A Predictive Model for Root Caries Incidence.

This study aimed to find the set of risk indicators best able to predict root caries (RC) incidence in caries-active adults utilizing data from the Xylitol for Adult Caries Trial (X-ACT). Five logistic regression models were compared with respect to their predictive performance for incident RC using data from placebo-control participants with exposed root surfaces at baseline and from two study centers with ancillary data collection (n = 155). Prediction performance was assessed from baseline variables and after including ancillary variables [smoking, diet, use of removable partial dentures (RPD), toothbrush use, income, education, and dental insurance]. A sensitivity analysis added treatment to the models for both the control and treatment participants (n = 301) to predict RC for the control participants. Forty-nine percent of the control participants had incident RC. The model including the number of follow-up years at risk, the number of root surfaces at risk, RC index, gender, race, age, and smoking resulted in the best prediction performance, having the highest AUC and lowest Brier score. The sensitivity analysis supported the primary analysis and gave slightly better performance summary measures. The set of risk indicators best able to predict RC incidence included an increased number of root surfaces at risk and increased RC index at baseline, followed by white race and nonsmoking, which were strong nonsignificant predictors. Gender, age, and increased number of follow-up years at risk, while included in the model, were also not statistically significant. The inclusion of health, diet, RPD use, toothbrush use, income, education, and dental insurance variables did not improve the prediction performance.

Methods dentists use to diagnose primary caries lesions prior to restorative treatment: Findings from The Dental PBRN.

OBJECTIVE: To (1) quantify the diagnostic techniques used by Dental Practice-Based Research Network (DPBRN) dentists before they decide to treat primary caries lesions surgically and (2) examine whether certain dentist, practice, and patient characteristics are associated with their use. METHODS: A total of 228 DPBRN dentists recorded information on 5,676 consecutive restorations inserted due to primary caries lesions on 3,751 patients. Practitioner-investigators placed a mean of 24.9 (SD = 12.4) restorations. Lesions were categorized as posterior proximal, anterior proximal, posterior occiusal, posterior smooth, or anterior smooth. Techniques used to diagnose the lesion were categorized as clinical assessment, radiographs, and/or optical. Statistical analysis utilized generalized mixed-model ANOVA to account for the hierarchical structure of the data. RESULTS: By lesion category, the diagnostic technique combinations used most frequently were clinical assessment plus radiographs for posterior proximal (47%), clinical assessment for anterior proximal (51%), clinical assessment for posterior occlusal (46%), clinical assessment for posterior smooth (77%), and clinical assessment for anterior smooth (80%). Diagnostic technique was significantly associated with lesion category after adjusting for clustering in dentists (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: These results--obtained during actual clinical procedures rather than from questionnaire-based hypothetical scenarios--quantified the diagnostic techniques most commonly used during the actual delivery of routine restorative care. Diagnostic technique varied by lesion category and with certain practice and patient characteristics.

Risk indicators for the presence and extent of root caries among caries-active adults enrolled in the Xylitol for Adult Caries Trial (X-ACT).

OBJECTIVE: This paper uses baseline data from a randomized clinical trial to evaluate cross-sectional indicators of root caries in caries-active adults. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adults (21-80 years) having at least 12 erupted teeth and between one and ten caries lesions were enrolled. Participants (n = 437) received caries exams by trained, calibrated examiners and responded to baseline demographic and medical-dental questionnaires. We examined associations between baseline characteristics and (1) the presence of any root caries using Mantel-Haenszel hypothesis tests and odds ratio (OR) estimators and (2) the number of root surfaces with caries among study participants with exposed root surfaces (n = 349) using Mantel-Haenszel mean score tests and Mann-Whitney estimators. RESULTS/CONCLUSIONS: Adjusting for study site and age, male gender [OR, 1.72; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.08, 2.78], white race (OR, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.43, 3.98), recent dental visit (OR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.07, 3.66), poor self-described oral health (OR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.10, 6.39), and recent professional fluoride treatment (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.06, 3.25) were significantly associated with increased odds to have any root caries, and study participants with exposed root surfaces characterized by male gender [Mann-Whitney probability estimate (MW) = 0.57; 95% CI, 0.51, 0.63), white race (MW, 0.61; 0.55, 0.68), recent dental visit (MW, 0.58; 0.50, 0.67), poor self-described oral health (MW, 0.61; 0.53, 0.69), and flossing at least once per day (MW, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.51, 0.62) were significantly more likely to have a greater number of root surfaces with caries than a randomly selected study participant from their respective complementary subgroups (female gender, non-white, etc.). CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Our findings may help identify individuals at higher root caries risk.

