Time trends, frequency, characteristics and prognosis of short-duration transient global amnesia.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Transient global amnesia (TGA) is characterized by a sudden onset of anterograde amnesia lasting up to 24 h. One major differential for TGA is transient epileptic amnesia, which typically lasts < 1 h. However, TGA can also be short in duration and little is known about the time trends, characteristics and prognosis of TGA cases lasting < 1 h. METHODS: We compared the clinical features of TGA ascertained in two independent cohort studies in Oxfordshire, UK [Oxford cohort 1977-1987 versus Oxford Vascular Study (OXVASC) 2002-2018] to determine the time trends of clinical features of TGA. Results were validated in another independent contemporary TGA cohort in Italy [Northern Umbria TGA registry (NU) 2002-2018]. We compared the risk factors, clinical features and long-term prognosis (major cardiovascular events, recurrent TGA and seizure/epilepsy) of patients presenting with episodes lasting < 1 h versus those lasting ≥ 1 h. RESULTS: Overall, 639 patients with TGA were included (114 Oxford cohort, 100 OXVASC, 425 NU). Compared with the original Oxford cohort, there were more cases with TGA lasting < 1 h in OXVASC [32 (32.0%) vs. 9 (8.8%)] and NU (11.8% vs. 8.8% in Oxford cohort). In both OXVASC and NU, patient age, vascular risk factors and clinical features were largely similar between those with TGA lasting < 1 h versus those lasting ≥ 1 h. Moreover, there was no difference in the long-term risk of seizure/epilepsy or major cardiovascular events between TGA lasting < 1 h versus TGA lasting ≥ 1 h. CONCLUSIONS: Short-duration TGA episodes (<1 h) were not uncommon and were more frequent than in earlier studies. The clinical features and long-term prognosis of short-duration TGA did not differ from more typical episodes lasting ≥ 1 h.

Regional indices of socio-economic and health inequalities: a tool for public health programming.

OBJECTIVES: The aim was to provide an affordable method of computing socio-economic (SE) deprivation indices at the regional level, in order to reveal the specific aspects of the relationship between SE inequalities and health outcomes. The Umbria Region Socio-Health Index (USHI) was computed and compared with the Italian National Deprivation Index at the Umbria regional level (NDI-U). METHODS: The USHI was computed by applying factor analysis to census tract SE variables correlated with general mortality and validated through comparison with the NDI-U. RESULTS: Overall mortality presented linear positive trends in USHI, while trends in NDI-U proved non-linear or non-significant. Similar results were obtained with regard to specific causes of death according to deprivation groups, gender and age. CONCLUSIONS: The USHI better describes a local population in terms of health-related SE status. Policy-makers could therefore adopt this method in order to obtain a better picture of SE-associated health conditions in regional populations and to target strategies for reducing health inequalities.

Estimates of the incidence of infection-related cancers in Italy and Italian regions in 2018.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic infections and infestations represent one of the leading causes of cancer. Eleven agents have been categorized by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) in Group 1, 3 in Group 2A and 4 in Group 2B. We previously estimated that the incidence of cancers associated with infectious agents accounted for the 8.5% of new cancer cases diagnosed in Italy in 2014. METHODS: In the present study we evaluated the incidence of cancer in Italy and in the 20 Italian regions in 2018, based on the data of Cancer Registries, and calculated the fraction attributable to infectious agents. RESULTS: Cancers of infectious origin contributed to the overall burden of cancer in Italy with more than 27,000 yearly cases, the 92% of which was attributable to Helicobacter pylori, human papillomaviruses, and hepatitis B and C viruses. With the exception of papillomavirus-related cancers, the incidence of cancers of infectious origin was higher in males (16,000 cases) than in females (11,000 cases). There were regional and geographical variations of cancers depending on the type of cancer and on the gender. Nevertheless, the overall figures were rather similar, the infection-related cancers accounting for the 7.2, 7.6, and 7.1% of all cancers in Northern, Central, and Southern Italy, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The estimate of the incidence of cancers attributable to infectious agents in Italy in 2018 (7.3% of all cancer cases) is approximately half of the worldwide burden, which has been estimated by IARC to be the 15.4% of all cancer cases in 2012.

Linking surgical specimen length and examined lymph nodes in colorectal cancer patients.

