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1.
Stroke ; 54(10): 2542-2551, 2023 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37548011

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation is a major risk factor for stroke and silent brain infarcts. We studied whether a multimodal approach offers additional insights to the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting stroke or new brain infarcts on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) over a 2-year follow-up. METHODS: Swiss-AF is a prospective, multicenter cohort study of patients with known atrial fibrillation. We included patients with available brain MRI both at enrollment and 2 years later. The dates of the baseline and follow-up visits ranged from March 2014 to November 2020. The primary outcome was assessed 2 years after baseline and was defined as a composite of clinically identified stroke or any new brain infarct on the 2-year MRI. We compared a multivariable logistic regression model including prespecified clinical, biomarker, and baseline MRI variables to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. RESULTS: We included 1232 patients, 89.8% of them taking oral anticoagulants. The primary outcome occurred in 78 patients (6.3%). The following baseline variables were included in the final multivariate model and were significantly associated with the primary outcome: white matter lesion volume in milliliters (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.91 [95% CI, 1.45-2.56]), NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; aOR, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.20-2.63]), GDF-15 (growth differentiation factor-15; aOR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.11-2.53]), serum creatinine (aOR, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.02-2.22]), IL (interleukin)-6 (aOR, 1.37 [95% CI, 1.00-1.86]), and hFABP (heart-type fatty acid-binding protein; aOR, 0.48 [95% CI, 0.31-0.73]). Overall performance and discrimination of the new model was superior to that of the CHA2DS2-VASc score (C statistic, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.77-0.87] versus 0.64 [95% CI, 0.58-0.70]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with atrial fibrillation, a model incorporating white matter lesion volume on baseline MRI and selected blood markers yielded new insights on residual stroke risk despite a high proportion of patients on oral anticoagulants. This may be relevant to develop further preventive measures.


Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico por imagen , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Prospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/diagnóstico por imagen , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Biomarcadores , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico
2.
Value Health ; 26(12): 1721-1729, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37741443

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Randomized controlled trials of pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) for treating atrial fibrillation (AF) have proven the procedure's efficacy. Studies assessing its empirical cost-effectiveness outside randomized trial settings are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of PVI versus medical therapy for AF. METHODS: We followed a target trial approach using the Swiss-AF cohort, a prospective observational cohort study that enrolled patients with AF between 2014 and 2017. Resource utilization and cost information were collected through claims data. Quality of life was measured with EQ-5D-3L utilities. We estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) from the perspective of the Swiss statutory health insurance system. RESULTS: Patients undergoing PVI compared with medical therapy had a 5-year overall survival advantage with a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI 0.46-1.21; P = .69) and a 19.8% SD improvement in quality of life (95% CI 15.5-22.9; P < .001), at an incremental cost of 29 604 Swiss francs (CHF) (95% CI 16 354-42 855; P < .001). The estimated ICER was CHF 158 612 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained within a 5-year time horizon. Assuming similar health effects and costs over 5 additional years changed the ICER to CHF 82 195 per QALY gained. Results were robust to the sensitivity analyses performed. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that PVI might be a cost-effective intervention within the Swiss healthcare context in a 10-year time horizon, but unlikely to be so at 5 years, if a willingness-to-pay threshold of CHF 100 000 per QALY gained is assumed. Given data availability, we find target trial designs are a valuable tool for assessing the cost-effectiveness of healthcare interventions outside of randomized controlled trial settings.


Asunto(s)
Fibrilación Atrial , Venas Pulmonares , Humanos , Fibrilación Atrial/cirugía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Calidad de Vida , Venas Pulmonares/cirugía , Estudios Prospectivos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida
3.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 821, 2023 Nov 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37996784

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Trueperella pyogenes (T. pyogenes) is a bacterium that colonizes the skin and mucosal surfaces of various domestic and wild animals. It rarely leads to infections in humans, with only a few descriptions available in the literature. CASE PRESENTATION: A 71-year-old Swiss farmer with a history of recurring basal cell carcinoma and metastasized pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor presented with signs of sepsis after a three-day history of general weakness, malaise and fever. Clinical and echocardiographic findings, as well as persistent bacteremia were consistent with mitral valve endocarditis caused by T. pyogenes. The patient's condition gradually improved under antibiotic treatment with piperacillin/tazobactam (empiric therapy of sepsis), and later penicillin G based on resistance testing. He was discharged after 13 days and continued outpatient antibiotic therapy with ceftriaxone, resulting in a total antibiotic treatment duration of six weeks. This is the first literature review of T. pyogenes endocarditis in humans. Among nine cases of T. pyogenes endocarditis, three patients had documented contact with farm animals and five had an underlying condition that compromised the immune system. While antibiotic resistance of T. pyogenes is an emerging concern, susceptibility to beta-lactam antibiotics seems to persist. The mortality of T. pyogenes endocarditis described in the literature was high, with 66% of patients not surviving the disease. CONCLUSIONS: T. pyogenes is a rare causative organism of infectious endocarditis in humans and descriptions are mainly restricted to case reports. In our review of the literature, we found that both an impaired immune system and contact with farm animals might be risk factors. Growth of T. pyogenes in blood cultures is unlikely to be missed during routine analysis, as it shows marked beta-hemolysis on blood agar culture plates, which generally leads to further characterization of the bacteria. Susceptibility to penicillin, ceftriaxone, and macrolides seems to be retained and the reported mortality in the few patients with T. pyogenes endocarditis is high.