Examiner training and reliability in two randomized clinical trials of adult dental caries.

OBJECTIVES: This report describes the training of dental examiners participating in two dental caries clinical trials and reports the inter- and intra-examiner reliability scores from the initial standardization sessions. METHODS: Study examiners were trained to use a modified International Caries Detection and Assessment System II system to detect the visual signs of non-cavitated and cavitated dental caries in adult subjects. Dental caries was classified as no caries (S), non-cavitated caries (D1), enamel caries (D2), and dentine caries (D3). Three standardization sessions involving 60 subjects and 3,604 tooth surface calls were used to calculate several measures of examiner reliability. RESULTS: The prevalence of dental caries observed in the standardization sessions ranged from 1.4 percent to 13.5 percent of the coronal tooth surfaces examined. Overall agreement between pairs of examiners ranged from 0.88 to 0.99. An intra-class coefficient threshold of 0.60 was surpassed for all but one examiner. Inter-examiner unweighted kappa values were low (0.23-0.35), but weighted kappas and the ratio of observed to maximum kappas were more encouraging (0.42-0.83). The highest kappa values occurred for the S/D1 versus D2/D3 two-level classification of dental caries, for which seven of the eight examiners achieved observed to maximum kappa values over 0.90. Intra-examiner reliability was notably higher than inter-examiner reliability for all measures and dental caries classifications employed. CONCLUSION: The methods and results for the initial examiner training and standardization sessions for two large clinical trials are reported. Recommendations for others planning examiner training and standardization sessions are offered.

Four "lessons learned" while implementing a multi-site caries prevention trial.

As the number of dental-related randomized clinical trials (RCTs) increases, there is a need for literature to help investigators inexperienced in conducting RCTs design and implement studies. This commentary describes four "lessons learned" or considerations important in the planning and initial implementation of RCTs in dentistry that, to our knowledge, have not been discussed in the general dental literature describing trial techniques. These considerations are a) preparing or securing a thorough systematic review; b) developing a comprehensive set of study documents; c) designing and testing multiple recruitment strategies; and d) employing a run-in period prior to enrollment. Attention to these considerations in the planning phases of a dental RCT can help ensure that the trial is clinically relevant while also maximizing the likelihood that its implementation will be successful.

Concordance between preoperative and postoperative assessments of primary caries lesion depth: results from the Dental PBRN.

This study investigated the concordance between pre- and postoperative assessments of primary caries lesion depths by dentists from The Dental Practice-Based Research Network (DPBRN; www.DentalPBRN.org). A total of 229 DPBRN dentists collected data on 8,351 consecutive restorations inserted due to primary caries in 5,810 patients. Dentists estimated the preoperative depth of caries lesions based on the diagnostic methods they typically used. The preoperative depth was then compared to the postoperative depth, which dentists determined using actual clinical observation. Both estimated and observed depths were recorded as being in the outer half (E1) or inner half (E2) of enamel, or in the outer third (D1), middle third (D2) or inner third (D3) of dentin. Most restorations were placed to treat lesions that were preoperatively assessed as extending to the D1 (53%) and D2 (25%) depths. Of the restored caries lesions, 10% were preoperatively assessed as being limited to E2 depth and 3% to E1 depth. The majority of the restored enamel lesions were located on occlusal surfaces. Preoperative estimates of caries lesion depth were more concordant with postoperative depths when the lesion was at an advanced stage: 88% concordance at the D3 depth, compared to 54% concordance at the E1 depth. DPBRN dentists can discriminate caries lesions at different depths, but the accuracy of their depth assessments was higher for dentin than for enamel lesions. In general, DPBRN dentists were more likely to underestimate than overestimate the depth of caries lesions, and the extent of underestimation was greater for enamel than for dentin lesions.

Correlation between laser fluorescence readings and volume of tooth preparation in incipient occlusal caries in vitro.

