The severity of respiratory syncytial virus infection in children during the SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 pandemic: A nationwide study of 11,915 cases in Germany.

PURPOSE: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is a major cause of childhood hospitalization. The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the usual seasonal pattern of RSV, resulting in high activity during the off-season. This study aims to evaluate the effects of the pandemic on the severity of RSV infections. METHODS: Data from 11,915 children hospitalized due to RSV infection between 2016 and 2022 were analyzed. The hospitalized patients were categorized into two groups, from January 2016 to February 2020 (PreCoV19 group) and from March 2020 to December 2022 (CoV19 group). The hospitalization duration, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, length of stay at ICU, mechanical ventilation requirement and duration, Elixhauser comorbidity index scores, and in-hospital mortality were analyzed. RESULTS: Children in the PreCoV19 group had a mean age of 0.4 ± 0.7, whereas those in the CoV19 group had a mean age of 0.6 ± 1.0 years. Children during the pandemic had significantly shorter hospital stays (4.3 ± 2.6 days) compared to children of the pre-pandemic period (4.9 ± 3.3 days). Although ICU admission rates did not change, the duration of ICU stays decreased in the CoV19 group. Moreover, the in-hospital mortality did not differ between the groups. A multivariable analysis showed that younger age, regardless of the pandemic period, was associated with prolonged hospital stays, higher ICU admission rates, and an increased requirement for mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight significant changes of the clinical characteristics of RSV infections during the pandemic, with implications for clinical management and public health strategies.

An overview of the development of pharmacotherapeutics targeting SARS-CoV-2.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was declared a global pandemic in March 2020, which precipitated urgent public health responses. The causative agent, SARS-CoV-2, spreads primarily via respiratory droplets, necessitating precautions to mitigate transmission risks. Biopharmaceutical industries and academic institutions worldwide swiftly redirected their research endeavors towards developing therapeutic interventions, focusing on monoclonal antibodies, antiviral agents, and immunomodulatory therapies. The evolving body of evidence surrounding these treatments has prompted successive updates and revisions from the FDA, delineating the evolving landscape of COVID-19 therapeutics. This review comprehensively examines each treatment modality within the context of their developmental trajectories and regulatory approvals throughout the pandemic. Furthermore, it elucidates their mechanisms of action and presents clinical data underpinning their utility in combating the COVID-19 crisis.

Probing liver function test patterns in COVID-19 pneumonia: Implications for disease severity assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the incidence of liver function test derangement, the precise patterns of derangement, and their relationship with coronavirus disease-2019 pneumonia severity. METHODS: The retrospective study was conducted at the Dow University Hospital and the Ojha Institute of Chest Diseases, Karachi, and comprised consecutive data from December 16, 2020, to March 16, 2021, of adults of either gender who had nasal swabs positive for coronavirus disease-2019 on real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction. Data regarding patients' demographics, co-morbidities, addictions, laboratory results, and standard information was retrieved from electronic and manual records. The severity of the disease was determined based on World Health Organisation protocols. Data was analysed using SPSS 23. RESULTS: Of the 344 patients, 235(68.3%) were males and 109(31.7%) were females. The overall mean age was 54.58±14.75 years, 187(54.4%) had severe coronavirus disease-2019 pneumonia and 157(45.6%) had non-severe disease at the time of admission. There was a significant prevalence of both mixed and cholestatic patterns of liver function test abnormality among the cases (p=0.046). The presence of a mixed pattern was linked to the disease severity (p<0.05). Advanced age and hypertension were significant risk factors for the development of severe coronavirus disease-2019 pneumonia (p<0.001 and p=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Liver function test abnormality and coronavirus disease-2019 pneumonia severity were fund to have a significant relationship.

Osteonecrosis as a manifestation of Long-COVID Syndrome: a systematic review.

