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1.
J Infect Dis ; 217(suppl_1): S6-S15, 2018 05 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29788345
2.
Am J Epidemiol ; 186(1): 92-100, 2017 Jul 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28369163

RESUMEN

With influenza vaccination rates in the United States recently exceeding 45% of the population, it is important to understand the impact that vaccination is having on influenza transmission. In this study, we used a Bayesian modeling approach, combined with a simple dynamical model of influenza transmission, to estimate this impact. The combined framework synthesized evidence from a range of data sources relating to influenza transmission and vaccination in the United States. We found that, for seasonal epidemics, the number of infections averted ranged from 9.6 million in the 2006-2007 season (95% credible interval (CI): 8.7, 10.9) to 37.2 million (95% CI: 34.1, 39.6) in the 2012-2013 season. Expressed in relative terms, the proportion averted ranged from 20.8% (95% CI: 16.8, 24.3) of potential infections in the 2011-2012 season to 47.5% (95% CI: 43.7, 50.8) in the 2008-2009 season. The percentage averted was only 1.04% (95% CI: 0.15, 3.2) for the 2009 H1N1 pandemic, owing to the late timing of the vaccination program in relation to the pandemic in the Northern hemisphere. In the future, further vaccination coverage, as well as improved influenza vaccines (especially those offering better protection in the elderly), could have an even stronger effect on annual influenza epidemics.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Teorema de Bayes , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estaciones del Año , Estados Unidos , Adulto Joven
3.
BMC Pulm Med ; 17(1): 208, 2017 Dec 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29246210

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia poses a significant burden to the U.S. health-care system. However, there are few data focusing on severe pneumonia, particularly cases of pneumonia associated with specialized care in intensive care units (ICU). METHODS: We used administrative and electronic medical record data from six integrated health care systems to estimate rates of pneumonia hospitalizations with ICU admissions among adults during 2006 through 2010. Pneumonia hospitalization was defined as either a primary discharge diagnosis of pneumonia or a primary discharge diagnosis of sepsis or respiratory failure with a secondary diagnosis of pneumonia in administrative data. ICU admissions were collected from internal electronic medical records from each system. Comorbidities were identified by ICD-9-CM codes coded during the current pneumonia hospitalization, as well as during medical visits that occurred during the year prior to the date of admission. RESULTS: We identified 119,537 adult hospitalizations meeting our definition for pneumonia. Approximately 19% of adult pneumonia hospitalizations had an ICU admission. The rate of pneumonia hospitalizations requiring ICU admission during the study period was 76 per 100,000 population/year; rates increased for each age-group with the highest rates among adults aged ≥85 years. Having a co-morbidity approximately doubled the risk of ICU admission in all age-groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicates a significant burden of pneumonia hospitalizations with an ICU admission among adults in our cohort during 2006 through 2010, especially older age-groups and persons with underlying medical conditions. These findings reinforce current strategies aimed to prevent pneumonia among adults.


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Neumonía/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Comorbilidad , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Femenino , Humanos , Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Factores de Riesgo , Distribución por Sexo , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
4.
J Infect Dis ; 214(4): 507-15, 2016 08 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26908745

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: We describe the impact of early initiation of influenza antiviral treatment among pregnant women hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza during the 2010-2014 influenza seasons. METHODS: Severe influenza was defined as illness with ≥1 of the following: intensive care unit admission, need for mechanical ventilation, respiratory failure, pulmonary embolism, sepsis, or death. Within severity stratum, we used parametric survival analysis to compare length of stay by timing of antiviral treatment, adjusting for underlying conditions, influenza vaccination, and pregnancy trimester. RESULTS: Among 865 pregnant women, the median age was 27 years (interquartile range [IQR], 23-31 years). Most (68%) were healthy, and 85% received antiviral treatment. Sixty-three women (7%) had severe influenza, and 4 died. Severity was associated with preterm delivery and fetal loss. Women with severe influenza were less likely to be vaccinated than those without severe influenza (14% vs 26%; P = .03). Among women treated with antivirals ≤2 days versus those treated >2 days from illness onset, the median length of stay was 2.2 days (interquartile range [IQR], 0.9-5.8 days; n = 8) versus 7.8 days (IQR, 3.0-20.6 days; n = 7), respectively, for severe influenza (P = .03) and 2.4 days (IQR, 2.3-2.5 days; n = 153) versus 3.1 days (IQR, 2.8-3.5 days; n = 62), respectively, for nonsevere influenza (P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: Early initiation of influenza antiviral treatment to pregnant women hospitalized with influenza may reduce the length of stay, especially among those with severe influenza. Influenza during pregnancy is associated with maternal and infant morbidity, and annual influenza vaccination is warranted.


