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Background: Understanding how different populations respond to a childhood obesity intervention could help optimize personalized treatment strategies, especially with the goal to reduce disparities in obesity. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Greenlight Cluster Randomized Controlled Trial, a health communication focused pediatric obesity prevention trial, to evaluate for heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) by child biological sex, caregiver BMI, caregiver reported race and ethnicity, primary language, and health literacy. To examine HTE on BMI z-score from 2 to 24 months of age, we fit linear mixed effects models. Results: We analyzed 802 caregiver-child pairs, of which 52% of children were female, 58% of households reported annual family income of <$20,000, and 83% did not have a college degree. We observed evidence to suggest HTE by primary language (p = 0.047 for Spanish vs. English) and the combination of primary language and health literacy (p = 0.01). There was insufficient evidence to suggest that the Greenlight intervention effect differed by biological sex, caregiver BMI, or by race/ethnicity. Conclusions: This HTE analysis found that the Greenlight obesity prevention intervention had a more beneficial effect on child BMI z-score over 2 years for children of caregivers with limited health literacy and for caregivers for whom Spanish was the primary language.
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BACKGROUND: Adults hospitalized for cardiovascular events are at high risk for postdischarge mortality. Screening of psychosocial risk is prioritized by the Joint Commission. We tested whether key patient-reported psychosocial and behavioral measures could predict posthospitalization mortality in a cohort of adults hospitalized for a cardiovascular event. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study to test the prognostic utility of validated patient-reported measures, including health literacy, social support, health behaviors and disease management, and socioeconomic status. Cox survival analyses of mortality were conducted over a median of 3.5 years. RESULTS: Among 2977 adults hospitalized for either acute coronary syndrome or acute decompensated heart failure, the mean age was 53 years, and 60% were male. After adjusting for demographic, clinical, and other psychosocial factors, mortality risk was greatest among patients who reported being unemployed (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.99, 95% confidence interval [CI]): 1.30-3.06), retired (HR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.60-2.87), or unable to work due to disability (HR: 2.36, 95% CI: 1.73-3.21), as compared to those who were employed. Patient-reported perceived health competence (PHCS-2) and exercise frequency were also associated with mortality risk after adjusting for all other variables (HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.73-1.00 per four-point increase in PHCS-2; HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.77-0.96 per 3-day increase in exercise frequency, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Patient-reported measures of employment status, perceived health competence, and exercise frequency independently predict mortality after a cardiac hospitalization. Incorporating these brief, valid measures into hospital-based screening may help with prognostication and targeting patients for resources during post-discharge transitions of care.
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Hospitalización , Alta del Paciente , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Síndrome Coronario Agudo/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Medición de Resultados Informados por el Paciente , Anciano , Adulto , Factores de Riesgo , Pronóstico , Apoyo Social , Alfabetización en Salud , Conductas Relacionadas con la SaludRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The American Academy of Pediatrics designed The Injury Prevention Program (TIPP) in 1983 to help pediatricians prevent unintentional injuries, but TIPP's effectiveness has never been formally evaluated. We sought to evaluate the impact of TIPP on reported injuries in the first 2 years of life. METHODS: We conducted a stratified, cluster-randomized trial at 4 academic medical centers: 2 centers trained their pediatric residents and implemented TIPP screening and counseling materials at all well-child checks (WCCs) for ages 2 to 24 months, and 2 centers implemented obesity prevention. At each WCC, parents reported the number of child injuries since the previous WCC. Proportional odds logistic regression analyses with generalized estimating equation examined the extent to which the number of injuries reported were reduced at TIPP intervention sites compared with control sites, adjusting for baseline child, parent, and household factors. RESULTS: A total of 781 parent-infant dyads (349 TIPP; 432 control) were enrolled and had sufficient data to qualify for analyses: 51% Hispanic, 28% non-Hispanic Black, and 87% insured by Medicaid. Those at TIPP sites had significant reduction in the adjusted odds of reported injuries compared with non-TIPP sites throughout the follow-up (P = .005), with adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) of 0.77 (0.66-0.91), 0.60 (0.44-0.82), 0.32 (0.16-0.62), 0.26 (0.12-0.53), and 0.27 (0.14-0.52) at 4, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this cluster-randomized trial with predominantly low-income, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic Black families, TIPP resulted in a significant reduction in parent-reported injuries. Our study provides evidence for implementing the American Academy of Pediatrics' TIPP in routine well-child care.
