[Evaluation of factors associated with major hemorrhage in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty]. / Evaluación de factores asociados a hemorragia mayor en pacientes sometidos a artroplastía total de cadera primaria.

INTRODUCTION: the use of blood transfusions leads to increased hospital costs and an increased risk of medical complications and death. Therefore, it is necessary to study the incidence of major bleeding events and the factors associated with these outcomes in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty (THA). MATERIAL AND METHODS: observational, longitudinal and prospective study, carried out at the High Specialty Medical Unit of Traumatology and Orthopedics of Lomas Verdes of the Mexican Institute of Social Security, in the Joint Replacement Service, in the period from March 1, 2020 to July 1, 2020. RESULTS: the incidence of major bleeding in patients undergoing primary THA was 84.8%, when considering two criteria: a decrease in hemoglobin 2 g/dl and the need for transfusion 2 units of red blood cells. This figure increased to 87.1% when also including trans-surgical bleeding at its 75th percentile, equivalent to 500 ml. Transfusion of at least one unit of red blood cells during surgery was performed in 68% of patients. Trans-surgical bleeding reached a maximum of 1,900 ml, with a 75th percentile of 500 ml. Unlike other studies, in our institution, female gender did not prove to be a significant risk factor for major bleeding. CONCLUSION: it is advisable to analyze the procedures and particularities of THA surgery that may be associated with a lower risk of bleeding in older patients.

INTRODUCCIÓN: el uso de transfusiones sanguíneas conlleva aumentos en los costos hospitalarios y un mayor riesgo de complicaciones médicas y fallecimientos; por lo que es necesario el estudio de la incidencia de eventos de hemorragia mayor y de los factores que se asocien a estos desenlaces en los pacientes que se someten a una artroplastía total de cadera (ATC) primaria. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: estudio observacional, longitudinal y prospectivo, llevado a cabo en la Unidad Médica de Alta Especialidad de Traumatología y Ortopedia de Lomas Verdes del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, en el Servicio de Reemplazo Articular, en el período comprendido entre el 01 Marzo 2020 al 01 Julio 2020. RESULTADOS: la incidencia de hemorragia mayor en pacientes sometidos a ATC primaria fue de 84.8%, al considerarse dos criterios: una disminución de hemoglobina 2 g/dl y la necesidad de transfusión 2 unidades de glóbulos rojos. Esta cifra aumentó a 87.1% al incluir también el sangrado transquirúrgico en su percentil 75, equivalente a 500 ml. La transfusión de al menos una unidad de glóbulos rojos durante la cirugía se realizó en 68% de los pacientes. El sangrado transquirúrgico alcanzó un máximo de 1,900 ml, con un percentil 75 de 500 ml. A diferencia de otros estudios, en nuestra institución, el género femenino no demostró ser un factor de riesgo significativo para la hemorragia mayor. CONCLUSIÓN: es aconsejable analizar los procedimientos y las particularidades de la cirugía de ATC que puedan estar asociados con un menor riesgo de hemorragia en los pacientes mayores.

Two-year outcomes of radiofrequency device treatment of the nasal valve for nasal airway obstruction.

BACKGROUND: Temperature-controlled radiofrequency (TCRF) device treatment of nasal valve dysfunction (NVD) was superior to a sham procedure control in reducing the symptoms of nasal airway obstruction (NAO) in this randomised controlled trial (RCT). METHODOLOGY: Two-year outcomes for 108 patients actively treated in a prospective, multicenter, patient-blinded RCT were used to determine treatment effect durability and changes in medication/nasal dilator usage. A responder was defined as ≥ 20 reduction in NOSE score or 1 reduction in severity class. RESULTS: The mean (SD) age of patients was 48.5 (12.3) years; 66 (61.1%) women. Baseline NOSE score was 76.3. The 2-year responder rate was 90.4% and NOSE score treatment effect was -41.7; 54.7% improvement. Of 57 patients using medications/nasal dilators at baseline, 45 (78.9%) either stopped all use (33.3%) or stopped/decreased (45.6%) use in >=1 class at 2 years. Concurrent septal deviation, septal swell body, or turbinate enlargement did not significantly affect the odds of exhibiting a NOSE score of ≤ 25 at 2 years. CONCLUSIONS: TCRF device treatment of NVD resulted in significant and sustained improvements in the symptoms of NAO at 2 years, accompanied by a substantial reduction in medication/nasal dilator use.

