Persons with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease are at increased risk of severe depression.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Few population-based studies have investigated the association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and depression. Additionally, it remains unclear if depression affects progression to major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in MASLD. METHODS: All patients in Sweden with newly diagnosed MASLD between 2006 and 2020 were identified from the National Patient Register. Each patient was matched on age, sex, inclusion year, and municipality with up to 10 comparators from the general population. Cox regression was used to compare rates of severe depression in persons with MASLD to the comparators. In persons with MASLD, Cox regression was used to estimate rates of MALO using severe depression before baseline or diagnosed during follow-up as a time-varying exposure. RESULTS: We included 11 301 persons with MASLD and 104 205 comparators who were followed for a median of 3.9 (IQR 1.5-7.6) and 4.9 years (IQR 2.3-8.7), respectively. The median age was 56 years and 5576 of 11 301 (49.3%) persons with MASLD were male. Incident severe depression developed in 228 of 11 301 (2.0%) persons with MASLD and 1160 of 104 205 (1.1%) comparators (fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.8, 95% CI = 1.5-2.1). Of persons with MASLD, 25 of 1229 (2.0%) of those with severe depression before or after baseline progressed to MALO compared to 322 of 10 326 (3.1%) of those without severe depression (fully adjusted HR = 1.0, 95% CI = .6-1.5). CONCLUSIONS: We confirm an association between MASLD and severe depression. However, no association between severe depression and incident MALO was found, but conclusions are limited by few observed outcomes.

Antipsychotic medications and severe sepsis in schizophrenia: A nested case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis constitutes a condition that involves life-threatening organ dysfunction induced by severe infection. This nested case-control study investigated risk factors for severe sepsis and whether antipsychotic use is associated with severe sepsis risk in patients with schizophrenia, a topic that has not been comprehensively explored in previous studies. METHODS: We selected 39,432 patients with schizophrenia aged between 15 and 65 years from Taiwan's Psychiatric Inpatient Medical Claims database for the period 2000-2012. The case group comprised patients with severe sepsis after their first psychiatric admission (n = 1382). The case and control groups were randomly matched (1:4) by age, sex and first psychiatric admission (year) and finally comprised 1382 and 5528 individuals, respectively. We employed multivariable conditional logistic regression to identify (1) risk factors (physical illnesses and nonpsychiatric medications) and (2) antipsychotic-severe sepsis associations. RESULTS: Higher numbers of psychiatric admissions and physical illnesses such as delirium, cerebrovascular disease and cancer were significantly associated with a higher risk of severe sepsis. Furthermore, severe sepsis was associated with the use of antithrombotic agents, systemic corticosteroids and agents targeting the renin-angiotensin system. Clozapine (adjusted risk ratio = 1.65) and quetiapine (adjusted risk ratio = 1.59) use were associated with an increased risk of severe sepsis. The use of more than one antipsychotic drug could further increase this risk. CONCLUSION: Several physical illnesses and nonpsychiatric medications increase the risk of severe sepsis in patients with schizophrenia. Specifically, clozapine or quetiapine use significantly increased the risk of severe sepsis in these patients.

Facial tightening using a novel vacuum-assisted microneedle fractional radiofrequency system: A prospective, randomized, split-face study.

BACKGROUND: The microneedle fractional radiofrequency system (MFRS) is able to rejuvenate facial appearance by heating and coagulating certain depth of skin tissue. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of a novel vacuum-assisted MFRS for facial contour tightening. METHODS: This prospective, randomized, split-face study included 21 patients who underwent three treatments with a vacuum-assisted MFRS at 1-month intervals. Half of the face was treated with the MFRS; the other half was untreated (control). Facial volume changes and wrinkles were objectively measured using a three-dimensional imaging system and VISIA-CR. RESULTS: Volume changes of the treated midface were -0.24 ± 0.75, -0.59 ± 0.92, and -0.55 ± 0.65 mL at 1, 3, 6 months follow-up; however, measurements of the control side were 0.08 ± 0.70, -0.08 ± 0.53, and - 0.10 ± 0.86 mL, indicating significant reductions (p < 0.05). The number of facial wrinkles on the treated side was significantly reduced to 12.44 ± 4.85 at 3 months and sustained at 6 months (11.11 ± 4.100) compared to the control side (14.89 ± 5.26 and 13.22 ± 4.44, respectively; p < 0.05). No long-term side effects occurred. CONCLUSION: The vacuum-assisted MFRS is safe and effective and is recommended for improving facial tightening and reducing wrinkles. This technology is sufficient to ensure the insertion depth, thus helping to improve the treatment accuracy and safety. The MFRS provides sustained effects for at least 6 months.

