Prognostic value of pre-treatment risk stratification and post-treatment neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio change for pembrolizumab in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Pembrolizumab is effective in a limited number of patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC). Therefore, we evaluated the prognostic value of clinical biomarkers following pembrolizumab treatment in patients with advanced UC. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 121 patients with platinum-refractory advanced UC who received pembrolizumab. Inflammation-based prognostic scores before and 6 weeks after the treatment were recorded. The categorical variables influencing overall survival (OS) and objective response rate (ORR) were analyzed. RESULTS: Multivariate analyses showed that pretreatment Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance score (PS), presence of only lymph node metastasis (only LN mets), C-reactive protein (CRP), and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were independent prognostic factors for OS (P = 0.0077; RR = 2.42, P = 0.0049; RR = 0.36, P = 0.0047; RR = 2.53, and P = 0.0079; RR = 2.33, respectively). The pretreatment risk stratification using ECOG PS, only LN mets, CRP, and NLR was used for estimating the OS (P < 0.0001) and ORR (P < 0.0001). Furthermore, changes in NLR in response to pembrolizumab were significantly associated with the OS (P = 0.0002) and ORR (P = 0.0023). This change was also significantly correlated with OS even in the high-risk group stratified by this pretreatment risk stratification (P = 0.0069). CONCLUSIONS: This pretreatment risk stratification may be used for estimating the OS and ORR of patients with advanced UC treated with pembrolizumab. If changes in NLR in response to pembrolizumab treatment improve, pembrolizumab should be continued.