Declining calcium concentration drives shifts toward smaller and less nutritious zooplankton in northern lakes.

Zooplankton community composition of northern lakes is changing due to the interactive effects of climate change and recovery from acidification, yet limited data are available to assess these changes combined. Here, we built a database using archives of temperature, water chemistry and zooplankton data from 60 Scandinavian lakes that represent broad spatial and temporal gradients in key parameters: temperature, calcium (Ca), total phosphorus (TP), total organic carbon (TOC), and pH. Using machine learning techniques, we found that Ca was the most important determinant of the relative abundance of all zooplankton groups studied, while pH was second, and TOC third in importance. Further, we found that Ca is declining in almost all lakes, and we detected a critical Ca threshold in lake water of 1.3 mg L-1 , below which the relative abundance of zooplankton shifts toward dominance of Holopedium gibberum and small cladocerans at the expense of Daphnia and copepods. Our findings suggest that low Ca concentrations may shape zooplankton communities, and that current trajectories of Ca decline could promote widespread changes in pelagic food webs as zooplankton are important trophic links from phytoplankton to fish and different zooplankton species play different roles in this context.

Climate change amplifies the risk of potentially toxigenic cyanobacteria.

Cyanobacterial blooms pose a significant threat to water security, with anthropogenic forcing being implicated as a key driver behind the recent upsurge and global expansion of cyanobacteria in modern times. The potential effects of land-use alterations and climate change can lead to complicated, less-predictable scenarios in cyanobacterial management, especially when forecasting cyanobacterial toxin risks. There is a growing need for further investigations into the specific stressors that stimulate cyanobacterial toxins, as well as resolving the uncertainty surrounding the historical or contemporary nature of cyanobacterial-associated risks. To address this gap, we employed a paleolimnological approach to reconstruct cyanobacterial abundance and microcystin-producing potential in temperate lakes situated along a human impact gradient. We identified breakpoints (i.e., points of abrupt change) in these time series and examined the impact of landscape and climatic properties on their occurrence. Our findings indicate that lakes subject to greater human influence exhibited an earlier onset of cyanobacterial biomass by 40 years compared to less-impacted lakes, with land-use change emerging as the dominant predictor. Moreover, microcystin-producing potential increased in both high- and low-impact lakes around the 1980s, with climate warming being the primary driver. Our findings chronicle the importance of climate change in increasing the risk of toxigenic cyanobacteria in freshwater resources.

Browning-induced changes in trophic functioning of planktonic food webs in temperate and boreal lakes: insights from fatty acids.

The effects of lake browning on trophic functioning of planktonic food webs are not fully understood. We studied the effects of browning on the response patterns of polyunsaturated fatty acids and n-3/n-6 ratio in seston and compared them between boreal and temperate lakes. We also compared the regional differences and the effects of lake browning on the reliance of zooplankton on heterotrophic microbial pathways and the mass fractions of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) in zooplankton. Lake browning was associated with increasing phytoplankton biomass and concentrations of EPA and DHA in both temperate and boreal lakes, but the seston n-3/n-6 ratio was lower in temperate than boreal lakes, most likely due the differences in phytoplankton community composition. The browning-induced increase in phytoplankton biomass was associated with increased reliance of zooplankton on a heterotrophic microbial pathway for both cladocerans and copepods in boreal and temperate lakes. This increased reliance on the heterotrophic microbial diet was correlated with a decrease in the EPA and DHA mass fractions in temperate copepods and a decrease in the n-3/n-6 ratio in boreal cladocerans and copepods. Our results indicate that although phytoplankton responses to lake browning were similar across regions, this did not directly cascade to the next trophic level, where zooplankton responses were highly taxa- and region-specific. These results indicate that lake browning should be considered as an overarching moderator that is linked to, e.g., nutrient increases, which have more immediate consequences on trophic interactions at the phytoplankton-zooplankton interface.

Peak grain forecasts for the US High Plains amid withering waters.

