Patterns and trends of medicinal poisoning substances: a population-based cohort study of injuries in 0-11 year old children from 1998-2018.

BACKGROUND: There have been sharp increases in antidepressant and opioid prescriptions over the last 10 years, as well as increased over-the-counter medicine availability. However, the impact on childhood medicinal poisonings rates, particularly by socioeconomic deprivation is unclear. This study reports population level medicinal poisoning substance patterns in England among children aged 0-11 years, helping inform safety advice and poisoning prevention interventions. METHODS: An open cohort study of 1,489,620 0-11 year olds was conducted from 1998 to 2018, using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, to examine inpatient hospital admissions for poisoning. Incidence rates and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) were calculated for poisoning substance groups by age, sex, socio-economic deprivation and year. RESULTS: 3,685 medicinal poisoning hospital admissions were identified. The most common substances were paracetamol (33.2%), dependence/withdrawal risk drugs (DWRD - antidepressants, opioids, gabapentinoids, benzodiazepines) (13.5%) and other over-the-counter (OTC) analgesics/anti-common cold drugs (13.0%). Over the study period DWRD poisonings decreased 33% (aIRR 0.67, 95%CI 0.50-0.90 comparing 2013/14-2017/18 to 1998/99-2002/03), while paracetamol poisonings increased 43% (aIRR 1.43, 95%CI 1.20-1.70 for the same periods), with no change in incidence rates for other OTC drugs (aIRR 0.82, 95% CI 0.60-1.12) or all medications combined (aIRR 0.97, 95%CI 0.88-1.07). A gradient in poisonings by area-level socioeconomic deprivation was shown for all medications (aIRR 1.32, 95%CI 1.18-1.47 for most deprived compared to least deprived quintile), and DWRDs (aIRR 2.03, 95%CI 1.42-2.88 for 4th most deprived quintile and aIRR 1.88, 95%CI 1.32-2.66 for 5th most deprived quintile, compared to least deprived quintile), but not for paracetamol or other OTC drug poisonings. CONCLUSIONS: Poisonings from DWRDs decreased by 33%, while paracetamol poisonings increased by 43% during the study period. There was a gradient by area-level socioeconomic deprivation in prescribed medication poisonings, including drugs with withdrawal/dependence risk, but not OTC medication poisonings. Households in more socioeconomically deprived areas have the potential to benefit most from measures to improve safe storage of medicines and are likely to require targeted interventions providing education and safety equipment. In addition, universal promotion of the safe storage of OTC and prescribed medicines must be provided by prescribers, community pharmacies and other outlets of such medication.

Primary care consultation patterns before suicide: a nationally representative case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Consultation with primary healthcare professionals may provide an opportunity to identify patients at higher suicide risk. AIM: To explore primary care consultation patterns in the 5 years before suicide to identify suicide high-risk groups and common reasons for consulting. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was a case-control study using electronic health records from England, 2001 to 2019. METHOD: An analysis was undertaken of 14 515 patients aged ≥15 years who died by suicide and up to 40 matched live controls per person who died by suicide (n = 580 159), (N = 594 674). RESULTS: Frequent consultations (>1 per month in the final year) were associated with increased suicide risk (age- and sex -adjusted odds ratio [OR] 5.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.47 to 6.32). The associated rise in suicide risk was seen across all sociodemographic groups as well as in those with and without psychiatric comorbidities. However, specific groups were more influenced by the effect of high-frequency consultation (>1 per month in the final year) demonstrating higher suicide risk compared with their counterparts who consulted once: females (adjusted OR 9.50, 95% CI = 7.82 to 11.54), patients aged 15-<45 years (adjusted OR 8.08, 95% CI = 7.29 to 8.96), patients experiencing less socioeconomic deprivation (adjusted OR 6.56, 95% CI = 5.77 to 7.46), and those with psychiatric conditions (adjusted OR 4.57, 95% CI = 4.12 to 5.06). Medication review, depression, and pain were the most common reasons for which patients who died by suicide consulted in the year before death. CONCLUSION: Escalating or more than monthly consultations are associated with increased suicide risk regardless of patients' sociodemographic characteristics and regardless of the presence (or absence) of known psychiatric illnesses.

