Serum ammonia variation predicts mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Background: Hyperammonemia is critical to the development of hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and is associated with mortality in end-stage liver disease. This study investigated the clinical value of ammonia variation in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients. Methods: A total of 276 patients with HBV-ACLF were retrospectively recruited. Patients' ammonia levels were serially documented. Baseline ammonia, Peak ammonia (highest level), and Trough ammonia (lowest level) were particularly corrected to the upper limit of normal (AMM-ULN). The primary endpoint was 28-day mortality. Results: The 28-day, 3-month, and 12-month mortality rates were 19.2, 25.7, and 28.2%, respectively. A total of 51 (18.4%) patients had overt HE (grade 2/3/4). Peak AMM-ULN was significantly higher in patients with overt HE and non-survivors compared with their counterparts (P < 0.001). Following adjustment for significant confounders, high Peak AMM-ULN was an independent predictor of overt HE (hazard ratio, 1.031, P < 0.001) and 28-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.026, P < 0.001). The cut-off of Peak AMM-ULN was 1.8, determined by using the X-tile. Patients with Peak AMM-ULN appearing on days 1-3 after admission had a higher proportion of overt HE and mortality compared to other groups. Patients with decreased ammonia levels within 7 days had better clinical outcomes than those with increased ammonia. Conclusion: Serum Peak ammonia was independently associated with overt HE and mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. Serial serum ammonia may have prognostic value.

Prealbumin as a Predictor of Short-Term Prognosis in Patients with HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

Purpose: Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a serious medical condition with a high short-term mortality rate, making accurate prognostic assessment essential for informed clinical decision-making. In this study, we aimed to develop a simple and effective prognostic model for predicting short-term mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF. Patients and Methods: To achieve our objective, we enrolled both a cross-sectional cohort (n = 291) and a retrospective cohort (n = 185) in this study. We collected laboratory and clinical data from these cohorts and performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify independent predictors of short-term mortality. Subsequently, we developed a novel prognostic score for HBV-ACLF, which was validated and assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to determine its performance. Results: Our analysis revealed that the admission prealbumin (PAB) level was a robust independent predictor of 30-day mortality, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.760. Moreover, we developed the HIAPP score, a prognostic-score model based on PAB. The HIAPP score was significantly lower in survivors compared to non-survivors (-2.80±0.21 vs 0.97±0.41, P < 0.001). The HIAPP score's AUROC value was 0.899, which was found to be superior to the MELD score (AUROC = 0.795) and the CLIF-C ACLF score (AUC =0.781) and comparable to the COSSH-ACLF II score (AUC =0.825) for predicting 30-day mortality. These findings were also validated in a separate cohort, further supporting the utility of the HIAPP score as a prognostic tool for HBV-ACLF patients. Conclusion: Our study identifies the admission PAB level as a simple and valuable predictive index for 30-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. Furthermore, the HIAPP score, which incorporates PAB, PLT, INR, HE, and age, is an easy-to-use and pragmatic prognostic score in predicting short-term mortality.

A multi-subgroup predictive model based on clinical parameters and laboratory biomarkers to predict in-hospital outcomes of plasma exchange-centered artificial liver treatment in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Background: Postoperative risk stratification is challenging in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) who undergo artificial liver treatment. This study characterizes patients' clinical parameters and laboratory biomarkers with different in-hospital outcomes. The purpose was to establish a multi-subgroup combined predictive model and analyze its predictive capability. Methods: We enrolled HBV-ACLF patients who received plasma exchange (PE)-centered artificial liver support system (ALSS) therapy from May 6, 2017, to April 6, 2022. There were 110 patients who died (the death group) and 110 propensity score-matched patients who achieved satisfactory outcomes (the survivor group). We compared baseline, before ALSS, after ALSS, and change ratios of laboratory biomarkers. Outcome prediction models were established by generalized estimating equations (GEE). The discrimination was assessed using receiver operating characteristic analyses. Calibration plots compared the mean predicted probability and the mean observed outcome. Results: We built a multi-subgroup predictive model (at admission; before ALSS; after ALSS; change ratio) to predict in-hospital outcomes of HBV-ACLF patients who received PE-centered ALSS. There were 110 patients with 363 ALSS sessions who survived and 110 who did not, and 363 ALSS sessions were analyzed. The univariate GEE models revealed that several parameters were independent risk factors. Clinical parameters and laboratory biomarkers were entered into the multivariate GEE model. The discriminative power of the multivariate GEE models was excellent, and calibration showed better agreement between the predicted and observed probabilities than the univariate models. Conclusions: The multi-subgroup combined predictive model generated accurate prognostic information for patients undergoing HBV-ACLF patients who received PE-centered ALSS.

