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BACKGROUND: Adults aged ≥65 years, adults with certain underlying medical conditions, and persons experiencing homelessness are at increased risk for invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). Two new pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20), were recently approved for use in US adults. We describe the epidemiology of IPD among Alaska adults and estimate the proportion of IPD cases potentially preventable by new vaccines. METHODS: We used statewide, laboratory-based surveillance data to calculate and compare IPD incidence rates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) among Alaska adults aged ≥18 years during 2011-2020 and estimate the proportion of IPD cases that were caused by serotypes in PCV15 and PCV20. RESULTS: During 2011-2020, 1164 IPD cases were reported among Alaska adults for an average annual incidence of 21.3 cases per 100 000 adults per year (95% CI, 20.1-22.5). Incidence increased significantly during the study period (P < .01). IPD incidence among Alaska Native adults was 4.7 times higher than among non-Alaska Native adults (95% CI, 4.2-5.2). Among adults experiencing homelessness in Anchorage, IPD incidence was 72 times higher than in the general adult population (95% CI, 59-89). Overall, 1032 (89%) Alaska adults with IPD had an indication for pneumococcal vaccine according to updated vaccination guidelines; 456 (39%) and 700 (60%) cases were caused by serotypes in PCV15 and PCV20, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Use of PCV15 and PCV20 could substantially reduce IPD among adults in Alaska, including Alaska Native adults and adults experiencing homelessness.
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Personas con Mala Vivienda , Infecciones Neumocócicas , Adulto , Humanos , Lactante , Adolescente , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Vacunas Conjugadas , Alaska/epidemiología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Vacunas Neumococicas , Serogrupo , IncidenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A functional cure and therapeutic end point of chronic HBV infection is defined as the clearance of HBsAg from serum. Little is known about the long-term durability of HBsAg loss in the Alaskan Native population. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of Alaska Native patients with chronic HBV-monoinfection from January 1982 through December 2019. The original group in this cohort was identified during a 1982 to 1987 population-based screening for 3 HBV serologic markers in 53,000 Alaska Native persons. With close to 32,000 years of follow-up, we assessed the frequency and duration of HBsAg seroclearance (HBsAg-negative for > 6 mo). We examined factors associated with HBsAg clearance and followed persons for a median of 13.1 years afterward to assess the durability of HBsAg clearance. Among 1079 persons with an average length of follow-up of 33 years, 260 (24%) cleared HBsAg at a constant rate of 0.82% per person/per year. Of the 260 persons who cleared, 249 (96%) remained HBsAg-negative, while 11 persons had ≥ 2 transient HBsAg-positive results in subsequent follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Of the patients with chronic HBV monoinfection, 0.82% of people per year achieved a functional cure. HBsAg seroclearance was durable for treated and nontreated patients and lasted, on average, over 13 years without seroreversion.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The duration of protection from hepatitis B vaccination in children and adults is not known. In 1981, we used three doses of plasma-derived hepatitis B vaccine to immunize a cohort of 1578 Alaska Native adults and children from 15 Alaska communities who were ≥6 months old. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We tested persons for antibody to hepatitis B surface antigen (anti-HBs) levels 35 years after receiving the primary series. Those with levels <10 mIU/ml received one booster dose of recombinant hepatitis B vaccine 2-4 weeks later and were then evaluated on the basis of anti-HBs measurements 30 days postbooster. Among the 320 recruited, 112 persons had not participated in the 22- or 30-year follow-up study (group 1), and 208 persons had participated but were not given an HBV booster dose (group 2). Among the 112 persons in group 1 who responded to the original primary series, 53 (47.3%) had an anti-HBs level ≥10 mIU/ml. Among group 1, 73.7% (28 of 38) of persons available for a booster dose responded to it with an anti-HBs level ≥10 mIU/ml at 30 days. Initial anti-HBs level after the primary series was correlated with higher anti-HBs levels at 35 years. Among 8 persons who tested positive for antibody to hepatitis B core antigen, none tested positive for HBsAg or HBV DNA. CONCLUSIONS: Based on anti-HBs level ≥10 mIU/ml at 35 years and a 73.7% booster dose response, we estimate that 86% of participants had evidence of protection 35 years later. Booster doses are not needed in the general population at this time.