Asunto(s)
Antivirales/uso terapéutico , Gripe Humana/tratamiento farmacológico , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/tratamiento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Embarazo , Prevención Secundaria , Análisis de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Adulto Joven
5.
J Infect Dis ; 214(10): 1477-1486, 2016 11 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27571905

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Influenza viruses gradually accumulate point mutations, reducing the effectiveness of prior immune protection. METHODS: Children aged 9-14 years received 2010-2011 trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV). Vaccination history, hemagglutination-inhibition (HI) titers, and cell-mediated immune responses were assessed to investigate the cross-reactivity with past and future influenza virus strains. RESULTS: 2010-2011 TIV induced significant T-cell responses and HI titers of ≥160, with a fold-rise of ≥4 and titers of ≥100 maintained for >7 months in the majority of children. Pre-existing memory B cells in these children differentiated quickly to antibody-secreting cells to the new vaccine antigens. Children vaccinated in the previous year maintained high HI titers well into 2010, demonstrating elevated HI titers against A/Perth/16/2009, the future (in 2010-2011) H3N2 component. Prior vaccination enhanced CD8+ T-cell responses to A/Perth/16/2009. Children vaccinated with the prior 2009-2010 seasonal vaccine also demonstrated higher preexisting levels of interferon γ-secreting CD4+CD69+ T cells to 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1). Children previously vaccinated with 2009-2010 seasonal influenza vaccine also showed greater expansion of tumor necrosis factor α-secreting CD8+CD69+ T cells to 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1) upon vaccination in the 2010-2011 season than those who were not previously vaccinated. CONCLUSIONS: Seasonal influenza viruses continuously drift, which allows them to circumvent protective immunity, but conserved epitopes provide immunological cross-reactivity in children through either vaccination directly or through prime/boost in the prior influenza season.


Asunto(s)
Inmunidad Celular , Inmunidad Humoral , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Orthomyxoviridae/inmunología , Adolescente , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Niño , Reacciones Cruzadas , Femenino , Pruebas de Inhibición de Hemaglutinación , Humanos , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Humana/inmunología , Masculino , Linfocitos T/inmunología , Factores de Tiempo , Vacunas de Productos Inactivados/administración & dosificación , Vacunas de Productos Inactivados/inmunología
6.
J Infect Dis ; 212(10): 1592-9, 2015 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25948864

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In 2012, one third of cases in a multistate outbreak of variant influenza A(H3N2) virus ([H3N2]v) infection occurred in Ohio. We conducted an investigation of (H3N2)v cases associated with agricultural Fair A in Ohio. METHODS: We surveyed Fair A swine exhibitors and their household members. Confirmed cases had influenza-like illness (ILI) and a positive laboratory test for (H3N2)v, and probable cases had ILI. We calculated attack rates. We determined risk factors for infection, using multivariable log-binomial regression. RESULTS: We identified 20 confirmed and 94 probable cases associated with Fair A. Among 114 cases, the median age was 10 years, there were no hospitalizations or deaths, and 82% had swine exposure. In the exhibitor household cohort of 359 persons (83 households), we identified 6 confirmed cases (2%) and 40 probable cases (11%). An age of <10 years was a significant risk factor (P < .01) for illness. One instance of likely human-to-human transmission was identified. CONCLUSIONS: In this (H3N2)v outbreak, no evidence of sustained human-to-human (H3N2)v transmission was found. Our risk factor analysis contributed to the development of the recommendation that people at increased risk of influenza-associated complications, including children aged <5 years, avoid swine barns at fairs during the 2012 fair season.


