Statistical investigation on the relationship between climate change, food availability, agricultural productivity, and economic expansion.

This study examined the connections between Benin's economic expansion, food production, agricultural productivity, and climate change. Using yearly statistics between 1961 and 2021, and R software version 4.2.2, we aim to: (1) Analyze how agricultural added value affects economic expansion; (2) analyze the effects of food production and temperature lagged values on economic growth; (3) investigate the different causality relationships between food production, temperature variation, agricultural added value and economic growth. To achieve these goals, statistical and econometric techniques such as Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) and the Toda-Yamamoto Granger causality framework were employed. The ARDL model verifies that there is a positive correlation between economic growth and the added value of agriculture based on empirical data. In addition, the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model highlights the favorable impact of lagged food production values and the adverse effect of temperature fluctuations on economic growth. Granger causality analysis, employing the Toda-Yamamoto approach, unveils unidirectional links between food production and economic growth, as well as between temperature variation and agricultural added value. Interestingly, the study comes to the conclusion that there are no direct causal links between economic expansion and agricultural growth or between economic growth and temperature variance. Notably, bidirectional causality is established between livestock production and both economic growth and agricultural added value. These insights have significant implications for understanding climate change impacts on agriculture and suggest the need for adapted strategies to mitigate climate effects. Future research could focus on evaluating existing policies, exploring social and economic impacts, investigating market dynamics, and utilizing integrated assessment modeling to inform decision-making and foster sustainable economic growth in Benin's agricultural sector.

A Causality Assessment Framework for COVID-19 Vaccines and Adverse Events at the COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Research Center.

During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, conclusively evaluating possible associations between COVID-19 vaccines and potential adverse events was of critical importance. The National Academy of Medicine of Korea established the COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Research Center (CoVaSC) with support from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency to investigate the scientific relationship between COVID-19 vaccines and suspected adverse events. Although determining whether the COVID-19 vaccine was responsible for any suspected adverse event necessitated a systematic approach, traditional causal inference theories, such as Hill's criteria, encountered certain limitations and criticisms. To facilitate a systematic and evidence-based evaluation, the United States Institute of Medicine, at the request of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, offered a detailed causality assessment framework in 2012, which was updated in the recent report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM) in 2024. This framework, based on a weight-of-evidence approach, allows the independent evaluation of both epidemiological and mechanistic evidence, culminating in a comprehensive conclusion about causality. Epidemiological evidence derived from population studies is categorized into four levels-high, moderate, limited, or insufficient-while mechanistic evidence, primarily from biological and clinical studies in animals and individuals, is classified as strong, intermediate, weak, or lacking. The committee then synthesizes these two types of evidence to draw a conclusion about the causal relationship, which can be described as "convincingly supports" ("evidence established" in the 2024 NASEM report), "favors acceptance," "favors rejection," or "inadequate to accept or reject." The CoVaSC has established an independent committee to conduct causality assessments using the weight-of-evidence framework, specifically for evaluating the causality of adverse events associated with COVID-19 vaccines. The aim of this study is to provide an overview of the weight-of-evidence framework and to detail the considerations involved in its practical application in the CoVaSC.

Causal relationships between systemic inflammatory cytokines and adhesive capsulitis: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Mounting evidence suggests a connection between inflammatory cytokines and adhesive capsulitis (AC). However, the specific systemic inflammatory cytokines contributing to AC have not been clearly identified. This study employed Mendelian randomization (MR) to explore the causal relationships between 41 inflammatory cytokines and AC. Methods: In this bidirectional, two-sample MR analysis, genetic variations associated with AC were derived from a comprehensive genome-wide association study (GWAS). The inflammatory cytokines data were sourced from a GWAS summary involving 8,293 healthy participants. The primary MR method employed was inverse variance weighting, supplemented by MR-Egger, weighted median, and MR-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier for sensitivity analysis. Heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q test, and the MR results were validated using the leave-one-out method. Results: Elevated levels of interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) (odds ratio (OR) = 1.086, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.002-1.178) and regulated on activation, normal T cell expressed and secreted (RANTES) (OR = 1.107, 95% CI = 1.026-1.195) were linked to an increased risk of AC. Increased levels of stromal cell-derived factor-1 alpha (SDF-1α) (OR = 0.879, 95% CI = 0.793-0.974) and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) (OR = 0.911, 95% CI = 0.831-0.999) were associated with a reduced AC risk. Moreover, genetically predicted AC exhibited associations with elevated cutaneous T cell attracting (CTACK) levels (OR = 1.202, 95% CI = 1.007-1.435) and diminished levels of interleukin-17 (IL-17) (OR = 0.678, 95% CI = 0.518-0.888) and interleukin-5 (IL-5) (OR = 0.786, 95% CI = 0.654-0.944), as confirmed through inverse-variance weighted (IVW) methods. Conclusion: The present study successfully establishes a causal association between genetically proxied circulating levels of IP-10, RANTES, SDF-1α, and TNF-α and the risk of AC. Additionally, AC contributes to an increase in CTACK and a decrease in IL-17 and IL-5. This significant finding not only enhances the understanding of the pathogenesis of AC but also holds promise for the development of effective clinical management strategies.