AIM: The number of examined lymph nodes (NLN) was associated with survival of stages II and III colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. Guidelines recommend examining at least 12 lymph nodes. This study investigated the influence of surgical specimen length on lymph node harvest and compliance with international guidelines. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This population-based study included 4,724 cases of surgically treated CRC that were diagnosed from 2002 to 2008. Multivariate analyses were performed for the main study variables (age, gender, diagnosis at screening or in symptomatic patients, cancer site, staging, grading, number of positive nodes, neo-adjuvant treatment for rectal cancer, hospital were surgery was performed). Fractional polynomial models investigated the relationship between continuous variables and outcomes. RESULTS: The NLN increased over time reaching ≥12 NLN in 64% of cases at the end of the study period. More NLN were associated with young age, right colon cancer, pT3-T4 disease, stages II and III and high grade. Fewer NLN were associated with short surgical specimen length and neo-adjuvant treatment in rectal cancer patients. Use of laparoscopy increased sharply over time. CONCLUSIONS: NLN increased over time in accordance with international guidelines. Surgical specimen length correlated with NLN which may determine therapeutic choices, particularly in stage II colon cancer. When harvested lymph nodes are under 10 in number and all are negative, chemotherapy is always recommended. As specimen lengths <20 cm were associated with a high risk of inadequate NLN counts, patients are at risk of over-treatment.

Seasonal variation in the month of birth in patients with skin cancer.

BACKGROUND: Month of birth influences the risk of developing several diseases. We investigated the influence of date of birth on melanoma skin cancer (MSC) and non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) incidence. METHODS: Enhanced cancer registry data were analysed including 1751 MSC and 15 200 NMSC. RESULTS: People born in February to April showed significantly elevated risks of NMSC compared with those born in summertime. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated seasonality by date of birth for skin cancer incidence. Neonatal UV exposure may explain this finding.

Epidemiology of HPV-related female cancers in the Umbria region of Italy: pre-vaccination period.

The authors describe the incidence and mortality rates of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related female cancers in Umbria (Italy) in the pre-vaccination period from 1978-2008. Joinpoint regression was applied on age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates to evaluate temporal trends. Mouth and pharynx cancers incidence and mortality trends decreased about three percent per year. For anus and anal canal cancer, incidence and mortality trends presented a non-significant decrease. For malignant neoplasm of vulva, a significant change was found in incidence trend: the annual percentage change decreased from 2001 (- 1.8%). Mortality trend showed a non-significant decrease. Incidence and mortality rates from vaginal cancer were non-significantly decreased. For malignant neoplasm of cervix uteri, incidence rates showed a significant decrease by 2.1% per year. Mortality rates decreased as well, although non-significantly. HPV-related cancers consistently decreased in Umbria. This trend may be a consequence of safer sexual behavior. For cervical cancer, a combination of opportunistic and programmed screening led to a much-reduced disease burden. It is expected that the implementation of vaccination in the future will lead to a further decrease of HPV-related cancer incidence and mortality.

Risk of multiple primary cancers following melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancer.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between cutaneous malignancies and successive primary cancers has been studied since several years, but it still remains controversial. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the excess risk of multiple primary cancer among the population of Umbria, Italy, that survived a skin cancer. METHODS: The data registered in the Umbrian Population Cancer Registry from 1994 to 2006 were collected, recorded, and analysed in accordance to the standard methods recommended for cancer registries. Among skin cancer patients, those with multiple cutaneous and non-cutaneous cancers were selected. Only sites with a frequency of more than five cases were considered. The expected number of cases was obtained from indirect standardization with regional incidence rates in several sites that incurred in the overall period. The significance of the observed/expected ratios and the corresponding 95% CI were based on the Poisson distribution. RESULTS: In men, a significant standardized incidence ratio (SIR) was found for melanoma (2.21), non-melanoma skin cancers (1.86), Hodgkin's (4.95) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (1.82), and tongue/mouth cancer (2.47). In women, melanoma, non-melanoma skin and breast cancer showed a significant high SIRs (4.13, 1.55 and 1.28 respectively). All other cancers showed a non-significant SIR. Considering all sites combined and all sites except skin cancers, the analysis showed a significant excess in men, whereas a significant risk was observed in women only when also skin cancers were considered. CONCLUSIONS: Data from the whole of Umbrian population revealed that skin cancer patients experience marked excess risk of further primary cancers. The main risk in both genders is skin melanoma and other skin cancers. The excess of lymphomas and tongue/mouth cancers is also significant in men, and breast cancer in women. These observations prompt us to include a screening for these cancers in the follow-up of our patients surviving a skin malignancy.