Asunto(s)
Aglomeración , Brotes de Enfermedades , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A/clasificación , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/virología , Exposición Profesional , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Animales , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Subtipo H3N2 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ohio/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Porcinos , Adulto Joven
7.
Lancet ; 381(9876): 1461-8, 2013 Apr 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23498095

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The influenza A (H1N1) 2009 monovalent vaccination programme was the largest mass vaccination initiative in recent US history. Commensurate with the size and scope of the vaccination programme, a project to monitor vaccine adverse events was undertaken, the most comprehensive safety surveillance agenda in the USA to date. The adverse event monitoring project identified an increased risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome after vaccination; however, some individual variability in results was noted. Guillain-Barré syndrome is a rare but serious health disorder in which a person's own immune system damages their nerve cells, causing muscle weakness, sometimes paralysis, and infrequently death. We did a meta-analysis of data from the adverse event monitoring project to ascertain whether influenza A (H1N1) 2009 monovalent inactivated vaccines used in the USA increased the risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome. METHODS: Data were obtained from six adverse event monitoring systems. About 23 million vaccinated people were included in the analysis. The primary analysis entailed calculation of incidence rate ratios and attributable risks of excess cases of Guillain-Barré syndrome per million vaccinations. We used a self-controlled risk-interval design. FINDINGS: Influenza A (H1N1) 2009 monovalent inactivated vaccines were associated with a small increased risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome (incidence rate ratio 2·35, 95% CI 1·42-4·01, p=0·0003). This finding translated to about 1·6 excess cases of Guillain-Barré syndrome per million people vaccinated. INTERPRETATION: The modest risk of Guillain-Barré syndrome attributed to vaccination is consistent with previous estimates of the disorder after seasonal influenza vaccination. A risk of this small magnitude would be difficult to capture during routine seasonal influenza vaccine programmes, which have extensive, but comparatively less, safety monitoring. In view of the morbidity and mortality caused by 2009 H1N1 influenza and the effectiveness of the vaccine, clinicians, policy makers, and those eligible for vaccination should be assured that the benefits of inactivated pandemic vaccines greatly outweigh the risks. FUNDING: US Federal Government.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Guillain-Barré , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Vacunas contra la Influenza/efectos adversos , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Pandemias/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/inducido químicamente , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Vacunación Masiva/efectos adversos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Vacunas de Productos Inactivados/efectos adversos , Adulto Joven
8.
N Engl J Med ; 364(24): 2283-92, 2011 Jun 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21675888

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Because postlicensure surveillance determined that a previous rotavirus vaccine, RotaShield, caused intussusception in 1 of every 10,000 recipients, we assessed the association of the new monovalent rotavirus vaccine (RV1) with intussusception after routine immunization of infants in Mexico and Brazil. METHODS: We used case-series and case-control methods to assess the association between RV1 and intussusception. Infants with intussusception were identified through active surveillance at 69 hospitals (16 in Mexico and 53 in Brazil), and age-matched infants from the same neighborhood were enrolled as controls. Vaccination dates were verified by a review of vaccination cards or clinic records. RESULTS: We enrolled 615 case patients (285 in Mexico and 330 in Brazil) and 2050 controls. An increased risk of intussusception 1 to 7 days after the first dose of RV1 was identified among infants in Mexico with the use of both the case-series method (incidence ratio, 5.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.0 to 9.3) and the case-control method (odds ratio, 5.8; 95% CI, 2.6 to 13.0). No significant risk was found after the first dose among infants in Brazil, but an increased risk, albeit smaller than that seen after the first dose in Mexico--an increase by a factor of 1.9 to 2.6 - was seen 1 to 7 days after the second dose. A combined annual excess of 96 cases of intussusception in Mexico (approximately 1 per 51,000 infants) and in Brazil (approximately 1 per 68,000 infants) and of 5 deaths due to intussusception was attributable to RV1. However, RV1 prevented approximately 80,000 hospitalizations and 1300 deaths from diarrhea each year in these two countries. CONCLUSIONS: RV1 was associated with a short-term risk of intussusception in approximately 1 of every 51,000 to 68,000 vaccinated infants. The absolute number of deaths and hospitalizations averted because of vaccination far exceeded the number of intussusception cases that may have been associated with vaccination. (Funded in part by the GAVI Alliance and the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.).


