Trends in Incidence of Hip Fracture and Hip Replacement in Denmark, 1996 to 2018.

Importance: The past several decades have witnessed substantial changes in treatments that are particularly relevant for older patients. Objectives: To assess changes in national-level incidence rates of fracture- and musculoskeletal-related (ie, arthritis-related) hip replacement procedures for individuals aged 40 to 104 years over a 23-year period in Denmark. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used national Danish health registers to include the Danish population aged 40 to 104 years from January 1, 1996, to December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from May 31, 2022, to February 14, 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures: Age- and period-specific incidence rates of hip fracture and hip replacement stratified on fracture-related vs arthritis-related indication. Results: From 1996 to 2018, a total of 3 664 979 individuals were followed up for a mean (SD) of 14.6 (7.7) years, resulting in a follow-up time of 53 517 861 person-years and 158 982 (first) hip fractures, of which 42 825 involved fracture-related hip replacement procedures. A further 104 422 individuals underwent arthritis-related hip replacement. During the first 2 decades of the 21st century, hip fracture rates declined by 35% to 40% for individuals aged 70 to 104 years, and the proportion of the population undergoing fracture-related hip replacement increased by 50% to 70%, with modest variation across those aged 75 to 99 years. Rates of arthritis-related hip replacements peaked for individuals aged 75 to 79 years, but with the largest relative rate increase (75%-100%) occurring for those aged 80 to 94 years, primarily from 2001 to 2015, whereafter it remained nearly unchanged. The decline in rates of arthritis-related hip replacement after 75 to 79 years of age was gradual and did not suggest an upper age limit for access to arthritis-related hip replacement. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that during the past several decades in Denmark, the incidence of hip fractures declined by 35% to 40% among patients aged 80 to 104 years, while the proportion receiving fracture-related hip replacement remained relatively constant after 75 years of age. During the first decades of the 21st century, arthritis-related hip replacement incidence increased by 50% to 100% among older patients and stabilized hereafter, with no apparent cutoff age for this type of procedure. These patterns indicate a positive overall trend with declining hip fracture incidence over the last decades in Denmark, and the observed hip replacement incidence suggests that age is currently not a major determining factor guiding this type of surgery.

Unveiling unique clinical phenotypes of hip fracture patients and the temporal association with cardiovascular events.

Cardiovascular events are the leading cause of death among hip fracture patients. This study aims to identify subphenotypes of hip fracture patients and investigate their association with incident cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and health service utilisation in Hong Kong and the United Kingdom populations. By the latent class analysis, we show three distinct clusters in the Hong Kong cohort (n = 78,417): Cluster 1 has cerebrovascular and hypertensive diseases, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes; Cluster 2 has congestive heart failure; Cluster 3 consists of relatively healthy patients. Compared to Cluster 3, higher risks of major adverse cardiovascular events are observed in Cluster 1 (hazard ratio 1.97, 95% CI 1.83 to 2.12) and Cluster 2 (hazard ratio 4.06, 95% CI 3.78 to 4.35). Clusters 1 and 2 are also associated with a higher risk of mortality, more unplanned accident and emergency visits and longer hospital stays. Self-controlled case series analysis shows a significantly elevated risk of major adverse cardiovascular events within 60 days post-hip fracture. Similar associations are observed in the United Kingdom cohort (n = 27,948). Pre-existing heart failure is identified as a unique subphenotype associated with poor prognosis after hip fractures.

