's test and then tested the correlation between IL-18 and LCA biomarkers using Pearson's exact test on log-2 transformed values. Our primary analysis was the association of IL-18 level with 60-day mortality in the hypoinflammatory LCA class, which was assessed using the Fisher exact test and Cox proportional hazards modeling adjusting for age, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation score, and gender. Secondary analyses included the association of IL-18 and LCA with mortality within each IL-18/LCA subgroup. SETTING: Secondary analysis of two multicenter, randomized controlled clinical trials of ARDS patients. SUBJECTS: Six hundred eighty-three patients in SAILS and 511 patients in HARP-2. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We found that 33% of patients in SAILS and HARP-2 were discordant by IL-18 level and LCA class. We further found that IL-18 level was only modestly correlated (0.17-0.47) with cytokines used in the LCA assignment. A substantial subset of individuals classified as hypoinflammatory by LCA (14% of SAILS and 43% of HARP-2) were classified as high risk by elevated IL-18. These individuals were at high risk for mortality in both SAILS (42% 60-d mortality, odds ratio [OR] 3.3; 95% CI, 1.8-6.1; p < 0.001) and HARP-2 (27% 60-d mortality, OR 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.8; p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Plasma IL-18 level provides important additional prognostic information to LCA subphenotypes defined largely by traditional inflammatory biomarkers in two large ARDS cohorts.

Right Ventricular Dysfunction Patterns among Patients with COVID-19 in the Intensive Care Unit: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

Rationale: Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is common among patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease (COVID-19); however, its epidemiology may depend on the echocardiographic parameters used to define it. Objectives: To evaluate the prevalence of abnormalities in three common echocardiographic parameters of RV function among patients with COVID-19 admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), as well as the effect of RV dilatation on differential parameter abnormality and the association of RV dysfunction with 60-day mortality. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of ICU patients with COVID-19 between March 4, 2020, and March 4, 2021, who received a transthoracic echocardiogram within 48 hours before to at most 7 days after ICU admission. RV dysfunction and dilatation, respectively, were defined by guideline thresholds for tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), RV fractional area change, RV free wall longitudinal strain (RVFWS), and RV basal dimension or RV end-diastolic area. Association of RV dysfunction with 60-day mortality was assessed through logistic regression adjusting for age, prior history of congestive heart failure, invasive ventilation at the time of transthoracic echocardiogram, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score. Results: A total of 116 patients were included, of whom 69% had RV dysfunction by one or more parameters, and 36.3% of these had RV dilatation. The three most common patterns of RV dysfunction were the presence of three abnormalities, the combination of abnormal RVFWS and TAPSE, and isolated TAPSE abnormality. Patients with RV dilatation had worse RV fractional area change (24% vs. 36%; P = 0.001), worse RVFWS (16.3% vs. 19.1%; P = 0.005), higher RV systolic pressure (45 mm Hg vs. 31 mm Hg; P = 0.001) but similar TAPSE (13 mm vs. 13 mm; P = 0.30) compared with those with normal RV size. After multivariable adjustment, 60-day mortality was significantly associated with RV dysfunction (odds ratio, 2.91; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-9.44), as was the presence of at least two parameter abnormalities. Conclusions: ICU patients with COVID-19 had significant heterogeneity in RV function abnormalities present with different patterns associated with RV dilatation. RV dysfunction by any parameter was associated with increased mortality. Therefore, a multiparameter evaluation may be critical in recognizing RV dysfunction in COVID-19.

Effect of total cholesterol and statin therapy on mortality in ARDS patients: a secondary analysis of the SAILS and HARP-2 trials.

