Daclatasvir plus peginterferon alfa and ribavirin for treatment-naive chronic hepatitis C genotype 1 or 4 infection: a randomised study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of daclatasvir, an HCV NS5A inhibitor with pangenotypic activity, administered with peginterferon-alfa-2a/ribavirin. DESIGN: In this Phase 2b double-blind, placebo-controlled study, treatment-naive adults with HCV genotype 1 (N=365) or 4 (N=30) infection were randomly assigned (2:2:1) to daclatasvir 20 mg or 60 mg, or placebo once daily plus weekly peginterferon-alfa-2a and twice-daily ribavirin. Daclatasvir recipients achieving protocol-defined response (PDR; HCV-RNA

Optimizing treatment for HCV genotype 4: PEG-IFN alfa 2a vs. PEG-IFN alfa 2b; the debate continues.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) remains one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Combined therapy with pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin is the current standard of care treatment for HCV genotype 4. Two types of PEG-IFN are commercially available. The limited number of trials that were conducted for HCV genotype 4 and the few head to head comparisons make it impossible to know which is the best option? In this article we review all available PEG-IFN trials performed worldwide for HCV genotype 4 since 2004. Unless another molecule is developed as a standalone for the treatment of HCV, PEG-IFN will continue to be a source of debate.

Diabetic patients with chronic hepatitis C virus response compared to non diabetics when treated with directly acting antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) impairs glucose homoestasis, thus influences its clinical picture and prognosis. This study aimed at evaluating Diabetes mellitus (DM) on Egyptian patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC), and its impact on their virologic response when treated with directly acting antiviral (DAA) medications. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adult patients with CHC were divided into 2 groups; Diabetic patients, and Non diabetic patients serving as control group. All patients were subjected to thorough clinical evaluation, basic biochemical laboratory tests including fasting blood glucose/glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1C), and virologic assay. They were treated with various combined DAAs, and were monitored during, at and after end of treatment. RESULTS: Diabetic patients constituted 9.85 % of CHC, and had generally worse laboratory tests (significantly higher transaminases, platelet count, Fib4 and hepatic steatosis) than non diabetic patients, and a less sustained virologic response (SVR) (significantly in Sofosbuvir (SOF) + pegylated interferon (PegIFN) + ribavirin (RBV), SOF + RBV, SOF + daclatasvir (DAC)). Although DM did not play a significant influence on SVR, yet Fib4 and SOF + RBV + PEG-IFN were significant factors affecting SVR among diabetics, while female gender and viraemia were significant factors affecting SVR among non diabetics. Hepatic fibrosis and SOF/RBV significantly influenced SVR in both groups. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetic patients with CHC have worse liver biochemical profile, yet DM per se did not influence the virologic response to DAAs, however, some factors played roles in affecting SVR among them.

How to optimize HCV therapy in genotype 4 patients.

HCV is a worldwide disease with an estimated prevalence by WHO of 3%. Hepatitis C virus 4 is prevalent in Africa and the Middle East, especially Egypt. The treatment of HCV4 is affected by many factors, related to the virus itself (genotype, pretreatment viral load and prevalent quasispecies), to the host (genetic factors, age, ethnicity and liver histology), to the presence of comorbidities (obesity, insulin resistance and co-infections) and to the therapeutic drugs (type, dose and duration). Optimizing treatment is the goal of daily practice to obtain the best results for the patient.

