Functional limitation predicts mortality in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: While the prognostic value of six-minute walking test (6MWT) in patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction has been firmly established, there are few or no data correlating the distance walked during 6MWT (6MWD) with mortality in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) METHODS: We studied 482 patients with HFpEF who had been admitted to inpatients cardiac rehabilitation. The primary outcome was 3-year all-cause mortality. The association between 6MWD and the primary outcome was assessed using multivariable models. Established risk markers were incorporated into the models. RESULTS: 174 patients died during the 3-year follow-up. Taking the highest tertile of 6MWD (≥360 m) as reference, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of the primary outcome was 2.23 (95 % CI 1.31-3.78; p = .003) for the patients in the intermediate tertile (241-359 m) and 4.94 (95 % CI 2.90-8.39; p < .001) for those in the lowest tertile (≤240 m). The annual mortality rate was 25.0 % in the lowest tertile, 10.9 % in the intermediate tertile, and 5.3 % in the highest tertile. When the distance walked was normalized for age, sex, and body mass index and expressed as percent-of-predicted walking distance, the adjusted HR was 1.30 (95 % CI 0.76-2.22; p = .331) for the patients in the intermediate tertile (58.2 % to 77.6 %) and 3.52 (95 % CI 2.12-5.85; p < .001) for those in the lowest tertile (≤58.1 %). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that measuring functional capacity by evaluating the distance that a patient can walk over a period of 6 min provides important prognostic information in HFpEF.

Incremental prognostic value of functional impairment assessed by 6-min walking test for the prediction of mortality in heart failure.

Natriuretic peptides (NP) are recognized as the most powerful predictors of adverse outcomes in heart failure (HF). We hypothesized that a measure of functional limitation, as assessed by 6-min walking test (6MWT), would improve the accuracy of a prognostic model incorporating a NP. This was a multicenter observational retrospective study. We studied the prognostic value of severe functional impairment (SFI), defined as the inability to perform a 6MWT or a distance walked during a 6MWT < 300 m, in 1696 patients with HF admitted to cardiac rehabilitation. The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality. After adjusting for the baseline multivariable risk model-including age, sex, systolic blood pressure, anemia, renal dysfunction, sodium level, and NT-proBNP-or for the MAGGIC score, SFI had an odds ratio of 2.58 (95% CI 1.72-3.88; p < 0.001) and 3.12 (95% CI 2.16-4.52; p < 0.001), respectively. Adding SFI to the baseline risk model or the MAGGIC score yielded a significant improvement in discrimination and risk classification. Our data suggest that a simple, 6MWT-derived measure of SFI is a strong predictor of death and provide incremental prognostic information over well-established risk markers in HF, including NP, and the MAGGIC score.

What about chronotropic incompetence in heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction? Clinical and prognostic implications from the Metabolic Exercise combined with Cardiac and Kidney Indexes score dataset.

AIMS: Chronotropic incompetence (CI) is a strong predictor of outcome in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, however no data on its clinical and prognostic impacts in heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) are available. Therefore, the study aims to investigate, in a large multicentre HFmrEF cohort, the prevalence of CI as well as its relationship with exercise capacity and its prognostic role over the cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) parameters. METHODS AND RESULTS: Within the Metabolic Exercise combined with Cardiac and Kidney Indexes (MECKI) database, we analysed data of 864 HFmrEF out of 1164 stable outpatients who performed a maximal CPET at the cycle ergometer and who had no significant rhythm disorders or comorbidities. The primary study endpoint was cardiovascular (CV) death. All-cause death was also explored. Chronotropic incompetence prevalence differed depending on the method (peak heart rate, pHR% vs. pHR reserve, pHRR%) and the cut-off adopted (pHR% from ≤75% to ≤60% and pHRR% ≤ 65% to ≤50%), ranging from 11% to 62%. A total of 84 (9.7%) CV deaths were collected, with 39 (4.5%) occurring within 5 years. At multivariate analysis, both pHR% [hazard ratio 0.97 (0.95-0.99), P < 0.05] and pHRR% [hazard ratio 0.977 (0.961-0.993), P < 0.01] were associated with the primary endpoint. A pHR% ≤ 75% and a pHRR% ≤ 50% represented the most accurate cut-off values in predicting the outcome. CONCLUSION: The study suggests an association between blunted exercise-HR response, functional capacity, and CV death risk among patients with HFmrEF. Whether the CI presence might be adopted in daily HFmrEF management needs to be addressed in larger prospective studies.

