Predicting bladder cancer survival with high accuracy: insights from MAPK pathway-related genes.

The mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway plays a critical role in tumor development and immunotherapy. Nevertheless, additional research is necessary to comprehend the relationship between the MAPK pathway and the prognosis of bladder cancer (BLCA), as well as its influence on the tumor immune microenvironment. To create prognostic models, we screened ten genes associated with the MAPK pathway using COX and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. These models were validated in the Genomic Data Commons (GEO) cohort and further examined for immune infiltration, somatic mutation, and drug sensitivity characteristics. Finally, the findings were validated using The Human Protein Atlas (HPA) database and through Quantitative Real-time PCR (qRT-PCR). Patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups based on the prognosis-related genes of the MAPK pathway. The high-risk group had poorer overall survival than the low-risk group and showed increased immune infiltration compared to the low-risk group. Additionally, the nomograms built using the risk scores and clinical factors exhibited high accuracy in predicting the survival of BLCA patients. The prognostic profiling of MAPK pathway-associated genes represents a potent clinical prediction tool, serving as the foundation for precise clinical treatment of BLCA.

An association study of m6A methylation with major depressive disorder.

OBJECTIVE: To find the relationship between N6-methyladenosine (m6A) genes and Major Depressive Disorder (MDD). METHODS: Differential expression of m6A associated genes between normal and MDD samples was initially identified. Subsequent analysis was conducted on the functions of these genes and the pathways they may affect. A diagnostic model was constructed using the expression matrix of these differential genes, and visualized using a nomogram. Simultaneously, an unsupervised classification method was employed to classify all patients based on the expression of these m6A associated genes. Following this, common differential genes among different clusters were computed. By analyzing the functions of the common differential expressed genes among clusters, the role of m6A-related genes in the pathogenesis of MDD patients was elucidated. RESULTS: Differential expression was observed in ELAVL1 and YTHDC2 between the MDD group and the control group. ELAVL1 was associated with comorbid anxiety in MDD patients. A linear regression model based on these two genes could accurately predict whether patients in the GSE98793 dataset had MDD and could provide a net benefit for clinical decision-making. Based on the expression matrix of ELAVL1 and YTHDC2, MDD patients were classified into three clusters. Among these clusters, there were 937 common differential genes. Enrichment analysis was also performed on these genes. The ssGSEA method was applied to predict the content of 23 immune cells in the GSE98793 dataset samples. The relationship between these immune cells and ELAVL1, YTHDC2, and different clusters was analyzed. CONCLUSION: Among all the m6A genes, ELAVL1 and YTHDC2 are closely associated with MDD, ELAVL1 is related to comorbid anxiety in MDD. ELAVL1 and YTHDC2 have opposite associations with immune cells in MDD.

Correlation Between Basal Metabolic Rate and Clinical Outcomes in Gastric Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Study.

OBJECTIVES: Hypermetabolism is associated with clinical prognosis of cancer patients. The aim of this study was to explore the association between basal metabolic rate (BMR) and postoperative clinical outcomes in gastric cancer patients. METHODS: We collected data of 958 gastric cancer patients admitted at our center from June 2014 to December 2018. The optimal cutoff value of BMR (BMR ≤1149 kcal/day) was obtained using the X-tile plot. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were then performed to evaluate the relevant influencing factors of clinical outcomes. Finally, R software was utilized to construct the nomogram. RESULTS: A total of 213 patients were defined as having a lower basal metabolic rate (LBMR). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that gastric cancer patients with LBMR were more prone to postoperative complications and had poor long-term overall survival (OS). The established nomogram had good predictive power to assess the risk of OS in gastric cancer patients after radical gastrectomy (c-index was 0.764). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, LBMR on admission is associated with the occurrence of postoperative complications in gastric cancer patients, and this population has a poorer long-term survival. Therefore, there should be more focus on the perioperative management of patients with this risk factor before surgery.

Prognostic nomogram in middle-aged and elderly patients with chordoma: A SEER-based study.

