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1.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 2024 Jun 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38822745

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Multiple factors, such as less complex U.S. adult pneumococcal recommendations that could increase vaccination rates, childhood pneumococcal vaccination indirect effects that decrease adult vaccination impact, and increased vaccine hesitancy (particularly in underserved minorities), could diminish the cost-effectiveness of programs to increase pneumococcal vaccination in older adults. Prior analyses supported the economic favorability of these programs. METHODS: A Markov model compared no vaccination and current recommendations (either 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine [PCV20] alone or 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine plus the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine [PCV15/PPSV23]) without or with programs to increase vaccine uptake in Black and non-Black 65-year-old cohorts. Pre-pandemic population- and serotype-specific pneumococcal disease risk and illness/vaccine costs came from U.S. DATABASES: Program costs were $2.19 per vaccine-eligible person and increased absolute vaccination likelihood by 7.5%. Delphi panel estimates and trial data informed vaccine effectiveness values. Analyses took a healthcare perspective, discounting at 3%/year over a lifetime time horizon. RESULTS: Uptake programs decreased pneumococcal disease overall. In Black cohorts, PCV20 without program cost $216,805 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared with no vaccination; incremental cost-effectiveness was $245,546/QALY for PCV20 with program and $425,264/QALY for PCV15/PPSV23 with program. In non-Black cohorts, all strategies cost >$200,000/QALY gained. When considering the potential indirect effects from childhood vaccination, all strategies became less economically attractive. Increased vaccination with less complex strategies had negligible effects. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, current recommendations with or without programs were unlikely to be favored at thresholds <$200,000/QALY gained. CONCLUSION: Current U.S. pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for older adults were unlikely to be economically reasonable with or without programs to increase vaccine uptake. Alternatives to current pneumococcal vaccines that include pneumococcal serotypes associated with adult disease should be considered.

2.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38858856

RESUMEN

AIMS: In October 2023, the Tennessee Department of Health identified an outbreak of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157:H7 infections among elementary school students who attended school field trips to the same farm animal exhibit. Our aim was to determine STEC source and prevent additional illnesses by initiating epidemiologic, laboratory and environmental investigations. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified cases using laboratory-based surveillance and by surveying caregivers of children who attended the exhibit. Probable cases were defined as illness with abdominal cramps or diarrhoea after attendance; confirmed cases were laboratory-confirmed STEC infection in an attendee or household contact. A site visit was conducted, and event organizers were interviewed. Human stool, animal faeces and environmental samples were tested for STEC O157:H7 by real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR), culture and whole-genome sequencing (WGS). Approximately 2300 elementary school students attended the animal exhibit during 2 days. Field trip activities included contact with different farm animal species, drinking pasteurized milk outside animal enclosures and eating lunch in a separate building onsite. We received survey responses from 399 caregivers for 443 (19%) animal exhibit attendees. We identified 9 confirmed and 55 probable cases with illness onset dates during 26 September to 12 October. Seven children aged 1-7 years were hospitalized. Four children aged 1-6 years experienced haemolytic uraemic syndrome; none died. Laboratory testing identified STEC O157:H7 by culture from eight human stool samples with 0-1 allele difference by WGS. Three environmental samples had Shiga toxin (stx 2) genes detected by PCR, but no STEC isolates were recovered by culture. CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest reported STEC O157:H7 outbreak associated with an animal exhibit in Tennessee. We identified opportunities for educating school staff, event organizers and families about zoonotic disease risks associated with animal contact and published prevention measures.

3.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(5): e13299, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38700006

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Traditional surveillance systems may underestimate the burden caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Capture-recapture methods provide alternatives for estimating the number of RSV-related hospitalizations in a population. METHODS: Capture-recapture methods were used to estimate the number of RSV-related hospitalizations in adults in Middle Tennessee from two independent hospitalization surveillance systems during consecutive respiratory seasons from 2016-2017 to 2019-2020. Data from the Hospitalized Adult Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network (HAIVEN) and the Emerging Infections Program (EIP) were used. Annual RSV hospitalization rates were calculated using the capture-recapture estimates weighted by hospitals' market share divided by the corresponding census population. RESULTS: Using capture-recapture methods, the estimated overall adult hospitalization rates varied from 8.3 (95% CI: 5.9-15.4) RSV-related hospitalizations per 10,000 persons during the 2016-2017 season to 28.4 (95% CI: 18.2-59.0) hospitalizations per 10,000 persons in the 2019-2020 season. The proportion of hospitalizations that HAIVEN determined ranged from 8.7% to 36.7% of the total capture-recapture estimated hospitalization, whereas EIP detected 23.5% to 52.7% of the total capture-recapture estimated hospitalizations. CONCLUSION: Capture-recapture estimates showed that individual traditional surveillance systems underestimated the hospitalization burden in adults. Using capture-recapture allows for a more comprehensive estimate of RSV hospitalizations.