Purpose SARS-CoV-2 is an RNA virus responsible for COVID-19 pandemic. Some authors described the set of persistent symptoms COVID-related as "Long-COVID Syndrome." Several cases of post-COVID-19 osteonecrosis (ON) are described. Our primary aim was to study the hypothetical correlation between SARS-CoV-2 infection and ON; our secondary aim was to understand if ON can be considered part of Long-COVID. Materials and methods We performed a systematic review following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviewers and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. Because COVID-19 is a recently described disease, we included all levels of evidence studies. We excluded studies lacking specification regarding the use of corticosteroids (CCS) and studies not related to COVID-19. The variables extracted were age, sex, risk factors, affected joints, signs and symptoms, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and X-ray features, histology, treatment of COVID-19, dose and duration of treatment with CCS, treatment of ON, follow-up, and treatment outcome. Results A total of 13 studies were included, involving 95 patients and 159 joints. Time between the diagnosis of COVID-19 and the onset of symptoms related to ON was 16 weeks on average. Time between the onset of symptoms and the MRI was 6 weeks. An average of 926.4 mg of prednisolone equivalent per patient were administered. On average, CCS were administered for 20.6 days. Conclusions Patients with a history of COVID-19 infection developed osteonecrosis prematurely and with a lower dose of CCS than usually reported in the literature. Symptoms of osteonecrosis occur within the interval of the period described as Long-COVID. Surgeons should not underestimate the persistence of arthralgia when a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection and use of CCS is reported.

Safety and Efficacy of Antiviral Drugs and Vaccines in Pregnant Women: Insights from Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Integration of Viral Infection Dynamics.

Addressing the complexities of managing viral infections during pregnancy is essential for informed medical decision-making. This comprehensive review delves into the management of key viral infections impacting pregnant women, namely Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), Hepatitis B Virus/Hepatitis C Virus (HBV/HCV), Influenza, Cytomegalovirus (CMV), and SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19). We evaluate the safety and efficacy profiles of antiviral treatments for each infection, while also exploring innovative avenues such as gene vaccines and their potential in mitigating viral threats during pregnancy. Additionally, the review examines strategies to overcome challenges, encompassing prophylactic and therapeutic vaccine research, regulatory considerations, and safety protocols. Utilizing advanced methodologies, including PBPK modeling, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and causal inference, we can amplify our comprehension and decision-making capabilities in this intricate domain. This narrative review aims to shed light on diverse approaches and ongoing advancements, this review aims to foster progress in antiviral therapy for pregnant women, improving maternal and fetal health outcomes.

A child with sickle cell disease admitted with coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonia and acute chest syndrome in pediatric intensive care unit: A case report.

Management of sickle cell disease complications in the setting of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is complicated with little published pediatric data. We report the first documented case of a 9-year-old boy with sickle cell disease, presenting with fever, cough, and shortness of breath, diagnosed to have acute chest syndrome and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia with inflammatory storm requiring ventilation, exchange blood transfusion, immunomodulatory agents, and prophylactic anticoagulation. The patient responded satisfactorily to the management of the acute illness and was found to be well at the next visit to the pediatric hematology outpatient department following hospital discharge.

How effective is the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 transmission and infection? A national programme analysis in Monaco, July 2021 to September 2022.

BACKGROUND: We quantified SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in different community settings and the direct and indirect effect of the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine in Monaco for different variants of concern (VOC). METHODS: Between July 2021 and September 2022, we prospectively investigated 20,443 contacts from 6320 index cases using data from the Monaco COVID-19 Public Health Programme. We calculated secondary attack rates (SARs) in households (n = 13,877), schools (n = 2508) and occupational (n = 6499) settings. We used binomial regression with a complementary log-log link function to measure adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and vaccine effectiveness (aVE) for index cases to infect contacts and contacts to be infected in households. RESULTS: In households, the SAR was 55% (95% CI 54-57) and 50% (48-51) among unvaccinated and vaccinated contacts, respectively. The SAR was 32% (28-36) and 12% (10-13) in workplaces, and 7% (6-9) and 6% (3-10) in schools, among unvaccinated and vaccinated contacts respectively. In household, the aHR was lower in contacts than in index cases (aHR 0.68 [0.55-0.83] and 0.93 [0.74-1.1] for delta; aHR 0.73 [0.66-0.81] and 0.89 [0.80-0.99] for omicron BA.1&2, respectively). Vaccination had no significant effect on either direct or indirect aVE for omicron BA.4&5. The direct aVE in contacts was 32% (17, 45) and 27% (19, 34), and for index cases the indirect aVE was 7% (- 17, 26) and 11% (1, 20) for delta and omicron BA.1&2, respectively. The greatest aVE was in contacts with a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection and a single vaccine dose during the omicron BA.1&2 period (45% [27, 59]), while the lowest were found in contacts with either three vaccine doses (aVE - 24% [- 63, 6]) or one single dose and a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection (aVE - 36% [- 198, 38]) during the omicron BA.4&5 period. CONCLUSIONS: Protection conferred by the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine against transmission and infection was low for delta and omicron BA.1&2, regardless of the number of vaccine doses and previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. There was no significant vaccine effect for omicron BA.4&5. Health authorities carrying out vaccination campaigns should bear in mind that the current generation of COVID-19 vaccines may not represent an effective tool in protecting individuals from either transmitting or acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Effectiveness of Vitamin D and Alpha-Lipoic Acid in COVID-19 Infection: A Literature Review.