Chronotropic incompetence is an easy-to-obtain additive parameter for cardiovascular death risk stratification in heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF). Peak heart rate and peak heart rate reserve are associated with exercise capacity in HFmrEF. Peak heart rate and peak heart rate reserve are associated with cardiovascular death in HFmrEF.

Prognostic Value of 6-Minute Walk Test in Advanced Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction.

There is limited evidence regarding the prognostic value of the 6-minute walk test for patients with advanced heart failure (HF). Accordingly, we studied 260 patients presenting to inpatient cardiac rehabilitation (CR) with advanced HF. The primary outcome was 3-year all-cause mortality after discharge from CR. The association between 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) and the primary outcome was determined using the multivariable Cox regression analysis. To avoid collinearity, 6MWD at admission (6MWDadm) to CR and 6MWD at discharge (6MWDdisch) from CR were analyzed separately. At multivariable analysis, 4 baseline characteristics (age, ejection fraction, systolic blood pressure, and blood urea nitrogen) were identified as prognostic of the primary outcome (baseline risk model). After adjusting for the baseline risk model, the hazard ratios of 6MWDadm and 6MWDdisch modeled as per 50-m increase for the primary outcome were 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.85 to 0.99, p = 0.035) and 0.93 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.99, p = -017), respectively. After adjusting for the Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score, the corresponding hazard ratios were 0.91 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.98, p = 0.017) and 0.93 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.99, p = 0.016). The addition of either 6MWDadm or 6MWDdisch to the baseline risk model or the MAGGIC score yielded a statistically significant increase in global chi-square and in the net proportion of survivors reclassified downward. In conclusion, our data suggest that the distance covered during a 6-minute walk test predicts survival and provides incremental prognostic information on the top of well-established prognostic factors and the MAGGIC risk score in advanced HF.

Functional outcome after cardiac rehabilitation and its association with survival in heart failure across the spectrum of ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: There is limited evidence regarding the effects of cardiac rehabilitation (CR) in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). METHODS: We studied 1784 patients admitted to inpatient CR. The patients were grouped into HFpEF (EF≥0.50), HF with mildly reduced EF (HFmrEF; EF 41-49), and HF with reduced EF (HFrEF; EF≤0.40). A standardized 6-min walking test was performed at admission and discharge. Measures of functional outcome were: (1) absolute increase in 6-min walking distance (6MWD) from admission to discharge >50 m and (2) increase in 6MWD to ≥300 among the patients who walked <300 m at admission. RESULTS: After adjustment, the patients with HFpEF or HFmrEF were as likely as those with HFrEF to achieve an increase in 6MWD >50 m (odds ratio 0.95 [95%CI 0.71-1.24; p=0.648] and 1.04 [95%CI 0.77-1.41; p=0.769], respectively) or an increase in 6MWD to ≥300 m (odds ratio 0.79 [95%CI 0.51-1.23; p=0.299] and 0.65 [95%CI 0.38-1.12; p=0.118], respectively). The adjusted hazard ratio of 5-year mortality for patients who achieved an increase in 6MWD >50 m was 0.60 (95%CI 0.51-0.71; p<0.001) and that for patients who achieved an increase in 6MWD at discharge to ≥300 m 0.61 (95%CI 0.48-0.79; p<0.001). In each EF group, both outcomes remained independently associated with improved survival. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that patients with HFpEF or HFmrEF are as likely as those with HFrEF to benefit from CR in terms of functional improvement. Functional improvement was independently associated with improved long-term survival, regardless of EF.