Association of two geriatric treatment systems with anti-osteoporotic drug treatment and second hip fracture in patients with an index hip fracture: retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In Germany, geriatricians deliver acute geriatric care during acute hospital stay and post-acute rehabilitation after transfer to a rehabilitation clinic. The rate patients receive acute geriatric care (AGC) or are transferred to post-acute rehabilitation (TPR) differs between hospitals. This study analyses the association between the two geriatric treatment systems (AGC, TPR) and second hip fracture in patients following an index hip fracture. METHODS: Nationwide health insurance data are used to identify the rate of AGC and TPR per hospital following hip fracture surgery in patients aged ≥ 80 years. Outcomes are a second hip fracture after surgery or after discharge within 180 or 360 days and new specific anti-osteoporotic drugs. Cox proportional hazard models and generalised linear models are applied. RESULTS: Data from 29,096 hip fracture patients from 652 hospitals were analysed. AGC and TPR are not associated with second hip fracture when follow-up started after surgery. However, during the first months after discharge patients from hospitals with no AGC or low rates of TPR have higher rates of second hip fracture than patients from hospitals with high rates of AGC or high rates of TPR (Hazard Ratio (95% CI) 1.35 (1.01-1.80) or 1.35 (1.03-1.79), respectively). Lower rates of AGC are associated with lower probabilities of new prescriptions of specific anti-osteoporotic drugs. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests beneficial relationships of geriatric treatment after hip fracture with a) the risk of second hip fractures during the first months after discharge and b) an improvement of anti-osteoporotic drug treatment.

ORTHOPOD: Linking ambulatory future trauma injury distribution from fragility proximal femur fracture caseload.

INTRODUCTION: The age of those experiencing traumatic injury and requiring surgery increases. The majority of this increase seen in older patients having operations after accidents is in fragility proximal femur fractures (FPFF). This study designed a model to predict the distribution of fractures suitable for ambulatory trauma list provision based on the number of FPFF patients. METHODS: The study utilized two datasets which both had data from 64 hospitals. One derived from the ORTHOPOD study dataset, and the other from National Hip Fracture Database. The model tested the predictability of 12 common fracture types based on FPFF data from the two datasets, using linear regression and K-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: The predictive model showed some promise. Evaluation of the model with mean RMSE and Std RMSE demonstrated good predictive performance for some fracture types, although the r-squared values showed that large variation in these fracture types was not always captured by the model. The study highlighted the dominance of FPFFs, and the strong correlation between these and numbers of ankle and distal radius fractures at a given unit. DISCUSSION: It is possible to model the numbers of ankle and distal radius fractures based off the number of patients admitted with hip fractures. This has great significance given the drive for increased day case utilisation and bed pressures across health services. While the model's current predictability was limited, with methodological improvements and additional data, a more robust predictive model could be developed to aid in the restructuring of trauma networks and improvement of patient care and surgical outcomes.

Impact of diabetes on the risk of subsequent fractures in 92,600 patients with an incident hip fracture: A Danish nationwide cohort study 2004-2018.

PURPOSE: We investigated the incidence rates of a subsequent hip fracture (HF) and other subsequent fractures than HF after first incident HF, comparing patients with and without diabetes. METHODS: Using Danish medical databases, we identified 92,600 incident HF patients in the period 2004-2018. Diabetes exposure was examined overall, by type of diabetes (T2D and T1D), and by presence of diabetes complications. We estimated cumulative incidence of subsequent HFs and fractures other than HF within two years of the incident HF. Using Cox regression, adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95 % confidence interval (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Among incident HF patients, 11,469 (12 %) had diabetes, of whom 10,253 (89 %) had T2D and 1216 (11 %) had T1D. The 2-year incidence rates for a new subsequent HF were 4.8 % (95 % CI: 4.6-4.9) for patients without diabetes (reference group), 4.1 % (95 % CI: 3.8-4.6) for T2D, and 4.3 % (95 % CI: 3.3-5.6) for T1D. Corresponding aHRs were 1.01 (95 % CI 0.90-1.14) for T2D and 1.17 (95 % CI 0.87-1.58) for T1D. There was effect modification by sex, as women with T1D had an aHR of 1.52 (95 % CI: 1.09-2.11) for subsequent HF, and by specific diabetes complications (for example, patients with T2D and prior hypoglycemia had an aHR of 1.75 (95 % CI: 1.24-2.42) for subsequent HF, while patients with T1D and neuropathy had an aHR of 1.73 (95 %: 1.09-2.75), when compared with patients without diabetes). For fractures other than HF, the 2-year incidence rates were 7.3 % (95 % CI: 7.2-7.5) for patients without diabetes, 6.6 % (95 % CI: 6.1-7.1) for T2D, and 8.5 % (95 % CI: 7.0-10.1) for T1D, with corresponding aHRs of 1.01 (95 % CI 0.92-1.11) for T2D and 1.43 (95 % CI: 1.16-1.78) for T1D. T2D was only a risk factor for other subsequent fractures among HF patients of high age (age 86-89 years: aHR 1.22 (95 % CI 0.99-1.55), age 90+ years: aHR 1.37 (95 % CI 1.08-1.74)), whereas T1D was robustly associated with increased risk of fractures other than HF in all subgroups. CONCLUSION: Among HF patients, we found no strong overall association of T2D or T1D with increased risk of subsequent HF, but diabetes patients with prior hypoglycemic events or neuropathy were at increased risk. In contrast, patients with T1D had a clearly increased risk of subsequent fractures other than HF.

