Medical costs of Swedish nursing home residents at the end of life: a retrospective observational registry study.

BACKGROUND: There are many studies of medical costs in late life in general, but nursing home residents' needs and the costs of external medical services and interventions outside of nursing home services are less well described. METHODS: We examined the direct medical costs of nursing home residents in their last year of life, as well as limited to the period of stay in the nursing home, adjusted for age, sex, Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), and diagnosis of dementia or advanced cancer. This was an observational retrospective study of registry data from all diseased nursing home residents during the years 2015-2021 using healthcare consumption data from the Stockholm Regional Council, Sweden. T tests, Wilcoxon rank sum tests and chi-square tests were used for comparisons of groups, and generalized linear models (GLMs) were constructed for univariable and multivariable linear regressions of health cost expenditures to calculate risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: According to the adjusted (multivariable) models for the 38,805 studied nursing home decedents, when studying the actual period of stay in nursing homes, we found significantly greater medical costs associated with male sex (RR 1.29 (1.25-1.33), p < 0.0001) and younger age (65-79 years vs. ≥90 years: RR 1.92 (1.85-2.01), p < 0.0001). Costs were also greater for those at risk of frailty according to the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) (intermediate risk: RR 3.63 (3.52-3.75), p < 0.0001; high risk: RR 7.84 (7.53-8.16), p < 0.0001); or with advanced cancer (RR 2.41 (2.26-2.57), p < 0.0001), while dementia was associated with lower medical costs (RR 0.54 (0.52-0.55), p < 0.0001). The figures were similar when calculating the costs for the entire last year of life (regardless of whether they were nursing home residents throughout the year). CONCLUSIONS: Despite any obvious explanatory factors, male and younger residents had higher medical costs at the end of life than women. Having a risk of frailty or a diagnosis of advanced cancer was strongly associated with higher costs, whereas a dementia diagnosis was associated with lower external, medical costs. These findings could lead us to consider reimbursement models that could be differentiated based on the observed differences.

Interventions to Prevent Hospital Admissions in Long-Term Care Facilities: A Rapid Review of Economic Evidence.

OBJECTIVES: Hospital admissions can be hazardous for older adults, particularly those living in long-term care facilities. Preventing nonessential admissions can be beneficial for this population, as well as reducing demand on health services. This review summarizes the economic evidence surrounding effective interventions to reduce hospital attendances and admissions for people living in long-term care facilities. DESIGN: Rapid review of economic evidence. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: People living in long-term facilities. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, CINAHL, Cochrane CENTRAL, PubMed, and Web of Science on September 20, 2022, and again on January 10, 2023. Full economic evaluations and cost analyses reporting on advanced care planning, goals of care setting, nurse practitioner input, palliative care, influenza vaccinations, and enhancing access to intravenous therapies were eligible. Data were extracted using a prepiloted data extraction form and critically appraised using either the Drummond-Jefferson checklist or an amended NIH Critical Appraisal Tool appended with questions from a critical appraisal checklist for cost analyses. Data were synthesized narratively. RESULTS: We included 7 studies: 3 full economic evaluations and 4 cost analyses. Because of lack of clarity on the underlying study design, we did not include one of the cost analyses in our synthesis. Advanced care planning, a palliative care program, and a high-dose influenza vaccination reported potential cost savings. Economic evidence for a multicomponent intervention and a nurse practitioner model was inconclusive. The overall quality of the evidence varied between studies. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: A number of potentially cost-effective approaches to reduce demand on hospital services from long-term care facilities were identified. However, further economic evaluations are needed to overcome limitations of the current evidence base and offer more confident conclusions.

Reducing Hospitalizations and Multidrug-Resistant Organisms via Regional Decolonization in Hospitals and Nursing Homes.