Incidence of thyroid cancer in Italy, 1991-2005: time trends and age-period-cohort effects.

BACKGROUND: In Italy, some of the highest incidence rates (IRs) of thyroid cancer (TC) worldwide have been reported. PATIENTS AND METHODS: TC cases <85 years of age reported to Italian cancer registries during 1991-2005 were included. Age-standardized IRs were computed for all TC and age-period-cohort effects were estimated for papillary TC. RESULTS: IRs of TC were twofold higher in 2001-2005 than in 1991-1995 (18 and 8 per 100,000 women, 6 and 3 per 100,000 men, respectively). Increases were similar in the two sexes and nearly exclusively due to papillary TC. Increases of papillary TC by birth cohort were found in both sexes and among all age groups between 20 and 79 years. Age-period-cohort models showed a strong period effect in both sexes (rate ratio for 2001-2009 versus 1991-1995 = 2.5 in women and 2.3 in men), although IRs peaked at an earlier age in women (45-49 years) than men (65-69 years). CONCLUSION: The strength of the period effect in both sexes and the earlier onset in women than men strongly implicated increased medical surveillance in the upward trends of papillary TC incidence in Italy. The consequences of the current intense search for TC on morbidity and possible overtreatment, especially among young women, should be carefully evaluated.

Risk factors for relapse after conservative treatment in T1-T2 breast cancer with one to three positive axillary nodes: results of an observational study.

BACKGROUND: As few data are available on irradiation of the draining nodes after conservative surgery (CS), this study was designed to identify patients with T1-T2 breast cancer and one to three positive axillary nodes who needed regional radiotherapy (RT). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Five hundred seventy-five patients were treated between 1988 and 2001 with CS and RT to the breast. All but three received adjuvant chemotherapy and/or hormone therapy. Risk factors for and the relationships between local, nodal and distant relapses were analyzed. RESULTS: At a median follow-up of 7.3 years, the 10-year probability of survival free of local relapse, nodal relapse and distant metastases were 92.8%, 94.0% and 84.9%, respectively. Independent predictors of local relapse were the positive/excised node ratio, margin status and age. Predictors of nodal relapse were tumor grade, hormone receptor and margin status. Significant risk factors for distant metastases were tumor stage, grade, hormone receptor and margin status. Local and nodal relapses were related significantly with distant metastases. Only local and distant relapses were linked by temporal sequence (P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Overall relapse rates were low in these patients and different mechanisms appeared to underlie local, nodal or distant relapse.

Recent trends in incidence, mortality and survival after cancer of the female breast and reproductive organs. Umbria, Italy: 1978-2005.

This study analyzed the incidence, mortality and survival after cancer of the female breast and reproductive organs in the Umbria region of Italy with the aim of generating hypotheses to explain trends. Mortality data were supplied by ISTAT (1978-1993) and ReNCaM (1994-2005) and incidence (1994-2005) and survival (at 12/31/2007) data by RTUP. Joinpoint regression was applied to evaluate temporal trends of the age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates. Mortality, incidence and relative survival rates were compared with national and international data. The incidence of breast cancer increased up to 2001 and afterwards significantly decreased; mortality rates significantly decreased after 1994. Uterine corpus incidence was practically stable, and decreased over the study period; mortality from all uterine subsites significantly decreased from 1978 onwards. Trends in ovarian cancer incidence and mortality (after 1985) were constant. Trends in occurrence of breast and cervical cancer were linked to population screening of Umbrian women, noting a low compliance by younger females with cervical cancer screening and emphasizing the opportunity of starting breast cancer screening at a younger age. Trends in the incidence of cancer of the uterus and ovary, though unsteady, were probably related to modifications in risk factor exposure. Survival was better for breast and cervical cancers than in the 1978-1982 period and might be due to early diagnosis and progress in therapy.

A useful ultrasound score to select thyroid nodules requiring fine needle aspiration in an iodine-deficient area.

