RESUMEN
Most pneumococcal disease occurs among infants and older adults and is thought to be driven by the transmission of Streptococcus pneumoniae from young children to these vulnerable age groups. However, pneumococcal disease outbreaks also affect non-elderly adults living or working in congregate, close-contact settings. Little is known about pneumococcal carriage in such populations. From July to November 2020, we collected saliva from low-income adult farmworkers in Monterey County, California, and tested for pneumococcal carriage following culture enrichment via quantitative PCR assays targeting the pneumococcal lytA and piaB genes. Participants were considered to carry pneumococci if lytA and piaB cycle threshold values were both below 40. Among 1,283 participants enrolled in our study, 117 (9.1%) carried pneumococci. Carriers tended more often than non-carriers to be exposed to children aged <5 years [odds ratio (OR) = 1.45 (0.95-2.20)] and overcrowding [OR = 1.48 (0.96-2.30) and 2.84 (1.20-6.73), respectively, for participants in households with >2-4 and >4 persons per bedroom vs ≤2 persons per bedroom]. Household overcrowding remained associated with increased risk of carriage among participants not exposed to children aged <5 years [OR = 2.05 (1.18-3.59) for participants living in households with >2 vs ≤2 persons per bedroom]. Exposure to children aged <5 years and overcrowding were each associated with increased pneumococcal density among carriers [piaB cT difference of 2.04 (0.36-3.73) and 2.44 (0.80-4.11), respectively]. While exposure to young children was a predictor of pneumococcal carriage, associations of overcrowding with increased prevalence and density of carriage in households without young children suggest that transmission also occurs among adults in close-contact settings.IMPORTANCEAlthough infants and older adults are the groups most commonly affected by pneumococcal disease, outbreaks are known to occur among healthy, working-age populations exposed to overcrowding, including miners, shipyard workers, military recruits, and prisoners. Carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae is the precursor to pneumococcal disease, and its relation to overcrowding in adult populations is poorly understood. We used molecular methods to characterize pneumococcal carriage in culture-enriched saliva samples from low-income adult farmworkers in Monterey County, CA. While exposure to children in the household was an important risk factor for pneumococcal carriage, living in an overcrowded household without young children was an independent predictor of carriage as well. Moreover, participants exposed to children or overcrowding carried pneumococci at higher density than those without such exposures, suggesting recent transmission. Our findings suggest that, in addition to transmission from young children, pneumococcal transmission may occur independently among adults in overcrowded settings.
Asunto(s)
Portador Sano , Aglomeración , Infecciones Neumocócicas , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Humanos , Streptococcus pneumoniae/aislamiento & purificación , Streptococcus pneumoniae/genética , Adulto , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/microbiología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/transmisión , Masculino , Femenino , Portador Sano/epidemiología , Portador Sano/microbiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , California/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Adulto Joven , Saliva/microbiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/microbiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisiónRESUMEN
The spread of viral respiratory infections is intricately linked to human interactions, and this relationship can be characterized and modelled using social contact data. However, many analyses tend to overlook the recurrent nature of these contacts. To bridge this gap, we undertake the task of describing individuals' contact patterns over time by characterizing the interactions made with distinct individuals during a week. Moreover, we gauge the implications of this temporal reconstruction on disease transmission by juxtaposing it with the assumption of random mixing over time. This involves the development of an age-structured individual-based model, using social contact data from a pre-pandemic scenario (the POLYMOD study) and a pandemic setting (the Belgian CoMix study), respectively. We found that accounting for the frequency of contacts impacts the number of new, distinct, contacts, revealing a lower total count than a naive approach, where contact repetition is neglected. As a consequence, failing to account for the repetition of contacts can result in an underestimation of the transmission probability given a contact, potentially leading to inaccurate conclusions when using mathematical models for disease control. We, therefore, underscore the necessity of acknowledging contact repetition when formulating effective public health strategies.
