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1.
Environ Res ; 254: 119131, 2024 Aug 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38759771

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) include thousands of manufactured compounds with growing public health concerns due to their potential for widespread human exposure and adverse health outcomes. While PFAS contamination remains a significant concern, especially from ingestion of contaminated food and water, determinants of the variability in PFAS exposure among regional and statewide populations in the United States remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to leverage The Survey of the Health of Wisconsin (SHOW), the only statewide representative cohort in the US, to assess and characterize the variability of PFAS exposure in a general population. METHODS: This study sample included a sub-sample of 605 adult participants from the 2014-2016 tri-annual statewide representative sample. Geometric means for PFOS, PFOA, PFNA, PFHxS, PFPeS, PFHpA, and a summed measure of 38 analyzed serum PFAS were presented by demographic, diet, behavioral, and residential characteristics. Multivariate linear regression was used to determine significant predictors of serum PFAS after adjustment. RESULTS: Overall, higher serum concentrations of long-chain PFAS were observed compared with short-chain PFAS. Older adults, males, and non-Hispanic White individuals had higher serum PFAS compared to younger adults, females, and non-White individuals. Eating caught fish in the past year was associated with elevated levels of several PFAS. DISCUSSION: This is among the first studies to characterize serum PFAS among a representative statewide sample in Wisconsin. Both short- and long-chain serum PFAS were detectable for six prominent PFAS. Age and consumption of great lakes fish were the most significant predictors of serum PFAS. State-level PFAS biomonitoring is important for identifying high risk populations and informing state public health standards and interventions, especially among those not living near known contamination sites.


Asunto(s)
Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Contaminantes Ambientales , Fluorocarburos , Humanos , Wisconsin , Fluorocarburos/sangre , Fluorocarburos/análisis , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Contaminantes Ambientales/sangre , Contaminantes Ambientales/análisis , Adulto Joven , Adolescente
2.
Med Care ; 61(6): 400-408, 2023 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37167559

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Older adults frequently return to the emergency department (ED) within 30 days of a visit. High-risk patients can differentially benefit from transitional care interventions. Latent class analysis (LCA) is a model-based method used to segment the population and test intervention effects by subgroup. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify latent classes within an older adult population from a randomized controlled trial evaluating the effectiveness of an ED-to-home transitional care program and test whether class membership modified the intervention effect. RESEARCH DESIGN: Participants were randomized to receive the Care Transitions Intervention or usual care. Study staff collected outcomes data through medical record reviews and surveys. We performed LCA and logistic regression to evaluate the differential effects of the intervention by class membership. SUBJECTS: Participants were ED patients (age 60 y and above) discharged to a community residence. MEASURES: Indicator variables for the LCA included clinically available and patient-reported data from the initial ED visit. Our primary outcome was ED revisits within 30 days. Secondary outcomes included ED revisits within 14 days, outpatient follow-up within 7 and 30 days, and self-management behaviors. RESULTS: We interpreted 6 latent classes in this study population. Classes 1, 4, 5, and 6 showed a reduction in ED revisit rates with the intervention; classes 2 and 3 showed an increase in ED revisit rates. In class 5, we found evidence that the intervention increased outpatient follow-up within 7 and 30 days (odds ratio: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.13-2.91; odds ratio: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.25-4.03). CONCLUSIONS: Class membership modified the intervention effect. Population segmentation is an important step in evaluating a transitional care intervention.