Diabetes and SGLT2-iss inhibitors in patients with heart failure with preserved or mid-range left ventricular ejection fractions.

Diabetic patients frequently develop heart failure with preserved (HFpEF) or mid-range (HFmEF) cardiac ejection fractions. This condition may be secondary to diabetic cardiomyopathy or one of several relevant comorbidities, mainly hypertension. Several mechanisms link diabetes to HFpEF or HFmEF. Among these, non-enzymatic glycation of interstitial proteins, lipotoxicity, and endothelial dysfunction may promote structural damage and ultimate lead to heart failure. Findings from several large-scale trials indicated that treatment with sodium/glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2-iss) resulted in significant improvements in cardiovascular outcomes in diabetic patients with high cardiovascular risk. However, there is currently some evidence that suggests a clinical advantage of using SGLT2-iss specifically in cases of HFpEF or HFmEF. Preclinical and clinical studies revealed that SGLT2-iss treatment results in a reduction in left ventricular mass and improved diastolic function. While some of the beneficial effects of SGLT2-iss have already been characterized (e.g., increased natriuresis and diuresis as well as reduced blood pressure, plasma volume, and arterial stiffness, and nephron-protective activities), there is increasing evidence suggesting that SGLT2-iss may have direct actions on the heart. These findings include SGLT2-iss-mediated reductions in the expression of hypertrophic foetal genes and diastolic myofilaments stiffness, increases in global phosphorylation of myofilament regulatory proteins (in HFpEF), inhibition of cardiac late sodium channel current and Na+/H+ exchanger activity, metabolic shifts, and effects on calcium cycling. Preliminary data from previously published studies suggest that SGLT2-iss could be useful for the treatment of HFpEF and HFmEF. Several large ongoing trials, including DELIVER AND EMPEROR -preserved have been designed to evalute the efficacy of SGLT2-iss in improving clinical outcomes in patients diagnosed with HFpEF. The goal of this manuscript is to review the use of SGLT2-iss inhibitors for HFpEF or HFmEF associated with diabetes.

Cardiac Rehabilitation for Older Women with Heart Failure.

Background: the role that sex plays in impacting cardiac rehabilitation (CR) outcomes remains an important gap in knowledge. Methods: we assessed sex differences in clinical and functional outcomes in 2345 older patients with heart failure (HF) admitted to inpatient CR. Three outcomes were considered: (1) the composite outcome of death during the index admission to CR or transfer to acute care; (2) three-year mortality; (3) change in six-minute walking distance (6MWD) from admission to discharge. Sex differences in outcomes were assessed using multivariable Cox or logistic regression models. Results: the hazard ratios of the composite outcome and of three-year mortality for females vs. males were 0.71 (95%CI:0.50−1.00; p = 0.049) and 0.68 (95%CI:0.59−0.79; p < 0.001), respectively. The standardized mean difference in 6MWD increase from admission to discharge between males and females was 0.10. The odds ratio of achieving an increase in 6MWD at discharge to values higher than the optimal sex-specific thresholds for predicting mortality for females vs. males was 2.21 (95%CI:1.53−3.20; p < 0.001). Conclusion: our findings suggest that older females with HF undergoing CR have better prognosis and garner similar improvement in 6MWD compared with their male counterparts. Nonetheless, females were more likely to achieve levels of functional capacity predictive of improved survival.

Revisiting a Prognosticating Algorithm from Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing in Chronic Heart Failure (from the MECKI Score Population).