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Pandemias , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , COVID-19/epidemiología , Bélgica/epidemiología , Adulto , Trazado de Contacto , Modelos Teóricos , Adolescente , Niño , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Adulto Joven , Masculino , Preescolar , FemeninoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has necessitated significant changes in medical systems, social behaviours, and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). We aimed to determine the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on changes in the epidemiology of respiratory-transmitted bacteria that have been unexplored. METHODS: We utilised a comprehensive national surveillance database from 2018 to 2021 to compare monthly number of patients with four respiratory-transmitted human-to-human bacteria (Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Moraxella catarrhalis, and Streptococcus pyogenes) before and after the COVID-19 pandemic, stratified by specimen sources and age groups. RESULTS: The incidence of detected patients with S. pneumoniae, H. influenzae, and S. pyogenes from both respiratory and blood cultures significantly decreased from 2019 to 2020. In 2021, the incidence of detected patients with the respiratory-transmitted bacterial species, except for S. pyogenes, from respiratory cultures, increased again from April to July, primarily affecting the 0-4-year age group. CONCLUSIONS: Our comprehensive national surveillance data analysis demonstrates the dynamic changes and effects of NPIs on respiratory-transmitted bacteria during the COVID-19 pandemic, with variations observed among species, specimen sources, and age groups.
Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , SARS-CoV-2 , Streptococcus pyogenes , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , Preescolar , Lactante , Niño , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/microbiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Adulto , Streptococcus pyogenes/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Persona de Mediana Edad , Haemophilus influenzae/aislamiento & purificación , Incidencia , Recién Nacido , Streptococcus pneumoniae/aislamiento & purificación , Adulto Joven , Anciano , Moraxella catarrhalis/aislamiento & purificación , Masculino , Femenino , Infecciones Bacterianas/epidemiología , Infecciones Bacterianas/transmisión , PandemiasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, new evidence-based strategies have emerged for reducing transmission of respiratory infections through management of indoor air. OBJECTIVES: This paper reviews critical advances that could reduce the burden of disease from inhaled pathogens and describes challenges in their implementation. DISCUSSION: Proven strategies include assuring sufficient ventilation, air cleaning by filtration, and air disinfection by germicidal ultraviolet (UV) light. Layered intervention strategies are needed to maximize risk reduction. Case studies demonstrate how to implement these tools while also revealing barriers to implementation. Future needs include standards designed with infection resilience and equity in mind, buildings optimized for infection resilience among other drivers, new approaches and technologies to improve ventilation, scientific consensus on the amount of ventilation needed to achieve a desired level of risk, methods for evaluating new air-cleaning technologies, studies of their long-term health effects, workforce training on ventilation systems, easier access to federal funds, demonstration projects in schools, and communication with the public about the importance of indoor air quality and actions people can take to improve it. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13878.
Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire Interior , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Ventilación , COVID-19/transmisión , COVID-19/prevención & control , Humanos , Contaminación del Aire Interior/prevención & control , Ventilación/métodos , Microbiología del Aire , Desinfección/métodos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisiónRESUMEN
We analyzed data from a community-based acute respiratory illness study involving K-12 students and their families in southcentral Wisconsin and assessed household transmission of two common seasonal respiratory viruses - human metapneumovirus (HMPV) and human coronaviruses OC43 and HKU1 (HCOV). We found secondary infection rates of 12.2% (95% CI: 8.1%-17.4%) and 19.2% (95% CI: 13.8%-25.7%) for HMPV and HCOV, respectively. We performed individual- and family-level regression models and found that HMPV transmission was positively associated age of the index case (individual model: p = .016; family model: p = .004) and HCOV transmission was positively associated with household density (family model: p = .048). We also found that the age of the non-index case was negatively associated with transmission of both HMPV (individual model: p = .049) and HCOV (individual model: p = .041), but we attributed this to selection bias from the original study design. Understanding household transmission of common respiratory viruses like HMPV and HCOV may help to broaden our understanding of the overall disease burden and establish methods to prevent the spread of disease from low- to high-risk populations.
Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus , Composición Familiar , Metapneumovirus , Infecciones por Paramyxoviridae , Humanos , Infecciones por Paramyxoviridae/transmisión , Infecciones por Paramyxoviridae/epidemiología , Wisconsin/epidemiología , Femenino , Adulto Joven , Masculino , Infecciones por Coronavirus/transmisión , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Adulto , Adolescente , Niño , Coronavirus , Estaciones del Año , Persona de Mediana Edad , Preescolar , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virologíaRESUMEN
SUMMARYThis narrative review and meta-analysis summarizes a broad evidence base on the benefits-and also the practicalities, disbenefits, harms and personal, sociocultural and environmental impacts-of masks and masking. Our synthesis of evidence from over 100 published reviews and selected primary studies, including re-analyzing contested meta-analyses of key clinical trials, produced seven key findings. First, there is strong and consistent evidence for airborne transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and other respiratory pathogens. Second, masks are, if correctly and consistently worn, effective in reducing transmission of respiratory diseases and show a dose-response effect. Third, respirators are significantly more effective than medical or cloth masks. Fourth, mask mandates are, overall, effective in reducing community transmission of respiratory pathogens. Fifth, masks are important sociocultural symbols; non-adherence to masking is sometimes linked to political and ideological beliefs and to widely circulated mis- or disinformation. Sixth, while there is much evidence that masks are not generally harmful to the general population, masking may be relatively contraindicated in individuals with certain medical conditions, who may require exemption. Furthermore, certain groups (notably D/deaf people) are disadvantaged when others are masked. Finally, there are risks to the environment from single-use masks and respirators. We propose an agenda for future research, including improved characterization of the situations in which masking should be recommended or mandated; attention to comfort and acceptability; generalized and disability-focused communication support in settings where masks are worn; and development and testing of novel materials and designs for improved filtration, breathability, and environmental impact.
Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Máscaras , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/transmisión , Dispositivos de Protección Respiratoria/normasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Human contact patterns are a key determinant driving the spread of respiratory infectious diseases. However, the relationship between contact patterns and seasonality as well as their possible association with the seasonality of respiratory diseases is yet to be clarified. METHODS: We investigated the association between temperature and human contact patterns using data collected through a cross-sectional diary-based contact survey in Shanghai, China, between December 24, 2017, and May 30, 2018. We then developed a compartmental model of influenza transmission informed by the derived seasonal trends in the number of contacts and validated it against A(H1N1)pdm09 influenza data collected in Shanghai during the same period. RESULTS: We identified a significant inverse relationship between the number of contacts and the seasonal temperature trend defined as a spline interpolation of temperature data (p = 0.003). We estimated an average of 16.4 (95% PrI: 15.1-17.5) contacts per day in December 2017 that increased to an average of 17.6 contacts (95% PrI: 16.5-19.3) in January 2018 and then declined to an average of 10.3 (95% PrI: 9.4-10.8) in May 2018. Estimates of influenza incidence obtained by the compartmental model comply with the observed epidemiological data. The reproduction number was estimated to increase from 1.24 (95% CI: 1.21-1.27) in December to a peak of 1.34 (95% CI: 1.31-1.37) in January. The estimated median infection attack rate at the end of the season was 27.4% (95% CI: 23.7-30.5%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support a relationship between temperature and contact patterns, which can contribute to deepen the understanding of the relationship between social interactions and the epidemiology of respiratory infectious diseases.
Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , China/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Temperatura , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven , Adolescente , Incidencia , NiñoRESUMEN
We proposed that the pharynx, as a common organ of the respiratory and digestive tracts, may be a respiratory and digestive tract cross cryptic transmission pathway for 2019-nCoV infection from the nasal cavities to the pharynx and lung, then to nasal cavities by aerosol (respiratory route) to the pharynx and the gastrointestinal tract, then to the oral cavity by feces (fecal-oral route) and to pharynx, lungs, or gastrointestinal tract.
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COVID-19 , Faringe , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/transmisión , Faringe/virología , Infección Hospitalaria/transmisión , Tracto Gastrointestinal/virología , Heces/virología , Heces/microbiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virologíaAsunto(s)
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/terapia , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Estados Unidos , Virus , Aislamiento de Pacientes , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodosRESUMEN
We estimated the extent of respiratory virus transmission over three pre-COVID-19 seasons. Of 16,273 assays, 22.9% (3,726) detected ≥1 respiratory virus. The frequency of putatively hospital-acquired infection ranged from 6.9% (influenza A/B) to 24.7% (adenovirus). The 176 clusters were most commonly associated with rhinovirus/enterovirus (70) and influenza A/B (62).
Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Incidencia , Infección Hospitalaria/transmisión , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/virología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Gripe Humana/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The global spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has emphasized the need for evidence-based strategies for the safe operation of schools during pandemics that balance infection risk with the society's responsibility of allowing children to attend school. Due to limited empirical data, existing analyses assessing school-based interventions in pandemic situations often impose strong assumptions, for example, on the relationship between class size and transmission risk, which could bias the estimated effect of interventions, such as split classes and staggered attendance. To fill this gap in school outbreak studies, we parameterized an individual-based model that accounts for heterogeneous contact rates within and between classes and grades to a multischool outbreak data of influenza. We then simulated school outbreaks of respiratory infectious diseases of ongoing threat (i.e., COVID-19) and potential threat (i.e., pandemic influenza) under a variety of interventions (changing class structures, symptom screening, regular testing, cohorting, and responsive class closures). Our results suggest that interventions changing class structures (e.g., reduced class sizes) may not be effective in reducing the risk of major school outbreaks upon introduction of a case and that other precautionary measures (e.g., screening and isolation) need to be employed. Class-level closures in response to detection of a case were also suggested to be effective in reducing the size of an outbreak.