Importance: Infections due to multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) are associated with increased morbidity, mortality, length of hospitalization, and health care costs. Regional interventions may be advantageous in mitigating MDROs and associated infections. Objective: To evaluate whether implementation of a decolonization collaborative is associated with reduced regional MDRO prevalence, incident clinical cultures, infection-related hospitalizations, costs, and deaths. Design, Setting, and Participants: This quality improvement study was conducted from July 1, 2017, to July 31, 2019, across 35 health care facilities in Orange County, California. Exposures: Chlorhexidine bathing and nasal iodophor antisepsis for residents in long-term care and hospitalized patients in contact precautions (CP). Main Outcomes and Measures: Baseline and end of intervention MDRO point prevalence among participating facilities; incident MDRO (nonscreening) clinical cultures among participating and nonparticipating facilities; and infection-related hospitalizations and associated costs and deaths among residents in participating and nonparticipating nursing homes (NHs). Results: Thirty-five facilities (16 hospitals, 16 NHs, 3 long-term acute care hospitals [LTACHs]) adopted the intervention. Comparing decolonization with baseline periods among participating facilities, the mean (SD) MDRO prevalence decreased from 63.9% (12.2%) to 49.9% (11.3%) among NHs, from 80.0% (7.2%) to 53.3% (13.3%) among LTACHs (odds ratio [OR] for NHs and LTACHs, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.40-0.57), and from 64.1% (8.5%) to 55.4% (13.8%) (OR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.60-0.93) among hospitalized patients in CP. When comparing decolonization with baseline among NHs, the mean (SD) monthly incident MDRO clinical cultures changed from 2.7 (1.9) to 1.7 (1.1) among participating NHs, from 1.7 (1.4) to 1.5 (1.1) among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 30.4%; 95% CI, 16.4%-42.1%), from 25.5 (18.6) to 25.0 (15.9) among participating hospitals, from 12.5 (10.1) to 14.3 (10.2) among nonparticipating hospitals (group × period interaction reduction, 12.9%; 95% CI, 3.3%-21.5%), and from 14.8 (8.6) to 8.2 (6.1) among LTACHs (all facilities participating; 22.5% reduction; 95% CI, 4.4%-37.1%). For NHs, the rate of infection-related hospitalizations per 1000 resident-days changed from 2.31 during baseline to 1.94 during intervention among participating NHs, and from 1.90 to 2.03 among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 26.7%; 95% CI, 19.0%-34.5%). Associated hospitalization costs per 1000 resident-days changed from $64 651 to $55 149 among participating NHs and from $55 151 to $59 327 among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 26.8%; 95% CI, 26.7%-26.9%). Associated hospitalization deaths per 1000 resident-days changed from 0.29 to 0.25 among participating NHs and from 0.23 to 0.24 among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 23.7%; 95% CI, 4.5%-43.0%). Conclusions and Relevance: A regional collaborative involving universal decolonization in long-term care facilities and targeted decolonization among hospital patients in CP was associated with lower MDRO carriage, infections, hospitalizations, costs, and deaths.

Cost-effectiveness of severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) testing and isolation strategies in nursing homes.

OBJECTIVE: Nursing home residents may be particularly vulnerable to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Therefore, a question is when and how often nursing homes should test staff for COVID-19 and how this may change as severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) evolves. DESIGN: We developed an agent-based model representing a typical nursing home, COVID-19 spread, and its health and economic outcomes to determine the clinical and economic value of various screening and isolation strategies and how it may change under various circumstances. RESULTS: Under winter 2023-2024 SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant conditions, symptom-based antigen testing averted 4.5 COVID-19 cases compared to no testing, saving $191 in direct medical costs. Testing implementation costs far outweighed these savings, resulting in net costs of $990 from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services perspective, $1,545 from the third-party payer perspective, and $57,155 from the societal perspective. Testing did not return sufficient positive health effects to make it cost-effective [$50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) threshold], but it exceeded this threshold in ≥59% of simulation trials. Testing remained cost-ineffective when routinely testing staff and varying face mask compliance, vaccine efficacy, and booster coverage. However, all antigen testing strategies became cost-effective (≤$31,906 per QALY) or cost saving (saving ≤$18,372) when the severe outcome risk was ≥3 times higher than that of current omicron variants. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 testing costs outweighed benefits under winter 2023-2024 conditions; however, testing became cost-effective with increasingly severe clinical outcomes. Cost-effectiveness can change as the epidemic evolves because it depends on clinical severity and other intervention use. Thus, nursing home administrators and policy makers should monitor and evaluate viral virulence and other interventions over time.