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Heridas y Lesiones , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Lactante , Heridas y Lesiones/prevención & control , Heridas y Lesiones/epidemiología , Preescolar , Análisis por Conglomerados , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de SaludRESUMEN
Researchers interested in understanding the relationship between a readily available longitudinal binary outcome and a novel biomarker exposure can be confronted with ascertainment costs that limit sample size. In such settings, two-phase studies can be cost-effective solutions that allow researchers to target informative individuals for exposure ascertainment and increase estimation precision for time-varying and/or time-fixed exposure coefficients. In this paper, we introduce a novel class of residual-dependent sampling (RDS) designs that select informative individuals using data available on the longitudinal outcome and inexpensive covariates. Together with the RDS designs, we propose a semiparametric analysis approach that efficiently uses all data to estimate the parameters. We describe a numerically stable and computationally efficient EM algorithm to maximize the semiparametric likelihood. We examine the finite sample operating characteristics of the proposed approaches through extensive simulation studies, and compare the efficiency of our designs and analysis approach with existing ones. We illustrate the usefulness of the proposed RDS designs and analysis method in practice by studying the association between a genetic marker and poor lung function among patients enrolled in the Lung Health Study (Connett et al, 1993).
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Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos , Simulación por Computador , Tamaño de la Muestra , Probabilidad , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Muestreo , Estudios LongitudinalesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Hospital readmission is common among patients with heart failure. Vulnerability to decline in physical function may increase the risk of noncardiovascular readmission for these patients, but the association between vulnerability and the cause of unplanned readmission is poorly understood, inhibiting the development of effective interventions. OBJECTIVES: We examined the association of vulnerability with the cause of readmission (cardiovascular vs. noncardiovascular) among hospitalized patients with acute decompensated heart failure. DESIGNS, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective longitudinal study is part of the Vanderbilt Inpatient Cohort Study. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was the cause of unplanned readmission (cardiovascular vs. noncardiovascular). The primary independent variable was vulnerability, measured using the Vulnerable Elders Survey (VES-13). RESULTS: Among 804 hospitalized patients with acute decompensated heart failure, 315 (39.2%) experienced an unplanned readmission within 90 days of discharge. In a multinomial logistic model with no readmission as the reference category, higher vulnerability was associated with readmission for noncardiovascular causes (relative risk ratio [RRR] = 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-1.75) in the first 90 days after discharge. The VES-13 score was not associated with readmission for cardiovascular causes (RRR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.75-1.17). CONCLUSIONS: Vulnerability to functional decline predicted noncardiovascular readmission risk among hospitalized patients with heart failure. The VES-13 is a brief, validated, and freely available tool that should be considered in planning care transitions. Additional work is needed to examine the efficacy of interventions to monitor and mitigate noncardiovascular concerns among vulnerable patients with heart failure being discharged from the hospital.