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Brotes de Enfermedades , Pandemias , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Instituciones Académicas , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/transmisión , Niño , Simulación por Computador , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Humanos , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Pandemias/prevención & control , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisiónAsunto(s)
Microbiología del Aire , Aerosoles y Gotitas Respiratorias , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Virosis , Tos , Humanos , Concentración de Iones de Hidrógeno , Aerosoles y Gotitas Respiratorias/virología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Virosis/transmisiónRESUMEN
Accurate measurements of the size and quantity of aerosols generated by various human activities in different environments are required for efficacious mitigation strategies and accurate modeling of respiratory disease transmission. Previous studies of speech droplets, using standard aerosol instrumentation, reported very few particles larger than 5 µm. This starkly contrasts with the abundance of such particles seen in both historical slide deposition measurements and more recent light scattering observations. We have reconciled this discrepancy by developing an alternative experimental approach that addresses complications arising from nucleated condensation. Measurements reveal that a large volume fraction of speech-generated aerosol has diameters in the 5- to 20-µm range, making them sufficiently small to remain airborne for minutes, not hours. This coarse aerosol is too large to penetrate the lower respiratory tract directly, and its relevance to disease transmission is consistent with the vast majority of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections initiating in the upper respiratory tract. Our measurements suggest that in the absence of symptoms such as coughing or sneezing, the importance of speech-generated aerosol in the transmission of respiratory diseases is far greater than generally recognized.
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Aerosoles y Gotitas Respiratorias , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Habla , COVID-19/transmisión , Humanos , Tamaño de la Partícula , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , SARS-CoV-2 , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
We aimed to analyze the number and type of contacts involving the risk of respiratory disease transmission during football match play. We analysed 50 matches from different playing levels. Two reviewers evaluated the contacts of all players in each match. We focused on between-player contacts, crowding, actions with potentially increased aerosol and droplet production and within-player hand-to-head contacts. We categorized the duels with direct contact into frontal and other ones and measured contact duration. The number of between-player contacts were similar between playing levels (median 28.3 [IQR 22.6, 33] contacts per player-hour). Frontal contacts summed up to 8% of all contacts. Contacts involving the head occurred less than once per player and match with none lasting longer than 3 s. Crowding included between two and six players and the duration was mostly less than 10 s. Aerosol and droplet producing activities were three to four times more frequent in adult compared to youth players. Our results suggest that the risk of respiratory pathogen transmission is low during football matches. This conclusion is based on the finding that most close contact situations are of short duration and on the fact that it is an outdoor sport.
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Atletas , Trazado de Contacto/métodos , Fútbol Americano , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Grabación de Cinta de Video/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Niño , Aglomeración , Humanos , Masculino , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
To explain the observed phenomenon that most SARS-CoV-2 transmission occurs indoors whereas its outdoor transmission is rare, a simple macroscopic aerosol balance model is developed to link short- and long-range airborne transmission. The model considers the involvement of exhaled droplets with initial diameter ≤50 µm in the short-range airborne route, whereas only a fraction of these droplets with an initial diameter within 15 µm or equivalently a final diameter within 5 µm considered in the long-range airborne route. One surprising finding is that the room ventilation rate significantly affects the short-range airborne route, in contrast to traditional belief. When the ventilation rate in a room is insufficient, the airborne infection risks due to both short- and long-range transmission are high. A ventilation rate of 10 L/s per person provides a similar concentration vs distance decay profile to that in outdoor settings, which provides additional justification for the widely adopted ventilation standard of 10 L/s per person. The newly obtained data do not support the basic assumption in the existing ventilation standard ASHRAE 62.1 (2019) that the required people outdoor air rate is constant if the standard is used directly for respiratory infection control. Instead, it is necessary to increase the ventilation rate when the physical distance between people is less than approximately 2 m.