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Humanos , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/aislamiento & purificación , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tennessee/epidemiología , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Masculino , Femenino , Adolescente , Estaciones del Año , Costo de Enfermedad
4.
Vaccine ; 42(16): 3555-3563, 2024 Jun 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38704263

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A U.S. case-control study (2010-2014) demonstrated vaccine effectiveness (VE) for ≥ 1 dose of the thirteen-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) against vaccine-type (VT) invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) at 86 %; however, it lacked statistical power to examine VE by number of doses and against individual serotypes. METHODS: We used the indirect cohort method to estimate PCV13 VE against VT-IPD among children aged < 5 years in the United States from May 1, 2010 through December 31, 2019 using cases from CDC's Active Bacterial Core surveillance, including cases enrolled in a matched case-control study (2010-2014). Cases and controls were defined as individuals with VT-IPD and non-PCV13-type-IPD (NVT-IPD), respectively. We estimated absolute VE using the adjusted odds ratio of prior PCV13 receipt (1-aOR x 100 %). RESULTS: Among 1,161 IPD cases, 223 (19.2 %) were VT cases and 938 (80.8 %) were NVT controls. Of those, 108 cases (48.4 %; 108/223) and 600 controls (64.0 %; 600/938) had received > 3 PCV13 doses; 23 cases (17.6 %) and 15 controls (2.4 %) had received no PCV doses. VE ≥ 3 PCV13 doses against VT-IPD was 90.2 % (95 % Confidence Interval75.4-96.1 %), respectively. Among the most commonly circulating VT-IPD serotypes, VE of ≥ 3 PCV13 doses was 86.8 % (73.7-93.3 %), 50.2 % (28.4-80.5 %), and 93.8 % (69.8-98.8 %) against serotypes 19A, 3, and 19F, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: At least three doses of PCV13 continue to be effective in preventing VT-IPD among children aged < 5 years in the US. PCV13 was protective against serotypes 19A and 19F IPD; protection against serotype 3 IPD did not reach statistical significance.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas , Vacunas Neumococicas , Serogrupo , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Humanos , Vacunas Neumococicas/administración & dosificación , Vacunas Neumococicas/inmunología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Preescolar , Lactante , Femenino , Masculino , Streptococcus pneumoniae/inmunología , Streptococcus pneumoniae/clasificación , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Vacunas Conjugadas/inmunología , Vacunas Conjugadas/administración & dosificación , Eficacia de las Vacunas/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios de Cohortes , Recién Nacido , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
5.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(5): ofae184, 2024 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38680605

RESUMEN

Background: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) can cause hospitalization in young children and older adults. With vaccines and monoclonal antibody prophylaxis increasingly available, identifying social factors associated with severe illnesses can guide mitigation efforts. Methods: Using data collected by the RSV Hospitalization Surveillance Network from 2016 to 2023, we identified RSV hospitalizations in Tennessee. We linked hospitalization information (eg, patient demographic characteristics and outcome) with population-level variables (eg, social vulnerability and health care insurance coverage) from publicly available data sets using census tract of residence. Hospitalization incidence was calculated and stratified by period (2016-2020 and 2020-2023). We modeled social vulnerability effect on hospitalization incidence using Poisson regression. Results: Among 2687 RSV hospitalizations, there were 677 (25.2%) intensive care unit admissions and 38 (1.4%) deaths. The highest RSV hospitalization incidences occurred among children aged <5 years and adults aged ≥65 years: 272.8 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 258.6-287.0) and 60.6 (95% CI, 56.0-65.2), respectively. Having public health insurance was associated with higher hospitalization incidence as compared with not having public insurance: 60.5 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 57.6-63.4) vs 14.3 (95% CI, 13.4-15.2). Higher hospitalization incidence was associated with residing in a census tract in the most socially vulnerable quartile vs the least vulnerable quartile after adjusting for age, sex, and period (incidence rate ratio, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.3-1.6). Conclusions: RSV hospitalization was associated with living in more socially vulnerable census tracts. Population measures of social vulnerability might help guide mitigation strategies, including vaccine and monoclonal antibody promotion and provision to reduce RSV hospitalization.