Asunto(s)
Endocarditis Bacteriana , Endocarditis , Sepsis , Animales , Humanos , Anciano , Ceftriaxona , Agricultores , Suiza , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Endocarditis/diagnóstico , Endocarditis/tratamiento farmacológico , Animales Domésticos , Sepsis/tratamiento farmacológico , Endocarditis Bacteriana/diagnóstico , Endocarditis Bacteriana/tratamiento farmacológico , Endocarditis Bacteriana/microbiología
4.
BMC Pulm Med ; 23(1): 500, 2023 Dec 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38082273

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Several trials and meta-analyses found a benefit of adjunct corticosteroids for community-acquired pneumonia with respect to short-term outcome, but there is uncertainty about longer-term health effects. Herein, we evaluated clinical outcomes at long term in patients participating in the STEP trial (Corticosteroid Treatment for Community-Acquired Pneumonia). METHODS: This predefined secondary analysis investigated 180-day outcomes in 785 adult patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia included in STEP, a randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial. The primary endpoint was time to death from any cause at 180 days verified by telephone interview. Additional secondary endpoints included pneumonia-related death, readmission, recurrent pneumonia, secondary infections, new hypertension, and new insulin dependence. RESULTS: From the originally included 785 patients, 727 were available for intention-to-treat analysis at day 180. There was no difference between groups with respect to time to death from any cause (HR for corticosteroid use 1.15, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.95, p = 0.601). Compared to placebo, corticosteroid-treated patients had significantly higher risks for recurrent pneumonia (OR 2.57, 95% CI 1.29 to 5.12, p = 0.007), secondary infections (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.25 to 3.03, p = 0.003) and new insulin dependence (OR 8.73, 95% CI 1.10 to 69.62, p = 0.041). There was no difference regarding pneumonia-related death, readmission and new hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with community-acquired pneumonia, corticosteroid use was associated with an increased risk for recurrent pneumonia, secondary infections and new insulin dependence at 180 days. Currently, it is uncertain whether these long-term adverse effects outweigh the short-term effects of corticosteroids in moderate CAP. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial was registered with ClinicalTrials. gov, number NCT00973154 before the recruitment of the first patient. First posted: September 9, 2009. Last update posted: April 21, 2015.


Asunto(s)
Coinfección , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas , Hipertensión , Insulinas , Neumonía , Adulto , Humanos , Prednisona , Coinfección/tratamiento farmacológico , Neumonía/tratamiento farmacológico , Neumonía/inducido químicamente , Corticoesteroides , Método Doble Ciego , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Insulinas/uso terapéutico , Resultado del Tratamiento
5.
Z Rheumatol ; 82(1): 3-9, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Alemán | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36094629

RESUMEN

The majority of patients with acute back pain have no serious underlying disease; however, many internal diseases can be manifested as acute or chronic back pain. Therefore, in the assessment of patients with back pain the clinical history and clinical examination are important in order to detect indications for a possible underlying disease. Particularly red flags that indicate an acute or life-threatening disease should not be missed. In most cases where such red flags, risk factors or clinical indications are not present, no systematic search for internal underlying diseases is necessary. This article summarizes the most relevant differential diagnoses and clinical indications as well as warning symptoms.


Asunto(s)
Dolor de la Región Lumbar , Humanos , Dolor de la Región Lumbar/diagnóstico , Dolor de la Región Lumbar/etiología , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Dolor de Espalda/diagnóstico , Dolor de Espalda/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Examen Físico/efectos adversos
6.
J Intern Med ; 292(6): 892-903, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35894851

