Liver Fibrosis Scores as Predictors of Blood-Culture-Positive and Sepsis in Patients with Klebsiella pneumoniae Liver Abscess.

ABSTRACT

Objective: Klebsiella pneumoniae liver abscess (KPLA) is an invasive infectious disease with a considerable prevalence and complications. This study aimed to determine the predicted value of aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) for positive blood cultures and sepsis in patients with KPLA. Methods: We evaluated 248 consecutive participants diagnosed with KPLA. Demographic characteristics, clinical features, and laboratory test results of the participants were recorded. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were conducted to evaluate the discriminatory ability of APRI and FIB-4. Results: 30.2% (75 of 248) KPLA patients presented with positive blood cultures, and 70 (28.2%) developed sepsis. Among the positive blood culture and sepsis groups, the APRI and FIB-4 showed statistically significant increases. Multivariate analysis showed that APRI (odds ratio [OR] = 1.190, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.051-1.347, p = 0.006) and FIB-4 (OR = 1.110, 95% CI 1.046-1.179, p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for positive blood cultures. Both APRI (OR = 1.505, 95% CI 1.149-1.988, p = 0.004) and FIB-4 (OR = 1.187, 95% CI 1.054-1.336, p = 0.005) were independent risk factors for sepsis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of APRI and FIB-4 for predicting positive blood cultures of KPLA was 0.783 and 0.766, respectively. APRI had an AUC of 0.801, with a sensitivity and specificity of 71.4% and 81.5%, respectively, for predicting sepsis in patients with KPLA, and the prediction performance of APRI was better than that of FIB-4 (AUC = 0.798). Conclusion: In our study, APRI and FIB-4 are effective methods for predicting KPLA patients with positive blood cultures and sepsis.