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1.
Int J Cancer ; 150(8): 1301-1309, 2022 04 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34889463

RESUMEN

While head and neck cancer incidence decreased worldwide due to reduced tobacco and alcohol consumption, oral tongue cancer (OTC) incidence has been reported to be increasing in several countries. Our study examines the incidence trends of OTC in France from 1990 to 2018, globally and by age; and compares the incidence trends with the evolution of the incidence of other human papilloma virus-unrelated head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, that is, cancers of the remaining subsites of the oral cavity (RSOCC) and laryngeal cancers for the period 1990 to 2018. World age-standardized incidence rates of oral tongue cancers (C02), cancers of the remaining subsites of the oral cavity (RSOCC, C03-06) and laryngeal cancers (C32) were estimated using the French National Network of Cancer Registries for the period 1990 to 2018. Trends in national incidence rates were estimated from a mixed-effect Poisson model including age and year effects using penalized splines and a district-random effect. In women aged 30 and 40, a significant increase in OTC incidence was observed, while ROSCC showed a nonsignificant incidence decrease. In young men aged 25, a marginally significant increase of OTC incidence years was observed, while incidence rates of RSOCC significantly declined. The results suggest a tendency towards diverging incidence trends for OTC compared to RSOCC and laryngeal cancer in young adults. The observed trends may reflect changes in underlying exposures or emerging exposures not yet identified, and stress the need to further investigate the etiology of oral tongue cancers.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Lengua/epidemiología , Adulto , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Neoplasias Laríngeas/epidemiología , Masculino , Neoplasias de la Boca/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
2.
Mult Scler ; 27(9): 1458-1463, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33269975

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Sex steroids could explain the course of multiple sclerosis (MS) in pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: To compare the annualized relapse rate (ARR) 12 weeks post-partum in women treated with nomegestrol acetate (NOMAc) and 17-beta-estradiol (E2) versus placebo. METHODS: POPARTMUS is a randomized, proof-of-concept trial in women with MS, receiving oral NOMAc 10 mg/day and transdermal estradiol 75 µg/week, or placebo. RESULTS: Recruitment was stopped prematurely due to slow inclusions (n = 202). No treatment effect was observed on ARR after 12 weeks (sex steroids = 0.90 (0.58-1.39), placebo = 0.97 (0.63-1.50) (p = 0.79)). CONCLUSION: POPARTMUS failed showing efficacy of a NOMAc-E2 combination in preventing post-partum relapses.


Asunto(s)
Estradiol , Esclerosis Múltiple , Femenino , Humanos , Megestrol , Esclerosis Múltiple/tratamiento farmacológico , Norpregnadienos , Periodo Posparto , Embarazo , Recurrencia
3.
Biometrics ; 77(4): 1289-1302, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32869288

RESUMEN

Cure models have been widely developed to estimate the cure fraction when some subjects never experience the event of interest. However, these models were rarely focused on the estimation of the time-to-cure, that is, the delay elapsed between the diagnosis and "the time from which cure is reached," an important indicator, for instance, to address the question of access to insurance or loans for subjects with personal history of cancer. We propose a new excess hazard regression model that includes the time-to-cure as a covariate-dependent parameter to be estimated. The model is written similarly to a Beta probability distribution function and is shown to be a particular case of the non-mixture cure models. Parameters are estimated through a maximum likelihood approach and simulation studies demonstrate good performance of the model. Illustrative applications to three cancer data sets are provided and some limitations as well as possible extensions of the model are discussed. The proposed model offers a simple and comprehensive way to estimate more accurately the time-to-cure.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Neoplasias , Humanos , Funciones de Verosimilitud , Neoplasias/terapia , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Análisis de Supervivencia
4.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 1189, 2021 Nov 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34836505