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the correlation between laser fluorescence readings and the extent of incipient occlusal caries as measured by the volume of tooth preparation in vitro. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One hundred and three permanent molars and premolars containing incipient occlusal pit-and-fissure caries and sound occlusal surfaces (1/4 of the sample, control) were selected. DIAGNOdent (KaVo Dental Corporation, Lake Zurich, IL, USA) readings were obtained according to manufacturer instructions. Caries was removed with 1/4 round burs in high speed. The volume of tooth preparation was measured using a surrogate measure based on the amount of composite needed to fill the preparations. Sensitivity and specificity using different cutoff values were calculated for lesions/preparations extending into dentin. The results were analyzed statistically. RESULTS: The Pearson correlation for preparation volume and DIAGNOdent reading measurements was low (r = 0.285). Sensitivity and specificity of DIAGNOdent for detection of dentinal lesions were 0.83 and 0.60, and 0.66 and 0.73 for the cutoff values of 20 and 30, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Within the limitations of this study, laser fluorescence measured with DIAGNOdent does not correlate well with extent of carious tooth structure in incipient occlusal caries. CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE: Clinicians should not rely only on DIAGNOdent readings to determine the extension of incipient occlusal caries.

Design of the xylitol for adult caries trial (X-ACT).

BACKGROUND: Dental caries incidence in adults is similar to that in children and adolescents, but few caries preventive agents have been evaluated for effectiveness in adults populations. In addition, dentists direct fewer preventive services to their adult patients. Xylitol, an over-the-counter sweetener, has shown some potential as a caries preventive agent, but the evidence for its effectiveness is not yet conclusive and is based largely on studies in child populations. METHODS/DESIGN: X-ACT is a three-year, multi-center, placebo controlled, double-blind, randomized clinical trial that tests the effects of daily use of xylitol lozenges versus placebo lozenges on the prevention of adult caries. The trial has randomized 691 participants (ages 21-80) to the two arms. The primary outcome is the increment of cavitated lesions. DISCUSSION: This trial should help resolve the overall issue of the effectiveness of xylitol in preventing caries by contributing evidence with a low risk of bias. Just as importantly, the trial will provide much-needed information about the effectiveness of a promising caries prevention agent in adults. An effective xylitol-based caries prevention intervention would represent an easily disseminated method to extend caries prevention to individuals not receiving caries preventive treatment in the dental office. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.Gov NCT00393055.

Design of the Prevention of Adult Caries Study (PACS): a randomized clinical trial assessing the effect of a chlorhexidine dental coating for the prevention of adult caries.

BACKGROUND: Dental caries is one of the primary causes of tooth loss among adults. It is estimated to affect a majority of Americans aged 55 and older, with a disproportionately higher burden in disadvantaged populations. Although a number of treatments are currently in use for caries prevention in adults, evidence for their efficacy and effectiveness is limited. METHODS/DESIGN: The Prevention of Adult Caries Study (PACS) is a multicenter, placebo-controlled, double-blind, randomized clinical trial of the efficacy of a chlorhexidine (10% w/v) dental coating in preventing adult caries. Participants (n = 983) were recruited from four different dental delivery systems serving four diverse communities, including one American Indian population, and were randomized to receive either chlorhexidine or a placebo treatment. The primary outcome is the net caries increment (including non-cavitated lesions) from baseline to 13 months of follow-up. A cost-effectiveness analysis also will be considered. DISCUSSION: This new dental treatment, if efficacious and approved for use by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), would become a new in-office, anti-microbial agent for the prevention of adult caries in the United States. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00357877.

Dental Decision Simulation (DDSim): Development of a virtual training environment.

PURPOSE: Case-based simulations are powerful training tools that can enhance learning and drive behavior change. This is an overview of the design/development of Dental Decision Simulation (DDSim), a web-based simulation of an electronic dental record (EDR). The purpose was to use DDSim to train dentists to make evidence-based treatment planning decisions consistent with current evidence. This simulated EDR provides case-based information in support of a set of defined evidence-based learning objectives. METHODS: The development of this complex simulation model required coordinated efforts to create several components: identify behavior changes, case authoring mechanism, create virtual patient visits, require users to make treatment plan decisions related to learning objectives, and a feedback mechanism to help users recognize departures from those learning objectives. This simulation was evaluated in a 2-arm, clinic-randomized, controlled pilot study examining the extent to which DDSim changed dentists' planned treatment to conform to evidence-based treatment guidelines relative to change in dentists not exposed to DDSim. Outcomes were measured by comparing preintervention and postintervention patient EDR treatment data. RESULTS: Changes in behavior over time did not favor intervention or control clinics. CONCLUSION: DDSim provides a standardized learning platform that cannot be achieved through the use of live patients. Both live patients and case-based simulations can be used to transfer knowledge and skill development. DDSim offers the advantage of providing a platform for developing treatment planning skills in a low-risk environment. However, further research examining behavior change is needed.