Cardiopulmonary exercise testing is a prognostic tool in heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFrEF). Prognosticating algorithms have been proposed, but none has been validated. In 2017, a predictive algorithm, based on peak oxygen consumption (VO2), ventilatory response to exercise (ventilation [VE] carbon dioxide production [VCO2], the VE/VCO2 slope), exertional oscillatory ventilation (EOV), and peak respiratory exchange ratio, was recommended, according treatment with ß blockers: patients with HFrEF registered in the metabolic exercise test data combined with cardiac and kidney indexes (MECKIs) database were used to validated this algorithm. According to the inclusion/exclusion criteria, 4,683 MECKI patients with HFrEF were enrolled. At 3 years follow-up, the end point was cardiovascular death and urgent heart transplantation (cardiovascular events [CV]). CV events occurred in 25% in patients without ß blockers, whereas those with ß-blockers had 11% (p <0.0001). In patients without ß blockers, 36%, 24%, and 7% CV events were observed in those with peak VO2 ≤10, with peak VO2 >10 <18, and with peak VO2 ≥18 ml/kg/min (p = 0.0001), respectively; in MECKI patients with peak VO2 ≤10 and patients with intermediate exercise capacity, a peak respiratory exchange ratio (≥1.15) and VE/VCO2 slope (≥35) were diriment, respectively (p = 0.0001). EOV, when occurred, increased risk. In MECKI patients on ß blockers, 29%, 17%, and 8% CV events were noticed in those with a peak VO2 ≤8, with peak VO2 = 8 to 12, and patients with peak VO2 ≥12 ml/kg/min, respectively (p = 0.0000); when EOV was monitored an increment of risk was witnessed. In conclusion, the outcome of this algorithm was confirmed with the MECKI cohort.

Old and new equations for maximal heart rate prediction in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction on beta-blockers treatment: results from the MECKI score data set.

AIMS: Predicting maximal heart rate (MHR) in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) still remains a major concern. In such a context, the Keteyian equation is the only one derived in a HFrEF cohort on optimized ß-blockers treatment. Therefore, using the Metabolic Exercise combined with Cardiac and Kidney Indexes (MECKI) data set, we looked for a possible MHR equation, for an external validation of Keteyien formula and, contextually, for accuracy of the historical MHR formulas and their relationship with the HR measured at the anaerobic threshold (AT). METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 3487 HFrEF outpatients on optimized ß-blockers treatment from the MECKI data set were analyzed. Besides excluding all possible confounders, the new equation was derived by using HR data coming from maximal cardiopulmonary exercise test. The simplified derived equation was [109-(0.5*age) + (0.5*HR rest) + (0.2*LVEF)-(5 if haemoglobin <11 g/dL)]. The R2 and the standard error of the estimate were 0.24 and 17.5 beats min-1 with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) = 11.9%. The Keteyian equation had a slightly higher MAPE = 12.3%. Conversely, the Fox and Tanaka equations showed extremely higher MAPE values. The range 75-80% of MHR according to the new and the Keteyian equations was the most accurate in identifying the HR at the AT (MAPEs = 11.3-11.6%). CONCLUSION: The derived equation to estimate the MHR in HFrEF patients, by accounting also for the systolic dysfunction degree and anaemia, improved slightly the Keteyian formula. Both formulas might be helpful in identifying the true maximal effort during an exercise test and the intensity domain during a rehabilitation programme.