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Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Readmisión del Paciente , Humanos , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Longitudinales , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Factores de Riesgo , Persona de Mediana Edad , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
Brain-wide association studies (BWAS) are a fundamental tool in discovering brain-behavior associations. Several recent studies showed that thousands of study participants are required to improve the replicability of BWAS because actual effect sizes are much smaller than those reported in smaller studies. Here, we perform analyses and meta-analyses of a robust effect size index (RESI) using 63 longitudinal and cross-sectional magnetic resonance imaging studies from the Lifespan Brain Chart Consortium (77,695 total scans) to demonstrate that optimizing study design is critical for improving standardized effect sizes and replicability in BWAS. A meta-analysis of brain volume associations with age indicates that BWAS with larger covariate variance have larger effect size estimates and that the longitudinal studies we examined have systematically larger standardized effect sizes than cross-sectional studies. We propose a cross-sectional RESI to adjust for the systematic difference in effect sizes between cross-sectional and longitudinal studies that allows investigators to quantify the benefit of conducting their study longitudinally. Analyzing age effects on global and regional brain measures from the United Kingdom Biobank and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, we show that modifying longitudinal study design through sampling schemes to increase between-subject variability and adding a single additional longitudinal measurement per subject can improve effect sizes. However, evaluating these longitudinal sampling schemes on cognitive, psychopathology, and demographic associations with structural and functional brain outcome measures in the Adolescent Brain and Cognitive Development dataset shows that commonly used longitudinal models can, counterintuitively, reduce effect sizes. We demonstrate that the benefit of conducting longitudinal studies depends on the strengths of the between- and within-subject associations of the brain and non-brain measures. Explicitly modeling between- and within-subject effects avoids conflating the effects and allows optimizing effect sizes for them separately. These findings underscore the importance of considering study design features to improve the replicability of BWAS.
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BACKGROUND: While several studies examine the relationship between screen time and dietary practices in children and teenagers, there is limited research in toddlers. This study evaluates the association between television (TV) exposure and dietary practices in two-year-old children. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional, secondary data analysis from the Greenlight Intervention Study. Toddlers' daily TV watching time, mealtime TV, and dietary practices were assessed by caregiver report at the 24-month well child visit. Separate regression models were used and adjusted for sociodemographic/household characteristics and clinic site. RESULTS: 532 toddlers were included (51% Latino; 30% non-Latino Black; 59% ≤$20,000 annual household income). Median daily TV watching time was 42 minutes [IQR: 25, 60]; 25% reported the TV was "usually on" during mealtimes. After adjustment, toddlers who watched more TV daily had higher odds of consuming sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB), fast food, and more junk food; those watching less TV had higher odds of consuming more fruits/vegetables. Those with the TV "usually on" during mealtimes were more likely to consume SSB [aOR 3.72 (95%CI 2.16-6.43)], fast food [aOR 2.83 (95%CI 1.54-5.20)], and more junk food [aOR 4.25 (95%CI 2.71-6.65)]. CONCLUSIONS: Among toddlers from primarily minoritized populations and of lower socioeconomic status, those who watched more TV daily and usually had the TV on during meals had significantly less healthy dietary practices, even after adjusting for known covariates. This study supports the current American Academy of Pediatrics screen time guidelines and underscores the importance of early counseling on general and mealtime TV.
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Background: Adults hospitalized for cardiovascular events are at high risk for post-discharge mortality. Hospital-based screening of health-related psychosocial risk factors is now prioritized by the Joint Commission and the National Quality Forum to achieve equitable, high-quality care. We tested our hypothesis that key patient-reported psychosocial and behavioral measures could predict post-hospitalization mortality in a cohort of adults hospitalized for a cardiovascular event. Methods: This was a prospective cohort of adults hospitalized at Vanderbilt University Medical Center. Validated patient-reported measures of health literacy, social support, disease self-management, and socioeconomic status were used as predictors of interest. Cox survival analyses of mortality were conducted over a median 3.5-year follow-up (range: 1.25 - 5.5 years). Results: Among 2,977 adults, 1,874 (63%) were hospitalized for acute coronary syndrome and 1,103 (37%) were hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure; 60% were male; and the mean age was 53 years. After adjusting for demographic, clinical, and other psychosocial factors, mortality risk was greatest among patients who reported being unable to work due to disability (Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.36, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.73-3.21), who were retired (HR 2.14, 95% CI 1.60-2.87), and who reported unemployment (HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.30-3.06) as compared to those who were employed. Patient-reported measures of disease self-management, perceived health competence and exercise frequency, were also associated with mortality risk after full covariate adjustment (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73-1.00 per four-point increase), (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77-0.96 per three-day change), respectively. Conclusions: Patient-reported measures of employment status independently predict post-discharge mortality after a cardiac hospitalization. Measure of disease self-management also have prognostic modest utility. Hospital-based screening of psychosocial risk is increasingly prioritized in legislative policy. Incorporating brief, valid measures of employment status and disease self-management factors may help target patients for psychosocial, financial, and rehabilitative resources during post-discharge transitions of care.