Over three years since the World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID-19 a pandemic, it is still a global burden. Vaccines against COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV-2, are available and effective for preventing disease. However, their protective effects are not 100%. Currently, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has only approved a limited number of inpatient treatments for COVID-19, such as remdesivir, baricitinib, and tocilizumab. These medications have indications and contraindications applicable to a select patient population. Finding additional effective therapies that are widely available with limited risk could be vital in optimizing treatment strategies for this viral illness. Some vitamins and supplements have been identified as potential options for managing COVID-19. Vitamin D (VD) deficiency has been associated with respiratory tract infections. Moreover, alpha-lipoic acid (ALA) is a powerful antioxidant and helps reduce inflammatory responses in many pathologic conditions. This review aims to analyze the current evidence regarding the effectiveness of VD and alpha-lipoic acid in COVID-19 infection in both outpatient and hospitalized patients. Relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were identified via the PubMed database from January 1, 2021, to December 31, 2023. Inclusion criteria were as follows: the study design was a randomized controlled trial (RCT), the usage of a constant dose during the intervention period without any additional boluses, and a research ethics committee approved it. Exclusion criteria included a lack of an outcome or apparent intervention, additional boluses, or a single-dose regimen in all the interventional groups. There were 11 studies with a total sample size of 35,717 patients that met the criteria for this review. A total of 10 RCTs examined the efficacy of VD, and one RCT that reviewed the efficacy of ALA was identified. All of the articles investigated the use of VD or ALA during the treatment of COVID-19. The endpoints of each study varied, including length of stay in hospital, viral load, SARS-CoV-2 infection rate, mechanical ventilation, inflammatory markers, clinical symptoms, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, and mortality. In 8/10 VD supplementation trials, significant differences were identified between the interventional and placebo groups in the aforementioned parameters. In 2/10 VD supplementation trials, no significant differences were identified. The ALA supplementation RCT found no differences between the interventional and placebo groups in the SOFA score and 30-day all-cause mortality rate. The current literature suggests that VD can potentially reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate, oxygen requirements, inflammatory markers, clinical symptoms, and mortality. Regarding ALA, although there was a suggestion of benefit, it was not statistically significant. Common limitations among the different studies included relatively small sample sizes, different geographical patient locations among studies, and differences in dosages. Trials investigating the effects of higher doses of VD supplementation on SARS-CoV-2 infection should be conducted. More research is needed to define best practices and optimal dosing protocols for the use of VD in COVID-19.

Recombinant ACE2 - Opportunities and Challenges in COVID-19 Treatment.

It was in 2019 that the world experienced the devastation caused by SARS-COV-2, contributing to a large number of deaths. This contagious virus not only challenged the health care system but has also hit the economy very badly. There has been a lot of research on effective vaccine development, and there has been some success in the same, but no effective antiviral drugs are available in the market. No doubt vaccination can prevent the disease, but it doesn't have the potential to cure an infected person, for which there is a dire need to develop some effective drug. Angiotensin convertase enzyme 2 (ACE2) played a substantial role in SARS-COV2 pathogenesis and thus has gained much attention during the pandemic. Moreover, it has opened up new avenues for the cure of COVID-19.