Prognostic value of functional capacity after transitional rehabilitation in older patients hospitalized for heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Poor functional status is highly prevalent among older patients hospitalized for HF and marks a downward inflection point in functional and prognostic trajectories. We assessed the prognostic value of 6-min walk test after transitional cardiac rehabilitation in older patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF). METHODS: We studied 759 patients aged ≥60 years who had been transferred to six inpatient rehabilitation facilities (IRF) from acute care hospitals after a hospitalization for acute HF. The primary outcome was 3-year all-cause mortality. We used multivariable Cox analysis to determine the association between 6-min walk distance (6MWD) at discharge from the IRFs and the primary outcome, adjusting for established predictors of death. The optimal cutoff for 6MWD was considered as the one that maximized the chi-square statistic. RESULTS: Mean age was 75 ± 8 years. 6MWD significantly increased from admission to discharge (145 to 210 m; p < 0.001). The optimal cutoff for 6MWD was 198 m. After full adjustment, the hazard ratio for each 50 m-increase in discharge 6MWD was 0.90 (0.87-0.94; p < 0.001) and that for discharge 6MWD dichotomized at the optimal cutoff 0.48 (0.38-0.60; p < 0.001). The incidence rate of death/100 person-years for the patients who walked >198 m was 13.0 (10.0-15.5) compared with 30.8 (26.9-35.4) for those who walked <198 m. A statistically significant interaction of discharge 6MWD with left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) on the risk of death was observed (p value for interaction 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: A rehabilitation intervention provided in the critical hospital-to-home transition period to older patients hospitalized for HF resulted in improved functional capacity. Increasing levels of functional capacity following rehabilitation were closely associated with decreasing risk of death; this association was significantly stronger for the subgroup with preserved EF.

Association of improvement in functional capacity after rehabilitation with long-term survival in heart failure.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of change in six-minute walking distance (6MWD) after treatment to predict mortality in heart failure (HF) remains a controversial issue. We assessed the prognostic value of rehabilitation-induced improvement in 6MWD in predicting mortality in patients with HF. METHODS: We studied 2257 patients admitted to six inpatient rehabilitation facilities after a hospitalization for HF (N. 912) or because of worsening functional capacity and/or deteriorating clinical status (N. 1345). A six-minute walking test was performed at admission and discharge. The primary outcome was 3-year all-cause mortality after discharge from cardiac rehabilitation. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazard modeling to assess the association of increase in 6MWD with 3-year mortality, adjusting for established predictors of mortality. RESULTS: 6MWD significantly increased by 61 m (p < .001) from admission to discharge and 969 patients (42.9%) achieved an increase in 6MWD >50 m. After full adjustment, an increase in 6MWD >50 m was associated with a 22% decreased risk for 3-year mortality (HR 0.78 [95% CI 0.68-0.91]; p = .002). When modeled as a continuous variable, improvement in 6MWD remained independently associated with decreased risk for 3-year mortality (HR per each 50 m increase: 0.92 [95% CI 0.88-0.96]). CONCLUSIONS: Rehabilitation-induced improvement in 6MWD was associated with a significantly reduced risk for 3-year mortality. Our data also suggest that an improvement in 6MWD of more than 50 m could represent a clinically meaningful endpoint of cardiac rehabilitation for patients with heart failure.

Characteristics, Outcomes, and Long-Term Survival of Patients With Heart Failure Undergoing Inpatient Cardiac Rehabilitation.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of cardiac rehabilitation (CR) participation with all-cause mortality after a hospitalization for heart failure (HF) and to describe the characteristics and functional and clinical outcomes of HF patients undergoing inpatient CR. DESIGN: Multicenter cohort study. The association between CR participation and all-cause mortality from discharge from the acute care setting was assessed using Cox regression analysis adjusting for established prognostic factors. SETTING: Six inpatient rehabilitation facilities. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 3219 patients with HF admitted to inpatient CR between January 2013 and December 2016. Of these patients, 1455 had been transferred directly from acute care hospitals after a hospitalization for HF (CR-group 1) and 1764 had been admitted from the community due to worsening functional disability or worsening clinical conditions (CR-group 2). Serving as a control group were 633 patients not referred to CR after a hospitalization for HF served as control group (non-CR group). INTERVENTIONS: Cardiac rehabilitation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Long-term mortality. Secondary outcomes were: (1) change in functional capacity, as assessed by change in 6-minute walking distance from admission to discharge; (2) clinical outcomes of the index inpatient rehabilitation admission, including in-hospital mortality and unplanned readmission to the acute care. RESULTS: Compared with the non-CR group, the adjusted hazard ratios of mortality at 1, 3, and 5 years for CR-group 1 patients were 0.82 (range, 0.68-0.97), 0.81 (range, 0.71-0.93), and 0.80 (range, 0.70-0.91). The 6-minute walking distance increased from 230-292 meters (P<.001), and 43.4% of the patients gained >50 m improvement. Overall, 2.5% of the patients died in hospital and 4.7% of the patients experienced unplanned readmissions to acute care, with significant differences between group 1 and group 2. CONCLUSIONS: Our data show that inpatient CR is effective in improving functional capacity and suggest that inpatient CR provided in the earliest period after a hospitalization for HF is associated with long-term improved survival.

