A predictive model for therapy failure in chronic myeloid leukemia patients receiving tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy.

Although tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy has markedly improved the survival of people with chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), 20-30% of people still experienced therapy failure. Data from 1,955 consecutive subjects with chronic-phase CML diagnosed by the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) recommendations from 1 center receiving initial TKI imatinib or a second-generation (2G-) TKI therapy were interrogated to develop a clinical prediction model for TKI therapy failure. This model was subsequently validated in 3,454 subjects from 76 other centers. Using the predictive clinical co-variates associated with TKI therapy failure, we developed a model that stratified subjects into low-, intermediate- and high-risk subgroups with significantly different cumulative incidences of therapy failure (p < 0.001). There was good discrimination and calibration in the external validation dataset, and the performance was consistent with that of the training dataset. Our model had the better prediction discrimination than the Sokal and ELTS scores did, with the greater time-dependent area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROC) values and a better ability to re-defined the risk of therapy failure. Our model could help physicians estimate the likelihood of initial imatinib or 2G-TKI therapy failure in people with chronic-phase CML.

The Gordian knot: ruxolitinib or transplants for high-risk myelofibrosis.

Not available.

Immune therapies of B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukaemia in children and adults.

B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (B-cell ALL) is a common haematologic cancer in children and adults. About 10 percent of children and 50 percent of adults fail to achieve a histological complete remission or subsequently relapse despite current anti-leukaemia drug therapies and/or haematopoietic cell transplants. Several new immune therapies including monoclonal antibodies and chimeric antigen receptor (CAR)-T-cells are proved safe and effective in this setting. We review data on US Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved immune therapies for B-cell ALL in children and adults including blinatumomab, inotuzumab ozogamicin, tisagenlecleucel, and brexucabtagene autoleucel. We also summarize pharmaco-dynamics, pharmaco-kinetics, and pharmaco-economics of these interventions.

Using real-world evidence in haematology.

Most new drug approvals are based on data from large randomized clinical trials (RCTs). However, there are sometimes contradictory conclusions from seemingly similar trials and generalizability of conclusions from these trials is limited. These considerations explain, in part, the gap between conclusions from data of RCTs and those from registries termed real world data (RWD). Recently, real-world evidence (RWE) from RWD processed by artificial intelligence has received increasing attention. We describe the potential of using RWD in haematology concluding RWE from RWD may complement data from RCTs to support regulatory decisions.

Sphingosine-1 phosphate receptor 1 (S1PR1) expression maintains stemness of acute myeloid leukemia stem cells.

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) arises from leukemia stem cells (LSCs) and is maintained by cells which have acquired features of stemness. We compared transcription profiles of AML cells with/without stem cell features defined as in vitro clonogenicity and serial engraftment in immune-deficient mice xenograft model. We used multi-parameter flow cytometry (MPFC) to separate CD34+ bone marrow-derived leukemia cells into sphingosine-1 phosphate receptor 1 (S1PR1)+ and S1PR1- fractions. Cells in the S1PR1+ fraction demonstrated significantly higher clonogenicity and higher engraftment potential compared with those in the S1PR1- fraction. In contrast, CD34+ bone marrow cells from normal samples showed reduced clonogenicity in the S1PR1+ fraction compared with the S1PR1- fraction. Inhibition of S1PR1 expression in an AML cell line reduced the colony-forming potential of KG1 cells. Transcriptomic analyses and rescue experiments indicated PI3K/AKT pathway and MYBL2 are downstream mediators of S1PR1-associated stemness. These findings implicate S1PR1 as a functional biomarker of LSCs and suggest its potential as a therapeutic target in AML treatment.

Combination therapy with venetoclax and azacitidine for the treatment of myelodysplastic syndromes with DDX41 mutations.

Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) patients with DEAD-box helicase 41 (DDX41) mutations have been reported to be treated effectively with lenalidomide; however, there are no randomized studies to prove it. Venetoclax and azacitidine are safe and effective in high-risk MDS/AML. In this study, we evaluated the efficacy of venetoclax and azacitidine combination therapy in eight consecutive MDS patients with DDX41 mutations at our centre from March 2021 to November 2023. We retrospectively analyzed the genetic features and clinical characteristics of these patients. Our findings suggest that MDS patients with DDX41 mutation may benefit from the therapy, for six subjects received this regimen as initial therapy and five of the six subjects achieved complete remission.

Chronic myeloid leukaemia: Biology and therapy.

Chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) is caused by BCR::ABL1. Tyrosine kinase-inhibitors (TKIs) are the initial therapy. Several organizations have reported milestones to evaluate response to initial TKI-therapy and suggest when a change of TKI should be considered. Achieving treatment-free remission (TFR) is increasingly recognized as the optimal therapy goal. Which TKI is the best initial therapy for which persons and what depth and duration of molecular remission is needed to achieve TFR are controversial. In this review we discuss these issues and suggest future research directions.

Measurable residual disease (MRD)-testing in haematological cancers: A giant leap forward or sideways?

Measurable residual disease (MRD)-testing is used in many haematological cancers to estimate relapse risk and to direct therapy. Sometimes MRD-test results are used for regulatory approval. However, some people including regulators wrongfully believe results of MRD-testing are highly accurate and of proven efficacy in directing therapy. We review MRD-testing technologies and evaluate the accuracy of MRD-testing for predicting relapse and the strength of evidence supporting efficacy of MRD-guided therapy. We show that at the individual level MRD-test results are often an inaccurate relapse predictor. Also, no convincing data indicate that increasing therapy-intensity based on a positive MRD-test reduces relapse risk or improves survival. We caution against adjusting therapy-intensity based solely on results of MRD-testing.

Methodological challenges in the development of endpoints for myelofibrosis clinical trials.

Myelofibrosis is a myeloid neoplasm characterised by the presence of JAK2, CALR, or MPL mutations (with a 90% mutation frequency) and trilineage myeloid proliferation with prominent megakaryocyte atypia. People with myelofibrosis have a lower survival rate and poorer quality of life than healthy individuals. Therapy for myelofibrosis uses Janus kinase inhibitors, which reduce splenomegaly and alleviate symptoms. Regulatory approvals for Janus kinase inhibitors have focused on this dual endpoint. In this Viewpoint, we discuss the validity of using spleen reduction as a surrogate endpoint for the disease-modifying activity of candidate drugs for myelofibrosis. We suggest alternative endpoints addressing unmet patient needs, including progression-free survival and overall survival. Moreover, we highlight the importance of selecting a core set of crucial outcomes with which we can individualise clinical decision making and standardise reporting of clinical trials results. We propose selecting patient-reported outcomes and anaemia response. We also suggest integrating economic considerations in the process of evaluating new drugs for myelofibrosis.

Predicting survival in patients with myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms with SF3B1 mutation and thrombocytosis.

We investigated data from 180 consecutive patients with myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms with SF3B1 mutation and thrombocytosis (MDS/MPN-SF3B1-T) who were diagnosed according to the 2022 World Health Organization (WHO) classification of myeloid neoplasms to identify covariates associated with survival. At a median follow-up of 48 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 35-61 months), the median survival was 69 months (95% CI 59-79 months). Patients with bone marrow ring sideroblasts (RS) < 15% had shorter median overall survival (OS) than did those with bone marrow RS ≥ 15% (41 months [95% CI 32-50 months] versus 76 months [95% CI 59-93 months]; P < 0.001). According to the univariable analyses of OS, age ≥ 65 years (P < 0.001), hemoglobin concentration (Hb) < 80 g/L (P = 0.090), platelet count (PLT) ≥ 800 × 10E + 9/L (P = 0.087), bone marrow RS < 15% (P < 0.001), the Revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R) cytogenetic category intermediate/poor/very poor (P = 0.005), SETBP1 mutation (P = 0.061) and SRSF2 mutation (P < 0.001) were associated with poor survival. Based on variables selected from univariable analyses, two separate survival prediction models, a clinical survival model, and a clinical-molecular survival model, were developed using multivariable analyses with the minimum value of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) to specifically predict outcomes in patients with MDS/MPN-SF3B1-T according to the 2022 WHO classification.