BACKGROUND: Two acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) trials showed no benefit for statin therapy, though secondary analyses suggest inflammatory subphenotypes may have a differential response to simvastatin. Statin medications decrease cholesterol levels, and low cholesterol has been associated with increased mortality in critical illness. We hypothesized that patients with ARDS and sepsis with low cholesterol could be harmed by statins. METHODS: Secondary analysis of patients with ARDS and sepsis from two multicenter trials. We measured total cholesterol from frozen plasma samples obtained at enrollment in Statins for Acutely Injured Lungs from Sepsis (SAILS) and Simvastatin in the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (HARP-2) trials, which randomized subjects with ARDS to rosuvastatin versus placebo and simvastatin versus placebo, respectively, for up to 28 days. We compared the lowest cholesterol quartile (< 69 mg/dL in SAILS, < 44 mg/dL in HARP-2) versus all other quartiles for association with 60-day mortality and medication effect. Fisher's exact test, logistic regression, and Cox Proportional Hazards were used to assess mortality. RESULTS: There were 678 subjects with cholesterol measured in SAILS and 509 subjects in HARP-2, of whom 384 had sepsis. Median cholesterol at enrollment was 97 mg/dL in both SAILS and HARP-2. Low cholesterol was associated with higher APACHE III and shock prevalence in SAILS, and higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and vasopressor use in HARP-2. Importantly, the effect of statins differed in these trials. In SAILS, patients with low cholesterol who received rosuvastatin were more likely to die (odds ratio (OR) 2.23, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.06-4.77, p = 0.02; interaction p = 0.02). In contrast, in HARP-2, low cholesterol patients had lower mortality if randomized to simvastatin, though this did not reach statistical significance in the smaller cohort (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.17-1.07, p = 0.06; interaction p = 0.22). CONCLUSIONS: Cholesterol levels are low in two cohorts with sepsis-related ARDS, and those in the lowest cholesterol quartile are sicker. Despite the very low levels of cholesterol, simvastatin therapy seems safe and may reduce mortality in this group, though rosuvastatin was associated with harm.

Evaluation of Acebilustat, a Selective Inhibitor of Leukotriene B4 Biosynthesis, for Treatment of Outpatients With Mild-Moderate Coronavirus Disease 2019: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Phase 2 Trial.

BACKGROUND: The vast majority of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease occurs in outpatients where treatment is limited to antivirals for high-risk subgroups. Acebilustat, a leukotriene B4 inhibitor, has potential to reduce inflammation and symptom duration. METHODS: In a single-center trial spanning Delta and Omicron variants, outpatients were randomized to 100 mg/d of oral acebilustat or placebo for 28 days. Patients reported daily symptoms via electronic query through day 28 with phone follow-up on day 120 and collected nasal swab samples on days 1-10. The primary outcome was sustained symptom resolution to day 28. Secondary 28-day outcomes included time to first symptom resolution, area under the curve (AUC) for longitudinal daily symptom scores, duration of viral shedding through day 10, and symptoms on day 120. RESULTS: Sixty participants were randomized to each study arm. At enrollment, the median duration was 4 days (interquartile range, 3-5 days), and the median number of symptoms was 9 (7-11). Most patients (90%) were vaccinated, with 73% having neutralizing antibodies. A minority of participants (44%; 35% in the acebilustat arm and 53% in placebo) had sustained symptom resolution at day 28 (hazard ratio, 0.6 [95% confidence interval, .34-1.04]; P = .07 favoring placebo). There was no difference in the mean AUC for symptom scores over 28 days (difference in mean AUC, 9.4 [95% confidence interval, -42.1 to 60.9]; P = .72). Acebilustat did not affect viral shedding or symptoms at day 120. CONCLUSIONS: Sustained symptoms through day 28 were common in this low-risk population. Despite this, leukotriene B4 antagonism with acebilustat did not shorten symptom duration in outpatients with COVID-19. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT04662060.

Autoantibodies are highly prevalent in non-SARS-CoV-2 respiratory infections and critical illness.