Low T3 syndrome is associated with poor prognosis in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a critical disease with high mortality risk. Low triiodothyronine syndrome (LT3S) is associated with various severe acute and chronic diseases. We investigated the relationship between LT3S and poor prognosis in patients with HBV-ACLF. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 198 patients with HBV-ACLF were enrolled between January 2018 and March 2019. We screened for independent risk factors for 28-day mortality using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Spearman's correlation analysis was used to evaluate the correlation between LT3S and the poor prognostic parameters of HBV-ACLF. RESULTS: LT3S was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients (odds ratio: 4.035, 95% confidence interval 1.117-14.579; p = 0.033). The death group had a lower serum FT3 level (Z-value = 2639.000, p < 0.001). Serum FT3 levels were negatively correlated with age, C-reactive protein, international normalized ratio, and neutrophil count but positively correlated with lymphocyte count. A negative correlation between FT3 and various prognostic scores was observed, indicating that a low FT3 level was closely related to a poor prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: LT3S was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality and was correlated with poor prognosis in patients with HBV-ACLF.

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OBJECTIVES: Hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is the most common type of liver failure in China, with a high mortality. Early rapid reduction of HBV-DNA load can improve the survival rate of HBV-ACLF patients. At present, the commonly used drugs are nucleoside (acid) analogues, such as entecavir (ETV), tenofovir, and so on. The newly listed tenofovir alafenamide fumarate (TAF) has attracted great attention of clinicians because of its stronger antiviral effect, higher transaminase normalization rate, better bone and kidney safety, and zero drug resistance. However, there are few clinical research data on the efficacy and safety of TAF in the treatment of Chinese HBV-ACLF patients, and there is a lack of pharmacoeconomic evaluation. This study aims to compare the efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness between TAF and ETV in patients with HBV-ACLF. METHODS: The data were collected from 196 HBV-ACLF patients (80 patients in the TAF group and 116 patients in the ETV group) who were hospitalized in Xiangya Hospital, Central South University from May 2020 to March 2021. Biochemistry and virology were detected before and after treatment (at baseline, Week 2, 4, and 12). Clinical features, disease prognosis, and cost-effectiveness were compared between the 2 groups. According to the baseline, HBV-ACLF patients were divided into 4 stages including pre-liver failure stage, early stage, medium stage, and end stage. And the liver transplantation rate and mortality was also compared. Pharmacoeconomic evaluation was taken using cost-effectiveness analysis and cost minimization analysis．. RESULTS: After 4 weeks of treatment, there were no significant differences in the efficacy (liver function, viral load) between the 2 groups (all P>0.05). The TAF group showed lower creatinine [(80.35±18.77) µmol/L vs (105.59±82.32) µmol/L, P<0.05] and higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) levels [(95.65±23.21) mL/(min·1.73 m2) vs (82.68±26.32) mL/(min·1.73 m2), P<0.05] than the ETV group. After 12 weeks of treatment, the analysis of overall the liver transplantation rate and mortality between the 2 groups showed similar conclusion. However, the TAF group had a lower the liver transplantation rate and mortality than the ETV group in patients with pre-liver failure (0vs13.89%, P<0.05). No evident distinction was found in the liver transplantation rate and mortality during the early, medium, or end stages of liver failure (13.04% vs 17.65%, 37.50% vs 37.04%, and 54.55% vs 68.42%, respectively). Ratio of cost to effectiveness in the ETV group was higher than that in the TAF group. CONCLUSIONS: TAF is not more efficient than ETV group in improving liver function and reducing viral load for HBV-ACLF patients and they also show similar safety. However, TAF has a greater advantage over ETV not only in preserving renal function, but also in reducing the liver transplantation rate and mortality in patients with pre-liver failure. TAF can provide economic benefit to patients with HBV-ACLF.