Summary review of the survival of single crowns.

It generally is assumed by both dentists and patients that single crowns last a long time; however, the actual survival experience for crowns is not well-described and few comparisons have been reported in terms of survival for different types of crowns. A review of the literature reveals that while definitions of survival differ, the differences among crown types are relatively small, with all-ceramic posterior crowns demonstrating the poorest survival experience. Generally, 95% of crowns will remain in the mouth for at least five years--or, to use another definition of survival, more than 90% of crowns will not require catastrophic treatment within five years. Longer-term survival is less well-described; according to the literature, survival at 15-20 years ranges from 50-80%. These findings should help dentists and their patients to make informed treatment decisions regarding crowns.

Exploring the contributions of components of caries risk assessment guidelines.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relative contribution of current caries activity, past caries experience, and dentists' subjective assessment of caries risk classifications. METHODS: Administrative data from two dental plans were analyzed to determine dentists' risk classification, as well as current caries activity and previous caries experience at the time of the classification. The performance of these predictors in identifying patients who would experience subsequent caries was then modeled using logistic regression. RESULTS: In both plans, current caries activity alone had relatively low sensitivity and high specificity in identifying patients who would experience subsequent caries. Sensitivity improved, but at the cost of specificity when previous caries experience was included in the models. Further improvement in sensitivity accrued when dentists' subjective assessment was included, but performance was different in the two plans in terms of false-positives. CONCLUSIONS: Consideration of previous caries experience tends to strengthen the predictive power of caries risk assessments. Dentists' subjective assessments also tend to improve sensitivity, but overall accuracy may suffer.

Patient-level and practice-level characteristics associated with receipt of preventive dental services: 48-month incidence.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to: (a) quantify the incidence of preventive dental services [in-office fluoride application and dental cleaning (prophylaxis)]; (b) determine if these services are effectively targeted to patients with the highest need; and (c) quantify the role of practice characteristics and patient-level factors in service receipt. METHODS: A population-based prospective cohort study was conducted with 873 adults who had at least one tooth at baseline, 743 of whom provided 48-month data. In-person interviews and clinical examinations were conducted biennially for 48 months, with 6-monthly telephone interviews in between. Dental records were abstracted afterward, and practices that served participants completed questionnaires. Analysis was limited to persons with at least one dental visit of any type during follow-up (87 percent of the sample). RESULTS: Only 9 percent of the persons received at least one fluoride application; 75 percent received a dental cleaning. Persons with high need were actually less likely to have received preventive services. In multivariable regression analyses, characteristics of the practice in which the subject received care were very strongly related to fluoride receipt, independent of patient-specific characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: One preventive procedure was common; the other was uncommon. However, practices did not effectively target high-risk patients for either procedure. Instead, both services were typically received by persons with the least need for them. These findings are consistent with the conclusion that practitioners greatly influenced the delivery of fluoride services, with substantial contributions also made by patient-level predisposing and enabling factors for both preventive services.

Clinical decision support chairside tools for evidence-based dental practice.

Evidence-based clinical decision support (EB-CDS) tools designed for chairside use, help support the implementation of Evidence-Based Dentistry. EB-CDS tools organize available evidence and risk factors in order to facilitate clinical decision-making as well as to enhance rapid and effective transfer of knowledge to the patient at the point of care. Gingival recession, root exposure, caries, dental sealants, decay prevention and topical fluoride guides are presented and discussed. The Assess-Advise-Decide Approach, described in this article, better enables patients to determine which course of action is in line with their preferences and values.

Influence of 2 caries-detecting devices on clinical decision making and lesion depth for suspicious occlusal lesions: A randomized trial from The National Dental Practice-Based Research Network.