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to assess the seasonality of confirmed malaria cases in Togo and to provide new indicators of malaria seasonality to the National Malaria Control Programme (NMCP). METHODS: Aggregated data of confirmed malaria cases were collected monthly from 2008 to 2017 by the Togo's NMCP and stratified by health district and according to three target groups: children < 5 years old, children ≥ 5 years old and adults, and pregnant women. Time series analysis was carried out for each target group and health district. Seasonal decomposition was used to assess the seasonality of confirmed malaria cases. Maximum and minimum seasonal indices, their corresponding months, and the ratio of maximum/minimum seasonal indices reflecting the importance of malaria transmission, were provided by health district and target group. RESULTS: From 2008 to 2017, 7,951,757 malaria cases were reported in Togo. Children < 5 years old, children ≥ 5 years old and adults, and pregnant women represented 37.1%, 57.7% and 5.2% of the confirmed malaria cases, respectively. The maximum seasonal indices were observed during or shortly after a rainy season and the minimum seasonal indices during the dry season between January and April in particular. In children < 5 years old, the ratio of maximum/minimum seasonal indices was higher in the north, suggesting a higher seasonal malaria transmission, than in the south of Togo. This is also observed in the other two groups but to a lesser extent. CONCLUSIONS: This study contributes to a better understanding of malaria seasonality in Togo. The indicators of malaria seasonality could allow for more accurate forecasting in malaria interventions and supply planning throughout the year.


Asunto(s)
Malaria , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Malaria/epidemiología , Embarazo , Lluvia , Estaciones del Año , Togo/epidemiología
5.
Int J Cancer ; 144(6): 1262-1274, 2019 03 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30367459

RESUMEN

Social inequalities are concerning along the cancer continuum. In France, social gradient in health is particularly marked but little is known about social gradient in cancer survival. We aimed to investigate the influence of socioeconomic environment on cancer survival, for all cancers reported in the French Network of Cancer Registries. We analyzed 189,657 solid tumors diagnosed between 2006 and 2009, recorded in 18 registries. The European Deprivation Index (EDI), an ecological index measuring relative poverty in small geographic areas, assessed social environment. The EDI was categorized into quintiles of the national distribution. One- and five-year age-standardized net survival (ASNS) were estimated for each solid tumor site and deprivation quintile, among men and among women. We found that 5-year ASNS was lower among patients living in the most deprived areas compared to those living in the least deprived ones for 14/16 cancers among men and 16/18 cancers among women. The extent of cancer survival disparities according to deprivation varied substantially across the cancer sites. The reduction in ASNS between the least and the most deprived quintile reached 34% for liver cancer among men and 59% for bile duct cancer among women. For pancreas, stomach and esophagus cancer (among men), and ovary and stomach cancer (among women), deprivation gaps were larger at 1-year than 5-year survival. In conclusion, survival was worse in the most deprived areas for almost all cancers. Our results from population-based cancer registries data highlight the need for implementing actions to reduce social inequalities in cancer survival in France.


Asunto(s)
Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores Socioeconómicos , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Necesidades y Demandas de Servicios de Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo
6.
Biostatistics ; 18(3): 505-520, 2017 Jul 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28334368

RESUMEN

Net survival, the one that would be observed if the disease under study was the only cause of death, is an important, useful, and increasingly used indicator in public health, especially in population-based studies. Estimates of net survival and effects of prognostic factor can be obtained by excess hazard regression modeling. Whereas various diagnostic tools were developed for overall survival analysis, few methods are available to check the assumptions of excess hazard models. We propose here two formal tests to check the proportional hazard assumption and the validity of the functional form of the covariate effects in the context of flexible parametric excess hazard modeling. These tests were adapted from martingale residual-based tests for parametric modeling of overall survival to allow adding to the model a necessary element for net survival analysis: the population mortality hazard. We studied the size and the power of these tests through an extensive simulation study based on complex but realistic data. The new tests showed sizes close to the nominal values and satisfactory powers. The power of the proportionality test was similar or greater than that of other tests already available in the field of net survival. We illustrate the use of these tests with real data from French cancer registries.


Asunto(s)
Pronóstico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Análisis de Supervivencia , Humanos , Neoplasias , Salud Pública , Sistema de Registros , Proyectos de Investigación
7.
Int J Cancer ; 140(9): 2032-2039, 2017 05 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28164282