Asunto(s)
Intususcepción/etiología , Vacunas contra Rotavirus/efectos adversos , Brasil/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Femenino , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Intususcepción/epidemiología , Intususcepción/mortalidad , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , México/epidemiología , Riesgo , Infecciones por Rotavirus/prevención & control , Vacunas Atenuadas/efectos adversos
9.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 63(49): 1151-4, 2014 Dec 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25503917

RESUMEN

The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommends annual influenza vaccination for all persons aged ≥6 months to reduce morbidity and mortality caused by influenza in the United States. CDC previously developed a model to estimate that annual influenza vaccination resulted in 1.1-6.6 million fewer cases and 7,700-79,000 fewer hospitalizations per season during the 2005-2013 influenza seasons. For the 2013-14 influenza season, using updated estimates of vaccination coverage, vaccine effectiveness, and influenza hospitalizations, CDC estimates that influenza vaccination prevented approximately 7.2 million illnesses, 3.1 million medically attended illnesses, and 90,000 hospitalizations associated with influenza. Similar to prior seasons, fewer than half of persons aged ≥6 months are estimated to have been vaccinated. If influenza vaccination levels had reached the Healthy People 2020 target of 70%, an estimated additional 5.9 million illnesses, 2.3 million medically attended illnesses, and 42,000 hospitalizations associated with influenza might have been averted. For the nation to more fully benefit from influenza vaccines, more effort is needed to reach the Healthy People 2020 target.


Asunto(s)
Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Lactante , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estaciones del Año , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
10.
Epidemiology ; 24(4): 530-7, 2013 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23732734

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: One to 4 million cases of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) occur annually in the United States, resulting in 600,000 hospitalizations and 45,000 deaths. Influenza infection facilitates secondary bacterial infections, and influenza vaccination may prevent CAP directly by preventing influenza pneumonia or indirectly by preventing secondary bacterial CAP. METHODS: We investigated how influenza vaccination could affect incidence of CAP using deterministic probability and stochastic simulation models. The models included likely influential factors, including vaccine effectiveness (VE) against influenza, rates of influenza in the unvaccinated, vaccination coverage, and the relative risk (RR) of pneumonia, given influenza infection. To estimate effectiveness of influenza vaccine against CAP, we assumed mean VE against influenza of 55% and vaccine coverage of 38%. RESULTS: Given our baseline parameters, influenza vaccine had a mean effectiveness against CAP of 7% (95% confidence interval = 0-25%). Effectiveness of influenza vaccine against CAP increased as its effectiveness against influenza increased, as RR of pneumonia after influenza infection increased, and as rates of influenza among unvaccinated persons increased. CONCLUSIONS: No matter how effective vaccine may be in preventing influenza infection, it is only modestly effective at preventing CAP. Because of the large annual burden of CAP, a vaccine that is only moderately effective in preventing influenza infection has the potential to prevent a substantial number of CAP cases. This modeling approach may be useful for planning influenza vaccine-probe studies and evaluating the effectiveness of other interventions targeted against infections that manifest in nonspecific outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Influenza , Modelos Biológicos , Neumonía/prevención & control , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/epidemiología , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/prevención & control , Simulación por Computador , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Estadísticos , Neumonía/epidemiología , Proyectos de Investigación , Procesos Estocásticos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Vacunas de Productos Inactivados
11.
J Infect Dis ; 206(7): 1059-68, 2012 Oct 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22850120

