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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A robust model of post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) risk is not currently available. We aimed to develop a machine learning-based tool for PEP risk prediction to aid in clinical decision-making related to periprocedural prophylaxis selection and post-procedural monitoring. METHODS: Feature selection, model training, and validation were performed using patient-level data from 12 randomized controlled trials. A gradient-boosted machine (GBM) model was trained to estimate PEP risk and the performance of the resulting model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) with 5-fold cross-validation. A web-based clinical decision-making tool was created, and a prospective pilot study was performed using data from ERCPs performed at the Johns Hopkins Hospital over a one-month period. RESULTS: A total of 7389 patients were included in the GBM with an 8.6% rate of PEP. The model was trained on twenty PEP risk factors and 5 prophylactic interventions (rectal non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs [NSAID], aggressive hydration, combined rectal NSAID and aggressive hydration, pancreatic duct [PD] stenting, and combined rectal NSAID and PD stenting). The resulting GBM model had an AUC of 0.70 (65% specificity, 65% sensitivity, 95% negative predictive value, 15% positive predictive value). A total of 135 patients were included in the prospective pilot study, resulting in an AUC of 0.74. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the feasibility and utility of a novel machine learning-based PEP risk estimation tool with high negative predictive value to aid in prophylaxis selection and identify patients at low risk who may not require extended post-procedure monitoring.
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BACKGROUND: The first commercialized single-use duodenoscope was cleared by the US Food and Drug Administration in December 2019. Data regarding endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) using a single-use duodenoscope are needed on a broader range of cases conducted by endoscopists with varying levels of experience in a wide range of geographic areas. METHODS: 61 endoscopists at 22 academic centers in 11 countries performed ERCP procedures in adult patients aged ≥â18. Outcomes included ERCP completion for the intended indication, rate of crossover to a reusable endoscope, device performance ratings, and serious adverse events (SAEs). RESULTS: Among 551 patients, 236 (42.8â%) were aged >â65, 281 (51.0â%) were men, and 256 (46.5â%) had their procedure as an inpatient. ERCPs included 196 (35.6â%) with American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy complexity of grades 3-4. A total of 529 ERCPs (96.0â%) were completed: 503 (91.3â%) using only the single-use duodenoscope, and 26 (4.7â%) with crossover to a reusable endoscope. There were 22 ERCPs (4.0â%) that were not completed, of which 11 (2.0â%) included a crossover and 11 (2.0â%) were aborted cases (no crossover). Median ERCP completion time was 24.0 minutes. Median overall satisfaction with the single-use duodenoscope was 8.0 (scale of 1 to 10 [best]). SAEs were reported in 43 patients (7.8â%), including 17 (3.1â%) who developed post-ERCP pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS: In academic medical centers over a wide geographic distribution, endoscopists with varying levels of experience using the first marketed single-use duodenoscope had good ERCP procedural success and reported high performance ratings for this device.
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Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica , Pancreatitis , Adulto , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica/métodos , Duodenoscopios/efectos adversos , Endoscopía Gastrointestinal , Pancreatitis/etiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The aims of this study were to: (1) assess the performance of the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a large intercontinental cohort of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP); and (2) investigate whether a modified PASS (mPASS) yields a similar predictive accuracy and produces distinct early trajectories between severity subgroups. METHODS: Data was prospectively collected through the Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies In Clinical Experience (APPRENTICE) consortium (2015-2018) involving 22 centers from 4 continents. AP severity was categorized per the revised Atlanta classification. PASS trajectories were compared between the three severity groups using the generalized estimating equations model. Four mPASS models were generated by modifying the morphine equivalent dose (MED), and their trajectories were compared. RESULTS: A total of 1393 subjects were enrolled (median age, 49 years; 51% males). The study cohort included 950 mild (68.2%), 315 (22.6%) moderately severe, and 128 (9.2%) severe AP. Mild cases had the lowest PASS at each study time point (all P < .001). A subset of patients with outlier admission PASS values was identified. In the outlier group, 70% of the PASS variation was attributed to the MED, and 66% of these patients were from the United States centers. Among the 4 modified models, the mPASS-1 (excluding MED from PASS) demonstrated high performance in predicting severe AP with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (vs area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.83 in conventional PASS) and produced distinct trajectories with distinct slopes between severity subgroups (all P < .001). CONCLUSION: We propose a modified model by removing the MED component, which is easier to calculate, predicts accurately severe AP, and maintains significantly distinct early trajectories.