Risk factors for hepatitis C virus acquisition and predictors of persistence among Egyptian children.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) has a lower prevalence in children and knowledge is limited regarding the natural outcome of HCV infection in children. AIM: To study the risk factors of HCV acquisition and predictors of persistence in Egyptian children. METHODS: Children, 1-9 years of age, were evaluated for acquisition of HCV (anti-HCV positive regardless of viraemia) and persistence of HCV (anti-HCV and HCV-RNA positive) at two paediatric hepatology clinics in Cairo at enrollment and at 3 monthly intervals. Spontaneous clearance of HCV was defined as ≥ two positive anti-HCV antibody tests with negative HCV-RNA at least 6 months apart. RESULTS: Over a 33-month-period a total of 226 children <9 years of age were screened for HCV antibodies. Of those, 146 (65%) were anti-HCV positive of which 87 (60%) were HCV-RNA positive. The HCV acquisition was more likely to occur in older children (P = 0.003) with comorbid conditions (P < 0.01) compared to anti-HCV negative children. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, the highest risk factors for HCV acquisition were surgical interventions [odds ratio (OR): 4.7] and blood transfusions (OR: 2.3). The highest risk factor for HCV persistence was dental treatment (OR: 16.9) and male gender (OR: 7.5). HCV persistence was also strongly associated with elevated baseline alanine aminotransaminase (ALT) levels (OR: 4.9) and fluctuating aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels (OR: 8.1). CONCLUSION: Although surgical interventions and blood transfusion are significant risk factors for HCV acquisition in Egyptian children, dental treatment remains the highest risk factor for HCV chronic persistence in children.

Current status of hepatitis C virus among people living with human immunodeficiency virus in Egypt.

BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-hepatitis C virus (HCV) co-infection is increasing due to their similar routes of transmission. Co-infection poses a big challenge. Information on the prevalence of HCV infection in Egyptian HIV individuals is scarce. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted on 1004 HIV individuals who were recruited from July 2018 to March 2019. Blood samples obtained from HIV individuals were subsequently screened for HCV antibodies using the Murex anti-HCV (version 4) enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay test. HCV RNA was performed only on anti-HCV antibody-positive samples. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with HCV seroprevalence using SPSS (IBM, Armonk, NY, USA). RESULTS: Among 1004 participants, 349 exhibited a positive result for anti-HCV antibodies (34.8% [95% confidence interval 31.81 to 37.8]). The most commonly self-reported risk factor of HIV infection by the co-infected participants was intravenous drug use (IDU) (303/349 [86.8%]). In multinomial analysis, risk factors identified as statistically associated with HCV seroprevalence include IDU, history of surgical operations and dental procedures and HIV viral load (p<0.001, 0.032, <0.001 and 0.006, respectively). Under combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), the proportion of HIV mono-infected individuals with an undetectable HIV viral load was significantly higher than those with co-infection (p<0.0007). We also found that HIV-HCV co-infected participants exhibited significantly higher CD4+ cell counts than those with HIV mono-infection (p=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of HIV-HCV co-infection is higher in Egypt compared with other countries in Africa. It is essential to screen all HIV-infected patients for HCV infection for early identification, counselling and initiation of anti-HCV treatment.

Real-life experience of treating HCV co-infection among HIV-infected population in Egypt: single-center experience.

BACKGROUND: Liver disease has emerged as a leading cause of death among PLHIV coinfected with HCV. METHODS: A retrospective study involving all HCV viremic patients coinfected with HIV who presented to HCV/HIV multidisciplinary clinics located at Embaba fever hospital. Patients were assigned to receive DAAs according to the national treatment guidelines. The primary endpoint was SVR12. RESULTS: Of the 519 patients enrolled, 38.73% LTFU; either not initiated (n = 170) or did not complete the treatment (n = 31). The main identified reasons behind LTFU were schedule conflict (19%) or hospitalization (13%). Among 318 patients who completed their DAAs course, nine patients had a relapse after the end of treatment and 97% had attained SVR12. There were significant differences among different virological response groups in baseline factors including smoking (p = 0.005), history of dental procedure (p = 0.007), CD4 count (p = 0.007), and HIV viral load (p = <0.001). Among responders (n = 309), there was a significant reduction of baseline hemoglobin and significant improvement of baseline platelets (p = 0.005) at on-treatment week 8. Baseline necro-inflammatory markers showed significant improvement across follow-up time points (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: DAAs are an effective and safe choice to treat HCV in PLHIV. Social stigma could be a major cause for lacking adherence to follow-up visits.Abbreviations: ALT: Alanine Aminotransferase; ARV: Antiretroviral treatment; AST: Aspartate Aminotransferase; DAAs: Direct acting antivirals; ARVs: antiretroviral therapy; EMR: Eastern Mediterranean region; HCV: Hepatitis C virus; kPa: Kilopascal; LTFU: Patient lost to follow up; NCCVH: The National Committee for Control of Viral Hepatitis; PWID: People who inject drugs; SVR: Sustained virological response;UNAIDS: The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS.