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Antithyroid antibodies increase the likelihood of developing overt hypothyroidism, but their clinical utility remains unclear. No large randomized controlled trial (RCT) has assessed whether older adults with subclinical hypothyroidism (SHypo) caused by autoimmune thyroid disease derive more benefits from levothyroxine treatment (LT4). OBJECTIVE: To determine whether older adults with SHypo and positive antibodies derive more clinical benefits from LT4 than those with negative antibodies. METHODS: We pooled individual participant data from two RCTs, Thyroid Hormone Replacement for Untreated Older Adults with Subclinical Hypothyroidism and IEMO 80+. Participants with persistent SHypo were randomly assigned to receive LT4 or placebo. We compared the effects of LT4 versus placebo in participants with and without anti-thyroid peroxidase (TPO) at baseline. The two primary outcomes were 1-year change in Hypothyroid Symptoms and Tiredness scores on the Thyroid-Related Quality-of-Life Patient-Reported Outcome Questionnaire. RESULTS: Among 660 participants (54% women) ≥65 years, 188 (28.5%) had positive anti-TPO. LT4 versus placebo on Hypothyroid Symptoms lead to an adjusted between-group difference of -2.07 (95% confidence interval: -6.04 to 1.90) for positive antibodies versus 0.89 (-1.76 to 3.54) for negative antibodies (p for interaction = 0.31). Similarly, there was no treatment effect modification by baseline antibody status for Tiredness scores-adjusted between-group difference 1.75 (-3.60 to 7.09) for positive antibodies versus 1.14 (-1.90 to 4.19) for negative antibodies (p for interaction = 0.98). Positive anti-TPO were not associated with better quality of life, improvement in handgrip strength, or fewer cardiovascular outcomes with levothyroxine treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults with SHypo, positive antithyroid antibodies are not associated with more benefits on clinical outcomes with LT4.


Asunto(s)
Hipotiroidismo , Tiroxina , Femenino , Humanos , Anciano , Masculino , Tiroxina/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Hipotiroidismo/tratamiento farmacológico , Terapia de Reemplazo de Hormonas
7.
Muscle Nerve ; 66(4): 462-470, 2022 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35860996

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Prognostic factors in Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) predict the disease course and may help individualize patient care. The aim was to summarize the evidence on prognostic factors that may support treatment decisions. METHODS: We searched six databases for prospective studies that each included ≥50 DMD patients with a minimum follow-up of 1 y. Primary outcomes were age at loss of ambulation (LoA), pulmonary function (forced vital capacity percent of predicted, FVC%p), and heart failure. RESULTS: Out of 5074 references, 59 studies were analyzed. Corticosteroid use was associated with a delayed LoA (pooled effect hazard ratio [HR] 0.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23-0.75, I2 94%), better pulmonary function tests (higher peak FVC%, prolonged time with FVC%p > 50%, and reduced need for assisted ventilation) and delayed cardiomyopathy. Longer corticosteroid treatment was associated with later LoA (>1 y compared to <1 y; pooled HR: 0.50, 95% CI 0.27-0.90) and early treatment start (aged <5 y) may be associated with early cardiomyopathy and higher fracture risk. Genotype appeared to be an independent driver of LoA in some studies. Higher baseline physical function tests (e.g., 6-minute walk test) were associated with delayed LoA. Left ventricular dysfunction and FVC <1 L increased and the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors reduced the risk of heart failure and death. Fusion surgery in scoliosis may potentially preserve pulmonary function. DISCUSSION: Prognostic factors that may inform clinical decisions include age at corticosteroid treatment initiation and treatment duration, ACE-inhibitor use, baseline physical function tests, pulmonary function, and cardiac dysfunction.


Asunto(s)
Cardiomiopatías , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Distrofia Muscular de Duchenne , Corticoesteroides/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de la Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina , Angiotensinas/uso terapéutico , Cardiomiopatías/complicaciones , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Humanos , Distrofia Muscular de Duchenne/diagnóstico , Distrofia Muscular de Duchenne/tratamiento farmacológico , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
8.
BMC Infect Dis ; 22(1): 168, 2022 Feb 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35189821

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Necrotizing soft-tissue infections are infections with high mortality. The use of immunoglobulins within a combination therapy including broad-spectrum antibiotics has been debated. We assessed potential benefits of immunoglobulins and hypothesized that they were associated with a treatment benefit in a high-resource setting. METHODS: Patients with necrotizing soft-tissue infection hospitalized in the tertiary intensive care unit of the University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland, between 2008 and 2020 were included retrospectively. The association between immunoglobulin administration and in-hospital survival, intensive care unit length of stay, the incidences of acute renal failure, acute respiratory distress syndrome and septic shock were analyzed. RESULTS: After adjustment for confounders, no difference for in-hospital survival (hazard ratio 2.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.24-20.20, p = 0.5), intensive care unit length of stay (subhazard ratio [SHR] 0.90, CI 0.41-1.98, p = 0.8) and the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (SHR 1.2, CI 0.36-4.03, p = 0.77) was observed in patients with or without immunoglobulin treatment. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, the risk of developing acute renal failure (SHR 2.86, CI 1.33-6.15, p = 0.01) and septic shock (SHR 1.86, CI 1.02-3.40, p = 0.04) was higher in patients treated with immunoglobulins, possibly reflecting a higher disease severity beyond measured confounders. CONCLUSIONS: No clear evidence for a benefit of immunoglobulins in our cohort with consistent antibiotic use was found. Patients receiving immunoglobulins appeared more severely ill. Complementary to high treatment standards and appropriate antibiotics including beta lactams and protein synthesis inhibitors, immunoglobulins should be administered on a case-to-case basis, at least while more evidence from larger randomized controlled trials is missing.