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Pancreatitis , Enfermedad Aguda , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pancreatitis/diagnóstico , Curva ROC , Índice de Severidad de la EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis remains the most common and morbid complication of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). The use of rectal indomethacin and pancreatic duct stenting has been shown to reduce the incidence and severity of post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP), but these interventions have limitations. Recent clinical and translational evidence suggests a role for calcineurin inhibitors in the prevention of pancreatitis, with multiple retrospective case series showing a reduction in PEP rates in tacrolimus users. METHODS: The INTRO trial is a multicenter, international, randomized, double-blinded, controlled trial. A total of 4,874 patients undergoing ERCP will be randomized to receive either oral tacrolimus (5 mg) or oral placebo 1-2 h before ERCP, and followed for 30 days post-procedure. Blood and pancreatic aspirate samples will also be collected in a subset of patients to quantify tacrolimus levels. The primary outcome of the study is the incidence of PEP. Secondary endpoints include the severity of PEP, ERCP-related complications, adverse drug events, length of hospital stay, cost-effectiveness, and the pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and pharmacogenomics of tacrolimus immune modulation in the pancreas. CONCLUSIONS: The INTRO trial will assess the role of calcineurin inhibitors in PEP prophylaxis and develop a foundation for the clinical optimization of this therapeutic strategy from a pharmacologic and economic standpoint. With this clinical trial, we hope to demonstrate a novel approach to PEP prophylaxis using a widely available and well-characterized class of drugs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT05252754, registered on February 14, 2022.
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Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica , Pancreatitis , Humanos , Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica/efectos adversos , Indometacina/uso terapéutico , Pancreatitis/prevención & control , Pancreatitis/inducido químicamente , Tacrolimus/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de la Calcineurina , Estudios Retrospectivos , Enfermedad Aguda , Antiinflamatorios no Esteroideos , Administración Rectal , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Estudios Multicéntricos como AsuntoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The relationship between pre-existing diabetes mellitus (DM) and acute pancreatitis (AP) severity has not been established. We assessed the impact of pre-existing DM on AP severity in an international, prospectively ascertained registry. METHODS: APPRENTICE registry prospectively enrolled 1543 AP patients from 22 centers across 4 continents (8 US, 6 Europe, 5 Latin America, 3 India) between 2015 and 2018, and collected detailed clinical information. Pre-existing DM was defined a diagnosis of DM prior to AP admission. The primary outcome was AP severity defined by the Revised Atlanta Classification (RAC). Secondary outcomes were development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) or intensive care unit (ICU) admission. RESULTS: Pre-existing DM was present in 270 (17.5%) AP patients, of whom 252 (93.3%) had type 2 DM. Patients with pre-existing DM were significantly (p < 0.05) older (55.8 ± 16 vs. 48.3 ± 18.7 years), more likely to be overweight (BMI 29.5 ± 7 vs. 27.2 ± 6.2), have hypertriglyceridemia as the etiology (15% vs. 2%) and prior AP (33 vs. 24%). Mild, moderate, and severe AP were noted in 66%, 23%, and 11% of patients, respectively. On multivariable analysis, pre-existing DM did not significantly impact AP severity assessed by the RAC (moderate-severe vs. mild AP, OR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.63-1.18; severe vs. mild-moderate AP, OR = 1.05, 95% CI, 0.67-1.63), development of SIRS, or the need for ICU admission. No interaction was noted between DM status and continent. CONCLUSION: About one in 5 patients with AP have pre-existing DM. Once confounding risk factors are considered, pre-existing DM per se is not a risk factor for severe AP.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Pancreatitis/epidemiología , Enfermedad Aguda , Adulto , Anciano , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pancreatitis/complicaciones , Prevalencia , Sistema de Registros , Estudios Retrospectivos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Peroral cholangioscopy (POCS) of indeterminate biliary strictures aims to achieve a diagnosis through visual examination and/or by obtaining targeted biopsies under direct visualization. In this large, prospective, multinational, real-life experience of POCS-guided evaluation of indeterminate biliary strictures, we evaluated the performance of POCS in this difficult-to-manage patient population. METHODS: This prospective registry enrolled patients, with indeterminate biliary strictures across 20 centers in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The primary end points were the ability to visualize the lesion, obtain histological sampling when intended, and an assessment of the diagnostic accuracy of POCS for malignant strictures. Patients were followed for 6 months after POCS or until a definitive