RESUMEN

Human papillomavirus (HPV) has been recently recognised as a carcinogenic factor for a subset of head and neck cancers (HNC). In Europe, France has one of the highest incidence rates of HNC. The aim of this study is to explore changes in HNC incidence in France, potentially in relation with infection by HPV. HNC were classified into two anatomical groups: potentially HPV-related and HPV-unrelated. Trends over the period 1980-2012 were analysed by an age-period-cohort model based on data from eleven French cancer registries. Among men, the age-standardised incidence rate (ASR) of HNC decreased in both groups, but less so for HPV-related sites as compared to unrelated sites, especially in recent years (annual percentage change [APC] over the period 2005-2012: -3.5% vs. -5.4%). Among women, the ASR increased in both groups, but more rapidly for HPV-related as compared to unrelated sites (APC over the period 2005-2012: +1.9% vs. -0.4%). This preferential growth of HPV-related versus unrelated HNC was observed in the cohorts born from 1930 to 1935. The differences in trends between possible HPV-related and HPV-unrelated sites suggest an increasing incidence of HNC due to HPV infection. The difference was less marked in men as compared to women, most likely because of a higher contamination in the HPV-related group by cancers due to tobacco or alcohol consumption. The pattern observed is consistent with observations made in other countries, with studies of HPV prevalence in HNC and the evolution of sexual behaviour in France.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiología , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/epidemiología , Papillomaviridae/aislamiento & purificación , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patología , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/virología , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/patología , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/virología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Papillomaviridae/patogenicidad , Sistema de Registros , Caracteres Sexuales
8.
Stat Med ; 35(18): 3066-84, 2016 08 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26924122

RESUMEN

The excess hazard regression model is an approach developed for the analysis of cancer registry data to estimate net survival, that is, the survival of cancer patients that would be observed if cancer was the only cause of death. Cancer registry data typically possess a hierarchical structure: individuals from the same geographical unit share common characteristics such as proximity to a large hospital that may influence access to and quality of health care, so that their survival times might be correlated. As a consequence, correct statistical inference regarding the estimation of net survival and the effect of covariates should take this hierarchical structure into account. It becomes particularly important as many studies in cancer epidemiology aim at studying the effect on the excess mortality hazard of variables, such as deprivation indexes, often available only at the ecological level rather than at the individual level. We developed here an approach to fit a flexible excess hazard model including a random effect to describe the unobserved heterogeneity existing between different clusters of individuals, and with the possibility to estimate non-linear and time-dependent effects of covariates. We demonstrated the overall good performance of the proposed approach in a simulation study that assessed the impact on parameter estimates of the number of clusters, their size and their level of unbalance. We then used this multilevel model to describe the effect of a deprivation index defined at the geographical level on the excess mortality hazard of patients diagnosed with cancer of the oral cavity. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias/mortalidad , Sistema de Registros , Geografía , Humanos , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Análisis de Supervivencia
9.
Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc ; 24(8): 2532-40, 2016 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25605560

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: The incidence of anteroposterior overhang of the tibial component after TKA and its effect on clinical outcome were investigated, and the morphometric characteristics of the knees in which tibial baseplates were oversized were identified. METHOD: One hundred and fourteen consecutive TKAs were retrospectively assessed. The dimensions of the tibia were measured on a pre-operative CT scan and were compared with those of the implanted tibial component. We analysed the effect of anteroposterior and mediolateral size variations on clinical outcomes 1 year after surgery. RESULTS: An anteroposterior overhang was observed in 87 % of cases on the lateral plateau, in 88 % on the central plateau and in 25 % on the medial tibial plateau. The mean post-pre-operative size differences were 3.2 ± 2.7, 2.8 ± 2.7 and -1.6 ± 2.3 mm, respectively. (Positive value means oversizing). A mediolateral overhang of the tibial component was found in 61 % of the patients. Oversizing was significantly greater and more frequent in females. Patients oversized in the anteroposterior dimension had lower post-operative pain scores. Patients with mediolateral oversizing had decreased flexion 1 year after surgery. Anteroposterior oversizing was observed more frequently in patients with asymmetric tibial plateaus, while mediolateral oversizing was observed more frequently in patients with small tibias. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that the incidence of oversized tibial plateau components is surprisingly high and that functional outcomes are lower in the case of mediolateral or anteroposterior oversizing. The risk of oversizing could be predicted as it occurs predominantly in patients with asymmetric proximal tibia and/or small tibia. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV.