Early-onset dementia and risk of hip fracture and major osteoporotic fractures.

INTRODUCTION: There is limited knowledge about early-onset dementia (EOD) on fracture risk. METHODS: Individuals ages 50 to 64 were identified from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan (2012 to 2019). The association between EOD and fractures and the association between cholinesterase inhibitors for EOD and fractures were evaluated using logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: We identified 13,614 EOD patients and 9,144,560 cognitively healthy individuals. The analysis revealed that EOD was associated with an increased risk of hip fractures (adjusted odds ratio, 95% confidence interval: 8.79, 7.37-10.48), vertebral fractures (1.73, 1.48-2.01), and major osteoporotic fractures (2.05, 1.83-2.30) over 3 years. The use of cholinesterase inhibitors was significantly associated with a reduction in hip fractures among EOD patients (0.28, 0.11-0.69). DISCUSSION: EOD patients have a higher risk of osteoporotic fractures than cognitively healthy individuals. The use of cholinesterase inhibitors may reduce the risk of hip fracture among EOD patients. HIGHLIGHTS: It is unknown whether early-onset dementia (EOD) increases the risk of fractures. We identified 13,614 individuals with EOD using a nationwide administrative database. Patients with EOD have a higher risk of hip, vertebral, and major osteoporotic fractures. The use of cholinesterase inhibitors may reduce hip fracture among patients with EOD.

The process of hip fracture management before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Iran.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic affected the control of many chronic conditions, including hip fractures, worldwide. This study was to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the management of hip fractures in a referral orthopedic hospital in Iran. By understanding how the pandemic has influenced the care of hip fracture patients, we can gain valuable insights into the challenges, adaptations, and potential improvements in orthopedic healthcare during such public health crises. METHODS: Data was collected on hip fracture patients aged 50 and above who were admitted to the hospital before and during the pandemic. The number of admissions and operations, length of hospital stay, and time from admission to surgery were recorded from the hospital information system (HIS) and compared between the two periods. RESULTS: The median number of admitted hip fracture patients per month increased slightly during the pandemic (11%), although this increase was not statistically significant (p = 0.124). After adjusting for potential confounders, the mean length of hospital stay was significantly lower during the pandemic period, indicating that patients were discharged sooner (p = 0.019) and the time from admission to surgery was shorter during the pandemic (p = 0.004). Although the increase in the number of hip fracture surgeries per month during the pandemic was not statistically significant (P = 0.132), a higher percentage of patients underwent surgery during the pandemic compared to before (84.8% VS. 79.4%). CONCLUSION: The study suggests that the COVID-19 pandemic did not have a negative impact on hip fracture management in the investigated orthopedic hospital in Iran. further research is needed to explore the effects of the pandemic on other aspects of healthcare services, particularly in general hospitals.

Mortality and re-fracture rates in low trauma hip fracture.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to estimate the incidence rate of re-fracture and all-cause mortality rate in patients with hip fractures caused by minor trauma in the first year following the event. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients over 50 years of age conducted in a referral hospital located in Tehran (Shafa-Yahyaian). Using the hospital information system (HIS), all patients hospitalized due to hip fractures caused by minor trauma during 2013-2019 were included in the study. We investigated the occurrence of death and re-fracture in all patients one year after the primary hip fracture. RESULTS: A total of 945 patients with hip fractures during a 307,595 person-days of follow-up, were included. The mean age of the participants was 71 years (SD = 11.19), and 533 (59%) of them were women. One hundred forty-nine deaths were identified during the first year after hip fracture, resulting in a one-year mortality rate of 17.69% (95% CI: 15.06-20.77). The one-year mortality rate was 20.06% in men and 15.88% in women. Out of all the participants, 667 answered the phone call, of which 29 cases had experienced a re-fracture in the first year (incidence rate = 5.03%, 95% CI: 3.50-7.24). The incidence rates in women and men were 6.07% and 3.65%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Patients with low-trauma hip fractures have shown a high rate of mortality in the first year. Considering the increase in the incidence of hip fractures with age, comprehensive strategies are needed to prevent fractures caused by minor trauma in the elderly population.

