The prevalence of lifetime trauma and association with physical and psychosocial health among adults at the end of life.

BACKGROUND: National guidelines recognize lifetime trauma as relevant to clinical care for adults nearing the end of life. We determined the prevalence of early life and cumulative trauma among persons at the end of life by gender and birth cohort, and the association of lifetime trauma with end-of-life physical, mental, and social well-being. METHODS: We used nationally representative Health and Retirement Study data (2006-2020), including adults age > 50 who died while enrolled (N = 6495). Early life and cumulative traumatic events were measured using an 11-item traumatic events scale (cumulative trauma: 0-5+ events over the lifespan). We included six birth cohorts (born <1924; children of depression [1924-1930]; HRS cohort [1931-1941]; war babies [1942-1947]; early baby-boomers [1948-1953]; mid-baby boomers [1954-1959]). End-of-life outcomes included validated measures of physical (pain, fatigue, dyspnea), mental (depression, life satisfaction), and social (loneliness, social isolation) needs. We report the prevalence of lifetime trauma by gender and birth cohort and the adjusted probability of each end-of-life outcome by trauma using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: The mean age at death was 78 years (SD = 11.1) and 52% were female. Lifetime trauma was common (0 events: 19%; 1-2: 47%; 3-4: 25%; 5+: 9%), with variation in individual events (e.g., death of a child, weapons in combat) by gender and birth cohort. After adjustment, increasing cumulative trauma was significantly associated (p-value<0.001) with higher reports of end-of-life moderate-to-severe pain (0 events: 46%; 1-2 events: 50%; 3-4 events: 57%; 5+ events: 60%), fatigue (58%; 60%; 66%; 69%), dyspnea (46%; 51%; 56%; 58%), depression (24%; 33%; 37%; 40%), loneliness (12%; 17%; 19%; 22%), and lower life satisfaction (73%; 63%; 58%; 54%). CONCLUSION: Older adults in the last years of life report a high prevalence of lifetime traumatic events which are associated with worse end-of-life physical and psychosocial health. A trauma-informed approach to end-of-life care and management of physical and psychosocial needs may improve a patient's quality of life.

Mortality and Function After Widowhood Among Older Adults With Dementia, Cancer, or Organ Failure.

Importance: The widowhood effect, in which mortality increases and function decreases in the period following spousal death, may be heightened in older adults with functional impairment and serious illnesses, such as cancer, dementia, or organ failure, who are highly reliant on others, particularly spouses, for support. Yet there are limited data on widowhood among people with these conditions. Objective: To determine the association of widowhood with function and mortality among older adults with dementia, cancer, or organ failure. Design, Setting, and Participants: This longitudinal cohort study used population-based, nationally representative data from the Health and Retirement Study database linked to Medicare claims from 2008 to 2018. Participants were married or partnered community-dwelling adults aged 65 years and older with and without cancer, organ failure, or dementia and functional impairment (function score <9 of 11 points), matched on widowhood event and with follow-up until death or disenrollment. Analyses were conducted from September 2021 to May 2024. Exposure: Widowhood. Main Outcomes and Measures: Function score (range 0-11 points; 1 point for independence with each activity of daily living [ADL] or instrumental activity of daily living [IADL]; higher score indicates better function) and 1-year mortality. Results: Among 13 824 participants (mean [SD] age, 70.1 [5.5] years; 6416 [46.4%] female; mean [SD] baseline function score, 10.2 [1.6] points; 1-year mortality: 0.4%) included, 5732 experienced widowhood. There were 319 matched pairs of people with dementia, 1738 matched pairs without dementia, 95 matched pairs with cancer, 2637 matched pairs without cancer, 85 matched pairs with organ failure, and 2705 matched pairs without organ failure. Compared with participants without these illnesses, widowhood was associated with a decline in function immediately following widowhood for people with cancer (change, -1.17 [95% CI, -2.10 to -0.23] points) or dementia (change, -1.00 [95% CI, -1.52 to -0.48] points) but not organ failure (change, -0.84 [95% CI, -1.69 to 0.00] points). Widowhood was also associated with increased 1-year mortality among people with cancer (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08 [95% CI, 1.04 to 1.13]) or dementia (HR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.02 to 1.27]) but not organ failure (HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.98 to 1.06]). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that widowhood was associated with increased functional decline and increased mortality in older adults with functional impairment and dementia or cancer. These findings suggest that persons with these conditions with high caregiver burden may experience a greater widowhood effect.