The association between living alone, loneliness and suicide mortality and effect modification by age: A case:control study.

BACKGROUND: Social isolation is a potentially reversible risk factor for suicide. METHODS: A matched case control study design was used. The study population was from England and identified from an electronic primary case database with linkage to a secondary care database and Office for National Statistics mortality data. Cases were individuals who had been recorded as dying by suicide. Controls were randomly selected, matched by primary care centre and date of suicide mortality. RESULTS: Data were available from 14,515 cases who died from suicide and 580,159 controls. After adjustment for age and sex, the risk of suicide in individuals who had previously been reported to be either living alone or suffering loneliness was increased (Odds ratio OR 4.9; 95 % confidence intervals CI: 4.4 to 5.5). Age affected the level of this risk, with individuals aged 15 to 34 years who were lonely or lived alone having a much higher risk of suicide (OR 16.4; 95 % CI: 8.7 to 31.1). LIMITATIONS: We can demonstrate an association between loneliness and living alone, but this may not be a causal effect. The conclusions may not be generalisable to societies outside the UK. CONCLUSIONS: Loneliness and social isolation are associated with an approximately five-fold increase in risk of mortality from suicide, which was substantially higher in younger adults. These represent potentially reversible risk factors for suicide mortality and may also help identify individuals who are at a higher risk of suicide.

Evaluation of common prescription analgesics and adjuvant analgesics as markers of suicide risk: a longitudinal population-based study in England.

Background: Analgesics prescriptions may provide a marker for identifying individuals at higher risk of suicide. In particular, awareness of which analgesics are implicated may help clinicians assess and modify risk. Method: A case-control study in England using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (for primary care records) linked with hospital and national mortality electronic registries. We included patients aged ≥15 who died by suicide between 2001 and 2019 (N = 14,515), to whom we individually matched 580,159 controls by suicide date and general practice (N = 594,674). Odds ratios (ORs) for suicide, controlled for age and sex, were assessed using conditional logistic regression. Findings: Suicide risks were highest in those prescribed adjuvant analgesics (pregabalin, gabapentin and carbamazepine) (adjusted OR 4.07; 95% confidence intervals CI: 3.62-4.57), followed by those prescribed opioids (adjusted OR 2.01; 95% CI: 1.88-2.15) and those prescribed non-opioid analgesics (adjusted OR 1.48; 95% CI: 1.39-1.58) compared to those not prescribed these medications. By individual analgesic, the highest suicide risks were seen in patients prescribed oxycodone (adjusted OR 6.70; 95% CI: 4.49-9.37); pregabalin (adjusted OR 6.50; 95% CI: 5.41-7.81); morphine (adjusted OR 4.54; 95% CI: 3.73-5.52); and gabapentin (adjusted OR 3.12; 95% CI: 2.59-3.75). Suicide risk increased linearly with the number of analgesic prescriptions in the final year (p < 0.01 based on the likelihood ratio test), and the more different analgesics categories were prescribed in the final year (p < 0.01 based on the likelihood ratio test). Interpretation: Analgesic prescribing was associated with higher suicide risk. This is a particular issue with regard to adjuvant non-opiate analgesics. Funding: There was no funding for this study.

Comparison of the effectiveness of exclusively facilitated clinical teaching as an alternative to traditional practice-based primary care placements.