Gene expression prognostic of early relapse risk in low-risk B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukaemia in children.

ETV6::RUNX1 is the most common fusion gene in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) and is associated with favorable outcomes, especially in low-risk children. However, as many as 10% of children relapse within 3 years, and such early relapses have poor survival. Identifying children at risk for early relapse is an important challenge. We interrogated data from 87 children with low-risk ETV6::RUNX1-positive B-cell ALL and with available preserved bone marrow samples (discovery cohort). We profiled somatic point mutations in a panel of 559 genes and genome-wide transcriptome and single-nucleotide variants. We found high TIMD4 expression (> 85th-percentile value) at diagnosis was the most important independent prognostic factor of early relapse (hazard ratio [HR] = 5.07 [1.76, 14.62]; p = 0.03). In an independent validation cohort of low-risk ETV6::RUNX1-positive B-cell ALL (N = 68) high TIMD4 expression at diagnosis had an HR = 4.78 [1.07, 21.36] (p = 0.04) for early relapse. In another validation cohort including 78 children with low-risk ETV6::RUNX1-negative B-cell ALL, high TIMD4 expression at diagnosis had an HR = 3.93 [1.31, 11.79] (p = 0.01). Our results suggest high TIMD4 expression at diagnosis in low-risk B-cell ALL in children might be associated with high risk for early relapse.

Epstein-Barr virus-based prognostic model in nodular sclerosis classic Hodgkin lymphoma.

The role of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) in lymphoma cells of nodular sclerosis classic Hodgkin lymphoma (NScHL) is controversial. Our aim was to explore this and establish a clinically feasible model for risk stratification. We interrogated data from 542 consecutive subjects with NScHL receiving ABVD therapy and demonstrated EBV-infection in their lymphoma cells with EBV-encoded small RNAs (EBERs) in situ hybridization. Subjects were divided into training and validation datasets. As data from the training dataset suggested EBERs-positivity was the only independent prognostic factor for both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), we developed corresponding prognostic models based on it. Our models showed excellent performance in both training and validation cohort. These data indicate the close association of EBV infection and the outcomes of persons with NScHL receiving ABVD. Additionally, our newly developed models should help physicians estimate prognosis and select individualized therapy.

Measurable residual disease testing by next generation sequencing is more accurate compared with multiparameter flow cytometry in adults with B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

Results of measurable residual disease (MRD)-testing by next-generation sequencing (NGS) correlate with relapse risk in adults with B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) receiving chemotherapy or an allotransplant from a human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-identical relative or HLA-matched unrelated donor. We studied cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR) and survival prediction accuracy using a NGS-based MRD-assay targeting immunoglobulin genes after 2 courses of consolidation chemotherapy cycles in 93 adults with B-cell ALL most receiving HLA-haplotype-matched related transplants. Prediction accuracy was compared with MRD-testing using multi-parameter flow cytometry (MPFC). NGS-based MRD-testing detected residual leukemia in 28 of 65 subjects with a negative MPFC-based MRD-test. In Cox regression multi-variable analyses subjects with a positive NGS-based MRD-test had a higher 3-year CIR (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 3.37; 95 % Confidence Interval [CI], 1.34-8.5; P = 0.01) and worse survival (HR = 4.87 [1.53-15.53]; P = 0.007). Some data suggest a lower CIR and better survival in NGS-MRD-test-positive transplant recipients but allocation to transplant was not random. Our data indicate MRD-testing by NGS is more accurate compared with testing by MPFC in adults with B-cell ALL in predicting CIR and survival. (Registered in the Beijing Municipal Health Bureau Registration N 2007-1007 and in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry [ChiCTR-OCH-10000940 and ChiCTROPC-14005546]).