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In late October 2009, school-located pandemic vaccination was initiated in Maine before or concurrent with 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus (pH1N1) peak activity. METHODS: A case-control evaluation of 2009 H1N1 vaccine effectiveness was conducted in schools in Cumberland County, Maine. A case was a child who had an acute respiratory illness during 2 November-18 December 2009, and who tested positive for pH1N1 by real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR). For each case, ≥ 4 event time-matched controls were sampled among classmates present in school during the study period who did not have an influenza-like illness. Vaccine effectiveness was calculated as (1 - adjusted odds ratio [aOR])100%; aOR was estimated by using weighted logistic regression. RESULTS: After adjusting for a diagnosis of asthma, 1 dose of 2009 H1N1 vaccine provided 69% protection (95% confidence interval (CI), 13-89) against rRT-PCR-confirmed H1N1 infection. Vaccine effectiveness estimates for live attenuated and inactivated vaccine were 81% (95% CI, -37 to 97), and 58% (95% CI: -39 to 87), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: One dose of monovalent pandemic vaccine provided substantial protection against pH1N1 infection among school-aged children.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Pandemias/prevención & control , Adolescente , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/genética , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/inmunología , Modelos Logísticos , Maine/epidemiología , Masculino , ARN Viral/genética , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Resultado del Tratamiento , Vacunas Atenuadas/administración & dosificación
12.
N Engl J Med ; 361(20): 1945-52, 2009 Nov 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19745214

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A new pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus has emerged, causing illness globally, primarily in younger age groups. To assess the level of preexisting immunity in humans and to evaluate seasonal vaccine strategies, we measured the antibody response to the pandemic virus resulting from previous influenza infection or vaccination in different age groups. METHODS: Using a microneutralization assay, we measured cross-reactive antibodies to pandemic H1N1 virus (2009 H1N1) in stored serum samples from persons who either donated blood or were vaccinated with recent seasonal or 1976 swine influenza vaccines. RESULTS: A total of 4 of 107 persons (4%) who were born after 1980 had preexisting cross-reactive antibody titers of 40 or more against 2009 H1N1, whereas 39 of 115 persons (34%) born before 1950 had titers of 80 or more. Vaccination with seasonal trivalent inactivated influenza vaccines resulted in an increase in the level of cross-reactive antibody to 2009 H1N1 by a factor of four or more in none of 55 children between the ages of 6 months and 9 years, in 12 to 22% of 231 adults between the ages of 18 and 64 years, and in 5% or less of 113 adults 60 years of age or older. Seasonal vaccines that were formulated with adjuvant did not further enhance cross-reactive antibody responses. Vaccination with the A/New Jersey/1976 swine influenza vaccine substantially boosted cross-reactive antibodies to 2009 H1N1 in adults. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination with recent seasonal nonadjuvanted or adjuvanted influenza vaccines induced little or no cross-reactive antibody response to 2009 H1N1 in any age group. Persons under the age of 30 years had little evidence of cross-reactive antibodies to the pandemic virus. However, a proportion of older adults had preexisting cross-reactive antibodies.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Gripe Humana/inmunología , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Reacciones Cruzadas , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pruebas de Neutralización , Adulto Joven
13.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 21(5): 546-52, 2012 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22407672

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Emerging Infections Program implemented active, population-based surveillance for Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) following H1N1 vaccines in 10 states/metropolitan areas. We report additional analyses of these data using self-controlled methods, which avoid potential confounding from person-level factors and co-morbidities. METHODS: Surveillance officers identified GBS cases with symptom onset during October 2009-April 2010 and ascertained receipt of H1N1 vaccines. We calculated self-controlled relative risks by comparing the number of cases with onset during a risk interval 1-42 days after vaccination with cases with onset during fixed (days 43-84) or variable (days 43-end of study period) control intervals. We calculated attributable risks by applying statistically significant relative risks to an independent estimate of GBS incidence. RESULTS: Fifty-nine GBS cases received H1N1 vaccine with or without seasonal vaccine. The relative risk was 2.1 (95%CI 1.2, 3.5) by the variable-window and 3.0 (95%CI 1.4, 6.4) by the fixed-window analyses. The corresponding attributable risks per million doses administered were 1.5 (95%CI 0.3, 3.4) and 2.8 (95%CI 0.6, 7.4). CONCLUSIONS: These attributable risks are similar to those of some previous formulations of seasonal influenza vaccine (about one to two cases per million doses administered), suggesting a low risk of GBS following the H1N1 vaccine that is not clearly higher than that of seasonal influenza vaccines.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/epidemiología , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Vacunas contra la Influenza/efectos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/etiología , Humanos , Lactante , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Vigilancia de la Población , Riesgo , Estados Unidos , Adulto Joven
14.
Pediatr Emerg Care ; 28(6): 529-32, 2012 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22653458