Luxury or normal goods? Evidence from the utilization of institutional care services for the disabled older adults in China.

Background: Nursing care is essential for older adults with disabilities. Income plays a crucial role in determining the utilization of institutional care services. Pension benefit, as the main source of income for the older adults in China's cities and towns in their later years, is an important factor influencing the utilization of institutional care services. However, there have been no consistent findings on how pension benefits affect the utilization of institutional care services for the disabled older adults. Methods: This paper utilizes data from the 2017-2018 Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. We select disabled older adults aged 65 and older, living in towns and cities, and use a probit regression model to investigate the impact of pension benefits on the utilization of institutional care services by urban disabled older adults empirically. Results: The study shows that a 1% increase in pension benefits raises the probability that the urban disabled older adults use institutional care services by 0.03. It also finds that for low-income urban disabled older adults, the effect is statistically significantly positive at the 1% level; but for high-income urban disabled older adults, the effect is not statistically significant. The pension benefits significantly increase the probability for the disabled older adults who are male, financially dependent, and live in townships. In addition, the pension benefits significantly reduce the probability that children will provide care and pay for care services for their older parents. Conclusion: Institutional care service is a normal good for the urban disabled older adults, especially for low-income older adults. Therefore, higher pension benefit raises the probability of utilizing institutional care services for the urban older adults with disabilities, and this positive effect is especially pronounced for older adults who are male, financially dependent, and reside in townships. In addition, increase in the pension benefits for the disabled older adults in towns and cities reduces the burden on children by reducing the probability that children will provide care and pay for care services for the older adults.

Projecting the long-term societal value of a disease-modifying treatment for Alzheimer's disease in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: We estimate societal value of a disease-modifying Alzheimer's disease (AD) treatment that reduces progression by 30% in early stages. METHODS: Using the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research value flower as framework, we estimate gross societal value, that is, not including treatment cost, from avoided medical and social care costs, productivity and quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) gains for patients and caregivers, adjusting for severity of disease, value of financial insurance, and value of insurance for currently unafflicted adults with a Markov model. RESULTS: Predicted societal value from 2021 until 2041 is $2.62 trillion for the overall afflicted US population and $986 billion for the 2021 prevalent cohort or $134,418 per person, with valuation of patients' QALY gains (63%) and avoided nursing-home costs (20%) as largest components. Delays in access because of health system capacity constraints could reduce realized value between 52% and 69%. The value of insurance for the unafflicted is $4.52 trillion or $18,399 on average per person. DISCUSSION: With a total of $5.5 trillion, the projected gross societal value of a hypothetical AD treatment is substantial, which may help to put the cost of treatment into perspective.

Federal Incentives to Reform Long-Term Care Under the Affordable Care Act: State Adoption of the Balancing Incentive Program, 2011-2014.

OBJECTIVES: The Balancing Incentive Program (BIP) was an optional program for states within the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act to promote Medicaid-funded home and community-based services (HCBS) for older adults and persons with disabilities. Twenty-one states opted to participate in BIP, including several states steadfastly opposed to the health insurance provisions of the Affordable Care Act. This study focused on identifying what factors were associated with states' participation in this program. METHODS: Event history analysis was used to model state adoption of BIP from 2011 to 2014. A range of potential factors was considered representing states' economic, political, and programmatic conditions. RESULTS: The results indicate that states with a higher percentage of Democrats in the state legislature, fewer state employees per capita, and more nursing facility beds were more likely to adopt BIP. In addition, states with fewer home health agencies per capita, that devoted smaller proportions of Medicaid long-term care spending to HCBS, and that had more Money Follows the Person transitions were also more likely to pursue BIP. DISCUSSION: The findings highlight the role of partisanship, administrative capacity, and program history in state BIP adoption decisions. The inclusion of BIP in the Affordable Care Act may have deterred some states from participating in the program due to partisan opposition to the legislation. To encourage the adoption of optional HCBS programs, federal policymakers should consider the role of financial incentives, especially for states with limited bureaucratic capacity and that have made less progress rebalancing Medicaid long-term services and supports.