Prognostic value of lymphocytes in patients with breast cancer receiving radiotherapy after breast-conserving surgery: A post hoc analysis of a phase III randomized trial.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the prognostic value of peripheral lymphocyte count (PLC) in the breast cancer patients after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) with radiotherapy (RT). METHODS AND MATERIALS: This post hoc analysis was performed using data of 628 patients from a phase III, randomized controlled trial comparing hypofractionated RT (HFRT) with conventional fractionated RT (CFRT) after BCS. PLCs were obtained before, during, and after RT until the 1-year follow-up. The optimal cut-off PLCs were determined using the maxstat package in R. Survival rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. RESULTS: A total of 275 (46.1 %) patients developed lymphopenia during RT, among them, 17 (2.8 %) had grade 3 lymphopenia and no one developed grade 4 lymphopenia. With a median follow-up of 110.8 months, patients with pre-RT PLCs of < 1.77 × 109/L had a significantly lower 10-year breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) rate (P = 0.013) and overall survival (OS) rate (P = 0.026). Patients with a nadir PLC of < 1.35 × 109/L had a significantly poorer 10-year OS rate (P = 0.048). Multivariate analysis showed that a pre-RT PLC of < 1.77 × 109/L was an independent factor influencing BCSS and OS, while the effect of the nadir PLC did not remain significant. Neither PLC nor lymphopenia recovery at post-RT 1, 3, and 6 months and 1 year was associated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: Radiation-induced lymphopenia in patients with breast cancer after BCS tends to be mild. The lower pre-RT PLC predicted poorer survival.

Revealing potential Rab proteins participate in regulation of secretory autophagy machinery.

Autophagy can be classified as degradative and secretory based on distinct functions. The small GTPase proteins Rab8a and Rab37 are responsible for secretory autophagy-mediated exocytosis of IL-1ß, insulin, and TIMP1 (tissue inhibitor of 54 metalloproteinase 1). Other Rab family members participating in secretory autophagy are poorly understood. Herein, we identified 26 overlapped Rab proteins in purified autophagosomes of mouse pancreatic ß-cell "Min-6" and human lung cancer cell "CL1-5-Q89L" with high secretory autophagy tendency by LC-MS/MS proteomics analysis. Six Rab proteins (Rab8a, Rab11b, Rab27a, Rab35, Rab37, and Rab7a) were detected in autophagosomes of four cell lines, associating them with autophagy-related vesicle trafficking. We used CL1-5-Q89L cell line model to evaluate the levels of Rab proteins colocalization with autophagy LC3 proteins and presence in purified autophagosomes. We found five Rab proteins (Rab8a, Rab11b, Rab27a, Rab35, and Rab37) are highly expressed in the autophagosome compared to the normal control by immunoblotting under active secretion conditions. However, only Rab8a, Rab35, and Rab37 showing high colocalization with LC3 protein by cofocal microscopy. Despite the discrepancy between the image and immunoblotting analysis, our data sustains the speculation that Rab8a, Rab11b, Rab27a, Rab35, and Rab37 are possibly associated with the secretory autophagy machinery. In contrast, Rab7a shows low colocalization with LC3 puncta and low level in the autophagosome, suggesting it regulates different vesicle trafficking machineries. Our findings open a new direction toward exploring the role of Rab proteins in secretory autophagy-related cargo exocytosis and identifying the cargoes and effectors regulated by specific Rab proteins.