Asunto(s)
Transferencia de Pacientes , Cuidado de Transición , Humanos , Anciano , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis de Clases Latentes , Alta del Paciente , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital
3.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 23(1): 297, 2023 12 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38102563

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Across studies of average treatment effects, some population subgroups consistently have lower representation than others which can lead to discrepancies in how well results generalize. METHODS: We develop a framework for quantifying inequity due to systemic disparities in sample representation and a method for mitigation during data analysis. Assuming subgroup treatment effects are exchangeable, an unbiased sample average treatment effect estimator will have lower mean-squared error, on average across studies, for subgroups with less representation when treatment effects vary. We present a method for estimating average treatment effects in representation-adjusted samples which enables subgroups to optimally leverage information from the full sample rather than only their own subgroup's data. Two approaches for specifying representation adjustment are offered-one minimizes average mean-squared error for each subgroup separately and the other balances minimization of mean-squared error and equal representation. We conduct simulation studies to compare the performance of the proposed estimators to several subgroup-specific estimators. RESULTS: We find that the proposed estimators generally provide lower mean squared error, particularly for smaller subgroups, relative to the other estimators. As a case study, we apply this method to a subgroup analysis from a published study. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend the use of the proposed estimators to mitigate the impact of disparities in representation, though structural change is ultimately needed.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Humanos , Simulación por Computador
4.
Bull Math Biol ; 85(11): 116, 2023 10 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37837562

RESUMEN

Many psychiatric disorders are marked by impaired decision-making during an approach-avoidance conflict. Current experiments elicit approach-avoidance conflicts in bandit tasks by pairing an individual's actions with consequences that are simultaneously desirable (reward) and undesirable (harm). We frame approach-avoidance conflict tasks as a multi-objective multi-armed bandit. By defining a general decision-maker as a limiting sequence of actions, we disentangle the decision process from learning. Each decision maker can then be identified as a multi-dimensional point representing its long-term average expected outcomes, while different decision making models can be associated by the geometry of their 'feasible region', the set of all possible long term performances on a fixed task. We introduce three example decision-makers based on popular reinforcement learning models and characterize their feasible regions, including whether they can be Pareto optimal. From this perspective, we find that existing tasks are unable to distinguish between the three examples of decision-makers. We show how to design new tasks whose geometric structure can be used to better distinguish between decision-makers. These findings are expected to guide the design of approach-avoidance conflict tasks and the modeling of resulting decision-making behavior.


Asunto(s)
Toma de Decisiones , Conceptos Matemáticos , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos , Aprendizaje , Recompensa
5.
Prehosp Emerg Care ; 27(7): 841-850, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35748597

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We assessed fidelity of delivery and participant engagement in the implementation of a community paramedic coach-led Care Transitions Intervention (CTI) program adapted for use following emergency department (ED) visits. METHODS: The adapted CTI for ED-to-home transitions was implemented at three university-affiliated hospitals in two cities from 2016 to 2019. Participants were aged ≥60 years old and discharged from the ED within 24 hours of arrival. In the current analysis, participants had to have received the CTI. Community paramedic coaches collected data on program delivery and participant characteristics at each transition contact via inventories and assessments. Participants provided commentary on the acceptability of the adapted CTI. Using a multimethod approach, the CTI implementation was assessed quantitatively for site- and coach-level differences. Qualitatively, barriers to implementation and participant satisfaction with the CTI were thematically analyzed. RESULTS: Of the 863 patient participants, 726 (84.1%) completed their home visits. Cancellations were usually patient-generated (94.9%). Most planned follow-up visits were successfully completed (94.6%). Content on the planning for red flags and post-discharge goal setting was discussed with high rates of fidelity overall (95% and greater), while content on outpatient follow-up was lower overall (75%). Differences in service delivery between the two sites existed for the in-person visit and the first phone follow-up, but the differences narrowed as the study progressed. Participants showed a 24.6% increase in patient activation (i.e., behavioral adoption) over the 30-day study period (p < 0.001).Overall, participants reported that the program was beneficial for managing their health, the quality of coaching was high, and that the program should continue. Not all participants felt that they needed the program. Community paramedic coaches reported barriers to CTI delivery due to patient medical problems and difficulties with phone visit coordination. Coaches also noted refusal to communicate or engage with the intervention as an implementation barrier. CONCLUSIONS: Community paramedic coaches delivered the adapted CTI with high fidelity across geographically distant sites and successfully facilitated participant engagement, highlighting community paramedics as an effective resource for implementing such patient-centered interventions.