BACKGROUND: A suspicious occlusal carious lesion (SOCL) can be defined as a lesion with no cavitation and no radiographic radiolucency but for which caries is suspected. The authors evaluated whether using a device changed the percentage of SOCLs that were opened surgically and, among those SOCLs that were opened, the proportion that had penetrated into dentin. METHODS: Eighty-two dentists participated. In phase 1 of the study, dentists identified approximately 20 SOCLs, obtained patient consent, and recorded information about the lesion, treatment or treatments, and depth, if opened. Dentists were then randomly assigned into 1 of 3 groups: no device, DIAGNOdent (KaVo), and Spectra (Air Techniques). In phase 2, dentists enrolled approximately 20 additional patients and recorded the same phase 1 information while using the assigned device to help make their treatment decisions. A mixed-model logistic regression was used to determine any differences after randomization in the proportion of lesions opened and, if opened, the proportion of lesions that penetrated into dentin. RESULTS: A total of 1,500 SOCLs were enrolled in each phase. No statistically significant difference was found in the change in proportion of lesions receiving invasive treatment from phase 1 to phase 2 across the 3 groups (P = .33) or in the change in proportion of percentage of opened lesions that extended into dentin (P = .31). CONCLUSION: Caries-detecting devices in the study did not change substantially dentists' decisions to intervene or the accuracy of the intervention decision in predicting lesion penetration into dentin. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: The caries-detecting devices tested may not improve dentists' clinical decision making for SOCLs.

Dentists' decision strategies for suspicious occlusal caries lesions in a National Dental PBRN study.

OBJECTIVE: Case presentations (vignettes) were completed by dentists in the National Dental Practice-Based Research Network study "Decision Aids for the Management of Suspicious Occlusal Caries Lesions (SOCLs)". The objective was to determine dentists' decision strategies for SOCLs. METHODS: 107 dentists viewed a series of 16 vignettes that represented all combinations of 4 clinical cues: color, luster, lesion roughness, and patient-level caries risk. Each vignette included a patient description and a photograph of a tooth presenting the 4 cues. Dentists were asked to decide the likelihood that a suspected lesion extended into dentin. A lens model analysis was used to examine how dentists use these cues in making their decisions. RESULTS: 86% of dentists had a consistent pattern of cue use that defined their decision strategy. On average, 70% of the variance in their decisions was accounted for by their use of the 4 cues. However, there was considerable variability in the individual cues used by each dentist. The percentages of dentists who used the different cues consistently were: luster (58%), color (48%), roughness (36%), and risk (35%). 14% of dentists reliably used only color, 7% used only luster, 4% used only roughness, and 1% used only risk when making SOCL decisions. CONCLUSIONS: The online vignette system suggests that clinical SOCL decision strategies are highly individualized and dentists do not use all cues available to them to make these decisions. CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE: Prior to this study, there has been little evidence about how dentists use these cues (either individually or in combination) when judging the extent of caries progression. Such knowledge would be valuable when designing interventions to help dentists maximize the likelihood of appropriate treatment decisions.

Surface characteristics and lesion depth and activity of suspicious occlusal carious lesions: Findings from The National Dental Practice-Based Research Network.

BACKGROUND: A lesion on an occlusal tooth surface with no cavitation and no radiographic radiolucency but in which caries is suspected owing to surface roughness, opacities, or staining can be defined as a suspicious occlusal carious lesion (SOCL). The authors' objective was to quantify the characteristics of SOCLs and their relationship to lesion depth and activity after these lesions were opened surgically. METHODS: Ninety-three dentists participated in the study. When a consenting patient had an SOCL, information was recorded about the tooth, lesion, treatment provided, and, if the SOCL was opened surgically, its lesion depth. The Rao-Scott cluster-adjusted χ2 test was used to evaluate associations between lesion depth and color, roughness, patient risk, and luster. RESULTS: The authors analyzed 1,593 SOCLs. Lesion color varied from yellow/light brown (40%) to dark brown/black (47%), with 13% other colors. Most (69%) of SOCLs had a rough surface when examined with an explorer. Over one-third of the SOCLs (39%) were treated surgically. Of the 585 surgically treated SOCLs, 61% had dentinal caries. There were statistically significant associations between lesion depth and color (P = .03), luster (P = .04), and roughness (P = .01). The authors classified 52% of the patients as being at elevated caries risk. The authors found no significant associations between lesion depth and patient risk (P = .07). CONCLUSIONS: Although statistically significant, the clinical characteristics studied do not provide accurate guidance for making definitive treatment decisions and result in high rates of false positives. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Given that 39% of the opened lesions did not have dentinal caries or were inactive, evidence-based preventive management is an appropriate alternative to surgical intervention.