Asunto(s)
Inmunoglobulinas Intravenosas , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos , Enfermedad Crítica , Humanos , Inmunoglobulinas Intravenosas/uso terapéutico , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos/tratamiento farmacológico
9.
Rev Med Suisse ; 18(772): 427-432, 2022 Mar 09.
Artículo en Francés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35266342

RESUMEN

Polypharmacy and inappropriate medication use are very common in multimorbid older patients. This population has unfortunately been excluded from most large, randomized studies. In a recent multicenter randomized study (OPERAM), we included over 2000 multimorbid patients. We found that 86% of the patients aged 70 years and more had inappropriate medications and that these medications could be discontinued without negative impact on the health of these patients. This cohort of multimorbid patients will be followed for 10 years to evaluate their prognosis, life expectancy, treatments and quality of life, with numerous projects to better understand the inappropriate prescribing of individual drugs and their consequences on the health of this population.


La polypharmacie et les médicaments inappropriés sont très fréquents chez les patients âgés multimorbides. Cette population a malheureusement été exclue de la plupart des grandes études randomisées. Dans une récente étude randomisée multicentrique (OPERAM), nous avons inclus plus de 2000 patients multimorbides. Celle-ci a montré que 86 % des patients âgés de 70 ans et plus avaient des médicaments inappropriés et qu'il était possible de stopper leur administration, sans répercussion négative sur leur santé. Ces patients multimorbides constituent une cohorte qui va être suivie sur 10 ans pour évaluer leurs pronostic, espérance de vie, traitements et qualité de vie. Cela permettra la réalisation de nombreux projets, notamment pour mieux comprendre les conséquences de la prescription inappropriée de médicaments.


Asunto(s)
Polifarmacia , Calidad de Vida , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Humanos , Prescripción Inadecuada , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Multimorbilidad , Lista de Medicamentos Potencialmente Inapropiados , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
10.
Ann Intern Med ; 172(4): 248-257, 2020 02 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31986526

RESUMEN

Background: Patients with heart failure (HF) discharged from the hospital are at high risk for death and rehospitalization. Transitional care service interventions attempt to mitigate these risks. Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of 3 types of postdischarge HF transitional care services and standard care. Design: Decision analytic microsimulation model. Data Sources: Randomized controlled trials, clinical registries, cohort studies, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention life tables, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services data, and National Inpatient Sample (Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project) data. Target Population: Patients with HF who were aged 75 years at hospital discharge. Time Horizon: Lifetime. Perspective: Health care sector. Intervention: Disease management clinics, nurse home visits (NHVs), and nurse case management. Outcome Measures: Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, net monetary benefits, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Results of Base-Case Analysis: All 3 transitional care interventions examined were more costly and effective than standard care, with NHVs dominating the other 2 interventions. Compared with standard care, NHVs increased QALYs (2.49 vs. 2.25) and costs ($81 327 vs. $76 705), resulting in an ICER of $19 570 per QALY gained. Results of Sensitivity Analysis: Results were largely insensitive to variations in in-hospital mortality, age at baseline, or costs of rehospitalization. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed that transitional care services were preferred over standard care in nearly all 10 000 samples, at willingness-to-pay thresholds of $50 000 or more per QALY gained. Limitation: Transitional care service designs and implementations are heterogeneous, leading to uncertainty about intervention effectiveness and costs when applied in particular settings. Conclusion: In older patients with HF, transitional care services are economically attractive, with NHVs being the most cost-effective strategy in many situations. Transitional care services should become the standard of care for postdischarge management of patients with HF. Primary Funding Source: Swiss National Science Foundation, Research Council of Norway, and an Intermountain-Stanford collaboration.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca/economía , Cuidado de Transición/economía , Anciano , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Masculino , Alta del Paciente , Readmisión del Paciente/economía , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Factores de Riesgo , Cuidado de Transición/estadística & datos numéricos
11.
N Engl J Med ; 376(26): 2534-2544, 2017 06 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28402245

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The use of levothyroxine to treat subclinical hypothyroidism is controversial. We aimed to determine whether levothyroxine provided clinical benefits in older persons with this condition. METHODS: We conducted a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial involving 737 adults who were at least 65 years of age and who had persisting subclinical hypothyroidism (thyrotropin level, 4.60 to 19.99 mIU per liter; free thyroxine level within the reference range). A total of 368 patients were assigned to receive levothyroxine (at a starting dose of 50 µg daily, or 25 µg if the body weight was <50 kg or the patient had coronary heart disease), with dose adjustment according to the thyrotropin level; 369 patients were assigned to receive placebo with mock dose adjustment. The two primary outcomes were the change in the Hypothyroid Symptoms score and Tiredness score on a thyroid-related quality-of-life questionnaire at 1 year (range of each scale is 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating more symptoms or tiredness, respectively; minimum clinically important difference, 9 points). RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 74.4 years, and 396 patients (53.7%) were women. The mean (±SD) thyrotropin level was 6.40±2.01 mIU per liter at baseline; at 1 year, this level had decreased to 5.48 mIU per liter in the placebo group, as compared with 3.63 mIU per liter in the levothyroxine group (P<0.001), at a median dose of 50 µg. We found no differences in the mean change at 1 year in the Hypothyroid Symptoms score (0.2±15.3 in the placebo group and 0.2±14.4 in the levothyroxine group; between-group difference, 0.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], -2.0 to 2.1) or the Tiredness score (3.2±17.7 and 3.8±18.4, respectively; between-group difference, 0.4; 95% CI, -2.1 to 2.9). No beneficial effects of levothyroxine were seen on secondary-outcome measures. There was no significant excess of serious adverse events prespecified as being of special interest. CONCLUSIONS: Levothyroxine provided no apparent benefits in older persons with subclinical hypothyroidism. (Funded by European Union FP7 and others; TRUST ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01660126 .).


