Machine learning driven index of tumor multinucleation correlates with survival and suppressed anti-tumor immunity in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients.

OBJECTIVES: Matching treatment intensity to tumor biology is critical to precision oncology for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients. We sought to identify biological features of tumor cell multinucleation, previously shown by us to correlate with survival in oropharyngeal (OP) SCC using a machine learning approach. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Hematoxylin and eosin images from an institutional OPSCC cohort formed the training set (DTr). TCGA HNSCC patients (oral cavity, oropharynx and larynx/hypopharynx) formed the validation set (DV). Deep learning models were trained in DTr to calculate a multinucleation index (MuNI) score. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was then used to explore correlations between MuNI and tumor biology. RESULTS: MuNI correlated with overall survival. A multivariable nomogram that included MuNI, age, race, sex, T/N stage, and smoking status yielded a C-index of 0.65, and MuNI was prognostic of overall survival (2.25, 1.07-4.71, 0.03), independent of the other variables. High MuNI scores correlated with depletion of effector immunocyte subsets across all HNSCC sites independent of HPV and TP53 mutational status although the correlations were strongest in wild-type TP53 tumors potentially due to aberrant mitotic events and activation of DNA-repair mechanisms. CONCLUSION: MuNI is associated with survival in HNSCC across subsites. This may be driven by an association between high levels of multinucleation and a suppressive (potentially exhausted) tumor immune microenvironment. Mechanistic studies examining the link between multinucleation and tumor immunity will be required to characterize biological drivers of multinucleation and their impact on treatment response and outcomes.

Novel imaging biomarkers predict outcomes in stage III unresectable non-small cell lung cancer treated with chemoradiation and durvalumab.

BACKGROUND: The landmark study of durvalumab as consolidation therapy in NSCLC patients (PACIFIC trial) demonstrated significantly longer progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with locally advanced, unresectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with durvalumab (immunotherapy, IO) therapy after chemoradiotherapy (CRT). In clinical practice in the USA, durvalumab continues to be used in patients across all levels of programmed cell death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression. While immune therapies have shown promise in several cancers, some patients either do not respond to the therapy or have cancer recurrence after an initial response. It is not clear so far who will benefit of this therapy or what the mechanisms behind treatment failure are. METHODS: A total of 133 patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC who underwent durvalumab after CRT or CRT alone were included. Patients treated with durvalumab IO after CRT were randomly split into training (D1=59) and test (D2=59) sets and the remaining 15 patients treated with CRT alone were grouped in D3. Radiomic textural patterns from within and around the target nodules were extracted. A radiomic risk score (RRS) was built and was used to predict PFS and overall survival (OS). Patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups based on median RRS. RESULTS: RRS was found to be significantly associated with PFS in D1 (HR=2.67, 95% CI 1.85 to 4.13, p<0.05, C-index=0.78) and D2 (HR=2.56, 95% CI 1.63 to 4, p<0.05, C-index=0.73). Similarly, RRS was associated with OS in D1 (HR=1.89, 95% CI 1.3 to 2.75, p<0.05, C-index=0.67) and D2 (HR=2.14, 95% CI 1.28 to 3.6, p<0.05, C-index=0.69), respectively. RRS was found to be significantly associated with PFS in high PD-L1 (HR=3.01, 95% CI 1.41 to 6.45, p=0.0044) and low PD-L1 (HR=2.74, 95% CI 1.8 to 4.14, p=1.77e-06) groups. Moreover, RRS was not significantly associated with OS in the high PD-L1 group (HR=2.08, 95% CI 0.98 to 4.4, p=0.054) but was significantly associated with OS in the low PD-L1 group (HR=1.61, 95% CI 1.14 to 2.28, p=0.0062). In addition, RRS was significantly associated with PFS (HR=2.77, 95% CI 1.17 to 6.52, p=0.019, C-index=0.77) and OS (HR=2.62, 95% CI 1.25 to 5.51, p=0.01, C-index=0.77) in D3, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor radiomics of pretreatment CT images from patients with stage III unresectable NSCLC were prognostic of PFS and OS to CRT followed by durvalumab IO and CRT alone.