BACKGROUND: Chordoma is a bone tumor that tends to occur in middle-aged and elderly people. It grows relatively slowly but is aggressive. The prognosis of middle-aged and elderly patients with chordoma is quite different from that of young patients with chordoma. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of the research was to construct a nomogram to predict the Individualized prognosis of middle-aged and elderly (age greater than or equal to 40 years) patients with chordoma. METHODS: In this study, we screened 658 patients diagnosed with chordoma from 1983 to 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We determined the independently prognostic factors that affect the survival of patients by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. Based on the independent prognostic factors, we constructed a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) rates of middle-aged and elderly patients with chordoma at 3 and 5 years. The validation of this nomogram was completed by evaluating the calibration curve and the C-index. RESULTS: We screened a total of 658 patients and divided them into two cohort. Training cohort had 462 samples and validation cohort had 196 samples. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model of the training group showed an association of age, tumor size, histology, primary site, surgery, and extent of disease with OS rates. Based on these results, we constructed the corresponding nomogram. The calibration curve and C-index showed the satisfactory ability of the nomogram in terms of predictive ability. CONCLUSION: Nomogram can be an effective prognostic tool to assess the prognosis of middle-aged and elderly patients with chordoma and can help clinicians in medical decision-making and enable patients to receive more accurate and reasonable treatment.

A Prediction Model for Prolonged Hospital Length of Stay (ProLOS) in Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Patients.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an acute respiratory infectious disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). With the normalization of COVID-19 globally, it is crucial to construct a prediction model that enables clinicians to identify patients at risk for ProLOS based on demographics and serum inflammatory biomarkers. METHODS: The study included hospitalized patients with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19. These patients were randomly grouped into a training (80%) and a test (20%) cohort. The LASSO regression and ten-fold cross-validation method were applied to filter variables. The training cohort utilized multifactorial logistic regression analyses to identify the independent factors of ProLOS in COVID-19 patients. A 4-variable nomogram was created for clinical use. ROC curves were plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the model's discrimination; calibration analysis was planned to assess the validity of the nomogram, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical usefulness of the model. RESULTS: The results showed that among 310 patients with COVID-19, 80 had extended hospitalization (80/310). Four independent risk factors for COVID-19 patients were identified: age, coexisting chronic respiratory diseases, white blood cell count (WBC), and serum albumin (ALB). A nomogram based on these variables was created. The AUC in the training cohort was 0.808 (95% CI: 0.75 - 0.8671), and the AUC in the test cohort was 0.815 (95% CI: 0.7031 - 0.9282). The model demonstrates good calibration and can be used with threshold probabilities ranging from 0% to 100% to obtain clinical net benefits. CONCLUSIONS: A predictive model has been created to accurately predict whether the hospitalization duration of COVID-19 patients will be prolonged. This model incorporates serum WBC, ALB levels, age, and the presence of chronic respiratory system diseases.

A nomogram based on nutritional and inflammatory parameters to predict DMFS and identify beneficiaries of adjuvant chemotherapy in IVA-stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop a nomogram integrating inflammation (NLR), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and EBV DNA (tumor burden) to achieve personalized treatment and prediction for stage IVA NPC. Furthermore, it endeavors to pinpoint specific subgroups that may derive significant benefits from S-1 adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: A total of 834 patients diagnosed with stage IVA NPC were enrolled in this study and randomly allocated into training and validation cohorts. Multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to identify independent prognostic factors for constructing the nomogram. The predictive and clinical utility of the nomogram was assessed through measures including the AUC, calibration curve, DCA, and C-indexes. IPTW was employed to balance baseline characteristics across the population. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank tests were utilized to evaluate the prognostic value. RESULTS: In our study, we examined the clinical features of 557 individuals from the training cohort and 277 from the validation cohort. The median follow-up period was 50.1 and 49.7 months, respectively. For the overall cohort, the median follow-up duration was 53.8 months. The training and validation sets showed 3-year OS rates of 87.7% and 82.5%, respectively. Meanwhile, the 3-year DMFS rates were 95.9% and 84.3%, respectively. We created a nomogram that combined PNI, NRI, and EBV DNA, resulting in high prediction accuracy. Risk stratification demonstrated substantial variations in DMFS and OS between the high and low risk groups. Patients in the high-risk group benefited significantly from the IC + CCRT + S-1 treatment. In contrast, IC + CCRT demonstrated non-inferior 3-year DMFS and OS compared to IC + CCRT + S-1 in the low-risk population, indicating the possibility of reducing treatment intensity. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our nomogram integrating NLR, PNI, and EBV DNA offers precise prognostication for stage IVA NPC. S-1 adjuvant chemotherapy provides notable benefits for high-risk patients, while treatment intensity reduction may be feasible for low-risk individuals.