Asunto(s)
Hipotiroidismo/tratamiento farmacológico , Tiroxina/administración & dosificación , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Método Doble Ciego , Fatiga/etiología , Femenino , Humanos , Hipotiroidismo/complicaciones , Análisis de Intención de Tratar , Masculino , Calidad de Vida , Tirotropina/sangre , Tiroxina/efectos adversos , Tiroxina/sangre , Insuficiencia del Tratamiento
12.
Ann Intern Med ; 170(2): 108-111, 2019 01 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30597486

RESUMEN

The E-value was recently introduced on the basis of earlier work as "the minimum strength of association…that an unmeasured confounder would need to have with both the treatment and the outcome to fully explain away a specific treatment-outcome association, conditional on the measured covariates." E-values have been proposed for wide application in observational studies evaluating causality. However, they have limitations and are prone to misinterpretation. E-values have a monotonic, almost linear relationship with effect estimates and thus offer no additional information beyond what effect estimates can convey. Whereas effect estimates are based on real data, E-values may make unrealistic assumptions. No general rule can exist about what is a "small enough" E-value, and users of the biomedical literature are not familiar with how to interpret a range of E-values. Problems arise for any measure dependent on effect estimates and their CIs-for example, bias due to selective reporting and dependence on choice of exposure contrast and level of confidence. The automation of E-values may give an excuse not to think seriously about confounding. Moreover, biases other than confounding may still undermine results. Instead of misused or misinterpreted E-values, the authors recommend judicious use of existing methods for sensitivity analyses with careful assumptions; systematic assessments of whether and how known confounders have been handled, along with consideration of their prevalence and magnitude; thorough discussion of the potential for unknown confounders considering the study design and field of application; and explicit caution in making causal claims from observational studies.


Asunto(s)
Causalidad , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto , Estadística como Asunto , Sesgo , Intervalos de Confianza , Factores de Confusión Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto/métodos
13.
Clin Endocrinol (Oxf) ; 91(3): 374-382, 2019 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30485501

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Glucocorticoids have been shown to improve outcome in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, glucocorticoids have potential side-effects, and treatment response may vary. It is thus crucial to select patients with high likelihood to respond favourably. In critical illness, cosyntropin testing is recommended to identify patients in need for glucocorticoids. We investigated whether cosyntropin testing predicts treatment response to glucocorticoids in CAP. DESIGN: Predefined secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial. PATIENTS: Hospitalized patients with CAP. MEASUREMENTS: We performed 1 µg cosyntropin tests in a randomized trial comparing prednisone 50 mg for 7 days to placebo. We investigated whether subgroups based on baseline and stimulated cortisol levels responded differently to glucocorticoids with regard to time to clinical stability (TTCS) and other outcomes by inclusion of interaction terms into statistical models. RESULTS: A total of 326 patients in the prednisone and 309 patients in the placebo group were evaluated. Neither basal cortisol nor a Δcortisol <250 nmol/L after stimulation nor the combination of basal cortisol and Δcortisol predicted treatment response as measured by TTCS (all P for interaction >0.05). Similarly, we found no effect modification with respect to mortality, rehospitalization, antibiotic treatment duration or CAP-related complications (all P for interaction >0.05). However, glucocorticoids had a stronger effect on shortening length of hospital stay in patients with a baseline cortisol of ≥938 nmol/L (P for interaction = 0.015). CONCLUSIONS: Neither baseline nor stimulated cortisol after low-dose cosyntropin testing at a dose of 1 µg predicted glucocorticoid responsiveness in mild to moderate CAP. A treatment decision for or against adjunct glucocorticoids in CAP should not be made depending on cortisol values or cosyntropin testing results.