First-in-human Evaluation of a Prostate-specific Membrane Antigen-targeted Near-infrared Fluorescent Small Molecule for Fluorescence-based Identification of Prostate Cancer in Patients with High-risk Prostate Cancer Undergoing Robotic-assisted Prostatectomy.

BACKGROUND: Men with high-risk prostate cancer undergoing surgery likely recur due to failure to completely excise regional and/or local disease. OBJECTIVE: The first-in-human evaluation of safety, pharmacokinetics, and exploratory efficacy of IS-002, a novel near-infrared prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-targeted fluorescence imaging agent, designed for intraoperative prostate cancer visualization. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A phase 1, single-center, dose-escalation study was conducted in 24 men with high-risk prostate cancer scheduled for robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy with (extended) pelvic lymph node dissection using the da Vinci surgical system. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Adverse events (AEs), vital signs, complete blood count, complete metabolic panel, urinalysis, and electrocardiogram were assessed over a 14-d period and compared with baseline. The pharmacokinetic profile of IS-002 was determined. Diagnostic accuracy was assessed for exploratory efficacy. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: AEs predominantly included discoloration of urine (n = 22/24; expected, related, grade 1). There were no grade ≥2 AEs. IS-002 Cmax and area under the curve increased with increasing dose. Plasma concentrations declined rapidly in a biphasic manner, with the median terminal half-lives ranging from 5.0 to 7.6 h, independent of dose and renal function. At 25 µg/kg, the exploratory efficacy readouts for the negative and positive predictive values were, 97% and 45% for lymph nodes, and 100% and 80% for residual/locoregional disease detection, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: IS-002 is safe and well tolerated, and has the potential to enable intraoperative tumor detection that could not be identified using standard imaging. PATIENT SUMMARY: IS-002 is a new imaging agent that specifically targets the prostate-specific membrane antigen receptor. In this study, we tested IS-002 for the first time in men with high-risk prostate cancer undergoing surgery and found that IS-002 is safe, is cleared from the body quickly, and potentially allows identification of prostate cancer in areas that would not be identified by conventional white light imaging.

Early Resistance Rehabilitation Improves Functional Regeneration Following Segmental Bone Defect Injury.

Mechanical loading is integral to bone development and repair. The application of mechanical loads through rehabilitation are regularly prescribed as a clinical aide following severe bone injuries. However, current rehabilitation regimens typically involve long periods of non-loading and rely on subjective patient feedback, leading to muscle atrophy and soft tissue fibrosis. While many pre-clinical studies have focused on unloading, ambulatory loading, or direct mechanical compression, rehabilitation intensity and its impact on the local strain environment and subsequent bone healing have largely not been investigated. This study combines implantable strain sensors and subject-specific finite element models in a pre-clinical rodent model with a defect size on the cusp of critically-sized. Animals were enrolled in either high or low intensity rehabilitation one week post injury to investigate how rehabilitation intensity affects the local mechanical environment and subsequent functional bone regeneration. The high intensity rehabilitation animals were given free access to running wheels with resistance, which increased local strains within the regenerative niche by an average of 44% compared to the low intensity (no-resistance) group. Finite element modeling demonstrated that resistance rehabilitation significantly increased compressive strain by a factor of 2.0 at week 1 and 4.45 after 4 weeks of rehabilitation. The resistance rehabilitation group had significantly increased regenerated bone volume and higher bone bridging rates than its sedentary counterpart (bone volume: 22.00 mm3 ± 4.26 resistance rehabilitation vs 8.00 mm3 ± 2.27 sedentary; bridging rates: 90% resistance rehabilitation vs 50% sedentary). In addition, animals that underwent resistance running had femurs with improved mechanical properties compared to those left in sedentary conditions, with failure torque and torsional stiffness values matching their contralateral, intact femurs (stiffness: 0.036 Nm/deg ± 0.006 resistance rehabilitation vs 0.008 Nm/deg ± 0.006 sedentary). Running on a wheel with no resistance rehabilitation also increased bridging rates (100% no resistance rehabilitation vs 50% sedentary). Analysis of bone volume and von Frey suggest no-resistance rehabilitation may improve bone regeneration and hindlimb functionality. These results demonstrate the potential for early resistance rehabilitation as a rehabilitation regimen to improve bone regeneration and functional recovery.

