RESUMEN
This cross-sectional study aimed to assess the levels of health literacy and the associated factors among the general population living in 2 schistosomiasis-endemic villages in Jiangxi Province, China. Multistage stratified random sampling was used to select participants, and a face-to-face survey was conducted from July to August 2021 to collect participants' socio-demographic characteristics and levels of overall health literacy (HL) and its 3 subscales: health literacy of basic knowledge and concepts (HL-BKC), health literacy of behavior and lifestyle (HL-BAL), and health literacy of health-related skills (HL-HRS). The Chi-square test and logistic regression models were used to assess the association between socio-demographic characteristics and low HL levels. The prevalence rates of low overall HL, HL-BKC, HL-BAL, and HL-HRS were 84.3%, 61.8%, 82.6%, and 86%, respectively. In addition, no significant differences (Pâ >â .05) were noted between the 2 villages regarding overall HL scores and the 3 subscales of health literacy scores. Older age (Pâ <â .001), occupation (Pâ <â .001), lower educational level (Pâ <â .001), and lower annual household income (Pâ <â .05) were associated with an increased risk of low HL. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that occupation as a student (ORâ =â 32.289, 95% CI:1.965-530.462, Pâ <â .05) and fishermen (ORâ =â 27.902, 95%CI:1.91-407.642, Pâ <â .05), lower education level (ORâ =â 0.384, 95%CI:0.149-0.99, Pâ <â .05), older age (ORâ =â 5.228, 95%CI:1.458-18.75, Pâ <â .001), and lower annual household income (ORâ =â 0.452, 95%CI:0.24-0.851, Pâ <â .05) were independently associated with low HL. The prevalence of low HL is high among the population in the schistosomiasis-endemic villages of Jiangxi Province, China. Age, education level, occupation, and annual household income were all independent factors associated with HL levels. Health educational interventions to improve HL should be simultaneously conducted in health promotion work to reduce risky habits.
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Alfabetización en Salud , Esquistosomiasis , Humanos , China/epidemiología , Masculino , Femenino , Alfabetización en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Adulto , Esquistosomiasis/epidemiología , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Anciano , Factores Socioeconómicos , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Logísticos , Prevalencia , Escolaridad , Factores de Edad , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Modern housing has been shown to reduce the risk of malaria infections compared to traditional houses; however, it is unclear if the effects differ in different malaria transmission settings. This study evaluated the effects of modern housing on malaria among different endemic areas. METHODS: Electronic databases, clinical trial registries and grey literature were searched for randomized controlled trials, cohort studies, case-control studies, and cross-sectional surveys on housing done between 1987 and 2022. Forest plots were done, and the quality of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessments, Development and Evaluation Framework. RESULTS: Twenty-one studies were included; thirteen were cross-sectional, four were case-control and four were cohort studies. Cohort studies showed an adjusted risk ratio of 0.68 (95% CI 0.48-0.96), and cross-sectional studies indicated an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 0.79 (95%CI 0.75-0.83). By endemic transmission regions, the adjusted odds ratio in the high endemic settings was 0.80 (95%CI 0.76-085); in the moderate transmission regions, aOR = 0.76 (95%CI 0.67-0.85) and in the low transmission settings, aOR = 0.67 (95%CI 0.48-0.85). CONCLUSIONS: The evidence from observational studies suggests that there are no differences in the protective effects of modern houses compared to traditional houses on malaria by endemicity level. This implies that good quality modern housing protects against malaria regardless of the malaria transmission settings.