Ensayo Científico: Soporte nutricional en personas con infección severa por SARS-CoV-2 ¿qué dice la literatura del abordaje nutricional en estos casos? / Scientific essay: Nutritional support in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection: what does the literature say about the nutritional approach in these cases?

El COVID-19 ocasiona la rápida activación del sistema inmune innato, elevando los niveles de citoquinas proinflamatorias, en caso de que el organismo no logre controlar esta respuesta inflamatoria, se produce la denominada "tormenta de citoquinas", responsable de la presentación clínica severa de la enfermedad. El virus SARS-CoV-2 se caracteriza por provocar complicaciones respiratorias agudas severas. La alteración del estado nutricional en un paciente con infección severa por el virus SARS-CoV-2 es multifactorial, sin embargo, existen dos situaciones características que repercuten directamente en el estado nutricional, estas son: la disminución de la ingesta alimentaria y el incremento en las necesidades nutricionales. Existe evidencia acerca del impacto positivo que tiene la instauración de un soporte nutricional especializado en los pacientes con infección severa por SARS-CoV-2. La nutrición es esencial para preservar las funciones en el organismo, en este caso la función respiratoria, y así atravesar el curso de la enfermedad. El soporte nutricional debe ser apropiado durante todo el proceso de la infección, con el propósito de reducir las complicaciones, la estancia hospitalaria y la mortalidad. Por lo anterior, se considera importante integrar la información científica disponible acerca del abordaje nutricional en pacientes con infección severa por SARS-CoV-2, para guiar la prescripción del soporte nutricional especializado.

COVID-19 leads to rapid activation of the innate immune system, raising the levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines. If the body fails to control this inflammatory response, the so-called "cytokine storm" occurs, responsible for the severe clinical presentation of the disease. The SARS-CoV-2 virus is characterized by causing severe acute respiratory complications. The alteration of the nutritional status in a patient with severe infection by the SARS-CoV-2 virus is multifactorial, however, there are two distinctive situations that directly impact the nutritional status the decrease in food intake and the increase in nutritional needs. Nutrition is essential to preserve the respiratory function through the course of the disease. In order to reduce complications, hospital stay and mortality, nutritional support must be adequate throughout the entire infection process. Therefore, the integration of available scientific information about the nutritional approach in patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection is considered to be useful in guiding prescriptions for specialized nutritional support.

Advances in In Vitro Blood-Air Barrier Models and the Use of Nanoparticles in COVID-19 Research.

Respiratory infections caused by coronaviruses (CoVs) have become a major public health concern in the past two decades as revealed by the emergence of SARS-CoV in 2002, MERS-CoV in 2012, and SARS-CoV-2 in 2019. The most severe clinical phenotypes commonly arise from exacerbation of immune response following the infection of alveolar epithelial cells localized at the pulmonary blood-air barrier. Preclinical rodent models do not adequately represent the essential genetic properties of the barrier, thus necessitating the use of humanized transgenic models. However, existing monolayer cell culture models have so far been unable to mimic the complex lung microenvironment. In this respect, air-liquid interface models, tissue engineered models, and organ-on-a-chip systems, which aim to better imitate the infection site microenvironment and microphysiology, are being developed to replace the commonly used monolayer cell culture models, and their use is becoming more widespread every day. On the contrary, studies on the development of nanoparticles (NPs) that mimic respiratory viruses, and those NPs used in therapy are progressing rapidly. The first part of this review describes in vitro models that mimic the blood-air barrier, the tissue interface that plays a central role in COVID-19 progression. In the second part of the review, NPs mimicking the virus and/or designed to carry therapeutic agents are explained and exemplified.

Exploring the Impact of Bereavement During the COVID-19 Pandemic on Children and Young People: A Scoping Review.