malignant diagnosis was made, whichever occurred first. RESULTS: 289 patients underwent 290 POCS procedures with intent to biopsy in 182 cases. The stricture/filling defect was successfully visualized in 286/290 (98.6â%), providing a visual diagnostic impression in 253/290 (87.2â%) and obtaining adequate biopsies in 169/182 (92.9â%). Procedure-related adverse events occurred in 5/289 patients (1.7â%). POCS influenced patient management principally by elucidating filling defects or the causes of bile duct stricture or dilation. The visual impression of malignancy showed 86.7â% sensitivity, 71.2â% specificity, 65.8â% positive and 89.4â% negative predictive value, and 77.2â% overall accuracy compared with final diagnosis. Histological POCS-guided samples showed 75.3â% sensitivity, 100â% specificity, 100â% positive and 77.1â% negative predictive value, and 86.5â% overall accuracy. CONCLUSION: In this large, real-life, prospective series, POCS was demonstrated to be an effective and safe intervention guiding the management of patients with indeterminate biliary strictures.
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Colestasis , Endoscopía del Sistema Digestivo , Asia , Colestasis/etiología , Constricción Patológica/etiología , Humanos , Sistema de RegistrosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Rectal indomethacin and topical spray of epinephrine have separately shown efficacy in the prevention of post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis (PEP) in randomized controlled trials. We hypothesized that the combination of indomethacin and topical spray of epinephrine on the duodenal papillae would further reduce PEP than when indomethacin was used alone. METHODS: We conducted a comparative effectiveness, multicenter, double-blinded, randomized trial of rectal indomethacin alone vs a combination of rectal indomethacin and topical spray of epinephrine for the prevention of PEP in high-risk patients. The primary outcome was the incidence of PEP and the secondary outcome was the severity of PEP. A 2-tailed Fisher's exact test was used to analyze the difference in the proportion of patients with PEP in the indomethacin alone vs the combination group. RESULTS: A total of 960 patients (mean age 52.33 ± 14.96 years; 551 [57.4%] females) were randomized and 959 completed follow-up. The baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were similar between the 2 groups. Women <50 years of age (25.4%) and difficult cannulation (84.9%) were the most common PEP risk factors. The incidence of PEP was 6.4% in the indomethacin alone group (n = 482) compared to 6.7% in the combination group (n = 477; P = 0.87). Severe PEP was found in 5 (12%) and 7 (16%) patients in the indomethacin alone and combination groups, respectively (P = 0.88). The overall mortality was 0.6%, which was unrelated to the primary outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of rectal indomethacin and topical spray of epinephrine does not reduce the incidence of PEP compared to rectal indomethacin alone in high-risk patients; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02116309.
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Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica , Inhibidores de la Ciclooxigenasa/uso terapéutico , Epinefrina/uso terapéutico , Indometacina/uso terapéutico , Pancreatitis/prevención & control , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/prevención & control , Vasoconstrictores/uso terapéutico , Administración Rectal , Administración Tópica , Adulto , Anciano , Método Doble Ciego , Quimioterapia Combinada , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Peroral cholangioscopy (POCS) can be useful for difficult bile duct stone clearance. Large prospective multinational data on POCS-guided lithotripsy for clearing difficult bile duct stones in a single session of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) are missing. METHODS: Patients with difficult bile duct stones (defined as one or more of: largest stone diameter ≥â15âmm, failed prior attempt at stone clearance, impacted, multiple, hepatic duct location, or located above a stricture) were enrolled at 17 centers in 10 countries. The principal endpoint was stone clearance in a single ERCP procedure using POCS. RESULTS : 156 patients underwent 174 sessions of POCS-guided electrohydraulic or laser lithotripsy. Stone clearance had failed in a previous ERCP using traditional techniques in 124/156 patients (80â%), while 32â/156 patients (21â%) were referred directly to POCS-guided therapy based on preprocedural assessment of the difficulty of stone clearance. In 101/156 patients (65â%), there were impacted stones. POCS-guided stone clearance was achieved in a single POCS procedure in 125â/156 patients (80â%, 95â% confidence interval [CI] 73â%â-â86â%), and was significantly more likely for stones ≤â30âmm compared with >â30âmm (odds ratio 7.9, 95â%CI 2.4â-â26.2; Pâ=â0.002). Serious adverse events occurred in 3/156 patients (1.9â%, 95â%CI 0.4â%â-â5.5â%), and included pancreatitis, perforation due to laser lithotripsy, and cholangitis (nâ=â1 each), all resolved within 1 week. CONCLUSION: POCS-guided lithotripsy is highly effective for clearance of difficult bile duct stones in a single procedure and successfully salvages most prior treatment failures. It may also be considered first-line therapy for patients with difficult choledocholithiasis to avoid serial procedures.