Human cytomegalovirus infection inhibits response of chronic hepatitis-C-virus-infected patients to interferon-based therapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is a ubiquitous pathogen that infects the majority of humans. Co-infection of CMV and hepatitis C virus (HCV) may deteriorate the prognosis of HCV-infected patients. This study was conducted to examine the role of CMV reactivation in determining the response rate to treatment with interferon and ribavirin therapy in chronic HCV patients. METHODS: Viral loads and genotyping were assessed using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction and Innolipa systems, respectively. Reactivation of CMV in HCV patients who were all positive for CMV immunoglobulin G antibodies was tested by amplification of the gB1 gene using the end-point dilution quantitative-nested polymerase chain reaction method. RESULTS: CMV DNA was detected in 89.7% of non-responders and in 34.6% of sustained virological responders. Patients with reactivated CMV had significantly higher fibrosis scores (72.7%) than those with undetectable CMV DNA (23.8%, P=0.002). Patients with positive CMV had higher rates of non-response and relapse (79.5%) than those with negative CMV DNA (19%). Chronic HCV patients with latent CMV had higher rates of response (81%) to treatment than those with reactivated CMV (20.5%, P<0.001). Therefore, HCV patients with reactivated CMV and advanced fibrosis were least likely to achieve a sustained virological response following interferon therapy. This possibility is reduced to 50% of its original value in patients with reactivated CMV without fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: Besides the staging of liver fibrosis, CMV co-infection should be considered as an extremely important factor when designing predictive models for HCV response to interferon treatment.

Single nucleotide polymorphism at exon 7 splice acceptor site of OAS1 gene determines response of hepatitis C virus patients to interferon therapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Response to interferon therapy and disease progression in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infected patients differs among individuals, suggesting a possibility of a contribution of host genetic factors. 2'-5'-oligoadenylate synthetase 1 (OAS1), an important component of the innate immune system with a proven antiviral function, may therefore have a relationship with the response to interferon therapy and clinical course of HCV disease. Our aim was to determine the frequency of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) at exon 7 splice acceptor site (SAS) of the OAS1 gene in relation to the interferon response and status of HCV infection. METHODS: A 203 bp fragment containing exon 7 SAS was amplified in 70 HCV chronic patients and 50 healthy controls. SNP was examined using restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) genotyping method. Correlations of SNP genotypes with response to interferon and clinical status of patients were statistically analyzed. RESULTS: There was an increasing trend of response from AA to AG to GG genotypes (P = 0.007). Genotype AA was associated with non-response to interferon and higher degree of liver fibrosis (P = 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed this SNP as independent and a significant determinant of the outcome of interferon therapy (odds ratio 4.913 [95% confidence interval 1.365-8.2], P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to show a significant association between the functional SNP at exon 7 SAS of OAS1 gene and the viral response to interferon in chronic HCV patients. Patients with AA genotype were associated with progressive HCV disease and viral resistance to interferon therapy. This OAS SNP is a potential bio-marker to predict IFN response in chronic hepatitis C patients.