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Intussusception is the most common cause of infant bowel obstruction. Because delays in diagnosis can lead to severe outcomes, differentiating milder cases from those with potentially serious outcomes is important. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to identify factors associated with bowel resection among intussusception cases using data from a large nationwide study, which investigated the association between intussusception and Rotashield. METHODS: We examined characteristics of 376 intussusception cases not associated with Rotashield use. Cases were confirmed by a radiologic procedure, surgery, or autopsy. Clinical characteristics of infants with and without bowel resection were compared. RESULTS: During the week before hospitalization, 93% of the 376 infants with intussusception had vomiting, 72% reported bloody stool, 63% had hemoccult positive stool, 51% had diarrhea, 43% reported fever, and 14% had documented fever. Surgery was performed on 209 cases (56%). Of these 209 cases, 33% (67/209) required bowel resection. Documented fever on admission significantly increased the risk of bowel resection (odds ratio, adjusted for race and sex, 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-6.0). Among infants with intussusception, the presence of a reported symptom for at least 2 days before hospital admission was also an independent predictor of bowel resection (adjusted odds ratio, 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-4.8). CONCLUSIONS: Bowel resection appears to be more likely among intussusception patients with documented fever and symptoms for at least 2 days. However, because resection also occurred among those without fever or prolonged symptoms, severe disease must also be considered in absence of these symptoms.


Asunto(s)
Diagnóstico Tardío/prevención & control , Intususcepción/diagnóstico , Intususcepción/cirugía , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Algoritmos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Diarrea/etiología , Femenino , Fiebre/etiología , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiología , Humanos , Lactante , Intususcepción/complicaciones , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Medición de Riesgo , Estados Unidos , Vómitos/etiología
15.
Clin Infect Dis ; 52(4): 457-65, 2011 Feb 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21220768

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Data on risk factors for severe outcomes from 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infection are limited outside of developed countries. METHODS: We reviewed medical charts to collect data from patients hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed 2009 H1N1 infection who were identified across China during the period from September 2009 through February 2010, and we analyzed potential risk factors associated with severe illness (defined as illness requiring intensive care unit admission or resulting in death). RESULTS: Among 9966 case patients, the prevalence of chronic medical conditions (33% vs 14%), pregnancy (15% vs 7%), or obesity (19% vs 14%) was significantly higher in those patients with severe illness than it was in those with less severe disease. In multivariable analyses, among nonpregnant case patients aged ≥ 2 years, having a chronic medical condition significantly increased the risk of severe outcome among all age groups, and obesity was a risk factor among those <60 years of age. The risk of severe illness among pregnant case patients was significantly higher for those in the second and third trimesters. The risk of severe illness was increased when oseltamivir treatment was initiated ≥ 5 days after illness onset (odds ratio, 1.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-1.67). For persons <60 years of age, the prevalence of obesity among case patients with severe illness was significantly greater than it was among those without severe illness or among the general population. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for severe 2009 H1N1 illness in China were similar to those observed in developed countries, but there was a lower prevalence of chronic medical conditions and a lower prevalence of obesity. Obesity was a risk factor among case patients < 60 years of age. Early initiation of oseltamivir treatment was most beneficial, and there was an increased risk of severe disease when treatment was started ≥ 5 days after illness onset.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/patogenicidad , Gripe Humana/mortalidad , Gripe Humana/patología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Antivirales/administración & dosificación , Niño , Preescolar , China , Enfermedad Crónica , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Gripe Humana/virología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Obesidad/complicaciones , Oseltamivir/administración & dosificación , Embarazo , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven
16.
J Clin Microbiol ; 49(6): 2210-5, 2011 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21471339