Asunto(s)
Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/métodos , Prótesis de la Rodilla , Osteoartritis de la Rodilla/cirugía , Dolor Postoperatorio/epidemiología , Ajuste de Prótesis , Tibia/cirugía , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Articulación de la Rodilla/cirugía , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tomografía Computarizada Multidetector , Tamaño de los Órganos , Dolor Postoperatorio/fisiopatología , Periodo Posoperatorio , Rango del Movimiento Articular , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Tibia/anatomía & histología , Tibia/diagnóstico por imagen , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X
10.
BMC Cancer ; 15: 153, 2015 Mar 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25884310

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: To provide estimations of partial and total prevalence of 24 cancer sites in France in 2008. The estimations of partial prevalence were compared with the previous estimations for 2002. METHODS: Nationwide estimations of incidence and survival data from cancer registries were used for partial prevalence. Nationwide incidence and mortality data were used to estimate total prevalence. RESULTS: At the end of 2008, in France, nearly 3 million people still alive had received a diagnosis of cancer. Of all prevalent cases, 36% were diagnosed 0 to 5 years earlier and 43% diagnosed 6 to 10 years earlier. The cancer sites with the highest prevalence were the prostate, the breast, and the colon-rectum. The changes in partial prevalence over 5 years (2002 to 2008) were considerable (+244,000 cases) and deemed to be highly related to changes in incidence. CONCLUSION: The present estimations update the French prevalence data and highlight the burden of cancer in the population, especially in the elderly. The methods of this study had the advantage of using recent incidence and survival data, which is necessary to show sudden changes in incidence trends and changes in survival that impact prevalence.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Vigilancia de la Población , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Prevalencia , Sistema de Registros , Adulto Joven
11.
Gynecol Oncol ; 139(2): 324-9, 2015 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26383829

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this epidemiological study was to describe the incidence, mortality and survival of ovarian cancer (OC) in France, according to age, period of diagnosis, and histological type. METHODS: Incidence and mortality were estimated from 1980 to 2012 based on data in French cancer registries and from the Centre for Epidemiology of Causes of Death (CépiDc-Inserm) up to 2009. Net survival was estimated from registry data using the Pohar-Perme method, on cases diagnosed between 1989 and 2010, with date of last follow-up set at 30 June 2013. RESULTS: In 2012, 4615 cases of OC were diagnosed in France, and 3140 women died from OC. World population age-standardized incidence and mortality rates declined by respectively 0.6% and 1.2% per year between 1980 and 2012. Net survival at 5years increased slightly, from 40% for the period 1989-1993 to 45% for the period 2005-2010. Net survival varied considerably according to histological type. Germ cell tumors had better net survival at 10years (81%) compared to epithelial tumors (32%), sex cord-stromal tumors (40%) and tumors without biopsy (8%). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows a decline in incidence and mortality rates from ovarian cancer in France between 1980 and 2012, but net survival remains poor overall, and improved only slightly over the whole study period.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma/epidemiología , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/epidemiología , Neoplasias Glandulares y Epiteliales/epidemiología , Neoplasias Ováricas/epidemiología , Sistema de Registros , Tumores de los Cordones Sexuales y Estroma de las Gónadas/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Carcinoma/mortalidad , Carcinoma Epitelial de Ovario , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/mortalidad , Neoplasias Glandulares y Epiteliales/mortalidad , Neoplasias Ováricas/mortalidad , Tumores de los Cordones Sexuales y Estroma de las Gónadas/mortalidad , Tasa de Supervivencia
12.
Eur J Haematol ; 94(2): 120-9, 2015 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24952984

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Since the 1990s and since the development of humanised monoclonal antibodies in 1998, the treatment of non-Hodgkin lymphoma has undergone profound changes. Follicular lymphoma (FL) was the first to benefit from this treatment, and several clinical trials have shown a significant improvement in overall survival, but little information is available at a population level. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to estimate changes in FL-specific mortality at a population level, with an appropriate methodology. METHODS: Two French retrospective population-based studies on FL were conducted, one from 1995 to 2004, in 1477 patients, and one from 1995 to 2010, in 451 patients. Trends in excess mortality rates (EMRs) according to age, sex, Ann Arbor stage and year of diagnosis were evaluated using the flexible model of Remontet et al. RESULTS: Trends in the EMR differed according to age at diagnosis and was higher in advanced stage (III, IV) in patients older than 65 yr. The EMR decreased linearly from 1995 to 2010. This decrease was more marked for advanced stages. CONCLUSION: FL-specific mortality decreased over the years of diagnosis, and the difference according to the lymphoma stage diminished in more recent years. However, progress in the management of FL was not able to erase age-related differences.