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Vacunas contra Hepatitis B , Hepatitis B , Adulto , Niño , ADN Viral , Estudios de Seguimiento , Anticuerpos contra la Hepatitis B , Antígenos del Núcleo de la Hepatitis B , Antígenos de Superficie de la Hepatitis B , Humanos , Inmunización Secundaria , LactanteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Information is limited regarding HBV genotype and the outcome of chronic HBV (CHB) infection. We examined the effect of HBV genotype on HCC occurrence in Alaska Native (AN) persons with CHB, where five HBV genotypes are found: A2, B6, C2, D, and F1. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We calculated HCC incidence per 1,000 person-years of follow-up to determine which groups by age, sex, and genotype met current American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) HCC surveillance criteria. We used Poisson regression to compare HCC risk by genotype, age, sex, and Alaska region. Incidence of HCC was calculated using the sex-specific AASLD cutoff recommended for the Asian population of 50 years for women and 40 years for men. HCC screening was conducted semiannually using alpha-fetoprotein levels and abdominal ultrasound. Among 1,185 AN persons, median follow-up was 35.1 years; 667 (63%) were male. The HBV genotype distribution was 49% D, 18% F, 13% A, 6% C, 3% B, 0.1% H, and 12% undetermined. Sixty-three cases of HCC occurred. HCC incidence for genotype F was 5.73 per 1,000 person-years of follow-up, followed by 4.77 for C, 1.28 for A, 0.47 for D, and 0.00 for B. The HCC risk was higher for genotypes F (relative rate [RR], 12.7; 95% CI, 6.1-26.4), C (RR, 10.6; 95% CI, 4.3-26.0), and A (RR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.0-8.0) compared to genotypes B and D. Among men < 40 years of age and women < 50 years of age, genotype F had the highest incidence (4.79/1,000 person-years). CONCLUSIONS: HBV genotype was strongly associated with HCC. HBV genotype should be considered in risk factor stratification.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiología , Virus de la Hepatitis B/genética , Hepatitis B Crónica/epidemiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Alaska/epidemiología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/virología , Niño , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Técnicas de Genotipaje/estadística & datos numéricos , Virus de la Hepatitis B/aislamiento & purificación , Virus de la Hepatitis B/patogenicidad , Hepatitis B Crónica/diagnóstico , Hepatitis B Crónica/patología , Hepatitis B Crónica/virología , Humanos , Incidencia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/virología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Medición de Riesgo/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Factores Sexuales , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Isolation is recommended during acute infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, but the duration of infectiousness varies among individual persons. Rapid antigen test results have been correlated with detection of viable virus (1-3) and might inform isolation guidance, but data are limited for the recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 (Omicron) variant. On January 5, 2022, the Yukon-Kuskokwim Health Corporation (YKHC) recommended that persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection isolate for 10 days after symptom onset (or, for asymptomatic persons, 10 days after a positive nucleic acid amplification or antigen test result). However, isolation could end after 5-9 days if symptoms were resolving or absent, fever was absent for ≥24 hours without fever-reducing medications, and an Abbott BinaxNOW COVID-19 Ag (BinaxNOW) rapid antigen test result was negative. Antigen test results and associated individual characteristics were analyzed among 3,502 infections reported to YKHC during January 1-February 9, 2022. After 5-9 days, 396 of 729 persons evaluated (54.3%) had a positive antigen test result, with a declining percentage positive over time. In a multivariable model, a positive antigen test result was more likely after 5 days compared with 9 days (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 6.39) or after symptomatic infection (aOR = 9.63), and less likely after previous infection (aOR = 0.30), receipt of a primary COVID-19 vaccination series (aOR = 0.60), or after both previous infection and receipt of a primary COVID-19 vaccination series (aOR = 0.17). Antigen tests might be a useful tool to guide recommendations for isolation after SARS-CoV-2 infection. During the 10 days after infection, persons might be infectious to others and are recommended to wear a well-fitting mask when around others, even if ending isolation after 5 days.