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Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica , Cálculos Biliares/cirugía , Litotricia/métodos , Cirugía Endoscópica por Orificios Naturales , Anciano , Femenino , Cálculos Biliares/diagnóstico , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Endoscopic sutured gastroplasty (ESG) has evolved over time. With the advent of full-thickness endoscopic suturing, an efficient technique for ESG was developed and refined. METHODS: This prospective first-in-man trial started in April 2012 and represents the first use of full-thickness endoscopic suturing for primary obesity therapy. The trial focused on procedure development, reproducibility, safety, and short-term efficacy. The trial was performed at centers in five countries, in three phases. Phase I was evaluation of safety and technical feasibility of various procedure techniques; stitch patterns and sequences were assessed for efficiency, safety, and feasibility. Phase II entailed continued procedure refinement to establish a standardized technique. Phase III entailed evaluation of technical feasibility and weight loss outcomes in 77 patients; the procedure was performed using the standardized technique, and there was no procedure development. Data were prospectively collected into a registry. RESULTS: In Phase I, the procedure was created and modified to improve time efficiency. Safety and technical feasibility were established, and short-term weight loss was demonstrated. In Phase II, a number of stitch patterns were attempted, and the stitch pattern was modified and finalized. 22 patients were included, and 1-year total weight loss was 17.3 ± 2.6%. In Phase III, conformity with the final technique was high. 77 patients were included, with a mean BMI of 36.1 ± 0.6 kg/m2. Mean weight loss was 16.0 ± 0.8% at 6 months and 17.4 ± 1.2% at 12 months (n = 44). Postprocedural nausea, vomiting, and epigastric pain were frequently reported; there were no reported significant adverse events post-procedure or during the follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: Following a methodical procedure development phase, ESG demonstrated safety and short-term efficacy in this trial. The procedure also achieved meaningful weight loss during the follow-up period.
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Gastroplastia/métodos , Gastroscopía/métodos , Obesidad/cirugía , Técnicas de Sutura , Adulto , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Resultado del Tratamiento , Pérdida de PesoRESUMEN
Small intestine, hitherto an obscure area for endoscopists before 2000, is now easily evaluated non-invasively using capsule endoscopy and invasively by device-assisted enteroscopies. Major advances in understanding the causes and management of small bowel diseases have been in obscure gastrointestinal (GI) bleed, currently re-named as small bowel bleed, after the discovery of capsule endoscopy. The current article is a narrative review of the technology of capsule endoscopy, its advantages and limitations, future perspective and Indian studies on its utility in patients with small bowel bleed. Till date, eight large series reporting 2319 patients with obscure GI bleed (1554 overt and 765 occult) undergoing capsule endoscopy have been reported from India. Overall yield of capsule endoscopy to detect lesions in these studies varied from 43.5% to 90%. The major causes detected in various studies for small bowel bleed include vascular malformation, portal hypertensive enteropathy, ulcer, stricture, tumor, polyps, etc. Hookworm can cause both occult as well as overt small bowel bleed as shown mainly from India. Capsule endoscopy has also been quite safe in patients with small bowel bleed as despite 0.6% to 15% retention of imaging capsule in Indian studies, development of clinically evident small bowel obstruction has rarely been reported. The major limitations of capsule endoscopy include lack of maneuvrability and therapeutic capability. Research is in progress to overcome some of the limitations of the current capsule endoscopy system. It is concluded that discovery of capsule endoscopy has brought a new paradigm in GI endoscopy and explored a hitherto unexplored area of GI tract, i.e. small bowel that continued to be a black box for the endoscopists.