Function, cognition, and quality of life among older adults with lung cancer who live alone: A prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Among older adults without cancer, living alone is associated with poor health outcomes. However, among older adults with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who live alone, data on function, cognition, and quality of life (QOL) during systemic treatment remain limited. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We enrolled adults aged ≥65 with advanced NSCLC starting a new chemotherapy, immunotherapy, and/or targeted therapy regimen with non-curative intent. Patients completed geriatric assessments including instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), Montreal Cognitive Assessment, and QOL pretreatment and at 1, 2, 4, and 6 months, or until treatment discontinuation, whichever occurred earlier. We categorized change in IADL, cognition, and QOL as stable/improved, declined with recovery, or declined without recovery using clinically meaningful definitions of change. We used multinomial logistic regression to compare change between patients who lived alone versus with others. RESULTS: Among 149 patients, median age was 73; 21% lived alone. Pretreatment IADL, cognition, and QOL scores were similar between older adults who lived alone versus with others. During NSCLC treatment, older adults who lived alone had similar trajectories of function (52% functional decline vs 38%), cognition (43% cognitive decline vs 50%), and QOL (45% QOL decline vs 44%) compared with those who lived with others. In unadjusted analyses, patients who lived alone were more likely to develop functional decline with recovery (reference category: stable/improved function) than those who lived with others (relative risk ratio 4.07, 95% CI 1.14-14.6, p = 0.03). However, this association was not observed after adjusting for age, race, prior NSCLC treatment, current treatment group, and pretreatment geriatric assessment differences. There were no differences in cognitive or QOL trajectories in unadjusted or adjusted analyses. DISCUSSION: Approximately half of older adults with advanced NSCLC who lived alone were able to maintain their function, cognition, and QOL during NSCLC treatment, which was similar to older adults who lived with others. Many older adults with advanced NSCLC who live alone can receive systemic treatment with individualized supportive care.

Can Artificial Intelligence Speak for Incapacitated Patients at the End of Life?

This Viewpoint examines how artificial intelligence could support surrogate decision-makers while addressing some of the attendant epistemic and moral challenges.

Prognoses Associated With Palliative Performance Scale Scores in Modern Palliative Care Practice.

Importance: The Palliative Performance Scale (PPS) is one of the most widely used prognostic tools for patients with serious illness. However, current prognostic estimates associated with PPS scores are based on data that are over a decade old. Objective: To generate updated prognostic estimates by PPS score, care setting, and illness category, and examine how well PPS predicts short- and longer-term survival. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study was conducted at a large academic medical center with robust inpatient and outpatient palliative care practices using electronic health record data linked with data from California Vital Records. Eligible participants included patients who received a palliative care consultation between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2020. Data analysis was conducted from November 2022 to February 2024. Exposure: Palliative care consultation with a PPS score documented. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were predicted 1-, 6-, and 12-month mortality and median survival of patients by PPS score in the inpatient and outpatient settings, and performance of the PPS across a range of survival times. In subgroup analyses, mortality risk by PPS score was estimated in patients with cancer vs noncancer illnesses and those seen in-person vs by video telemedicine in the outpatient setting. Results: Overall, 4779 patients (mean [SD] age, 63.5 [14.8] years; 2437 female [51.0%] and 2342 male [49.0%]) had a palliative care consultation with a PPS score documented. Of these patients, 2276 were seen in the inpatient setting and 3080 were seen in the outpatient setting. In both the inpatient and outpatient settings, 1-, 6-, and 12-month mortality were higher and median survival was shorter for patients with lower PPS scores. Prognostic estimates associated with PPS scores were substantially longer (2.3- to 11.7-fold) than previous estimates commonly used by clinicians. The PPS had good ability to discriminate between patients who lived and those who died in the inpatient setting (integrated time-dependent area under the curve [iAUC], 0.74) but its discriminative ability was lower in the outpatient setting (iAUC, 0.67). The PPS better predicted 1-month survival than longer-term survival. Mortality rates were higher for patients with cancer than other serious illnesses at most PPS levels. Conclusions and Relevance: In this prognostic study, prognostic estimates associated with PPS scores were substantially longer than previous estimates commonly used by clinicians. Based on these findings, an online calculator was updated to assist clinicians in reaching prognostic estimates that are more consistent with modern palliative care practice and specific to the patient's setting and diagnosis group.

Psychosocial distress among spouses of persons with dementia before and after their partner's death.