Geriatric nutritional risk index as a predictor for fragility fracture risk in elderly with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A 9-year ambispective longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The elderly are prone to fragility fractures, especially those suffering from type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) combined with osteoporosis. Although studies have confirmed the association between GNRI and the prevalence of osteoporosis, the relationship between GNRI and fragility fracture risk and the individualized 10-year probability of osteoporotic fragility fractures estimated by FRAX remains unclear. This study aims to delve into the association between the GNRI and a fragility fracture and the 10-year probability of hip fracture (HF) and major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) evaluated by FRAX in elderly with T2DM. METHODS: A total of 580 patients with T2DM aged ≥60 were recruited in the study from 2014 to 2023. This research is an ambispective longitudinal cohort study. All participants were followed up every 6 months for 9 years with a median of 3.8 years through outpatient services, medical records, and home fixed-line telephone interviews. According to the tertiles of GNRI, all subjects were divided into three groups: low-level (59.72-94.56, n = 194), moderate-level (94.56-100.22, n = 193), and high-level (100.22-116.45, n = 193). The relationship between GNRI and a fragility fracture and the 10-year probability of HF and MOF calculated by FRAX was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, Spearman correlation analyses, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses, multivariable Cox regression analyses, stratified analyses, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. RESULTS: Of 580 participants, 102 experienced fragile fracture events (17.59%). ROC analysis demonstrated that the optimal GNRI cut-off value was 98.58 with a sensitivity of 75.49% and a specificity of 47.49%, respectively. Spearman partial correlation analyses revealed that GNRI was positively related to 25-hydroxy vitamin D [25-(OH) D] (r = 0.165, P < 0.001) and bone mineral density (BMD) [lumbar spine (LS), r = 0.088, P = 0.034; femoral neck (FN), r = 0.167, P < 0.001; total hip (TH), r = 0.171, P < 0.001]; negatively correlated with MOF (r = -0.105, P = 0.012) and HF (r = -0.154, P < 0.001). RCS analyses showed that GNRI was inversely S-shaped dose-dependent with a fragility fracture event (P < 0.001) and was Z-shaped with the 10-year MOF (P = 0.03) and HF (P = 0.01) risk assessed by FRAX, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that compared with high-level GNRI, moderate-level [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.950; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.076-3.535; P = 0.028] and low-level (HR = 2.538; 95% CI = 1.378-4.672; P = 0.003) had an increased risk of fragility fracture. Stratified analysis exhibited that GNRI was negatively correlated with the risk of fragility fracture, which the stratification factors presented in the forest plot were not confounding factors and did not affect the prediction effect of GNRI on the fragility fracture events in this overall cohort population (P for interaction > 0.05), despite elderly females aged ≥70, with body mass index (BMI) ≥24, hypertension, and with or without anemia (all P < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis identified that the lower-level GNRI group had a higher cumulative incidence of fragility fractures (log-rank, all P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: This study confirms for the first time that GNRI is negatively related to a fragility fracture and the 10-year probability of osteoporotic fragility fractures assessed by FRAX in an inverse S-shaped and Z-shaped dose-dependent pattern in elderly with T2DM, respectively. GNRI may serve as a valuable predictor for fragility fracture risk in elderly with T2DM. Therefore, in routine clinical practice, paying attention to the nutritional status of the elderly with T2DM and giving appropriate dietary guidance may help prevent a fragility fracture event.

Association of physical activity with fractures in kidney transplant recipients: A Korean nationwide cohort study.