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Microbiología del Aire , Contaminación del Aire Interior , COVID-19 , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Ventilación , Aerosoles , COVID-19/transmisión , Humanos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
Health care-acquired viral respiratory infections are common and cause increased patient morbidity and mortality. Although the threat of viral respiratory infection has been underscored by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, respiratory viruses have a significant impact in health care settings even under normal circumstances. Studies report decreased nosocomial transmission when aggressive infection control measures are implemented, with more success noted when using a multicomponent approach. Influenza vaccination of health care personnel furthers decrease rates of transmission; thus, mandatory vaccination is becoming more common. This article discusses the epidemiology, transmission, and control of health care-associated respiratory viral infections.
Asunto(s)
Infección Hospitalaria/prevención & control , Infección Hospitalaria/virología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/prevención & control , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/transmisión , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/transmisión , Adhesión a Directriz , Personal de Salud/normas , Humanos , Control de Infecciones/normas , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidad , Vacunación , Virus/clasificación , Virus/patogenicidadRESUMEN
Policies to prevent respiratory virus transmission in health care settings have traditionally divided organisms into Droplet versus Airborne categories. Droplet organisms (for example, influenza) are said to be transmitted via large respiratory secretions that rapidly fall to the ground within 1 to 2 meters and are adequately blocked by surgical masks. Airborne pathogens (for example, measles), by contrast, are transmitted by aerosols that are small enough and light enough to carry beyond 2 meters and to penetrate the gaps between masks and faces; health care workers are advised to wear N95 respirators and to place these patients in negative-pressure rooms. Respirators and negative-pressure rooms are also recommended when caring for patients with influenza or SARS-CoV-2 who are undergoing "aerosol-generating procedures," such as intubation. An increasing body of evidence, however, questions this framework. People routinely emit respiratory particles in a range of sizes, but most are aerosols, and most procedures do not generate meaningfully more aerosols than ordinary breathing, and far fewer than coughing, exercise, or labored breathing. Most transmission nonetheless occurs at close range because virus-laden aerosols are most concentrated at the source; they then diffuse and dilute with distance, making long-distance transmission rare in well-ventilated spaces. The primary risk factors for nosocomial transmission are community incidence rates, viral load, symptoms, proximity, duration of exposure, and poor ventilation. Failure to appreciate these factors may lead to underappreciation of some risks (for example, overestimation of the protection provided by medical masks, insufficient attention to ventilation) or misallocation of limited resources (for example, reserving N95 respirators and negative-pressure rooms only for aerosol-generating procedures or requiring negative-pressure rooms for all patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection regardless of stage of illness). Enhanced understanding of the factors governing respiratory pathogen transmission may inform the development of more effective policies to prevent nosocomial transmission of respiratory pathogens.
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Control de Infecciones/métodos , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/transmisión , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/virología , Aerosoles , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/transmisión , COVID-19/virología , Infección Hospitalaria/prevención & control , Infección Hospitalaria/virología , Política de Salud , Humanos , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa de Paciente a Profesional/prevención & control , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Gripe Humana/transmisión , Gripe Humana/virología , Máscaras , Personal de Hospital , SARS-CoV-2 , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , VentilaciónRESUMEN
Schools play a central role in the transmission of many respiratory infections. Heterogeneous social contact patterns associated with the social structures of schools (i.e., classes/grades) are likely to influence the within-school transmission dynamics, but data-driven evidence on fine-scale transmission patterns between students has been limited. Using a mathematical model, we analyzed a large-scale dataset of seasonal influenza outbreaks in Matsumoto city, Japan, to infer social interactions within and between classes/grades from observed transmission patterns. While the relative contribution of within-class and within-grade transmissions to the reproduction number varied with the number of classes per grade, the overall within-school reproduction number, which determines the initial growth of cases and the risk of sustained transmission, was only minimally associated with class sizes and the number of classes per grade. This finding suggests that interventions that change the size and number of classes, e.g., splitting classes and staggered attendance, may have a limited effect on the control of school outbreaks. We also found that vaccination and mask-wearing of students were associated with reduced susceptibility (vaccination and mask-wearing) and infectiousness (mask-wearing), and hand washing was associated with increased susceptibility. Our results show how analysis of fine-grained transmission patterns between students can improve understanding of within-school disease dynamics and provide insights into the relative impact of different approaches to outbreak control.