Asunto(s)
Linfoma Folicular/mortalidad , Vigilancia de la Población , Adolescente , Adulto , Edad de Inicio , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Historia del Siglo XX , Historia del Siglo XXI , Humanos , Linfoma Folicular/diagnóstico , Linfoma Folicular/epidemiología , Linfoma Folicular/historia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Sistema de Registros , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto Joven
13.
Int J Cancer ; 132(10): 2359-69, 2013 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22961565

RESUMEN

Net survival, the survival which might occur if cancer was the only cause of death, is a major epidemiological indicator required for international or temporal comparisons. Recent findings have shown that all classical methods used for routine estimation of net survival from cancer-registry data, sometimes called "relative-survival methods," provide biased estimates. Meanwhile, an unbiased estimator, the Pohar-Perme estimator (PPE), was recently proposed. Using real data, we investigated the magnitude of the errors made by four "relative-survival" methods (Ederer I, Hakulinen, Ederer II and a univariable regression model) vs. PPE as reference and examined the influence of time of follow-up, cancer prognosis, and age on the errors made. The data concerned seven cancer sites (2,51,316 cases) collected by FRANCIM cancer registries. Net survivals were estimated at 5, 10 and 15 years postdiagnosis. At 5 years, the errors were generally small. At 10 years, in good-prognosis cancers, the errors made in nonstandardized estimates with all classical methods were generally great (+2.7 to +9% points in prostate cancer) and increased in age-class estimations (vs. 5-year ones). At 15 years, in bad- or average-prognosis cancers, the errors were often substantial whatever the nature of the estimation. In good-prognosis cancers, the errors in nonstandardized estimates of all classical methods were great and sometimes very important. With all classical methods, great errors occurred in age-class estimates resulting in errors in age-standardized estimates (+0.4 to +3.2% points in breast cancer). In estimating net survival, cancer registries should abandon all classical methods and adopt the new Pohar-Perme estimator.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Sesgo , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Causas de Muerte , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/mortalidad , Enfermedad de Hodgkin/mortalidad , Humanos , Incidencia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias/epidemiología , Pronóstico , Neoplasias de la Próstata/mortalidad , Sistema de Registros , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Análisis de Supervivencia , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/mortalidad
14.
Int J Cancer ; 132(10): 2370-7, 2013 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23001495

RESUMEN

In cancer studies, net survival (observed if cancer was the only cause of death) is a useful indicator but survival estimation at 5 years is insufficient for planning healthcare needs. We estimated the net survivals at 5 and 10 years in a cohort of 387,961 patients who had solid tumors between 1989 and 2004 and were followed-up until January 1, 2008. The cases were actively followed-up. Net survival was estimated with the unbiased Pohar-Perme method. The standardized net survival used the international cancer survival standard weights. In men, the standardized net survivals ranged from 92% at 5 years and 89% at 10 years (testis) to 6% at 5 years and 5% at 10 years (pancreas). In women, it ranged from 91% at 5 years and 88% at 10 years (thyroid) to 10% at 5 years and 7% at 10 years (pancreas). The most frequent cancers had the highest net survivals: 84% at 5 years and 71% at 10 years for prostate and 84% at 5 years and 74% at 10 years for breast cancer. Advanced age was associated with poorer prognosis. In most cancers, the net survivals at 5 and 10 years increased over periods of diagnosis. Net cancer survival is unaffected by mortalities due to other causes. It is the only indicator suitable for comparisons between countries or periods of diagnosis within a given country. The 10-year net survival confirmed the persistent unfavorable role of age in prognosis and the general improvement of cancer management over the last decade.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Sesgo , Femenino , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Riesgo , Distribución por Sexo , Análisis de Supervivencia
15.
Blood ; 118(16): 4331-7, 2011 Oct 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21849485

RESUMEN

Imatinib has transformed the prognosis and the management of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) and has probably changed the patterns of mortality rates. We explored this change at each disease severity level (Sokal score) through a flexible statistical modeling of the effect of the year of diagnosis on the excess mortality rate. The study included 691 chronic-phase patients from Nord-Pas-de-Calais French CML registry diagnosed from 1990 to 2007. Imatinib was given to 93% of the patients diagnosed after 2000. Comparing the 1990-1994, 1995-1999, and 2000-2007 periods of diagnosis, the 5-year relative survival improved from 64% to 66% and 88%. The year of diagnosis was associated with a significant reduction of the excess mortality, but only in patients with intermediate to high Sokal scores. In high-risk patients diagnosed in the early 1990s, a peak of excess mortality was observed during the second year of follow-up. That peak decreased progressively over the years of diagnosis until disappearing in patients diagnosed after 2000. This study showed different effects according to Sokal scores of the use of imatinib on mortality in patients with chronic-phase CML and showed that since 2000 the pattern of mortality of high-risk patients became similar to that of intermediate-risk ones.