Dopamine and deep brain stimulation accelerate the neural dynamics of volitional action in Parkinson's disease.

The ability to initiate volitional action is fundamental to human behaviour. Loss of dopaminergic neurons in Parkinson's disease is associated with impaired action initiation, also termed akinesia. Both dopamine and subthalamic deep brain stimulation (DBS) can alleviate akinesia, but the underlying mechanisms are unknown. An important question is whether dopamine and DBS facilitate de novo build-up of neural dynamics for motor execution or accelerate existing cortical movement initiation signals through shared modulatory circuit effects. Answering these questions can provide the foundation for new closed-loop neurotherapies with adaptive DBS, but the objectification of neural processing delays prior to performance of volitional action remains a significant challenge. To overcome this challenge, we studied readiness potentials and trained brain signal decoders on invasive neurophysiology signals in 25 DBS patients (12 female) with Parkinson's disease during performance of self-initiated movements. Combined sensorimotor cortex electrocorticography (ECoG) and subthalamic local field potential (LFP) recordings were performed OFF therapy (N = 22), ON dopaminergic medication (N = 18) and ON subthalamic deep brain stimulation (N = 8). This allowed us to compare their therapeutic effects on neural latencies between the earliest cortical representation of movement intention as decoded by linear discriminant analysis classifiers and onset of muscle activation recorded with electromyography (EMG). In the hypodopaminergic OFF state, we observed long latencies between motor intention and motor execution for readiness potentials and machine learning classifications. Both, dopamine and DBS significantly shortened these latencies, hinting towards a shared therapeutic mechanism for alleviation of akinesia. To investigate this further, we analysed directional cortico-subthalamic oscillatory communication with multivariate granger causality. Strikingly, we found that both therapies independently shifted cortico-subthalamic oscillatory information flow from antikinetic beta (13-35 Hz) to prokinetic theta (4-10 Hz) rhythms, which was correlated with latencies in motor execution. Our study reveals a shared brain network modulation pattern of dopamine and DBS that may underlie the acceleration of neural dynamics for augmentation of movement initiation in Parkinson's disease. Instead of producing or increasing preparatory brain signals, both therapies modulate oscillatory communication. These insights provide a link between the pathophysiology of akinesia and its' therapeutic alleviation with oscillatory network changes in other non-motor and motor domains, e.g. related to hyperkinesia or effort and reward perception. In the future, our study may inspire the development of clinical brain computer interfaces based on brain signal decoders to provide temporally precise support for action initiation in patients with brain disorders.

No causal relationship between serum urate and neurodegenerative diseases: A Mendelian randomization study.

