Predicted effects of treatment for HCV infection vary among European countries.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The dynamics of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, as well as screening practices and access to therapy, vary among European countries. It is important to determine the magnitude of the effects of such differences on incidence and mortality of infection. We compared the dynamics of infection and screening and treatment practices among Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom. We also assessed the effects of treatment with pegylated interferon and additional effects of triple therapy with protease inhibitors. METHODS: We created a country-specific Markov model of HCV progression based on published epidemiologic data (on HCV prevalence, screening, genotype, alcohol consumption among patients, and treatments) and reports of competitive and hepatocellular carcinoma mortality for the 6 countries. The model was used to predict the incidence of HCV-related cirrhosis and its mortality until 2021 for each country. RESULTS: From 2002 to 2011, antiviral therapy reduced the cumulative incidence of cirrhosis by 7.1% and deaths by 3.4% overall. Reductions in incidence and mortality values ranged from 4.0% and 1.9%, respectively, in Italy to 16.3% and 9.0%, respectively, in France. From 2012 to 2021, antiviral treatment of patients with HCV genotype 1 infection that includes protease inhibitor-based triple therapy will reduce the cumulative incidence of cirrhosis by 17.7% and mortality by 9.7% overall. The smallest reduction is predicted for Italy (incidence reduced by 10.1% and mortality by 5.4%) and the highest is for France (reductions of 34.3% and 20.7%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Although HCV infection is treated with the same therapies in different countries, the effects of the therapies on morbidity and mortality vary significantly. In addition to common guidelines that are based on virologic response-guided therapy, there is a need for public health policies based on population-guided therapy.

Salvage transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding: A systematic review with meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) may be used as a salvage treatment in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding. AIM: To synthesize the available evidence on the efficacy of TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding. METHODS: Meta-analysis of trials evaluating TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding, including subgroup analysis to assess the impact of recent changes in the management of variceal bleeding (i.e., the use of Polytetrafluoroethylene-covered TIPS and the availability of pre-emptive TIPS as a first-line treatment for acute variceal bleeding). RESULTS: Twenty-three studies with 1430 patients were included. The pooled estimate rates were 0.33 (95% CI = 0.29-0.37) for death at 1 month-6 weeks, 0.46 (95% CI = 0.40-0.52) for death at 1 year, and 0.09 (95% CI = 0.06-0.11) for death due to rebleeding in the follow-up. The pooled estimate rates for death at 1 month or 6 weeks were similar in subgroup analyses including studies that did not use covered TIPS or that did not include patients after the pre-emptive TIPS area compared to the ones that did (pooled estimate rate 0.33 [95% CI = 0.28-0.38] and 0.32 [95% CI = 0.25-0.39], respectively). The pooled estimate rates were 0.16 (95% CI = 0.13-0.18) for rebleeding, 0.25 (95% CI = 0.17-0.36) for occurrence of hepatic encephalopathy, and 0.08 (95% CI = 0.05-0.13) for access to liver transplantation after TIPS insertion. CONCLUSIONS: One third of patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding treated with salvage TIPS died within the first 6 weeks. Recent improvements in the management of variceal bleeding did not improve the survival of patients presenting with refractory variceal bleeding.

Usefulness of viral kinetics for early prediction of a sustained virological response in HCV-1 non-responders re-treated with pegylated interferon and ribavirin.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Undetectable HCV RNA at 12 weeks is the stopping rule recommended in HCV patients in whom previous treatment has failed. Whether earlier virological criteria may be useful for deciding treatment discontinuation remains subject of debate. The aim of this study was to identify, in HCV-1 non-responders and relapsers to IFN or Peg-IFN and ribavirin, the earliest and most accurate predictor of failure to respond to a new treatment combining Peg-IFN and ribavirin. METHODS: Prediction of SVR was assessed using the area under the ROC (AUROC) curve of reduction in viral load at different time points. RESULTS: This study included 151 patients (32% with extensive fibrosis or cirrhosis). A SVR was reached in 34% (21% in non-responders and 59% in relapsers). In non-responders, 1 month was the most accurate time point for predicting SVR (AUROC: 0.787 ± 0.075, p = 0.0001). Thirty-seven percent of non-responders did not have a 1-log drop in viral load at 1 month. All these patients had detectable HCV RNA at 3 months (p < 0.0001) and only 4% attained a SVR (p = 0.004). The same high negative predictive value for SVR was found in sensitivity analysis restricted to non-responders to Peg-IFN and ribavirin. In contrast, in relapsers, undetectable HCV RNA at 3 months was the earliest criterion with high negative predictive value (92%, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: All HCV-1 non-responders who did not have a 1-log drop in viral load at 1 month remained HCV-RNA-detectable at 3 months, and only 4% attained a SVR. This new criterion can be used early on as a first stopping rule.