Asunto(s)
Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Leucemia Mieloide de Fase Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Leucemia Mieloide de Fase Crónica/mortalidad , Piperazinas/uso terapéutico , Pirimidinas/uso terapéutico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Benzamidas , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Mesilato de Imatinib , Leucemia Mieloide de Fase Crónica/diagnóstico , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Análisis de Supervivencia , Adulto Joven
16.
Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc ; 21(10): 2314-24, 2013 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23404515

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Manufacturers of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) have introduced narrower femurs to improve bone-implant fit. However, few studies have reported the clinical consequences of mediolateral oversizing. Our hypothesis was that component oversizing negatively influences the results after TKA. METHODS: One hundred and twelve prospectively followed patients with 114 consecutive TKA (64 females and 50 males) were retrospectively assessed. The mean age of the patients was 72 years (range, 56 to 85 years). The dimensions of the femur and tibia were measured on a preoperative CT-scan and were compared with those of the implanted TKA. The influence of size variation on the clinical outcomes 1 year after surgery was assessed. RESULTS: Mediolateral overhang was observed in at least one area in 66 % of the femurs (84 % in females and 54 % in males) and 61 % of the tibia (81 % in females and 40 % in males). Twenty-two patients presented no overhang in any area and 16 had overhang in all studied zones. The increase in the Pain and KOOS scores were 43 ± 21 and 36 ± 18 in the patients without overhang and 31 ± 19 and 25 ± 13 in patients with overhang (p = 0.033; p = 0.032). Knee flexion was 127° ± 7 and 121° ± 11, respectively. Regression and latent class analysis showed a significant negative correlation between overall oversizing and overall outcome. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that oversizing may lead to worse clinical results in TKA. The clinical consequences are that surgeons should pay attention not to oversize implants during implantation nd that oversizing should be ruled out in case of so called unexplained pain. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV.


Asunto(s)
Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/instrumentación , Articulación de la Rodilla/fisiopatología , Prótesis de la Rodilla , Osteoartritis de la Rodilla/cirugía , Dolor Postoperatorio/etiología , Rango del Movimiento Articular , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Rodilla/métodos , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Articulación de la Rodilla/diagnóstico por imagen , Articulación de la Rodilla/cirugía , Modelos Lineales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Osteoartritis de la Rodilla/diagnóstico por imagen , Osteoartritis de la Rodilla/fisiopatología , Dimensión del Dolor , Dolor Postoperatorio/diagnóstico , Cuidados Preoperatorios/métodos , Recuperación de la Función , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Resultado del Tratamiento
17.
Stat Med ; 31(8): 775-86, 2012 Apr 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22281942

RESUMEN

Net survival, the one that would be observed if cancer were the only cause of death, is the most appropriate indicator to compare cancer mortality between areas or countries. Several parametric and non-parametric methods have been developed to estimate net survival, particularly when the cause of death is unknown. These methods are based either on the relative survival ratio or on the additive excess hazard model, the latter using the general population mortality hazard to estimate the excess mortality hazard (the hazard related to net survival). The present work used simulations to compare estimator abilities to estimate net survival in different settings such as the presence/absence of an age effect on the excess mortality hazard or on the potential time of follow-up, knowing that this covariate has an effect on the general population mortality hazard too. It showed that when age affected the excess mortality hazard, most estimators, including specific survival, were biased. Only two estimators were appropriate to estimate net survival. The first is based on a multivariable excess hazard model that includes age as covariate. The second is non-parametric and is based on the inverse probability weighting. These estimators take differently into account the informative censoring induced by the expected mortality process. The former offers great flexibility whereas the latter requires neither the assumption of a specific distribution nor a model-building strategy. Because of its simplicity and availability in commonly used software, the nonparametric estimator should be considered by cancer registries for population-based studies.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Análisis de Supervivencia , Causas de Muerte , Simulación por Computador , Humanos
18.
Neurology ; 97(4): e403-e413, 2021 07 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34011577

