Progressive decline of function in renal allografts with normal 1-year biopsies: Gene expression studies fail to identify a classifier.

Histologic findings on 1-year biopsies such as inflammation with fibrosis and transplant glomerulopathy predict renal allograft loss by 5 years. However, almost half of the patients with graft loss have a 1-year biopsy that is either normal or has only interstitial fibrosis. The goal of this study was to determine if there was a gene expression profile in these relatively normal 1-year biopsies that predicted subsequent decline in renal function. Using transcriptome microarrays we measured intragraft mRNA levels in a retrospective Discovery cohort (170 patients with a normal/minimal fibrosis 1-year biopsy, 54 with progressive decline in function/graft loss and 116 with stable function) and developed a nested 10-fold cross-validated gene classifier that predicted progressive decline in renal function (positive predictive value = 38 ± 34%%; negative predictive value = 73 ± 30%, c-statistic = .59). In a prospective, multicenter Validation cohort (270 patients with Normal/Interstitial Fibrosis [IF]), the classifier had a 20% positive predictive value, 85% negative predictive value and .58 c-statistic. Importantly, the majority of patients with graft loss in the prospective study had 1-year biopsies scored as Normal or IF. We conclude predicting graft loss in many renal allograft recipients (i.e., those with a relatively normal 1-year biopsy and eGFR > 40) remains difficult.

Prognostic factors in kidney transplantation in the septuagenarian: a multicenter analysis.

Kidney transplant (KT) programs have extended recipient eligibility to those who were previously excluded due to advanced age. We aimed to determine the outcomes of the patients ≥70 years undergoing KT and investigate factors predicting survival. Two thousand six hundred and twenty-four KT patients between 2003 and 2013 at two institutions were divided into two groups; those ≥70 years (n=300) and those <70 years (n=2324) at the time of KT. Patient survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 95%, 86%, and 77% in ≥70 years of age group and 98%, 95%, and 90% in the <70 years group (P<.001). When graft loss due to death was censored, graft survival was not significantly different between the two groups (P=.18). On multivariable analysis, the significant predictors of inferior survival in patients ≥70 years included: body mass index (BMI)>30 kg/m(2) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.07; P=.01), panel reactive antibody (PRA)>20% (HR 2.38; P=.01), previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG; HR 1.95; P=.03) and peripheral vascular disease (PVD; HR 2.60; P=.04). Acceptable outcomes can be achieved in KT recipients ≥70 years. Caution should be used when listing these patients if they have BMI>30 kg/m(2) , PRA>20%, CABG or PVD.

Comparison of alemtuzumab vs. antithymocyte globulin induction therapy in primary non-sensitized renal transplant patients treated with rapid steroid withdrawal.

Alemtuzumab and rabbit antithymocyte globulin (rATG) are commonly used for induction therapy in renal transplantation. This retrospective, single-center, cohort study evaluated cumulative incidence of one-yr biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) among 200 consecutive primary non-sensitized kidney transplant recipients who received either alemtuzumab (n = 100) or rATG (n = 100) induction followed by rapid steroid taper, tacrolimus, and mycophenolate mofetil. Protocol biopsies, plasma and urine BK virus PCR, serum creatinine and iothalamate glomerular filtration rate (iGFR), were obtained at 1, 4, and 12 months from transplantation. The one-yr BPAR rates were similar between the alemtuzumab and rATG groups; however, rejection Banff IA and higher was more common in the alemtuzumab arm (18% vs. 5%, p = 0.047). After adjusting for confounding variables, alemtuzumab was still associated with Banff IA and higher rejection (adjusted OR: 3.7, CI: 1.2-10.5, p = 0.02). Despite similar rates of BK viremia, more patients in the alemtuzumab arm developed BK nephropathy (16% vs. 3%, p = 0.046). One-year iGFR (53.4 ± 20.2 vs. 71.9 ± 27.2 mL/min/1.73 m(2), p = 0.002) and three-yr graft survival (89.5% vs. 95%, p = 0.05) were lower in the alemtuzumab group. In low immunological risk kidney transplant recipients on steroid-free immunosuppression, alemtuzumab was associated with more severe rejection and BK nephropathy compared to rATG.