Asunto(s)
Cosintropina/análisis , Glucocorticoides/farmacología , Neumonía/tratamiento farmacológico , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Adulto , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas , Toma de Decisiones , Femenino , Glucocorticoides/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prednisona/uso terapéutico
14.
Br J Sports Med ; 53(14): 859-869, 2019 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30563873

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To compare the effect of exercise regimens and medications on systolic blood pressure (SBP). DATA SOURCES: Medline (via PubMed) and the Cochrane Library. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-I), angiotensin-2 receptor blockers (ARBs), ß-blockers, calcium channel blockers (CCBs) and diuretics were identified from existing Cochrane reviews. A previously published meta-analysis of exercise interventions was updated to identify recent RCTs that tested the SBP-lowering effects of endurance, dynamic resistance, isometric resistance, and combined endurance and resistance exercise interventions (up to September 2018). DESIGN: Random-effects network meta-analysis. OUTCOME: Difference in mean change from baseline SBP between comparator treatments (change from baseline in one group minus that in the other group) and its 95% credible interval (95% CrI), measured in mmHg. RESULTS: We included a total of 391 RCTs, 197 of which evaluated exercise interventions (10 461 participants) and 194 evaluated antihypertensive medications (29 281 participants). No RCTs compared directly exercise against medications. While all medication trials included hypertensive populations, only 56 exercise trials included hypertensive participants (≥140 mmHg), corresponding to 3508 individuals. In a 10% random sample, risk of bias was higher in exercise RCTs, primarily due to lack of blinding and incomplete outcome data. In analyses that combined all populations, antihypertensive medications achieved higher reductions in baseline SBP compared with exercise interventions (mean difference -3.96 mmHg, 95% CrI -5.02 to -2.91). Compared with control, all types of exercise (including combination of endurance and resistance) and all classes of antihypertensive medications were effective in lowering baseline SBP. Among hypertensive populations, there were no detectable differences in the SBP-lowering effects of ACE-I, ARB, ß-blocker and diuretic medications when compared with endurance or dynamic resistance exercise. There was no detectable inconsistency between direct and indirect comparisons. Although there was evidence of small-study effects, this affected both medication and exercise trials. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of exercise interventions on SBP remains under-studied, especially among hypertensive populations. Our findings confirm modest but consistent reductions in SBP in many studied exercise interventions across all populations but individuals receiving medications generally achieved greater reductions than those following structured exercise regimens. Assuming equally reliable estimates, the SBP-lowering effect of exercise among hypertensive populations appears similar to that of commonly used antihypertensive medications. Generalisability of these findings to real-world clinical settings should be further evaluated.


Asunto(s)
Antihipertensivos/administración & dosificación , Presión Sanguínea/efectos de los fármacos , Ejercicio Físico/fisiología , Hipertensión/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipertensión/prevención & control , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/administración & dosificación , Inhibidores de la Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina/administración & dosificación , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Bloqueadores de los Canales de Calcio/administración & dosificación , Diuréticos/administración & dosificación , Humanos , Hipertensión/fisiopatología , Metaanálisis en Red
15.
JAMA ; 322(20): 1977-1986, 2019 Nov 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31664429

RESUMEN

IMPORTANCE: It is unclear whether levothyroxine treatment provides clinically important benefits in adults aged 80 years and older with subclinical hypothyroidism. OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of levothyroxine treatment for subclinical hypothyroidism with thyroid-related quality of life in adults aged 80 years and older. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospectively planned combined analysis of data involving community-dwelling adults aged 80 years and older with subclinical hypothyroidism. Data from a randomized clinical trial were combined with a subgroup of participants aged 80 years and older from a second clinical trial. The trials were conducted between April 2013 and May 2018. Final follow-up was May 4, 2018. EXPOSURES: Participants were randomly assigned to receive levothyroxine (n = 112; 52 participants from the first trial and 60 from the second trial) or placebo (n = 139; 53 participants from the first trial and 86 from the second trial). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Co-primary outcomes were Thyroid-Related Quality of Life Patient-Reported Outcome (ThyPRO) questionnaire scores for the domains of hypothyroid symptoms and tiredness at 1 year (range, 0-100; higher scores indicate worse quality of life; minimal clinically important difference, 9). RESULTS: Of 251 participants (mean age, 85 years; 118 [47%] women), 105 were included from the first clinical trial and 146 were included from the second clinical trial. A total of 212 participants (84%) completed the study. The hypothyroid symptoms score decreased from 21.7 at baseline to 19.3 at 12 months in the levothyroxine group vs from 19.8 at baseline to 17.4 at 12 months in the placebo group (adjusted between-group difference, 1.3 [95% CI, -2.7 to 5.2]; P = .53). The tiredness score increased from 25.5 at baseline to 28.2 at 12 months in the levothyroxine group vs from 25.1 at baseline to 28.7 at 12 months in the placebo group (adjusted between-group difference, -0.1 [95% CI, -4.5 to 4.3]; P = .96). At least 1 adverse event occurred in 33 participants (29.5%) in the levothyroxine group (the most common adverse event was cerebrovascular accident, which occurred in 3 participants [2.2%]) and 40 participants (28.8%) in the placebo group (the most common adverse event was pneumonia, which occurred in 4 [3.6%] participants). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this prospectively planned analysis of data from 2 clinical trials involving adults aged 80 years and older with subclinical hypothyroidism, treatment with levothyroxine, compared with placebo, was not significantly associated with improvement in hypothyroid symptoms or fatigue. These findings do not support routine use of levothyroxine for treatment of subclinical hypothyroidism in adults aged 80 years and older. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01660126; Netherlands Trial Register: NTR3851.