The interrelation between lipid profile in chronic HCV patients and their response to antiviral agents.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to assess the changes of lipid profile in chronic HCV patients; before, during, and after treatment with DAAs and their association with treatment response. METHODS: 301 chronic HCV patients who received SOF-based therapy were included. Serum lipid profile was assessed at different check points; baseline, 6 weeks on treatment, end of treatment (EOT) and 12 weeks after EOT; and compared between SVR and non-SVR groups. RESULTS: SVR group had significantly higher baseline lipid parameters compared to non-SVR group with significant increase in lipid parameters at different time points apart from HDL-C. Non-SVR group showed non-significant change in lipid parameters apart from LDL-C. On week6 on treatment, cholesterol level > 125 mg/dl was 92.8% sensitive, 97.3% specific with 95.5% NPV, and AUC of 0.989 in prediction of SVR. Similarly, LDL > 57 mg/dl was 83.7% sensitive, 100% specific with 93.3%, NPV and AUC of 0.952. Baseline cholesterol and LDL were significantly associated with SVR. CONCLUSION: Higher baseline lipid parameters and their further elevation starting from week 6 on treatment are good predictors of SVR in HCV patients. Successful HCV therapy with DAAs is associated with a significant increase in lipid parameters.

HCV and HEV: two players in an Egyptian village, a study of prevalence, incidence, and co-infection.

The highest recorded hepatitis C virus (HCV) prevalence worldwide is in Egypt. A high prevalence of hepatitis E virus (HEV) in chronic liver disease has been reported. The aim of this study was to study prevalence, incidence, and outcome of HCV infection in an Egyptian Nile Delta village and the relation between HEV infection and HCV-related chronic hepatic affection. This prospective cohort study included 2085 Nagreej village residents. Mass HCV screening was conducted and testing for HEV antibodies among HCV-infected patients performed. The annual incidence of HCV was recorded. Five hundred five (24.22%) of the tested villagers were positive for HCV RNA. Prevalence escalated with age and male sex. The main recorded risk factors were a history of surgery, dental procedures, hospitalization, blood transfusion, and antischistosomal treatment. HEV IgG antibody was positive in 71.4% of individuals with chronic HCV and 96.1% with advanced liver disease (cirrhosis ± hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)). After 1 year, 29 of the 1390 HCV Ab negative villagers had a positive HCV PCR, placing an annual incidence of new HCV infections at 2.09%. The Egyptian HCV prevalence remains high with infection particularly among the elderly. The annual incidence in a small Nile Delta village is 2.086%. HCV-HEV co-infection may lead to a worse prognosis among Egyptians with chronic liver disease.

Response to pegylated interferon alfa-2a and ribavirin in chronic hepatitis C genotype 4.

The safety and efficacy of pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) alfa-2a and ribavirin were studied among patients treated for genotype 4 chronic hepatitis C. Ninety-five patients with chronic hepatitis C genotype 4 were treated with PEG-IFN alfa-2a (180 microg/week) plus ribavirin (> or =11 mg/kg/day) for 48 weeks. The primary end point was sustained virological response, defined as non-detectable levels of HCV RNA at the end of follow up (week 72). The proportion with sustained virological response was 58/95 = 61.1% (95% CI = 50.5-70.9%). Side effects were generally mild, well managed by dose reductions (in 62% of patients); in only two patients were side effects sufficiently severe to require treatment interruption. Ninety percent of patients adhered to treatment up to week 12, and their sustained virological response rate was higher compared to non-adherent (65% vs. 22%, respectively, P = 0.012). None of the patients who failed to achieve 1 log reduction of viral load by week 8 (n = 15), or 2 log reduction by week 12 (n = 17), had a sustained virological response. In conclusion, sustained virological response in genotype 4 Egyptian patients treated with PEG-IFN alfa-2a and ribavirin was estimated around 60%, intermediate between sustained virological response observed in genotype 1 and genotype 2-3 patients in Western countries. The early virological response (week 4 or week 8) should be investigated as a criterion to decide whether the patient may benefit from a shorter duration of therapy.