Association of lipids and inflammatory markers with left ventricular wall thickness in patients with bipolar disorder.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with bipolar disorder (BD) face a high risk of heart failure and left ventricular (LV) dysfunction. Despite strong evidence that high LV relative wall thickness (RWT) is a risk marker for heart failure, few studies have evaluated LV RWT and aggravating factors in individuals with BD. METHODS: We recruited 104 participants (52 patients with BD and 52 age- and sex-matched mentally healthy controls) to undergo echocardiographic imaging and biochemistry, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and blood cell count measurements. LV RWT was estimated using the following equation: (2 × LV posterior wall end-diastolic thickness)/LV end-diastolic diameter. Clinical data were obtained through interviews and chart reviews. RESULTS: The BD group exhibited a significantly greater LV RWT (Cohen's d = 0.53, p = 0.003) and a less favorable mitral valve E/A ratio (Cohen's d = 0.54, p = 0.023) and LV global longitudinal strain (Cohen's d = 0.57, p = 0.047) than did the control group. Multiple linear regression revealed that in the BD group, serum triglyceride levels (ß = 0.466, p = 0.001), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios (ß = 0.324, p = 0.022), and hs-CRP levels (ß = 0.289, p = 0.043) were all significantly and positively associated with LV RWT. LIMITATIONS: This study applied a cross-sectional design, meaning that the direction of causation could not be inferred. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with BD are at a risk of heart failure, as indicated by their relatively high LV RWT. Lipid levels and systemic inflammation may explain this unfavorable association.

Lipid-modifying agents and risk of all-cause, natural and suicide mortality in schizophrenia: nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with schizophrenia face high mortality risks. The effects of lipid-modifying agents on this risk remain understudied. AIM: This study was conducted to investigate the effects of lipid-modifying agents on mortality risk in people with schizophrenia. METHOD: This nationwide cohort study collected the data of people with schizophrenia from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database for the period between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2019. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression with a time-dependent model was used to estimate the hazard ratio for mortality associated with each lipid-modifying agent. RESULTS: This study included 110 300 people with schizophrenia. Of them, 22 528 died (19 754 from natural causes and 1606 from suicide) during the study period, as confirmed using data from Taiwan's national mortality database. The use of lipid-modifying agents was associated with reduced risks of all-cause (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]:0.37; P < 0.001) and natural (aHR:0.37; P < 0.001) mortality during a 5-year period. Among the lipid-modifying agents, statins and fibrates were associated with reduced risks of all-cause mortality (aHRs:0.37 and 0.39, respectively; P < 0.001 for both) and natural mortality (aHRs: 0.37 and 0.42, respectively; P < 0.001 for both). Notably, although our univariate analysis indicated an association between the use of lipid-modifying agents and a reduced risk of suicide mortality, the multivariate analysis revealed no significant association. CONCLUSIONS: Lipid-modifying agents, particularly statins and fibrates, reduce the risk of mortality in people with schizophrenia. Appropriate use of lipid-modifying agents may bridge the mortality gap between these individuals and the general population.

Pyramidal and parvalbumin neurons modulate the process of electroacupuncture stimulation for stroke rehabilitation.

Electroacupuncture (EA) stimulation has been shown to be beneficial in stroke rehabilitation; however, little is known about the neurological mechanism by which this peripheral stimulation approach treats for stroke. This study showed that both pyramidal and parvalbumin (PV) neuronal activity increased in the contralesional primary motor cortex forelimb motor area (M1FL) after ischemic stroke induced by focal unilateral occlusion in the M1FL. EA stimulation reduced pyramidal neuronal activity and increased PV neuronal activity. These results were obtained by a combination of fiber photometry recordings, in vivo and in vitro electrophysiological recordings, and immunofluorescence. Moreover, EA was found to regulate the expression/function of N-methyl-D-aspartate receptors (NMDARs) altered by stroke pathology. In summary, our findings suggest that EA could restore disturbed neuronal activity through the regulation of the activity of pyramidal and PV neurons. Furthermore, NMDARs we shown to play an important role in EA-mediated improvements in sensorimotor ability during stroke rehabilitation.

Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography Scores to Predict Liver-Related Events in Steatotic Liver Disease.