BACKGROUND: The high prevalence of thyroid nodules in iodine-deficient areas is a practical problem because of the large number of patients requiring fine needle aspiration (FNA) to detect malignant nodules. AIM: To obtain an ultrasound (US) score for predicting malignant nodules and reduce the number of unnecessary and expensive FNA. SUBJECT AND METHOD: All nodules observed from September 2001 to March 2006 were evaluated by US: echostructure, echogenicity, halo, microcalcifications and ratio between antero-posterior and transversal diameters (AP/TR). Two thousand six hundred and forty-two consecutive patients underwent US-guided FNA for a total of 3645 nodules. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed a potent predictive role for solitary nodules and absence/ incomplete halo (p=0.000). A significant predictive role for microcalcifications and AP/TR ratio was also observed. A 10-point score was constructed using the standardized regression coefficient. Nodules with US score or=5.5 had a frequency of malignancy of 0.4, 1.1 and 5.6% (p<0.001), respectively. Nodules with >or=5.5 US score were characterized by a 66% sensitivity and a 76% specificity compared to the diagnostic values of single parameters which were either sensitive or specific. CONCLUSIONS: According to our data, we suggest FNA for nodules reaching a >5.4 US score, whereas a clinical judgement should be used for the intermediate category nodules. When the score is lower than 2.5 we do not recommend FNA. The practical use of this US score can help reduce unnecessary and expensive FNA in iodine-deficient areas.

Pattern of cancer risk in persons with AIDS in Italy in the HAART era.

A record-linkage study was carried out between the Italian AIDS Registry and 24 Italian cancer registries to compare cancer excess among persons with HIV/AIDS (PWHA) before and after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in 1996. Standardised incidence ratios (SIR) were computed in 21951 AIDS cases aged 16-69 years reported between 1986 and 2005. Of 101 669 person-years available, 45 026 were after 1996. SIR for Kaposi sarcoma (KS) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma greatly decreased in 1997-2004 compared with 1986-1996, but high SIRs for KS persisted in the increasingly large fraction of PWHA who had an interval of <1 year between first HIV-positive test and AIDS diagnosis. A significant excess of liver cancer (SIR=6.4) emerged in 1997-2004, whereas the SIRs for cancer of the cervix (41.5), anus (44.0), lung (4.1), brain (3.2), skin (non-melanoma, 1.8), Hodgkin lymphoma (20.7), myeloma (3.9), and non-AIDS-defining cancers (2.2) were similarly elevated in the two periods. The excess of some potentially preventable cancers in PWHA suggests that HAART use must be accompanied by cancer-prevention strategies, notably antismoking and cervical cancer screening programmes. Improvements in the timely identification of HIV-positive individuals are also a priority in Italy to avoid the adverse consequences of delayed HAART use.

Incidence of multiple primary malignancies in women diagnosed with breast cancer.

Using data from the Umbrian Population Cancer Registry (RTUP) we tested the hypothesis of relationships between several subsequent cancer sites in women who had had breast cancer. New patients (7,840) were collected from the RTUP between 01/01/1994 and 31/12/2006; 24 DCO cases were excluded; 332 successive multiple cancers in 320 patients were recorded. Including all second cancers, metachronous contralateral breast cancer, the observed/expected ratio (SIR) was non-significant. Excluding these cases, SIR was significantly lower whether with or without second skin carcinomas. SIR of all second metachronous contralateral cancers, excluding skin carcinomas, was non-significant. Significantly lower risk involved the colorectum, stomach, pancreas and metachronous breast with different histology. A significant excess was found of melanoma and total second breast cancers, including the contralateral. The excessive skin melanoma in breast cancer survivors was attributed to the relationship with BRCA2 and CDKN2A mutation-positive patients. The excess risk due to the CDKN2A mutation should also include pancreatic cancer which, in the present study, presented a significantly lower risk.

Epidemiological overview on the effectiveness of mass screening for female cancer in Umbria, Italy.