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BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Persistent gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms and functional gastrointestinal disorders (FGIDs) are increasingly being recognized after Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19). Though quite a few studies addressed irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) following COVID-19, the disorders' prevalence varies greatly. We evaluated, (i) overall frequency of post-COVID-19 IBS, (ii) relative risk of development of IBS among COVID-19 patients compared to healthy controls using systematic review and meta-analysis techniques. METHODS: Literature search was performed for studies on GI symptoms and FGIDs after COVID-19 using electronic databases (Medline, Scopus, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Google Scholar and Web of Science) till April 28, 2023. We included studies reporting IBS after COVID-19 with any duration of follow-up and any number of subjects. Studies on pediatric population and those not providing relevant information were excluded. Relative risk of development of IBS using Rome criteria among COVID-19 patients compared to healthy controls was calculated. Analysis was done using MedCalc (Applied Math, Mariakerke, Belgium, version 7.2) and Comprehensive Meta-Analysis version 3.3.070 (Biostat Inc. Englewood, NJ 07631, USA). RESULTS: Of the available studies, 13 (four case-control) reporting on IBS after COVID-19 met inclusion criteria. Among 3950 COVID-19 patients and 991 controls, 7.2% of COVID-19 patients and 4.9% of healthy controls developed IBS. Of the four case-control studies reporting post-COVID-19 IBS, patients with COVID-19 were 2.65 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.538 to 13.039) times more likely to have post-COVID-19 IBS as compared to healthy controls. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with COVID-19 are more likely to develop post-COVID-19 IBS than healthy controls. The heterogeneity of studies, different criteria used by various studies to diagnose post-COVID-19 IBS and some studies not meeting the six-month follow-up duration of the Rome criteria for diagnosing IBS are limitations of this systematic review.
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COVID-19 , Síndrome del Colon Irritable , Humanos , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Síndrome del Colon Irritable/epidemiología , Prevalencia , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
The diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma is usually centered around cross-sectional imaging (CSI) modalities. However, in some instances focal hepatic lesions may be missed on CSI. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) has an evolving role in hepatology and have been shown to be useful in diagnosing focal lesions with advantages of tissue acquisition. We report a case hepatitis B-related cirrhosis presenting with acute decompensation, wherein EUS was used to identify HCC and perform tissue acquisition as CSI was non-diagnostic.
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Background: Steatotic liver disease (SLD) encompasses metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (AALD) at extremes as well as an overlap group termed MASLD with increased alcohol intake (Met-ALD). The Alcoholic Liver Disease/Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Index (ANI) was proposed to differentiate ALD from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We analysed the performance of the ANI in differentiating within the SLD spectrum. Methods: In a cross-sectional study at a tertiary care center, 202 adults (>18 years) who were prospectively diagnosed with SLD defined by magnetic resonance imaging-proton density fat fraction >6.4% were enrolled. Alcohol consumption (AC) was recorded according to thresholds for significant AC: 140-350 g/week (or 20-50 g/day) for females and 210-420 g/week (or 30-60 g/day) for males. The ANI was calculated, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was generated. Results: Of 202 patients (47 years [interquartile range, IQR, 38 to 55], 23.75% females, 77% obese, 42.1% diabetic, 38.1% hypertensive, 28.7% statin use), 40.5% were ever-alcohol consumers; 120 (59%), 50 (24.7%), and 32 (15.8%) were MASLD (ANI, -3.7 [IQR, -7 to -1.6]; Met-ALD, - 1.45 [IQR, -2.4 to 0.28]; and AALD, 0.71 [IQR, -1.3 to 4.8], respectively; P<0.05 for all). The AUROC of the ANI for MASLD and AALD was 0.79 (0.72 to 0.84; cut-off <-3.5) and 0.80 (0.74 to 0.86; cut-off >-1.49), respectively. The ANI outperformed aspartate transaminase/alanine transaminase (AST/ALT) ratio (AUROC=0.75 [0.69 to 0.81]) and gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) (AUROC=0.74 [0.67 to 0.80]). Addition of GGT did not improve model performance (AUCdiff=0.004; P=0.33). Conclusion: AC is common in MASLD. The ANI distinguishes MASLD and AALD, with individual cut-offs within the intermediate zone indicating Met-ALD. ANI also outperforms AST/ALT ratio or GGT.