Irrigated agriculture contributes 40% of total global food production. In the US High Plains, which produces more than 50 million tons per year of grain, as much as 90% of irrigation originates from groundwater resources, including the Ogallala aquifer. In parts of the High Plains, groundwater resources are being depleted so rapidly that they are considered nonrenewable, compromising food security. When groundwater becomes scarce, groundwater withdrawals peak, causing a subsequent peak in crop production. Previous descriptions of finite natural resource depletion have utilized the Hubbert curve. By coupling the dynamics of groundwater pumping, recharge, and crop production, Hubbert-like curves emerge, responding to the linked variations in groundwater pumping and grain production. On a state level, this approach predicted when groundwater withdrawal and grain production peaked and the lag between them. The lags increased with the adoption of efficient irrigation practices and higher recharge rates. Results indicate that, in Texas, withdrawals peaked in 1966, followed by a peak in grain production 9 y later. After better irrigation technologies were adopted, the lag increased to 15 y from 1997 to 2012. In Kansas, where these technologies were employed concurrently with the rise of irrigated grain production, this lag was predicted to be 24 y starting in 1994. In Nebraska, grain production is projected to continue rising through 2050 because of high recharge rates. While Texas and Nebraska had equal irrigated output in 1975, by 2050, it is projected that Nebraska will have almost 10 times the groundwater-based production of Texas.

Reconstructing historical time-series of cyanobacteria in lake sediments: Integrating technological innovation to enhance cyanobacterial management.

The global rise of cyanobacterial blooms emphasizes the need to develop tools to manage water bodies prone to cyanobacterial dominance. Reconstructing cyanobacterial baselines and identifying environmental drivers that favour cyanobacterial dominance are important to guide management decisions. Conventional techniques for estimating cyanobacteria in lake sediments require considerable resources, creating a barrier to routine reconstructions of cyanobacterial time-series. Here, we compare a relatively simple technique based on spectral inferences of cyanobacteria using visible near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (VNIRS) with a molecular technique based on real-time PCR quantification (qPCR) of the 16S rRNA gene conserved in cyanobacteria in 30 lakes across a broad geographic gradient. We examined the sedimentary record from two perspectives: 1) relationships throughout the entire core (without radiometric dating); 2) relationships post-1900s with the aid of radiometric dating (i.e., 210Pb). Our findings suggest that the VNIRS-based cyanobacteria technique is best suited for reconstructing cyanobacterial abundance in recent decades (i.e., circa 1990 onwards). The VNIRS-based cyanobacteria technique showed agreement with those generated using qPCR, with 23 (76%) lakes showing a strong or very strong positive relationship between the results of the two techniques. However, five (17%) lakes showed negligible relationships, suggesting cyanobacteria VNIRS requires further refinement to understand where VNIRS is unsuitable. This knowledge will help scientists and lake managers select alternative cyanobacterial diagnostics where appropriate. These findings demonstrate the utility of VNIRS, in most instances, as a valuable tool for reconstructing past cyanobacterial prevalence.

Practical Guide to Measuring Wetland Carbon Pools and Fluxes.

Wetlands cover a small portion of the world, but have disproportionate influence on global carbon (C) sequestration, carbon dioxide and methane emissions, and aquatic C fluxes. However, the underlying biogeochemical processes that affect wetland C pools and fluxes are complex and dynamic, making measurements of wetland C challenging. Over decades of research, many observational, experimental, and analytical approaches have been developed to understand and quantify pools and fluxes of wetland C. Sampling approaches range in their representation of wetland C from short to long timeframes and local to landscape spatial scales. This review summarizes common and cutting-edge methodological approaches for quantifying wetland C pools and fluxes. We first define each of the major C pools and fluxes and provide rationale for their importance to wetland C dynamics. For each approach, we clarify what component of wetland C is measured and its spatial and temporal representativeness and constraints. We describe practical considerations for each approach, such as where and when an approach is typically used, who can conduct the measurements (expertise, training requirements), and how approaches are conducted, including considerations on equipment complexity and costs. Finally, we review key covariates and ancillary measurements that enhance the interpretation of findings and facilitate model development. The protocols that we describe to measure soil, water, vegetation, and gases are also relevant for related disciplines such as ecology. Improved quality and consistency of data collection and reporting across studies will help reduce global uncertainties and develop management strategies to use wetlands as nature-based climate solutions. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13157-023-01722-2.