Triglyceride-inflammation score established on account of random survival forest for predicting survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a retrospective study.

Objective: This study aimed to establish an effective prognostic model based on triglyceride and inflammatory markers, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Additionally, we aimed to explore the interaction and mediation between these biomarkers in their association with OS. Methods: A retrospective review was conducted on 259 NPC patients who had blood lipid markers, including triglyceride and total cholesterol, as well as parameters of peripheral blood cells measured before treatment. These patients were followed up for over 5 years, and randomly divided into a training set (n=155) and a validation set (n=104). The triglyceride-inflammation (TI) score was developed using the random survival forest (RSF) algorithm. Subsequently, a nomogram was created. The performance of the prognostic model was measured by the concordance index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The interaction and mediation between the biomarkers were further analyzed. Bioinformatics analysis based on the GEO dataset was used to investigate the association between triglyceride metabolism and immune cell infiltration. Results: The C-index of the TI score was 0.806 in the training set, 0.759 in the validation set, and 0.808 in the entire set. The area under the curve of time-dependent ROC of TI score in predicting survival at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.741, 0.847, and 0.871 respectively in the training set, and 0.811, 0.837, and 0.758 in the validation set, then 0.771, 0.848, and 0.862 in the entire set, suggesting that TI score had excellent performance in predicting OS in NPC patients. Patients with stage T1-T2 or M0 had significantly lower TI scores, NLR, and PLR, and higher LMR compared to those with stage T3-T3 or M1, respectively. The nomogram, which integrated age, sex, clinical stage, and TI score, demonstrated good clinical usefulness and predictive ability, as evaluated by the DCA. Significant interactions were found between triglyceride and NLR and platelet, but triglyceride did not exhibit any medicating effects in the inflammatory markers. Additionally, NPC tissues with active triglyceride synthesis exhibited high immune cell infiltration. Conclusion: The TI score based on RSF represents a potential prognostic factor for NPC patients, offering convenience and economic advantages. The interaction between triglyceride and NLR may be attributed to the effect of triglyceride metabolism on immune response.

Multi-institutional validation of a radiomics signature for identification of postoperative progression of soft tissue sarcoma.

BACKGROUND: To develop a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics signature for evaluating the risk of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) disease progression. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 335 patients with STS (training, validation, and The Cancer Imaging Archive sets, n = 168, n = 123, and n = 44, respectively) who underwent surgical resection. Regions of interest were manually delineated using two MRI sequences. Among 12 machine learning-predicted signatures, the best signature was selected, and its prediction score was inputted into Cox regression analysis to build the radiomics signature. A nomogram was created by combining the radiomics signature with a clinical model constructed using MRI and clinical features. Progression-free survival was analyzed in all patients. We assessed performance and clinical utility of the models with reference to the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, area under the curve, concordance index, integrated Brier score, decision curve analysis. RESULTS: For the combined features subset, the minimum redundancy maximum relevance-least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression algorithm + decision tree classifier had the best prediction performance. The radiomics signature based on the optimal machine learning-predicted signature, and built using Cox regression analysis, had greater prognostic capability and lower error than the nomogram and clinical model (concordance index, 0.758 and 0.812; area under the curve, 0.724 and 0.757; integrated Brier score, 0.080 and 0.143, in the validation and The Cancer Imaging Archive sets, respectively). The optimal cutoff was - 0.03 and cumulative risk rates were calculated. DATA CONCLUSION: To assess the risk of STS progression, the radiomics signature may have better prognostic power than a nomogram/clinical model.

Development and assessment of an RNA editing-based risk model for the prognosis of cervical cancer patients.

RNA editing, as an epigenetic mechanism, exhibits a strong correlation with the occurrence and development of cancers. Nevertheless, few studies have been conducted to investigate the impact of RNA editing on cervical squamous cell carcinoma and endocervical adenocarcinoma (CESC). In order to study the connection between RNA editing and CESC patients' prognoses, we obtained CESC-related information from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and randomly allocated the patients into the training group or testing group. An RNA editing-based risk model for CESC patients was established by Cox regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). According to the median score generated by this RNA editing-based risk model, patients were categorized into subgroups with high and low risks. We further constructed the nomogram by risk scores and clinical characteristics and analyzed the impact of RNA editing levels on host gene expression levels and adenosine deaminase acting on RNA. Finally, we also compared the biological functions and pathways of differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between different subgroups by enrichment analysis. In this risk model, we screened out 6 RNA editing sites with significant prognostic value. The constructed nomogram performed well in forecasting patients' prognoses. Furthermore, the level of RNA editing at the prognostic site exhibited a strong correlation with host gene expression. In the high-risk subgroup, we observed multiple biological functions and pathways associated with immune response, cell proliferation, and tumor progression. This study establishes an RNA editing-based risk model that helps forecast patients' prognoses and offers a new understanding of the underlying mechanism of RNA editing in CESC.