BACKGROUND: Spouses of persons living with dementia may face heightened psychosocial distress in the years immediately before and after their partner's death. We compared the psychosocial needs of spouses of partners with dementia with spouses of partners with non-impaired cognition nearing and after the end of life, focusing on loneliness, depression, life satisfaction, and social isolation. METHODS: We used nationally representative Health and Retirement Study married couples data (2006-2018), restricting to spouses 50+ years old. We included 2098 spouses with data on loneliness and depressive symptoms 2 years before and after the partner's death. We additionally examined a subset of spouses (N = 1113) with available data on life satisfaction and social isolation 2 years before their partner's death. Cognitive status of partners was classified as non-impaired cognition, cognitive impairment not dementia (cognitive impairment), and dementia. We used multivariable logistic regression to determine: 1) the change in loneliness and depression for spouses pre- and post-partner's death, and 2) life satisfaction and social isolation 2 years before the partner's death. RESULTS: Spouses were on average 73 years old (SD: 10), 66% women, 7% Black, 7% Hispanic non-White, 24% married to persons with cognitive impairment, and 19% married to partners with dementia. Before their partner's death, spouses married to partners with dementia experienced more loneliness (non-impaired cognition: 8%, cognitive impairment: 16%, dementia: 21%, p-value = 0.002) and depressive symptoms (non-impaired cognition: 20%, cognitive impairment: 27%, dementia: 31%, p-value < 0.001), and after death a similar prevalence of loneliness and depression across cognitive status. Before their partner's death, spouses of partners with dementia reported less life satisfaction (non-impaired cognition: 74%, cognitive impairment: 68%; dementia: 64%, p-value = 0.02) but were not more socially isolated. CONCLUSION: Results emphasize a need for clinical and policy approaches to expand support for the psychosocial needs of spouses of partners with dementia in the years before their partner's death rather than only bereavement.

Resilience, Survival, and Functional Independence in Older Adults Facing Critical Illness.

BACKGROUND: Older adults surviving critical illness often experience new or worsening functional impairments. Modifiable positive psychological constructs such as resilience may mitigate post-intensive care morbidity. RESEARCH QUESTION: Is pre-ICU resilience associated with: (1) post-ICU survival; (2) the drop in functional independence during the ICU stay; or (3) the trend in predicted independence before vs after the ICU stay? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was performed by using Medicare-linked Health and Retirement Study surveys from 2006 to 2018. Older adults aged ≥ 65 years admitted to an ICU were included. Resilience was calculated prior to ICU admission. The resilience measure was defined from the Simplified Resilience Score, which was previously adapted and validated for the Health and Retirement Study. Resilience was scored by using the Leave-Behind survey normalized to a scale from 0 (lowest resilience) to 12 (highest resilience). Outcomes were survival and probability of functional independence. Survival was modeled by using Gompertz models and independence using joint survival models adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical variables. Average marginal effects were estimated to determine independence probabilities. RESULTS: Across 3,409 patients aged ≥ 65 years old admitted to ICUs, preexisting frailty (30.5%) and cognitive impairment (24.3%) were common. Most patients were previously independent (82.7%). Mechanical ventilation occurred in 14.8% and sepsis in 43.2%. Those in the highest resilience group (vs lowest resilience) had a lower risk of post-ICU mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.70-0.94). Higher resilience was associated with greater likelihood of post-ICU functional independence (estimated probability of functional independence 5 years after ICU discharge in highest-to-lowest resilience groups (adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI]): 0.53 (0.33-0.74), 0.47 (0.26-0.68), 0.49 (0.28-0.70), and 0.36 (0.17-0.55); P < .01. Resilience was not associated with a difference in the drop in independence during the ICU stay or a difference in the pre-ICU vs post-ICU trend in predicted independence . INTERPRETATION: ICU survivors with higher resilience had increased rates of survival and functional independence, although the slope of functional decline before vs after the ICU stay did not differ according to resilience group.

Prevalence and Sociodemographic Correlates of Chronic Pain Among a Nationally Representative Sample of Older Adults in the United States.