Multi-decadal changes in phytoplankton biomass in northern temperate lakes as seen through the prism of landscape properties.

Ecologists collectively predict that climate change will enhance phytoplankton biomass in northern lakes. Yet there are unique variations in the structures and regulating functions of lakes to make this prediction challengeable and, perhaps, inaccurate. We used archived Landsat TM/ETM+ satellite products to estimate epilimnetic chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration as a proxy for phytoplankton biomass in 281 northern temperate lakes over 28 years. We explored the influence of climate (air temperature, precipitation) and landscape proxies for nutrient sources (proportion of wetlands in a contributing catchment, size of the littoral zone, potential for wind-driven sediment resuspension as estimated by the dynamic ratio) or nutrient sinks (lake volume) in a random forest model to explain heterogeneity in peak Chl-a. Lakes with higher Chl-a (median Chl-a = 2.4 µg L-1 , n = 40) had smaller volumes (<44 × 104  m3 ) and were more sensitive to increases in temperature. In contrast, lakes with lower Chl-a (median Chl-a = 0.6 µg L-1 , n = 241) had larger volumes (≥44 × 104  m3 ), contributing catchments with smaller proportions of wetlands (<4.5% of catchment area, n = 70), smaller littoral zones (<16.4 ha, n = 137), minimal wind-driven sediment resuspension (as defined by the dynamic ratio; <0.45, n = 232), and were more sensitive to increases in precipitation. Lakes with larger volumes were generally less responsive to climate factors; however, larger volume lakes with a significant proportion of wetlands and larger littoral zones behaved similarly to lakes with smaller volumes. Our finding that lakes with different landscape properties respond differently to climate factors may help predict the susceptibility of lakes to eutrophication under changing climatic conditions.

Deep Cyanobacteria Layers: An Overlooked Aspect of Managing Risks of Cyanobacteria.

The risk of human exposure to cyanotoxins is partially influenced by the location of toxin-producing cyanobacteria in waterbodies. Cyanotoxin production can occur throughout the water column, with deep water production representing a potential public health concern, specifically for drinking water supplies. Deep cyanobacteria layers are often unreported, and it remains to be seen if lower incident rates reflect an uncommon phenomenon or a monitoring bias. Here, we examine Sunfish Lake, Ontario, Canada as a case study lake with a known deep cyanobacteria layer. Cyanotoxin and other bioactive metabolite screening revealed that the deep cyanobacteria layer was toxigenic [0.03 µg L-1 microcystins (max) and 2.5 µg L-1 anabaenopeptins (max)]. The deep layer was predominantly composed of Planktothrix isothrix (exhibiting a lower cyanotoxin cell quota), with Planktothrix rubescens (exhibiting a higher cyanotoxin cell quota) found at background levels. The co-occurrence of multiple toxigenic Planktothrix species underscores the importance of routine surveillance for prompt identification leading to early intervention. For instance, microcystin concentrations in Sunfish Lake are currently below national drinking water thresholds, but shifting environmental conditions (e.g., in response to climate change or nutrient modification) could fashion an environment favoring P. rubescens, creating a scenario of greater cyanotoxin production. Future work should monitor the entire water column to help build predictive capacities for identifying waterbodies at elevated risk of developing deep cyanobacteria layers to safeguard drinking water supplies.

Lowered nutritional quality of plankton caused by global environmental changes.