Six-gene prognostic signature for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease susceptibility using machine learning.

BACKGROUND: nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common liver disease affecting the global population and its impact on human health will continue to increase. Genetic susceptibility is an important factor influencing its onset and progression, and there is a lack of reliable methods to predict the susceptibility of normal populations to NAFLD using appropriate genes. METHODS: RNA sequencing data relating to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease was analyzed using the "limma" package within the R software. Differentially expressed genes were obtained through preliminary intersection screening. Core genes were analyzed and obtained by establishing and comparing 4 machine learning models, then a prediction model for NAFLD was constructed. The effectiveness of the model was then evaluated, and its applicability and reliability verified. Finally, we conducted further gene correlation analysis, analysis of biological function and analysis of immune infiltration. RESULTS: By comparing 4 machine learning algorithms, we identified SVM as the optimal model, with the first 6 genes (CD247, S100A9, CSF3R, DIP2C, OXCT 2 and PRAMEF16) as predictive genes. The nomogram was found to have good reliability and effectiveness. Six genes' receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) suggest an essential role in NAFLD pathogenesis, and they exhibit a high predictive value. Further analysis of immunology demonstrated that these 6 genes were closely connected to various immune cells and pathways. CONCLUSION: This study has successfully constructed an advanced and reliable prediction model based on 6 diagnostic gene markers to predict the susceptibility of normal populations to NAFLD, while also providing insights for potential targeted therapies.

A nomogram based on the SII3 and clinical indicators predicts survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with PD-1 inhibitors.

Numerous inflammatory indicators have been demonstrated to be strongly correlated with tumor prognosis. However, the association between inflammatory indicators and the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) receiving treatment with programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) immunosuppressant monoclonal antibodies remains uncertain. Inflammatory indicators in peripheral blood were collected from 161 NPC patients at 3 weeks after initial PD-1 treatment. Through univariate and multivariate analyses, as well as nomogram and survival analyses, we aimed to identify independent prognostic factors related to 1-year progression-free survival (PFS). Subsequently, a prognostic nomogram was devised, and its predictive and discriminating abilities were assessed utilizing calibration curves and the concordance index. Our univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that age (P = .012), M stage (P < .001), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) during the third week following initial PD-1 treatment (SII3, P = .005) were independently correlated with the 1-year PFS of NPC patients after PD-1 treatment. Notably, we constructed a novel nomogram based on the SII3, age, and M stage. Importantly, utilizing the derived cutoff point from the nomogram, the high-risk group exhibited significantly shorter PFS than did the low-risk group (P < .001). Furthermore, the nomogram demonstrated a greater concordance index for PFS than did the tumor node metastasis stage within the entire cohort. We successfully developed a nomogram that integrates the SII3 and clinical markers to accurately predict the 1-year PFS of NPC patients receiving PD-1 inhibitor treatment.

A predictive nomogram for short-term outcomes of myasthenia gravis patients treated with low-dose rituximab.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to establish and validate a predictive nomogram for the short-term clinical outcomes of myasthenia gravis (MG) patients treated with low-dose rituximab. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 108 patients who received rituximab of 600 mg every 6 months in Huashan Hospital and Tangdu Hospital. Of them, 76 patients from Huashan Hospital were included in the derivation cohort to develop the predictive nomogram, which was externally validated using 32 patients from Tangdu Hospital. The clinical response is defined as a ≥ 3 points decrease in QMG score within 6 months. Both clinical and genetic characteristics were included to screen predictors via multivariate logistic regression. Discrimination and calibration were measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. RESULTS: Disease duration (OR = 0.987, p = 0.032), positive anti-muscle-specific tyrosine kinase antibodies (OR = 19.8, p = 0.007), and genotypes in FCGR2A rs1801274 (AG: OR = 0.131, p = 0.024;GG:OR = 0.037, p = 0.010) were independently associated with clinical response of post-rituximab patients. The nomogram identified MG patients with clinical response with an AUC-ROC (95% CI) of 0.875 (0.798-0.952) in the derivation cohort and 0.741(0.501-0.982) in the validation cohort. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed a good calibration (derivation: Chi-square = 3.181, p = 0.923; validation: Chi-square = 8.098, p = 0.424). CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram achieved an optimal prediction of short-term outcomes in patients treated with low-dose rituximab.