Importance: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is currently the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. It is important to develop noninvasive tests to assess the disease severity and prognosis. Objective: To study the prognostic implications of baseline levels and dynamic changes of the vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE)-based scores developed for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis (Agile 3+) and cirrhosis (Agile 4) in patients with MASLD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included data from a natural history cohort of patients with MASLD who underwent VCTE examination at 16 tertiary referral centers in the US, Europe, and Asia from February 2004 to January 2023, of which the data were collected prospectively at 14 centers. Eligible patients were adults aged at least 18 years with hepatic steatosis diagnosed by histologic methods (steatosis in ≥5% of hepatocytes) or imaging studies (ultrasonography, computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, or controlled attenuation parameter ≥248 dB/m by VCTE). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was liver-related events (LREs), defined as hepatocellular carcinoma or hepatic decompensation (ascites, variceal hemorrhage, hepatic encephalopathy, or hepatorenal syndrome), liver transplant, and liver-related deaths. The Agile scores were compared with histologic and 8 other noninvasive tests. Results: A total of 16 603 patients underwent VCTE examination at baseline (mean [SD] age, 52.5 [13.7] years; 9600 [57.8%] were male). At a median follow-up of 51.7 (IQR, 25.2-85.2) months, 316 patients (1.9%) developed LREs. Both Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores classified fewer patients between the low and high cutoffs than most fibrosis scores and achieved the highest discriminatory power in predicting LREs (integrated area under the time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.89). A total of 10 920 patients (65.8%) had repeated VCTE examination at a median interval of 15 (IQR, 11.3-27.7) months and were included in the serial analysis. A total of 81.9% of patients (7208 of 8810) had stable Agile 3+ scores and 92.6% of patients (8163 of 8810) had stable Agile 4 scores (same risk categories at both assessments). The incidence of LREs was 0.6 per 1000 person-years in patients with persistently low Agile 3+ scores and 30.1 per 1000 person-years in patients with persistently high Agile 3+ scores. In patients with high Agile 3+ score at baseline, a decrease in the score by more than 20% was associated with substantial reduction in the risk of LREs. A similar trend was observed for the Agile 4 score, although it missed more LREs in the low-risk group. Conclusions and Relevance: Findings of this study suggest that single or serial Agile scores are highly accurate in predicting LREs in patients with MASLD, making them suitable alternatives to liver biopsy in routine clinical practice and in phase 2b and 3 clinical trials for steatohepatitis.

Metabolic Syndrome Traits Increase the Risk of Major Adverse Liver Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) increases the risk for major adverse liver outcomes (MALOs), including cirrhosis and its complications. Patients with T2D frequently have other traits of the metabolic syndrome (MetS). It remains uncertain whether there is a synergistic effect of accumulating MetS traits on future MALO risk. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Patients with T2D without a history of liver disease were identified from national registers in Sweden from 1998 to 2021. MetS traits included hypertension, low HDL level, hypertriglyceridemia, obesity, and albuminuria, in addition to T2D. MALO events were identified based on administrative coding from national registers until 31 October 2022. Data were analyzed using Cox regression models. RESULTS: In total, 230,992 patients were identified (median age 64 years; 58% male), of whom 3,215 (1.39%) developed MALOs over a median follow-up of 9.9 years. Compared with patients with one MetS trait (only T2D) at baseline, those with more than one MetS trait had a higher rate of MALOs (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.33, 95% CI 1.53-3.54). The rate of MALOs increased progressively with increasing numbers of MetS traits at baseline (aHR 1.28 per added trait, 95% CI 1.23-1.33). During follow-up, patients who acquired additional MetS traits had a progressively higher rate of MALOs. The MetS trait with the largest association with incident MALOs was hypertension (aHR 2.06, 95% CI 1.57-2.71). CONCLUSIONS: Having or acquiring additional traits of MetS increase the rate of progression to MALOs in patients with T2D. These results could be used to inform screening initiatives for liver disease.