Kidney transplant recipients are at high risk for fractures, primarily due to post-transplant bone disease. This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, including 10 083 kidney transplant recipients examined from 2009 to 2017. We assessed fracture incidence, emphasizing vertebral and hip fractures, and the association of physical activity and traditional risk factors with fracture risk. Kidney transplant recipients were categorized into three groups according to physical activity levels: non-activity, metabolic equivalent of task (MET) 1-499, and MET ≥500. Physical activity was associated with a decreased risk of all types of fractures: any (MET 1-499: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) .75; 95% confidence interval (CI) .62-.92, MET ≥500: aHR .84; 95% CI .70-1.00), vertebral (MET 1-499: aHR .69; 95% CI .49-.98, MET ≥500: aHR .67; 95% CI .49-.91), and hip (MET 1-499: aHR .43; 95% CI .23-.81) fractures. Additionally, older age, female sex, and diabetes were associated with an increased fracture risk. The assessment of physical activity and traditional risk factors could improve fracture risk prediction. Our findings emphasize the need for further research to establish optimal physical activity recommendations for fracture prevention in kidney transplant recipients.

Higher serum free thyroxine levels are associated with increased risk of hip fractures in older men.

Overt and subclinical hyperthyroidism are associated with an increased fracture risk, but whether thyroid hormones are associated with fracture risk in individuals with normal thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) has mostly been investigated in women. Therefore, we investigated if serum levels of free thyroxine (FT4) or TSH are associated with fracture risk in Swedish men. We followed (median 12.2 yr) elderly men (n = 1825; mean age 75, range 69-81 yr) participating in the Gothenburg and Malmö subcohorts of the prospective, population-based MrOS-Sweden study. The statistical analyses included Cox proportional hazards regression. Men receiving levothyroxine treatment were excluded. In our total cohort, serum FT4 (per SD increase) was associated with increased risk of major osteoporotic fractures (MOFs; n = 479; fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% CI, 1.05-1.24) and hip fractures (n = 207; HR 1.18, 95% CI, 1.04-1.33). Also, in men with normal TSH (n = 1658), FT4 (per SD increase) was significantly associated with increased risk of MOF and hip fractures. Furthermore, men in the highest FT4 quartile had a 1.5-fold increase in hip fracture risk compared with men in the three lower FT4 quartiles, both in the total population and in men with normal TSH (fully adjusted: HR 1.45, 95% CI, 1.04-2.02 and HR 1.51, 95% CI, 1.07-2.12, respectively). In contrast, the risk of MOF was not statistically different in the highest FT4 quartile compared with the three lower FT4 quartiles. Finally, serum TSH was not associated with fracture risk after full adjustment for covariates. In conclusion, serum FT4, but not serum TSH, is a predictor of hip fracture risk in elderly Swedish men. Additionally, there was an association between FT4 (per SD increase) and the risk of MOF.

Proximal femur fracture: Direct medical costs of hospital treatment.

INTRODUCTION: Proximal femur fractures are one of the most common injuries in older adults representing a serious health condition in developed as well as developing countries. AIM: This study aimed to assess the hospitalization costs of the proximal femur fracture. METHODS: We conducted a prospective descriptive study spread over six months about patients hospitalized and operated on for proximal femur fractures. In order to estimate the cost we referred to the nomenclature of professional acts and the prices set by the Ministry of Public Health and the Ministry of Finance. RESULTS: The study included 100 patients, 55 females and 45 males with an average age of 76 years. The average hospital length of stay was 5 days. The preoperative stay was at a mean of three days. The average total hospitalization cost for these fractures was 2877 Tunisian Dinars depending on the type of fracture and surgical treatment. The main components of the costs were hospital stay costs and human resources costs 40%, cost of the implant 25.9%, cost of consumables 12%, operating cost 10%, cost of additional examinations 9% and cost of medications 2%. CONCLUSION: Proximal femur fractures represent an important cause of health resource consumption. To reduce the cost of hospital care, we recommend limiting the length of hospital stay as much as possible, investing in total hip and hemi-arthroplasties and adapting economical behavior taking into account the cost of consumables.

Hip Fractures in Elderly Individuals Did Not Decrease during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic: Insights from the 2015 and 2020 Niigata Prefecture Fragility Hip Fracture Surveys.