Experiencing bereavement as a child or young person (CYP) can have long-lasting effects. The societal and environmental burdens of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic exacerbated the experience of loss and grief for many CYP, who were unable to access their usual the support networks. However, it is still unclear what is currently known and not known about the experiences of CYP bereaved during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. This review used the framework of Arksey and O'Malley and included five stages: (1) identifying the research question; (2) identifying relevant studies; (3) study selection; (4) charting the data; (5) collating, summarizing, and reporting the results. The methodological quality of the included studies was also assessed using the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme tool. The PRISMA framework was used for reporting the results. The electronic databases Medline, PsychINFO, CINAHL, and PubMed were searched for relevant articles. A total of three papers meeting the inclusion criteria were included in this review and two main themes identified: (1) support (which included sub-themes; social isolation and the impact on support; support from family and friends; wider support networks); (2) Emotional impact of bereavement during a pandemic. Access to support networks is crucial for CYP to understand and process their emotions relating to their bereavement experience. The pandemic meant that many usual support networks such as family and friends were inaccessible to CYP, who struggled to deal with their experience of grief during this time. Schools are a valuable support mechanism and can help CYP understand their emotions through open discussions about their bereavement. The limited empirical evidence currently available in this area of research demonstrates an important need to further understanding of the long-term impacts of dealing with pandemic-related loss in childhood.

Human microbiota dysbiosis after SARS-CoV-2 infection have the potential to predict disease prognosis.

BACKGROUND: The studies on SARS-CoV-2 and human microbiota have yielded inconsistent results regarding microbiota α-diversity and key microbiota. To address these issues and explore the predictive ability of human microbiota for the prognosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, we conducted a reanalysis of existing studies. METHODS: We reviewed the existing studies on SARS-CoV-2 and human microbiota in the Pubmed and Bioproject databases (from inception through October 29, 2021) and extracted the available raw 16S rRNA sequencing data of human microbiota. Firstly, we used meta-analysis and bioinformatics methods to reanalyze the raw data and evaluate the impact of SARS-CoV-2 on human microbial α-diversity. Secondly, machine learning (ML) was employed to assess the ability of microbiota to predict the prognosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Finally, we aimed to identify the key microbiota associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS: A total of 20 studies related to SARS-CoV-2 and human microbiota were included, involving gut (n = 9), respiratory (n = 11), oral (n = 3), and skin (n = 1) microbiota. Meta-analysis showed that in gut studies, when limiting factors were studies ruled out the effect of antibiotics, cross-sectional and case-control studies, Chinese studies, American studies, and Illumina MiSeq sequencing studies, SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with down-regulation of microbiota α-diversity (P < 0.05). In respiratory studies, SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with down-regulation of α-diversity when the limiting factor was V4 sequencing region (P < 0.05). Additionally, the α-diversity of skin microbiota was down-regulated at multiple time points following SARS-CoV-2 infection (P < 0.05). However, no significant difference in oral microbiota α-diversity was observed after SARS-CoV-2 infection. ML models based on baseline respiratory (oropharynx) microbiota profiles exhibited the ability to predict outcomes (survival and death, Random Forest, AUC = 0.847, Sensitivity = 0.833, Specificity = 0.750) after SARS-CoV-2 infection. The shared differential Prevotella and Streptococcus in the gut, respiratory tract, and oral cavity was associated with the severity and recovery of SARS-CoV-2 infection. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 infection was related to the down-regulation of α-diversity in the human gut and respiratory microbiota. The respiratory microbiota had the potential to predict the prognosis of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2. Prevotella and Streptococcus might be key microbiota in SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Differences in the inflammatory response among hospitalized patients with distinct variants of SARS-CoV-2.

The SARS-CoV-2 variants demonstrate diverse transmission patterns, modifications in infectivity, and immune response. Changes in disease manifestation may be attributed to vaccination and the virus's reduced capacity to induce inflammation. Objectives: To investigate the relationship between the inflammatory response and the characteristics of COVID-19 across successive waves. Methods: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted to evaluate sociodemographic, clinical, and laboratory data of Alpha (G1), Delta (G2), and Omicron (G3) variants. Results: A total of 300 patients from a hospital in Madrid, Spain, were included. The groups exhibited similar sociodemographic and baseline characteristics. The Alpha variant predominantly affected younger patients, while the Omicron variant affected patients with a higher prevalence of comorbidities. The Alpha group had the lowest vaccination rate compared to the highest rate in the Omicron group. The Alpha group received a higher proportion of tocilizumab compared to the other groups. Despite these differences, the severity scores were similar among the three variants. Regarding laboratory parameters, differences were observed in haemoglobin, D-dimer, alkaline phosphatase, and potassium levels. The Omicron variant showed higher D-dimer levels (p=0.04). In the multivariate analysis, differences in leukocyte count, haemoglobin, alkaline phosphatase, and potassium levels were consistently observed among patients from different waves. Omicron exhibited a higher absolute leukocyte count than the Alpha variant (p=0.003). Conclusion: No significant differences were found in inflammation biomarkers among the three variants. Furthermore, there were no significant disparities in mortality or disease severity. The level of inflammatory response in patients may be determined by the severity of COVID-19, rather than the specific viral variant.