6.
Vaccine ; 42(12): 3024-3032, 2024 Apr 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38580515

RESUMEN

Indirect effects of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) have diminished the cost-effectiveness of current adult vaccine recommendations. An in-development adult-formulated 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV21) may play a critical role in reducing pneumococcal illness by targeting a larger number of serotypes responsible for adult pneumococcal infections. This study assesses the cost-effectiveness of PCV21 in US adults aged 50 years or older compared with currently recommended pneumococcal vaccines, from both the societal and healthcare perspectives. A Markov model evaluated the lifetime cost-effectiveness of PCV21 (given at age 50 years only, at ages 50/65 years, and risk-based at ages < 65 years plus age-based at age 65 years) compared to no vaccination and to currently recommended pneumococcal vaccines given either as currently recommended or routinely at ages 50/65 years. The analysis was conducted in hypothetical Black and non-Black cohorts aged 50 years or older, with and without considering childhood pneumococcal vaccination indirect effects. Model parameters were based on US data. Parameter uncertainty was assessed using 1-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. From the societal perspective, PCV21 at ages 50/65 years compared to PCV21 at age 50 years cost $7,410 per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained in Black cohort analyses and $85,696/QALY gained in the non-Black cohort; PCV21 at ages 50/65 years had the most favorable public health outcomes. From the healthcare perspective, compared to no vaccination, PCV21 at age 50 years cost $46,213/QALY gained in the Black cohort and $86,629/QALY in non-Blacks. All other strategies were dominated in both cohorts and from both perspectives. When considering childhood pneumococcal vaccination indirect effects, costs of PCV21 at ages 50/65 years remained less than $140,000/QALY gained from the societal perspective in both populations. PCV21 is potentially cost-effective compared to currently approved pneumococcal vaccines in adults aged 50 years or older from both the societal and healthcare perspectives.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas , Adulto , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Vacunas Conjugadas/uso terapéutico , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Vacunas Neumococicas , Vacunación , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida
7.
Value Health ; 27(6): 721-729, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38462225

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: This study assesses the impact of expanding pneumococcal vaccination to all 50-year-olds to decrease racial disparities by estimating from the societal perspective, the cost-effectiveness of 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) and 15-valent conjugate vaccine followed by 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PCV15/PPSV23) for 50-year-olds. METHODS: A Markov model compared the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 or PCV15/PPSV23 in all general population 50- and 65-years-olds compared with current US recommendations and with no vaccination in US Black and non-Black cohorts. US data informed model parameters. Pneumococcal disease societal costs were estimated using direct and indirect costs of acute illness and of pneumococcal-related long-term disability and mortality. Hypothetical 50-year-old cohorts were followed over their lifetimes with costs and effectiveness discounted 3% per year. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses assessed model uncertainty. RESULTS: In Black cohorts, PCV20 for all at ages 50 and 65 was the least costly strategy and had greater effectiveness than no vaccination and current recommendation strategies, whereas PCV15/PPSV23 at 50 and 65 cost more than $1 million per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared with PCV20 at 50 and 65. In non-Black cohorts, PCV20 at 50 and 65 cost $62 083/QALY and PCV15/PPSV23 at 50 and 65 cost more than $1 million/QALY with current recommendations, again being more costly and less effective. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, PCV20 at 50 and 65 was favored in 85.7% (Black) and 61.8% (non-Black) of model iterations at a $100 000/QALY gained willingness-to-pay threshold. CONCLUSIONS: When considering the societal costs of pneumococcal disease, PCV20 at ages 50 and 65 years in the general US population is a potentially economically viable strategy, particularly in Black cohorts.