Plasma proteome analysis and validation of patients with community-acquired pneumonia: A cohort study.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic potential of plasma biomarkers of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and their severity grading. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Plasma proteomes from cohort I (n = 32) with CAP were analyzed by data-independent acquisition mass spectrometry (MS). MetaboAnalyst 5.0 was used to statistically evaluate significant differences in proteins from different samples, and demographic and clinical data were recorded for all enrolled patients. Cohort II (n = 80) was used to validate candidate biomarkers. Plasma protein levels were determined using quantitative enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Correlations were assessed using Pearson's correlation coefficient. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to verify the association between the variables, CAP diagnosis, and prognosis. RESULTS: 121 differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) were obtained between CAP and controls. These DEPs were mainly aggregated in pathways of phagosome(hsa04145) and complement and coagulation cascades (hsa04610). No significant differential proteins were detected in bacterial, viral, and mixed infection groups. The plasma levels of fetuin-A, alpha-1-antichymotrypsin (AACT), α1-acid glycoprotein (A1AG), and S100A8/S100A9 heterodimers detected by ELISA were consistent with those of MS. AACT, A1AG, S100A8/S100A9 heterodimer, and fetuin-A can potentially be used as diagnostic predictors, and fetuin-A and AACT are potential predictors of SCAP. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Plasma protein profiling can successfully identify potential biomarkers for CAP diagnosis and disease severity assessment. These biomarkers should be further studied for their clinical application.

Efficacy and immunogenicity of AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine in females with existing cervical HR-HPV infection at first vaccination: A pooled analysis of four large clinical trials worldwide.

Females with existing high-risk HPV (HR-HPV) infections remain at risk of subsequent multiple or recurrent infections, on which benefit from HPV vaccines was under-reported. We pooled individual-level data from four large-scale, RCTs of AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine to evaluate efficacy and immunogenicity in females DNA-positive to any HR-HPV types at first vaccination. Females receiving the AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine in the original RCTs constituted the vaccine group in the present study, while those unvaccinated served as the control group. Vaccine efficacy (VE) against new infections and associated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2+ in females DNA-negative to the considered HR-HPV type but positive to any other HR-HPV types, VE against reinfections in females DNA-positive to the considered HR-HPV type but cleared naturally during later follow-up, and levels of anti-HPV-16/18 IgG were assessed. Our final analyses included 5137 females (vaccine group = 2532, control group = 2605). The median follow-up time was 47.88 months (IQR: 45.72-50.04). For the prevention of precancerous lesions related to the non-infected HR-HPV types at baseline, VE against HPV-16/18 related CIN 2+ was 82.70% (95% CI: 63.70-93.00%). For the prevention of reinfections related to the infected HR-HPV types following natural clearance, VE against HPV-16/18 12MPI was non-significant (p > .05), albeit robust immunity persisted for at least 48 months. Females with existing HR-HPV infections at first vaccination still benefit from vaccination in preventing precancers related to the non-infected types at baseline. VE against reinfections related to the infected types following natural clearance remains to be further investigated.

Risk of major adverse liver outcomes among first-degree relatives of individuals with MASLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Previous studies have suggested an increased risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in relatives of patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). However, granular and longitudinal evidence is lacking on the future risk of MALO among family members of individuals with MASLD. METHODS: We identified 3526 first-degree relatives (FDRs) and 11 079 general population comparators to 1328 patients with MASLD diagnosed between 1974 and 2021, with detailed clinical data, including liver histology in 71% of patients. MALO was defined through diagnostic coding for cirrhosis or its complications. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for MALO among FDRs compared to general population comparators. Cumulative incidence accounting for competing risks was calculated. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 13.4 years, there were 65 (2%, 1.12/1000 person-years) and 225 (2%, 1.26/1000 person-years) MALO events in FDRs and general population comparators respectively. After adjusting for demographic factors and comorbidities, FDRs were at no increased risk of MALO (aHR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.74-1.33). Increased relative rates of MALOs were, however, observed in some subgroups, including parents, although absolute risk estimates were low and comparable to the general population. CONCLUSIONS: FDRs of patients with MASLD did not have a higher rate of incident MALO than the general population. Since the absolute risk of MALO in relatives of patients with MASLD was low, these results do not support systematic screening of MASLD-related fibrosis in relatives of patients with MASLD.

Clinical performance of BALF droplet digital PCR for differential diagnosis of Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia and Pneumocystis jirovecii colonization.