Deceased Donor Kidney Nonuse: A Systematic Approach to Improvement.

A large number of procured kidneys continue not to be transplanted, while the waiting list remains high. Methods: We analyzed donor characteristics for unutilized kidneys in our large organ procurement organization (OPO) service area in a single year to determine the reasonableness of their nonuse and to identify how we might increase the transplant rate of these kidneys. Five experienced local transplant physicians independently reviewed unutilized kidneys to identify which kidneys they would consider transplanting in the future. Biopsy results, donor age, kidney donor profile index, positive serologies, diabetes, and hypertension were risk factors for nonuse. Results: Two-thirds of nonused kidneys had biopsies with high degree of glomerulosclerosis and interstitial fibrosis. Reviewers identified 33 kidneys as potentially transplantable (12%). Conclusions: Reducing the rate of unutilized kidneys in this OPO service area will be achieved by setting acceptable expanded donor characteristics, identifying suitable well-informed recipients, defining acceptable outcomes, and systematically evaluating the results of these transplants. Because the improvement opportunity will vary by region, to achieve a significant impact on improving the national nonuse rate, it would be useful for all OPOs, in collaboration with their transplant centers, to conduct a similar analysis.

Prevalence and Disparities in Folate and Vitamin B12 Deficiency Among Preschool Children in Guatemala.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Folate and vitamin B12 deficiencies can impair proper growth and brain development in children. Data on the folate and vitamin B12 status of children aged 6-59 months in Guatemala are scarce. Identification of factors associated with higher prevalence of these micronutrient deficiencies within the population is needed for national and regional policymakers. OBJECTIVE: To describe national and regional post-fortification folate and vitamin B12 status of children aged 6-59 months in Guatemala. METHODS: A multistage, cluster probability study was carried out with national and regional representation of children aged 6-59 months. Demographic and health information was collected for 1246 preschool children, but blood samples for red blood cell (RBC) folate and vitamin B12 were collected and analyzed for 1,245 and 1143 preschool children, respectively. We used the following deficiency criteria as cutoff points for the analyses: < 305 nmol/L for RBC folate, < 148 pmol/L for vitamin B12 deficiency, and 148-221 pmol/L for marginal vitamin B12 deficiency. Prevalence of RBC folate deficiency and vitamin B12 deficiency and marginal deficiency were estimated. Prevalence risk ratios of RBC folate and vitamin B12 deficiency were estimated comparing subpopulations of interest. RESULTS: The national prevalence estimates of RBC folate deficiency among children was 33.5% [95% CI 29.1, 38.3]. The prevalence of RBC folate deficiency showed wide variation by age (20.3-46.6%) and was significantly higher among children 6-11 months and 12-23 months (46.6 and 37.0%, respectively), compared to older children aged 48-59 months (20.3%). RBC folate deficiency also varied widely by household wealth index (22.6-42.0%) and geographic region (27.2-46.7%) though the differences were not statistically significant. The national geometric mean for RBC folate concentrations was 354.2 nmol/L. The national prevalences of vitamin B12 deficiency and marginal deficiency among children were 22.5% [95% CI 18.2, 27.5] and 27.5% [95% CI 23.7, 31.7], respectively. The prevalence of vitamin B12 deficiency was significantly higher among indigenous children than among non-indigenous children (34.5% vs. 13.1%, aPRR 2.1 95% CI 1.4, 3.0). The prevalence of vitamin B12 deficiency also significantly varied between the highest and lowest household wealth index (34.3 and 6.0%, respectively). The national geometric mean for vitamin B12 concentrations was 235.1 pmol/L. The geometric means of folate and B12 concentrations were significantly lower among children who were younger, had a lower household wealth index, and were indigenous (for vitamin B12 only). Folate and vitamin B12 concentrations showed wide variation by region (not statistically significant), and the Petén and Norte regions showed the lowest RBC folate and vitamin B12 concentrations, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, a third of all children had RBC folate deficiency and half were vitamin B12 deficient. Folate deficiency was more common in younger children and vitamin B12 deficiency was more common in indigenous children and those from the poorest families. These findings suggest gaps in the coverage of fortification and the need for additional implementation strategies to address these gaps in coverage to help safeguard the health of Guatemalan children.