Background and Objectives: The incidence of osteoporotic hip fractures in Niigata Prefecture, Japan, has been studied approximately every 5 years since 1985. In 2020, as in previous surveys, a prefecture-wide survey was initiated as planned; however, the global outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) began simultaneously. This study aimed to compare the results of the 2015 and 2020 Niigata Prefecture Fragility Hip Fracture Surveys to determine whether the COVID-19 pandemic affected the occurrence and treatment of proximal femoral fractures throughout Niigata Prefecture. Materials and Methods: In this study, data from the 2015 and 2020 Niigata Prefecture Fragility Hip Fracture Surveys were used. Data were obtained from registration forms returned by hospitals and clinics in Niigata Prefecture for patients living therein who were diagnosed with osteoporotic hip fractures over a 1-year period in 2015 and 2020. Results: In Niigata Prefecture, the total annual number of fractures increased from 3181 in 2015 to 3369 in 2020, whereas the age-adjusted fracture rate decreased. Regarding the location of the fractures, the proportion of outdoor fractures was lower than that of indoor fractures. The proportion of outdoor fractures decreased over the year as a whole, but in particular, the proportion of outdoor fractures decreased significantly under the issued emergency declarations. The most common reasons for delayed surgery related to COVID-19 were "waiting for PCR results" and "quarantine for fever," accounting for approximately 1.9% of all causes. Conclusions: In Niigata Prefecture, Japan, the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number and rate of fractures was minuscule. The proportion of indoor fractures to outdoor fractures increased during the emergency declaration period. Considering that the number of fragility fractures remains the same during an infectious disease pandemic such as COVID-19, it is necessary to ensure that healthcare resources are available to deal with them.

Dietary inflammatory pattern and risk of hip fracture in the Nurses' Health Study.

Our immune system activity is impacted by what we eat and can influence fracture risk under certain conditions. In this article, we show that postmenopausal women with a pro-inflammatory dietary pattern have an increased risk of hip fracture. PURPOSE: The immune system influences bone homeostasis and can increase the risk of fracture under certain pro-inflammatory conditions. Immune system activity is impacted by dietary patterns. Using the empirical dietary inflammatory pattern (EDIP), we investigated whether postmenopausal women with a pro-inflammatory dietary pattern had an increased risk of hip fracture. METHODS: The study population consisted of postmenopausal women participating in the Nurses' Health Study from 1980 to 2014, who reported information on lifestyle and health, including hip fractures, on biennial questionnaires, while semiquantitative food frequency questionnaires (FFQs) were completed every fourth year. Hazard ratios (HR) for hip fracture were computed using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: EDIP was calculated using intake information from the FFQ for 87,955 postmenopausal participants, of whom 2348 sustained a non-traumatic hip fracture during follow-up. After adjustment for confounders, there was a 7% increase in the risk of hip fracture per 1 SD increase in EDIP (HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.12), and the uppermost quintile had a 22% greater risk compared to the lowest (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.06-1.40). For the separate components of the EDIP, we found that higher intakes of low-energy beverages (diet sodas) were independently associated with an increased risk of hip fracture, while higher intakes of green leafy vegetables were associated with a reduced risk. CONCLUSION: A pro-inflammatory dietary pattern was associated with an increased risk of hip fracture among postmenopausal women.

Safety profile of hypnotics or sedatives on community-dwelling older adults aged 75 or older in Japan: A retrospective propensity-matched cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study is to assess if daily use of hypnotics increases mortality, aspiration pneumonia and hip fracture among relatively healthy individuals aged 75 years or older who lead independent lives in the community. METHOD AND PATIENTS: Of the adults aged 75 years or older residing in Hokkaido prefecture of Japan (n = 705,538), those who did not meet several exclusion criteria were eligible for generating propensity score-matched cohorts (n = 214,723). Exclusion criteria included co-prescribed medications acting on the central nervous system, diagnoses of malignant neoplasm, dementia, depression, etc. We compared 33,095 participants who were prescribed hypnotics for daily use (hypnotic group) with a propensity score-matched cohort without a prescription (control group). Participants were followed for more than 42 months. RESULTS: During the 42-month follow-up period, the incidence of the three outcome measures in the hypnotics group was significantly higher than that in the control group (aspiration pneumonia p < 0.001, hip fracture p = 0.007, and all-cause mortality p < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses utilizing inverse probability weighting demonstrated hazard ratios of 1.083 [1.023-1.146] for mortality, 1.117 [1.014-1.230] for aspiration pneumonia, and 1.720 [1.559-1.897] for hip fracture. Meanwhile, the attribute risk differences were 2.7, 1.5, and 1.0 per 1000 patient-years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Although daily use of hypnotics increased the risk of three events, their attribute risk differences were fewer than 3.0 per 1000 patient-years. The results will help provide guidance on whether it is reasonable to prescribe hypnotics to geriatric population aged 75 or older leading independent lives in the community. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN-CTR UMIN000048398.