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 presented major challenges to undergraduate GP placement capacity and there was an increased reliance on clinical training using facilitated simulation. The authors present a novel comparison of the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of delivering a one-week primary care course using entirely GP-facilitated clinical teaching outside the GP setting against traditional practice-based GP clinical education. METHODS: A one-week GP placement was redeveloped from a traditional teaching model (TT-M) to an exclusively facilitated teaching model (FT-M) delivered outside the GP practice setting, using principles of blended learning, flipped classroom methods, e-learning and simulation. Both teaching models, delivered in different locations during 2022 to pre-clinical students, were evaluated using student feedback surveys for attainment of learning outcomes and course satisfaction. RESULTS: The students reported their consultation skills and clinical knowledge (amalgamated mean score 4.36 for FT-M versus 4.63 for TT-M; P = 0.05), as well as preparation for the clinical phases (mean scores 4.35 for FT-M versus 4.41 for TT-M; P = 0.68), were well developed and similar for both courses. Students reported similar enjoyment across both teaching models (FT-M mean score 4.31 versus 4.41 for TT-M; P = 0.49). The costs for delivering teaching per 4-h session for 100 students were £1,379 and £5,551 for FT-M and TT-M, respectively. CONCLUSION: Delivery of a one-week primary care attachment to third year medical students using an FT-M was similarly effective and more cost effective than delivering it by a TT-M. FT-M potentially offers an important adjunct to clinical learning and resilience to capacity challenges for GP placements.

Cost-effectiveness of England's national 'Safe At Home' scheme for reducing hospital admissions for unintentional injury in children aged under 5.

BACKGROUND: Injuries in children aged under 5 years most commonly occur in the home and disproportionately affect those living in the most disadvantaged communities. The 'Safe at Home' (SAH) national home safety equipment scheme, which ran in England between 2009 and 2011, has been shown to reduce injury-related hospital admissions, but there is little evidence of cost-effectiveness. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cost-effectiveness analysis from a health and local government perspective. Measures were the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per hospital admission averted (ICER) and cost-offset ratio (COR), comparing SAH expenditure to savings in admission expenditure. The study period was split into three periods: T1 (years 0-2, implementation); T2 (years 3-4) and T3 (years 5-6). Analyses were conducted for T2 versus T1 and T3 versus T1. RESULTS: Total cost of SAH was £9 518 066. 202 223 hospital admissions in the children occurred during T1-3, costing £3 320 000. Comparing T3 to T1 SAH reduced admission expenditure by £924 per month per local authority and monthly admission rates by 0.5 per local authority per month compared with control areas. ICER per admission averted was £4209 for T3 versus T1, with a COR of £0.29, suggesting that 29p was returned in savings on admission expenditure for every pound spent on SAH. CONCLUSION: SAH was effective at reducing hospital admissions due to injury and did result in some cost recovery when taking into admissions only. Further analysis of its cost-effectiveness, including emergency healthcare, primary care attendances and wider societal costs, is likely to improve the return on investment further.

Risk of Suicide After Dementia Diagnosis.

Importance: Patients with dementia may be at an increased suicide risk. Identifying groups at greatest risk of suicide would support targeted risk reduction efforts by clinical dementia services. Objectives: To examine the association between a dementia diagnosis and suicide risk in the general population and to identify high-risk subgroups. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a population-based case-control study in England conducted from January 1, 2001, through December 31, 2019. Data were obtained from multiple linked electronic records from primary care, secondary care, and the Office for National Statistics. Included participants were all patients 15 years or older and registered in the Office for National Statistics in England with a death coded as suicide or open verdict from 2001 to 2019. Up to 40 live control participants per suicide case were randomly matched on primary care practice and suicide date. Exposures: Patients with codes referring to a dementia diagnosis were identified in primary care and secondary care databases. Main Outcomes and Measures: Odds ratios (ORs) were estimated using conditional logistic regression and adjusted for sex and age at suicide/index date. Results: From the total sample of 594 674 patients, 580 159 (97.6%) were controls (median [IQR] age at death, 81.6[72.0-88.4] years; 289 769 male patients [50.0%]), and 14 515 (2.4%) died by suicide (median [IQR] age at death, 47.4 [36.0-59.7] years; 10 850 male patients [74.8%]). Among those who died by suicide, 95 patients (1.9%) had a recorded dementia diagnosis (median [IQR] age at death, 79.5 [67.1-85.5] years; median [IQR] duration of follow-up, 2.3 [1.0-4.4] years). There was no overall significant association between a dementia diagnosis and suicide risk (adjusted OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.85-1.29). However, suicide risk was significantly increased in patients diagnosed with dementia before age 65 years (adjusted OR, 2.82; 95% CI, 1.84-4.33), in the first 3 months after diagnosis (adjusted OR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.49-4.09), and in patients with dementia and psychiatric comorbidity (adjusted OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.21-1.93). In patients younger than 65 years and within 3 months of diagnosis, suicide risk was 6.69 times (95% CI, 1.49-30.12) higher than in patients without dementia. Conclusions and Relevance: Diagnostic and management services for dementia, in both primary and secondary care settings, should target suicide risk assessment to the identified high-risk groups.