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OBJECTIVE: Infants with high birthweight have increased risk for adverse outcomes at birth and across childhood. Prenatal risks to healthy food access may increase odds of high birthweight. We tested whether having a poor neighborhood food environment and/or food insecurity had associations with high birthweight. METHODS: We analyzed cross-sectional baseline data in Greenlight Plus, an obesity prevention trial across six US cities (n = 787), which included newborns with a gestational age greater than 34 weeks and a birthweight greater than 2500 g. We assessed neighborhood food environment using the Place-Based Survey and food insecurity using the US Household Food Security Module. We performed logistic regression analyses to assess the individual and additive effects of risk factors on high birthweight. We adjusted for potential confounders: infant sex, race, ethnicity, gestational age, birthing parent age, education, income, and study site. RESULTS: Thirty-four percent of birthing parents reported poor neighborhood food environment and/or food insecurity. Compared to those without food insecurity, food insecure families had greater odds of delivering an infant with high birthweight (adjusted odds ratios [aOR] 1.96, 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 1.01, 3.82) after adjusting for poor neighborhood food environment, which was not associated with high birthweight (aOR 1.35, 95% CI: 0.78, 2.34). Each additional risk to healthy food access was associated with a 56% (95% CI: 4%-132%) increase in high birthweight odds. CONCLUSIONS: Prenatal risks to healthy food access may increase high infant birthweight odds. Future studies designed to measure neighborhood factors should examine infant birthweight outcomes in the context of prenatal social determinants of health.
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Continuous response data are regularly transformed to meet regression modeling assumptions. However, approaches taken to identify the appropriate transformation can be ad hoc and can increase model uncertainty. Further, the resulting transformations often vary across studies leading to difficulties with synthesizing and interpreting results. When a continuous response variable is measured repeatedly within individuals or when continuous responses arise from clusters, analyses have the additional challenge caused by within-individual or within-cluster correlations. We extend a widely used ordinal regression model, the cumulative probability model (CPM), to fit clustered, continuous response data using generalized estimating equations for ordinal responses. With the proposed approach, estimates of marginal model parameters, cumulative distribution functions , expectations, and quantiles conditional on covariates can be obtained without pretransformation of the response data. While computational challenges arise with large numbers of distinct values of the continuous response variable, we propose feasible and computationally efficient approaches to fit CPMs under commonly used working correlation structures. We study finite sample operating characteristics of the estimators via simulation and illustrate their implementation with two data examples. One studies predictors of CD4:CD8 ratios in a cohort living with HIV, and the other investigates the association of a single nucleotide polymorphism and lung function decline in a cohort with early chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos , Simulación por Computador , Probabilidad , IncertidumbreRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The cost-effectiveness of screening the U.S. population for Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Tier 1 genomic conditions is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of simultaneous genomic screening for Lynch syndrome (LS), hereditary breast and ovarian cancer syndrome (HBOC), and familial hypercholesterolemia (FH). DESIGN: Decision analytic Markov model. DATA SOURCES: Published literature. TARGET POPULATION: Separate age-based cohorts (ages 20 to 60 years at time of screening) of racially and ethnically representative U.S. adults. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: U.S. health care payer. INTERVENTION: Population genomic screening using clinical sequencing with a restricted panel of high-evidence genes, cascade testing of first-degree relatives, and recommended preventive interventions for identified probands. OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident breast, ovarian, and colorectal cancer cases; incident cardiovascular events; quality-adjusted survival; and costs. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: Screening 100 000 unselected 30-year-olds resulted in 101 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 77 to 127) fewer overall cancer cases and 15 (95% UI, 4 to 28) fewer cardiovascular events and an increase of 495 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (95% UI, 401 to 757) at an incremental cost of $33.9 million (95% UI, $27.0 million to $41.1 million). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $68 600 per QALY gained (95% UI, $41 800 to $88 900). RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: Screening 30-, 40-, and 50-year-old cohorts was cost-effective in 99%, 88%, and 19% of probabilistic simulations, respectively, at a $100 000-per-QALY threshold. The test costs at which screening 30-, 40-, and 50-year-olds reached the $100 000-per-QALY threshold were $413, $290, and $166, respectively. Variant prevalence and adherence to preventive interventions were also highly influential parameters. LIMITATIONS: Population averages for model inputs, which were derived predominantly from European populations, vary across ancestries and health care environments. CONCLUSION: Population genomic screening with a restricted panel of high-evidence genes associated with 3 CDC Tier 1 conditions is likely to be cost-effective in U.S. adults younger than 40 years if the testing cost is relatively low and probands have access to preventive interventions. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Human Genome Research Institute.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Hiperlipoproteinemia Tipo II , Adulto , Humanos , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis de Costo-Efectividad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Metagenómica , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Tamizaje MasivoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To assess if 100% fruit juice intake prior to 6 months is associated with juice and sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) intake at 24 months and whether this differs by sociodemographic factors. METHODS: We used longitudinal data from infants enrolled in the control (no obesity intervention) arm of Greenlight, a cluster randomized trial to prevent childhood obesity which included parent-reported child 100% fruit juice intake at all well child checks between 2 and 24 months. We studied the relationship between the age of juice introduction (before vs after 6 months) and juice and SSB intake at 24 months using negative binomial regression while controlling for baseline sociodemographic factors. RESULTS: We report results for 187 participants (43% Hispanic, 39% non-Hispanic Black), more than half (54%) of whom had reported 100% fruit juice intake before 6 months. Average 100% fruit juice intake at 24 months was greater than the recommended amount (of 4 oz) and was 8.2 oz and 5.3 oz for those who had and had not, respectively, been introduced to juice before 6 months. In adjusted models, early introduction of juice was associated with a 43% (95% confidence interval: 5%-96%) increase in juice intake at 24 months. CONCLUSIONS: 100% fruit juice intake exceeding recommended levels at 6 and 24 months in this diverse cohort was prevalent. Introducing 100% fruit juice prior to 6 months may put children at greater risk for more juice intake as they age. Further research is necessary to determine if early guidance can reduce juice intake.