Global environmental changes are causing widespread nutrient depletion, declines in the ratio of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (N) to total phosphorus (DIN:TP), and increases in both water temperature and terrestrial colored dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentration (browning) in high-latitude northern lakes. Declining lake DIN:TP, warming, and browning alter the nutrient limitation regime and biomass of phytoplankton, but how these stressors together affect the nutritional quality in terms of polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) contents of the pelagic food web components remains unknown. We assessed the fatty acid compositions of seston and zooplankton in 33 lakes across south-to-north and boreal-to-subarctic gradients in Sweden. Data showed higher lake DIN:TP in the south than in the north, and that boreal lakes were warmer and browner than subarctic lakes. Lake DIN:TP strongly affected the PUFA contents-especially eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA)-in seston, calanoids, and copepods (as a group), but not in cladocerans. The EPA+DHA contents increased by 123% in seston, 197% in calanoids, and 230% in copepods across a lake molar DIN:TP gradient from 0.17 to 14.53, indicating lower seston and copepod nutritional quality in the more N-limited lakes (those with lower DIN:TP). Water temperature affected EPA+DHA contents of zooplankton, especially cladocerans, but not seston. Cladoceran EPA+DHA contents were reduced by ca. 6% for every 1°C increase in surface water. Also, the EPA, DHA, or EPA+DHA contents of Bosmina, cyclopoids, and copepods increased in lakes with higher DOC concentrations or aromaticity. Our findings indicate that zooplankton food quality for higher consumers will decrease with warming alone (for cladocerans) or in combination with declining lake DIN:TP (for copepods), but impacts of these stressors are moderated by lake browning. Global environmental changes that drive northern lakes toward more N-limited, warmer, and browner conditions will reduce PUFA availability and nutritional quality of the pelagic food web components.

Global changes may be promoting a rise in select cyanobacteria in nutrient-poor northern lakes.

The interacting effects of global changes-including increased temperature, altered precipitation, reduced acidification and increased dissolved organic matter loads to lakes-are anticipated to create favourable environmental conditions for cyanobacteria in northern lakes. However, responses of cyanobacteria to these global changes are complex, if not contradictory. We hypothesized that absolute and relative biovolumes of cyanobacteria (both total and specific genera) are increasing in Swedish nutrient-poor lakes and that these increases are associated with global changes. We tested these hypotheses using data from 28 nutrient-poor Swedish lakes over 16 years (1998-2013). Increases in cyanobacteria relative biovolume were identified in 21% of the study sites, primarily in the southeastern region of Sweden, and were composed mostly of increases from three specific genera: Merismopedia, Chroococcus and Dolichospermum. Taxon-specific changes were related to different environmental stressors; that is, increased surface water temperature favoured higher Merismopedia relative biovolume in low pH lakes with high nitrogen to phosphorus ratios, whereas acidification recovery was statistically related to increased relative biovolumes of Chroococcus and Dolichospermum. In addition, enhanced dissolved organic matter loads were identified as potential determinants of Chroococcus suppression and Dolichospermum promotion. Our findings highlight that specific genera of cyanobacteria benefit from different environmental changes. Our ability to predict the risk of cyanobacteria prevalence requires consideration of the environmental condition of a lake and the sensitivities of the cyanobacteria genera within the lake. Regional patterns may emerge due to spatial autocorrelations within and among lake history, rates and direction of environmental change and the niche space occupied by specific cyanobacteria.

Differential Drawdown of Ammonium, Nitrate, and Urea by Freshwater Chlorophytes and Cyanobacteria1.

The chemical form of nitrogen (N) is deemed to be decisive in shaping the composition of the primary producer community. Recently, there has been a shift in the dominant form of N delivered to agricultural landscapes. Urea-based fertilizers are a mainstay in modern agriculture, and their ubiquitous use has increased the likelihood of urea export to nearby freshwaters. The shift to urea fertilizers has coincided with the recent expansion of cyanobacteria harmful algal blooms (cyanoHABs). This study investigated N drawdown patterns between two major freshwater phytoplankton groups-chlorophytes and cyanobacteria. Experiments were designed to understand if different patterns of N drawdown occurred among taxa and the potential synergistic effects of multiple N substrates. Nitrate (NO3- ), ammonium (NH4+ ), and urea were supplied in a series of paired combinations, and N concentrations were monitored to track N drawdowns. We did not find significant differences between phytoplankton classes when supplied with a single N substrate. However, we found that when N substrates were supplied in combination, significant differences in N drawdown patterns were observed. Urea was consumed more rapidly among cyanobacteria, being drawn down at significantly higher rates relative to inorganic N substrates. In contrast, inorganic N substrates were drawn down more rapidly among chlorophytes relative to urea. Our findings support the emerging urea-cyanoHAB link and the potential importance of urea in freshwater eutrophication. As society becomes increasingly dependent on urea for agricultural crops, the need to understand how urea influences phytoplankton community composition may be instrumental in predicting bloom dynamics.

Uncertainty analysis of the performance of a management system for achieving phosphorus load reduction to surface waters.