The widespread presence of autoantibodies in acute infection with SARS-CoV-2 is increasingly recognized, but the prevalence of autoantibodies in non-SARS-CoV-2 infections and critical illness has not yet been reported. We profiled IgG autoantibodies in 267 patients from 5 independent cohorts with non-SARS-CoV-2 viral, bacterial, and noninfectious critical illness. Serum samples were screened using Luminex arrays that included 58 cytokines and 55 autoantigens, many of which are associated with connective tissue diseases (CTDs). Samples positive for anti-cytokine antibodies were tested for receptor blocking activity using cell-based functional assays. Anti-cytokine antibodies were identified in > 50% of patients across all 5 acutely ill cohorts. In critically ill patients, anti-cytokine antibodies were far more common in infected versus uninfected patients. In cell-based functional assays, 11 of 39 samples positive for select anti-cytokine antibodies displayed receptor blocking activity against surface receptors for Type I IFN, GM-CSF, and IL-6. Autoantibodies against CTD-associated autoantigens were also commonly observed, including newly detected antibodies that emerged in longitudinal samples. These findings demonstrate that anti-cytokine and autoantibodies are common across different viral and nonviral infections and range in severity of illness.

Plasma metabolic profiling implicates dysregulated lipid metabolism and glycolytic shift in hyperinflammatory ARDS.

Using latent class analysis (LCA) of clinical and protein biomarkers, researchers have identified two phenotypes of the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) with divergent clinical trajectories and treatment responses. We investigated whether plasma metabolites differed among patients with LCA-derived hyperinflammatory and hypoinflammatory ARDS, and we tested the prognostic utility of adding metabolic clusters to LCA phenotypes. We analyzed data from 93 patients with ARDS and sepsis enrolled in a multicenter prospective cohort of critically ill patients, comparing 970 metabolites between the two LCA-derived phenotypes. In all, 188 metabolites were differentially abundant between the two LCA-derived phenotypes. After adjusting for age, sex, confounding medications, and comorbid liver and kidney disease, 82 metabolites remained significantly different. Patients with hyperinflammatory ARDS had reduced circulating lipids but high levels of pyruvate, lactate, and malate. Metabolic cluster and LCA-derived phenotypes were each significantly and independently associated with survival. Patients with hyperinflammatory ARDS may be experiencing a glycolytic shift leading to dysregulated lipid metabolism. Metabolic profiling offers prognostic information beyond what is captured by LCA phenotypes alone. Deeper biological profiling may identify key differences in pathogenesis among patients with ARDS and may lead to novel targeted therapies.

The Metabolomics of Critical Illness.

Critical illness is associated with dramatic changes in metabolism driven by immune, endocrine, and adrenergic mediators. These changes involve early activation of catabolic processes leading to increased energetic substrate availability; later on, they are followed by a hypometabolic phase characterized by deranged mitochondrial function. In sepsis and ARDS, these rapid clinical changes are reflected in metabolomic profiles of plasma and other fluids, suggesting that metabolomics could one day be used to assist in the diagnosis and prognostication of these syndromes. Some metabolites, such as lactate, are already in clinical use and define patients with septic shock, a high-mortality subtype of sepsis. Larger-scale metabolomic profiling may ultimately offer a tool to identify subgroups of critically ill patients who may respond to therapy, but further work is needed before this type of precision medicine is readily employed in the clinical setting.

Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Author Sex and Manuscript Acceptance Rates among Pulmonary and Critical Care Journals.