OBJECTIVE: Observational studies have shown that increased serum urate is associated with a lower risk of neurodegenerative diseases (NDs), but the causality remains unclear. We employed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approach to assess the causal relationship between serum urate and four common subtypes of NDs, including Parkinson's disease (PD), Alzheimer's disease (AD), amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), and multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: Serum urate data came from the CKDGen Consortium. GWAS data for PD, AD, ALS, and MS were obtained from four databases in the primary analysis and then acquired statistics from the FinnGen consortium for replication and meta-analysis. Inverse variance weighted (IVW), weighted median (WM), and MR-Egger regression methods were applied in the MR analyses. Pleiotropic effects, heterogeneity, and leave-one-out analyses were evaluated to validate the results. RESULTS: There was no evidence for the effect of serum urate on PD (OR: 1.00, 95 % CI: 0.90-1.11, P = 0.97), AD (OR: 1.02, 95 % CI: 1.00-1.04, P = 0.06), ALS (OR: 1.05, 95 % CI: 0.97-1.13, P = 0.22), and MS (OR: 1.01, 95 % CI: 0.89-1.14, P = 0.90) risk when combined with the FinnGen consortium, neither was any evidence of pleiotropy detected between the instrumental variables (IVs). CONCLUSION: The MR analysis suggested that serum urate may not be causally associated with a risk of PD, AD, ALS, and MS.

Causal relationship between Helicobacter pylori infection and IgA nephropathy: a bidirectional two-sample mendelian randomization study.

IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is one of the most common primary glomerulonephritis, and serum Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) antibody levels are increased in patients with IgA N, but the role of H. pylori infection in the pathogenesis of IgAN is unclear. In this study, we investigated whether there is a causal relationship and reverse causality between IgAN and H. pylori infection by using a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. This study was estimated using inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger and weighted median methods, with the IVW method having the strongest statistical efficacy. Seven common serum H. pylori antibodies were selected as exposure factors for positive MR analysis. The results showed that there was no evidence of a causal relationship between H. pylori infection and IgAN. Reverse MR analysis showed that there was also no evidence that the occurrence of IgAN leads to an increased risk of H. pylori infection.

A causal relationship between particulate matter 2.5 and obesity and its related indicators: a Mendelian randomization study of European ancestry.

Background: In recent years, the prevalence of obesity has continued to increase as a global health concern. Numerous epidemiological studies have confirmed the long-term effects of exposure to ambient air pollutant particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) on obesity, but their relationship remains ambiguous. Methods: Utilizing large-scale publicly available genome-wide association studies (GWAS), we conducted univariate and multivariate Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to assess the causal effect of PM2.5 exposure on obesity and its related indicators. The primary outcome given for both univariate MR (UVMR) and multivariate MR (MVMR) is the estimation utilizing the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method. The weighted median, MR-Egger, and maximum likelihood techniques were employed for UVMR, while the MVMR-Lasso method was applied for MVMR in the supplementary analyses. In addition, we conducted a series of thorough sensitivity studies to determine the accuracy of our MR findings. Results: The UVMR analysis demonstrated a significant association between PM2.5 exposure and an increased risk of obesity, as indicated by the IVW model (odds ratio [OR]: 6.427; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.881-21.968; P FDR = 0.005). Additionally, PM2.5 concentrations were positively associated with fat distribution metrics, including visceral adipose tissue (VAT) (OR: 1.861; 95% CI: 1.244-2.776; P FDR = 0.004), particularly pancreatic fat (OR: 3.499; 95% CI: 2.092-5.855; PFDR =1.28E-05), and abdominal subcutaneous adipose tissue (ASAT) volume (OR: 1.773; 95% CI: 1.106-2.841; P FDR = 0.019). Furthermore, PM2.5 exposure correlated positively with markers of glucose and lipid metabolism, specifically triglycerides (TG) (OR: 19.959; 95% CI: 1.269-3.022; P FDR = 0.004) and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) (OR: 2.462; 95% CI: 1.34-4.649; P FDR = 0.007). Finally, a significant negative association was observed between PM2.5 concentrations and levels of the novel obesity-related biomarker fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF-21) (OR: 0.148; 95% CI: 0.025-0.89; P FDR = 0.037). After adjusting for confounding factors, including external smoke exposure, physical activity, educational attainment (EA), participation in sports clubs or gym leisure activities, and Townsend deprivation index at recruitment (TDI), the MVMR analysis revealed that PM2.5 levels maintained significant associations with pancreatic fat, HbA1c, and FGF-21. Conclusion: Our MR study demonstrates conclusively that higher PM2.5 concentrations are associated with an increased risk of obesity-related indicators such as pancreatic fat content, HbA1c, and FGF-21. The potential mechanisms require additional investigation.