Predictors of a sustained virological response in patients with genotype 4 chronic hepatitis C.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the clinical, biological, virological and histological predictive factors associated with a sustained virological response (SVR) to combined interferon therapy among Egyptian patients infected by genotype 4 hepatitis C virus (HCV). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Individual data from 250 patients with genotype 4 chronic hepatitis C, treated with different regimens of combined interferon, were analysed. The primary end point was SVR defined as undetectable HCV RNA by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) 24 weeks after the end of treatment. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to select the independent prognostic parameters associated with SVR. RESULTS: A sustained virological response was achieved among 137/250 (54.8%) patients. Baseline factors independently and negatively associated with SVR were serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (above 0.3 upper limit of normal) [odds ratio (OR)=0.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.2-0.8], severe fibrosis (Metavir score >F2) (OR=0.4, 95% CI: 0.2-0.8), presence of steatosis (OR=0.5, 95% CI: 0.3-0.97) and standard interferon treatment (OR=0.4, 95% CI: 0.2-0.8). CONCLUSIONS: Among genotype 4 chronic hepatitis C patients, severe fibrosis, severe steatosis, treatment with standard interferon and a high serum AFP level were all negatively associated with SVR. Pretreatment serum AFP level should be considered in the routine assessment of factors predictive of a treatment response.

Serum alpha-foetoprotein level predicts treatment outcome in chronic hepatitis C.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse the association between serum alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) levels and sustained virological response (SVR) in treated patients. METHODS: One-hundred patients with chronic hepatitis C were treated with pegylated interferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin for 48 weeks. The primary endpoint was SVR. Linear regression analysis was performed to identify clinical, biological, and histological factors affecting baseline AFP levels. The association between pretreatment serum AFP and SVR was assessed by multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Of 100 patients, 95 were infected with genotype 4, one with genotype 1, and four with undetermined genotype. The median serum AFP level was 4.5 ng/ml and AFP values ranged from 1.2 to 49.8 ng/ml. In multivariate analysis, higher fibrosis stage and higher steatosis score were independently associated with higher serum AFP levels. SVR rate was 61.0% (61/100), and was lower for patients with AFP levels above rather than below the median value (40.8% versus 80.4%, respectively, P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, including adjustment for age, gender, body mass index, steatosis score, fibrosis stage, ALT level, haemoglobin level, clotting time, HCV RNA viral load, and treatment dose received, a baseline serum AFP level above the median value was associated with a lower SVR rate (OR [95% CI]=0.10 [0.03-0.42], P < 0.001). None of the seven patients with increased (above 15 ng/ml) pretreatment AFP achieved SVR. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, higher baseline serum AFP levels independently predicted a lower SVR rate among patients with chronic hepatitis C. If confirmed with genotypes other than 4, these findings would suggest adding serum AFP to the list of factors predictive of treatment response.

Simple Predictive Model for Identifying Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C and Hepatitis C Virus Genotype 4 Infection with a High Probability of Sustained Virologic Response with Peginterferon Alfa-2a/Ribavirin: Pooled Analysis of Data from Two Large, International Cohort Studies.