16.
Rev Med Suisse ; 14(596): 470-474, 2018 Feb 28.
Artículo en Francés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29489127

RESUMEN

Subclinical hypothyroidism, defined as an elevated level of thyrotropin hormone (TSH) and normal thyroxin, is more frequent in women and above 65 years old. This condition is associated with an increased cardiovascular risk, in particular with TSH > 10,0 mIU/L. Although overt hypothyroidism is rare (prevalence of 0,3 %), levothyroxine has become the most prescribed medication in the US, while its indications are still debated. The European-funded TRUST trial showed no improvement in Hypothyroid Symptoms and Tiredness scores among patients ≥ 65 years with subclinical hypothyroidism treated with levothyroxine, and no improvement in blood pressure, weight, muscle strength and cognition. The results of this study call for a revision of the current international recommendations on the treatment of subclinical hypothyroidism.


L'hypothyroïdie infraclinique, soit un taux élevé d'hormone thyréotrope (TSH) et une thyroxine normale, est plus fréquente chez les femmes et après 65 ans. Cette condition est associée à une élévation du risque cardiovasculaire, en particulier lors de TSH > 10,0 mUl/l. Bien que l'hypothyroïdie franche soit peu fréquente (prévalence de 0,3 %), la lévothyroxine est devenue le médicament le plus prescrit aux Etats-Unis, alors que ses indications restent controversées. L'étude européenne TRUST a montré l'absence d'amélioration des scores de fatigue et d'hypothyroïdie chez des personnes âgées ≥ 65 ans avec hypothyroïdie infraclinique sous lévothyroxine, ainsi qu'une absence de bénéfice pour la tension artérielle, le poids, la force et la cognition. Nous proposons ici d'adapter les recommandations internationales sur l'hypothyroïdie infraclinique.


Asunto(s)
Hipotiroidismo , Atención Primaria de Salud , Anciano , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Femenino , Humanos , Hipotiroidismo/tratamiento farmacológico , Prevalencia , Tirotropina/uso terapéutico , Tiroxina/uso terapéutico
17.
Neuroendocrinology ; 103(3-4): 291-9, 2016.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26202797

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Subclinical hypothyroidism has been associated with depressive symptoms in cross-sectional studies, but prospective data and data on subclinical hyperthyroidism are scarce. METHODS: In the Leiden substudy of the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER), thyroid-stimulating hormone and free T4 levels were measured at baseline and repeated after 6 months in adults aged 70-82 years with preexisting cardiovascular disease or known cardiovascular risk factors to define persistent thyroid functional status. Main outcome measures were depressive symptoms, assessed with the Geriatric Depression Scale 15 (GDS-15) at baseline and after 3 years. All analyses were adjusted for age, gender and education. RESULTS: In 606 participants (41% women; mean age 75 years) without antidepressant medication, GDS-15 scores at baseline did not differ for participants with subclinical hypothyroidism (n = 47; GDS-15 score 1.75, 95% CI 1.29-2.20, p = 0.53) or subclinical hyperthyroidism (n = 13; GDS-15 score 1.64, 95% CI 0.78-2.51, p = 0.96) compared to euthyroid participants (n = 546; mean GDS-15 score 1.60, 95% CI 1.46-1.73). After 3 years, compared to the euthyroid participants, changes in GDS-15 scores did not differ for participants with subclinical hypothyroidism (x0394;GDS-15 score -0.03, 95% CI -0.50 to 0.44, p = 0.83), while subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with an increase in GDS scores (x0394;GDS-15 score 1.13, 95% CI 0.32-1.93, p = 0.04). All results were similar for persistent subclinical thyroid dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: In this largest prospective study on the association of persistent subclinical thyroid dysfunction and depression, subclinical hypothyroidism was not associated with increased depressive symptoms among older adults at high cardiovascular risk. Persistent subclinical hyperthyroidism might be associated with increased depressive symptoms, which requires confirmation in a larger prospective study.


Asunto(s)
Depresión/epidemiología , Enfermedades de la Tiroides/epidemiología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Escalas de Valoración Psiquiátrica , Pruebas de Función de la Tiroides , Hormonas Tiroideas/metabolismo , Tirotropina/metabolismo
18.
Ann Intern Med ; 161(3): 189-99, 2014 Aug 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25089863