Asunto(s)
Servicios Médicos de Urgencia , Paramédico , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Transferencia de Pacientes , Cuidados Posteriores , Alta del Paciente , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital
6.
BMC Geriatr ; 23(1): 394, 2023 06 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37380969

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Hospitals are incentivized to reduce rehospitalization rates, creating an emphasis on skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) for post-hospital discharge. How rehospitalization rates vary depending on patient and SNF characteristics is not well understood, in part because these characteristics are high-dimensional. We sought to estimate rehospitalization and mortality risks by patient and skilled nursing facility (SNF) leveraging high-dimensional characteristics. METHODS: Using 1,060,337 discharges from 13,708 SNFs of Medicare patients residing or visiting a provider in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Illinois, factor analysis was performed to reduce the number of patient and SNF characteristics. K-means clustering was applied to SNF factors to categorize SNFs into groups. Rehospitalization and mortality risks within 60 days of discharge was estimated by SNF group for various values of patient factors. RESULTS: Patient and SNF characteristics (616 in total) were reduced to 12 patient factors and 4 SNF groups. Patient factors reflected broad conditions. SNF groups differed in beds and staff capacity, off-site services, and physical and occupational therapy capacity; and in mortality and rehospitalization rates for some patients. Patients with cardiac, orthopedic, and neuropsychiatric conditions are associated with better outcomes when assigned to SNFs with greater on-site capacity (i.e. beds, staff, physical and occupational therapy), whereas patients with conditions related to cancer or chronic renal failure are associated with better outcomes when assigned to SNFs with less on-site capacity. CONCLUSIONS: Risks of rehospitalization and mortality appear to vary significantly by patient and SNF, with certain SNFs being better suited for some patient conditions over others.


Asunto(s)
Medicare , Readmisión del Paciente , Anciano , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Humanos , Instituciones de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermería , Análisis por Conglomerados , Análisis Factorial
7.
Int J Audiol ; 62(7): 599-607, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35533671

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the conceptual framework that age effects on the electrophysiological binaural masking level difference (MLD) are partially mediated by age-related hearing loss and/or global cognitive function via mediation analysis. DESIGN: Participants underwent a series of audiometric tests. The MLD was measured via cortical auditory evoked potentials using a speech stimulus (/ɑ/) in speech-weighted background noise. We used mediation analyses to determine the total effect, natural direct effects, and natural indirect effects, which are displayed as regression coefficients ([95% CI]; p value). STUDY SAMPLE: Twenty-eight individuals aged 19-87 years (mean [SD]: 53.3 [25.2]), recruited from the community. RESULTS: Older age had a significant total effect on the MLD (-0.69 [95% CI: -0.96, -0.45]; p < 0.01). Neither pure tone average (-0.11 [95% CI: -0.43, 0.24; p = 0.54] nor global cognitive function (-0.02 [95% CI: -0.13, 0.02]; p = 0.55) mediated the relationship of age and the MLD and effect sizes were small. Results were insensitive to use of alternative hearing measures or inclusion of interaction terms. CONCLUSIONS: The electrophysiological MLD may be an age-sensitive measure of binaural temporal processing that is minimally affected by age-related hearing loss and global cognitive function.


Asunto(s)
Presbiacusia , Percepción del Habla , Humanos , Audición , Pruebas Auditivas , Ruido/efectos adversos , Percepción del Habla/fisiología , Cognición , Presbiacusia/diagnóstico , Enmascaramiento Perceptual , Umbral Auditivo
8.
Community Ment Health J ; 59(5): 986-998, 2023 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36633728

RESUMEN

Geography may influence mental health by inducing changes to social and physical environmental and health-related factors. This understanding is largely based on older studies from Western Europe. We sought to quantify contemporary relationships between urbanicity and self-reported poor mental health days in US counties. We performed regression on US counties (n = 3142) using data from the County Health Rankings and Roadmaps. Controlling for state, age, income, education, and race/ethnicity, large central metro counties reported 0.24 fewer average poor mental health days than small metro counties (t = - 5.78, df = 423, p < .001). Noncore counties had 0.07 more average poor mental health days than small metro counties (t = 3.06, df = 1690, p = 0.002). Better mental health in large central metro counties was partly mediated by differences in the built environment, such as better food environments. Poorer mental health in noncore counties was not mediated by considered mediators.