Causal association of circulating cytokines with the risk of lung cancer: a Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Lung cancer is the deadliest and most prevalent malignancy worldwide. While smoking is an established cause, evidence to identify other causal factors remains lacking. Current research indicates chronic inflammation is involved in tumorigenesis and cancer development, though the specific mechanisms underlying the role of inflammatory cytokines in lung cancer pathogenesis remain unclear. This study implemented Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate the causal effects of circulating cytokines on lung cancer development. Methods: We performed a two-sample MR analysis in Europeans utilizing publicly available genome-wide association study summary statistics. Single nucleotide polymorphisms significantly associated with cytokine were selected as genetic instrumental variables. Results: Genetically predicted levels of the chemokine interleukin-18 (IL-18) (OR = 0.942, 95% CI: 0.897-0.990, P = 0.018) exerted significant negative causal effects on overall lung cancer risk in this analysis. Examining specific histologic subtypes revealed further evidence of genetic associations. Stem cell factor (SCF) (OR = 1.150, 95% CI: 1.021-1.296, P = 0.021) and interleukin-1beta (IL-1ß) (OR = 1.152, 95% CI: 1.003-1.325, P = 0.046) were positively associated with lung adenocarcinoma risk, though no inflammatory factors showed causal links to squamous cell lung cancer risk. Stratified by smoking status, interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) (OR = 0.861, 95% CI: 0.781-0.950, P = 0.003) was inversely associated while IL-1ß (OR = 1.190, 95% CI: 1.023-1.384, P = 0.024) was positively associated with lung cancer risk in ever smokers. Among never smokers, a positive association was observed between lung cancer risk and SCF (OR = 1.474, 95% CI: 1.105-1.964, P = 0.008). Importantly, these causal inferences remained robust across multiple complementary MR approaches, including MR-Egger, weighted median, weighted mode and simple mode regressions. Sensitivity analyses also excluded potential bias stemming from pleiotropy. Conclusion: This MR study found preliminary evidence that genetically predicted levels of four inflammatory cytokines-SCF, IL-1ß, IL-18, and IP-10-may causally influence lung cancer risk in an overall and subtype-specific manner, as well as stratified by smoking status. Identifying these cytokine pathways that may promote lung carcinogenesis represents potential new targets for the prevention, early detection, and treatment of this deadly malignancy.

Association of circulating minerals and vitamins with pregnancy complications: a Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Though considerable studies suggesting connections between micronutrients and pregnancy complications, current evidence remains inconsistent and lacks causative confirmation. Our study aimed to explore the causal links between them with a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Methods: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) data for circulating micronutrients were sourced from GWAS Catalog consortium and PubMed, while data for pregnancy outcomes, including gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), gestational hypertension (GH), spontaneous abortion (SA), preterm birth (PTB), and stillbirth (SB), were retrieved from the UK Biobank and FinnGen consortia. Causal effects were appraised using inverse variance weighted (IVW), weighted median (WM), and MR-Egger, followed by sensitivity analyses and meta-analysis for validation. Results: Genetically predicted higher vitamin E (OR = 0.993, 95% CI 0.987-0.998; p = 0.005) levels were inversely associated with SA risk. Consistent results were obtained in meta-analysis (OR = 0.99, 95% CI 0.99-1.00; p = 0.005). Besides, a potential positive causality between genetic predisposition to vitamin B12 and SB was identified in both IVW (OR = 0.974, 95% CI 0.953-0.996; p = 0.018) and WM analysis (OR = 0.965, 95% CI 0.939-0.993; p = 0.013). However, no causal relationships were observed between other analyzed circulating micronutrients and pregnancy complications. Conclusion: This study offers compelling evidence of causal associations between circulating levels of vitamins E, B12 and the risk of SA and SB, respectively. These findings are pivotal for pregnancy complications screening and prevention, potentially guiding clinical practice and public health policies toward targeted nutritional interventions.