Rationale: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has negatively affected women more than men and may influence the publication of non-COVID-19 research. Objectives: To evaluate whether the COVID-19 pandemic is associated with changes in manuscript acceptance rates among pulmonary/critical care journals and sex-based disparities in these rates. Methods: We analyzed first, senior, and corresponding author sex (female vs. male, identified by matching first names in a validated Genderize database) of manuscripts submitted to four pulmonary/critical care journals between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2020. We constructed interrupted time series regression models to evaluate whether the proportion of female first and senior authors of non-COVID-19 original research manuscripts changed with the pandemic. Next, we performed multivariable logistic regressions to evaluate the association of author sex with acceptance of original research manuscripts. Results: Among 8,332 original research submissions, women represented 39.9% and 28.3% of first and senior authors, respectively. We found no change in the proportion of female first or senior authors of non-COVID-19 or COVID-19 submitted research manuscripts during the COVID-19 era. Non-COVID-19 manuscripts submitted during the COVID-19 era had reduced odds of acceptance, regardless of author sex (first author adjusted OR [aOR], 0.46 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.36-0.59]; senior author aOR, 0.46 [95% CI, 0.37-0.57]). Female senior authorship was associated with decreased acceptance of non-COVID-19 research manuscripts (crude rates, 14.4% [male] vs. 13.2% [female]; aOR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.71-0.99]). Conclusions: Although female author submissions were not disproportionately influenced by COVID-19, we found evidence suggesting sex disparities in manuscript acceptance rates. Journals may need to consider strategies to reduce this disparity, and academic institutions may need to factor our findings, including lower acceptance rates for non-COVID-19 manuscripts, into promotion decisions.

Using a 29-mRNA Host Response Classifier To Detect Bacterial Coinfections and Predict Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department.

Clinicians in the emergency department (ED) face challenges in concurrently assessing patients with suspected COVID-19 infection, detecting bacterial coinfection, and determining illness severity since current practices require separate workflows. Here, we explore the accuracy of the IMX-BVN-3/IMX-SEV-3 29 mRNA host response classifiers in simultaneously detecting severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and bacterial coinfections and predicting clinical severity of COVID-19. A total of 161 patients with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 (52.2% female; median age, 50.0 years; 51% hospitalized; 5.6% deaths) were enrolled at the Stanford Hospital ED. RNA was extracted (2.5 mL whole blood in PAXgene blood RNA), and 29 host mRNAs in response to the infection were quantified using Nanostring nCounter. The IMX-BVN-3 classifier identified SARS-CoV-2 infection in 151 patients with a sensitivity of 93.8%. Six of 10 patients undetected by the classifier had positive COVID tests more than 9 days prior to enrollment, and the remaining patients oscillated between positive and negative results in subsequent tests. The classifier also predicted that 6 (3.7%) patients had a bacterial coinfection. Clinical adjudication confirmed that 5/6 (83.3%) of the patients had bacterial infections, i.e., Clostridioides difficile colitis (n = 1), urinary tract infection (n = 1), and clinically diagnosed bacterial infections (n = 3), for a specificity of 99.4%. Two of 101 (2.8%) patients in the IMX-SEV-3 "Low" severity classification and 7/60 (11.7%) in the "Moderate" severity classification died within 30 days of enrollment. IMX-BVN-3/IMX-SEV-3 classifiers accurately identified patients with COVID-19 and bacterial coinfections and predicted patients' risk of death. A point-of-care version of these classifiers, under development, could improve ED patient management, including more accurate treatment decisions and optimized resource utilization. IMPORTANCE We assay the utility of the single-test IMX-BVN-3/IMX-SEV-3 classifiers that require just 2.5 mL of patient blood in concurrently detecting viral and bacterial infections as well as predicting the severity and 30-day outcome from the infection. A point-of-care device, in development, will circumvent the need for blood culturing and drastically reduce the time needed to detect an infection. This will negate the need for empirical use of broad-spectrum antibiotics and allow for antibiotic use stewardship. Additionally, accurate classification of the severity of infection and the prediction of 30-day severe outcomes will allow for appropriate allocation of hospital resources.

Circulating N-formylmethionine and metabolic shift in critical illness: a multicohort metabolomics study.