Development and validation of a risk nomogram model for predicting peripheral neuropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Objective: Diabetic peripheral neuropathy frequently occurs and presents severely in individuals suffering from type 2 diabetes mellitus, representing a significant complication. The objective of this research was to develop a risk nomogram for DPN, ensuring its internal validity and evaluating its capacity to predict the condition. Methods: In this retrospective analysis, Suqian First Hospital's cohort from January 2021 to June 2022 encompassed 397 individuals diagnosed with T2DM. A random number table method was utilized to allocate these patients into two groups for training and validation, following a 7:3 ratio. By applying univariate and multivariable logistic regression, predictive factors were refined to construct the nomogram. The model's prediction accuracy was assessed through metrics like the ROC area, HL test, and an analysis of the calibration curve. DCA further appraised the clinical applicability of the model. Emphasis was also placed on internal validation to confirm the model's dependability and consistency. Results: Out of 36 evaluated clinicopathological characteristics, a set of four, duration, TBIL, TG, and DPVD, were identified as key variables for constructing the predictive nomogram. The model exhibited robust discriminatory power, evidenced by an AUC of 0.771 (95% CI: 0.714-0.828) in the training cohort and an AUC of 0.754 (95% CI: 0.663-0.845) in the validation group. The congruence of the model's predictions with actual findings was corroborated by the calibration curve. Furthermore, DCA affirmed the clinical value of the model in predicting DPN. Conclusion: This research introduces an innovative risk nomogram designed for the prediction of diabetic peripheral neuropathy in individuals suffering from type 2 diabetes mellitus. It offers a valuable resource for healthcare professionals to pinpoint those at elevated risk of developing this complication. As a functional instrument, it stands as a viable option for the prognostication of DPN in clinical settings.

Prediction of Subsequent Vertebral Fracture After Acute Osteoporotic Fractures from Clinical and Paraspinal Muscle Features.

To construct a nomogram based on clinical factors and paraspinal muscle features to predict vertebral fractures occurring after acute osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF). We retrospectively enrolled 307 patients with acute OVCF between January 2013 and August 2022, and performed magnetic resonance imaging of the L3/4 and L4/5 intervertebral discs (IVDs) to estimate the cross-sectional area (CSA) and degree of fatty infiltration (FI) of the paraspinal muscles. We also collected clinical and radiographic data. We used univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to identify factors that should be included in the predictive nomogram. Post-OVCF vertebral fracture occurred within 3, 12, and 24 months in 33, 69, and 98 out of the 307 patients (10.8%, 22.5%, and 31.9%, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that this event was associated with percutaneous vertebroplasty treatment, higher FI at the L3/4 IVD levels of the psoas muscle, and lower relative CSA of functional muscle at the L4/5 IVD levels of the multifidus muscle. Area under the curve values for subsequent vertebral fracture at 3, 12, and 24 months were 0.711, 0.724, and 0.737, respectively, indicating remarkable accuracy of the nomogram. We developed a model for predicting post-OVCF vertebral fracture from diagnostic information about prescribed treatment, FI at the L3/4 IVD levels of the psoas muscle, and relative CSA of functional muscle at the L4/5 IVD levels of the multifidus muscle. This model could facilitate personalized predictions and preventive strategies.