Risk of mortality from suicide in patients with Huntington's disease is increased compared to the general population in England.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relative risk of suicide mortality in patients with Huntington's disease (HD). METHODS: A case-control study design was used. We used linked electronic records from primary care, secondary care and Office for National Statistics from England from 2001 through 2019. Controls were matched to cases by general practice and suicide date. Odds ratios (ORs) were adjusted for gender and age at suicide/index date. RESULTS: Data were available for 594,674 individuals. Patients with HD who died from suicide were significantly younger at time of death than patients with HD who died from causes other than suicide (p < 0.001). The adjusted OR for HD was 9.2 (95% confidence intervals, CI 4.9-17.4) compared to those without HD. The increase in risk was higher amongst the younger age group who were ≤ 45.8 years at suicide/index date (OR 54.5, 95% CI 10.8-276.1). CONCLUSION: The markedly elevated suicide risk in patients with HD suggests that implementation of suicide risk assessment may improve survival in individuals with these diseases, especially in younger patients.

Ethnicity and suicide risk: A population-based study from England.

Using multiple linked electronic health databases, we conducted a large case-control study in England from 2001 through 2019 to examine the association between ethnicity and suicide risk. Asian, Black and Other ethnic groups had a significantly lower suicide risk compared to White individuals, with those of Asian ethnicity having the lowest risk (Odds Ratio 0.53, 95% Confidence Interval 0.47-0.60). This ethnicity related suicide risk was significantly altered by socio-demographic characteristics. These factors can inform the assessment and stratification of suicide risk, as well as the targeting of public health measures designed to reduce suicide incidence.

Impact of the national home safety equipment scheme 'Safe At Home' on hospital admissions for unintentional injury in children under 5: a controlled interrupted time series analysis.

BACKGROUND: Unintentional home injuries are a leading cause of preventable death in young children. Safety education and equipment provision improve home safety practices, but their impact on injuries is less clear. Between 2009 and 2011, a national home safety equipment scheme was implemented in England (Safe At Home), targeting high-injury-rate areas and socioeconomically disadvantaged families with children under 5. This provided a 'natural experiment' for evaluating the scheme's impact on hospital admissions for unintentional injuries. METHODS: Controlled interrupted time series analysis of unintentional injury hospital admission rates in small areas (Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOAs)) in England where the scheme was implemented (intervention areas, n=9466) and matched with LSOAs in England and Wales where it was not implemented (control areas, n=9466), with subgroup analyses by density of equipment provision. RESULTS: 57 656 homes receiving safety equipment were included in the analysis. In the 2 years after the scheme ended, monthly admission rates declined in intervention areas (-0.33% (-0.47% to -0.18%)) but did not decline in control areas (0.04% (-0.11%-0.19%), p value for difference in trend=0.001). Greater reductions in admission rates were seen as equipment provision density increased. Effects were not maintained beyond 2 years after the scheme ended. CONCLUSIONS: A national home safety equipment scheme was associated with a reduction in injury-related hospital admissions in children under 5 in the 2 years after the scheme ended. Providing a higher number of items of safety equipment appears to be more effective in reducing injury rates than providing fewer items.