Outcomes associated with dentists' risk assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To examine retrospectively the caries-related restorative experience of at-risk individuals who received fluoride-based preventive interventions to determine if the intervention resulted in fewer caries-related procedures. METHODS: Administrative data from two dental health plans were used to determine the relationship between caries risk assessment (CRA) scores, preventive treatment and caries-related treatment procedures. We identified 45 693 adults who were consecutively enrolled for at least 1 year before and 2.5 years after the CRA. Variables representing the number of teeth with any caries-related treatment procedure and receipt of preventive treatment were created. RESULTS: The outcome variable of interest was having at least one tooth with a caries-related procedure in the 2-year follow-up period. In plan A, the recommendation for home-use fluoride was not significantly related to caries-related treatment procedures in the follow-up period for individuals at low, moderate or high risk (P > 0.300). In plan B, application of in-office fluoride was associated with having at least one tooth with a caries-related treatment procedure in the follow-up period (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We found incomplete compliance with guidelines for recommendation or administration of preventive treatment for patients at elevated risk for caries. We were also unable to identify any significant reductions in caries-related procedures for individuals receiving a fluoride intervention, compared with those who did not, when stratified by risk level.

The evidence supporting alternative management strategies for early occlusal caries and suspected occlusal dentinal caries.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the strength of the evidence describing the effectiveness of alternative strategies to the detection and management of early occlusal caries and suspected occlusal dentinal caries. METHODS: Nine detection and intervention decision points were identified as being central to the management of early occlusal caries and suspected occlusal dentinal caries, or suspicious areas. For each decision point, the evidence for effectiveness was assessed, using existing systematic reviews when available, and nonsystematic review methods when necessary. RESULTS: For the 2 detection decisions (early occlusal caries and suspicious areas) the strength of the evidence was weak. Accuracy in detecting early occlusal caries was extremely variable within and across detection methods. Approximately 50% of suspicious areas identified had dentinal caries. The strength of the evidence for effectiveness of nonsurgical approaches for the management of early occlusal caries was weak for all 3 management strategies examined (doing nothing, sealants, remineralization). This evidence suggested that sealants were highly effective, with remineralization reflecting moderate effectiveness. For the management of suspicious areas, the strength of the evidence was still weaker and reflected the same relative effectiveness. For the surgical management strategy for suspicious areas, operative treatment, the evidence was strong and reflected high effectiveness for preventive resin restorations, but no evidence was available for minimally invasive techniques. CONCLUSION: Identification methods for early occlusal caries are not accurate. The strength of the evidence for effectiveness of nonsurgical management strategies for early occlusal caries is at best, weak. The available evidence suggests that sealing both enamel caries and suspected occlusal dentinal caries is the most effective management approach if subsequent maintenance of the sealed surfaces can be assured.

Validation of a simple approach to caries risk assessment.

OBJECTIVE: This study examined the predictive validity of a simple subjective method promoted to dentists for assessing their patients' caries risk. METHODS: Data from two large group practices that have used guideline-assisted caries risk assessment (CRA) for several years were analyzed retrospectively to determine the receipt of caries-related treatment following a CRA. Patient age and receipt of caries preventive treatment subsequent to the CRA were control variables in logistic regressions to determine the likelihood of caries-related treatment for low, moderate, and high risk groups. RESULTS: Among 45,693 individuals in the two plans, those categorized as being at high caries risk were approximately four times as likely to receive any caries-related treatment as those categorized as being at low caries risk. Those categorized as at moderate risk were approximately twice as likely to receive any treatment. In addition, for those at elevated risk who required any treatment, the number of teeth requiring treatment was larger. CONCLUSION: The results of this study provide the first large-scale, generalizable evidence for the validity of dentists' subjective assessment of caries risk.