Pediatric acute kidney injury and adverse health outcomes: using a foundational framework to evaluate a causal link.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major global health problem, expensive to manage, and its associations with negative pediatric health outcomes have been clearly demonstrated. One of the most fundamental questions to consider as we use previous epidemiological information to advance research and care paradigms is the strength of the causal link between pediatric AKI and health outcomes. In this review, we apply the foundational framework of the Bradford Hill criteria to evaluate the extent to which a causal link exists between AKI and the associated adverse outcomes in children. Available data in children support a causal link between AKI and short-term outcomes including mortality, length of stay, and ventilation time. Clarifying the causal nature of longer term associations requires further high-quality observational studies in children, careful consideration of what defines the most meaningful and measurable longer term outcomes after pediatric AKI, and integration of evolving biological data related to mechanisms of disease. Preventing or mitigating AKI should lead to improved outcomes. Demonstrating such reversibility will solidify confidence in the causal relationship, improve child health, and highlight an aspect which is highly relevant to clinicians, scientists, and policy makers.

Assessing causality between obstructive sleep apnea with the dyslipidemia and osteoporosis: a Mendelian randomization study.

Purpose: This study aims to assess the causal relationship between Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA), dyslipidemia, and osteoporosis using Mendelian Randomization (MR) techniques. Methods: Utilizing a two-sample MR approach, the study examines the causal relationship between dyslipidemia and osteoporosis. Multivariable MR analyses were used to test the independence of the causal association of dyslipidemia with OSA. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were selected as instrumental variables based on genome-wide significance, independence, and linkage disequilibrium criteria. The data were sourced from publicly available Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) of OSA (n = 375,657) from the FinnGen Consortium, the Global Lipids Genetics Consortium of dyslipidemia (n = 188,577) and the UK Biobank for osteoporosis (n = 456,348). Results: The MR analysis identified a significant positive association between genetically predicted OSA and triglyceride levels (OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.04-1.26, p = 0.006) and a negative correlation with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (OR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.77-0.93, p = 0.0003). Conversely, no causal relationship was found between dyslipidemia (total cholesterol, triglycerides, HDL-C, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol) and OSA or the relationship between OSA and osteoporosis. Conclusion: The study provides evidence of a causal relationship between OSA and dyslipidemia, highlighting the need for targeted prevention and management strategies for OSA to address lipid abnormalities. The absence of a causal link with osteoporosis and in the reverse direction emphasizes the need for further research in this area.

Discovering potential mechanisms of intervertebral disc disease using systematic Mendelian randomization of human circulating immunocytomics.

BACKGROUND: Although intervertebral disc degeneration (IVDD) is a critical factor in many spine-related diseases and has an extremely high prevalence in the aging population, the potential pathogenesis remains to be clarified entirely. Immune cells have been found to perform an essential function during the onset and progression of IVDD in recent years. Therefore, we explored the association between immune cell characteristics and IVDD through Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis and further delved into the mediating role of potential metabolites. METHODS: Based on the MR analysis, the association of 731 immune cell phenotypes and 1400 metabolites on IVDD were assessed. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were closely associated the expression levels of immune cell characteristics and the concentrations of metabolites and have been used as instrumental variables (IVs) for deducing them as risk factors or protective factors for IVDD. In addition, mediation analyses have been performed to identify potential metabolite mediators between immune cell characteristics and IVDD. RESULTS: MR analysis identified 27 immune cell phenotypes and 79 metabolites significantly associated with IVDD. In addition, mediation analysis was performed by selecting the immune cell phenotype that most significantly increased the risk of IVDD - CD86 on monocytes. A total of four metabolite-mediated mediation relationships were revealed (3b-hydroxy-5-cholenoic acid, X-22509, N-acetyl-L-glutamine, and N2-acetyl, N6, N6-dimethyllysine). CONCLUSION: The findings of this analysis identified underlying association between immune cell phenotypes, metabolite, and IVDD that may serve as predictive and prognostic clinical biomarkers and benefit IVDD pathogenesis research.