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Vivienda , Malaria , Vivienda/estadística & datos numéricos , Malaria/prevención & control , Malaria/transmisión , Malaria/epidemiología , Humanos , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Endémicas/prevención & control , Estudios TransversalesRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To analyze trends in epidemiological risk of leprosy in Goiás state, Brazil, and its health macro-regions, between 2010 and 2021. METHOD: This is a time series analysis of the composite leprosy epidemiological risk index in Goiás. We used cases held on the Notifiable Health Conditions Information System for calculating indicators separately and risk, classified as high, medium, low and very low. Trends were analyzed using Prais-Winsten linear regression and risk maps were produced. RESULTS: Goiás showed high leprosy endemicity (24.8 cases/100,000 inhabitants) and medium epidemiological risk between 2019 and 2021 (0.58). A stationary trend was found (annual percentage change, 0.50; 95% confidence interval, -3.04; 4.16) for risk of leprosy in Goiás as a whole and in its Central-West and Central-Southeast macro-regions. CONCLUSION: There is need for actions to reduce the epidemiological risk of leprosy, especially where its trend is stationary, this includes early screening for new cases and health education. MAIN RESULTS: Leprosy persists in Goiás state, Brazil, in an endemic form, with heterogeneous distribution. There has been a reduction in the number of municipalities with high epidemiological risk of leprosy, but challenges include active transmission and late diagnosis. IMPLICATIONS FOR SERVICES: Long-term strategies for prevention, early detection, treatment and monitoring of people with leprosy and their contacts are needed. PERSPECTIVES: It is crucial to strengthen health policies targeting leprosy in Goiás state, prioritizing continuing education and training programs for health professionals working in the entire territory.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Endémicas , Lepra , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , Lepra/epidemiología , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Lineales , Factores de Tiempo , Factores de Riesgo , Notificación de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
Human schistosomiasis is a parasitic disease caused by an infection with trematodes of the genus Schistosoma. The disease mainly affects impoverished populations. Around 800 million people are exposed to the infection, which is a public health problem in the tropical and subtropical regions of Africa, Asia, the Caribbean and South America. In Brazil, Schistosoma mansoni is the only species that causes schistosomiasis and the disease is widely distributed. Conventional diagnosis of the disease is carried out by detecting eggs using parasitological methods, such as the Kato-Katz test. Schistosomiasis has been reported in all regions of Brazil and is characterized as endemic in seven states in the Northeast Region and two states in the Southeast Region. In 2015, 78,7% of all cases reported in Brazil occurred in the Northeast Region. It is estimated that 1,5 million people is infected with this disease in Brazil and more than 25 millions live in areas with a high risk of transmission. Despite the reduction in mortality and morbidity, schistosomiasis was responsible for 8,756 deaths between 2000 and 2011 and 2,517 deaths between 2015 and 2019 in Brazil and it remains an important public health problem. In the state of Rio de Janeiro, some areas have low endemicity or isolated foci of Schistosoma mansoni and the majority of infected individuals have mild infections. The last survey of the disease in the state of Rio de Janeiro was carried out between 2010 and 2015 in students aged 7 to 17.Schistosomiasis was reported in 10 of the 21 municipalities studied. Of the 5,111 school children screened for S. mansoni infection, 46 (1,65%) were tested positive. Studies carried out in areas of low endemicity in Rio de Janeiro showed that among the 205 patients infected by S. mansoni in Sumidouro, around 84% were aged 14 or over and all, except one individual, had the intestinal form (91,2%) or hepato-intestinal (8,3%) of schistosomiasis. Another study carried out in Sumidouro showed that with tests based on patent Schistosoma egg infection determined by the Kato-Katz test, active infections were diagnosed in eight (8/108) individuals. The intensity of infection expressed by parasite loads ranged from 6 to 72 eggs per gram of feces/individual. The results showed DNA amplification in 32 of the 100 individuals tested by real-time PCR. All individuals with patent ovo infection showed positive DNA amplification. These studies showed that if we only analyzed school-age children using the Kato-Katz test, the majority of the infected population would never be diagnosed with S. mansoni infection. In situations of low endemicity, with low intensities of infection, with low severity in the population and in the most affected age groups, schistosomiasis requires a more sensitive diagnostic approach (e.g. screening by PCR rather than Kato test), otherwise many infected individuals will remain invisible to the healthcare system.