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effects of current age and disease duration on excess mortality in multiple sclerosis (MS), we describe the dynamics of excess death rates over these 2 time scales and study the effect of age at MS clinical onset on these dynamics, separately in each initial phenotype. METHODS: We used data from 18 French MS expert centers participating in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques. Patients with MS living in metropolitan France and having a clinical onset between 1960 and 2014 were included. Vital status was updated on January 1, 2016. For each MS phenotype separately (relapsing onset [RMS] or primary progressive [PPMS]), we used an innovative statistical method to model the logarithm of excess death rates by a multidimensional penalized spline of age and disease duration. RESULTS: Among 37,524 patients (71% women, mean age at MS onset ± SD 33.0 ± 10.6 years), 2,883 (7.7%) deaths were observed and 7.8% of patients were lost to follow-up. For patients with RMS, there was no excess mortality during the first 10 years after disease onset; afterwards, whatever the age at onset, excess death rates increased with current age. From current age 70, the excess death rate values converged and became identical whatever the age at disease onset, which means that disease duration had no more effect. Excess death rates were higher in men, with an excess hazard ratio of 1.46 (95% confidence interval 1.25-1.70). In contrast, in patients with PPMS, excess death rates rapidly increased from disease onset, and were associated with age at onset, but not with sex. CONCLUSIONS: In RMS, current age has a stronger effect on MS mortality than disease duration, while their respective effects are not clear in PPMS.


Asunto(s)
Esclerosis Múltiple/mortalidad , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Francia , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mortalidad
19.
Therapie ; 76(6): 675-685, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33593598

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: To date, few studies have shown a significant association between off-label drug use and adverse drug reactions (ADRs). The main aims of this study is to evaluate the relationship between adverse drug reactions and unlicensed or off-label drugs in hospitalized children and to provide more information on prescribing practice, the amplitude, consequences of unlicensed or off-label drug use in pediatric inpatients. METHODS: In this multicenter prospective study started from 2013, we use the French summaries of product characteristics in Theriaque (a prescription products guide) as a primary reference source for determining pediatric drug labeling. The detection of ADRs is carried out spontaneously by health professionals and actively by research groups using a trigger tool and patients' electronic health records. The causality between suspected ADRs and medication is evaluated using the Naranjo and the French methods of imputability independently by pharmacovigilance center. All suspected ADRs are submitted for a second evaluation by an independent pharmacovigilance experts. STRENGTH AND LIMITATIONS OF THIS STUDY: For our best knowledge, EREMI is the first large multicenter prospective and objective study in France with an active ADRs monitoring and independent ADRs validation. This study identifies the risk factors that could be used to adjust preventive actions in children's care, guides future research in the field and increases the awareness of physicians in off-label drug use and in detecting and declaring ADRs. As data are obtained through extraction of information from hospital database and medical records, there is likely to be some under-reporting of items or missing data. In this study the field specialists detect all adverse events, experts in pharmacovigilance centers assess them and finally only the ADRs assessed by the independent committee are confirmed. Although we recruit a high number of patients, this observational study is subject to different confounders.


Asunto(s)
Efectos Colaterales y Reacciones Adversas Relacionados con Medicamentos , Preparaciones Farmacéuticas , Sistemas de Registro de Reacción Adversa a Medicamentos , Niño , Niño Hospitalizado , Etiquetado de Medicamentos , Efectos Colaterales y Reacciones Adversas Relacionados con Medicamentos/epidemiología , Humanos , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto , Uso Fuera de lo Indicado , Farmacovigilancia , Estudios Prospectivos
20.
Int J Cancer ; 127(4): 924-31, 2010 Aug 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19998335

RESUMEN

Cancer mortality in elderly people is described to highlight the mechanisms that could potentially explain observed differences with other age groups. Data from 15 French cancer registries were considered in the search for the 5-year outcome of patients diagnosed during the period 1989-1997. Relative survival, excess mortality hazard, and hazard ratio of mortality were estimated to describe patient outcome according to age. Five cancer sites were selected: colon/rectum, prostate, breast, head/neck, and lung. An excess mortality rate was found in patients aged over 75 at the time of diagnosis. This excess mortality rate was mainly seen during the first months after diagnosis, then it decreased gradually with time. An initial phenomenon of patient selection, a greater disease severity at the time of diagnosis, and less-effective treatments given to elderly patients are the most plausible explanations for the increased risk of cancer-related death in the eldest patients.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/mortalidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Neoplasias de la Próstata/mortalidad , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Neoplasias de la Mama/diagnóstico , Niño , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Femenino , Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello/diagnóstico , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pronóstico , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico , Sistema de Registros , Factores de Riesgo , Tasa de Supervivencia , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto Joven
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