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Obesidad Infantil , Bebidas Azucaradas , Niño , Humanos , Lactante , Preescolar , Bebidas , Jugos de Frutas y Vegetales , AlimentosRESUMEN
Importance: Preclinical models suggest dysregulation of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection may increase the relative activity of angiotensin II compared with angiotensin (1-7) and may be an important contributor to COVID-19 pathophysiology. Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of RAS modulation using 2 investigational RAS agents, TXA-127 (synthetic angiotensin [1-7]) and TRV-027 (an angiotensin II type 1 receptor-biased ligand), that are hypothesized to potentiate the action of angiotensin (1-7) and mitigate the action of the angiotensin II. Design, Setting, and Participants: Two randomized clinical trials including adults hospitalized with acute COVID-19 and new-onset hypoxemia were conducted at 35 sites in the US between July 22, 2021, and April 20, 2022; last follow-up visit: July 26, 2022. Interventions: A 0.5-mg/kg intravenous infusion of TXA-127 once daily for 5 days or placebo. A 12-mg/h continuous intravenous infusion of TRV-027 for 5 days or placebo. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was oxygen-free days, an ordinal outcome that classifies a patient's status at day 28 based on mortality and duration of supplemental oxygen use; an adjusted odds ratio (OR) greater than 1.0 indicated superiority of the RAS agent vs placebo. A key secondary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. Safety outcomes included allergic reaction, new kidney replacement therapy, and hypotension. Results: Both trials met prespecified early stopping criteria for a low probability of efficacy. Of 343 patients in the TXA-127 trial (226 [65.9%] aged 31-64 years, 200 [58.3%] men, 225 [65.6%] White, and 274 [79.9%] not Hispanic), 170 received TXA-127 and 173 received placebo. Of 290 patients in the TRV-027 trial (199 [68.6%] aged 31-64 years, 168 [57.9%] men, 195 [67.2%] White, and 225 [77.6%] not Hispanic), 145 received TRV-027 and 145 received placebo. Compared with placebo, both TXA-127 (unadjusted mean difference, -2.3 [95% CrI, -4.8 to 0.2]; adjusted OR, 0.88 [95% CrI, 0.59 to 1.30]) and TRV-027 (unadjusted mean difference, -2.4 [95% CrI, -5.1 to 0.3]; adjusted OR, 0.74 [95% CrI, 0.48 to 1.13]) resulted in no difference in oxygen-free days. In the TXA-127 trial, 28-day all-cause mortality occurred in 22 of 163 patients (13.5%) in the TXA-127 group vs 22 of 166 patients (13.3%) in the placebo group (adjusted OR, 0.83 [95% CrI, 0.41 to 1.66]). In the TRV-027 trial, 28-day all-cause mortality occurred in 29 of 141 patients (20.6%) in the TRV-027 group vs 18 of 140 patients (12.9%) in the placebo group (adjusted OR, 1.52 [95% CrI, 0.75 to 3.08]). The frequency of the safety outcomes was similar with either TXA-127 or TRV-027 vs placebo. Conclusions and Relevance: In adults with severe COVID-19, RAS modulation (TXA-127 or TRV-027) did not improve oxygen-free days vs placebo. These results do not support the hypotheses that pharmacological interventions that selectively block the angiotensin II type 1 receptor or increase angiotensin (1-7) improve outcomes for patients with severe COVID-19. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04924660.
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COVID-19 , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1 , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina , Vasodilatadores , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Angiotensina II/metabolismo , Angiotensinas/administración & dosificación , Angiotensinas/uso terapéutico , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/fisiopatología , COVID-19/terapia , Hipoxia/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipoxia/etiología , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Infusiones Intravenosas , Ligandos , Oligopéptidos/administración & dosificación , Oligopéptidos/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1/administración & dosificación , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1/uso terapéutico , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina/efectos de los fármacos , SARS-CoV-2 , Vasodilatadores/administración & dosificación , Vasodilatadores/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
Outcome-dependent sampling (ODS) is a commonly used class of sampling designs to increase estimation efficiency in settings where response information (and possibly adjuster covariates) is available, but the exposure is expensive and/or cumbersome to collect. We focus on ODS within the context of a two-phase study, where in Phase One the response and adjuster covariate information is collected on a large cohort that is representative of the target population, but the expensive exposure variable is not yet measured. In Phase Two, using response information from Phase One, we selectively oversample a subset of informative subjects in whom we collect expensive exposure information. Importantly, the Phase Two sample is no longer representative, and we must use ascertainment-correcting analysis procedures