Characteristics of Postoperative Heart Failure in Older Hip Fractures Patients Combined with Coronary Heart Disease and Construction of a Prediction Model of Nomogram, a Retrospective Cohort Study.

Introduction: Older patients combined with coronary heart disease (CHD) develop acute heart failure (AHF) after hip fracture surgery is common, and this study aimed to investigate the risk factors of postoperative AHF in older hip fracture patients and to construct a nomogram prediction model. Methods: We retrospectively collected older hip fracture patients with CHD who underwent hip fracture surgery at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2017 to December 2021. We divided them into a training set and a validation set. We collected the demographic data, laboratory indicators and imaging examination results. We identified risk factors for postoperative AHF and used R language software to establish a nomogram prediction model, plot ROC curves, calibration curves and DCA decision curves. Results: We retrospectively collected 1288 older hip fractures patients with CHD. After excluding 214 patients who did not meet the criteria, 1074 patients were included in our research and we divided them into the training set and the validation set. In the training set, a total of 346 (42.8%) patients developing postoperative AHF. Through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, we identified the risk factors for postoperative AHF and constructed a nomogram prediction model. The AUC of the prediction model is 0.778. The correction curve shows that the model has good consistency. The decision curve analysis shows that the model has good clinical practicality. Conclusion: There were 42.8% older patients combined with CHD develop postoperative AHF. Among them, fracture type, age, anemia at admission, combined with COPD, ASA ≥ 3, and preoperative waiting time >3 days are risk factors for postoperative AHF. We constructed a nomogram prediction model that can effectively predict the risk of postoperative AHF in older hip fracture patients combined with CHD.

Risk factors for hospital-acquired pneumonia in hip fracture patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to comprehensively assess the prevalence and risk factors for Hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) in hip fracture patients by meta-analysis. METHODS: Systematically searched 4 English databases and 4 Chinese databases from inception until October 20, 2022. All studies involving risk factors of HAP in patients with hip fractures will be considered. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the quality of the included studies. The results were presented through Review Manager 5.4 with the pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval. RESULTS: Of 35 articles included in this study, the incidence of HAP was 8.9%. 43 risk factors for HAP were initially included, 23 were eventually involved in the meta-analysis, and 21 risk factors were significant. Among them, the 4 most frequently mentioned risk factors were as follows: Advanced age (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.05-1.10), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR 3.44, 95% CI 2.83-4.19), time from injury to operation (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.07-1.12), time from injury to operation ≥ 48 hours (OR 3.59, 95% CI 2.88-4.48), and hypoalbuminemia < 3.5g/dL (OR 2.68, 95% CI 2.15-3.36). DISCUSSION: Hip fracture patients diagnosed with COPD have a 3.44 times higher risk of HAP compared to the general hip fracture patients. The risk of HAP also increases with age, with patients over 70 having a 2.34-fold higher risk and those over 80 having a 2.98-fold higher risk. These findings highlight the need for tailored preventive measures and timely interventions in vulnerable patient populations. Additionally, hip fracture patients who wait more than 48 hours for surgery have a 3.59-fold higher incidence of HAP. This emphasizes the importance of swift surgical intervention to minimize HAP risk. However, there are limitations to consider in this study, such as heterogeneity in selected studies, inclusion of only factors identified through multivariate logistic regression, and the focus on non-randomized controlled trial studies.