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Prueba Serológica para COVID-19 , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Cuarentena , SARS-CoV-2 , Adolescente , Adulto , Alaska/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/transmisión , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Directrices para la Planificación en Salud , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Haemophilus influenzae bacteria can cause asymptomatic carriage and invasive disease. Haemophilus influenzae serotype a (Hia) is an emerging cause of invasive disease in Alaska, with greatest burden occurring among rural Alaska Native (AN) children. The first case of invasive Hia (iHia) in Alaska was reported in 2002; however, it is unclear how long the pathogen has been in Alaska. METHODS: We quantified immunoglobulin G antibodies against Hia (anti-Hia) in 839 banked serum samples from Alaska residents, comparing antibody concentrations in samples drawn in the decades before (1980s and 1990s) and after (2000s) the emergence of iHia. We also assessed serum antibody concentration by age group, region of residence, and race. RESULTS: The anti-Hia wasâ >0.1 µg/mL in 88.1% (348 of 395) and 91.0% (404 of 444) of samples from the decades prior and after the emergence of Hia, respectively (Pâ =â .17). No significant differences in antibody levels were detected between people from rural and urban regions (1.55 vs 2.08 µg/mL, Pâ =â .91 for ageâ ≥5) or between AN and non-AN people (2.50 vs 2.60 µg/mL, Pâ =â .26). CONCLUSIONS: Our results are consistent with widespread Hia exposure in Alaska predating the first iHia case. No difference in Hia antibody prevalence was detected between populations with differing levels of invasive disease.
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Anticuerpos Antibacterianos/inmunología , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/inmunología , Infecciones por Haemophilus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Haemophilus/inmunología , Haemophilus influenzae/inmunología , Alaska/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/historia , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/microbiología , Infecciones por Haemophilus/historia , Infecciones por Haemophilus/microbiología , Historia del Siglo XX , Historia del Siglo XXI , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G/inmunología , Prevalencia , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , SerogrupoRESUMEN
Hospitalizations due to non-coronavirus disease 2019 (non-COVID-19) respiratory illnesses decreased dramatically after social distancing was implemented in a high-risk population in rural Alaska; an unprecedented decline compared to the past 10 respiratory seasons. This demonstrates the potential secondary benefits of implementing social distancing and travel restrictions on respiratory illnesses.
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COVID-19 , Distanciamiento Físico , Alaska/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Hospitalización , Hospitales , HumanosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Between May and July 2018, 4 Haemophilus influenzae serotype a (Hia) infections occurred in a remote Alaska community. We performed a public health response to prevent further illness and understand Hia carriage. METHODS: We collected oropharyngeal samples community-wide to evaluate baseline carriage. Risk factors were evaluated by interview. We offered prophylactic rifampin to individuals in contact with invasive Hia patients (contacts) and to all children aged <10 years. Oropharyngeal samples were collected again 8 weeks after rifampin distribution. Samples were tested using real-time polymerase chain reaction and culture. RESULTS: At baseline, 4 of 27 (14.8%) contacts and 7 of 364 (1.9%) noncontacts (P < .01) carried Hia. Contacts aged <10 years were more likely to carry Hia at any timepoint (11/18 [61%]) compared to contacts aged ≥10 years (3/34 [8.8%]), noncontacts aged <10 years (2/139 [1.4%]), and noncontacts ≥10 years (6/276 [2.2%]) (P < .001 for all). Hia carriers were clustered in 9 households (7% of total households). At the household level, carriage was associated with households with ≥1 contact (prevalence ratio [PR], 5.6 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.3-21.6]), crowding (PR, 7.7 [95% CI, 1.1-199.5]), and ≥3 tobacco users (PR, 5.0 [95% CI, 1.2-19.6]). Elevated carriage prevalence persisted in contacts compared to noncontacts 8 weeks after rifampin distribution (6/25 [24%] contacts, 2/114 [1.8%] noncontacts; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Hia carriage prevalence was significantly higher among contacts than noncontacts. Rifampin prophylaxis did not result in a reduction of Hia carriage prevalence in this community.