Nonadverse COVID-19 evolution predictors: the CoNAE scale. / Predictores de evolución no adversa en pacientes con COVID-19: escala CoNAE (COVID-19 non-adverse evolution).

OBJECTIVES: Tools to identify patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 are as yet unavailable. Our aims were to identify factors associated with nonadverse outcomes and develop a scale to predict nonadverse evolution in patients with COVID-19 (the CoNAE scale) in hospital emergency departments. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of patients who came to one of our area's national health service hospitals for treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection from July 1, 2020, to July 31, 2021. From case records we collected sociodemographic information, underlying comorbidity and ongoing treatments, other relevant medical history details, and vital constants on arrival for triage. Multilevel multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify predictors. RESULTS: The model showed that patients who had nonadverse outcomes were younger, female, and vaccinated against COVID-19 (2 doses at the time of the study). They arrived with normal vital signs (heart rate, diastolic and systolic pressures, temperature, and oxygen saturation) and had none of the following concomitant diseases or factors: heart failure other heart disease, hypertension, diabetes, liver disease, dementia, history of malignant tumors, and they were not being treated with oral or other systemic corticosteroids or immunosuppressant therapy. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model was 0.840 (95% CI, 0.834-0.847). CONCLUSION: We developed the CoNAE scale to predict nonadverse outcomes. This scale may be useful in triage for evaluating patients with COVID-19. It may also help predict safe discharge or plan the level of care that patients require not only in a hospital emergency department but also in urgent primary care settings or out-of-hospital emergency care.

OBJETIVO: Faltan herramientas para identificar a los pacientes con COVID-19 moderado o leve. El objetivo de este estudio fue identificar variables asociadas a la evolución no adversa y diseñar un modelo predictivo de evolución favorable en pacientes atendidos en servicios de urgencias hospitalarios (SUH) por infección por SARS-CoV-2. METODO: Estudio de cohorte retrospectivo de pacientes con infección por SARS-CoV-2 que acudieron a alguno de los SUH de hospitales públicos de una área por una infección por COVID-19 entre el 1 de julio de 2020 y el 31 de julio de 2021. Los datos recogidos para este estudio incluyeron información sociodemográfica, comorbilidades basales y tratamientos, otros datos de antecedentes y registro de los signos vitales a la llegada (triaje) al SUH. Se utilizaron modelos de regresión logística multivariable multinivel para desarrollar los modelos predictivos. RESULTADOS: Las personas que tuvieron resultados no adversos eran más jóvenes, mujeres, habían recibido dos dosis de la vacuna COVID-19 en el momento del estudio, tenían signos vitales (frecuencia cardiaca-presión diastólica/sistólica, temperatura y saturación de oxígeno) dentro de un rango normal al llegar al triaje del SUH, y no tenían ninguna de las siguientes comorbilidades: insuficiencia cardiaca, enfermedad coronaria, hipertensión arterial, diabetes, enfermedad hepática, demencia, antecedentes de tumores malignos o prescripción de corticosteroides orales sistémicos o inmunosupresores como medicación basal. El modelo tenía un área bajo la curva (ABC) de 0,8404 (IC 95%: 0,8342-0,8466). CONCLUSIONES: Se ha desarrollado una escala de predicción de resultados no adversos que pueden ser útil como herramienta de triaje, así como para determinar el alta segura y para adaptar el nivel de atención que el paciente requiere, no sólo en el SUH, sino también a nivel de atención de emergencia primaria o extrahospitalaria.