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BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Hepatitis A virus (HAV)-related hepatitis is witnessing an epidemiological transition with increasing trends in adults. While uncomplicated hepatitis remains common, evidence suggests it to be a growing cause for acute liver failure (ALF). In between the two extremes exists severe acute liver injury (s-ALI) which has a propensity to transition to ALF. We aimed at describing the clinical profile of patients with HAV-related s-ALI and identifying potential predictors of progression to ALF. METHODS: This was a single-center retrospective analysis of adult patients admitted with HAV-related s-ALI between April 2022 and December 2023. Demographic and laboratory parameters were compared between patients with only s-ALI and those with ALF. Predictors of progression from s-ALI to ALF were identified using logistic regression. RESULTS: Forty-three patients satisfied criteria of s-ALI, of which 33 (76.7%) had only s-ALI, while 10 (23.3%) had ALF. Patients with s-ALI had lesser leukocytosis (6.3 ± 3 vs. 13.2 ± 4.8), less incidence of acute kidney injury (9.1% vs. 40%) and lower model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) (20 [18-24.5] vs. 31.5 [26-42]), arterial lactate (2.1 [1.3-3.1] vs. 6.3 [5.2-8.0]), arterial ammonia (94 [72-118] vs. 299 [188-573]), procalcitonin (0.5 [0.28-1.25] vs. 3.2 [1.2-6.1]) and ferritin (482 [213-1633] vs. 5186 [1341-11,053]) compared to HAV-ALF (p < 0.05 for all). Three patients (9.09%) with s-ALI progressed to ALF of whom one (3%) died. Baseline ammonia levels (unadjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.03 [1.01-1.06]) and leukocyte count (OR 1.00 [1.00-1.01]) tended to be associated with ALF progression, although none was significant after multi-variable adjustment. Ammonia levels had an area under receiver operating curve of 0.816 (0.64-0.93) (p = 0.009) (cut-off of 144 µmol/L). Additional comorbidities did not impact overall outcomes. CONCLUSION: HAV presents as s-ALI in young adults, with almost one in 10 progressing to ALF. Baseline ammonia may be an important predictor of progression even in s-ALI, but mandates larger well-designed studies.
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Progresión de la Enfermedad , Hepatitis A , Fallo Hepático Agudo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Humanos , Masculino , Hepatitis A/complicaciones , Hepatitis A/epidemiología , Femenino , Adulto , Estudios Retrospectivos , Fallo Hepático Agudo/etiología , Fallo Hepático Agudo/virología , Fallo Hepático Agudo/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
The presence of anaemia has been linked to increased complications and a worse prognosis in cirrhosis. Spur cell anaemia (SCA) is a specific form of haemolytic anaemia reported in patients with advanced cirrhosis. The literature on the entity has not been systematically reviewed, despite the classical association and frequent association with worse outcomes. We undertook a narrative review of available literature on SCA which yielded only 4 were original studies, one case series and the rest of the literature as case reports and clinical images. SCA is usually defined by the presence of spur cell rate of ≥5%, although there remains a lack of consensus in the definition. SCA has been classically associated with alcohol-related cirrhosis but can be seen across the spectrum of cirrhosis and acute to chronic liver failure. Patients with SCA tend to have evidence of higher grades of liver dysfunction, abnormal lipid profiles, worse prognostic scores and a high mortality. Experimental therapies including corticosteroids, pentoxifylline, flunarizine and plasmapheresis has been tried with variable effect, but liver transplantation remains the management of choice. We propose a stepwise approach to diagnosis and re-enforce the need for further prospective research, especially in subgroups of advanced cirrhosis like acute to chronic liver failure.
