Red meat, poultry and fish consumption and risk of diabetes: a 9 year prospective cohort study of the China Kadoorie Biobank.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Previous evidence linking red meat consumption with diabetes risk mainly came from western countries, with little evidence from China, where patterns of meat consumption are different. Moreover, global evidence remains inconclusive about the associations of poultry and fish consumption with diabetes. Therefore we investigated the associations of red meat, poultry and fish intake with incidence of diabetes in a Chinese population. METHODS: The prospective China Kadoorie Biobank recruited ~512,000 adults (59% women, mean age 51 years) from ten rural and urban areas across China in 2004-2008. At the baseline survey, a validated interviewer-administered laptop-based questionnaire was used to collect information on the consumption frequency of major food groups including red meat, poultry, fish, fresh fruit and several others. During ~9 years of follow-up, 14,931 incidences of new-onset diabetes were recorded among 461,036 participants who had no prior diabetes, cardiovascular diseases or cancer at baseline. Cox regression analyses were performed to calculate adjusted HRs for incident diabetes associated with red meat, poultry and fish intake. RESULTS: At baseline, 47.0%, 1.3% and 8.9% of participants reported a regular consumption (i.e. ≥4 days/week) of red meat, poultry and fish, respectively. After adjusting for adiposity and other potential confounders, each 50 g/day increase in red meat and fish intake was associated with 11% (HR 1.11 [95% CI 1.04, 1.20]) and 6% (HR 1.06 [95% CI 1.00, 1.13]) higher risk of incident diabetes, respectively. For both, the associations were more pronounced among men and women from urban areas, with an HR (95% CI) of 1.42 (1.15, 1.74) and 1.18 (1.03, 1.36), respectively, per 50 g/day red meat intake and 1.15 (1.02, 1.30) and 1.11 (1.01, 1.23), respectively, per 50 g/day fish intake. There was no significant association between diabetes and poultry intake, either overall (HR 0.96 [95% CI 0.83, 1.12] per 50 g/day intake) or in specific population subgroups. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In Chinese adults, both red meat and fish, but not poultry, intake were positively associated with diabetes risk, particularly among urban participants. Our findings add new evidence linking red meat and fish intake with cardiometabolic diseases. DATA AVAILABILITY: Details of how to access the China Kadoorie Biobank data and rules of China Kadoorie Biobank data release are available from www.ckbiobank.org/site/Data+Access.

The route of administration, timing, duration and dose of postmenopausal hormone therapy and cardiovascular outcomes in women: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The effect of postmenopausal hormone therapy (HT) on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remains controversial. OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE: We aimed to systematically review the evidence regarding the role of dose, route of hormone administration, timing of initiation and duration of HT on cardiovascular risk among postmenopausal women. SEARCH METHODS: The electronic databases Medline Ovid, Web of Science and Cochrane Central were systematically searched to identify studies published before 30 January 2018. Reference lists, using Elsevier's Scopus, of the included studies were searched for further identification of relevant studies. Clinical trials and observational studies that assessed clinical and subclinical cardiovascular outcomes in relation to dose, route of administration, duration of use, or timing of HT initiation among postmenopausal women were included. Data were extracted by independent reviewers using a pre-designed data collection form. The Cochrane Collaboration's tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale were used by two independent investigators to assess the risk of bias in RCTs and in prospective observational studies, respectively. OUTCOMES: In total, 33 unique studies (6 trials and 27 prospective observational studies) were identified, including a total of 2 588 327 women. The synthesis of the existing knowledge on this topic was challenging due to inconsistent findings between some studies, caused by substantial diversity in scientific rigor and quality across the available literature. Overall, the evidence did not support the concerns that oral or transdermal HT increases heart disease risk. Contrary, observational data showed that a beneficial cardioprotective effect can be observed even with use of low doses of oral HT (effect of 0.3 mg/day of oral conjugated equine estrogen was similar to that seen with the standard dose of 0.625 mg/day), but clinical trials to support a cardioprotective benefit of HT in primary prevention have not been identified. Furthermore, the current data suggested that oral and transdermal HT, in dose-dependent manner and irrespective of HT formulation, may increase thromboembolic risk, as well as risk of stroke. However, transdermal estrogen with <50 µg/day of estrogen combined with micronized progesterone appears to be the safer choice with respect to thrombotic and stroke risk. Also, vaginal HT administration may play a role in myocardial infarction and stroke risk prevention, but this is based on limited evidence and requires further investigation. The timing of HT initiation and duration may be important factors to consider when prescribing HT especially in women with adverse cardiometabolic profile and pre-existing conditions such as coronary/carotid atherosclerosis, which are at risk of developing, and thus progressing to CVD. The quality of evidence was generally low or moderate and the findings were based mostly on observational data. WIDER IMPLICATIONS: Use of low-dose oral and transdermal HT appears to be safe with regard to CVD risk in women in menopausal transition and within the first years (e.g. 10 years) after menopause onset. In women with increased baseline thromboembolic risk, alternative non-hormonal medications are suggested as first-line treatment and transdermal estradiol alone or with micronized progesterone only should be considered when these options are not effective. When HT is initiated >10 years since the menopause onset (>60 years old), due to greater absolute risks of coronary heart disease, stroke and venous thromboembolism, HT should be used for the shortest time possible and in lowest possible dose and preferably transdermal administration should be recommended. However, an individualized treatment approach including baseline CVD risk assessment should be applied when prescribing HT. The majority of studies included in the current review are from North American and European populations, which might limit the generalizability of the findings of this review to the other populations. Finally, the quality of evidence included in this review was generally low or moderate, highlighting a need for more rigorous research to help us better understand HT and cardiovascular health.