for valid inferences. In this paper, we focus on likelihood-based analysis procedures, particularly a conditional-likelihood approach and a full-likelihood approach. Whereas the full-likelihood retains incomplete Phase One data for subjects not selected into Phase Two, the conditional-likelihood explicitly conditions on Phase Two sample selection (ie, it is a "complete case" analysis procedure). These designs and analysis procedures are typically implemented assuming a known, parametric model for the response distribution. However, in this paper, we approach analyses implementing a novel semi-parametric extension to generalized linear models (SPGLM) to develop likelihood-based procedures with improved robustness to misspecification of distributional assumptions. We specifically focus on the common setting where standard GLM distributional assumptions are not satisfied (eg, misspecified mean/variance relationship). We aim to provide practical design guidance and flexible tools for practitioners in these settings.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos , Modelos Lineales , Funciones de VerosimilitudRESUMEN
Background Genetics, along with lifestyle and behavioral characteristics, play an important role in hypertension in adults. Our aim was to identify genetic variants associated with blood pressure in childhood and adolescence. Methods and Results We conducted a candidate single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) analysis and genome-wide association study among 9778 participants aged <18 years in BioVU, the Vanderbilt University Medical Center biobank. The outcome was childhood blood pressure percentile from age 0 to 18 years. For the candidate SNP analysis, a total of 457 previously identified SNPs were examined. Linear regression was used to test the association between genetic variants and median systolic blood pressure (SBP) percentile. Adjusted models included median age, self-reported sex, race, the first 4 principal components of ancestry, and median body mass index Z score. Analyses were conducted in the overall cohort and stratified by age group. A polygenic risk score was calculated for each participant, and the association between polygenic risk score and median SBP percentile in childhood was examined using linear regression. In the overall candidate SNP analysis, 2 SNPs reached significance: rs1018148 (FBN1; P=1.0×10-4) and rs11105354 (ATP2B1; P=1.4×10-4). In the postpuberty age group, 1 SNP reached significance: rs1018148 (FBN1; P=2.2×10-5). In the genome-wide association study of all participants, no SNPs reached genome-wide significance. Higher polygenic risk score was associated with higher SBP percentile (ß, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.10-0.60)], and there was a significant interaction with age (P for interaction<0.01). Conclusions These findings suggest that genetic variants play an important role in SBP in childhood and adolescence and provide evidence for age-specific genetic associations with SBP.
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Presión Sanguínea , Estudio de Asociación del Genoma Completo , Hipertensión , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Presión Sanguínea/genética , Hipertensión/diagnóstico , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Hipertensión/genética , Modelos Lineales , ATPasas Transportadoras de Calcio de la Membrana Plasmática/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
ABSTRACT: Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is effective for pain reduction in most patients, but 15% or more report unsatisfactory long-term pain outcomes. We tested whether oxidative stress (OS) related to extended tourniquet application during TKA and subsequent ischemic reperfusion (IR) contributed to adverse post-TKA pain outcomes. Blood samples were obtained in 91 patients with osteoarthritis (63% female) undergoing TKA before tourniquet placement (T1), 45 minutes after tourniquet inflation (T2), and 15 minutes after tourniquet removal (T3). Plasma levels of F 2 -isoprostanes and isofurans, the most specific measures of in vivo OS, were quantified. Pain intensity and function were assessed at baseline and again at 6 weeks and 6 months after TKA. Results indicated that higher Combined OS (F 2 -isoprostanes + isofurans/2) at T1 baseline and larger increases in Combined OS from T1 to T2 were associated with higher baseline-corrected past 24-hour worst and average pain intensity (numeric rating scale) and higher past week McGill Pain Questionnaire-2 total scores at 6-month follow-up ( P 's < 0.05). Increases in Combined OS from T1 to T3, which should most directly capture OS and IR injury related to tourniquet use, were not associated with short-term or long-term post-TKA pain outcomes. Longer ischemia duration was unexpectedly associated with lower baseline-corrected pain intensity at 6-month follow-up. Combined OS was not linked to functional outcomes at either follow-up. Elevated perioperative OS seems to exert small but significant adverse effects on long-term post-TKA pain outcomes, although this OS seems unrelated to IR injury associated with extended tourniquet use.