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Infecciones por Haemophilus , Haemophilus influenzae , Alaska/epidemiología , Niño , Infecciones por Haemophilus/epidemiología , Humanos , Rifampin/uso terapéutico , SerogrupoRESUMEN
The hepatitis A vaccine is recommended for all children greater than or equal to 1 year of age, however, the duration of vaccine protection is unknown and protection through adulthood is crucial to prevent symptomatic hepatitis later in life. We report on 25 years of follow-up of a cohort of Alaska Native individuals who were vaccinated in early childhood. We assessed the duration of vaccine protection by calculating the geometric mean concentration and proportion of participants with protective levels of IgG antibody to hepatitis A virus (anti-HAV) (≥20 mIU/mL) every 2 to 3 years. We estimated the amount of time until the anti-HAV dropped below protective levels using survival analyses. At 25 years, 43 of the original 144 participants were available, mean anti-HAV levels were 91.5 mIU/mL, and 35 (81.4%) had protective levels of anti-HAV. Using data from all persons and all time points, a survival analysis estimated 78.7% of participants had protective levels of anti-HAV at 25 years. The high level of protective antibodies in this cohort indicate that supplemental doses of hepatitis A vaccine are not needed 25 years after completion of the vaccine series.
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Anticuerpos de Hepatitis A/sangre , Vacunas contra la Hepatitis A/inmunología , Hepatitis A/inmunología , Hepatitis A/prevención & control , Inmunogenicidad Vacunal , Alaska/epidemiología , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Hepatitis A/sangre , Hepatitis A/epidemiología , Vacunas contra la Hepatitis A/administración & dosificación , Humanos , Inmunización Secundaria , Inmunoglobulina G/sangre , Masculino , Factores de Tiempo , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
Controlling the spread of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, in Alaska is challenging. Alaska includes many remote and isolated villages with small populations (ranging from 15 to >1,000 persons) that are accessible only by air from larger communities. Until rapid point-of-care testing became widely available, a primary challenge in the diagnosis of COVID-19 in rural Alaska was slow turnaround times for SARS-CoV-2 test results, attributable to the need to transport specimens to testing facilities. To provide more timely test results and isolation of cases, the Yukon Kuskokwim Health Corporation (YKHC) introduced Abbott BinaxNOW COVID-19 Ag rapid antigen test (BinaxNOW) on November 9, 2020, in the rural Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta region in southwestern Alaska. To evaluate the impact of implementing antigen testing, YKHC reviewed the results of 54,981 antigen and molecular tests for SARS-CoV-2 performed in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta during September 15, 2020-March 1, 2021. Introduction of rapid, point-of-care testing was followed by a more than threefold reduction in daily SARS-CoV-2 case rates during approximately 1 month before the introduction of COVID-19 vaccination. The median turnaround time for SARS-CoV-2 test results decreased by >30%, from 6.4 days during September 15-November 8, 2020, to 4.4 days during November 9, 2020-March 1, 2021 (p<0.001). Daily incidence decreased 65% after the introduction of BinaxNOW, from 342 cases per 100,000 population during the week of November 9 to 119 during the week of December 13 (p<0.001). These findings indicate that point-of-care rapid antigen testing can be a valuable tool in reducing turnaround times in rural communities where local access to laboratory-based nucleic acid amplification testing (NAAT) is not readily available and could thereby reduce transmission by facilitating rapid isolation of infected persons, contact tracing, and implementation of local mitigation strategies.