Subgroup analyses conducted among U.S. national survey data have estimated that 27 to 34% of adults aged ≥65 years have chronic pain. However, none of these studies focused specifically on older adults or examined disparities in chronic pain in those aged ≥65 years. To obtain current information on the prevalence and sociodemographic correlates of chronic pain in U.S. older adults, a cross-sectional analysis was conducted of data collected from 3,505 older adults recruited from the AmeriSpeak Panel. Chronic pain was defined as pain on most or every day in the last 3 months. Nationally representative chronic pain prevalence estimates were computed by incorporating study-specific survey design weights. Logistic regression analyses evaluated differences in chronic pain status as a function of sociodemographic characteristics (eg, gender, race/ethnicity, and socioeconomic status). The results indicated that 37.8% of older adults reported chronic pain. Compared with White older adults, Black (odds ratio [OR] = .6, 95% CI: .4-.8) and Asian (OR = .2, 95% CI: .1-.8) older adults were less likely to report chronic pain. The prevalence of chronic pain was also lower among those who reported the highest (vs lowest) household income (OR = .6, 95% CI: .4-.8). Those who were not working due to disability (vs working as a paid employee) were more likely to report chronic pain (OR = 3.2, 95% CI: 2.1-5.0). This study was the first to recruit a large, representative sample of older adults to estimate the prevalence of chronic pain and extends prior work by identifying subgroups of older adults that are disproportionately affected. PERSPECTIVE: This study was the first to estimate the prevalence and sociodemographic correlates of chronic pain among a large, representative sample of U.S. older adults. The findings underscore the high prevalence of chronic pain and highlight disparities in chronic pain prevalence rates among this historically understudied population.

"Relationships, Very Quickly, Turn to Nothing": Loneliness, Social Isolation, and Adaptation to Changing Social Lives Among Persons Living With Dementia and Care Partners.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Persons with dementia and their care partners have known risks for loneliness and social isolation throughout the disease trajectory, yet little is described about social lives in a population heterogeneous for disease stage, syndrome type, and setting. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of qualitative interviews from multiple studies to triangulate responses from a cohort of persons with dementia (n = 24), and active (n = 33) or bereaved (n = 15) care partners diverse in setting, dementia type and stage, and life experience. Interviews explored challenges related to social lives and were analyzed thematically. RESULTS: Persons with dementia were on average 80 years old (range: 67-94), 38% female, and 78% diagnosed with Alzheimer's dementia; care partners were on average 67 years old (range: 40-87) and 69% female. We identified 3 primary themes. First, dyads lost external social networks due to complex factors, including discomfort of surrounding social networks, caregiving responsibilities, and progressive cognitive deficits. Second, care partners described disruptions of meaningful dyadic relationships due to progressive cognitive and functional deficits, leading to loneliness and anticipatory grief. Third, adaptive strategies centered on care partners facilitating shared social activities and programs addressing caregiver burden. An overarching theme of disease-course accumulation of barriers to social interactions and constant adaptations was present in all themes. DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Isolation and loneliness are a shared experience and source of distress for persons with dementia and care partners. Results can inform interventions tailored to individual needs and disease stages of dyads that enhance social connectedness.

Long-term cognitive outcome after elective hip or knee total joint arthroplasty: A population-based observational study.

BACKGROUND: One year after elective hip or knee total joint arthroplasty (TJA), >30% of older adults meet criteria for postoperative neurocognitive disorder. However, this is not contextualized with long-term cognitive outcomes in comparable surgical and nonsurgical controls. We analyzed population-based data to compare long-term cognitive outcomes in older adults after TJA, other surgeries, and with and without arthritis pain. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational analysis of United States older adults in the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) who underwent elective TJA, or elective surgery without expected functional benefits (e.g., cholecystectomy; inguinal herniorrhaphy), between 1998 and 2018 at aged 65 or older. TJA recipients were also age- and sex-matched to nonsurgical controls who reported moderate-severe arthritic pain or denied pain, so that comparison groups included surgical and nonsurgical (pain-suffering and pain-free) controls. We modeled biennially-assessed memory performance, a measure of direct and proxy cognitive assessments, before and after surgery, normalized to the rate of memory decline ("cognitive aging") in controls to express effect size estimates as excess, or fewer, months of memory decline. We used linear mixed effects models adjusted for preoperative health and demographic factors, including frailty, flexibly capturing time before/after surgery (knots at -4, 0, 8 years; discontinuity at surgery). RESULTS: There were 1947 TJA recipients (average age 74; 63% women; 1358 knee, 589 hip) and 1631 surgical controls (average age 76; 38% women). Memory decline 3 years after TJA was similar to surgical controls (5.2 [95% confidence interval, CI -1.2 to 11.5] months less memory decline in the TJA group, p = 0.11) and nonsurgical controls. At 5 years, TJA recipients experienced 5.0 [95% CI -0.9 to 10.9] months less memory decline than arthritic pain nonsurgical controls. CONCLUSION: There is no systematic accelerated memory decline at 3 years after TJA compared with surgical or nonsurgical controls.