Defining and measuring denigration of general practice in medical education.

There is a workforce crisis in NHS general practice (GP). It is estimated that to meet future healthcare needs around 50% of current medical students will need to choose a career in GP. Positive role modelling is an influential factor in medical students' career choice, but denigration of primary care during medical training may undermine the aspirations of students considering GP as a career. This article discusses the importance of medical schools detecting and managing denigration of GP in their curricula and, for the first time, suggests an objective approach to the measurement of denigration. Four facets which constitute denigration are discussed and proposed as a collective measure. These are: language used about GP, proportion of curriculum time spent by students in GP, accurate representation of the clinical content of GP and equity of funding between hospital and GP placements. Furthermore, we discuss the key ethical and legal challenges that are faced by medical schools and, indeed, healthcare settings, that need to be overcome to enable proactive measurement and management of denigration.

Financial Margins for Prostate Cancer Surgery: Quantifying the Impact of Modifiable Cost Inputs in an Episode Based Reimbursement Model.

PURPOSE: The United States health care system is rapidly moving away from fee for service reimbursement in an effort to improve quality and contain costs. Episode based reimbursement is an increasingly relevant value based payment model of surgical care. We sought to quantify the impact of modifiable cost inputs on institutional financial margins in an episode based payment model for prostate cancer surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 157 consecutive patients underwent robotic radical prostatectomy in 2016 at a tertiary academic medical center. We compiled comprehensive episode costs and reimbursements from the most recent urology consultation for prostate cancer through 90 days postoperatively and benchmarked the episode price as a fixed reimbursement to the median reimbursement of the cohort. We identified 2 sources of modifiable costs with undefined empirical value, including preoperative prostate magnetic resonance imaging and perioperative functional recovery counseling visits, and then calculated the impact on financial margins (reimbursement minus cost) under an episode based payment. RESULTS: Although they comprised a small proportion of the total episode costs, varying the use of preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (33% vs 100% of cases) and functional recovery counseling visits (1 visit in 66% and 2 in 100%) reduced average expected episode financial margins up to 22.6% relative to the margin maximizing scenario in which no patient received these services. CONCLUSIONS: Modifiable cost inputs have a substantial impact on potential operating margins for prostate cancer surgery under an episode based payment model. High cost health systems must develop the capability to analyze individual cost inputs and quantify the contribution to quality to inform value improvement efforts for multiple service lines.

Supply Considerations for Scaling Up Clean Cooking Fuels for Household Energy in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.

Promoting access to clean household cooking energy is an important subject for policy making in low- and middle-income countries, in light of urgent and global efforts to achieve universal energy access by 2030 (Sustainable Development Goal 7). In 2014, the World Health Organization issued "Guidelines for Indoor Air Quality: Household Fuel Combustion", which recommended a shift to cleaner fuels rather than promotion of technologies that more efficiently combust solid fuels. This study fills an important gap in the literature on transitions to household use of clean cooking energy by reviewing supply chain considerations for clean fuel options in low- and middle-income countries. For the purpose of this study, we consider electricity, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), alcohol fuels, biogas, and compressed biomass pellets burned in high performing gasifier stoves to be clean fuel options. Each of the clean fuels reviewed in this study, as well as the supply of electricity, presents both constraints and opportunities for enhanced production, supply, delivery, and long-term sustainability and scalability in resource-poor settings. These options are reviewed and discussed together with policy and regulatory considerations to help in making these fuel and energy choices available and affordable. Our hope is that researchers, government officials and policy makers, and development agencies and investors will be aided by our comparative analysis of these clean household energy choices.