Prevalence and risk of new-onset diabetes mellitus after COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Aims: After the acute phase of SARS-CoV-2 infection, the onset of glycemic impairment and diabetes have been reported. Nevertheless, the exact burden of glycemic impairment and diabetes after COVID-19 has not been clearly described. Materials and methods: Electronic search was run in Pubmed (MEDLINE), Web of Science, Scopus, and ClinicalTrial.org for reports published from database inception to September 2022. We included observational studies reporting quantitative data on diabetes prevalence or its onset in subjects with a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection from at least 60 days. Risk of bias was assessed by the JBI's critical appraisal checklist. Random effect model was used to calculate pooled data. The review protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42022310722). Results: Among 1,630 records screened, 20 studies were included in the analysis. The mean or median age of participants ranged from ~ 35 to 64 years, with a percentage of males ranging from 28% to 80%. Only two studies were considered at low risk of bias. The estimate of diabetes prevalence, calculated on a total of 320,948 participants pooled with 38,731 cases, was 16% (95%CI: 11-22%). The estimate of proportion of incident cases of diabetes was 1.6% (95%CI: 0.8-2.7%). Subgroup analysis showed that previous hospitalization increased the prevalence of diabetes and the proportion of incident cases. Conclusion: Diabetes is common in individuals who have experienced SARS-CoV-2 infection, especially if they required hospitalization. This data may be helpful to screen for diabetes and manage its complications in individuals who experienced COVID-19. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42022310722, identifier CRD42022310722.

La pandemia de COVID-19 y el cumplimiento de las guías alimentarias en una comunidad universitaria de Chile / COVID-19 pandemic and adherence to food- based dietary guidelines in a Chilean university community

Introducción. La pandemia de SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 y las restricciones sanitarias afectaron la disponibilidad, acceso y consumo de alimentos, impactando la alimentación y el estado nutricional. Objetivo. Determinar el efecto de la pandemia SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 sobre el cumplimiento de las Guías Alimentarias Basadas en Alimentos de Chile, en una comunidad universitaria, antes y durante la pandemia. Materiales y métodos. Estudio de cohorte retrospectiva con 427 participantes. Se aplicó una encuesta online con preguntas basadas en los mensajes de las GABA. La encuesta se validó por juicio de expertos y análisis psicométrico, evaluando la concordancia con el estadístico de Kappa (K=89,95) y la confiabilidad con el coeficiente Alfa de Cronbach (=0,97). Se fijó como período antes de la pandemia al tiempo anterior a marzo del año 2020, y durante la pandemia, entre marzo del 2020 y octubre del 2021. Para medir los cambios antes y durante la pandemia se aplicó el test de simetría considerando un p <0,05 con un intervalo de confianza del 95%, mediante el software estadístico STATA versión 16. Resultados. Se observaron cambios estadísticamente significativos antes y durante la pandemia en los mensajes relacionados con el estado nutricional (p=0,000), consumo semanal de: productos de pastelería (p=0,0040), cecinas y embutidos (p=0,0034), frituras (p=0,0070), legumbres (p=0,0000), aguas (p=0,0000) y lectura e información nutricional de los productos (p=0,0000). Conclusiones. La pandemia de SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 generó cambios en la alimentación y estado nutricional respecto a los mensajes de las guías. Se precisan políticas alimentarias y estrategias educativas en alimentación y en nutrición para emergencias sanitarias(AU)

Introduction. The SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 pandemic, as well as health restrictions, impacted food availability, access and consumption, affecting dietary habits and nutritional status. Objective. To determine the effect of the SARS-CoV-2/ COVID-19 pandemic on the adherence to Chilean Food-Based Dietary Guidelines, within a university community, both before and during the pandemic. Materials and methods. A retrospective cohort study involving 427 participants was conducted. An online survey was administered, with questions based on the FBDGs' messages. The survey was validated through expert judgment and psychometric analysis, and agreement was assessed using the Kappa statistic (K = 89.95) while reliability was determined using the Cronbach's Alpha coefficient ( = 0.97). The period before the pandemic was defined as the time prior to March 2020, and the pandemic period was set between March 2020 and October 2021. Changes before and during the pandemic were measured using the symmetry test, considering a p value of <0.05 and a 95% confidence level, using the STATA 16 statistical software. Results. Statistically significant changes were observed before and during the pandemic in messages related to nutritional status (p = 0.000), weekly consumption of bakery products (p = 0.0040), cold meats (p = 0.0034), fried foods (p = 0.0070), legumes (p = 0.0000), water (p = 0.0000), and messages related to reading and nutrition information of products (p = 0.0000). Conclusions. The pandemic led to dietary changes in relation to FBDGs messages. Food policies and food and nutrition education strategies are required to address health emergency contexts(AU)