Inferior long-term outcomes of liver-kidney transplantation using donation after cardiac death donors: single-center and organ procurement and transplantation network analyses.

Limited data are available for outcomes of simultaneous liver-kidney (SLK) transplantation using donation after cardiac death (DCD) donors. The outcomes of 12 DCD-SLK transplants and 54 SLK transplants using donation after brain death (DBD) donors were retrospectively compared. The baseline demographics were similar for the DCD-SLK and DBD-SLK groups except for the higher liver donor risk index for the DCD-SLK group (1.8 ± 0.4 versus 1.3 ± 0.4, P = 0.001). The rates of surgical complications and graft rejections within 1 year were comparable for the DCD-SLK and DBD-SLK groups. Delayed renal graft function was twice as common in the DCD-SLK group. At 1 year, the serum creatinine levels and the iothalamate glomerular filtration rates were similar for the groups. The patient, liver graft, and kidney graft survival rates at 1 year were comparable for the groups (83.3%, 75.0%, and 82.5% for the DCD-SLK group and 92.4%, 92.4%, and 92.6% for the DBD-SLK group, P = 0.3 for all). The DCD-SLK group had worse patient, liver graft, and kidney graft survival at 3 years (62.5%, 62.5%, and 58.9% versus 90.5%, 90.5%, and 90.6%, P = 0.03 for all) and at 5 years (62.5%, 62.5%, and 58.9% versus 87.4%, 87.4%, and 87.7%, P < 0.05 for all). An analysis of the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database showed inferior 1- and 5-year patient and graft survival rates for DCD-SLK patients versus DBD-SLK patients. In conclusion, despite comparable rates of surgical and medical complications and comparable kidney function at 1 year, DCD-SLK transplantation was associated with inferior long-term survival in comparison with DBD-SLK transplantation.

Hepatorenal syndrome in the intensive care unit.

Hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is a functional form of acute kidney injury (AKI) associated with advanced liver cirrhosis or fulminant hepatic failure. Various new concepts have emerged since the initial diagnostic criteria and definition of HRS was initially published. These include better understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms involved in HRS, identification of bacterial infection (especially spontaneous bacterial peritonitis) as the most important HRS-precipitating event, recognition that insufficient cardiac output plays a role in the occurrence of HRS, and evidence that renal failure reverses with pharmacotherapy. Patients with HRS are often critically ill and, by definition, have multiorgan failure. The purpose of this review is to provide an update on novel advances in HRS, with emphasis on the different aspects of management of these patients in the intensive care unit.

Formal quality improvement curriculum and DMAIC method results in interdisciplinary collaboration and process improvement in renal transplant patients.

BACKGROUND: Broad-based formal quality improvement curriculum emphasizing Six Sigma and the DMAIC approach developed by our institution is required for physicians in training. DMAIC methods evaluated the common outcome of postoperative hyponatremia, thus resulting in collaboration to prevent hyponatremia in the renal transplant population. METHODS: To define postoperative hyponatremia in renal transplant recipients, a project charter outlined project aims. To measure postoperative hyponatremia, serum sodium at admission and immediately postoperative were recorded by retrospective review of renal transplant recipient charts from June 29, 2010 to December 31, 2011. An Ishikawa diagram was generated to analyze potential causative factors. Interdisciplinary collaboration and hospital policy assessment determined necessary improvements to prevent hyponatremia. Continuous monitoring in control phase was performed by establishing the goal of <10% of transplant recipients with abnormal serum sodium annually through quarterly reduction of hyponatremia by 30% to reach this goal. RESULTS: Of 54 transplant recipients, postoperative hyponatremia occurred in 92.6% of patients. These potential causes were evaluated: 1) Hemodialysis was more common than peritoneal dialysis. 2) Alemtuzumab induction was more common than antithymocyte globulin. 3) A primary diagnosis of diabetes existed in 16 patients (30%). 4) Strikingly, 51 patients received 0.45% sodium chloride intraoperatively, suggesting this as the most likely cause of postoperative hyponatremia. A hospital policy change to administer 0.9% sodium chloride during renal transplantation resulted in normal serum sodium levels postoperatively in 59 of 64 patients (92.2%). CONCLUSION: The DMAIC approach and formal quality curriculum for trainees addresses core competencies by providing a framework for problem solving, interdisciplinary collaboration, and process improvement.