BACKGROUND: Cell stress promotes degradation of mitochondria which release danger-associated molecular patterns that are catabolized to N-formylmethionine. We hypothesized that in critically ill adults, the response to N-formylmethionine is associated with increases in metabolomic shift-related metabolites and increases in 28-day mortality. METHODS: We performed metabolomics analyses on plasma from the 428-subject Correction of Vitamin D Deficiency in Critically Ill Patients trial (VITdAL-ICU) cohort and the 90-subject Brigham and Women's Hospital Registry of Critical Illness (RoCI) cohort. In the VITdAL-ICU cohort, we analyzed 983 metabolites at Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, day 3, and 7. In the RoCI cohort, we analyzed 411 metabolites at ICU admission. The association between N-formylmethionine and mortality was determined by adjusted logistic regression. The relationship between individual metabolites and N-formylmethionine abundance was assessed with false discovery rate correction via linear regression, linear mixed-effects, and Gaussian graphical models. RESULTS: Patients with the top quartile of N-formylmethionine abundance at ICU admission had a significantly higher adjusted odds of 28-day mortality in the VITdAL-ICU (OR, 2.4; 95%CI 1.5-4.0; P = 0.001) and RoCI cohorts (OR, 5.1; 95%CI 1.4-18.7; P = 0.015). Adjusted linear regression shows that with increases in N-formylmethionine abundance at ICU admission, 55 metabolites have significant differences common to both the VITdAL-ICU and RoCI cohorts. With increased N-formylmethionine abundance, both cohorts had elevations in individual short-chain acylcarnitine, branched chain amino acid, kynurenine pathway, and pentose phosphate pathway metabolites. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that circulating N-formylmethionine promotes a metabolic shift with heightened mortality that involves incomplete mitochondrial fatty acid oxidation, increased branched chain amino acid metabolism, and activation of the pentose phosphate pathway.

Functional, imaging, and respiratory evaluation (FIRE) of patients post-hospitalization for COVID-19: protocol for a pilot observational study.

INTRODUCTION: We describe a protocol for FIRE CORAL, an observational cohort study that examines the recovery from COVID-19 disease following acute hospitalization with an emphasis on functional, imaging, and respiratory evaluation. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: FIRE CORAL is a multicenter prospective cohort study of participants recovering from COVID-19 disease with in-person follow-up for functional and pulmonary phenotyping conducted by the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Prevention and Early Treatment of Acute Lung Injury (PETAL) Network. FIRE CORAL will include a subset of participants enrolled in Biology and Longitudinal Epidemiology of PETAL COVID-19 Observational Study (BLUE CORAL), an NHLBI-funded prospective cohort study describing the clinical characteristics, treatments, biology, and outcomes of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 across the PETAL Network. FIRE CORAL consists of a battery of in-person assessments objectively measuring pulmonary function, abnormalities on lung imaging, physical functional status, and biospecimen analyses. Participants will attend and perform initial in-person testing at 3 to 9 months after hospitalization. The primary objective of the study is to determine the feasibility of longitudinal assessments investigating multiple domains of recovery from COVID-19. Secondarily, we will perform descriptive statistics, including the prevalence and characterization of abnormalities on pulmonary function, chest imaging, and functional status. We will also identify potential clinical and biologic factors that predict recovery or the occurrence of persistent impairment of pulmonary function, chest imaging, and functional status. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: FIRE CORAL is approved via the Vanderbilt University central institutional review board (IRB) and via reliance agreement with the site IRBs. Results will be disseminated via the writing group for the protocol committee and reviewed by the PETAL Network publications committee prior to publication. Data obtained via the study will subsequently be made publicly available via NHLBI's biorepository. STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY: Strengths: First US-based multicenter cohort of pulmonary and functional outcomes in patients previously hospitalized for COVID-19 infection Longitudinal biospecimen measurement allowing for biologic phenotyping of abnormalities Geographically diverse cohort allowing for a more generalizable understanding of post-COVID pulmonary sequela Limitations: Selected cohort given proximity to a participating center Small cohort which may be underpowered to identify small changes in pulmonary function.

Lessons from an international trial evaluating vaccination strategies for recovered inpatients with COVID-19 (VATICO).

The protection provided by natural versus hybrid immunity from COVID-19 is unclear. We reflect on the challenges from trying to conduct a randomized post-SARS-CoV-2 infection vaccination trial study with rapidly evolving scientific data, vaccination guidelines, varying international policies, difficulties with vaccine availability, vaccine hesitancy, and a constantly evolving virus.