Long-term prognostic potential of microRNA-150-5p in optimally treated heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: In a previous study, we found that miR-150-5p was specifically downregulated in patients with advanced heart failure (HF). Here, we investigated the long-term prognostic potential of miR-150-5p. METHODS: We studied optimally-treated HF outpatients with reduced ejection fraction. The primary outcome comprised the composite of death, urgent heart transplantation (HT) and ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation within 30 months. We used recursive partitioning analysis to identify the optimal log miR-150-5p cut-off. The association of log miR-150-5p with the primary outcome was examined using Cox regression analysis. We used the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk score for adjustment in multivariable analysis. Finally, we compared the global fit of three models (MAGGIC score + miR-150-5p, MAGGIC score + NT-proBNP, and NT-proBNP + miR-150-5p) using Akaike Information Criterion. RESULTS: Recursive partitioning analysis identified the value of -2.22 as the optimal cut-off for log miR-150-5p. Thirty-month survival free of urgent HT/VAD implantation was 31% among the patients with log miR-150-5p<-2.22 and 86% among those with log miR-150-5p>-2.22. Crude hazard ratio (HR) of the primary outcome for log miR-150-5p expression level <-2.22 was 6.70 (95% CI: 2.31-19.38; P<0.001). After adjusting for the MAGGIC score in multivariable analysis, the HR was 4.40 (95% CI: 1.52-12.77; P=0.006). Adding log miR-150-5p to the MAGGIC score led to an increase of 0.047 in C-index. The model combining miR-150-5p and MAGGIC score had a 73% likelihood of representing the best-fit model of those evaluated. CONCLUSIONS: Our data generate the hypothesis that miR-150-5p may represent a novel risk marker in HF with reduced ejection fraction.

Malnutrition in patients admitted to in-hospital cardiac rehabilitation: Clinical correlates and association with mortality.

Malnutrition is highly prevalent among hospitalized patients; thus, an accurate identification of malnutrition could improve the outcome of these patients. The aim of the present paper was to apply multiple methods to evaluate the prevalence of malnutrition and clinical correlates in patients admitted to in-hospital cardiac rehabilitation.  We performed a prospective study of 426 patients admitted to in-hospital cardiac rehabilitation: 282 (66.2%) had undergone a major cardiac surgery and 144 (34.8%) had experienced heart failure. The albumin level and Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) scores were applied to evaluate the nutritional status of these patients. Serum albumin levels were < 3.5 g/dl in 147 (34.5%) patients, and MNA scores were < 24 in 179 (42.0%) patients. Patients with malnutrition or a risk of malnutrition had lower haemoglobin values, lower EuroQol scores and poorer functional status. Female gender, age, functional status and Cumulative Illness Rating Scale severity were predictors of malnutrition. Over a median follow-up of 47 months, MNA scores <24 were associated with higher mortality, even after correction for confounding variables. In conclusion, in patients admitted to in-hospital cardiac rehabilitation, malnutrition and risk of malnutrition frequently occur and are associated with poor functional status, higher clinical complication rates and long-term mortality.

The Future of Exercise-Based Cardiac Rehabilitation for Patients With Heart Failure.

Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a comprehensive program that includes exercise training, titration of medical therapy, lifestyle modification, educational support, and psychosocial assessment. All these components are safe and beneficial resulting in significant improvements in quality of life, functional capacity, mortality, and hospital readmission. Current guidelines support its use in a broad spectrum of cardiac disease. This review focuses on exercise-based CR for heart failure (HF) patients in whom CR is a recommended treatment. Exercise should be prescribed according to a personalized approach, optimizing, and tailoring the rehabilitative program to the patient's characteristics. Specific CR programs are dedicated to older patients, those with HF and preserved ejection fraction, and recipients of cardiac implantable electronic devices or left ventricular assistance device. Telemedicine may increase CR participation and overcome some of the barriers that limit its utilization.

Iron Deficiency: A New Target for Patients With Heart Failure.

Iron deficiency (ID) is one of the most frequent comorbidities in patients with heart failure (HF). ID is estimated to be present in up to 50% of outpatients and is a strong independent predictor of HF outcomes. ID has been shown to reduce quality of life, exercise capacity and survival, in both the presence and absence of anemia. The most recent 2016 guidelines recommend starting replacement treatment at ferritin cutoff value <100 mcg/l or between 100 and 299 mcg/l when the transferrin saturation is <20%. Beyond its effect on hemoglobin, iron plays an important role in oxygen transport and in the metabolism of cardiac and skeletal muscles. Mitochondria are the most important sites of iron utilization and energy production. These factors clearly have roles in the diminished exercise capacity in HF. Oral iron administration is usually the first route used for iron repletion in patients. However, the data from the IRONOUT HF study do not support the use of oral iron supplementation in patients with HF and a reduced ejection fraction, because this treatment does not affect peak VO2 (the primary endpoint of the study) or increase serum ferritin levels. The FAIR-HF and CONFIRM-HF studies have shown improvements in symptoms, quality of life and functional capacity in patients with stable, symptomatic, iron-deficient HF after the administration of intravenous iron (i.e., FCM). Moreover, they have shown a decreased risk of first hospitalization for worsening of HF, as later confirmed in a subsequent meta-analysis. In addition, the EFFECT-HF study has shown an improvement in peak oxygen consumption at CPET (a parameter generally considered the gold standard of exercise capacity and a predictor of outcome in HF) in patients randomized to receive ferric carboxymaltose. Finally, the AFFIRM AHF trial evaluating the effects of FCM administration on the outcomes of patients hospitalized for acute HF has found significantly fewer hospital readmissions due to HF among patients treated with FCM rather than placebo.

Age and comorbidities are crucial predictors of mortality in severe obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome (OSAS) is a highly prevalent disorder. The prognostic role of comorbidity in patients with OSAS and their role for risk stratification remain poorly defined. METHODS: We studied 1,592 patients with severe OSAS diagnosed by polysomnography. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was estimated as the ratio of observed deaths to expected number of deaths in the general population. The expected numbers of deaths were derived using mortality rates from the general Apulian population. The association of comorbidities with all-cause mortality was assessed using multivariable Cox regression analysis. Finally, recursive-partitioning analysis was applied to identify the combinations of comorbidities that were most influential for mortality and to cluster the patients into risk groups according to individual comorbidities RESULTS: During 11,721 person-years of follow-up, 390 deaths (3.33 deaths/100 person-years) occurred. The median follow-up was 7 (4-10) years. The SMR was 1.47 (95% confidence intervals 1.33-1.63). Age, sex, obesity, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), moderate-to-severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and malignancy were independently associated with mortality risk. Recursive-partitioning analysis allowed distinguishing three clinical phenotypes differentially associated with mortality risk. The combination of CKD with CVDs or with moderate-to-severe COPD conferred the highest risk. CONCLUSIONS: Severe OSAS is associated with increased risk for all-cause death. Age and comorbidity are crucial predictors of mortality in patients with severe OSAS. Clustering patients according to comorbidities allows identifying clinically meaningful phenotypes.

Machine learning to predict mortality after rehabilitation among patients with severe stroke.