Asunto(s)
Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Cadenas de Markov , Infecciones Neumocócicas , Vacunas Neumococicas , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Humanos , Vacunas Neumococicas/economía , Vacunas Neumococicas/administración & dosificación , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Infecciones Neumocócicas/economía , Infecciones Neumocócicas/etnología , Estados Unidos , Anciano , Masculino , Femenino , Vacunación/economía , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/economía , Disparidades en Atención de Salud/etnología , Negro o Afroamericano , Análisis de Costo-Efectividad
8.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 73(12): 260-264, 2024 Mar 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38547036

RESUMEN

Syndromic polymerase chain reaction (PCR) panels are used to test for pathogens that can cause rash illnesses, including measles. Rash illnesses have infectious and noninfectious causes, and approximately 5% of persons experience a rash 7-10 days after receipt of a measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine. MMR vaccine includes live attenuated measles virus, which is detectable by PCR tests. No evidence exists of person-to-person transmission of measles vaccine virus, and illness does not typically result among immunocompetent persons. During September 2022-January 2023, the Tennessee Department of Health received two reports of measles detected by syndromic PCR panels. Both reports involved children (aged 1 and 6 years) without known risk factors for measles, who were evaluated for rash that occurred 11-13 days after routine MMR vaccination. After public health responses in Tennessee determined that both PCR panels had detected measles vaccine virus, six state health departments collaborated to assess the frequency and characteristics of persons receiving a positive measles PCR panel test result in the United States. Information was retrospectively collected from a commercial laboratory testing for measles in syndromic multiplex PCR panels. During May 2022-April 2023, among 1,548 syndromic PCR panels, 17 (1.1%) returned positive test results for measles virus. Among 14 persons who received a positive test result and for whom vaccination and case investigation information were available, all had received MMR vaccine a median of 12 days before specimen collection, and none had known risk factors for acquiring measles. All positive PCR results were attributed to detection of measles vaccine virus. Increased awareness among health care providers about potential measles detection by PCR after vaccination is needed. Any detection of measles virus by syndromic PCR testing should be immediately reported to public health agencies, which can use measles vaccination history and assessment of risk factors to determine the appropriate public health response. If a person recently received MMR vaccine and has no risk factors for acquiring measles, additional public health response is likely unnecessary.


Asunto(s)
Exantema , Sarampión , Paperas , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán) , Niño , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Lactante , Vacuna contra el Sarampión-Parotiditis-Rubéola , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sarampión/diagnóstico , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/prevención & control , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Paperas/prevención & control , Vacunación , Tennessee/epidemiología , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/prevención & control , Anticuerpos Antivirales
9.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(1): ofad696, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38288348

RESUMEN

Persons with HIV (PWH) are at increased risk for bacterial infections, and previous publications document an increased risk for invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) in particular. This analysis provides evidence that PWH face a 6-fold increase in risk for IMD based on Active Bacterial Core surveillance data collected during 2009-2019.

10.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(1): ofad702, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38269052

RESUMEN

Severe outcomes were common among adults hospitalized for COVID-19 or influenza, while the percentage of COVID-19 hospitalizations involving critical care decreased from October 2021 to September 2022. During the Omicron BA.5 period, intensive care unit admission frequency was similar for COVID-19 and influenza, although patients with COVID-19 had a higher frequency of in-hospital death.

11.
Public Health Rep ; : 333549231223710, 2024 Jan 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38264963

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Mpox surveillance was integral during the 2022 outbreak response. We evaluated implementation of mpox surveillance in Tennessee during an outbreak response and made recommendations for surveillance during emerging infectious disease outbreaks. METHODS: To understand surveillance implementation, system processes, and areas for improvement, we conducted 8 semistructured focus groups and 7 interviews with 36 health care, laboratory, and health department representatives during September 9-20, 2022. We categorized and analyzed session transcription and notes. We analyzed completeness and timeliness of surveillance data, including 349 orthopoxvirus-positive laboratory reports from commercial, public health, and health system laboratories during July 1-August 31, 2022. RESULTS: Participants described an evolving system and noted that existing informatics platforms inefficiently supported iterations of reporting requirements. Clear communication, standardization of terminology, and shared, adaptable, and user-friendly informatics platforms were prioritized for future emerging infectious disease surveillance systems. Laboratory-reported epidemiologic information was often incomplete; only 55% (191 of 349) of reports included patient address and telephone number. The median time from symptom onset to specimen collection was 5 days (IQR, 3-6 d), from specimen collection to laboratory reporting was 3 days (IQR, 1-4 d), from laboratory reporting to patient interview was 1 day (IQR, 1-3 d), and from symptom onset to patient interview was 9 days (IQR, 7-12 d). CONCLUSIONS: Future emerging infectious disease responses would benefit from standardized surveillance approaches that facilitate rapid implementation. Closer collaboration among informatics, laboratory, and clinical partners across jurisdictions and agencies in determining system priorities and designing workflow processes could improve flexibility of the surveillance platform and completeness and timeliness of laboratory reporting. Improved timeliness will facilitate public health response and intervention, thereby mitigating morbidity.