Asunto(s)
Renta , Salud Mental , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Recién Nacido , Autoinforme , Escolaridad
9.
Cogn Affect Behav Neurosci ; 22(1): 199-213, 2022 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34448127

RESUMEN

Learning theories of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) purport that fear-learning processes, such as those that support fear acquisition and extinction, are impaired. Computational models designed to capture specific processes involved in fear learning have primarily assessed model-free, or trial-and-error, reinforcement learning (RL). Although previous studies indicated that aspects of model-free RL are disrupted among individuals with PTSD, research has yet to identify whether model-based RL, which is inferential and contextually driven, is impaired. Given empirical evidence of aberrant contextual modulation of fear in PTSD, the present study sought to identify whether model-based RL processes are altered during fear conditioning among women with interpersonal violence (IPV)-related PTSD (n = 85) using computational modeling. Model-free, hybrid, and model-based RL models were applied to skin conductance responses (SCR) collected during fear acquisition and extinction, and the model-based RL model was found to provide the best fit to the SCR data. Parameters from the model-based RL model were carried forward to neuroimaging analyses (voxel-wise and independent component analysis). Results revealed that reduced activity within visual processing regions during model-based updating uniquely predicted higher PTSD symptoms. Additionally, after controlling for model-based updating, greater value estimation encoding within the left frontoparietal network during fear acquisition and reduced value estimation encoding within the dorsomedial prefrontal cortex during fear extinction predicted greater PTSD symptoms. Results provide evidence of disrupted RL processes in women with assault-related PTSD, which may contribute to impaired fear and safety learning, and, furthermore, may relate to treatment response (e.g., poorer response to exposure therapy).


Asunto(s)
Miedo , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático , Extinción Psicológica/fisiología , Miedo/fisiología , Femenino , Humanos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Masculino , Refuerzo en Psicología , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático/diagnóstico por imagen
10.
J Gerontol Nurs ; 48(12): 35-42, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36441067

RESUMEN

The Family Caregiver Activation in Transitions (FCAT) tool in its current, non-scalar form is not pragmatic for clinical use as each item is scored and intended to be interpreted individually. The purpose of the current study was to create a scalar version of the FCAT to facilitate better care communications between hospital staff and family caregivers. We also assessed the scale's validity by comparing the scalar version of the measure against patient health measures. Data were collected from 463 family caregiver-patient dyads from January 2016 to July 2019. An exploratory factor analysis was performed on the 10-item FCAT, resulting in a statistically homogeneous six-item scale focused on current caregiving activation factors. The measure was then compared against patient health measures, with no significant biases found. The six-item scalar FCAT can provide hospital staff insight into the level of caregiver activation occurring in the patient's health care and help tailor care transition needs for family caregiver-patient dyads. [Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 48(12), 35-42.].


Asunto(s)
Cuidadores , Enfermería Geriátrica , Humanos , Anciano , Análisis Factorial , Comunicación , Transferencia de Pacientes
11.
Bipolar Disord ; 23(8): 810-820, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33587813