Multigene testing of moderate-risk genes: be mindful of the missense.

BACKGROUND: Moderate-risk genes have not been extensively studied, and missense substitutions in them are generally returned to patients as variants of uncertain significance lacking clearly defined risk estimates. The fraction of early-onset breast cancer cases carrying moderate-risk genotypes and quantitative methods for flagging variants for further analysis have not been established. METHODS: We evaluated rare missense substitutions identified from a mutation screen of ATM, CHEK2, MRE11A, RAD50, NBN, RAD51, RINT1, XRCC2 and BARD1 in 1297 cases of early-onset breast cancer and 1121 controls via scores from Align-Grantham Variation Grantham Deviation (GVGD), combined annotation dependent depletion (CADD), multivariate analysis of protein polymorphism (MAPP) and PolyPhen-2. We also evaluated subjects by polygenotype from 18 breast cancer risk SNPs. From these analyses, we estimated the fraction of cases and controls that reach a breast cancer OR≥2.5 threshold. RESULTS: Analysis of mutation screening data from the nine genes revealed that 7.5% of cases and 2.4% of controls were carriers of at least one rare variant with an average OR≥2.5. 2.1% of cases and 1.2% of controls had a polygenotype with an average OR≥2.5. CONCLUSIONS: Among early-onset breast cancer cases, 9.6% had a genotype associated with an increased risk sufficient to affect clinical management recommendations. Over two-thirds of variants conferring this level of risk were rare missense substitutions in moderate-risk genes. Placement in the estimated OR≥2.5 group by at least two of these missense analysis programs should be used to prioritise variants for further study. Panel testing often creates more heat than light; quantitative approaches to variant prioritisation and classification may facilitate more efficient clinical classification of variants.

Variability in Implementation of Interventions Aimed at Reducing Readmissions Among Patients With Heart Failure: A Survey of Teaching Hospitals.

PURPOSE: To highlight teaching hospitals' efforts to reduce readmissions by describing interventions implemented to improve care transitions for heart failure (HF) patients and the variability in implemented HF-specific and care transition interventions. METHOD: In 2012, the authors surveyed a network of 17 teaching hospitals to capture information about the number, type, stage of implementation, and structure of 4 HF-specific and 21 care transition (predischarge, bridging, and postdischarge) interventions implemented to reduce readmissions among patients with HF. The authors summarized data using descriptive statistics, including the mean number of interventions implemented and the frequency and stage of specific interventions, and descriptive plots of the structure of two common interventions (multidisciplinary rounds and follow-up telephone calls). RESULTS: Sixteen hospitals (94%) responded. The number and stage of implementation of the HF-specific and care transition interventions implemented varied across institutions. The mean number of interventions at an advanced stage of implementation (i.e., implemented for ≥ 75% of HF patients on the cardiology service or on all services) was 10.9 (standard deviation = 4.3). Overall, predischarge interventions were more common than bridging or postdischarge interventions. There was variability in the personnel involved in multidisciplinary rounds and in the processes/content of follow-up telephone calls. CONCLUSIONS: Teaching hospitals have implemented a wide range of interventions aimed at reducing hospital readmissions, but there is substantial variability in the types, stages, and structure of their interventions. This heterogeneity highlights the need for collaborative efforts to improve understanding of intervention effectiveness.