Estimated Change in Prevalence of Hypertension in Nepal Following Application of the 2017 ACC/AHA Guideline.

Importance: The 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of High Blood Pressure in Adults lowered the systolic and diastolic blood pressure thresholds for hypertension to 130 and 80 mm Hg, respectively. This represents a reduction of 10 mm Hg in both systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels used to define hypertension compared with previous guidelines, such as the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC 7). Objectives: To estimate the prevalence of hypertension among adults aged 18 years or older in Nepal per the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline and to determine the absolute difference in hypertension prevalence comparing the 2017 ACC/AHA and JNC 7 guidelines. Design, Setting, and Participants: The cross-sectional analysis used data from the population-based 2016 Nepal Demographic and Health Survey. Data were collected from June 2016 to January 2017 using a multistage stratified sampling procedure that was applied in urban and rural areas, using wards as the primary sampling units. Individuals aged 15 years or older from selected households were interviewed. The survey had an overall response rate of approximately 97%. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the prevalence of hypertension. Blood pressure was measured 3 times for each participant with 5-minute intervals between. Hypertension was present if blood pressure was greater than or equal to 130/80 mm Hg for the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline, and greater than or equal to 140/90 mm Hg for the JNC 7 guideline. Results: Among 13 519 participants (median [interquartile range] age, 38 [26-53] years; 7821 [57.9%] female), 44.2% (95% CI, 43.4%-45.0%; n = 5977) had hypertension according to the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline compared with 21.2% (95% CI, 20.5%-21.9%; n = 2869) by the JNC 7 guideline. The new prevalence was associated with an absolute increase of 23.0% (95% CI, 22.3%-23.7%) from the JNC 7 guideline. When estimating the proportion of hypertension by background characteristics, the new 2017 ACC/AHA guideline definition increased the prevalence to 50% or greater for some categories, with the highest prevalence among those with a body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) greater than or equal to 30 (71.6%; 95% CI, 67.7%-75.3%) and between 25 and 29.9 (62.1%; 95% CI, 60.1%-64.1%). Conclusions and Relevance: For adults in Nepal, the new 2017 ACC/AHA guideline reveals a greater estimated prevalence of hypertension compared with the JNC 7 guideline. Because of the public health significance of hypertension, higher prevalence rates confirm the importance of developing effective prevention and control methods in this country.

Association between progestin-only contraceptive use and cardiometabolic outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Aims The association between progestin-only contraceptive (POC) use and the risk of various cardiometabolic outcomes has rarely been studied. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the impact of POC use on cardiometabolic outcomes including venous thromboembolism, myocardial infarction, stroke, hypertension and diabetes. Methods and results Nineteen observational studies (seven cohort and 12 case-control) were included in this systematic review. Of those, nine studies reported the risk of venous thromboembolism, six reported the risk of myocardial infarction, six reported the risk of stroke, three reported the risk of hypertension and two studies reported the risk of developing diabetes with POC use. The pooled adjusted relative risks (RRs) for venous thromboembolism, myocardial infarction and stroke for oral POC users versus non-users based on the random effects model were 1.06 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.70-1.62), 0.98 (95% CI 0.66-1.47) and 1.02 (95% CI 0.72-1.44), respectively. Stratified analysis by route of administration showed that injectable POC with a RR of 2.62 (95% CI 1.74-3.94), but not oral POCs (RR 1.06, 95% CI 0.7-1.62), was associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism. A decreased risk of venous thromboembolism in a subgroup of women using an intrauterine levonorgestrel device was observed with a RR of 0.53 (95% CI 0.32-0.89). No effect of POC use on blood pressure was found, but there was an indication for an increased risk of diabetes with injectable POCs, albeit non-significant. Conclusions This systematic review and meta-analysis suggests that oral POC use is not associated with an increased risk of developing various cardiometabolic outcomes, whereas injectable POC use might increase the risk of venous thromboembolism.