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Bipolar disorder (BP) is commonly researched in digital settings. As a result, standardized digital tools are needed to measure mood. We sought to validate a new survey that is brief, validated in digital form, and able to separately measure manic and depressive severity. METHODS: We introduce a 6-item digital survey, called digiBP, for measuring mood in BP. It has three depressive items (depressed mood, fidgeting, fatigue), two manic items (increased energy, rapid speech), and one mixed item (irritability); and recovers two scores (m and d) to measure manic and depressive severity. In a secondary analysis of individuals with BP who monitored their symptoms over 6 weeks (n = 43), we perform a series of analyses to validate the digiBP survey internally, externally, and as a longitudinal measure. RESULTS: We first verify a conceptual model for the survey in which items load onto two factors ("manic" and "depressive"). We then show weekly averages of m and d scores from digiBP can explain significant variation in weekly scores from the Young Mania Rating Scale (R2  = 0.47) and SIGH-D (R2  = 0.58). Lastly, we examine the utility of the survey as a longitudinal measure by predicting an individual's future m and d scores from their past m and d scores. CONCLUSIONS: While further validation is warranted in larger, diverse populations, these validation analyses should encourage researchers to consider digiBP for their next digital study of BP.


Asunto(s)
Trastorno Bipolar , Afecto , Trastorno Bipolar/complicaciones , Trastorno Bipolar/diagnóstico , Humanos , Genio Irritable , Escalas de Valoración Psiquiátrica , Autoinforme , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
12.
Int J Audiol ; 60(8): 598-606, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33287599

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to (i) develop a model that predicts hearing aid (HA) use and (ii) determine if model fit is improved by adding factors not typically collected in audiological evaluations. DESIGN: Two models were created and evaluated. The "clinical" model used factors typically collected during audiologic clinical evaluations. The "expanded" model considered additional clinical, health and lifestyle factors to determine if the model fit could be improved (compared to clinical model). Models were created with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression with 10-fold cross validation. Predictive ability was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic curves and concordance statistics (c-statistics). STUDY SAMPLE: This study included 275 participants from the Beaver Dam Offspring Study, a prospective longitudinal cohort study of aging, with a treatable level of hearing loss and no HA use at baseline. RESULTS: The clinical and expanded models report predictors important for HA use. The c-statistics of the clinical (0.80) and expanded (0.79) models were not significantly different (p = 0.41). CONCLUSIONS: Similar predictive abilities of models suggest audiological evaluations perform well in predicting HA use.


Asunto(s)
Audífonos , Pérdida Auditiva , Adulto , Animales , Pérdida Auditiva/diagnóstico , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Estudios Prospectivos , Roedores
13.
Med Care ; 58(10): 881-888, 2020 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32732782

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Many older adults (65+) present to the Emergency Department (ED) with chest pain, but do not have otherwise clear clinical indication of whether they should be admitted or discharged. This uncertainty leads to decisions that are highly variable-in addition to already being costly-which could have adverse consequences, since older adults are particularly vulnerable from hospitalization. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine whether admitting versus discharging an older adult presenting to the ED with chest pain reduces risk of mortality and readmission. STUDY DESIGN: Electronic health records were curated from an academic hospital system between January 1, 2014, and September 27, 2018. Average effects of admission on 30-day readmission and mortality were estimated using a new causal inference approach based on a latent-variable model of the admission process. Additional analyses assessed moderators and robustness of estimates. SUBJECTS: Older patients (n=3090) presenting to University of Wisconsin Hospital ED. MEASURES: Readmission and mortality within 25, 30, and 35 days of discharge from the ED for discharged patients or the hospital for admitted patients RESULTS:: For older chest pain patients, admission is estimated to lower the 30-day risk of readmission by 42.8% (95% confidence interval: 41.0%-44.6%) but increase the 30-day risk of mortality by 0.8% (95% confidence interval: 0.4%-1.2%). Individuals with higher hierarchical conditional category scores or diabetes with complications have both lower 30-day risk of readmission and higher 30-day risk of mortality compared with their counterparts (P≤0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest ED admission may prevent readmission at the cost of increasing mortality risk for older chest pain patients, especially those with comorbidity. Additional studies are needed to validate these findings.