Diabetic retinopathy care--an international quality comparison.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this paper is to study the quality indicator appropriateness and use it for international quality comparison on diabetic retinopathy (DR) patient care process in one American and one Dutch eye hospital. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: A 17-item DR quality indicator set was composed based on a literature review and systematically applied in two hospitals. Qualitative analysis entailed document study and 12 semi-structured face-to-face interviews with ophthalmologists, managers, and board members of the two hospitals. FINDINGS: While the medical-clinical approach to DR treatment in both hospitals was similar, differences were found in quality of care perception and operationalization. Neither hospital systematically used outcome indicators for DR care. On the process level, the authors found larger differences. Similarities and differences were found in the structure of both hospitals. The hospitals' particular contexts influenced the interpretation and use of quality indicators. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Although quality indicators and quality comparison between hospitals are increasingly used in international settings, important local differences influence their application. Context should be taken into account. Since that context is locally bound and directly linked to hospital setting, caution should be used interpreting the results of quality comparison studies. ORIGINALITY/VALUE: International quality comparison is increasingly suggested as a useful way to improve healthcare. Little is known, however, about the appropriateness and use of quality indicators in local hospital care practices.

[Mother-infant dengue transmission during the 2009-2010 dengue epidemic: report of four cases]. / Dengue materno-fœtale au cours de l'épidémie de 2009-2010 en Guadeloupe : à propos de 4 cas.

The risks related to dengue virus infection during pregnancy have been increasingly better described over the past 10 years. The possibility of maternal-fetal transmission is now recognized, but the diagnosis is still too late because of a wide range of clinical signs that the infected newborn child can present. From December 2009 to October 2010, Guadeloupe Island underwent an exceptional dengue epidemic. During this epidemic, at least four cases of vertical virus transmission were biologically proved. The purpose of this article is to describe the clinical aspects of these cases, some of which have rarely been described in this pathology. Of the four cases, one showed fetal growth restriction, one neonatal cholestasia, one twin pregnancy, and what seems to be the first case of hemophagocytic syndrome associated with a newborn child infected by this virus. Although the proportion of vertical transmission proved is low, compared with the number of adults affected during an epidemic, some severe cases urge us to be increasingly watchful with this emergent arbovirus, especially because its real incidence is still unknown.

A framework for improving access and customer service times in health care: application and analysis at the UCLA Medical Center.

There has been an increasing emphasis on health care efficiency and costs and on improving quality in health care settings such as hospitals or clinics. However, there has not been sufficient work on methods of improving access and customer service times in health care settings. The study develops a framework for improving access and customer service time for health care settings. In the framework, the operational concept of the bottleneck is synthesized with queuing theory to improve access and reduce customer service times without reduction in clinical quality. The framework is applied at the Ronald Reagan UCLA Medical Center to determine the drivers for access and customer service times and then provides guidelines on how to improve these drivers. Validation using simulation techniques shows significant potential for reducing customer service times and increasing access at this institution. Finally, the study provides several practice implications that could be used to improve access and customer service times without reduction in clinical quality across a range of health care settings from large hospitals to small community clinics.

Poverty, wealth, and health care utilization: a geographic assessment.

Geographic variation has been of interest to both health planners and social epidemiologists. However, while the major focus of interest of planners has been on variation in health care spending, social epidemiologists have focused on health; and while social epidemiologists have observed strong associations between poor health and poverty, planners have concluded that income is not an important determinant of variation in spending. These different conclusions stem, at least in part, from differences in approach. Health planners have generally studied variation among large regions, such as states, counties, or hospital referral regions (HRRs), while epidemiologists have tended to study local areas, such as ZIP codes and census tracts. To better understand the basis for geographic variation in hospital utilization, we drew upon both approaches. Counties and HRRs were disaggregated into their constituent ZIP codes and census tracts and examined the interrelationships between income, disability, and hospital utilization that were examined at both the regional and local levels, using statistical and geomapping tools. Our studies centered on the Milwaukee and Los Angeles HRRs, where per capita health care utilization has been greater than elsewhere in their states. We compared Milwaukee to other HRRs in Wisconsin and Los Angeles to the other populous counties of California and to a region in California of comparable size and diversity, stretching from San Francisco to Sacramento (termed "San-Framento"). When studied at the ZIP code level, we found steep, curvilinear relationships between lower income and both increased hospital utilization and increasing percentages of individuals reporting disabilities. These associations were also evident on geomaps. They were strongest among populations of working-age adults but weaker among seniors, for whom income proved to be a poor proxy for poverty and whose residential locations deviated from the major underlying income patterns. Among working-age adults, virtually all of the excess utilization in Milwaukee was attributable to very high utilization in Milwaukee's segregated "poverty corridor." Similarly, the greater rate of hospital use in Los Angeles than in San-Framento could be explained by proportionately more low-income ZIP codes in Los Angeles and fewer in San-Framento. Indeed, when only high-income ZIP codes were assessed, there was little variation in hospital utilization among California's 18 most populous counties. We estimated that had utilization within each region been at the rate of its high-income ZIP codes, overall utilization would have been 35 % less among working-age adults and 20 % less among seniors. These studies reveal the importance of disaggregating large geographic units into their constituent ZIP codes in order to understand variation in health care utilization among them. They demonstrate the strong association between low ZIP code income and both higher percentages of disability and greater hospital utilization. And they suggest that, given the large contribution of the poorest neighborhoods to aggregate utilization, it will be difficult to curb the growth of health care spending without addressing the underlying social determinants of health.