12.
Appl Health Econ Health Policy ; 22(1): 61-71, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37966698

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the societal cost of racial disparities in pneumococcal disease among US adults aged ≥  50 years. METHODS: In a model-based analysis, societal costs of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and hospitalized nonbacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBP) were estimated using (1) direct medical costs plus indirect costs of acute illness; (2) indirect costs of pneumococcal mortality; and (3) direct and indirect costs of related disability. Disparities costs were calculated as differences in average per-person pneumococcal disease cost between Black and non-Black adults aged ≥  50 years multiplied by the Black population aged ≥  50 years. Costs were in 2019 US dollars (US$), with future costs discounted at 3% per year. RESULTS: Total direct and indirect costs per IPD case were US$186,791 in Black populations and US$182,689 in non-Black populations; total hospitalized NBP costs per case were US$100,632 (Black) and US$96,781 (non-Black). The difference in population per-person total pneumococcal disease costs between Black and non-Black adults was US$47.85. Combined societal costs of disparities for IPD and hospitalized NBP totaled US$673.2 million for Black adults aged ≥  50 years. Disease and disability risks, life expectancy, and case-fatality rates were influential in one-way sensitivity analyses, but the lowest cost across all analyses was US$194 million. The 95% probability range of racial disparity costs were US$227.2-US$1156.9 million in a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: US societal cost of racial pneumococcal disease disparities in persons aged ≥ 50 years is substantial. Successful pneumococcal vaccination policy and programmatic interventions to mitigate these disparities could decrease costs and improve health.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Neumocócicas , Adulto , Humanos , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Costo de Enfermedad , Esperanza de Vida , Vacunación , Políticas , Análisis Costo-Beneficio
13.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 17(12): e13228, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38111901

RESUMEN

Background: Influenza is a substantial cause of annual morbidity and mortality; however, correctly identifying those patients at increased risk for severe disease is often challenging. Several severity indices have been developed; however, these scores have not been validated for use in patients with influenza. We evaluated the discrimination of three clinical disease severity scores in predicting severe influenza-associated outcomes. Methods: We used data from the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network to assess outcomes of patients hospitalized with influenza in the United States during the 2017-2018 influenza season. We computed patient scores at admission for three widely used disease severity scores: CURB-65, Quick Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), and the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI). We then grouped patients with severe outcomes into four severity tiers, ranging from ICU admission to death, and calculated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for each severity index in predicting these tiers of severe outcomes. Results: Among 8252 patients included in this study, we found that all tested severity scores had higher discrimination for more severe outcomes, including death, and poorer discrimination for less severe outcomes, such as ICU admission. We observed the highest discrimination for PSI against in-hospital mortality, at 0.78. Conclusions: We observed low to moderate discrimination of all three scores in predicting severe outcomes among adults hospitalized with influenza. Given the substantial annual burden of influenza disease in the United States, identifying a prediction index for severe outcomes in adults requiring hospitalization with influenza would be beneficial for patient triage and clinical decision-making.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana , Neumonía , Adulto , Humanos , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Hospitalización , Gravedad del Paciente , Curva ROC , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos
14.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(12): ofad599, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38130595

RESUMEN

Background: Older age and chronic conditions are associated with severe influenza outcomes; however, data are only comprehensively available for adults ≥65 years old. Using data from the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET), we identified characteristics associated with severe outcomes in adults 18-49 years old hospitalized with influenza. Methods: We included FluSurv-NET data from nonpregnant adults 18-49 years old hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza during the 2011-2012 through 2018-2019 seasons. We used bivariate and multivariable logistic regression to determine associations between select characteristics and severe outcomes including intensive care unit (ICU) admission, invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), and in-hospital death. Results: A total of 16 140 patients aged 18-49 years and hospitalized with influenza were included in the analysis; the median age was 39 years, and 26% received current-season influenza vaccine before hospitalization. Obesity, asthma, and diabetes mellitus were the most common chronic conditions. Conditions associated with a significantly increased risk of severe outcomes included age group 30-39 or 40-49 years (IMV, age group 30-39 years: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.25; IMV, age group 40-49 years: aOR, 1.36; death, age group 30-39 years: aOR, 1.28; death, age group 40-49 years: aOR, 1.69), being unvaccinated (ICU: aOR, 1.18; IMV: aOR, 1.25; death: aOR, 1.48), and having chronic conditions including extreme obesity and chronic lung, cardiovascular, metabolic, neurologic, or liver diseases (ICU: range aOR, 1.22-1.56; IMV: range aOR, 1.17-1.54; death: range aOR, 1.43-2.36). Conclusions: To reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with influenza among adults aged 18-49 years, health care providers should strongly encourage receipt of annual influenza vaccine and lifestyle/behavioral modifications, particularly among those with chronic medical conditions.