Impact of insulin resistance on sustained response in HCV patients treated with pegylated interferon and ribavirin: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recent studies suggested that SVR rates might be lower in HCV patients with insulin resistance (IR) than in patients without IR, but the extent of the impact of IR on treatment response has not been established. We aimed to confirm the role of IR assessed by the homoeostasis model assessment (HOMA-IR) on SVR and to determine its magnitude. METHODS: We performed meta-analysis of studies evaluating the impact of IR in HCV patients treated with pegylated interferon and ribavirin. RESULTS: Fourteen studies involving 2732 patients were included. SVR was less frequent in patients with IR than in patients without IR (mean difference: -19.6%, 95% CI: -29.9% to -9.4%, p<0.001). In sensitivity analyses according to HCV-1 patients, patients with IR also less frequently attained a SVR than patients without IR (mean difference: -13.0%, 95% CI: -22.6% to -3.4%, p=0.008). In addition, the baseline HOMA-IR index was lower in responders than in non-responders (mean difference: -0.92, 95% CI: -1.53 to -0.32, p<0.001). In sensitivity analyses restricted to HCV-1 patients, the baseline HOMA-IR index remained lower in responders than in non-responders (mean difference: -0.63, 95% CI: -1.13 to -0.14, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: HCV patients with IR have a 20% lower SVR than patients without IR. The baseline HOMA-IR index is a major determinant of SVR.

Shortened treatment duration in treatment-naive genotype 1 HCV patients with rapid virological response: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In hepatitis C virus genotype 1 (HCV-1) patients with a rapid viral decline within the first month of therapy, a 24-week course of pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) alpha and ribavirin treatment has been claimed to be as efficient as the standard 48-week duration. METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis of 7 randomized controlled trials comparing less than 48 weeks to 48 weeks PEG-IFN alpha/ribavirin treatment in 807 HCV-1 patients with rapid viral decline. RESULTS: SVR was significantly less frequent with short treatment duration than with 48 weeks of therapy, with a mean difference of -13.6% (95% CI: -22.8% to -4.4%, p=0.004). This difference was related to a higher relapse rate (mean difference: 9.9%, 95% CI: 4.1-15.7%, p<0.001). In a sensitivity analysis restricted to studies using only a weight-based ribavirin regimen, shorter therapy was also less efficient. In the subgroup of patients with undetectable HCV-RNA at week 4 and a low baseline HCV-RNA level (400,000 IU/ml), there was no significant difference in SVR rates between 24 and 48 weeks of treatment (mean difference: -3.10%, 95% CI: -8.6% to 2.4%, NS). CONCLUSIONS: In HCV-1 patients with a rapid virological response, 24 weeks of combination therapy with PEG-IFN alpha and ribavirin should be considered only in subjects with low baseline viral load. However, the optimal cut-off defining low baseline viral load and the impact of the presence of other factors capable of altering treatment response, remain subject to debate.

Impact of pegylated interferon and ribavirin on morbidity and mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis C and normal aminotransferases in France.