The Excess Costs of Dementia: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Dementia is one of the costliest diseases for health care systems with growing importance for policy makers. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to systematically review the current literature of excess cost studies for dementia and to analyze excess costs in a meta-analysis. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, EconLit, NHS-EED, and Cochrane Library. 22 studies were included and assigned to one of three subgroups according to the time period that they analyzed during disease progression: the time of diagnosis, the time between diagnosis and death, and the time prior to death. Excess costs were analyzed using the ratio of means (ROM) and meta-analysis was performed by pooling ROMs in a random effects model. RESULTS: Total costs were significantly higher for demented persons compared to non-demented persons at the time of diagnosis (ROM: 2.08 [1.71, 2.54], p < 0.00001, I2 = 98%) and in the time period between diagnosis and death (ROM: 2.19 [1.97, 2.44], p < 0.00001, I2 = 100%). The ROM was highest for professional home care (ROM: 4.96 [2.62, 9.40], p < 0.0001, I2 = 88%) and for nursing facilities (ROM: 4.02 [2.53, 6.40], p < 0.00001, I2 = 100%) for the time period between diagnosis and death. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis is the first to assess excess costs of dementia by the ROM method on a global scale. We conclude that our findings demonstrate that costs of dementia constitute a substantial economic burden.

Evaluation of the Reliability of Medicare Spending Per Beneficiary for Post-Acute Care.

BACKGROUND: A measure of episode spending, such as Medicare Spending Per Beneficiary (MSPB) is increasingly used to evaluate provider performance. Yet if the measure is unreliable, as is often true for low-volume providers, it cannot distinguish "good" from "poor" performance. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate the reliability of a uniformly calculated MSPB measure for post-acute care (PAC) and the tradeoffs involved in setting a minimum case count threshold. DATA: Medicare claims for 15 million PAC episodes from April 2013 to March 2015. RESEARCH DESIGN: Given the overlap in patients treated in PAC settings, we developed a uniformly calculated MSPB measure for PAC providers that measures spending during the PAC stay and the following 30 days. We examine variation in the MSPB-PAC measure and characterize the measure's reliability and its relationship to provider case counts. RESULTS: Applied to our MSPB-PAC measure, a minimum threshold of 20 Medicare episodes as currently used by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) would not establish reasonably reliable measures and could result in drawing unduly erroneous conclusions about provider performance. The measures for home health agencies were considerably less stable and reliable than for institutional PAC providers. CONCLUSIONS: CMS should consider adopting a more stringent reliability standard for setting minimum case counts for MSPB-PAC and other measures. Its current threshold (R-statistic=0.4) reflects more random variation than differences in actual provider performance. To include as many providers as possible, CMS should consider pooling data over multiple years to avoid drawing incorrect conclusions about low-volume providers.

From Cruddiness to Catastrophe: COVID-19 and Long-term Care in Ontario.

Over 80% of Canadian COVID-19 first wave deaths occurred in long-term care homes. Focussing on Ontario, I trace the antecedents of the COVID-19 crisis in long-term care and document experiences of frontline staff and family members of residents during the pandemic. Following Povinelli, I argue that the marginalization of both residents and workers in Ontario's long-term care system over two decades has eroded possibilities for recognition of their personhood. I also question broader societal attitudes toward aging, disability and death that make possible the abandonment of the frail elderly.

