Diagnostic prediction models for CT-confirmed and bacterial rhinosinusitis in primary care: individual participant data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Antibiotics are overused in patients with acute rhinosinusitis (ARS) as it is difficult to identify those who benefit from antibiotic treatment. AIM: To develop prediction models for computed tomography (CT)-confirmed ARS and culture-confirmed acute bacterial rhinosinusitis (ABRS) in adults presenting to primary care with symptoms suggestive of ARS. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis. METHOD: CT-confirmed ARS was defined as the presence of fluid level or total opacification in any maxillary sinuses, whereas culture-confirmed ABRS was defined by culture of fluid from antral puncture. Prediction models were derived using logistic regression modelling. RESULTS: Among 426 patients from three studies, 140 patients (32.9%) had CT-confirmed ARS. A model consisting of seven variables: previous diagnosis of ARS, preceding upper respiratory tract infection, anosmia, double sickening, purulent nasal discharge on examination, need for antibiotics as judged by a physician, and C-reactive protein (CRP) showed an optimism-corrected c-statistic of 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.69 to 0.78) and a calibration slope of 0.99 (95% CI = 0.72 to 1.19). Among 225 patients from two studies, 68 patients (30.2%) had culture-confirmed ABRS. A model consisting of three variables: pain in teeth, purulent nasal discharge, and CRP showed an optimism-corrected c-statistic of 0.70 (95% CI = 0.63 to 0.77) and a calibration slope of 1.00 (95% CI = 0.66 to 1.52). Clinical utility analysis showed that both models could be useful to rule out the target condition. CONCLUSION: Simple prediction models for CT-confirmed ARS and culture-confirmed ABRS can be useful to safely reduce antibiotic use in adults with ARS in high-prescribing countries.

Diagnostic accuracy of history and physical examination in bacterial acute rhinosinusitis.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS: To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of symptoms, the symptom progression pattern, and clinical signs in identifying bacterial acute rhinosinusitis (ARS). STUDY DESIGN: We conducted an inception cohort study among 50 military recruits with ARS. METHODS: We collected symptoms daily from the onset of symptoms to approximately 10 days. At 9 to 10 days, standardized data on symptoms and physical findings were gathered. A positive culture of maxillary sinus aspirate was considered to be the reference standard for bacterial ARS. RESULTS: At 9 to 10 days, the presence or deterioration after 5 days of any of the symptoms could not be used to diagnose bacterial ARS. Toothache had an adequate positive likelihood ratio (positive likelihood ratio [LR+] 4.4) but was too rare to be used for screening. In contrast, several physical findings at 9 to 10 days were of more diagnostic use and frequent enough for screening. Moderate or profuse (vs. none/minimal) amount of secretion in nasal passage seen in anterior rhinoscopy satisfactorily either ruled in, if present (LR+ 3.2), or ruled out, if absent (negative likelihood ratio 0.2), bacterial ARS. If any secretion was seen in the posterior pharynx or middle meatus, the probability of bacterial ARS increased markedly (LR+ 5.3 and LR+ 11.0, respectively). CONCLUSION: We found symptoms or their change to be of little use in identifying bacterial ARS. In contrast, we observed several clinical findings after 9 to 10 days of symptoms to predict bacterial ARS quite accurately.

The association of cleft severity and cleft palate repair technique on hearing outcomes in children in northern Finland.

BACKGROUND: The consequences of cleft lip and palate include scaring, dental malformations, tooth misalignment, speech problems, and hearing loss. Otitis media with effusion causing hearing loss is a problem for many cleft palate patients. METHODS: This study examines the association among cleft severity, palate repair technique, and hearing outcomes in children from northern Finland with clefts, aged 3-9 years. The study included 90 cleft patients who were treated at the Oulu University Hospital Cleft Lip and Palate Center between 1998 and 2011. The severity of the cleft, the surgical technique used to repair the palate, audiogram configuration data, and the need for ventilation tube placement were determined retrospectively from patient records. RESULTS: Only 3.3% of cleft patients had an abnormal pure tone average hearing threshold representing abnormal hearing. Neither the surgical technique used to repair the cleft palate nor the severity of the cleft was a significant factor related to hearing loss or to the number of ventilation tubes required. Hearing improved significantly with increasing age over a span of 6 years. CONCLUSIONS: Continuous follow-up with proactive placement of ventilation tubes before or at the time of palatoplasty results in hearing outcomes in cleft children that are similar to those reported in non-cleft children.