BACKGROUND: Accurate differentiation between Pneumocystis jirovecii (Pj) infection and colonization is crucial for effective treatment. METHODS: From September 2016 to June 2022, 89 immunocompromised patients with unexplained lung infiltrates and clinical suspicion of Pj pneumonia were enrolled at Peking University People's Hospital. Bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) of these patients were detected by quantitative PCR (qPCR) and droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). RESULTS: The performance of ddPCR was superior to qPCR in detecting Pj infection. Area under the curve was 0.97 (95 %CI: 0.94-1) for ddPCR of the BALF in all patients. The optimal threshold value for discriminating Pj infection from colonization by ddPCR was 13.98 copies/test, with a sensitivity of 97.96 %, specificity of 85.71 %. No obvious correlation between ddPCR copy number and disease severity was observed. CONCLUSION: BALF ddPCR exhibits robust potential in detecting Pj and effectively discriminating colonization and infection.

Misclassified Alcohol-related Liver Disease is Common in Presumed Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Steatotic Liver Disease and Highly Increases Risk for Future Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Alcohol overconsumption is a risk factor for disease progression in patients with presumed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). How commonly this occurs and how it affects progression to major adverse liver outcomes (MALOs) is not well known. METHODS: We did a register-based cohort study, including all patients with a diagnosis of MASLD in Sweden between 1987 and 2020. Patients were stratified on co-occurrence of diagnoses of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) or alcohol use disorder (AUD) prior to MASLD diagnosis. Incident MALOs were derived from national registers. Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for incident MALO. RESULTS: A total of 15,107 patients with MASLD were identified. The median age was 55 years, and 52% were female. Of the patients, 1843 (12%) had a prior diagnosis of ALD or AUD. During follow-up, a further 787 patients (5.2%) received a diagnosis of ALD or AUD. Patients with previous ALD or AUD diagnoses at or before baseline had considerably higher rates of MALOs compared with patients without (19.5% vs 7.8%; adjusted HR, 3.12; 95% confidence interval, 2.74-3.55). Acquiring an ALD or AUD diagnosis after MASLD diagnosis was associated with higher rates of MALOs (adjusted HR, 5.81; 95% confidence interval, 4.90-6.88). CONCLUSIONS: ALD or AUD is commonly diagnosed prior to or after MASLD diagnosis. Such patients have considerably higher rates of progression to MALOs. Correctly separating between MASLD and ALD is vital to assess prognosis.

Long-term major adverse liver outcomes in 1,260 patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD.