Asunto(s)
Dolor en el Pecho/epidemiología , Dolor en el Pecho/mortalidad , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Comorbilidad , Complicaciones de la Diabetes , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Femenino , Hospitales de Enseñanza/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Wisconsin
14.
Bipolar Disord ; 22(2): 182-190, 2020 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31610074

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Self-monitoring is recommended for individuals with bipolar disorder, with numerous technological solutions available. This study aimed to identify basic components of these solutions that increase engagement with self-monitoring. METHODS: Participants with bipolar disorder (n = 47) monitored their symptoms with a Fitbit and a smartphone app and were randomly assigned to either review or not review recorded symptoms weekly. We tested whether individuals would better adhere to and prefer monitoring with passive monitoring with an activity tracker compared to active monitoring with a smartphone app and whether individuals would better adhere to self-monitoring if their recorded symptoms were reviewed with an interviewer. RESULTS: Monitoring with a smartphone app achieved similar adherence and preference to Fitbit (P > .85). Linear mixed effects modeling found adherence decreased significantly more over the study for the Fitbit (12% more, P < .001) even though more participants reported they would use the Fitbit over a year compared to the app (72.3% vs 46.8%). Reviewing symptoms weekly did not improve adherence, but most participants reported they would prefer to review symptoms with a clinician (74.5%) and on monthly basis (57.5%) compared to alternatives. Participants endorsed sleep as the most important symptom to monitor, forgetfulness as the largest barrier to self-monitoring, and raising self-awareness as the best reason for self-monitoring. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend a combined strategy of wearable and mobile monitoring that includes reminders, targets raising self-awareness, and tracks sleep. A clinician may want to review symptoms on a monthly basis. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03358238.


Asunto(s)
Trastorno Bipolar , Monitoreo Fisiológico/estadística & datos numéricos , Dispositivos Electrónicos Vestibles , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
15.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 15(9): e1007331, 2019 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31525176

RESUMEN

Many models of classical conditioning fail to describe important phenomena, notably the rapid return of fear after extinction. To address this shortfall, evidence converged on the idea that learning agents rely on latent-state inferences, i.e. an ability to index disparate associations from cues to rewards (or penalties) and infer which index (i.e. latent state) is presently active. Our goal was to develop a model of latent-state inferences that uses latent states to predict rewards from cues efficiently and that can describe behavior in a diverse set of experiments. The resulting model combines a Rescorla-Wagner rule, for which updates to associations are proportional to prediction error, with an approximate Bayesian rule, for which beliefs in latent states are proportional to prior beliefs and an approximate likelihood based on current associations. In simulation, we demonstrate the model's ability to reproduce learning effects both famously explained and not explained by the Rescorla-Wagner model, including rapid return of fear after extinction, the Hall-Pearce effect, partial reinforcement extinction effect, backwards blocking, and memory modification. Lastly, we derive our model as an online algorithm to maximum likelihood estimation, demonstrating it is an efficient approach to outcome prediction. Establishing such a framework is a key step towards quantifying normative and pathological ranges of latent-state inferences in various contexts.


Asunto(s)
Biología Computacional/métodos , Aprendizaje/fisiología , Modelos Psicológicos , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Condicionamiento Clásico , Miedo , Humanos , Refuerzo en Psicología
16.
Bull Math Biol ; 82(6): 69, 2020 06 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32500204

RESUMEN

The Rescorla-Wagner (R-W) model describes human associative learning by proposing that an agent updates associations between stimuli, such as events in their environment or predictive cues, proportionally to a prediction error. While this model has proven informative in experiments, it has been posited that humans selectively attend to certain cues to overcome a problem with the R-W model scaling to large cue dimensions. We formally characterize this scaling problem and provide a solution that involves limiting attention in a R-W model to a sparse set of cues. Given the universal difficulty in selecting features for prediction, sparse attention faces challenges beyond those faced by the R-W model. We demonstrate several ways in which a naive attention model can fail explain those failures and leverage that understanding to produce a Sparse Attention R-W with Inference framework (SAR-WI). The SAR-WI framework not only satisfies a constraint on the number of attended cues, it also performs as well as the R-W model on a number of natural learning tasks, can correctly infer associative strengths, and focuses attention on predictive cues while ignoring uninformative cues. Given the simplicity of proposed alterations, we hope this work informs future development and empirical validation of associative learning models that seek to incorporate sparse attention.