A esquistossomose humana é uma doença parasitária causada por uma infecçâo por vermes sanguíneos do gènero Schistosoma. A doença afeta principalmente populaçoes empobrecidas. Cerca de 800 milhoes de pessoas estâo expostas à infecçâo, sendo um problema de saúde pública nas regioes tropicais e subtropicais de África, Ásia, Caribe e América do Sul. No Brasil, o Schistosoma mansoni é a única espécie causadora da esquistossomose e a doença é amplamente distribuida. O diagnóstico convencional da doença é realizado pela detecçâo dos ovos através de métodos parasitológicos, como o teste de Kato-Katz. A esquistossomose foi notificada em todas as regioes do Brasil, e é caracterizada como endèmica em sete estados da Regiâo Nordeste e dois estados da Regiâo Sudeste. Em 2015, 78,7% de todos os casos notificados no Brasil ocorreram na Regiâo Nordeste. Estima-se que 1,5 milhâo de pessoas estejam infectadas com esta doença no Brasil e mais de 25 milhoes vivam em áreas com alto risco de transmissâo. Apesar da reduçâo da mortalidade e morbidade, a esquistossomose foi relatada em 8.756 mortes entre 2000 e 2011 e em 2.517 mortes entre 2015 e 2019 no Brasil e continua sendo um importante problema de saúde pública. No Estado do Rio de Janeiro, algumas áreas apresentam baixa endemicidade ou focos isolados de Schistosoma mansoni e a maioria dos individuos infectados apresenta infecçoes leves. O último levantamento da doença no Estado do Rio de Janeiro foi realizado entre 2010 e 2015 em estudantes de 7 a 17 anos. A esquistossomose foi relatada em 10 dos 21 municipios estudados. Das 5.111 crianças escolares triadas para infecçâo por S. mansoni, 46 (1,65%) testaram positivo. Estudos realizados em áreas de baixa endemicidade no Rio de Janeiro mostraram que dentre os 205 pacientes infectados por S. mansoni em Sumidouro, cerca de 84% tinham 14 anos ou mais e todos, exceto um individuo, tinham a forma intestinal (91,2%) ou hepato-intestinal (8,3%) da esquistossomose. Outro estudo realizado em Sumidouro, mostrou que testes baseados em infecçâo patente de ovo de Schistosoma determinada pelo teste de Kato-Katz, infecçoes ativas foram diagnosticadas em oito (8/108) individuos. A intensidade de infecçâo expressa pelas cargas parasitárias variou de 6 a 72 ovos por grama de fezes/individuo. Os resultados mostraram amplificaçâo do DNA em 32 dos 100 individuos testados por PCR em tempo real. Todos os indivíduos com infecçâo ovo-patente apresentaram amplificaçâo de DNA positiva. Tais estudos mostraram que se analisarmos apenas crianças em idade escolar pelo teste de Kato-Katz, a maioria da populaçâo infectada nunca seria diagnosticada com infecçâo pelo S. mansoni. Em situaçoes de baixa endemicidade, com baixas intensidades de infecçâo, com baixa gravidade na populaçâo e nas faixas etárias mais afetadas, a esquistossomose requer uma abordagem diagnóstica mais sensivel (por exemplo, triagem por PCR em vez do teste de Kato), caso contràrio, muitos individuos infectados permanecerâo invisiveis para o sistema de saúde.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Endémicas , Enfermedades Desatendidas , Schistosoma mansoni , Esquistosomiasis mansoni , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , Animales , Schistosoma mansoni/aislamiento & purificación , Esquistosomiasis mansoni/epidemiología , Esquistosomiasis mansoni/transmisión , Esquistosomiasis mansoni/diagnóstico , Esquistosomiasis mansoni/parasitología , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Desatendidas/epidemiología , Enfermedades Desatendidas/parasitología , Enfermedades Desatendidas/diagnóstico , Esquistosomiasis/epidemiología , Esquistosomiasis/parasitología , Esquistosomiasis/diagnóstico , Esquistosomiasis/transmisiónRESUMEN
We construct, analyze and interpret a mathematical model for an environmental transmitted disease characterized for the existence of three disease stages: acute, severe and asymptomatic. Besides, we consider that severe and asymptomatic cases may present relapse between them. Transmission dynamics driven by the contact rates only occurs when a parameter R∗>1, as normally occur in directly-transmitted or vector-transmitted diseases, but it will not adequately correspond to a basic reproductive number as it depends on environmental parameters. In this case, the forward transcritical bifurcation that exists for R∗<1, becomes a backward bifurcation, producing multiple steady-states, a hysteresis effect and dependence on initial conditions. A threshold parameter for an epidemic outbreak, independent of R∗ is only the ratio of the external contamination inflow shedding rate to the environmental clearance rate. R∗ describes the strength of the transmission to infectious classes other than the I-(acute) type infections. The epidemic outbreak conditions and the structure of R∗ appearing in this model are both responsible for the existence of endemic states.