Determination of HMGB1 in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients with acute kidney injury: Early prediction and prognostic implications.

Background: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent complication in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) and is associated with high rates of mortality. We aimed to estimate serum high mobility group protein 1 (HMGB1) levels in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients and analyze their clinical value in the development and outcomes of Acute kidney injury. Methods: A total of 251 consecutive patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure were enrolled in this retrospective study. Using the International Club of Ascites staging criteria of Acute kidney injury, 153 patients developed Acute kidney injury. The clinical data of patients were collected and serum levels of high mobility group protein 1 were measured by ELISA. All patients were followed up until death or for a minimum of 3 months. Early prediction and prognostic implications of high mobility group protein 1 in Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Patients with Acute Kidney Injury were investigated in different cohorts, including a propensity score-matched ACLF cohort. Results: Among all individuals with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure, the incidence of Acute kidney injury was 61.0% (153/251). The patients who developed stage 2/3 Acute kidney injury showed the highest high mobility group protein 1 levels, followed by those who developed stage 1 Acute kidney injury, and those without Acute kidney injury showed the lowest high mobility group protein 1 levels. Moreover, high mobility group protein 1 levels were significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors among hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients with Acute kidney injury. Furthermore, analysis of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) indicated that serum high mobility group protein 1 levels (pre-matching: AUC = 0.740; post-matching: AUC = 0.661) may be a potential predictive factor for Acute kidney injury development and that high mobility group protein 1 (AUC = 0.727) might be a reliable biomarker for prognosis in patients with Acute kidney injury. Conclusion: In patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure, Acute kidney injury is universal. Acute kidney injury and its stages negatively influence the 90-day transplant-free mortality rate. Serum high mobility group protein 1 levels can serve as a positive predictor of Acute kidney injury development, and high mobility group protein 1 might also be a prognostic biomarker for Acute kidney injury among hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients.

[Clinical Value of Cystatin C-Based Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in Assessing Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Treated with Artificial Liver Support System].

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive value of using cystatin c-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR-CysC) in assessing the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients treated with artificial liver support system (ALSS). METHODS: A total of 364 HBV-ACLF inpatients treated with ALSS at our hospital were enrolled retrospectively in the study. The patients were divided into the survival group ( n=269) and non-survival group ( n=95) according to mortality within 28 d, and their clinical information and laboratory data were analyzed for assessing short-term prognostic values. RESULTS: Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified eGFR-CysC as one of the independent risk factors associated with mortality within 28 days in HBV-ACLF patients (the hazard ratio=0.987; 95% confidence interval, 0.979-0.996, P=0.003). In addition, baseline eGFR-CysC was negatively correlated with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score ( r=-0.439, P<0.001), MELD plus sodium (MELD-Na) score ( r=-0.481, P<0.001) and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF (CLIF-C ACLF) score ( r=-0.340, P<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed area under the curve ( AUC) of eGFR-CysC were 0.639, 0.697, 0.716, 0.749 and the best cut-off value were 70.620, 67.525, 61.725, 64.685 mL/(min·1.73 m 2), respectively, for baseline value and the first, second, and third treatment with ALSS. CONCLUSION: eGFR-CysC could be used to assist clinical assessment of short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients treated with ALSS, and has better clinical application value for dynamic monitoring.