Incident Type 2 Diabetes and Risk of Fracture: A Comparative Cohort Analysis Using U.K. Primary Care Records.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate risk of fracture in men and women with recent diagnosis of type 2 diabetes compared with individuals without diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In this cohort study, we used routinely collected U.K. primary care data from The Health Improvement Network. In adults (>35 years) diagnosed with type 2 diabetes between 2004 and 2013, fractures sustained until 2019 were identified and compared with fractures sustained in individuals without diabetes. Multivariable models estimated time to first fracture following diagnosis of diabetes. Annual prevalence rates included at least one fracture in a given year. RESULTS: Among 174,244 individuals with incident type 2 diabetes and 747,290 without diabetes, there was no increased risk of fracture among males with diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.97 [95% CI 0.94, 1.00]) and a small reduced risk among females (aHR 0.94 [95% CI 0.92, 0.96]). In those aged ≥85 years, those in the diabetes cohort were at significantly lower risk of incident fracture (males: aHR 0.85 [95% CI 0.71, 1.00]; females: aHR 0.85 [95% CI 0.78, 0.94]). For those in the most deprived areas, aHRs were 0.90 (95% CI 0.83, 0.98) for males and 0.91 (95% CI 0.85, 0.97) for females. Annual fracture prevalence rates, by sex, were similar for those with and without type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence to suggest a higher risk of fracture following diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. After a diagnosis of type 2 diabetes, individuals should be encouraged to make positive lifestyle changes, including undertaking weight-bearing physical activities that improve bone health.

Poisoning substances taken by young people: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Globally, poisonings account for most medically-attended self-harm. Recent data on poisoning substances are lacking, but are needed to inform self-harm prevention. AIM: To assess poisoning substance patterns and trends among 10-24-year-olds across England DESIGN AND SETTING: Open cohort study of 1 736 527 young people, using linked Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Hospital Episode Statistics, and Office for National Statistics mortality data, from 1998 to 2014. METHOD: Poisoning substances were identified by ICD-10 or Read Codes. Incidence rates and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) were calculated for poisoning substances by age, sex, index of multiple deprivation, and calendar year. RESULTS: In total, 40 333 poisoning episodes were identified, with 57.8% specifying the substances involved. The most common substances were paracetamol (39.8%), alcohol (32.7%), non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (11.6%), antidepressants (10.2%), and opioids (7.6%). Poisoning rates were highest at ages 16-18 years for females and 19-24 years for males. Opioid poisonings increased fivefold from 1998-2014 (females: aIRR 5.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.08 to 6.89; males: aIRR 5.11, 95% CI = 3.37 to 7.76), antidepressant poisonings three-to fourfold (females: aIRR 3.91, 95% CI = 3.18 to 4.80, males: aIRR 2.70, 95% CI = 2.04 to 3.58), aspirin/NSAID poisonings threefold (females: aIRR 2.84, 95% CI = 2.40 to 3.36, males: aIRR 2.76, 95% CI = 2.05 to 3.72) and paracetamol poisonings threefold in females (aIRR 2.87, 95% CI = 2.58 to 3.20). Across all substances poisoning incidence was higher in more disadvantaged groups, with the strongest gradient for opioid poisonings among males (aIRR 3.46, 95% CI = 2.24 to 5.36). CONCLUSION: It is important that GPs raise awareness with families of the substances young people use to self-harm, especially the common use of over-the-counter medications. Quantities of medication prescribed to young people at risk of self-harm and their families should be limited, particularly analgesics and antidepressants.

Differing patterns in intentional and unintentional poisonings among young people in England, 1998-2014: a population-based cohort study.

Background: Accurate and up to date data on changes in poisoning incidence among young people are lacking. Recent linkage of UK primary care, hospital and mortality data allows these to be quantified to inform service delivery. Methods: An open cohort study of 1 736 527 young people aged 10-24 between 1998 and 2014 was conducted using linked data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Hospital Episode Statistics and Office for National Statistics deaths. Incidence rates (IRs) by poisoning intent were calculated by age, sex, deprivation and year. Results: Total poisoning IRs increased by 25% from 1998/99 to 2013/14 [adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) 1.25, 95% CI: 1.20-1.30]. Patterns differed markedly by intent. Intentional poisoning rates increased by 52% while unintentional rates remained unchanged. Intentional rates increased almost exclusively among females, gradually between 1998/99 and 2013/14 among 16-18 (88% increase) and 19-24 (36% increase) year olds but only increased among 10-15 year olds in the last 2 years (79% increase). A 2-fold increased risk of poisoning for the most compared to least deprived quintile existed (aIRR 2.21, 95% CI: 2.02-2.23) and remained over time. Conclusions: Commissioning of primary and secondary prevention services needs to address the growing problem of intentional poisonings among young people.