Development and External Validation of Models to Predict Need for Nursing Home Level of Care in Community-Dwelling Older Adults With Dementia.

Importance: Most older adults living with dementia ultimately need nursing home level of care (NHLOC). Objective: To develop models to predict need for NHLOC among older adults with probable dementia using self-report and proxy reports to aid patients and family with planning and care management. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study included data from 1998 to 2016 from the Health and Retirement Study (development cohort) and from 2011 to 2019 from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (validation cohort). Participants were community-dwelling adults 65 years and older with probable dementia. Data analysis was conducted between January 2022 and October 2023. Exposures: Candidate predictors included demographics, behavioral/health factors, functional measures, and chronic conditions. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was need for NHLOC defined as (1) 3 or more activities of daily living (ADL) dependencies, (2) 2 or more ADL dependencies and presence of wandering/need for supervision, or (3) needing help with eating. A Weibull survival model incorporating interval censoring and competing risk of death was used. Imputation-stable variable selection was used to develop 2 models: one using proxy responses and another using self-responses. Model performance was assessed by discrimination (integrated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [iAUC]) and calibration (calibration plots). Results: Of 3327 participants with probable dementia in the Health and Retirement Study, the mean (SD) age was 82.4 (7.4) years and 2301 (survey-weighted 70%) were female. At the end of follow-up, 2107 participants (63.3%) were classified as needing NHLOC. Predictors for both final models included age, baseline ADL and instrumental ADL dependencies, and driving status. The proxy model added body mass index and falls history. The self-respondent model added female sex, incontinence, and date recall. Optimism-corrected iAUC after bootstrap internal validation was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.70-0.75) in the proxy model and 0.64 (95% CI, 0.62-0.66) in the self-respondent model. On external validation in the National Health and Aging Trends Study (n = 1712), iAUC in the proxy and self-respondent models was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.61-0.70) and 0.64 (95% CI, 0.62-0.67), respectively. There was excellent calibration across the range of predicted risk. Conclusions and Relevance: This prognostic study showed that relatively simple models using self-report or proxy responses can predict need for NHLOC in community-dwelling older adults with probable dementia with moderate discrimination and excellent calibration. These estimates may help guide discussions with patients and families in future care planning.

Music Engagement as Part of Everyday Life in Dementia Caregiving Relationships at Home.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Emerging evidence suggests music-based interventions can improve the well-being of people living with dementia, but little is known about the ways in which music might support dementia caregiving relationships as part of everyday life at home. This study examined music engagement in the context of daily life to identify patterns of music engagement and potential targets for the design of music-based interventions to support well-being. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This ethnographic, in-home study of people living with dementia and their family and professional care partners used methods from ethnomusicology, including semistructured interviews and in-home participant observation with a focus on music engagement. RESULTS: A total of 21 dyads were purposively recruited for diversity in terms of gender, ethnicity/race/heritage, caregiving relationship, and music experiences. Despite participants' diverse music preferences, 3 distinct music engagement patterns emerged. (a) Professional care partners intentionally integrated music listening and singing into daily life as part of providing direct care. (b) Family care partners, who had prior dementia care nursing experience or family music traditions, integrated music into daily life in ways that supported their personal relationships. (c) In contrast, family care partners, who lacked dementia care experience and had high levels of caregiver burden, disengaged from prior music-making. DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: The distinct music engagement patterns reflect different needs on the part of dyads. It is important to continue to support dyads who engage in music daily and to consider developing music-based interventions to support well-being among dyads who have become disengaged from music.

Chronic Pain and Pain Management in Older Adults: Protocol and Pilot Results.