15.
J Infect Dis ; 2023 Sep 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37768170

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Influenza remains an important cause of hospitalizations in the United States. Estimating the number of influenza hospitalizations is vital for public health decision making. Combining existing surveillance systems through capture-recapture methods allows for more comprehensive burden estimations. METHODS: Data from independent surveillance systems were combined using capture-recapture methods to estimate influenza hospitalization rates for children and adults in Middle Tennessee during consecutive influenza seasons from 2016-17 through 2019-20. EIP identified cases through surveillance of laboratory results for hospitalized children and adults. HAIVEN and NVSN recruited hospitalized patients with respiratory symptoms or fever. Population-based influenza rates and the proportion of cases detected by each surveillance system were calculated. RESULTS: Estimated overall influenza hospitalization rates ranged from 23 influenza-related hospitalizations per 10,000 persons in 2016-17 to 40 per 10,000 persons in 2017-18. Adults age ≥65 years had the highest hospitalization rates across seasons and experienced a rate of 170 hospitalizations per 10,000 persons during the 2017-18 season. EIP consistently identified a higher proportion of influenza cases for adults and children compared with HAIVEN and NVSN, respectively. CONCLUSION: Current surveillance systems underestimate the influenza burden. Capture-recapture provides an alternative approach to use data from independent surveillance systems and complement population-based burden estimates.

16.
Lancet Microbe ; 4(11): e903-e912, 2023 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37769676

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Influenza burden varies across seasons, partly due to differences in circulating influenza virus types or subtypes. Using data from the US population-based surveillance system, Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET), we aimed to assess the severity of influenza-associated outcomes in individuals hospitalised with laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infections during the 2010-11 to 2018-19 influenza seasons. METHODS: To evaluate the association between influenza virus type or subtype causing the infection (influenza A H3N2, A H1N1pdm09, and B viruses) and in-hospital severity outcomes (intensive care unit [ICU] admission, use of mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation [ECMO], and death), we used FluSurv-NET to capture data for laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalisations from the 2010-11 to 2018-19 influenza seasons for individuals of all ages living in select counties in 13 US states. All individuals had to have an influenza virus test within 14 days before or during their hospital stay and an admission date between Oct 1 and April 30 of an influenza season. Exclusion criteria were individuals who did not have a complete chart review; cases from sites that contributed data for three or fewer seasons; hospital-onset cases; cases with unidentified influenza type; cases of multiple influenza virus type or subtype co-infection; or individuals younger than 6 months and ineligible for the influenza vaccine. Logistic regression models adjusted for influenza season, influenza vaccination status, age, and FluSurv-NET site compared odds of in-hospital severity by virus type or subtype. When missing, influenza A subtypes were imputed using chained equations of known subtypes by season. FINDINGS: Data for 122 941 individuals hospitalised with influenza were captured in FluSurv-NET from the 2010-11 to 2018-19 seasons; after exclusions were applied, 107 941 individuals remained and underwent influenza A virus imputation when missing A subtype (43·4%). After imputation, data for 104 969 remained and were included in the final analytic sample. Averaging across imputed datasets, 57·7% (weighted percentage) had influenza A H3N2, 24·6% had influenza A H1N1pdm09, and 17·7% had influenza B virus infections; 16·7% required ICU admission, 6·5% received mechanical ventilation or ECMO, and 3·0% died (95% CIs had a range of less than 0·1% and are not displayed). Individuals with A H1N1pdm09 had higher odds of in-hospital severe outcomes than those with A H3N2: adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for A H1N1pdm09 versus A H3N2 were 1·42 (95% CI 1·32-1·52) for ICU admission; 1·79 (1·60-2·00) for mechanical ventilation or ECMO use; and 1·25 (1·07-1·46) for death. The adjusted ORs for individuals infected with influenza B versus influenza A H3N2 were 1·06 (95% CI 1·01-1·12) for ICU admission, 1·14 (1·05-1·24) for mechanical ventilation or ECMO use, and 1·18 (1·07-1·31) for death. INTERPRETATION: Despite a higher burden of hospitalisations with influenza A H3N2, we found an increased likelihood of in-hospital severe outcomes in individuals hospitalised with influenza A H1N1pdm09 or influenza B virus. Thus, it is important for individuals to receive an annual influenza vaccine and for health-care providers to provide early antiviral treatment for patients with suspected influenza who are at increased risk of severe outcomes, not only when there is high influenza A H3N2 virus circulation but also when influenza A H1N1pdm09 and influenza B viruses are circulating. FUNDING: The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Virus de la Influenza A , Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/terapia , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Estudios Transversales , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A , Virus de la Influenza B , Hospitalización
17.
Vaccine ; 41(30): 4431-4437, 2023 07 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37316409