INTRODUCTION: Wherever access to direct-acting antiviral agents is restricted, dual peginterferon/ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV) therapy remains an option for treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 4 (GT4) infection, which predominates in the Middle East and Sub-Saharan Africa. Our goal was to develop a baseline scoring system to identify GT4-infected patients with a low or high probability of achieving a sustained virologic response (SVR) with PegIFN alfa-2a/RBV using data from two large cohort studies. METHODS: Associations between baseline characteristics and SVR were explored by generalized additive models and multiple logistic regression analysis to develop a predictive model, which was then checked by bootstrapping. The score comprised four factors with points assigned thus: age ≤40, 3 points; >40 but ≤55, 2 points; alanine aminotransferase ≤1 or >3× the upper limit of normal, 1 point; no cirrhosis, 1 point; HCV RNA <50,000 IU/mL, 2 points; 50,000 to <400,000 IU/mL, 1 point. The values for a given patient are summed to produce a score from 0 to 7 where higher scores indicate higher chances of SVR. RESULTS: Among the 459 patients, 28 (6%), 50 (11%), 92 (20%), 121 (26%), 103 (22%), and 65 (14%) patients had scores of 0-1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6-7, respectively, with respective SVR rates of 11%, 28%, 50%, 57%, 63%, and 83%. Relapse rates decreased with increasing prediction score (80%, 39%, 15%, 19%, 5%, and 7%, respectively). SVR rates were consistently higher in Caucasian than Black patients and in patients with a rapid virologic response HCV RNA <50 IU/mL at week 4); however, the trend toward higher SVR rates with increasing score remained apparent in each subgroup. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, a simple scoring system can be used to identify GT4-infected patients with a high probability of achieving an SVR with PegIFN alfa-2a/RBV. FUNDING: F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd.

Predictors of Virological Response in 3,235 Chronic HCV Egyptian Patients Treated with Peginterferon Alpha-2a Compared with Peginterferon Alpha-2b Using Statistical Methods and Data Mining Techniques.

Despite the appearance of new oral antiviral drugs, pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN)/RBV may remain the standard of care therapy for some time, and several viral and host factors are reported to be correlated with therapeutic effects. This study aimed to reveal the independent variables associated with failure of sustained virological response (SVR) to PEG-IFN alpha-2a versus PEG-IFN alpha-2b in treatment of naive chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) Egyptian patients using both statistical methods and data mining techniques. This retrospective cohort study included 3,235 chronic hepatitis C patients enrolled in a large Egyptian medical center: 1,728 patients had been treated with PEG-IFN alpha-2a plus ribavirin (RBV) and 1,507 patients with PEG-IFN alpha-2b plus RBV between 2007 and 2011. Both multivariate analysis and Reduced Error Pruning Tree (REPTree)-based model were used to reveal the independent variables associated with treatment response. In both treatment types, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >10 ng/mL and HCV viremia >600 × 10(3) IU/mL were the independent baseline variables associated with failure of SVR, while male gender, decreased hemoglobin, and thyroid-stimulating hormone were the independent variables associated with good response (P < 0.05). Using REPTree-based model showed that low AFP was the factor of initial split (best predictor) of response for either PEG-IFN alpha-2a or PEG-IFN alpha-2b (cutoff value 8.53, 4.89 ng/mL, AUROC = 0.68 and 0.61, P = 0.05). Serum AFP >10 ng/mL and viral load >600 × 10(3) IU/mL are variables associated with failure of response in both treatment types. REPTree-based model could be used to assess predictors of response.

FibroScan, APRI, FIB4, and GUCI: Role in prediction of fibrosis and response to therapy in Egyptian patients with HCV infection.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Multiple noninvasive methods have been used successfully in the prediction of fibrosis. However, their role in the prediction of response to hepatitis C virus (HCV) antiviral therapy is debatable. The aim of this study was to validate and compare the diagnostic performance of FibroScan, APRI (aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-platelet ratio index), FIB4, and GUCI (Göteborg University Cirrhosis Index) for the prediction of hepatic fibrosis and treatment outcome in HCV-infected patients receiving pegylated interferon and ribavirin (PEG-IFN/ribavirin). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study included 182 Egyptian patients with chronic HCV infection. They were classified into two groups based on the stages of fibrosis: mild to significant fibrosis (F1-F2) and advanced fibrosis (F3-F4). The APRI, FIB4, and GUCI scores were calculated before the antiviral treatment. The FibroScan was performed for all patients before treatment. RESULTS: Stiffness and FIB4 have greater sensitivity and specificity in detecting advanced fibrosis of 80%, 77% and 88%, 84%, respectively. Based on multivariate regression analysis, FIB4, body mass index (BMI), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level were found to be statistically significant predictors of advanced fibrosis (p-value: 0.000, 0.011, and 0.001, respectively) with odds ratio (OR: 3.184, 1.170, and 1.241, respectively). With respect to virological response, the stiffness, APRI, FIB4, and GUCI were significantly lower in sustained virological responders. However, these are not good predictors of response to PEG-IFN/ribavirin therapy. AFP was the only statistically significant predictor of response (p=0.002) with OR of 1.141 in multivariate regression analysis. CONCLUSION: FibroScan and noninvasive scores such as APRI, FIB4, and GUCI can be used as good predictors of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C. However, they are not good predictors of response to PEG-IFN/ribavirin therapy.

