Cost-effectiveness and budget impact of decentralising childhood tuberculosis diagnosis in six high tuberculosis incidence countries: a mathematical modelling study.

Background: The burden of childhood tuberculosis remains high globally, largely due to under-diagnosis. Decentralising childhood tuberculosis diagnosis services to lower health system levels could improve case detection, but there is little empirically based evidence on cost-effectiveness or budget impact. Methods: In this mathematical modelling study, we assessed the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of decentralising a comprehensive diagnosis package for childhood tuberculosis to district hospitals (DH-focused) or primary health centres (PHC-focused) compared to standard of care (SOC). The project was conducted in Cambodia, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, and Uganda between August 1st, 2018 and September 30th, 2021. A mathematical model was developed to assess the health and economic outcomes of the intervention from a health system perspective. Estimated outcomes were tuberculosis cases, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). We also calculated the budget impact of nationwide implementation. The TB-Speed Decentralization study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04038632. Findings: For the DH-focused strategy versus SOC, ICERs ranged between $263 (Cambodia) and $342 (Côte d'Ivoire) per DALY averted. For the PHC-focused strategy versus SOC, ICERs ranged between $477 (Cambodia) and $599 (Côte d'Ivoire) per DALY averted. Results were sensitive to TB prevalence and the discount rate used. The additional costs of implementing the DH-focused strategy ranged between $12.8 M (range 10.8-16.4) (Cambodia) and $50.4 M (36.5-74.4) (Mozambique), and between $13.9 M (12.6-15.6) (Sierra Leone) and $134.6 M (127.1-143.0) (Uganda) for the PHC-focused strategy. Interpretation: The DH-focused strategy may be cost-effective in some countries, depending on the cost-effectiveness threshold used for policy making. Either intervention would require substantial early investment. Funding: Unitaid.

Effect of decentralising childhood tuberculosis diagnosis to primary health centre versus district hospital levels on disease detection in children from six high tuberculosis incidence countries: an operational research, pre-post intervention study.

Background: Childhood tuberculosis (TB) remains underdiagnosed largely because of limited awareness and poor access to all or any of specimen collection, molecular testing, clinical evaluation, and chest radiography at low levels of care. Decentralising childhood TB diagnostics to district hospitals (DH) and primary health centres (PHC) could improve case detection. Methods: We conducted an operational research study using a pre-post intervention cross-sectional study design in 12 DHs and 47 PHCs of 12 districts across Cambodia, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Mozambique, Sierra Leone and Uganda. The intervention included 1) a comprehensive diagnosis package at patient-level with tuberculosis screening for all sick children and young adolescents <15 years, and clinical evaluation, Xpert Ultra-testing on respiratory and stool samples, and chest radiography for children with presumptive TB, and 2) two decentralisation approaches (PHC-focused or DH-focused) to which districts were randomly allocated at country level. We collected aggregated and individual data. We compared the proportion of tuberculosis detection in children and young adolescents <15 years pre-intervention (01 August 2018-30 November 2019) versus during intervention (07 March 2020-30 September 2021), overall and by decentralisation approach. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04038632. Findings: TB was diagnosed in 217/255,512 (0.08%) children and young adolescent <15 years attending care pre-intervention versus 411/179,581 (0.23%) during intervention, (OR: 3.59 [95% CI 1.99-6.46], p-value<0.0001; p-value = 0.055 after correcting for over-dispersion). In DH-focused districts, TB diagnosis was 80/122,570 (0.07%) versus 302/86,186 (0.35%) (OR: 4.07 [1.86-8.90]; p-value = 0.0005; p-value = 0.12 after correcting for over-dispersion); and 137/132,942 (0.10%) versus 109/93,395 (0.11%) in PHC-focused districts, respectively (OR: 2.92 [1.25-6.81; p-value = 0.013; p-value = 0.26 after correcting for over-dispersion). Interpretation: Decentralising and strengthening childhood TB diagnosis at lower levels of care increases tuberculosis case detection but the difference was not statistically significant. Funding source: Unitaid, Grant number 2017-15-UBx-TB-SPEED.

Effect of systematic tuberculosis detection on mortality in young children with severe pneumonia in countries with high incidence of tuberculosis: a stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis diagnosis might be delayed or missed in children with severe pneumonia because this diagnosis is usually only considered in cases of prolonged symptoms or antibiotic failure. Systematic tuberculosis detection at hospital admission could increase case detection and reduce mortality. METHODS: We did a stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial in 16 hospitals from six countries (Cambodia, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Mozambique, Uganda, and Zambia) with high incidence of tuberculosis. Children younger than 5 years with WHO-defined severe pneumonia received either the standard of care (control group) or standard of care plus Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert Ultra; Cepheid, Sunnyvale, CA, USA) on nasopharyngeal aspirate and stool samples (intervention group). Clusters (hospitals) were progressively switched from control to intervention at 5-week intervals, using a computer-generated random sequence, stratified on incidence rate of tuberculosis at country level, and masked to teams until 5 weeks before switch. We assessed the effect of the intervention on primary (12-week all-cause mortality) and secondary (including tuberculosis diagnosis) outcomes, using generalised linear mixed models. The primary analysis was by intention to treat. We described outcomes in children with severe acute malnutrition in a post hoc analysis. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03831906) and the Pan African Clinical Trial Registry (PACTR202101615120643). FINDINGS: From March 21, 2019, to March 30, 2021, we enrolled 1401 children in the control group and 1169 children in the intervention group. In the intervention group, 1140 (97·5%) children had nasopharyngeal aspirates and 942 (80·6%) had their stool collected; 24 (2·1%) had positive Xpert Ultra. At 12 weeks, 110 (7·9%) children in the control group and 91 (7·8%) children in the intervention group had died (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0·986, 95% CI 0·597-1·630, p=0·957), and 74 (5·3%) children in the control group and 88 (7·5%) children in the intervention group had tuberculosis diagnosed (adjusted OR 1·238, 95% CI 0·696-2·202, p=0·467). In children with severe acute malnutrition, 57 (23·8%) of 240 children in the control group and 53 (17·8%) of 297 children in the intervention group died, and 36 (15·0%) of 240 children in the control group and 56 (18·9%) of 297 children in the intervention group were diagnosed with tuberculosis. The main adverse events associated with nasopharyngeal aspirates were samples with blood in 312 (27·3%) of 1147 children with nasopharyngeal aspirates attempted, dyspnoea or SpO2 less than 95% in 134 (11·4%) of children, and transient respiratory distress or SpO2 less than 90% in 59 (5·2%) children. There was no serious adverse event related to nasopharyngeal aspirates reported during the trial. INTERPRETATION: Systematic molecular tuberculosis detection at hospital admission did not reduce mortality in children with severe pneumonia. High treatment and microbiological confirmation rates support more systematic use of Xpert Ultra in this group, notably in children with severe acute malnutrition. FUNDING: Unitaid and L'Initiative. TRANSLATION: For the French translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.