The recent re-eutrophication of Lake Erie suggests an inadequate phosphorus management system that results in excessive loads to the lake. In response, governments in Canada and the U.S. have issued a new policy objective: 40% reductions in total phosphorus (TP) and dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP) loads relative to 2008. The International Organization for Standardization (ISO) 31000 is a risk management standard. One of its analytical tools is the ISO 31010:2009 Bowtie Risk Analysis Tool, a tool that structures the cause-effect-impact pathway of risk but lacks the ability to capture the probability of reducing risk associated with different management systems. Here, we combined the Bowtie Risk Analysis Tool with a Bayesian belief network model to analyze the probability of different agricultural management systems of best management practices (BMPs) to achieve the 40% reductions in TP and DRP loads using different adoption rates. The commonly used soil conservation BMPs (e.g., reduced tillage) have a low probability of reducing TP and DRP to achieve the policy objective; while it can achieve the TP load reduction objective at increased adoptions rates >40%, it does not achieve the DRP load reduction objective, and in fact has the unintended consequence of increasing DRP loads. If decision makers continue to rely on soil conservation BMPs, the trade-offs between meeting objectives of different forms of phosphorus will require deciding whether the management priority is to achieve 40% load reduction objectives or to prevent further increases in DRP loads, the identified culprit causing the repeated algal blooms. In contrast, TP- and DRP-effective BMPS had higher probabilities of achieving the policy objective, especially at increased adoption rates >20%. The integration of Bayesian belief networks with the ISO risk management standard allows decision makers to determine the most probable outcomes of their management decisions, and to track and prepare for less probable outcomes, thereby decreasing the risk of failing to achieve policy objectives.

Do geographically isolated wetlands influence landscape functions?

Geographically isolated wetlands (GIWs), those surrounded by uplands, exchange materials, energy, and organisms with other elements in hydrological and habitat networks, contributing to landscape functions, such as flow generation, nutrient and sediment retention, and biodiversity support. GIWs constitute most of the wetlands in many North American landscapes, provide a disproportionately large fraction of wetland edges where many functions are enhanced, and form complexes with other water bodies to create spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the timing, flow paths, and magnitude of network connectivity. These attributes signal a critical role for GIWs in sustaining a portfolio of landscape functions, but legal protections remain weak despite preferential loss from many landscapes. GIWs lack persistent surface water connections, but this condition does not imply the absence of hydrological, biogeochemical, and biological exchanges with nearby and downstream waters. Although hydrological and biogeochemical connectivity is often episodic or slow (e.g., via groundwater), hydrologic continuity and limited evaporative solute enrichment suggest both flow generation and solute and sediment retention. Similarly, whereas biological connectivity usually requires overland dispersal, numerous organisms, including many rare or threatened species, use both GIWs and downstream waters at different times or life stages, suggesting that GIWs are critical elements of landscape habitat mosaics. Indeed, weaker hydrologic connectivity with downstream waters and constrained biological connectivity with other landscape elements are precisely what enhances some GIW functions and enables others. Based on analysis of wetland geography and synthesis of wetland functions, we argue that sustaining landscape functions requires conserving the entire continuum of wetland connectivity, including GIWs.

Global change-driven effects on dissolved organic matter composition: Implications for food webs of northern lakes.

Northern ecosystems are experiencing some of the most dramatic impacts of global change on Earth. Rising temperatures, hydrological intensification, changes in atmospheric acid deposition and associated acidification recovery, and changes in vegetative cover are resulting in fundamental changes in terrestrial-aquatic biogeochemical linkages. The effects of global change are readily observed in alterations in the supply of dissolved organic matter (DOM)-the messenger between terrestrial and lake ecosystems-with potentially profound effects on the structure and function of lakes. Northern terrestrial ecosystems contain substantial stores of organic matter and filter or funnel DOM, affecting the timing and magnitude of DOM delivery to surface waters. This terrestrial DOM is processed in streams, rivers, and lakes, ultimately shifting its composition, stoichiometry, and bioavailability. Here, we explore the potential consequences of these global change-driven effects for lake food webs at northern latitudes. Notably, we provide evidence that increased allochthonous DOM supply to lakes is overwhelming increased autochthonous DOM supply that potentially results from earlier ice-out and a longer growing season. Furthermore, we assess the potential implications of this shift for the nutritional quality of autotrophs in terms of their stoichiometry, fatty acid composition, toxin production, and methylmercury concentration, and therefore, contaminant transfer through the food web. We conclude that global change in northern regions leads not only to reduced primary productivity but also to nutritionally poorer lake food webs, with discernible consequences for the trophic web to fish and humans.