RESUMEN

Swine origin 2009 H1N1 influenza virus has spread globally to cause the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century. Serological studies can improve our understanding of the extent of human infection and risk factors associated with the transmission of this pandemic virus. The "gold standard" for serodiagnosis of human influenza virus infection is the detection of seroconversion between acute- and convalescent-stage samples. However, the timing of seroepidemiological investigations often precludes the collection of truly acute-phase sera, requiring development of serological criteria for evaluating convalescent-phase sera that optimize detection of true positives and true negatives. To guide seroepidemiological investigations into the spread of the novel 2009 pandemic H1N1 virus, we characterized serum antibody responses to 2009 H1N1 virus in 87 individuals with confirmed viral infection and 227 nonexposed U.S. individuals using microneutralization (MN) and hemagglutination inhibition (HI) assays. Sensitivity and specificity were determined for each assay alone and in combination for detection of 2009 H1N1 virus-specific antibodies in convalescent-phase sera. Although the HI assay was more specific for detecting antibody to 2009 H1N1, the MN assay was more sensitive, particularly for detecting low-titer seroconversions. A combination of titers (MN ≥ 40 and HI ≥ 20) provided the highest sensitivity (90%) and specificity (96%) for individuals aged <60 years and 92% specificity for adults aged ≥ 60 years for detection of serologically confirmed 2009 H1N1 infections in U.S. populations during the first pandemic waves. These studies provide an approach to optimize timely serological investigations for future pandemics or outbreaks of novel influenza viruses among humans.


Asunto(s)
Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/aislamiento & purificación , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , Virología/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Animales , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Niño , Preescolar , Pruebas de Inhibición de Hemaglutinación , Humanos , Lactante , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A/inmunología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pruebas de Neutralización , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Pruebas Serológicas/métodos , Estados Unidos , Adulto Joven
17.
N Engl J Med ; 356(11): 1121-9, 2007 Mar 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17360990

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The introduction of universal varicella vaccination in 1995 has substantially reduced varicella-related morbidity and mortality in the United States. However, it remains unclear whether vaccine-induced immunity wanes over time, a condition that may result in increased susceptibility later in life, when the risk of serious complications may be greater than in childhood. METHODS: We examined 10 years (1995 to 2004) of active surveillance data from a sentinel population of 350,000 subjects to determine whether the severity and incidence of breakthrough varicella (with an onset of rash >42 days after vaccination) increased with the time since vaccination. We used multivariate logistic regression to adjust for the year of disease onset (calendar year) and the subject's age at both disease onset and vaccination. RESULTS: A total of 11,356 subjects were reported to have varicella during the surveillance period, of whom 1080 (9.5%) had breakthrough disease. Children between the ages of 8 and 12 years who had been vaccinated at least 5 years previously were significantly more likely to have moderate or severe disease than were those who had been vaccinated less than 5 years previously (risk ratio, 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2 to 5.8). The annual rate of breakthrough varicella significantly increased with the time since vaccination, from 1.6 cases per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 1.2 to 2.0) within 1 year after vaccination to 9.0 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 6.9 to 11.7) at 5 years and 58.2 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 36.0 to 94.0) at 9 years. CONCLUSIONS: A second dose of varicella vaccine, now recommended for all children, could improve protection from both primary vaccine failure and waning vaccine-induced immunity.


Asunto(s)
Vacuna contra la Varicela/inmunología , Varicela/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Edad de Inicio , Varicela/inmunología , Varicela/prevención & control , Vacuna contra la Varicela/administración & dosificación , Niño , Preescolar , Herpesvirus Humano 3/inmunología , Humanos , Inmunización Secundaria , Lactante , Modelos Logísticos , Análisis Multivariante , Vigilancia de la Población , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Factores de Tiempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
18.
Am J Public Health ; 100(6): 1116-22, 2010 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20075320

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: We performed a case-control study to determine if participants with herpes zoster had fewer contacts with persons with varicella or zoster, and with young children, to explore the hypothesis that exposure to persons with varicella zoster virus (VZV) results in "immune boosting." METHODS: Participants were patients of the multispecialty Marshfield Clinic in Wisconsin. We identified patients aged 40 to 79 years with a new diagnosis of zoster from August 2000 to July 2005. We frequency matched control participants to case participants for age. We confirmed diagnoses by chart review and assessed exposures by interview. RESULTS: Interviews were completed by 633 of 902 eligible case participants (70.2%) and 655 of 1149 control participants (57.0%). The number of varicella contacts was not associated with zoster; there was no trend even at the highest exposure level (3 or more contacts). Similarly, there was no association with exposure to persons with zoster or to children, or with workplace exposures. CONCLUSIONS: Although exposure to VZV in our study was relatively low, the absence of a relationship with zoster reflects the uncertain influence of varicella circulation on zoster epidemiology.