Progress in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure treatment in China: A large, multicenter, retrospective cohort study using a propensity score matching analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) has a high short-term mortality. However, the treatment progression for HBV-ACLF in China in the past decade has not been well characterized. The present study aimed to determine whether the HBV-ACLF treatment has significantly improved during the past decade. METHODS: This study retrospectively compared short-term (28/56 days) survival rates of two different nationwide cohorts (cohort I: 2008-2011 and cohort II: 2012-2015). Eligible HBV-ACLF patients were enrolled retrospectively. Patients in the cohorts I and II were assigned either to the standard medical therapy (SMT) group (cohort I-SMT, cohort II-SMT) or artificial liver support system (ALSS) group (cohort I-ALSS, cohort II-ALSS). Propensity score matching analysis was conducted to eliminate baseline differences, and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to explore the independent factors for 28-day survival. RESULTS: Short-term (28/56 days) survival rates were significantly higher in the ALSS group than those in the SMT group (P < 0.05) and were higher in the cohort II than those in the cohort I (P < 0.001). After propensity score matching, short-term (28/56 days) survival rates were higher in the cohort II than those in the cohort I for both SMT (60.7% vs. 53.0%, 50.0% vs. 39.8%, P < 0.05) and ALSS (66.1% vs. 56.5%, 53.0% vs. 44.4%, P < 0.05) treatments. The 28-day survival rate was higher in patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs than in patients without such treatments (P = 0.046). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that ALSS (OR = 0.962, 95% CI: 0.951-0.973, P = 0.038), nucleos(t)ide analogs (OR = 0.927, 95% CI: 0.871-0.983, P = 0.046), old age (OR = 1.028, 95% CI: 1.015-1.041, P < 0.001), total bilirubin (OR = 1.002, 95% CI: 1.001-1.003, P = 0.004), INR (OR = 1.569, 95% CI: 1.044-2.358, P < 0.001), COSSH-ACLF grade (OR = 2.683, 95% CI: 1.792-4.017, P < 0.001), and albumin (OR = 0.952, 95% CI: 0.924-0.982, P = 0.002) were independent factors for 28-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The treatment for patients with HBV-ACLF has improved in the past decade.

Increased Circulating T Follicular Helper Cells Induced via IL-12/21 in Patients With Acute on Chronic Hepatitis B Liver Failure.

Objectives: T Follicular helper (Tfh) cells, recognized as a distinct CD4+ T cell subset, mediate the development of long-lived humoral immunity via B cell activation/differentiation. Tfh cells play an important role during hepatic viral infection, but its role in hepatitis B virus-related acute on chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) remains to be explored. Materials and Methods: The frequency of Tfh cells, serum pro-inflammatory cytokine (IL-12, IL-21, IL-17 and TNF) levels and IgG/M levels were investigated in HBV-ACLF (n = 36), serious chronic hepatitis B (n = 21), moderate chronic hepatitis B patients (n = 32) and healthy control (HC) subjects (n = 10). Results: Circulating Tfh cells were significantly increased in HBV-ACLF patients compared to other groups, correlating well with MELD score. However, the frequency of Tfh cells decreased in ameliorated HBV-ACLF patients. Furthermore, serum IL-12 and IL-21 levels were higher in HBV-ACLF patients, compared to other groups. Naïve CD4+ T cells from HC subjects differentiate into Tfh cells following treatment with HBV-ACLF patients' serum, a process that can be blocked by IL-12/21 neutralizing antibodies. Tfh cells induced by HBV-ACLF patient's serum promoted the proliferation and IgG production of B cells in vitro. Moreover, circulating CD19+ B cells, serum and liver IgG/M levels were significantly higher in HBV-ACLF patients, compared to other groups. Conclusions: Our data demonstrated that there was a high frequency of Tfh cells and high levels of serum IL-12/21 in HBV-ACLF patients. Naïve CD4+ T cells differentiate into Tfh cells in the presence of HBV-ACLF patients' serum rich in IL-12/21, which can be blocked by neutralizing IL-12/21 antibodies. These data may provide useful insights for both clinical and basic research in the treatment of HBV-ACLF.