Background & Aims: Long-term studies of the prognosis of NAFLD are scarce. Here, we investigated the risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in a large cohort of patients with NAFLD. Methods: We conducted a cohort study with data from Swedish university hospitals. Patients (n = 1,260) with NAFLD without cirrhosis were diagnosed through biopsy or radiology, and had fibrosis estimated through vibration-controlled transient elastography, biopsy, or FIB-4 score between 1974 and 2020 and followed up through 2020. Each patient was matched on age, sex, and municipality with up to 10 reference individuals from the general population (n = 12,529). MALO were ascertained from Swedish national registers. The rate of events was estimated by Cox regression. Results: MALO occurred in 111 (8.8%, incidence rate = 5.9/1,000 person-years) patients with NAFLD and 197 (1.6%, incidence rate = 1.0/1,000 person-years) reference individuals during a median follow up of 13 years. The rate of MALO was higher in patients with NAFLD (hazard ratio = 6.6; 95% CI = 5.2-8.5). The risk of MALO was highly associated with the stage of fibrosis at diagnosis. In the biopsy subcohort (72% of total sample), there was no difference in risk between patients with and without non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. The 20-year cumulative incidences of MALO were 2% for the reference population, 3% for patients with F0, and 35% for F3. Prognostic information from biopsy was comparable to FIB-4 (C-indices around 0.73 vs. 0.72 at 10 years). Conclusions: This study provides updated information on the natural history of NAFLD, showing a high rate of progression to cirrhosis in F3 and a similar prognostic capacity of non-invasive tests to liver biopsy. Impact and implications: Several implications for clinical care and future research may be noted based on these results. First, the risk estimates for cirrhosis development are important when communicating risk to patients and deciding on clinical monitoring and treatment. Estimates can also be used in updated health-economic evaluations, and for regulatory agencies. Second, our results again highlight the low predictive information obtained from ascertaining NASHstatus by histology and call for more objective means by which to define NASH. Such methods may include artificial intelligence-supported digital pathology. We highlight that NASH is most likely the causal factor for fibrosis progression in NAFLD, but the subjective definition makes the prognostic value of a histological NASH diagnosis of limited value. Third, the finding that prognostic information from biopsy and the very simple Fibrosis-4 score were comparable is important as it may lead to fewer biopsies and further move the field towards non-invasive means by which to define fibrosis and, importantly, use non-invasive tests as outcomes in clinical trials. However, all modalities had modest discriminatory capacity and new risk stratification systems are needed in NAFLD. Repeated measures of non-invasive scores may be a potential solution.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and risk of major adverse liver outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Phase II trials suggest glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor (GLP1) agonists resolve metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis but do not affect fibrosis regression. We aimed to determine the long-term causal effect of GLP1 agonists on the risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in patients with any chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes. DESIGN: We used observational data from Swedish healthcare registers 2010-2020 to emulate a target trial of GLP1 agonists in eligible patients with chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes. We used an inverse-probability weighted marginal structural model to compare parametric estimates of 10-year MALO risk (decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation or MALO-related death) in initiators of GLP1 agonists with non-initiators. We randomly sampled 5% of the non-initiators to increase computational efficiency. RESULTS: GLP1 agonist initiators had a 10-year risk of MALO at 13.3% (42/1026) vs 14.6% in non-initiators (1079/15 633) in intention-to-treat analysis (risk ratio (RR)=0.91, 95% CI=0.50 to 1.32). The corresponding 10-year per-protocol risk estimates were 7.4% (22/1026) and 14.4% (1079/15 633), respectively (RR=0.51, 95% CI=0.14 to 0.88). The per-protocol risk estimates at 6 years were 5.4% (21/1026) vs 9.0% (933/15 633) (RR=0.60, 95% CI=0.29 to 0.90) and at 8 years 7.2% (22/1026) vs 11.7% (1036/15 633) (RR=0.61, 95% CI=0.21 to 1.01). CONCLUSION: In patients with chronic liver disease and type 2 diabetes who adhered to therapy over time, GLP1 agonists may result in lower risk of MALO. This suggests that GLP1 agonists are promising agents to reduce risk of chronic liver disease progression in patients with concurrent type 2 diabetes, although this needs to be corroborated in randomised trials.

Prevalence and 3-year incidence of physical illnesses after schizophrenia diagnosis: Comparison with general population.

AIM: People with schizophrenia are at a greater risk of poor physical health than the general population. This study investigated the annual incidence of physical illnesses after a new schizophrenia diagnosis, which has rarely been investigated in the literature. METHODS: The authors collected data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database from January 1, 1996, to December 31, 2013, and enrolled 1910 patients with newly diagnosed schizophrenia cases aged 10-40 years and 7640 age- and sex-matched controls from the general population. They estimated the 1-year prevalence and annual incidence rate ratio (IRR) of specified physical diseases across 3 years in the schizophrenia group compared with the controls. RESULTS: Several physical illnesses were prevalent within 1 year of schizophrenia diagnosis. Regarding incident physical illnesses, patients had a moderate to strong risk of numerous physical illnesses (IRR > 3.0: ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, and cancer; IRR 1.8-3.0: other forms of heart disease, vein and lymphatic diseases, pneumonia, chronic hepatic disease, and ulcer disease) within the first year after schizophrenia diagnosis. The IRRs of most physical illnesses declined over 3 years, except for that of cerebrovascular disease, which significantly increased (IRR > 3.0) over the 3 years after schizophrenia diagnosis. Cerebrovascular disease had a significant incidence risk (IRR > 3) persistently across the 3 years. CONCLUSION: Various comorbid physical illnesses can occur in the early stages of schizophrenia. Clinicians should consider these vulnerabilities to physical illnesses during the evaluation of patients with newly diagnosed schizophrenia by attempting to prevent, screen for, and manage them.