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Enfermedades Transmisibles , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/transmisión , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Número Básico de Reproducción/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Brotes de Enfermedades , Modelos Biológicos , Epidemias/estadística & datos numéricos , Conceptos Matemáticos , Modelos TeóricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Leprosy, a neglected tropical disease, is reported in over 120 countries, with upwards of 200,000 new cases annually. This Cross-Sectional Cohort Study aimed to delineate the epidemiological profile of leprosy in a low-endemic area in southern Brazil, both before and after implementing an active search strategy. METHODS: The study examined two surveillance periods in Caçador, Santa Catarina, Brazil. The active search strategy was carried out through the application of the LSQ by the community health workers as a screening and detection tool for new cases of leprosy and this was compared with passive case detection. The first spanned from 2014 to 2020, and the second from January 2021 to August 2023. FINDINGS: 48 leprosy cases were reported throughout the study, 83.3 % of which were diagnosed as multibacillary. The first period had an average detection rate of 0.38 cases per 10,000 inhabitants, increasing to 1.19 cases per 10,000 inhabitants in the second period. Notably, there was a substantial shift in the degree of physical disability (GD), with more Grade 0 and Grade 1 disabilities observed post-active search. MAIN CONCLUSIONS: The study underscores the efficacy of active search strategies in early diagnosis, highlighting a 300 % increase in the annual average of diagnosed cases. This large number of detected cases demonstrates the high sensitivity of the LSQ. This approach significantly aids in uncovering hidden cases of leprosy, enhancing disease management and control in low-endemic areas indicating that the Ministry of Health should intensify leprosy control activities in these regions.
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Enfermedades Endémicas , Lepra , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Masculino , Femenino , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Lepra/epidemiología , Lepra/diagnóstico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Estudios de Cohortes , Anciano , Diagnóstico Precoz , Tamizaje MasivoRESUMEN
Malaria remains a global health problem despite the many attempts to control and eradicate it. There is an urgent need to understand the current transmission dynamics of malaria and to determine the interventions necessary to control malaria. In this paper, we seek to develop a fit-for-purpose mathematical model to assess the interventions needed to control malaria in an endemic setting. To achieve this, we formulate a malaria transmission model to analyse the spread of malaria in the presence of interventions. A sensitivity analysis of the model is performed to determine the relative impact of the model parameters on disease transmission. We explore how existing variations in the recruitment and management of intervention strategies affect malaria transmission. Results obtained from the study imply that the discontinuation of existing interventions has a significant effect on malaria prevalence. Thus, the maintenance of interventions is imperative for malaria elimination and eradication. In a scenario study aimed at assessing the impact of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs), indoor residual spraying (IRS), and localized individual measures, our findings indicate that increased LLINs utilization and extended IRS coverage (with longer-lasting insecticides) cause a more pronounced reduction in symptomatic malaria prevalence compared to a reduced LLINs utilization and shorter IRS coverage. Additionally, our study demonstrates the impact of localized preventive measures in mitigating the spread of malaria when compared to the absence of interventions.