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Objectives: Psoas muscle parameters have been proposed as a simple and quick method for sarcopenia assessment. The aim of this study was to assess sarcopenia in cirrhotics by psoas muscle on computed tomography and its impact on mortality. Methods: One hundred and fifty patients (75 cirrhotics, 75 subjects) were assessed for psoas muscle on CT scan. Psoas muscle index (PMI) was calculated as 'total psoas muscle area/(height of subject)2'. Cut off values for sarcopenia diagnosis were derived from local subjects (n = 75) who did not have cirrhosis/other causes of sarcopenia. Results: Sarcopenia assessed by PMI was seen in 36% (n = 27) of the cirrhotics. Sarcopenia was significantly higher in patients having Child-Pugh C. Ascites, hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and gastro-intestinal bleed were seen in 48%, 18.7% and 24%, respectively. Sarcopenia was significantly associated with ascites and HE (P < 0.05). Out of the 75 cases, 53 cases completed the follow-up period of 1 year. Among the 20 cases who had sarcopenia, 35% (n = 7) succumbed to liver-related illness during 1 year follow-up, and out of the 33 cases without sarcopenia, only 6% (n = 2) died. The association of sarcopenia and 1 year mortality was statistically significant (P = 0.01). Conclusions: The PMI, a simple method for sarcopenia assessment detected sarcopenia in 36% of cirrhotics. Patients with sarcopenia had a significantly higher 1 year mortality rate and appropriate prognostication of such patients is needed.
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OBJECTIVES: To systematically evaluate the patient and procedural risk factors for post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) among patients receiving rectal indomethacin. METHODS: Data from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) of high-risk patients undergoing ERCP who received rectal indomethacin with or without topical epinephrine was evaluated. PEP was defined based on the consensus criteria. Pancreatic stenting was excluded to avoid confounding results with the role of epinephrine spray. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify patient and procedural risk factors for PEP. RESULTS: Among 960 patients enrolled in the RCT, the PEP incidence was 6.4%. An increased risk of PEP was seen with age <50 years and female gender (odds ratio [OR] 2.40, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.35-4.26), malignant biliary stricture(s) (OR 3.51, 95% CI 1.52-8.10), >2 guidewire passes into the pancreatic duct (PD) (OR 2.84, 95% CI 1.43-5.64), and pancreatic brush cytology (OR 6.37, 95% CI 1.10-36.90), whereas a decreased risk of PEP was seen with contrast- over guidewire-assisted cannulation (OR 0.14, 95% CI 0.02-0.99) and the use of lactated Ringer's (LR) over other fluid types (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.27-0.98). There was a significant trend between the number of guidewire passes into the PD and PEP risk (P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: More than two guidewire passes into the PD and pancreatic brush cytology increased while the use of LR decreased the risk of PEP among high-risk patients receiving rectal indomethacin. Pancreatic stent placement and/or LR should be considered in patients with >2 guidewire passes into the PD.
Asunto(s)
Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica , Pancreatitis , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Cateterismo/métodos , Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica/efectos adversos , Colangiopancreatografia Retrógrada Endoscópica/métodos , Epinefrina , Indometacina/uso terapéutico , Conductos Pancreáticos , Pancreatitis/epidemiología , Pancreatitis/etiología , Pancreatitis/prevención & control , Factores de Riesgo , Masculino , AdultoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Multisystem organ failure (MSOF) is the most important determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). Obesity and alcoholic etiology have been examined as potential risk factors for MSOF, but prior studies have not adequately elucidated their independent effects on the risk of MSOF. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the adjusted effects of body mass index (BMI) and alcoholic etiology on the risk of MSOF in subjects with AP. METHODS: A prospective observational study of 22 centers from 10 countries was conducted. Patients admitted to an APPRENTICE consortium center with AP between August 2015 and January 2018 were enrolled. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the adjusted effects of BMI, etiology, and other relevant covariates on the risk of MSOF. Models were stratified by sex. RESULTS: Among 1544 AP subjects, there was a sex-dependent association between BMI and the risk of MSOF. Increasing BMI was associated with increased odds of MSOF in males (OR 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.15) but not in females (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.90-1.1). Male subjects with AP, whose BMIs were 30-34 and >35 kg/m2 , had odds ratios of 3.78 (95% CI 1.62-8.83) and 3.44 (95% CI 1.08-9.99), respectively. In females, neither higher grades of obesity nor increasing age increased the risk of MSOF. Alcoholic etiology was independently associated with increased odds of MSOF compared with non-alcohol etiologies (OR 4.17, 95% CI 2.16-8.05). CONCLUSION: Patients with alcoholic etiology and obese men (but not women) are at substantially increased risk of MSOF in AP.