Changes in poisonings among adolescents in the UK between 1992 and 2012: a population based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Poisonings are a common cause of morbidity and mortality among adolescents. Yet surveillance data indicating current incidence rates (IRs) and time trends are lacking, making policy development and service planning difficult. We utilised population based primary care data to estimate adolescent poisoning rates according to intent across the UK. METHODS: A cohort study of 1 311 021 adolescents aged 10-17 years, between 1992 and 2012, was conducted using routine primary care data from The Health Improvement Network. IRs and adjusted IRRs with 95% CIs were calculated for all poisonings, intentional, unintentional, unknown intent and alcohol related poisonings, by age, sex, calendar time and socioeconomic deprivation. RESULTS: Overall poisoning incidence increased by 27% from the period 1992-1996 to 2007-2012, with the largest increases in intentional poisonings among females aged 16-17 years (IR 391.4/100 000 person years (PY), CI 328.9 to 465.7 for age 17 years in 1992-1996; 767.0/100 000 PY, CI 719.5 to 817.7 in 2007-2012) and alcohol related poisonings in females aged 15-16 years (IR 65.7/100 000 PY, CI 43.3 to 99.8 rising to 130.0/100 000 PY, CI 110.0 to 150.0 for age 15 years). A strong socioeconomic gradient for all poisonings persisted over time, with higher rates among the more deprived (IRR 2.63, CI 2.41 to 2.88 for the most vs least deprived quintile in 2007-2012). CONCLUSIONS: Adolescent poisonings, especially intentional poisonings, have increased substantially over time and remain associated with health inequalities. Social and psychological support for adolescents should be targeted at more deprived communities, and child and adolescent mental health and alcohol support service provision should be commissioned to reflect the changing need.

Children at risk of medicinal and non-medicinal poisoning: a population-based case-control study in general practice.

BACKGROUND: Preschool children have a high risk of poisoning. While medicines prescribed by primary care are potential poisoning agents, the risk factors for poisoning from medication are not well described. AIM: To identify risk factors for medicinal and non-medicinal poisoning in preschool children. DESIGN AND SETTING: Population-based nested case-control study using The Health Improvement Network primary care database 1988-2004. METHOD: Conditional logistic regression was used to identify child, maternal, and social risk factors for medicinal (1316 cases) and non-medicinal poisoning (503 cases), using 17 709 controls matched on general practice. RESULTS: Poisoning by medicines was independently associated with deprivation (test for trend P<0.001), maternal age (P<0.001), birth order (P<0.001), maternal alcohol misuse (odds ratio [OR] = 5.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.99 to 14.91), and perinatal depression (OR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.26 to 1.88). Living in a household with two or more adults lowered the odds of injury compared to single-parent households (OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.74 to 0.96) and the odds varied by age, being highest in 2 year olds (OR = 9.61, 95% CI = 7.73 to 11.95). Non-medicinal poisoning was associated with deprivation (P = 0.001), maternal age (P<0.001), and birth order (P<0.001). The odds were raised in 1 year olds (OR = 5.44, 95% CI = 4.07 to 7.26) and 2 year olds (OR = 5.07, 95% CI = 3.73 to 6.90) compared to those aged <1 year. CONCLUSION: Primary care data can be used to target interventions to children at risk of poisoning. This is pertinent when prescribing for children/family members, as prescribed medications may become poisoning agents. Prompt identification of maternal depression and alcohol misuse, and delivery of poisoning-prevention interventions at this stage may help prevent poisonings.