Dying with dementia in Medicare Advantage, Accountable Care Organizations, or traditional Medicare.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Medicare Advantage (MA) and Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) operate under incentives to reduce burdensome and costly care at the end of life. We compared end-of-life care for persons with dementia who are in MA, ACOs, or traditional Medicare (TM). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective study of decedents with dementia enrolled in MA, attributed to an ACO, or in TM. Decedents had a nursing home stay between 91 and 180 days prior to death, two or more functional impairments, and mild to severe cognitive impairment. MEASUREMENTS: Hospitalization, invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) use, and in-hospital death in the last 30 days of life reported in Medicare billing. RESULTS: Among 370,094 persons with dementia, 93,801 (25.4%) were in MA (mean age [SD], 86.9 [7.7], 67.6% female), 39,586 (10.7%) were ACO attributed (mean age [SD], 87.2 [7.6], 67.3% female), and 236,707 (63.9%) were in TM (mean age [SD], 87.0 [7.8], 67.6% female). The proportion hospitalized in the last 30 days of life was higher among TM enrollees (27.9%) and those ACO attributed (28.1%) than among MA enrollees (20.5%, p ≤ 0.001). After adjustment for socio-demographics, cognitive and functional impairments, comorbidities, and Hospital Referral Region, adjusted odds of hospitalization in the 30 days prior to death was 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-0.74) among MA enrollees and 1.05 (95% CI 1.02-1.09) among those attributed to ACOs relative to TM enrollees. Relative to TM, the adjusted odds of death in the hospital were 0.78 (95% CI 0.75-0.81) among MA enrollees and 1.02 (95% CI 0.96-1.08) for ACO participants. Dementia decedents in MA had a lower likelihood of IMV use (adjusted odds ratio 0.80, 95% CI 0.75-0.85) compared to TM. CONCLUSIONS: Among decedents with dementia, MA enrollees but not decedents in ACOs experienced less costly and potentially burdensome care compared with those with TM. Policy changes are needed for ACOs.

Limited Technology Access Among Residents of Affordable Senior Housing During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

While U.S. adults living in affordable senior housing represent a vulnerable population during the COVID-19 pandemic, affordable housing may provide a foundation for interventions designed to improve technology access to support health. To better understand technology access among residents of affordable senior housing, we surveyed members of a national association of resident service coordinators to assess their experiences working with residents during the pandemic (n = 1,440). While nearly all service coordinators report that most or all residents have reliable phone access, under a quarter report that most or all have reliable internet access; they also report limited access to technology for video calls. Lack of internet access and technology literacy are perceived as barriers to medical visits and food procurement for low-income older adult residents of affordable housing. Policies to expand internet access as well as training and support to enable use of online services are required to overcome these barriers.

Exploring differences between private and public prices in the English care homes market.

This work quantitatively assesses the potential reasons behind the difference in prices paid by care home residents in England. Evidence suggests that the price paid by private payers is higher than that paid for publicly supported residents, and this is often attributed to the market power wielded by local authorities as the dominant purchaser in local markets. Estimations of private prices at the local authority level are used to assess the difference in price paid between private and public prices, the fees gap, using data from 2008 to 2010. Controlling for local area and average care home characteristics, the results indicate that both care home and local authority market power play a role in the price determination of the market.

Continuity of care and health care cost among community-dwelling older adult veterans living with dementia.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the causal impact of continuity of care (COC) on total, institutional, and noninstitutional cost among community-dwelling older veterans with dementia. DATA SOURCES: Combined Veterans Health Administration (VHA) and Medicare data in Fiscal Years (FYs) 2014-2015. STUDY DESIGN: FY 2014 COC was measured by the Bice-Boxerman Continuity of Care (BBC) index on a 0-1 scale. FY 2015 total combined VHA and Medicare cost, institutional cost of acute inpatient, emergency department [ED], long-/short-stay nursing home, and noninstitutional long-term care (LTC) cost for medical (like skilled-) and social (like unskilled-) services were assessed controlling for covariates. An instrumental variable for COC (change of residence by more than 10 miles) was used to account for unobserved health confounders. DATA COLLECTION: Community-dwelling veterans with dementia aged 66 and older, enrolled in Traditional Medicare (N = 102 073). PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Mean BBC in FY 2014 was 0.32; mean total cost in FY 2015 was $35 425. A 0.1 higher BBC resulted in (a) $4045 lower total cost; (b) $1597 lower acute inpatient cost, $119 lower ED cost, $4368 lower long-stay nursing home cost; (c) $402 higher noninstitutional medical LTC and $764 higher noninstitutional social LTC cost. BBC had no impact on short-stay nursing home cost. CONCLUSIONS: COC is an effective approach to reducing total health care cost by supporting noninstitutional care and reducing institutional care.