The use of longitudinal CT-based radiomics and clinicopathological features predicts the pathological complete response of metastasized axillary lymph nodes in breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Accurate assessment of axillary status after neoadjuvant therapy for breast cancer patients with axillary lymph node metastasis is important for the selection of appropriate subsequent axillary treatment decisions. Our objectives were to accurately predict whether the breast cancer patients with axillary lymph node metastases could achieve axillary pathological complete response (pCR). METHODS: We collected imaging data to extract longitudinal CT image features before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), analyzed the correlation between radiomics and clinicopathological features, and developed models to predict whether patients with axillary lymph node metastasis can achieve axillary pCR after NAC. The clinical utility of the models was determined via decision curve analysis (DCA). Subgroup analyses were also performed. Then, a nomogram was developed based on the model with the best predictive efficiency and clinical utility and was validated using the calibration plots. RESULTS: A total of 549 breast cancer patients with metastasized axillary lymph nodes were enrolled in this study. 42 independent radiomics features were selected from LASSO regression to construct a logistic regression model with clinicopathological features (LR radiomics-clinical combined model). The AUC of the LR radiomics-clinical combined model prediction performance was 0.861 in the training set and 0.891 in the testing set. For the HR + /HER2 - , HER2 + , and Triple negative subtype, the LR radiomics-clinical combined model yields the best prediction AUCs of 0.756, 0.812, and 0.928 in training sets, and AUCs of 0.757, 0.777 and 0.838 in testing sets, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of radiomics features and clinicopathological characteristics can effectively predict axillary pCR status in NAC breast cancer patients.

Construction and Validation of a Nomogram to Predict the Postoperative Venous Thromboembolism Risk in Patients with HGSOC.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common complication in patients with high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) after surgery. This study aims to establish a comprehensive risk assessment model to better identify the potential risk of postoperative VTE in HGSOC. Clinical data from 587 HGSOC patients who underwent surgical treatment were retrospectively collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent factors influencing the occurrence of postoperative VTE in HGSOC. A nomogram model was constructed in the training set and further validated in the verification set. Logistic regression identified age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.063, P = .002), tumor size (OR = 3.815, P < .001), postoperative transfusion (OR = 5.646, P = .001), and postoperative D-dimer (OR = 1.246, P = .003) as independent risk factors for postoperative VTE in HGSOC patients. A nomogram was constructed using these factors. The receiver operating characteristic curve showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.840 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.782, 0.898) in the training set and 0.793 (95% CI: 0.704, 0.882) in the validation set. The calibration curve demonstrated a good consistency between model predictions and actual results. The decision curve analysis indicated the model benefits at a threshold probability of less than 70%. A nomogram predicting postoperative VTE in HGSOC was established and validated. This model will assist clinicians in the early identification of high-risk patients, enabling the implementation of appropriate preventive measures.

Novel inflammatory and insulin resistance indices provide a clue in cerebral amyloid angiopathy.

This study investigated the correlation of newly identified inflammatory and insulin resistance indices with cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA), and explored their potential to differentiate CAA from hypertensive arteriopathy (HA). We retrospectively analyzed 514 consecutive patients with cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD)-related haemorrhage, comparing the differences in novel inflammatory and insulin resistance indices between patients with CAA and HA. Univariate regression, LASSO and multivariate regression were used to screen variables and construct a classification diagnosis nomogram. Additionally, these biomarkers were explored in patients with mixed haemorrhagic CSVD. Inflammatory indices were higher in CAA patients, whereas insulin resistance indices were higher in HA patients. Further analysis identified neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR, OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.07-1.30, P < 0.001), and triglyceride-glucose index (TyG, OR = 0.56, 95% CI 0.36-0.83, P = 0.005) as independent factors for CAA. Therefore, we constructed a CAA prediction nomogram without haemorrhagic imaging markers. The nomogram yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.811 (95% CI 0.764-0.865) in the training set and 0.830 (95% CI 0.718-0.887) in the test set, indicating an ability to identify high-risk CAA patients. These results show that CSVD patients can be phenotyped using novel inflammatory and insulin resistance indices, potentially allowing identification of high-risk CAA patients without haemorrhagic imaging markers.

Evaluating nomogram models for predicting survival outcomes in gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors with SEER database analysis.

Gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) predominantly develop in the stomach. While nomogram offer tremendous therapeutic promise, there is yet no ideal nomogram comparison customized specifically for handling categorical data and model selection related gastric GISTs. (1) We selected 5463 patients with gastric GISTs from the SEER Research Plus database spanning from 2000 to 2020; (2) We proposed an advanced missing data imputation algorithm specifically designed for categorical variables; (3) We constructed five Cox nomogram models, each employing distinct methods for the selection and modeling of categorical variables, including Cox (Two-Stage), Lasso-Cox, Ridge-Cox, Elastic Net-Cox, and Cox With Lasso; (4) We conducted a comprehensive comparison of both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) tasks at six different time points; (5) To ensure robustness, we performed 50 randomized splits for each task, maintaining a 7:3 ratio between the training and test cohorts with no discernible statistical differences. Among the five models, the Cox (Two-Stage) nomogram contains the fewest features. Notably, at Near-term, Mid-term, and Long-term intervals, the Cox (Two-Stage) model attains the highest Area Under the Curve (AUC), top-1 ratio, and top-3 ratio in both OS and CSS tasks. For the prediction of survival in patients with gastric GISTs, the Cox (Two-Stage) nomogram stands as a simple, stable, and accurate predictive model with substantial promise for clinical application. To enhance the clinical utility and accessibility of our findings, we have deployed the nomogram model online, allowing healthcare professionals and researchers worldwide to access and utilize this predictive tool.