BACKGROUND: Chronic pain occurs in 30% of older adults. This prevalence rate is expected to increase, given the growth in the older adult population and the associated growth of chronic conditions contributing to pain. No population-based studies have provided detailed, longitudinal information on the experience of chronic pain in older adults; the pharmacological and nonpharmacological strategies that older adults use to manage their chronic pain; and the effect of chronic pain on patient-reported outcomes. OBJECTIVES: This article aims to describe the protocol for a population-based, longitudinal study focused on understanding the experience of chronic pain in older adults. The objectives are to determine the prevalence and characteristics of chronic pain; identify the pharmacological and nonpharmacological pain treatments used; evaluate for longitudinal differences in biopsychosocial factors; and examine how pain types and pain trajectories affect important patient-reported outcomes. Also included are the results of a pilot study. METHODS: A population-based sample of approximately 1,888 older adults will be recruited from the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago's AmeriSpeak Panel to complete surveys at three waves: enrollment (Wave 1), 6 months (Wave 2), and 12 months (Wave 3). To determine the feasibility, a pilot test of the enrollment survey was conducted among 123 older adults. RESULTS: In the pilot study, older adults with chronic pain reported a range of pain conditions, with osteoarthritis being the most common. Participants reported an array of pharmacological and nonpharmacological pain strategies. Compared to participants without chronic pain, those with chronic pain reported lower physical and cognitive function and poorer quality of life. Data collection for the primary, longitudinal study is ongoing. DISCUSSION: This project will be the first longitudinal population-based study to examine the experience and overall effect of chronic pain in older adults. Pilot study results provide evidence of the feasibility of study methods. Ultimately, this work will inform the development of tailored interventions for older patients targeted to decrease pain and improve function and quality of life.

Around the EQUATOR with Clin-STAR: Prediction modeling opportunities and challenges in aging research.

The 2015 Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Statement was published to improve reporting transparency for prediction modeling studies. The objective of this review is to highlight methodologic challenges that aging-focused researchers will encounter when designing and reporting studies involving prediction models for older adults and provide guidance for addressing these challenges. In following the 22-item TRIPOD checklist, researchers must consider the representativeness of cohorts used (e.g., whether older adults with frailty, cognitive impairment, and social isolation were included), strategies for incorporating common geriatric predictors (e.g., age, comorbidities, functional status, and frailty), methods for handling missing data and competing risk of death, and assessment of model performance heterogeneity across important subgroups (e.g., age, sex, race, and ethnicity). We provide guidance to help aging-focused researchers develop, validate, and report models that can inform and improve patient care, which we label "TRIPOD-65."

The Natural History of Disability and Caregiving Before and After Long-Term Care Entry.

Importance: Many older persons move into long-term care facilities (LTCFs) due to disability and insufficient home caregiving options. However, the extent of disability and caregiving provided around the time of entry is unknown. Objective: To quantitatively describe disability and caregiving before and after LTCF entry, comparing nursing home (NH), assisted living (AL), and independent living (IL) entrants. Design, Setting, and Participants: A longitudinal cohort study using prospectively collected annual data from the National Health and Aging Trends Study from 2011 to 2020 including participants in the continental US. Overall, 932 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries entering LTCF from 2011 to 2019 were included. Entry into LTCF was set as t = 0, and participant interviews from 4 years before and 2 years after were used. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prevalence of severe disability (severe difficulty or dependence in ≥3 activities of daily living), prevalence of caregivers, and median weekly caregiving hours per entrant, using weighted mixed-effects regression against time as linear spline. Results: At entry, mean (SD) age was 84 (8.4) years, 609 (64%, all percentages survey weighted) were women, 143 (6%) were Black, 29 (3%) were Hispanic, 30 (4%) were other (other race and ethnicity included American Indian, Asian, Native Hawaiian, and other), and 497 (49%) had dementia. 349 (34%) entered NH, 426 (45%) entered AL, and 157 (21%) entered IL. Overall, NH and AL entry were preceded by months of severe disability and escalating caregiving. Before entry, 49% (95% CI, 29%-68%) of NH entrants and 10% (95% CI, 3%-24%) of AL entrants had severe disability. Most (>97%) had at least a caregiver, but only one-third (NH, 33%; 95% CI, 20%-50%; AL, 33%; 95% CI, 24%-44%) had a paid caregiver. Median care was 27 hours weekly (95% CI, 18-40) in NH entrants and 18 (95% CI, 14-24) in AL entrants. On NH and AL entry, severe disability rose to 89% (95% CI, 82%-94%) and 28% (95% CI, 16%-44%) on NH and AL entry and was 66% (95% CI, 55%-75%) 2 years after entry in AL residents. Few IL entrants (<2%) had severe disability and their median care remained less than 7 hours weekly before and after entry. Conclusions: This study found that persons often enter NHs and ALs after months of severe disability and substantial help at home, usually from unpaid caregivers. Assisted living residents move when less disabled, but approach levels of disability similar to NH entrants within 2 years. Data may help clinicians understand when home supports approach a breaking point.