UNLABELLED: Clinicians continue to raise questions concerning the necessity of treating chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (N-ALT), in light of their slower progression to cirrhosis than patients with elevated alanine aminotraferase (E-ALT). This study was undertaken to predict the impact of pegylated interferon (IFN) and ribavirin on HCV-related morbidity and mortality in patients with N-ALT. A previous Markov model was adapted to separately simulate patients with N-ALT (30%) and those with E-ALT (70%). The model estimates fibrosis progression rates according to age, sex, and whether ALT levels are normal or elevated, assuming that patients with E-ALT have a 2.6 times higher progression than those with N-ALT. It takes into account improvement in HCV screening and treatment and competitive mortality. We assumed that N-ALT patients were treated 80% less frequently between 2002 and 2004 and 70% less frequently from 2005 on, as obtained in real life from three multicentric cohorts (Hepatys, Adequation, Persee). Antiviral treatment of HCV-infected populations might reduce 2008-2025 HCV-related morbidity and mortality by 34,200 cases of cirrhosis (36%, 33,000-35,000), 22,400 complications (28%, 21,000-23,000) and 17,500 deaths (25%, 17,000-18,000), including 3000 cases of cirrhosis (22%, 2000-5000), 1200 complications (15%, 1000-1700), and 1000 deaths (14%, 900-1300) in the N-ALT population, despite a probability of receiving treatment that is three to five times less in this population. If N-ALT patients are treated at the same proportions as those with E-ALT, morbidity and mortality could be further reduced by 1400 cases of cirrhosis (13%, 1200-2200), 600 complications (9%, 600-1000), and 500 deaths (9%, 500-800). CONCLUSION: Treatment of N-ALT patients would decrease HCV morbidity and mortality. These patients should be considered candidates for treatment just as others are.

NF1 microduplication first clinical report: association with mild mental retardation, early onset of baldness and dental enamel hypoplasia?

NF1 microdeletion syndrome is a common dominant genomic disorder responsible for around 5% of type I neurofibromatosis cases. The majority of cases are caused by mutations arising within the NF1 gene. NF1 microdeletion carriers present a more severe phenotype than patients with intragenic mutations, including mental retardation, cardiac anomalies and dysmorphic features. Here, we report on two brothers with mental retardation presenting a microduplication of the NF1 microdeletion syndrome region detected by array-CGH analysis. Main phenotypic features are mental deficiency, early onset of baldness (15 years old), dental enamel hypoplasia and minor facial dysmorphism. The breakpoint regions coincide with the repeats, and the recombination hot spots shown to mediate NF1 microdeletion through NAHR. A screening of the patients' familial relatives showed that this microduplication segregates in the family for at least two generations. This result demonstrates that both deletion and duplication of the NF1 region, at cytogenetic band 17q11.2, give rise to viable gametes, even if only NF1 microdeletions have been reported until now. Our study reports seven cases of NF1 microduplication within one family. Similar phenotypic abnormalities were present in most of the individuals, however, two displayed a normal phenotype, suggesting a potential incomplete penetrance of the phenotype associated with NF1 microduplication.

Efficacy and safety of tumor necrosis factor antagonists in Crohn's disease: meta-analysis of placebo-controlled trials.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We performed a meta-analysis of placebo-controlled trials to evaluate safety and efficacy of tumor necrosis factor (TNF) antagonists for Crohn's disease. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, and EMBASE. The primary end points were clinical remission for luminal Crohn's disease and fistula closure at > or =2 consecutive visits. Deaths, serious infections, and malignancies were also analyzed by the methods of Peto and Der Simonian and Laird. RESULTS: Fourteen luminal Crohn's disease trials enrolled 3995 patients. In overall analysis, anti-TNF therapy was effective for induction of remission at week 4 (mean difference, 11%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6%-16%; P < .001) and maintenance of remission at weeks 20-30 in patients who responded to induction therapy and in patients randomized before induction (mean difference, 23%; 95% CI, 18%-28% and mean difference, 8%; 95% CI, 3%-12%, respectively; P < .001 for all comparisons). Ten studies evaluated anti-TNF for treatment of fistulizing Crohn's disease, involving 776 patients. In overall analysis, anti-TNF therapy was effective for fistula closure only in maintenance trials after open-label induction (mean difference, 16%; 95% CI, 8%-25%; P < .001). In 21 studies enrolling 5356 individuals, anti-TNF therapy did not increase the risk of death, malignancy, or serious infection. CONCLUSIONS: Infliximab, adalimumab, and certolizumab are effective in luminal Crohn's disease. Efficacy of anti-TNF agents other than infliximab in treating fistulizing Crohn's disease requires additional investigations. A longer duration of follow-up and a larger number of patients are required to better assess the safety profile of TNF antagonists in Crohn's disease.