The scoring systems in predicting short-term outcomes in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a life-threatening syndrome characterized by acute and severe hepatic insults with high short-term mortality. This study aimed to compare the scoring systems which were used to predict short-term outcomes for HBV-ACLF patients. METHODS: A total of 529 patients diagnosed as HBV-ACLF were retrospectively analyzed and randomly divided, at a ratio of 3:1, into derivation cohort (n=397) and validation cohort (n=132). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the discriminative abilities of the ALBI grade in predicting 30-day and 90-day mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curves was used to evaluate the accuracy of models. RESULTS: The survival was associated with lower ALBI score, MELD score and CLIF-C ACLF score than death. In the derivation cohort, elevated ALBI score was related to worse prognosis (30-day mortality: HR =3.452; 90-day mortality: HR =3.822), increased MELD score was associated with worse overall survival (30- day mortality: HR =1.073; 90-day mortality: HR =1.082), and increased CLIF-C ACLF score was associated with worse overall survival (30-day mortality: HR =1.061; 90-day mortality: HR =1.065). The multivariate analyses identified the ALBI score, MELD score and CLIF-C ACLF score as independent prognostic predictors. The results of validation cohort validated these findings. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed that both the ALBI score, MELD score and CLIF-C ACLF score could predict 30- and 90-day mortality of HBV-ACLF accurately. Elevated ALBI score, MELD score and CLIF-C ACLF score were associated with worse prognosis.

Stratified alpha-fetoprotein pattern accurately predicts mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) has been shown to predict the prognosis of liver disease in several studies. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of stratified AFP in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF). METHODS: A total of 192 patients were included and AFP were categorized into quartiles. The prognostic value was determined for overall survival (OS) and assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses studied the association of all independent parameters with disease prognosis. RESULTS: The optimal cut-off points of AFP were: (Q1) 252.3-4800.0 ng/ml, (Q2) 76.0-252.2 ng/ml, (Q3) 18.6-75.9 ng/ml, and (Q4) 0.7-18.5 ng/ml. Based on the Kaplan-Meier analysis of the OS, each AFP quartile revealed a progressively worse OS and apparent separation (log-rank P = 0.006). The second-highest quartiles of AFP (Q2) always demonstrated an extremely favorable short-term survival. Combining the lowest AFP quartiles with a serum sodium < 131mmol/L or an INR ≥ 3.3 showed a poor outcome (90-days survival of 25.0% and 11.9% respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Stratified AFP could strengthen the predictive power for short-term survival of patients with ACHBLF. Combining AFP quartiles with low serum sodium and high INR may better predict poor outcome in ACHBLF patients.

Short-term efficacy of treating hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure based on cold pattern differentiation with hot herbs: A randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of Yinchen Zhufu Decoction (, YCZFD) in the treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure caused by hepatitis B virus (HBV-ACLF) with cold pattern in Chinese medicine (CM). METHODS: This is a multi-center randomized controlled trial of integrative treatment of CM and Western medicine (WM) for the management of HBV-ACLF patients. A total of 200 HBV-ACLF patients with cold pattern were equally randomly assigned to receive YCZFD and WM (integrative treatment) or WM conventional therapy alone respectively for 4 weeks. The primary end point was the mortality for HBV-ACLF patients. Secondary outcome measures included Model for End-Stage Liver disease (MELD) score, liver biochemical function, coagulation function and complications. Adverse events during treatment were reported. RESULTS: The mortality was decreased 14.28% in the integrative treatment group compared with WM group (χ(2) =6.156, P=0.013). The integrative treatment was found to signifificantly improve the MELD score (t=2.353, P=0.020). There were statistically signifificant differences in aspartate transaminase, total bilirubin, indirect bilirubin, direct bilirubin and prothrombin time between the two groups (P<0.05 or P<0.01). The complications of ascites (χ(2)=9.033, P=0.003) and spontaneous bacteria peritonitis (χ(2)=4.194, P=0.041) were improved signifificantly in the integrative treatment group. No serious adverse event was reported. CONCLUSIONS: The integrative treatment of CM and WM was effective and safe for HBV-ACLF patients with cold pattern in CM. The Chinese therapeutic principle "treating cold pattern with hot herbs" remains valuable to the clinical therapy. (Trial registration No. ChiCTR-TRC-10000766).