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Prueba Serológica para COVID-19/estadística & datos numéricos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Población Rural , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Alaska/epidemiología , Antígenos Virales , COVID-19/epidemiología , Prueba Serológica para COVID-19/métodos , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Identifying risk factors for household transmission of Ebola virus (EBOV) is important to guide preventive measures during Ebola outbreaks. METHODS: We enrolled all confirmed persons with EBOV disease who were the first case patient in a household from December 2014 to April 2015 in Freetown, Sierra Leone, and their household contacts. Index patients and contacts were interviewed, and contacts were followed up for 21 days to identify secondary cases. Epidemiologic data were linked to EBOV real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction cycle threshold (Ct) data from initial diagnostic specimens obtained from enrolled index case patients. RESULTS: Ct data were available for 106 (71%) of 150 enrolled index patients. Of the Ct results, 85 (80%) were from blood specimens from live patients and 21 (20%) from oral swab specimens from deceased patients. The median Ct values for blood and swab specimens were 21.0 and 24.0, respectively (P = .007). In multivariable analysis, a Ct value from blood specimens in the lowest quintile was an independent predictor of both increased risk of household transmission (P = .009) and higher secondary attack rate among household contacts (P = .03), after adjustment for epidemiologic factors. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest the potential to use Ct values from acute EBOV diagnostic specimens for index patients as an early predictor of high-risk households and high-risk groups of contacts to help prioritize EBOV disease investigation and control efforts.
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Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Ebolavirus/genética , Composición Familiar , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/transmisión , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/prevención & control , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/virología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Factores de Riesgo , Sierra Leona/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Most persons with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in the United States are undiagnosed or linked to care. We describe a program for the management of Alaska Native patients infection utilizing a computerized registry and statewide liver clinics resulting in higher linkage to care (86%) than national estimates (~25%).
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Hepatitis C Crónica , Hepatitis C , Alaska/epidemiología , Hepatitis C Crónica/tratamiento farmacológico , Hepatitis C Crónica/epidemiología , Humanos , Sistema de Registros , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
The risk for invasive streptococcal infection has not been clearly quantified among persons experiencing homelessness (PEH). We compared the incidence of detected cases of invasive group A Streptococcus infection, group B Streptococcus infection, and Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcal) infection among PEH with that among the general population in Anchorage, Alaska, USA, during 2002-2015. We used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Arctic Investigations Program surveillance system, the US Census, and the Anchorage Point-in-Time count (a yearly census of PEH). We detected a disproportionately high incidence of invasive streptococcal disease in Anchorage among PEH. Compared with the general population, PEH were 53.3 times as likely to have invasive group A Streptococcus infection, 6.9 times as likely to have invasive group B Streptococcus infection, and 36.3 times as likely to have invasive pneumococcal infection. Infection control in shelters, pneumococcal vaccination, and infection monitoring could help protect the health of this vulnerable group.
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Personas con Mala Vivienda/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/etiología , Alaska/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infecciones Neumocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Neumocócicas/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/microbiología , Streptococcus agalactiae , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Streptococcus pyogenesRESUMEN
Background: Knowing risk factors for household transmission of Ebola virus is important to guide preventive measures during Ebola outbreaks. Methods: We enrolled all confirmed persons with Ebola who were the first case in a household, December 2014-April 2015, in Freetown, Sierra Leone, and their household contacts. Cases and contacts were interviewed, contacts followed prospectively through the 21-day incubation period, and secondary cases confirmed by laboratory testing. Results: We enrolled 150 index Ebola cases and 838 contacts; 83 (9.9%) contacts developed Ebola during 21-day follow-up. In multivariable analysis, risk factors for transmission included index case death in the household, Ebola symptoms but no reported fever, age <20 years, more days with wet symptoms; and providing care to the index case (P < .01 for each). Protective factors included avoiding the index case after illness onset and a piped household drinking water source (P < .01 for each). Conclusions: To reduce Ebola transmission, communities should rapidly identify and follow-up all household contacts; isolate those with Ebola symptoms, including those without reported fever; and consider closer monitoring of contacts who provided care to cases. Households could consider efforts to minimize risk by designating one care provider for ill persons with all others avoiding the suspected case.