Landscape consequences of aggregation rules for functional equivalence in compensatory mitigation programs.

Mitigation and offset programs designed to compensate for ecosystem function losses due to development must balance losses from affected ecosystems with gains in restored ecosystems. Aggregation rules applied to ecosystem functions to assess site equivalence are based on implicit assumptions about the substitutability of functions among sites and can profoundly influence the distribution of restored ecosystem functions on the landscape. We investigated the consequences of rules applied to the aggregation of ecosystem functions for wetland offsets in the Beaverhill watershed in Alberta, Canada. We considered the fate of 3 ecosystem functions: hydrology, water purification, and biodiversity. We set up an affect-and-offset algorithm to simulate the effect of aggregation rules on ecosystem function for wetland offsets. Cobenefits and trade-offs among functions and the constraints posed by the quantity and quality of restorable sites resulted in a redistribution of functions between affected and offset wetlands. Hydrology and water purification functions were positively correlated with one another and negatively correlated with biodiversity function. Weighted-average rules did not replace functions in proportion to their weights. Rules prioritizing biodiversity function led to more monofunctional wetlands and landscapes. The minimum rule, for which the wetland score was equal to the worst performing function, promoted multifunctional wetlands and landscapes. The maximum rule, for which the wetland score was equal to the best performing function, promoted monofunctional wetlands and multifunctional landscapes. Because of implicit trade-offs among ecosystem functions, no-net-loss objectives for multiple functions should be constructed within a landscape context. Based on our results, we suggest criteria for the design of aggregation rules for no net loss of ecosystem functions within a landscape context include the concepts of substitutability, cobenefits and trade-offs, landscape constraints, heterogeneity, and the precautionary principle.

The science-policy interface of risk-based freshwater and marine management systems: From concepts to practical tools.

Maintaining the current state of ecosystem services from freshwater and marine ecosystems around the world is at risk. Cumulative effects of multiple human pressures on ecosystem components and functions are indicative of residual pressures that "fall through" the cracks of current industry sector management practices. Without an understanding of the level of residual pressures generated by these measures, we are unlikely to reconcile the root causes of ecosystem effects to improve these management practices to reduce their residual pressures. In this paper, we present a new modelling framework that combines a qualitative and quantitative assessments of the effectiveness of the measures used in the daily operations of industry sectors to predict their residual pressure that is delivered to the ecosystem. The predicted residual pressure can subsequently be used as an input variable for ecosystem models. We combine the Bow-tie analysis of the measures with a Bayesian belief network to quantify the effectiveness of the measures and predict the residual pressures.

Nitrous Oxide and Dinitrogen: The Missing Flux in Nitrogen Budgets of Forested Catchments?

Most forest nitrogen budgets are imbalanced, with nitrogen inputs exceeding nitrogen outputs. The denitrification products nitrous oxide (N2O) and dinitrogen (N2) represent often-unmeasured fluxes that may close the gap between explained nitrogen inputs and outputs. Gaseous N2O and N2 effluxes, dissolved N2O flux, and traditionally measured dissolved nitrogen species (i.e., nitrate, ammonium, and dissolved organic nitrogen) were estimated to account for the annual nitrogen output along hillslope gradients from two catchments in a temperate forest. Adding N2O and N2 effluxes to catchment nitrogen output not only reduced the discrepancy between nitrogen inputs and outputs (9.9 kg ha-1 yr-1 and 6.5 or 6.3 kg ha-1 yr-1, respectively), but also between nitrogen outputs from two catchments with different topographies (6.5 kg ha-1 yr-1 for the catchment with a large wetland, 6.3 kg ha-1 yr-1 for the catchment with a very small wetland). Dissolved N2O comprised a very small portion of the annual nitrogen outputs. Nitrogen inputs exceeded nitrogen outputs throughout the year except during spring runoff, and also during autumn storms in the catchment with the large wetland. Failing to account for denitrification products, especially during summer rainfall events, may lead to underestimation of annual nitrogen losses.

