Development and validation of a deep learning signature for predicting lymphovascular invasion and survival outcomes in clinical stage IA lung adenocarcinoma: A multicenter retrospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) influences the management and outcomes of patients with clinical stage IA lung adenocarcinoma. The objective was the development of a deep learning (DL) signature for the prediction of LVI and stratification of prognosis. METHODS: A total of 2077 patients from three centers were retrospectively enrolled and divided into a training set (n = 1515), an internal validation set (n = 381), and an external set (n = 181). A -three-dimensional residual neural network was used to extract the DL signature and three models, namely, the clinical, DL, and combined models, were developed. Diagnostic efficiency was assessed by ROC curves and AUC values. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were conducted to evaluate links between various factors and disease-free survival. RESULTS: The DL model could effectively predict LVI, shown by AUC values of 0.72 (95 %CI 0.68-0.76) and 0.63 (0.54-0.73) in the internal and external validation sets, respectively. The incorporation of DL signature and clinical-radiological factors increased the AUC to 0.74 (0.71-0.78) and 0.77 (0.70-0.84) in comparison with the DL and clinical models (AUC of 0.71 [0.68-0.75], 0.71 [0.61-0.81]) in the internal and external validation sets, respectively. Pathologic LVI, LVI predicted by both DL and combined models were associated with unfavorable prognosis (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The effectiveness of the DL signature in the diagnosis of LVI and prognosis prediction in patients with clinical stage IA lung adenocarcinoma was demonstrated. These findings suggest the potential of the model in clinical decision-making.