Enhancing global preparedness during an ongoing pandemic from partial and noisy data.

As the coronavirus disease 2019 spread globally, emerging variants such as B.1.1.529 quickly became dominant worldwide. Sustained community transmission favors the proliferation of mutated sub-lineages with pandemic potential, due to cross-national mobility flows, which are responsible for consecutive cases surge worldwide. We show that, in the early stages of an emerging variant, integrating data from national genomic surveillance and global human mobility with large-scale epidemic modeling allows to quantify its pandemic potential, providing quantifiable indicators for pro-active policy interventions. We validate our framework on worldwide spreading variants and gain insights about the pandemic potential of BA.5, BA.2.75, and other sub- and lineages. We combine the different sources of information in a simple estimate of the pandemic delay and show that only in combination, the pandemic potentials of the lineages are correctly assessed relative to each other. Compared to a country-level epidemic intelligence, our scalable integrated approach, that is pandemic intelligence, permits to enhance global preparedness to contrast the pandemic of respiratory pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2.

Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 seroassay sensitivity: a systematic review and modelling study.

BackgroundSerological surveys have been the gold standard to estimate numbers of SARS-CoV-2 infections, the dynamics of the epidemic, and disease severity. Serological assays have decaying sensitivity with time that can bias their results, but there is a lack of guidelines to account for this phenomenon for SARS-CoV-2.AimOur goal was to assess the sensitivity decay of seroassays for detecting SARS-CoV-2 infections, the dependence of this decay on assay characteristics, and to provide a simple method to correct for this phenomenon.MethodsWe performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of SARS-CoV-2 serology studies. We included studies testing previously diagnosed, unvaccinated individuals, and excluded studies of cohorts highly unrepresentative of the general population (e.g. hospitalised patients).ResultsOf the 488 screened studies, 76 studies reporting on 50 different seroassays were included in the analysis. Sensitivity decay depended strongly on the antigen and the analytic technique used by the assay, with average sensitivities ranging between 26% and 98% at 6 months after infection, depending on assay characteristics. We found that a third of the included assays departed considerably from manufacturer specifications after 6 months.ConclusionsSeroassay sensitivity decay depends on assay characteristics, and for some types of assays, it can make manufacturer specifications highly unreliable. We provide a tool to correct for this phenomenon and to assess the risk of decay for a given assay. Our analysis can guide the design and interpretation of serosurveys for SARS-CoV-2 and other pathogens and quantify systematic biases in the existing serology literature.

Macrophage phagocytosis of SARS-CoV-2-infected cells mediates potent plasmacytoid dendritic cell activation.

Early and strong interferon type I (IFN-I) responses are usually associated with mild COVID-19 disease, whereas persistent or unregulated proinflammatory cytokine responses are associated with severe disease outcomes. Previous work suggested that monocyte-derived macrophages (MDMs) are resistant and unresponsive to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Here, we demonstrate that upon phagocytosis of SARS-CoV-2-infected cells, MDMs are activated and secrete IL-6 and TNF. Importantly, activated MDMs in turn mediate strong activation of plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDCs), leading to the secretion of high levels of IFN-α and TNF. Furthermore, pDC activation promoted IL-6 production by MDMs. This kind of pDC activation was dependent on direct integrin-mediated cell‒cell contacts and involved stimulation of the TLR7 and STING signaling pathways. Overall, the present study describes a novel and potent pathway of pDC activation that is linked to the macrophage-mediated clearance of infected cells. These findings suggest that a high infection rate by SARS-CoV-2 may lead to exaggerated cytokine responses, which may contribute to tissue damage and severe disease.