Association of lipid-lowering drugs with gut microbiota: A Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: The gut microbiota can be influenced by lipid metabolism. We aimed to evaluate the impact of lipid-lowering medications, such as proproteinconvertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors, Niemann-Pick C1-like protein (NPC1L1) inhibitors, and 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-CoA reductase (HMGCR) inhibitors, on gut microbiota through drug target Mendelian randomization (MR) investigation. METHODS: We used genetic variants that were associated with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in genome-wide association studies and located within or near drug target genes as proxies for lipid-lowering drug exposure. In addition, expression trait loci in drug target genes were used as complementary genetic tools. We used effect estimates calculated using inverse variance weighted MR (IVW-MR) and summary data-based MR (SMR). Multiple sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Genetic proxies for lipid-lowering drugs broadly affected the abundance of gut microbiota. High expression of NPC1L1 was significantly associated with an increase in the genus Eggerthella (ß = 1.357, SE = 0.337, P = 5.615 × 10-5). An HMGCR-mediated increase in LDL-C was significantly associated with the order Pasteurellales (ß = 0.489, SE = 0.123, P = 6.955 × 10-5) and the genus Haemophilus (ß = 0.491, SE = 0.125, P = 8.379 × 10-5), whereas a PCSK9-mediated increase in LDL-C was associated with the genus Terrisporobacter (ß = 0.666, SE = 0.127, P = 1.649 × 10-5). No pleiotropy was detected. CONCLUSIONS: This drug target MR highlighted the potential interventional effects of lipid-lowering drugs on the gut microbiota and separately revealed the possible effects of different types of lipid-lowering drugs on specific gut microbiota.

From mono to multi-causality: Towards a comprehensive perspective on understanding death.

Cause-of-death statistics are an age-old source of information for health policy and medical research. In these statistics, the presentation of data is based on the idea of an underlying cause of death, i.e. one ("the") cause of death per deceased. This idea reflects an 18th Century causal thinking and is less and less applicable to contemporary patterns of dying in high income countries with an aging population suffering from chronic diseases and multi- or comorbidity at the end of life. Therefore, today's clinical reality calls for an innovation of cause-of-death statistics. For this, I will consider contemporary philosophical ideas on causality and their application to death. I will argue multi-causality is a more comprehensive way to understand death than mono-causality, implying a change of perspective with regard to current cause-of-death statistics.

Dynamics of Noctiluca scintillans blooms: A 20-year study in Jangmok Bay, Korea.

This 20-year study (2001-2020) conducted in Jangmok Bay, Korea, assessed the intricate relationships between environmental factors and Noctiluca scintillans blooms. Granger causality tests and PCA analysis were used to assess the impact of sea surface temperature (SST), salinity, dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration, wind patterns, rainfall, and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration on bloom dynamics. The results revealed significant, albeit delayed, influences of these variables on bloom occurrence, with SST exhibiting a notable 2-month lag and salinity a 1-month lag in their impact. Additionally, the analysis highlighted the significant roles of phosphate, ammonium, and silicate, which influenced N. scintillans blooms with lags of 2 to 3 months. The PCA demonstrates how SST and wind speed during spring and summer, along with wind direction and salinity in winter, significantly impact N. scintillans blooms. We noted not only an increase in large-scale N. scintillans blooms but also a cyclical pattern of occurrence every 3 years. These findings underscore the synergistic effects of environmental factors, highlighting the complex interplay between SST, salinity, DO concentration, and weather conditions to influence bloom patterns. This research enhances our understanding of harmful algal blooms (HABs), emphasizing the importance of a comprehensive approach that considers multiple interconnected environmental variables for predicting and managing N. scintillans blooms.

Genetic evidence for the causal impact of insomnia on gastrointestinal diseases and the mediating effects of adiposity traits.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Insomnia has been implicated in gastrointestinal diseases (GIs), but the causal effect between insomnia and GIs and underlying mechanisms remain unknown. METHODS: By using the released summary-level data, we conducted a two-step Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to examine the relationship between insomnia and four GIs and estimate the mediating role of candidate mediators. The first step was to investigate the causal association between insomnia and GIs using univariable MR analysis. The second step was to estimate the mediation proportion of selected mediators in these associations using multivariable MR analysis. Subsequently, results from different datasets were combined using the fixed-effect meta-analysis. RESULTS: Univariable MR analysis provided strong evidence for the causal effects of insomnia on four GIs after Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons, including peptic ulcer disease (PUD) (odds ratio [OR] = 1.15, 95% interval confidence [CI] = 1.10-1.20, P = 1.83 × 10-9), gastroesophageal reflux (GORD) (OR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.16-1.22, P = 5.95 × 10-42), irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) (OR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.15-1.22, P = 8.69 × 10-25), and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) (OR = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.03-1.05, P = 3.46 × 10-3). In the mediation analysis, body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) were selected as mediators in the association between insomnia and PUD (BMI: mediation proportion [95% CI]: 13.61% [7.64%-20.70%]; WHR: 8.74% [5.50%-12.44%]) and GORD (BMI: 11.82% [5.94%-18.74%]; WHR: 7.68% [4.73%-11.12%]). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that genetically instrumented insomnia has causal effects on PUD, GORD, IBS, and IBD, respectively. Adiposity traits partially mediated the associations between insomnia and GIs. Further clinical studies are warranted to evaluate the protective effect of insomnia treatment on GIs.