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Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Composición Familiar , Salud de la Familia , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/epidemiología , Fiebre Hemorrágica Ebola/transmisión , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Entrevistas como Asunto , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Sierra Leona/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: We have previously estimated that respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) was associated with 22% of all episodes of (severe) acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) resulting in 55â000 to 199â000 deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2005. In the past 5 years, major research activity on RSV has yielded substantial new data from developing countries. With a considerably expanded dataset from a large international collaboration, we aimed to estimate the global incidence, hospital admission rate, and mortality from RSV-ALRI episodes in young children in 2015. METHODS: We estimated the incidence and hospital admission rate of RSV-associated ALRI (RSV-ALRI) in children younger than 5 years stratified by age and World Bank income regions from a systematic review of studies published between Jan 1, 1995, and Dec 31, 2016, and unpublished data from 76 high quality population-based studies. We estimated the RSV-ALRI incidence for 132 developing countries using a risk factor-based model and 2015 population estimates. We estimated the in-hospital RSV-ALRI mortality by combining in-hospital case fatality ratios with hospital admission estimates from hospital-based (published and unpublished) studies. We also estimated overall RSV-ALRI mortality by identifying studies reporting monthly data for ALRI mortality in the community and RSV activity. FINDINGS: We estimated that globally in 2015, 33·1 million (uncertainty range [UR] 21·6-50·3) episodes of RSV-ALRI, resulted in about 3·2 million (2·7-3·8) hospital admissions, and 59â600 (48â000-74â500) in-hospital deaths in children younger than 5 years. In children younger than 6 months, 1·4 million (UR 1·2-1·7) hospital admissions, and 27â300 (UR 20â700-36â200) in-hospital deaths were due to RSV-ALRI. We also estimated that the overall RSV-ALRI mortality could be as high as 118â200 (UR 94â600-149â400). Incidence and mortality varied substantially from year to year in any given population. INTERPRETATION: Globally, RSV is a common cause of childhood ALRI and a major cause of hospital admissions in young children, resulting in a substantial burden on health-care services. About 45% of hospital admissions and in-hospital deaths due to RSV-ALRI occur in children younger than 6 months. An effective maternal RSV vaccine or monoclonal antibody could have a substantial effect on disease burden in this age group. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Estadísticos , Virus Sincitiales Respiratorios/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología , Preescolar , Países en Desarrollo , Salud Global , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Long-term prospective studies of the outcomes associated with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are rare and critical for assessing the potential impact of HCV treatment. Using liver biopsy as a starting point, we analyzed the development of end-stage liver disease (ESLD), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver-related death (LRD) according to fibrosis stage among a cohort of American Indian/Alaska Native persons in Alaska. Persons were classified as having no/mild (Ishak = 0,1), moderate (Ishak = 2), or severe (Ishak = 3,4) fibrosis or cirrhosis (Ishak = 5,6). We examined time until development of ESLD, HCC, and LRD and report survival probabilities at 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. Of 407 persons, 39% (n = 150) had no/mild fibrosis, 32% (n = 131) had moderate fibrosis, 22% (n = 88) had severe fibrosis, and 9% (n = 38) had cirrhosis. The average time of follow-up was 7.3 years. Within 5 years of biopsy, 1.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.4-6.8) of persons with no/mild fibrosis developed ESLD compared with 7.9% (95% CI, 4.0-15.2), 16.4% (95% CI, 9.6-27.2), and 49.0% (95% CI, 33.0-67.7) with moderate, severe fibrosis, and cirrhosis, respectively (P < 0.01). The 5-year outcome of HCC was 1.0% (95% CI, 0.1-7.0), 1.0% (95% CI, 0.1-6.6), 1.1% (95% CI, 0.2-7.7), and 13.4% (95% CI, 4.4-36.7) among persons with no/mild fibrosis, moderate fibrosis, severe fibrosis, and cirrhosis, respectively (P < 0.01). Five years after biopsy, 0.0% (95% CI, 0.0-14.8) of persons with no/mild fibrosis had suffered an LRD compared with 1.0% (95% CI, 0.2-7.5) of persons with moderate fibrosis, 4.7% (95% CI, 1.5-14.1) with severe fibrosis, and 16.3% (95% CI, 7.0-35.1) with cirrhosis (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: For prevention of HCC, LRD, and ESLD in the short term, HCV therapy should target individuals who have more than mild fibrosis. (Hepatology 2017;66:37-45).
Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiología , Causas de Muerte , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/epidemiología , Hepatitis C Crónica/epidemiología , Cirrosis Hepática/epidemiología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano , Alaska/epidemiología , Biopsia con Aguja , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/fisiopatología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/terapia , Estudios de Cohortes , Comorbilidad , Intervalos de Confianza , Bases de Datos Factuales , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/fisiopatología , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/terapia , Femenino , Hepatitis C Crónica/diagnóstico , Hepatitis C Crónica/terapia , Humanos , Inmunohistoquímica , Cirrosis Hepática/patología , Cirrosis Hepática/fisiopatología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/fisiopatología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/terapia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Análisis de Supervivencia , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and a fibrosis index calculated using platelets (FIB-4) have been proposed as noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis. GOALS: To determine APRI/FIB-4 accuracy for predicting histologic liver fibrosis and evaluate whether incorporating change in index improves test accuracy in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected Alaska Native persons. STUDY: Using liver histology as the gold standard, we determined the test characteristics of APRI to predict Metavir ≥F2 fibrosis and FIB-4 to predict Metavir ≥F3 fibrosis. Index discrimination was measured as the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve. We fit a logistic regression model to determine whether incorporating change in APRI/FIB-4 over time improved index discrimination. RESULTS: Among 283 participants, 46% were female, 48% had a body mass index >30, 11% had diabetes mellitus, 8% reported current heavy alcohol use. Participants were infected with HCV genotypes 1 (68%), 2 (17%), or 3 (15%). On liver histology, 30% of study participants had ≥F2 fibrosis and 15% had ≥F3 fibrosis. The positive predictive value of an APRI>1.5/FIB-4>3.25 for identifying fibrosis was 77%/78%. The negative predictive value of an APRI<0.5/FIB-4<1.45 was 91%/87%. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of an APRI/FIB-4 for identifying fibrosis was 0.82/0.84. Incorporating change in APRI/FIB-4 did not improve index discrimination. CONCLUSIONS: The accuracy of APRI/FIB-4 for identifying liver fibrosis in HCV-infected Alaska Native persons is similar to that reported in other populations and could help prioritize patients for treatment living in areas without access to liver biopsy. Change in APRI/FIB-4 was not predictive of degree of fibrosis.
Asunto(s)
Hepatitis C Crónica , Cirrosis Hepática/diagnóstico , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Alaska , Aspartato Aminotransferasas/sangre , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Cirrosis Hepática/sangre , Cirrosis Hepática/fisiopatología , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Recuento de Plaquetas , Valor Predictivo de las PruebasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Few studies have examined factors associated with disease progression in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We examined the association of 11 risk factors with adverse outcomes in a population-based prospective cohort observational study of Alaska Native/American Indian persons with chronic HCV infection. METHODS: We collected data from a population-based cohort study of liver-related adverse outcomes of infection in American Indian/Alaska Native persons with chronic HCV living in Alaska, recruited from 1995 through 2012. We calculated adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for end-stage liver disease (ESLD; presence of ascites, esophageal varices, hepatic encephalopathy, or coagulopathy), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver-related death using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: We enrolled 1080 participants followed up for 11,171 person-years (mean, 10.3 person-years); 66%, 19%, and 14% were infected with HCV genotypes 1, 2, and 3, respectively. On multivariate analysis, persons infected with HCV genotype 3 had a significantly increased risk of developing all 3 adverse outcomes. Their aHR for ESLD was 2.1 (95% CI, 1.5-3.0), their aHR for HCC was 3.1 (95% CI, 1.4-6.6), and their aHR for liver-related death was 2.4 (95% CI, 1.5-4.0) compared with genotype 1. Heavy alcohol use was an age-adjusted risk factor for ESLD (aHR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.6-3.2), and liver-related death (aHR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.8-4.6). Obesity was a risk factor for ESLD (aHR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.0-1.9), and diabetes was a risk factor for ESLD (aHR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.2). Male sex was a risk factor for HCC (aHR, 3.6; 95% CI, 1.6-8.2). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based cohort study of American Indian/Alaska Native persons with chronic HCV infection, we found those infected with HCV genotype 3 to be at high risk for ESLD, HCC, and liver-related death.
Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiología , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/epidemiología , Genotipo , Hepacivirus/clasificación , Hepatitis C Crónica/complicaciones , Hepatitis C Crónica/virología , Adulto , Alaska/epidemiología , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/mortalidad , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/mortalidad , Femenino , Hepacivirus/genética , Hepacivirus/aislamiento & purificación , Humanos , Indígenas Norteamericanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Análisis de SupervivenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Long-lasting protection resulting from hepatitis B vaccine, despite loss of antibody against hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen (anti-HBs), is undetermined. METHODS: We recruited persons from a cohort vaccinated with plasma-derived hepatitis B vaccine in 1981 who have been followed periodically since. We performed serological testing for anti-HBs and microRNA-155 and assessed HBV-specific T-cell responses by enzyme-linked immunospot and cytometric bead array. Study subgroups were defined 32 years after vaccination as having an anti-HBs level of either ≥10 mIU/mL (group 1; n = 13) or <10 mIU/mL (group 2; n = 31). RESULTS: All 44 participants, regardless of anti-HBs level, tested positive for tumor necrosis factor α, interleukin 10, or interleukin 6 production by HBV surface antigen-specific T cells. The frequency of natural killer T cells correlated with the level of anti-HBs (P = .008). The proportion of participants who demonstrated T-cell responses to HBV core antigen varied among the cytokines measured, suggesting some natural exposure to HBV in the study group. No participant had evidence of breakthrough HBV infection. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence of long-lasting cellular immunity, regardless of anti-HBs level, suggests that protection afforded by primary immunization with plasma-derived hepatitis B vaccine during childhood and adulthood lasts at least 32 years.
Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos contra la Hepatitis B/sangre , Antígenos de Superficie de la Hepatitis B/inmunología , Vacunas contra Hepatitis B/inmunología , Virus de la Hepatitis B/inmunología , Hepatitis B/prevención & control , Inmunidad Celular , Linfocitos T/inmunología , Adulto , Técnicas Citológicas , Ensayo de Immunospot Ligado a Enzimas , Femenino , Hepatitis B/inmunología , Vacunas contra Hepatitis B/administración & dosificación , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , MicroARNs/análisis , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The duration of protection in children and adults resulting from hepatitis B vaccination is unknown. In 1981, we immunized a cohort of 1578 Alaska Native adults and children from 15 Alaska communities aged ≥6 months using 3 doses of plasma-derived hepatitis B vaccine. METHODS: Persons were tested for antibody to hepatitis B surface antigen (anti-HBs) levels 30 years after receiving the primary series. Those with levels <10 mIU/mL received 1 booster dose of recombinant hepatitis B vaccine 2-4 weeks later and were then evaluated on the basis of anti-HBs measurements 30 days after the booster. RESULTS: Among 243 persons (56%) who responded to the original primary series but received no subsequent doses during the 30-year period, 125 (51%) had an anti-HBs level ≥10 mIU/mL. Among participants with anti-HBs levels <10 mIU/mL who were available for follow-up, 75 of 85 (88%) responded to a booster dose with an anti-HBs level ≥10 mIU/mL at 30 days. Initial anti-HBs level after the primary series was correlated with higher anti-HBs levels at 30 years. CONCLUSIONS: Based on anti-HBs level ≥10 mIU/mL at 30 years and an 88% booster dose response, we estimate that ≥90% of participants had evidence of protection 30 years later. Booster doses are not needed.