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Mosquiteros Tratados con Insecticida , Insecticidas , Malaria , Conceptos Matemáticos , Modelos Biológicos , Control de Mosquitos , Humanos , Malaria/prevención & control , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/transmisión , Control de Mosquitos/métodos , Control de Mosquitos/estadística & datos numéricos , Mosquiteros Tratados con Insecticida/estadística & datos numéricos , Animales , Mosquitos Vectores/parasitología , Prevalencia , Simulación por Computador , Anopheles/parasitología , Enfermedades Endémicas/prevención & control , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
For some communicable endemic diseases (e.g., influenza, COVID-19), vaccination is an effective means of preventing the spread of infection and reducing mortality, but must be augmented over time with vaccine booster doses. We consider the problem of optimally allocating a limited supply of vaccines over time between different subgroups of a population and between initial versus booster vaccine doses, allowing for multiple booster doses. We first consider an SIS model with interacting population groups and four different objectives: those of minimizing cumulative infections, deaths, life years lost, or quality-adjusted life years lost due to death. We solve the problem sequentially: for each time period, we approximate the system dynamics using Taylor series expansions, and reduce the problem to a piecewise linear convex optimization problem for which we derive intuitive closed-form solutions. We then extend the analysis to the case of an SEIS model. In both cases vaccines are allocated to groups based on their priority order until the vaccine supply is exhausted. Numerical simulations show that our analytical solutions achieve results that are close to optimal with objective function values significantly better than would be obtained using simple allocation rules such as allocation proportional to population group size. In addition to being accurate and interpretable, the solutions are easy to implement in practice. Interpretable models are particularly important in public health decision making.
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COVID-19 , Simulación por Computador , Enfermedades Endémicas , Inmunización Secundaria , Conceptos Matemáticos , Vacunación , Humanos , Inmunización Secundaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Endémicas/prevención & control , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/epidemiología , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/provisión & distribución , Modelos Biológicos , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Background: Baseline mapping showed that schistosomiasis was highly/moderately endemic in nine districts in Sierra Leone. Mass drug administration (MDA) with praziquantel started in 2009, and after multiple rounds of treatment, an impact assessment was conducted in 2016 followed by a second re-assessment in 2022 using cluster sampling to provide more granular data for refining chiefdom (sub-district) treatment strategies. Methods: On average, 20 rural villages were systematically selected per district by probability proportional to population size across the nine districts. Surveys were conducted in schools, and 24 school children aged between 5 and 14 years were randomly selected, with an equal number of boys and girls. One stool sample and one urine sample were collected per child. Two Kato-Katz slides were examined per stool for Schistosoma mansoni infection. Hemastix strips were used as a proxy for S. haematobium infection with urine filtration used for egg counts on hematuria-positive samples. Results: In total, 4,736 stool samples and 4,618 urine samples were examined across 200 schools in 125 chiefdoms. Overall, the prevalence of S. mansoni was 16.3% (95% CI: 15.3-17.4%), while the overall prevalence of S. haematobium was 2.0% (95% CI: 1.6-2.4%) by hematuria. The prevalence of heavy infections for S. mansoni and S. haematobium was 1.5% (95% CI: 1.1-1.9%) and 0.02% (95% CI: 0.0-0.14%), respectively. Among 125 chiefdoms surveyed, the overall schistosomiasis prevalence was <10% in 65 chiefdoms, 10-49.9% in 47 chiefdoms, and ≥ 50% in 13 chiefdoms. There was a mixed relationship between schistosomiasis in school children and WASH access in schools. Conclusion: Sierra Leone has made significant progress in reducing schistosomiasis prevalence across the country after a decade of MDA intervention. However, high prevalence remains in some hotspot chiefdoms. The next steps are for the national program to investigate and address any potential issues such as low coverage or poor knowledge of schistosomiasis risk behaviors and, where appropriate, consider broadening to community-wide treatment in hotspot chiefdoms or communities.