Regional brain activity and neural network changes in cognitive-motor dual-task interference: A functional near-infrared spectroscopy study.

Previous neuroimaging studies have reported dual-task interference (DTi) and deterioration of task performance in a cognitive-motor dual task (DT) compared to that in a single task (ST). Greater frontoparietal activity is a neural signature of DTi; nonetheless, the underlying mechanism of cortical network in DTi still remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the regional brain activity and neural network changes during DTi induced by highly demanding cognitive-motor DT. Thirty-four right-handed healthy young adults performed the spiral-drawing task. They underwent a paced auditory serial addition test (PASAT) simultaneously or independently while their cortical activity was measured using functional near-infrared spectroscopy. Motor performance was determined using the balanced integration score (BIS), a balanced index of drawing speed and precision. The cognitive task of the PASAT was administered with two difficulty levels defined by 1 s (PASAT-1 s) and 2 s (PASAT-2 s) intervals, allowing for the serial addition of numbers. Cognitive performance was determined using the percentage of correct responses. These motor and cognitive performances were significantly reduced during DT, which combined a drawing and a cognitive task at either difficulty level, compared to those in the corresponding ST conditions. The DT conditions were also characterized by significantly increased activity in the right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) compared to that in the ST conditions. Multivariate Granger causality (GC) analysis of cortical activity in the selected frontoparietal regions of interest further revealed selective top-down causal connectivity from the right DLPFC to the right inferior parietal cortex during DTs. Furthermore, changes in the frontoparietal GC connectivity strength between the PASAT-2 s DT and ST conditions significantly correlated negatively with changes in the percentage of correct responses. Therefore, DTi can occur even in cognitively proficient young adults, and the right DLPFC and frontoparietal network being crucial neural mechanisms underlying DTi. These findings provide new insights into DTi and its underlying neural mechanisms and have implications for the clinical utility of cognitive-motor DTs applied to clinical populations with cognitive decline, such as those with psychiatric and brain disorders.

The Causal Relationship Between Skin Microbiota and Facial Aging: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

BACKGROUND: Facial aging is a complex process influenced by environmental factors, genetics, and lifestyle. The contribution of the skin microbiota to this process remains poorly understood. METHODS: This two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was performed using genome-wide genotype data from the UK Biobank and previously published studies on skin microbiota. The primary approach for MR analyses included inverse-variance weighting (IVW), MR-Egger regression, simple mode, weighted median, and weighted mode methods. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess heterogeneity and pleiotropy, and reverse-direction MR analyses were performed to evaluate potential reverse causation. RESULTS: The MR analysis identified ten skin microbiotas with potential causal relationships with facial aging. Protective skin microbiotas included Genus Finegoldia, ASV011 [Staphylococcus (unc.)], ASV008 [Staphylococcus (unc.)], phylum Firmicutes, Family Rhodobacteraceae, and ASV021 [Micrococcus (unc.)], which were negatively associated with facial aging. Conversely, Order Pseudomonadales, Family Moraxellaceae, ASV039 [Acinetobacter (unc.)], and phylum Bacteroidetes were positively associated with facial aging, indicating a risk factor for accelerated aging. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings, and reverse-direction MR analyses did not suggest any reverse causation. CONCLUSION: This study identified specific skin microbial that may influence facial aging and offered new insights into the rejuvenation strategies. NO LEVEL ASSIGNED: This journal requires that authors assign a level of evidence to each submission to which Evidence-Based Medicine rankings are applicable. This excludes Review Articles, Book Reviews, and manuscripts that concern Basic Science, Animal Studies, Cadaver Studies, and Experimental Studies. For a full description of these Evidence-Based Medicine ratings, please refer to the Table of Contents or the online Instructions to Authors www.springer.com/00266 .