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: CDC pneumococcal vaccination recommendations for older adults now include either 15- or 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15/PCV20). However, an in-development 21-valent vaccine (PCV21), formulated based on adult pneumococcal disease epidemiology, could substantially increase coverage of disease-causing pneumococcal serotypes, particularly in Black older adults, who are at greater risk. The potential public health impact and cost-effectiveness of PCV21 compared to currently recommended vaccines in older adults is unclear. METHODS: A Markov decision model compared current pneumococcal vaccination recommendations to PCV21 use in Black and non-Black 65-year-old cohorts. CDC Active Bacterial Core surveillance data informed population and serotype-specific pneumococcal disease risk. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated using Delphi panel estimates and clinical trial data, with variation in sensitivity analyses. Potential indirect effects on adult disease from PCV15 childhood vaccination were examined. All model parameters were varied individually and collectively in sensitivity analyses. Scenarios with decreased PCV21 effectiveness and potential COVID-19 pandemic effects were also examined. RESULTS: In the Black cohort, the PCV21 strategy cost $88,478 per quality adjusted life-year (QALY) gained without and $97,952/QALY with childhood PCV15 indirect effects. PCV21 in the non-Black cohort cost $127,436/QALY gained without and $141,358/QALY with childhood PCV15 effects. Current recommendation strategies were economically unfavorable, regardless of population or indirect childhood vaccination effects. Results favoring PCV21 use were robust in sensitivity analyses and alternative scenarios. CONCLUSION: An in-development PCV21 vaccine would likely be economically and clinically favorable compared to currently recommended pneumococcal vaccines in older adults. While PCV21 was more favorable in Black cohort analyses, results for both Black and non-Black populations were economically reasonable, highlighting the potential importance of adult-specific pneumococcal vaccine formulations and, pending further investigation, potentially justifying a future general population recommendation for PCV21 use in older adults.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Infecciones Neumocócicas , Humanos , Anciano , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vacunas Neumococicas , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiología , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Vacunación/métodos , Vacunas Conjugadas
18.
Am J Transplant ; 23(5): 676-681, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37130620

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Racial and ethnic minorities are disproportionately affected by end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). ESKD patients on dialysis are at increased risk for Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infections, but racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities associated with this outcome are not well described. METHODS: Surveillance data from the 2020 National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) and the 2017-2020 Emerging Infections Program (EIP) were used to describe bloodstream infections among patients on hemodialysis (hemodialysis patients) and were linked to population-based data sources (CDC/Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry [ATSDR] Social Vulnerability Index [SVI], United States Renal Data System [USRDS], and U.S. Census Bureau) to examine associations with race, ethnicity, and social determinants of health. RESULTS: In 2020, 4,840 dialysis facilities reported 14,822 bloodstream infections to NHSN; 34.2% were attributable to S. aureus . Among seven EIP sites, the S. aureus bloodstream infection rate during 2017-2020 was 100 times higher among hemodialysis patients (4,248 of 100,000 person-years) than among adults not on hemodialysis (42 of 100,000 person-years). Unadjusted S. aureus bloodstream infection rates were highest among non-Hispanic Black or African American (Black) and Hispanic or Latino (Hispanic) hemodialysis patients. Vascular access via central venous catheter was strongly associated with S. aureus bloodstream infections (NHSN: adjusted rate ratio [aRR] = 6.2; 95% CI = 5.7-6.7 versus fistula; EIP: aRR = 4.3; 95% CI = 3.9-4.8 versus fistula or graft). Adjusting for EIP site of residence, sex, and vascular access type, S. aureus bloodstream infection risk in EIP was highest in Hispanic patients (aRR = 1.4; 95% CI = 1.2-1.7 versus non-Hispanic White [White] patients), and patients aged 18-49 years (aRR = 1.7; 95% CI = 1.5-1.9 versus patients aged ≥65 years). Areas with higher poverty levels, crowding, and lower education levels accounted for disproportionately higher proportions of hemodialysis-associated S. aureus bloodstream infections. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE: Disparities exist in hemodialysis-associated S. aureus infections. Health care providers and public health professionals should prioritize prevention and optimized treatment of ESKD, identify and address barriers to lower-risk vascular access placement, and implement established best practices to prevent bloodstream infections.