Asunto(s)
Aprendizaje por Asociación/fisiología , Modelos Psicológicos , Algoritmos , Análisis de Varianza , Atención/fisiología , Biología Computacional , Simulación por Computador , Señales (Psicología) , Humanos , Conceptos Matemáticos , Recompensa , Análisis de Sistemas
17.
Stat Med ; 38(20): 3911-3935, 2019 09 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31184788

RESUMEN

In emergency departments (EDs), care providers continuously weigh admissions against continued monitoring and treatment often without knowing their condition and health needs. To understand the decision process and its causal effect on outcomes, an observational study must contend with unobserved/missing information and a lack of exchangeability between admitted and discharged patients. Our goal was to provide a general framework to evaluate admission decisions from electronic healthcare records (EHRs). We describe admission decisions as a decision-making process in which the patient's health needs is a binary latent variable. We estimate latent health needs from EHR with only partial knowledge of the decision process (ie, initial evaluation, admission decision, length of stay). Estimated latent health needs are then used to understand the admission decision and the decision's causal impact on outcomes. For the latter, we assume potential outcomes are stochastically independent from the admission decision conditional on latent health needs. As a case study, we apply our approach to over 150 000 patient encounters with the ED from the University of Michigan Health System collected from August 2012 through July 2015. We estimate that while admitting a patient with higher latent needs reduces the 30-day risk of revisiting the ED or later being admitted through the ED by over 79%, admitting a patient with lower latent needs actually increases these 30-day risks by 3.0% and 7.6%, respectively.


Asunto(s)
Toma de Decisiones Clínicas/métodos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Modelos Estadísticos , Admisión del Paciente , Sistemas de Apoyo a Decisiones Clínicas , Humanos , Michigan , Estudios de Casos Organizacionales , Resultado del Tratamiento
18.
J Gen Intern Med ; 33(6): 914-920, 2018 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29542006

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Although short sleep, shift work, and physical inactivity are endemic to residency, a lack of objective, real-time information has limited our understanding of how these problems impact physician mental health. OBJECTIVE: To understand how the residency experience affects sleep, physical activity, and mood, and to understand the directional relationships among these variables. DESIGN: A prospective longitudinal study. SUBJECTS: Thirty-three first-year residents (interns) provided data from 2 months pre-internship through the first 6 months of internship. MAIN MEASURES: Objective real-time assessment of daily sleep and physical activity was assessed through accelerometry-based wearable devices. Mood scaled from 1 to 10 was recorded daily using SMS technology. Average compliance rates prior to internship for mood, sleep, and physical activity were 77.4, 80.2, and 93.7%, and were 78.8, 53.0, and 79.9% during internship. KEY RESULTS: After beginning residency, interns lost an average of 2 h and 48 min of sleep per week (t = - 3.04, p < .01). Mood and physical activity decreased by 7.5% (t = - 3.67, p < .01) and 11.5% (t = - 3.15, p < .01), respectively. A bidirectional relationship emerged between sleep and mood during internship wherein short sleep augured worse mood the next day (b = .12, p < .001), which, in turn, presaged shorter sleep the next night (b = .06, p = .03). Importantly, the effect of short sleep on mood was twice as large as mood's effect on sleep. Lastly, substantial shifts in sleep timing during internship (sleeping ≥ 3 h earlier or later than pre-internship patterns) led to shorter sleep (earlier: b = - .36, p < .01; later: b = - 1.75, p < .001) and poorer mood (earlier: b = - .41, p < .001; later: b = - .41, p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Shift work, short sleep, and physical inactivity confer a challenging environment for physician mental health. Efforts to increase sleep opportunity through designing shift schedules to allow for adequate opportunity to resynchronize the circadian system and improving exercise compatibility of the work environment may improve mood in this depression-vulnerable population.