Deconvoluting complex correlates of COVID-19 severity with a multi-omic pandemic tracking strategy.

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has differentially impacted populations across race and ethnicity. A multi-omic approach represents a powerful tool to examine risk across multi-ancestry genomes. We leverage a pandemic tracking strategy in which we sequence viral and host genomes and transcriptomes from nasopharyngeal swabs of 1049 individuals (736 SARS-CoV-2 positive and 313 SARS-CoV-2 negative) and integrate them with digital phenotypes from electronic health records from a diverse catchment area in Northern California. Genome-wide association disaggregated by admixture mapping reveals novel COVID-19-severity-associated regions containing previously reported markers of neurologic, pulmonary and viral disease susceptibility. Phylodynamic tracking of consensus viral genomes reveals no association with disease severity or inferred ancestry. Summary data from multiomic investigation reveals metagenomic and HLA associations with severe COVID-19. The wealth of data available from residual nasopharyngeal swabs in combination with clinical data abstracted automatically at scale highlights a powerful strategy for pandemic tracking, and reveals distinct epidemiologic, genetic, and biological associations for those at the highest risk.

The Association of Baseline Plasma SARS-CoV-2 Nucleocapsid Antigen Level and Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Levels of plasma SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid (N) antigen may be an important biomarker in patients with COVID-19 and enhance our understanding of the pathogenesis of COVID-19. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether levels of plasma antigen can predict short-term clinical outcomes and identify clinical and viral factors associated with plasma antigen levels in hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study of baseline plasma antigen level from 2540 participants enrolled in the TICO (Therapeutics for Inpatients With COVID-19) platform trial from August 2020 to November 2021, with additional data on day 5 outcome and time to discharge. SETTING: 114 centers in 10 countries. PARTICIPANTS: Adults hospitalized for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection with 12 days or less of symptoms. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline plasma viral N antigen level was measured at a central laboratory. Delta variant status was determined from baseline nasal swabs using reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Associations between baseline patient characteristics and viral factors and baseline plasma antigen levels were assessed using both unadjusted and multivariable modeling. Association between elevated baseline antigen level of 1000 ng/L or greater and outcomes, including worsening of ordinal pulmonary scale at day 5 and time to hospital discharge, were evaluated using logistic regression and Fine-Gray regression models, respectively. RESULTS: Plasma antigen was below the level of quantification in 5% of participants at enrollment, and 1000 ng/L or greater in 57%. Baseline pulmonary severity of illness was strongly associated with plasma antigen level, with mean plasma antigen level 3.10-fold higher among those requiring noninvasive ventilation or high-flow nasal cannula compared with room air (95% CI, 2.22 to 4.34). Plasma antigen level was higher in those who lacked antispike antibodies (6.42 fold; CI, 5.37 to 7.66) and in those with the Delta variant (1.73 fold; CI, 1.41 to 2.13). Additional factors associated with higher baseline antigen level included male sex, shorter time since hospital admission, decreased days of remdesivir, and renal impairment. In contrast, race, ethnicity, body mass index, and immunocompromising conditions were not associated with plasma antigen levels. Plasma antigen level of 1000 ng/L or greater was associated with a markedly higher odds of worsened pulmonary status at day 5 (odds ratio, 5.06 [CI, 3.41 to 7.50]) and longer time to hospital discharge (median, 7 vs. 4 days; subhazard ratio, 0.51 [CI, 0.45 to 0.57]), with subhazard ratios similar across all levels of baseline pulmonary severity. LIMITATIONS: Plasma samples were drawn at enrollment, not hospital presentation. No point-of-care test to measure plasma antigen is currently available. CONCLUSION: Elevated plasma antigen is highly associated with both severity of pulmonary illness and clinically important patient outcomes. Multiple clinical and viral factors are associated with plasma antigen level at presentation. These data support a potential role of ongoing viral replication in the pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2 in hospitalized patients. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: U.S. government Operation Warp Speed and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.