Asunto(s)
Vacuna contra la Varicela/inmunología , Herpes Zóster/epidemiología , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Adulto , Anciano , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Familia , Femenino , Herpes Zóster/etiología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Exposición Profesional/estadística & datos numéricos , Oportunidad Relativa , Análisis de Regresión , Wisconsin/epidemiología
19.
J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr ; 51(4): 458-63, 2010 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20562726

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In 1999, a US case-control study demonstrated a strong association between intussusception and a rotavirus vaccine (Rotashield). However, because most (87%) cases were not temporally associated with vaccination, we reanalyzed these data to assess risk factors for intussusception cases unrelated to Rotashield. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Case-patients were infants with intussusception between November 1998 and June 1999. Controls were matched by age and hospital of birth. Sociodemographic and feeding practice data were collected through parent and provider interviews. Conditional logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for intussusception, controlling for exposure to Rotashield <21 days before intussusception. RESULTS: Four hundred twenty-nine cases and 1763 controls were enrolled. Among case-patients, 372 (87%) had not received Rotashield within 21 days before intussusception. After adjusting for recent Rotashield administration, factors associated with intussusception included male sex (odds ratio [OR] 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-2.2), Hispanic (OR 2.1; 95% CI 1.4-3.2) or black (OR 1.8; 95% CI 1.2-2.7) race/ethnicity, and Medicaid enrollment (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.1-2.0). Feeding practices modified the risk of intussusception. Interaction was found between introduction of solid food (ISF) and type of formula consumption. Using breast milk as the referent group, infants with ISF for at least 5 weeks who consumed soy milk-based formula had a lower risk (OR 0.26; 95% CI 0.1-0.7) and infants without ISF who consumed cow's-milk formula had an increased risk (OR 2.33; 95% CI 1.4-3.9). CONCLUSIONS: Risk of intussusception among US infants varies based on sociodemographic characteristics and feeding patterns.


Asunto(s)
Dieta/efectos adversos , Intususcepción/epidemiología , Población Negra/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Causalidad , Dieta/métodos , Femenino , Hispánicos o Latinos/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Lactante , Alimentos Infantiles/efectos adversos , Alimentos Infantiles/estadística & datos numéricos , Fórmulas Infantiles/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Medicaid/estadística & datos numéricos , Oportunidad Relativa , Factores de Riesgo , Distribución por Sexo , Factores Socioeconómicos , Leche de Soja/estadística & datos numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
20.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 18(6): 504-11, 2009 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19373848

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To evaluate a possible association between influenza vaccination and four deaths and four serious illnesses among 114 recent influenza vaccinees in a long-term care facility (LTCF) and two deaths from a nearby physician's office. All had received vaccine from the same lot (Lot A). METHODS: Field investigation including (1) a retrospective cohort study among LTCF residents who received Lot A or other influenza vaccine, (2) review of medical records of cases of death or serious illness, (3) active surveillance of deaths among 1500 community based Lot A vaccinees and (4) laboratory testing of vaccine from available Lot A vials. RESULTS: Medical record reviews showed no common clinical syndrome or cause of death. Laboratory testing of Lot A samples revealed no evidence of tampering and no differences compared to an unrelated lot. The risk of death or hospitalization was not significantly different between persons who received Lot A versus a comparison lot, Lot B (incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 0.9, 95%CI = 0.3-3.3). CONCLUSIONS: There was no clinical or biological evidence pointing to inherent vaccine safety issues, nor was there a detectable increased risk of death or hospitalization among persons vaccinated with Lot A. Lot specific clustering of adverse events (AEs) may reflect medical events causally unrelated to vaccination. Rapid investigations of potential AEs are important to ensure vaccine safety and to maintain public and healthcare provider confidence in vaccines.


Asunto(s)
Sistemas de Registro de Reacción Adversa a Medicamentos , Vacunas contra la Influenza/efectos adversos , Vacunación/efectos adversos , Vacunación/mortalidad , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Cuidados a Largo Plazo , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Riesgo
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