Balancing fracture risk versus risk of mortality before fracture among women aged 80 years or older.

BACKGROUND: Most fractures occur in women aged ≥80 years but competing mortality unrelated to fracture may limit the benefit of osteoporosis drug therapy for some women in late life. Our primary aim was to develop separate prediction models for non-spine fracture (NSF) and mortality before fracture to identify subsets of women with varying fracture versus mortality risks. METHODS: Separate prediction models were developed for NSF and mortality before NSF for 4895 women aged ≥80 years enrolled in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF) or the Health Aging and Body Composition (HABC) study. Proportional hazards models modified to account for competing mortality were used to identify candidate risk factors for each outcome. Predictors associated with NSF or mortality (p < 0.2) were included in separate competing risk models to estimate the cumulative incidence of NSF and mortality before NSF during 5 years of follow-up. This process was repeated to develop separate prediction models for hip fracture and mortality before hip fracture. RESULTS: Significant predictors of NSF (race, total hip BMD, grip strength, prior fracture, falls, and use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, benzodiazepines, or oral/transdermal estrogen) differed from predictors of mortality before NSF (age, walking speed, multimorbidity, weight change, shrinking, smoking, self-rated health, dementia, and use of warfarin). Within nine subsets of women defined by tertiles of risk, 5-year outcomes varied from 28% NSF and 8% mortality in the high-risk NSF/low-risk mortality subset, to 9% NSF and 22% mortality in the low-risk NSF/high-risk mortality subset. Similar results were seen for predictors of hip fracture and mortality before hip fracture. CONCLUSION: Considerable variation in 5-year competing mortality risk is present among women in late life with similar 5-year NSF risk. Both fracture risk and life expectancy should inform shared clinical decision-making regarding initiation or continuation of osteoporosis drug therapy for women aged ≥80 years.

Fragility Fracture Network-Japan: The challenge of establishment of a national hip fracture database and successful achievement of nationwide health system change for hip fracture care in Japan.

BACKGROUND: In April 2022, a new reimbursement scheme for hip fracture was implemented by the Japanese health ministry. Japan is one of the world's most aged societies, facing a significant, rapidly growing burden of osteoporosis and fragility fractures. The incidence of hip fractures is projected to increase from 240,000 in 2020 to 320,000 by 2040. In 2015, Fragility Fracture Network-Japan (FFN-Japan) was formally established as a nonprofit organization in order to create the optimal fragility fracture care system in Japan. METHODS: FFN-Japan launched the Japan National Hip Fracture Database (JNHFD) in 2017, initially with only eight participating hospitals across Japan. The number of patients enrolled from May 2017 to the end of 2020 in the JNHFD from the 16 hospitals registered the patients during this period with amounting to 4271 patients in total. FFN-Japan invited officials from the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLW) to participate in round table meetings to discuss the data collected in the JNHFD and to consider opportunities for nationwide improvement in hip fracture care. RESULTS: The proportion of patients who underwent surgery within 36 h of arrival at hospital was 48.1% in 2018, 58.6% in 2019, and 44.9% in 2020 indicating the delay of surgery. Regarding secondary fracture prevention, initiation of osteoporosis treatment during the in-patients was 60.2% in 2018, 54.0% in 2019, and 64.5% in 2020 indicating the inadequate post fracture care. In April 2022, the Central Social Insurance Medical Council of the Japanese MHLW announced a new reimbursement scheme for hip fracture care including two key components: Early surgery (within 48 h from injury) and Secondary fracture prevention immediately after fracture. DISCUSSION: The new reimbursement scheme of hip fracture care in Japan will catalyze and underpin major improvements on acute multidisciplinary care and post-fracture care with secondary fracture prevention. FFN-Japan played a key role on these policy changes to the health system by means the close collaboration and ongoing communication with the government. CONCLUSION: Within five years of establishment of the JNHFD, FFN-Japan in collaboration with visionary leaders from the Japanese government have successfully achieved a major reform of the Japanese health system's reimbursement of hip fracture care. This reform has laid the foundation for transformation of management of this debilitating and life-threatening injury that currently afflicts almost a quarter of a million older Japanese citizens each year.