Hepatitis C Viral Kinetic Changes in a Retrospective Cohort Study of Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Egyptian Patients on Pegylated Interferon and Ribavirin Therapy.

The aim of this study was to determine the relative importance of the kinetics of antiviral response compared to baseline host and virological factors for predicting treatment outcome. A retrospective analysis of 285 chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients, encompassing genotypes 4 treated with peginterferon alpha-2a and ribavirin, was performed. Baseline characteristics were compared across HCV genotypes and pretreatment factors associated with rapid virological response (RVR) were identified. The relative significance of RVR compared to other baseline factors for predicting sustained virological response was analyzed by multiple logistic regression analysis. Ninety-seven percent of the patients harbored HCV genotype 4a patients. The positive predictive value (PPV) of RVR for end-of-treatment response (ETR) was 88% and of early virological response (EVR) was 85%, which means that achievement of both RVR and EVR is a good positive predictive factor of response. The negative predictive value (NPV) of RVR for ETR was low and equals 26.77%, which means that approximately two-thirds of patients were able to achieve ETR despite not experiencing RVR, which means RVR is a bad negative predictive factor of response. The NPV of EVR for ETR was high and equals 90%, which means that only 10% of patients were able to achieve an ETR despite not experiencing EVR, which explains that EVR is a very good negative predictive factor of response. In univariate logistic regression analysis, which included the following: female gender, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate transaminase, α-fetoprotein, baseline HCV-RNA levels, grade of activity, stage of fibrosis, and positive HCV-RNA, by polymerase chain reaction at week 4, none of the previous factors was a significant independent factor of failure of response to treatment. The current study demonstrated that a viremia at week 4 has a good PPV, but it has a very low NPV. The NPV of EVR was more robust for ETR (90%). EVR is regarded as a robust indicator of treatment outcome, and a 12-week stopping rule for patients is strongly evident.

Impact of vitamin D supplementation on sustained virological response in chronic hepatitis C genotype 4 patients treated by pegylated interferon/ribavirin.

The current standard of care therapy (SOC) for chronic HCV is pegylated interferon/ribavirin (Peg-IFN/RBV). Many reports showed the possible role of vitamin D supplementation in augmenting the response to SOC. The aim of this study was to assess the role of vitamin D supplementation on the response to treatment in chronic HCV genotype 4 patients. One hundred and one chronic HCV patients were classified into two groups (Group 1): 51 patients received the SOC therapy consisting of Peg-interferon alfa-2b plus ribavirin, (Group 2): 50 patients received the SOC therapy+vitamin D3 (Cholecalciferol) in a dose of 15,000 IU/week during the treatment course. Vitamin D deficiency was found in 95% of patients. No correlation was found between vitamin D levels and stage of fibrosis in the whole population. Vitamin D supplementation had no positive impact on treatment outcome where sustained virological response (SVR) was achieved in 51.2% in group 2 and 71.4% in group 1 by per-protocol analysis and in 44% in group 2 and in 68.6% in group 1 by intention to treat analysis (P value 0.22 and 0.220 respectively). Despite its role in other genotypes, vitamin D supplementation has no significant impact on SVR in HCV Genotype 4 patient. No correlation was found between vitamin D levels and stage of liver fibrosis.