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Heces , Praziquantel , Humanos , Sierra Leona/epidemiología , Niño , Femenino , Masculino , Adolescente , Preescolar , Praziquantel/uso terapéutico , Praziquantel/administración & dosificación , Heces/parasitología , Animales , Administración Masiva de Medicamentos , Prevalencia , Antihelmínticos/uso terapéutico , Antihelmínticos/administración & dosificación , Esquistosomiasis/epidemiología , Schistosoma mansoni/aislamiento & purificación , Esquistosomiasis mansoni/epidemiología , Esquistosomiasis mansoni/tratamiento farmacológico , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Análisis por Conglomerados , Schistosoma haematobium/aislamiento & purificaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Dengue poses a significant burden worldwide, and a more comprehensive understanding of the heterogeneity in the intensity of dengue transmission within endemic countries is necessary to evaluate the potential impact of public health interventions. METHODS: This scoping literature review aimed to update a previous study of dengue transmission intensity by collating global age-stratified dengue seroprevalence data published in the Medline, Embase and Web of Science databases from 2014 to 2023. These data were then utilised to calibrate catalytic models and estimate the force of infection (FOI), which is the yearly per-capita risk of infection for a typical susceptible individual. FINDINGS: We found a total of 66 new publications containing 219 age-stratified seroprevalence datasets across 30 endemic countries. Together with the previously available average FOI estimates, there are now more than 250 dengue average FOI estimates obtained from seroprevalence studies from across the world. INTERPRETATION: The results show large heterogeneities in average dengue FOI both across and within countries. These new estimates can be used to inform ongoing modelling efforts to improve our understanding of the drivers of the heterogeneity in dengue transmission globally, which in turn can help inform the optimal implementation of public health interventions. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust, Community Jameel, Drugs for Neglected Disease initiative (DNDi) funded by the French Development Agency, Médecins Sans Frontières International; Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation and UK aid.
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Dengue , Humanos , Dengue/epidemiología , Dengue/sangre , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Virus del Dengue/inmunología , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Salud Global , Factores de EdadRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) is the most common type of leishmaniasis in tropical and subtropical areas. This study investigated the trend of CL changes from 2009 to 2022, and predicted the number of leishmaniasis cases until 2024. METHODS: This ecological study was performed on new monthly confirmed CL cases from 2009 to 2022 from the leishmaniasis registration system in southeast Iran. The time series method was used to investigate the trend of changes in CL from 2009 to 2022. SARIMA model was run to predict the number of leishmaniasis cases until 2024 by controlling the effect of climatic variables on the disease process. RESULTS: The analysis showed a significant increase in CL cases in 2015 and from 2021 to 2022. The minimum number of registered cases was observed in 2018, with 81 cases. The maximum number was also observed in 2021, with 318 patients. The leishmaniasis cases decreased from January to June and increased from July to December. According to the results of SARIMA (1, 0, 0) (1, 0, 0) multivariate analysis, the temperature in log 12 has a significant negative correlation with the number of leishmaniasis cases. This model predicted a decreasing trend in leishmaniasis cases until 2024. CONCLUSION: The southeast region of Fars province is one of the hyper-endemic regions of the disease, and it is prone to periodic outbreaks. An active surveillance system must investigate the CL incidence trend and evaluate the effectiveness of interventions to prevent the occurrence of new outbrea.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Endémicas , Leishmaniasis Cutánea , Leishmaniasis Cutánea/epidemiología , Irán/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Adolescente , Niño , Estaciones del Año , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Emerging infectious diseases such as SARS-CoV-2 can cause pandemics and create a critical risk for humans. In a previous pilot study, we reported that the immunological responses induced by cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) could decrease the incidence and severity of COVID-19. In this large-scale case-control study, we assessed the possible relationship between mortality and morbidity of COVID-19 in healed CL persons suffering scars compared to cases without CL history. METHODS: This controlled cross-sectional study was conducted between July 2020 and December 2022 in the endemic and high-burden areas of CL in southeastern Iran. In the study, 1400 previous CL cases with scars and 1,521,329 subjects who had no previous CL were analyzed. We used R 4.0.2 to analyze the data. Firth's bias reduction approach corresponding to the penalization of likelihood logistic regression by Jeffreys was also employed to influence the variables in the dataset. Also, a Bayesian ordinal logistic regression model was performed to explore the COVID-19 severity in both case and referent groups. RESULTS: The occurrence and severity rate of COVID-19 in CL scar cases are significantly less than in the non-CL control group, while in the CL scar subjects, patients with critical conditions and mortality were not observed. The morbidity (OR = 0.11, CI 0.06-0.20 and P < 0.001) and severity of COVID-19 in previous cases with CL scars were significantly diminished than that in the control group (credible interval - 2.57, - 1.62). CONCLUSIONS: The results represented a durable negative relationship between cured CL and COVID-19 incidence and severity. Additional studies seem necessary and should be designed to further validate the true impact and underlying mechanistic action of CL on COVID-19.