Integrating geographically isolated wetlands into land management decisions.

Wetlands across the globe provide extensive ecosystem services. However, many wetlands - especially those surrounded by uplands, often referred to as geographically isolated wetlands (GIWs) - remain poorly protected. Protection and restoration of wetlands frequently requires information on their hydrologic connectivity to other surface waters, and their cumulative watershed-scale effects. The integration of measurements and models can supply this information. However, the types of measurements and models that should be integrated are dependent on management questions and information compatibility. We summarize the importance of GIWs in watersheds and discuss what wetland connectivity means in both science and management contexts. We then describe the latest tools available to quantify GIW connectivity and explore crucial next steps to enhancing and integrating such tools. These advancements will ensure that appropriate tools are used in GIW decision making and maintaining the important ecosystem services that these wetlands support.

Soil denitrification fluxes from three northeastern North American forests across a range of nitrogen deposition.

In northern forests, large amounts of missing N that dominate N balances at scales ranging from small watersheds to large regional drainage basins may be related to N-gas production by soil microbes. We measured denitrification rates in forest soils in northeastern North America along a N deposition gradient to determine whether N-gas fluxes were a significant fate for atmospheric N inputs and whether denitrification rates were correlated with N availability, soil O2 status, or forest type. We quantified N2 and N2O fluxes in the laboratory with an intact-core method and monitored soil O2, temperature and moisture in three forests differing in natural and anthropogenic N enrichment: Turkey Lakes Watershed, Ontario; Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest, New Hampshire; and Bear Brook Watershed, Maine (fertilized and reference plots in hardwood and softwood stands). Total N-gas flux estimates ranged from <1 in fertilized hardwood uplands at Bear Brook to >100 kg N ha(-1) year(-1) in hardwood wetlands at Turkey Lakes. N-gas flux increased systematically with natural N enrichment from soils with high nitrification rates (Bear Brook < Hubbard Brook < Turkey Lakes) but did not increase in the site where N fertilizer has been added since 1989 (Bear Brook). Our results show that denitrification is an important and underestimated term (1-24% of atmospheric N inputs) in N budgets of upland forests in northeastern North America, but it does not appear to be an important sink for elevated anthropogenic atmospheric N deposition in this region.

Changing forest water yields in response to climate warming: results from long-term experimental watershed sites across North America.

Climate warming is projected to affect forest water yields but the effects are expected to vary. We investigated how forest type and age affect water yield resilience to climate warming. To answer this question, we examined the variability in historical water yields at long-term experimental catchments across Canada and the United States over 5-year cool and warm periods. Using the theoretical framework of the Budyko curve, we calculated the effects of climate warming on the annual partitioning of precipitation (P) into evapotranspiration (ET) and water yield. Deviation (d) was defined as a catchment's change in actual ET divided by P [AET/P; evaporative index (EI)] coincident with a shift from a cool to a warm period - a positive d indicates an upward shift in EI and smaller than expected water yields, and a negative d indicates a downward shift in EI and larger than expected water yields. Elasticity was defined as the ratio of interannual variation in potential ET divided by P (PET/P; dryness index) to interannual variation in the EI - high elasticity indicates low d despite large range in drying index (i.e., resilient water yields), low elasticity indicates high d despite small range in drying index (i.e., nonresilient water yields). Although the data needed to fully evaluate ecosystems based on these metrics are limited, we were able to identify some characteristics of response among forest types. Alpine sites showed the greatest sensitivity to climate warming with any warming leading to increased water yields. Conifer forests included catchments with lowest elasticity and stable to larger water yields. Deciduous forests included catchments with intermediate elasticity and stable to smaller water yields. Mixed coniferous/deciduous forests included catchments with highest elasticity and stable water yields. Forest type appeared to influence the resilience of catchment water yields to climate warming, with conifer and deciduous catchments more susceptible to climate warming than the more diverse mixed forest catchments.