Asunto(s)
Acelerometría/tendencias , Afecto/fisiología , Ritmo Circadiano/fisiología , Ejercicio Físico/fisiología , Internado y Residencia/tendencias , Sueño/fisiología , Acelerometría/métodos , Adulto , Ejercicio Físico/psicología , Femenino , Humanos , Internado y Residencia/métodos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Admisión y Programación de Personal/tendencias , Estudios Prospectivos , Horario de Trabajo por Turnos/psicología , Privación de Sueño/diagnóstico , Privación de Sueño/fisiopatología , Tolerancia al Trabajo Programado/fisiología , Tolerancia al Trabajo Programado/psicología
19.
Matern Child Health J ; 22(10): 1436-1443, 2018 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29616441

RESUMEN

Objectives This study aimed to determine which steps in the newborn screening collection and delivery processes contribute to delays and identify strategies to improve timeliness. Methods Data was analyzed from infants (N = 94,770) who underwent newborn screening at 83 hospitals in Michigan between April 2014 and March 2015. Linear mixed effects models estimated effects of hospital and newborn characteristics on times between steps in the process, whereas simulation explored how to improve timeliness through adjustments to schedules for the state laboratory and for specimen pickup from hospitals. Results Time from collection to receipt of arrival to the state laboratory varied greatly with collection timing (P < 0.001), with specimens collected on Friday or Saturday delayed an average of 9-12 h compared to other specimens. Simulation estimates shifting specimen pickup from 6 p.m. Sunday-Friday to 9 p.m. Sunday-Friday could lead to an additional 12.6% of specimens received by the Michigan laboratory within 60 h of birth. Conclusions for Practice The time between when a specimen is collected and received by the laboratory can be a significant bottleneck in the newborn screening process. Modifying hospital pickup schedules appears to be a simple way to improve timeliness.


Asunto(s)
Recolección de Muestras de Sangre/normas , Simulación por Computador , Pruebas Genéticas , Tamizaje Neonatal/métodos , Tamizaje Neonatal/organización & administración , Conjuntos de Datos como Asunto , Femenino , Pruebas Genéticas/normas , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Michigan , Factores de Tiempo
20.
Drug Alcohol Depend Rep ; 10: 100211, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38205144

RESUMEN

Background: Opioid use disorder is prevalent among individuals who are incarcerated, yet medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD) are not widely available in United States jails and prisons. Negative staff attitudes across the criminal legal system may prevent MOUD from being provided. We sought to determine if staff attitudes are associated with the provision of MOUD in prisons or jails. Methods: 227 staff members of 43 jails and partnering community-based treatment providers answered questions on the effectiveness and acceptability of methadone, buprenorphine, and naltrexone. Response patterns were summarized with principal component analysis. Mixed-effects regression was performed to determine if attitudes toward MOUD were associated with the number of individuals screened and diagnosed with an OUD, referred to treatment, provided MOUD and referred to treatment after release. Results: Sites whose staff had negative attitudes towards methadone and positive attitudes towards naltrexone were associated with fewer people being screened (Mean ratio [MR] = 0.84, 95 % CI: [0.72, 0.97]), diagnosed (MR = 0.85, 95 % CI: [0.73, 0.99]), referred (MR = 0.76, 95 % CI: [0.65, 0.89]), provided MOUD (MR = 0.70, 95 % CI: [0.58, 0.84]), and referred after release (MR = 0.82, 95 % CI: [0.72, 0.94]). Sites with overall positive attitudes towards all MOUD were associated with more people being screened (MR = 1.16, 95 % CI: [1.01, 1.34]), diagnosed (MR = 1.37, 95 % CI: [1.18, 1.60]), and referred to treatment (MR = 1.41, 95 % CI: [1.20, 1.65]). Conclusions: Attitudinal barriers exist in the criminal legal system and are associated with the provision of MOUD.

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