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COVID-19 , Leishmaniasis Cutánea , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Irán/epidemiología , Leishmaniasis Cutánea/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , SARS-CoV-2 , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Incidencia , Adolescente , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Cicatriz/epidemiología , Cicatriz/etiología , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Teorema de BayesAsunto(s)
Prueba de COVID-19/métodos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Predicción , Selección de Paciente , Formulación de Políticas , Salud Pública/métodos , COVID-19/genética , COVID-19/transmisión , Prueba de COVID-19/economía , Prueba de COVID-19/estadística & datos numéricos , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Política de Salud , Humanos , Distribución Aleatoria , Factores de Tiempo , Estados Unidos , Monitoreo Epidemiológico Basado en Aguas ResidualesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Strongyloidiasis and Chagas disease are endemic in northern Argentina. In this study we evaluate the association between S. stercoralis and T. cruzi infections in villages with diverse prevalence levels for these parasites. Further understanding in the relationship between these Neglected Tropical Diseases of South America is relevant for the design of integrated control measures as well as exploring potential biologic interactions. METHODOLOGY: Community based cross-sectional studies were carried in different villages of the Chaco and Yungas regions in Argentina. Individuals were diagnosed by serology for S. stercoralis and T. cruzi. The association between S. stercoralis and T. cruzi, and between anemia and the two parasites was evaluated using two approaches: marginal (Ma) and multilevel regression (Mu). RESULTS: A total of 706 individuals from six villages of northern Argentina were included. A total of 37% were positive for S. stercoralis, 14% were positive for T. cruzi and 5% were positive for both. No association was found between infection with S. stercoralis and T. cruzi in any of the models, but we found a negative correlation between the prevalence of these species in the different villages (r = -0.91). Adults (> 15 years) presented association with S. stercoralis (Ma OR = 2.72; Mu OR = 2.84) and T. cruzi (Ma OR = 5.12; Mu OR = 5.48). Also, 12% and 2% of the variance of infection with S. stercoralis and T. cruzi, respectively, could be explained by differences among villages. On the other hand, anemia was associated with infection with S. stercoralis (Ma OR = 1.73; Mu OR = 1.78) and was more prevalent in adults (Ma OR = 2.59; Mu OR = 2.69). CONCLUSION: We found that coinfection between S. stercoralis and T. cruzi is not more frequent than chance in endemic areas. However, the high prevalence for both parasites, raises the need for an integrated strategy for the control of STH and Chagas disease.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Chagas/parasitología , Coinfección/parasitología , Strongyloides stercoralis/fisiología , Estrongiloidiasis/parasitología , Trypanosoma cruzi/fisiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Animales , Argentina/epidemiología , Enfermedad de Chagas/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Coinfección/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Emigrantes e Inmigrantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Heces/parasitología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Strongyloides stercoralis/genética , Strongyloides stercoralis/aislamiento & purificación , Estrongiloidiasis/epidemiología , Trypanosoma cruzi/genética , Trypanosoma cruzi/aislamiento & purificación , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Cholera is endemic along the Great Lakes Region, in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). From these endemic areas, also under perpetual conflicts, outbreaks spread to other areas. However, the main routes of propagation remain unclear. This research aimed to explore the modalities and likely main routes of geographic spread of cholera from endemic areas in eastern DRC. We used historical reconstruction of major outbreak expansions of cholera since its introduction in eastern DRC, maps of distribution and spatiotemporal cluster detection analyses of cholera data from passive surveillance (2000-2017) to describe the spread dynamics of cholera from eastern DRC. Four modalities of geographic spread and their likely main routes from the source areas of epidemics to other areas were identified: in endemic eastern provinces, and in non-endemic provinces of eastern, central and western DRC. Using non-parametric statistics, we found that the higher the number of conflict events reported in eastern DRC, the greater the geographic spread of cholera across the country. The present study revealed that the dynamics of the spread of cholera follow a fairly well-defined spatial logic and can therefore be predicted.