Clinicopathological features, prognostic factor analysis, and survival nomogram of patients with double primary cancers involving lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Although the incidence of double primary cancers (DPCs) involving lung cancer is rising, they have not been studied sufficiently. This study retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological and prognostic characteristics of DPC patients with lung cancer and developed a survival nomogram to predict the individual OS rates. METHODS: We included 103 DPC patients with lung cancer from Shengjing Hospital between 2016 and 2021. Based on the 6-month cancer occurrence interval, the cases were categorized as synchronous DPCs (sDPCs) or metachronous DPCs (mDPCs). Furthermore, the mDPCs were subdivided based on whether the lung cancer occurred first (LCF cohort) or the other cancer occurred first (OCF cohort). RESULTS: Among the patients, 35 (33.98%) and 68 (66.02%) had sDPCs and mDPCs, respectively. In the mDPCs cohort, 18 (26.47%) belonged to the LCF cohort and 50 (73.53%) to the OCF cohort. The most frequent primary cancer sites were the breast (27.18%), colorectum (22.33%), and urinary system (18.45%). Independent risk factors for progression-free survival were Stage IV lung cancer (p = 0.008) and failure to undergo radical lung cancer surgery (p = 0.028). The risk factors for OS included squamous carcinoma (p = 0.048), Stage IV lung cancer (p = 0.001), single cancer resection plus drug therapy (p < 0.001), drug therapy alone (p = 0.002), failure to undergo radical lung cancer surgery (p = 0.014), and chemotherapy (p = 0.042). The median OS was 37 months, with 3- and 5-year rates of 50.9% and 35.9%, respectively. CONCLUSION: DPCs involving lung cancer account for 1.11% of cases. The breast, colorectum, and urinary system were the most common extra-pulmonary sites, and mDPCs were more frequent than sDPCs. Radical lung cancer surgery significantly affects prognosis, and drug therapy alone may be preferable when only one tumor is operable. The developed nomogram can accurately predict individual 3-year and 5-year OS rates.

Prediction of new vertebral compression fracture within 3 years after percutaneous vertebroplasty for osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture: Establishment and validation of a nomogram prediction model.

New vertebral compression fractures (NVCF) are common in patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCF) who have undergone percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP). We sought to develop a nomogram prediction model for better identification and prevention of NVCF within 3 years after PVP in patients with OVCF. The demographic, clinical, and imaging data of patients who underwent PVP for OVCF between January 2010 and December 2019 were reviewed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors for NVCF within 3 years after PVP. A nomogram prediction model was then developed and validated to visually predict NVCF. The samples in the model were randomly divided into training and validation sets at a ratio of 7:3. Twenty-seven percent of patients experienced NVCF in other segments within 3 years after PVP. Older age, lower bone mineral density (BMD), smoking, lack of anti-osteoporosis therapy, and postoperative trauma were risk factors for NVCF. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve suggested good discrimination of this model: training set (0.781, 95% confidence interval: 0.731-0.831) and validation set (0.786, 95% confidence interval: 0.708-0.863). The calibration curve suggested good prediction accuracy between the actual and predicted probabilities in the training and validation sets. The DCA results suggested that, when the probability thresholds were 0.0452-08394 and 0.0336-0.7262 in the training and validation set, respectively, patients can benefit from using this model to predict NVCF within 3 years after PVP. In conclusion, this nomogram prediction model that included five risk factors (older age, lower BMD, smoking, postoperative minor trauma, and lack of anti-osteoporosis treatment can effectively predict NVCF within 3 years after PVP. Postoperative smoking cessation, standard anti-osteoporosis treatment, and reduction in incidental minor trauma are necessary and effective means of reducing the incidence of NVCF.