Stroke is among the leading causes of death and disability worldwide. Approximately 20-25% of stroke survivors present severe disability, which is associated with increased mortality risk. Prognostication is inherent in the process of clinical decision-making. Machine learning (ML) methods have gained increasing popularity in the setting of biomedical research. The aim of this study was twofold: assessing the performance of ML tree-based algorithms for predicting three-year mortality model in 1207 stroke patients with severe disability who completed rehabilitation and comparing the performance of ML algorithms to that of a standard logistic regression. The logistic regression model achieved an area under the Receiver Operating Characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.745 and was well calibrated. At the optimal risk threshold, the model had an accuracy of 75.7%, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 33.9%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 91.0%. The ML algorithm outperformed the logistic regression model through the implementation of synthetic minority oversampling technique and the Random Forests, achieving an AUC of 0.928 and an accuracy of 86.3%. The PPV was 84.6% and the NPV 87.5%. This study introduced a step forward in the creation of standardisable tools for predicting health outcomes in individuals affected by stroke.

Role of comorbidities in heart failure prognosis Part 2: Chronic kidney disease, elevated serum uric acid.

Despite improvements in pharmacotherapy, morbidity and mortality rates in community-based populations with chronic heart failure still remain high. The increase in medical complexity among patients with heart failure may be reflected by an increase in concomitant non-cardiovascular comorbidities, which are recognized as independent prognostic factors in this population. Heart failure and chronic kidney disease share many risk factors, and often coexist. The presence of kidney failure is associated with incremented risk of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality in heart failure patients. Chronic kidney disease is also linked with underutilization of evidence-based heart failure therapy that may reduce morbidity and mortality. More targeted therapies would be important to improve the prognosis of patients with these diseases. In recent years, serum uric acid as a determinant of cardiovascular risk has gained interest. Epidemiological, experimental and clinical data show that patients with hyperuricaemia are at increased risk of cardiac, renal and vascular damage and cardiovascular events. Moreover, elevated serum uric acid predicts worse outcome in both acute and chronic heart failure. While studies have raised the possibility of preventing heart failure through the use of uric acid lowering agents, the literature is still inconclusive on whether the reduction in uric acid will result in a measurable clinical benefit. Available evidences suggest that chronic kidney disease and elevated uric acid could worsen heart failure patients' prognosis. The aim of this review is to analyse a possible utilization of these comorbidities in risk stratification and as a therapeutic target to get a prognostic improvement in heart failure patients.

Cardiovascular Death Risk in Recovered Mid-Range Ejection Fraction Heart Failure: Insights From Cardiopulmonary Exercise Test.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure with midrange ejection fraction (HFmrEF) represents a heterogeneous category where phenotype, as well as prognostic assessment, remains debated. The present study explores a specific HFmrEF subset, namely those who recovered from a reduced EF (rec-HFmrEF) and, particularly, it focuses on the possible additive prognostic role of cardiopulmonary exercise testing. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed data from 4535 patients with HFrEF and 1176 patients with rec-HFmrEF from the Metabolic Exercise combined with Cardiac and Kidney Indexes database. The end point was cardiovascular death at 5 years. The median follow-up was 1343 days (25th-75th range 627-2403 days). Cardiovascular death occurred in 552 HFrEF and 61 rec-HFmrEF patients. The multivariate analysis confirmed an independent role of the MECKI score's variables in HFrEF (C-index = 0.744) whereas, in the rec-HFmrEF group, only age and peak oxygen uptake (pVO2) remained associated to the end point (C-index = 0.745). A peak oxygen uptake of ≤55% of predicted and a ventilatory efficiency of ≥31 resulted as the most accurate cut-off values in the outcome prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Present data support the cardiopulmonary exercise test and, particularly, the peak oxygen uptake, as a useful tool in the rec-HFmrEF prognostic assessment. A peak VO2 of ≤55% predicted and ventilatory efficiency of ≥31 might help to identify a high-risk rec-HFmrEF subgroup.