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Data on the association between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fractures conflict. PURPOSE: To assess the risk for hip and nonspine fractures associated with subclinical thyroid dysfunction among prospective cohorts. DATA SOURCES: Search of MEDLINE and EMBASE (1946 to 16 March 2014) and reference lists of retrieved articles without language restriction. STUDY SELECTION: Two physicians screened and identified prospective cohorts that measured thyroid function and followed participants to assess fracture outcomes. DATA EXTRACTION: One reviewer extracted data using a standardized protocol, and another verified data. Both reviewers independently assessed methodological quality of the studies. DATA SYNTHESIS: The 7 population-based cohorts of heterogeneous quality included 50,245 participants with 1966 hip and 3281 nonspine fractures. In random-effects models that included the 5 higher-quality studies, the pooled adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of participants with subclinical hyperthyroidism versus euthyrodism were 1.38 (95% CI, 0.92 to 2.07) for hip fractures and 1.20 (CI, 0.83 to 1.72) for nonspine fractures without statistical heterogeneity (P = 0.82 and 0.52, respectively; I2= 0%). Pooled estimates for the 7 cohorts were 1.26 (CI, 0.96 to 1.65) for hip fractures and 1.16 (CI, 0.95 to 1.42) for nonspine fractures. When thyroxine recipients were excluded, the HRs for participants with subclinical hyperthyroidism were 2.16 (CI, 0.87 to 5.37) for hip fractures and 1.43 (CI, 0.73 to 2.78) for nonspine fractures. For participants with subclinical hypothyroidism, HRs from higher-quality studies were 1.12 (CI, 0.83 to 1.51) for hip fractures and 1.04 (CI, 0.76 to 1.42) for nonspine fractures (P for heterogeneity = 0.69 and 0.88, respectively; I2 = 0%). LIMITATIONS: Selective reporting cannot be excluded. Adjustment for potential common confounders varied and was not adequately done across all studies. CONCLUSION: Subclinical hyperthyroidism might be associated with an increased risk for hip and nonspine fractures, but additional large, high-quality studies are needed. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Swiss National Science Foundation.


Asunto(s)
Fracturas Óseas/etiología , Fracturas de Cadera/etiología , Hipertiroidismo/complicaciones , Hipotiroidismo/complicaciones , Humanos , Hormonas Tiroideas/sangre
20.
JAMA ; 313(20): 2055-65, 2015 May 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26010634

RESUMEN

IMPORTANCE: Associations between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fractures are unclear and clinical trials are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of subclinical thyroid dysfunction with hip, nonspine, spine, or any fractures. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: The databases of MEDLINE and EMBASE (inception to March 26, 2015) were searched without language restrictions for prospective cohort studies with thyroid function data and subsequent fractures. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual participant data were obtained from 13 prospective cohorts in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Japan. Levels of thyroid function were defined as euthyroidism (thyroid-stimulating hormone [TSH], 0.45-4.49 mIU/L), subclinical hyperthyroidism (TSH <0.45 mIU/L), and subclinical hypothyroidism (TSH ≥4.50-19.99 mIU/L) with normal thyroxine concentrations. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was hip fracture. Any fractures, nonspine fractures, and clinical spine fractures were secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Among 70,298 participants, 4092 (5.8%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 2219 (3.2%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism. During 762,401 person-years of follow-up, hip fracture occurred in 2975 participants (4.6%; 12 studies), any fracture in 2528 participants (9.0%; 8 studies), nonspine fracture in 2018 participants (8.4%; 8 studies), and spine fracture in 296 participants (1.3%; 6 studies). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, the hazard ratio (HR) for subclinical hyperthyroidism vs euthyroidism was 1.36 for hip fracture (95% CI, 1.13-1.64; 146 events in 2082 participants vs 2534 in 56,471); for any fracture, HR was 1.28 (95% CI, 1.06-1.53; 121 events in 888 participants vs 2203 in 25,901); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.16 (95% CI, 0.95-1.41; 107 events in 946 participants vs 1745 in 21,722); and for spine fracture, HR was 1.51 (95% CI, 0.93-2.45; 17 events in 732 participants vs 255 in 20,328). Lower TSH was associated with higher fracture rates: for TSH of less than 0.10 mIU/L, HR was 1.61 for hip fracture (95% CI, 1.21-2.15; 47 events in 510 participants); for any fracture, HR was 1.98 (95% CI, 1.41-2.78; 44 events in 212 participants); for nonspine fracture, HR was 1.61 (95% CI, 0.96-2.71; 32 events in 185 participants); and for spine fracture, HR was 3.57 (95% CI, 1.88-6.78; 8 events in 162 participants). Risks were similar after adjustment for other fracture risk factors. Endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism (excluding thyroid medication users) was associated with HRs of 1.52 (95% CI, 1.19-1.93) for hip fracture, 1.42 (95% CI, 1.16-1.74) for any fracture, and 1.74 (95% CI, 1.01-2.99) for spine fracture. No association was found between subclinical hypothyroidism and fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with an increased risk of hip and other fractures, particularly among those with TSH levels of less than 0.10 mIU/L and those with endogenous subclinical hyperthyroidism. Further study is needed to determine whether treating subclinical hyperthyroidism can prevent fractures.


Asunto(s)
Fracturas Óseas/etiología , Fracturas de Cadera/etiología , Hipertiroidismo/complicaciones , Hipotiroidismo/complicaciones , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Fracturas de la Columna Vertebral/etiología , Tirotropina/sangre , Adulto Joven
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