Asunto(s)
Fallo Renal Crónico , Sepsis , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Staphylococcus aureus , Diálisis Renal/efectos adversos , Etnicidad , Fallo Renal Crónico/terapia , Fallo Renal Crónico/etiología , Sepsis/etiología , Signos Vitales , Disparidades en Atención de Salud
19.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(15): 386-390, 2023 Apr 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37053119

RESUMEN

Haemophilus influenzae (Hi) can cause meningitis and other serious invasive disease. Encapsulated Hi is classified into six serotypes (a-f) based on chemical composition of the polysaccharide capsule; unencapsulated strains are termed nontypeable Hi (NTHi). Hi serotype b (Hib) was the most common cause of bacterial meningitis in children in the pre-Hib vaccine era, and secondary transmission of Hi among children (e.g., to household contacts and in child care facilities) (1,2) led to the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommendation for antibiotic chemoprophylaxis to prevent Hib disease in certain circumstances.* High Hib vaccination coverage since the 1990s has substantially reduced Hib disease, and other serotypes now account for most Hi-associated invasive disease in the United States (3). Nevertheless, CDC does not currently recommend chemoprophylaxis for contacts of persons with invasive disease caused by serotypes other than Hib and by NTHi (non-b Hi). Given this changing epidemiology, U.S. surveillance data were reviewed to investigate secondary cases of invasive disease caused by Hi. The estimated prevalence of secondary transmission was 0.32% among persons with encapsulated Hi disease (≤60 days of one another) and 0.12% among persons with NTHi disease (≤14 days of one another). Isolates from all Hi case pairs were genetically closely related, and all patients with potential secondary infection had underlying medical conditions. These results strongly suggest that secondary transmission of non-b Hi occurs. Expansion of Hi chemoprophylaxis recommendations might be warranted to control invasive Hi disease in certain populations in the United States, but further analysis is needed to evaluate the potential benefits against the risks, such as increased antibiotic use.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Haemophilus , Vacunas contra Haemophilus , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Lactante , Haemophilus influenzae , Incidencia , Infecciones por Haemophilus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Haemophilus/prevención & control , Infecciones por Haemophilus/microbiología , Serogrupo , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico
20.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 44(11): 1816-1822, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37073852

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To provide comprehensive population-level estimates of the burden of healthcare-associated influenza. DESIGN: Retrospective cross-sectional study. SETTING: US Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET) during 2012-2013 through 2018-2019 influenza seasons. PATIENTS: Laboratory-confirmed influenza-related hospitalizations in an 8-county catchment area in Tennessee. METHODS: The incidence of healthcare-associated influenza was determined using the traditional definition (ie, positive influenza test after hospital day 3) in addition to often underrecognized cases associated with recent post-acute care facility admission or a recent acute care hospitalization for a noninfluenza illness in the preceding 7 days. RESULTS: Among the 5,904 laboratory-confirmed influenza-related hospitalizations, 147 (2.5%) had traditionally defined healthcare-associated influenza. When we included patients with a positive influenza test obtained in the first 3 days of hospitalization and who were either transferred to the hospital directly from a post-acute care facility or who were recently discharged from an acute care facility for a noninfluenza illness in the preceding 7 days, we identified an additional 1,031 cases (17.5% of all influenza-related hospitalizations). CONCLUSIONS: Including influenza cases associated with preadmission healthcare exposures with traditionally defined cases resulted in an 8-fold higher incidence of healthcare-associated influenza. These results emphasize the importance of capturing other healthcare exposures that may serve as the initial site of viral transmission to provide more comprehensive estimates of the burden of healthcare-associated influenza and to inform improved infection prevention strategies.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana , Humanos , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/complicaciones , Estudios Transversales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hospitalización , Vigilancia de la Población
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