Using incidence, survival and mortality we tried to verify the effectiveness of mass-screening interventions for cervical uterine, breast, and colorectal cancer in females. Mortality data concern the period from 1978-2002. Incident cases derived from an ad hoc survey for 1978-1982 data and from the RTUP from 01/01/1994 to 31/12/2002. Relative survival rates were calculated for 1978-1982, 1994-1997 and 1998-2002 time intervals. All standardized mortality figures showed a steady trend. Incidence rates concerning cervical uterine cancer showed a decrease starting from the 1978-1982 period, whereas those for breast cancer had a constant increasing trend, and those for colorectal cancer increased up to 1997-1999 and later remained constant. For breast cancer the 5-year survival rate increased about 15% compared to the first period, for colon cancer there was less of an increase and the increase for cervical uterine cancer survival was only for the 1998-2002 period compared to the former ones. With constant incidence rates, improvement in survival from cervical uterine cancer may be due to a high number of cancer cases detected at an early stage. The effect of breast cancer screening on incidence is evident, though differences still did not influence mortality and survival. Colorectal cancer epidemiology can be considered as a prescreening pattern. Mortality, incidence and survival data allow a good overview for the effectiveness of screening procedures.

Urban-rural differences in gynaecological cancer occurrence in a central region of Italy: 1978-1982 and 1998-2002.

Differences in gynaecological cancer incidence and mortality in the urban and rural areas of the Umbria region (central Italy) were investigated. All women with primary invasive breast cancers, uterine cervix and uterine corpus, and ovarian cancers diagnosed during the periods 1978-1982 and 1998-2002 were identified and analysed according to place of residence (either urban or rural). Mortality data were supplied by the National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) for the period 1978 to 1982, whereas for the 1994-2002 period they were supplied by the Regional Nominative Causes of Death Registry (ReNCaM). Incident cases considered were taken from an ad hoc survey for the first period and from the Umbrian Population Cancer Registry database for the second one. For each site the age-adjusted incidence (AAIR) and mortality (AADR) rates were calculated. The expected number of rural cases was obtained from indirect standardisation with urban incidence and mortality rates of several sites. The significance of the observed expected ratios (SIRs for incidence and SMRs for mortality) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals were based on the Poisson distribution. Urbanisation levels were established following the classification of the Italian Institute of Statistics. For all sites, excluding the ovary during the most recent period, the SIR relative to rural areas was below 1, but the rates were statistically significant only for breast cancer in both periods (SIR 0.81, 95% CI 0.74-0.88 and SIR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77-0.88, respectively) and for cervix uteri in the first period (SIR 0.77, 95% CI 0.59-0.94). The lower breast cancer incidence in the rural area could also be due to lesser compliance with screening procedures which, up until 2002, were not provided in the form of mass-screenings throughout the region by the Regional Health Department. These results underscore the need for continued efforts to provide preventive health services to medically underserved women throughout Umbria, including rural communities. Underutilisation of preventive healthcare services may result in failure to identify healthcare problems that might be successfully managed with medication or lifestyle changes, as well as missed opportunities to prevent potentially life-threatening diseases.

Evaluation of goiter using ultrasound criteria: a survey in a middle schoolchildren population of a mountain area in Central Italy.

Iodine deficiency is still an important health care problem in the world. In Italy, as in most European countries, it is responsible for the development of mild to moderate endemic goiter. In 1995 we conducted a goiter survey in the Gubbio township, an area of Umbria region in Italy, close to the Appenine mountain chain. This study demonstrated a high prevalence of goiter in the middle schoolchildren population, indicating the presence of moderate endemic goiter. Soon after, a goiter prevention campaign aimed at implementing the consumption of iodinated salt was started. In 2001, a second survey was conducted in the middle schoolchildren (age 11-14 yr old) of Gubbio and neighbour townships. Eight hundred thirteen subjects were studied. Data obtained in 240 age-matched children, studied in the same area in 1995, were used for comparison to monitor changes 5 yr after the beginning of iodine prophylaxis. Thyroid volume was measured by ultrasonography. Gland volume was expressed in ml. A large population living in a iodine-sufficient area, previously reported by others, was used as control. Urinary iodine excretion was measured randomly in 20% of the children. The overall prevalence of goiter decreased between 1995 and 2001 from 29 to 8%. Goiter odds ratio (OR), corrected for age, was 4.0 (95% CI 2.8-5.9) for 1995 compared to 2001 (p<0.000). Mean thyroid volume in the matched populations was 7.6+/-2.5 ml in 1995 and 5.7+/-2.1 ml in 2001. Median iodine urinary excretion increased from 72.6 to 93.5 mug/l, at the limit of statistical significance. Living in a rural area, no consumption of iodized salt and familiarity for goiter represented independent risk factors for goiter development. This study was the first conducted in Umbria region and confirmed that an implementation campaign for iodized salt consumption is a simple and useful instrument to prevent endemic goiter and related diseases. A new survey to evaluate goiter prevalence in the same area 10 yr after the beginning of iodine prophylaxis is already planned.