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Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/efectos adversos , Isquemia , Estrés Oxidativo , Dolor Postoperatorio/etiología , Isoprostanos , Torniquetes/efectos adversosRESUMEN
A generalized case-control (GCC) study, like the standard case-control study, leverages outcome-dependent sampling (ODS) to extend to nonbinary responses. We develop a novel, unifying approach for analyzing GCC study data using the recently developed semiparametric extension of the generalized linear model (GLM), which is substantially more robust to model misspecification than existing approaches based on parametric GLMs. For valid estimation and inference, we use a conditional likelihood to account for the biased sampling design. We describe analysis procedures for estimation and inference for the semiparametric GLM under a conditional likelihood, and we discuss problems with estimation and inference under a conditional likelihood when the response distribution is misspecified. We demonstrate the flexibility of our approach over existing ones through extensive simulation studies, and we apply the methodology to an analysis of the Asset and Health Dynamics Among the Oldest Old study, which motives our research. The proposed approach yields a simple yet versatile solution for handling ODS in a wide variety of possible response distributions and sampling schemes encountered in practice.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Modelos Lineales , Funciones de Verosimilitud , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Simulación por ComputadorRESUMEN
Two-phase studies are crucial when outcome and covariate data are available in a first-phase sample (e.g., a cohort study), but costs associated with retrospective ascertainment of a novel exposure limit the size of the second-phase sample, in whom the exposure is collected. For longitudinal outcomes, one class of two-phase studies stratifies subjects based on an outcome vector summary (e.g., an average or a slope over time) and oversamples subjects in the extreme value strata while undersampling subjects in the medium-value stratum. Based on the choice of the summary, two-phase studies for longitudinal data can increase efficiency of time-varying and/or time-fixed exposure parameter estimates. In this manuscript, we extend efficient, two-phase study designs to multivariate longitudinal continuous outcomes, and we detail two analysis approaches. The first approach is a multiple imputation analysis that combines complete data from subjects selected for phase two with the incomplete data from those not selected. The second approach is a conditional maximum likelihood analysis that is intended for applications where only data from subjects selected for phase two are available. Importantly, we show that both approaches can be applied to secondary analyses of previously conducted two-phase studies. We examine finite sample operating characteristics of the two approaches and use the Lung Health Study (Connett et al. (1993), Controlled Clinical Trials, 14, 3S-19S) to examine genetic associations with lung function decline over time.
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Modelos Estadísticos , Proyectos de Investigación , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Longitudinales , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Social support is a modifiable social determinant of health that shapes breastfeeding outcomes and may contribute to racial and ethnic breastfeeding disparities. This study characterizes the relationship between social support and early breastfeeding. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional analysis of baseline data collected in 2019-2021 for an RCT. Social support was measured using the Enhancing Recovery in Coronary Heart Disease Social Support Instrument. Outcomes, collected by self-report, included (1) early breastfeeding within the first 21 days of life, (2) planned breastfeeding duration, and (3) confidence in meeting breastfeeding goals. Each outcome was modeled using proportional odds regression, adjusting for covariates. Analysis was conducted in 2021-2022. RESULTS: Self-reported race and ethnicity among 883 mothers were 50% Hispanic, 17% Black, 23% White, and 10% other. A large proportion (88%) of mothers were breastfeeding. Most breastfeeding mothers (82%) planned to breastfeed for at least 6 months, with more than half (58%) planning to continue for 12 months or more. Most women (65%) were confident or very confident in meeting their breastfeeding duration goal. In adjusted models, perceived social support was associated with planned breastfeeding duration (p=0.042) but not with early breastfeeding (p=0.873) or confidence in meeting breastfeeding goals (p=0.427). Among the covariates, maternal depressive symptoms were associated with lower breastfeeding confidence (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The associations between perceived social support and breastfeeding outcomes are nuanced. In this sample of racially and ethnically diverse mothers, social support was associated with longer planned breastfeeding duration but not with early breastfeeding or breastfeeding confidence.