Changes in circulating Foxp3(+) regulatory T cells and interleukin-17-producing T helper cells during HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

AIM: To longitudinally investigate cytokine gene expression and protein levels in Th17 and Treg cells, to observe T-cell phenotypes during hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACHBLF) and to analyze changes in Th17 and Treg phenotypes during disease progression. METHODS: We measured the expression of seven Th17/Treg differentiation-related genes and serum concentrations of the corresponding cytokines in 18 ACHBLF, 18 chronic hepatitis B (CHB) disease controls and 10 healthy controls (HCs) by real-time quantitative PCR and enzyme linked immunosorbent assay. Peripheral Th17 and Treg cell frequencies were analyzed by flow cytometry. RESULTS: From the onset of ACHBLF, patients presented with a conductive Th17 differentiation cytokine environment accompanied by high Th17 frequency and high serum IL-17 levels, which were sustained throughout the disease course. The Treg-related cytokine IL-2 and Foxp3 were also up-regulated from disease onset, and Foxp3 gene expression showed a gradually increasing trend during ACHBLF. The circular phenotype of Treg and Th17 cells showed changes from the onset of ACHGLF. At disease onset, Th17 frequency increased significantly compared with both CHB and HCs, but Treg cell frequency decreased significantly compared with CHB. During the ACHBLF event, Th17 frequency remained higher compared with HCs, but decreased sharply from the peak point to the recovery point; Treg cell frequency increased gradually during the ACHBLF event. Treg and Th17 cell counts correlated with ACHBLF development; in all patients, serum IL-17 levels significantly correlated with patient serum ALT levels. In survivors, Th17 frequency at the onset point and the Treg to Th17 ratio at the peak point correlated with the patient's model for end stage liver disease (MELD) plus sodium (MELD-Na) score. The Treg to Th17 ratio and the Th17 frequency at onset were significant predictors of patient survival. Low Treg/Th17 cell ratios at the onset predicted poor survival. Survivors exhibited an initial decrease in the circulating Treg/Th17 ratio from the onset to the peak time, and subsequently displayed a continuous increase. CONCLUSION: Treg and Th17 cells showed changes in genes, protein levels and T cell phenotypes during ACHBLF events. An increased Treg/Th17 ratio was associated with the survival of ACHBLF patients.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio: a novel predictor for short-term prognosis in acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure.

Acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF) has a poor prognosis in patients with hepatitis B virus infection. The role of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), which reflects the inflammatory status of the patient before treatment, has never been studied in this setting. To investigate the predictive value of NLR in patients with ACHBLF, a retrospective cohort with 216 patients and a prospective validation cohort with 73 patients were recruited. Multivariate analyses showed that total bilirubin (TBIL), NLR, age and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score had prognostic significance for survival. Both NLR (0.781) and MELD score (0.744) had higher ROC curves, which differed significantly from those for age (0.615) and TBIL (0.691), but not from each other (P = 0.94). NLR ≤ 2.36 predicted lower mortality (with 91.6% sensitivity and 86.0% negative predictive value), and NLR >6.12 was a warning sign for higher mortality risk (with 90.1% specificity and 80.3% positive predictive value). These results demonstrated that pretreatment NLR was associated with the prognosis of patients with ACHBLF, and elevated NLR predicted poor outcome within 8 weeks. We suggest that NLR cut-offs of ≤ 2.36 and >6.12 are powerful markers for predicting mortality in ACHBLF.