Looking forward, looking back: assessing variations in hospital resource use and outcomes for elderly patients with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have found substantial variation in hospital resource use by expired Medicare beneficiaries with chronic illnesses. By analyzing only expired patients, these studies cannot identify differences across hospitals in health outcomes like mortality. This study examines the association between mortality and resource use at the hospital level, when all Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for heart failure are examined. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 3999 individuals hospitalized with a principal diagnosis of heart failure at 6 California teaching hospitals between January 1, 2001, and June 30, 2005, were analyzed with multivariate risk-adjustment models for total hospital days, total hospital direct costs, and mortality within 180-days after initial admission ("Looking Forward"). A subset of 1639 individuals who died during the study period were analyzed with multivariate risk-adjustment models for total hospital days and total hospital direct costs within 180-days before death ("Looking Back"). "Looking Forward" risk-adjusted hospital means ranged from 17.0% to 26.0% for mortality, 7.8 to 14.9 days for total hospital days, and 0.66 to 1.30 times the mean value for indexed total direct costs. Spearman rank correlation coefficients were -0.68 between mortality and hospital days, and -0.93 between mortality and indexed total direct costs. "Looking Back" risk-adjusted hospital means ranged from 9.1 to 21.7 days for total hospital days and 0.91 to 1.79 times the mean value for indexed total direct costs. Variation in resource use site ranks between expired and all individuals were attributable to insignificant differences. CONCLUSIONS: California teaching hospitals that used more resources caring for patients hospitalized for heart failure had lower mortality rates. Focusing only on expired individuals may overlook mortality variation as well as associations between greater resource use and lower mortality. Reporting values without identifying significant differences may result in incorrect assumption of true differences.

Creation of inpatient capacity during a major hospital relocation: lessons for disaster planning.

OBJECTIVE: To identify tools to aid the creation of disaster surge capacity using a model of planned inpatient census reduction prior to relocation of a university hospital. DESIGN: Prospective analysis of hospital operations for 1-week periods beginning 2 weeks (baseline) and 1 week (transition) prior to move day; analysis of regional hospital and emergency department capacity. SETTING: Large metropolitan university teaching hospital. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital census figures and patient outcomes. RESULTS: Census was reduced by 36% from 537 at baseline to 345 on move day, a rate of 18 patients/d (P < .005). Census reduction was greater for surgical services than nonsurgical services (46% vs 30%; P = .02). Daily volume of elective operations also decreased significantly, while the number of emergency operations was unchanged. Hospital admissions were decreased by 42%, and the adjusted discharges per occupied bed were increased by 8% (both P < .05). Inpatient mortality was not affected. Regional capacity to absorb new patients was limited. During a period in which southern California population grew by 8.5%, acute care beds fell by 3.3%, while Los Angeles County emergency departments experienced a 13% diversion rate due to overcrowding. CONCLUSIONS: Local or regional disasters of any size can overwhelm the system's ability to respond. Our strategy produced a surge capacity of 36% without interruption of emergency department and trauma services but required 3 to 4 days for implementation, making it applicable to disasters and mass casualty events with longer lead times. These principles may aid in disaster preparedness and planning.