The association of meteorological parameters and AirQ+ health risk assessment of PM2.5 in Ratchaburi province, Thailand.

Air quality is heavily influenced by rising pollution distribution levels which are a consequence of many artificial activities from numerous sources. This study aims to determine the relationship between meteorological data and air pollutants. The health effects of long-term PM2.5 were estimated on expected life remaining (ELR) and years of life lost (YLL) indices in Ratchaburi province during the years 2015-2019 using AirQ+ software. Values obtained from the PM2.5 averaging, and YLL data were processed for the whole population in the age range of 0-29, 30-60 and over 60. These values were entered into AirQ+ software. The mean annual concentration of PM2.5 was highly variable, with the highest concentration being 136.42 µg/m3 and the lowest being 2.33 µg/m3. The results estimated that the highest and lowest YLL in the next 10 years for all age groups would be 24,970.60 and 11,484.50 in 2017 and 2019, respectively. The number of deaths due to COPD, IHD, and stroke related to long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 were 125, 27 and 26, respectively. The results showed that older people (> 64) had a higher YLL index than the groups aged under 64 years. The highest and lowest values for all ages were 307.15 (2015) and 159 (2017). Thus, this study demonstrated that the PM2.5 effect to all age groups, especially the the elderly people, which the policy level should be awared and fomulated the stratergies to protecting the sensitive group.

Particulate matter (PM10) prediction based on multiple linear regression: a case study in Chiang Rai Province, Thailand.

BACKGROUND: The northern regions of Thailand have been facing haze episodes and transboundary air pollution every year in which particulate matter, particularly PM10, accumulates in the air, detrimentally affecting human health. Chiang Rai province is one of the country's most popular tourist destinations as well as an important economic hub. This study aims to develop and compare the best-fitted model for PM10 prediction for different seasons using meteorological factors. METHOD: The air pollution and weather data acquired from the Pollution Control Department (PCD) spanned from the years 2011 until 2018 at two stations on an hourly basis. Four different stepwise Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) models for predicting the PM10 concentration were then developed, namely annual, summer, rainy, and winter seasons. RESULTS: The maximum daily PM10 concentration was observed in the summer season for both stations. The minimum daily concentration was detected in the rainy season. The seasonal variation of PM10 was significantly different for both stations. CO was moderately related to PM10 in the summer season. The PM10 summer model was the best MLR model to predict PM10 during haze episodes. In both stations, it revealed an R2 of 0.73 and 0.61 in stations 65 and 71, respectively. Relative humidity and atmospheric pressure display negative relationships, although temperature is positively correlated with PM10 concentrations in summer and rainy seasons. Whereas pressure plays a positive relationship with PM10 in the winter season. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, the MLR models are effective at estimating PM10 concentrations at the local level for each seasonal. The annual MLR model at both stations indicates a good prediction with an R2 of 0.61 and 0.52 for stations 65 and 73, respectively.