Safety of medicinal and edible herbs from fruit sources for human consumption: A systematic review.

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE: Medicinal and edible herbs from fruit sources have been increasingly used in traditional Chinese medicine dietotherapy. There are no restrictions on who could consume the medicinal and edible fruits or on the dosage of consumption. However, their safety for human consumption has yet to be established. AIM OF THE STUDY: This systematic review aimed to assess the safety of human consumption of 30 medicinal and edible fruits. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Seven English and Chinese databases were searched up to May 31, 2023, to collect AE reports following human consumption of medicinal and edible fruits. Eligible reports should include details on the occurrence, symptoms, treatments, and outcomes of AEs. AEs that were life-threatening or caused death, permanent or severe disability/functional loss, or congenital abnormality/birth defects were classified as serious AEs (SAEs). The causality between the consumption of fruits and AEs was graded as one of four ranks: "certain", "probable", "possible", or "unlikely". RESULTS: Thirty AE reports related to the consumption of medicinal and edible fruits were included, involving 12 species of fruits: Crataegi fructus, Gardeniae fructus, Mori fructus, Hippophae fructus, Cannabis fructus, Siraitiae fructus, Perillae fructus, Rubi fructus, Longan arillus, Anisi stellati fructus, Zanthoxyli pericarpium, and Lycii fructus. No AE reports were found for the remaining 18 species. A total of 97 AEs, featuring predominantly gastrointestinal symptoms, followed by allergic reactions and neuropsychiatric symptoms, were recorded. Thirty SAEs were noted, with Zanthoxyli pericarpium accounting for the most (14 cases), followed by Perillae fructus (7 cases), Anisi stellati fructus (6 cases), and Gardeniae fructus, Rubi fructus, and Mori fructus (1 case each). Mori fructus was associated with one death. All AEs were concordant with a causality to fruit consumption, judged to be "certain" for 37 cases, "probable" for 53 cases, and "possible" for 7 cases. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that among medicinal and edible fruits, 12 species have AE reports with a causality ranging from "possible" to "definite". SAEs were not scarce. Most AEs may be associated with an excessive dose, prolonged consumption, or usage among infants or young children. No AE reports were found for the remaining 18 species.

Celiac disease and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis.

Background: Recent observational research suggests a potential link between celiac disease (CeD) and an increased incidence of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). However, the genetic relationship between CeD and ADHD remains unclear. In order to assess the potential genetic causality between these two conditions, we conducted a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Methods: We performed a bidirectional MR analysis to investigate the relationship between CeD and ADHD. We carefully selected single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from publicly available large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) databases, employing rigorous quality screening criteria. MR estimates were obtained using four different methods: fixed-effect inverse variance weighted (fe-IVW), random-effect inverse variance weighting (re-IVW), weighted median (WM), and MR-Egger. The robustness and reliability of our findings were confirmed through sensitivity analyses, assessment of instrumental variable (IV) strength (F-statistic), and statistical power calculations. Results: Our MR analyses did not reveal any significant genetic associations between CeD and ADHD (fe-IVW: OR = 1.003, 95% CI = 0.932-1.079, P = 0.934). Similarly, in the reverse direction analysis, we found no evidence supporting a genetic relationship between ADHD and CeD (fe-IVW: OR = 0.850, 95% CI = 0.591-1.221, P = 0.378). Various MR approaches consistently yielded similar results. Sensitivity analysis indicated the absence of significant horizontal pleiotropy or heterogeneity. However, it's important to note that the limited statistical power of our study may have constrained the causal analysis of the exposure's influence on the outcome. Conclusions: Our findings do not provide compelling evidence for a genetic association between CeD and ADHD within the European population. While the statistical power of our study was limited, future MR research could benefit from larger-scale datasets or datasets involving similar traits. To validate our results in real-world scenarios, further mechanistic studies, large-sample investigations, multicenter collaborations, and longitudinal studies are warranted.