[Survival of men with upper aerodigestive cancer in Umbria, Italy. 1978-82 and 1994-98]. / Sopravvivenza del cancro delle vie aerodigestive superiori nei maschi in Umbria. 1978-82 e 1994-98.

The aim of this study is to analyze the upper aerodigestive cancer survival in Umbria, a central Italian region, in the periods 1978-82 and 1994-98. The cases' data diagnosed in the period 1978-82 were derived from an ad hoc survey carried out in Umbria and for the years 1994-98 from Umbria Population-based Registry (RTUP). In the period 1994-98 the relative survival has lightly improved compared with the previous one. Comparison among five year relative standardized survival for head and neck, oesophagus and larynx, in Umbria region and in the other Italian registries, shows a quite high survival that could be further improved with an early diagnosis and, consequently, less destroying treatments.

[A monitoring system for occupational cancer]. / Un sistema di monitoraggio per i tumori di origine professionale.

INTRODUCTION: The Italian Occupation and Safety Act (d.lgs 626/94) provided for the establishment of a nationwide occupational cancer registry, under the National Institute for Occupational Health and Safety (ISPESL), with the aim of detecting cancer cases of occupational origin and estimating the influence of occupation in cancer causation. METHODS: Information on cancer cases, drawn from six Italian population-based cancer registries (CRs of Friuli Venezia Giulia Region, Genoa Town and Genoa Province, Macerata Town, Umbria Region, Varese Town, Veneto Region), and on a random sample of population controls selected in each CRs area were linked with data on subjects employed in private enterprises that have been available in electronic form since 1974 at the National Institute for Social Security (INPS). In this way, both for cases and controls, the occupational histories of past employment were collected. A population-based case-control study covering the period 1990-1998 was carried out with the aim of estimating occupational cancer risk in the private sector by site and economic category in each area. Since one of the major drawbacks of this approach is the difficulty in distinguishing true occupational hazards from incidental findings derived from multiple comparisons, an extensive research of occupational literature was carried out, independently of the study results, to compare our results with existing knowledge on occupational risks. RESULTS: Pooled analysis of the most recent incidence data based on 36,379 cases and 29,572 controls was performed; 34 "statistically significant" associations were found for 11 economic categories. Using our literature review, 10 associations were supported by more than 5 publishedpapers, 14 by a number of papers between 1 and 5, and 10 associations had not been previously reported. CONCLUSIONS: This system appears suitable for assessing existing occupational cancer risks and can eventually lead to detecting occupational hazards in many areas of Italy. The system can also provide a list of cases suitable for in-depth search for past occupational exposures.

A population survival model for breast cancer.

Breast cancer is a major health problem, and disease control depends on an effective healthcare system. A registry-based tool to monitor the quality of breast cancer care could be useful. The aim of this study was to develop a population survival model for breast cancer based on the Nottingham Prognostic Model (NPM). To this end, 1452 cases of breast cancer diagnosed in the Umbria Region, Italy, during the period 1994-1996 were studied. An extensive search for routinely available variants in prognosis and treatment was performed. In about 80% of cases complete information on factors included in the NPM was available. The Cox model was used to assess the prognostic value of study factors. Nodal stage was the most important prognostic factor. In women who did not undergo axillary dissection (17%) the risk of death was twice that in women with no affected nodes, but they received chemotherapy with the same frequency. Radiotherapy was also less frequently used in this group. Grading was a significant prognostic factor only when women over 80 were excluded. Population survival models based on data from cancer registries may provide a tool that can be used to evaluate healthcare systems and the effectiveness of interventions. The inclusion of older women in our models decreased the significance of many established prognostic factors because of the frequency of incomplete evaluation and less aggressive treatment in these patients. Not undergoing surgical axillary dissection was associated with a worse prognosis and with less aggressive treatment.