The challenges of providing renal replacement therapy in decompensated liver cirrhosis.

Development of renal failure requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT) in the cirrhotic patient is a devastating complication. Survival without RRT is less than 10% on average at 6 months. However, it is now appreciated that all renal failure in this group of patients is not due solely to hepatorenal syndrome, and the cause of the renal failure affects the prognosis. This paper reviews the prognosis depending on cause and points out the difficulty in making the correct diagnosis. Provision of RRT is difficult in this group of patients due to hypotension and coagulopathy which is highly prevalent. Survival with RRT is still poor with only 30-60% of patients surviving to liver transplant. Provision of RRT should be offered as a bridge to patients awaiting liver transplant or those undergoing liver transplant evaluation. Provision of long-term RRT is usually not indicated in other cirrhotic patients who develop a need for RRT except as a trial to see if renal function will return. The decision between intermittent hemodialysis or continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is usually based on the clinical characteristics of the patient. Neither has been demonstrated to be superior to the other, although CRRT may be better tolerated in the unstable patient. CRRT is clearly indicated in cases of fulminant hepatic failure as it does not raise intracranial pressure. Provision of intraoperative CRRT during liver transplant may be indicated to help control volume and electrolytes in those patients presenting for liver transplant with renal failure. Newer extracorporeal support systems, such as extracorporeal albumin dialysis (MARS) and fractional plasma separation and adsorption with hemodialysis (Prometheus), have recently been developed to provide both renal and liver support in this group of patients. These are still considered experimental, although the MARS system has been utilized to treat patients with hepatorenal syndrome, and is available outside the United States.

Utilization and Cost Analysis of Lung Transplantation and Survival After 10 Years of Adapting the Lung Allocation Score.

BACKGROUND: Lungs are allocated in the United States using the lung allocation score (LAS). We investigated the effect of LAS trends on lung transplant-related costs, healthcare utilization, and mortality. METHODS: Utilization data from Mayo Clinic (Florida and Minnesota) from 2005 to 2015 were obtained from the electronic health records (N = 465). Costs were categorized as 1-year posttransplant or transplant episode and standardized using 2015 Medicare reimbursement and cost-to-charge ratios. Regression analysis was used to assess the relationship of LAS to length of stay (LOS), mortality, and cost of transplant. RESULTS: The mean LAS at transplant increased from 45.7 to 58.3 during the study period, whereas the 1-year survival improved from 88.1% to 92.5% (P < 0.0001). The proportion of patients transplanted with LAS of 60 or greater increased from 16.9% to 33.3%. Posttransplant, overall, and intensive care unit LOS increased with increasing LAS. Patients with higher LAS had substantially higher transplant episode costs. An increase of LAS at transplant by 10 points increased inflation-adjusted costs by 12.0% (95% confidence interval, 9.3%-14.5%). CONCLUSIONS: The mean LAS at transplant has significantly increased over time associated with increases in LOS, resource utilization and cost. Lung allocation score has not jeopardized overall survival, but a high LAS (>60) at transplant is associated with increased mortality.

Feasibility, Safety, and Tolerance of Mesenchymal Stem Cell Therapy for Obstructive Chronic Lung Allograft Dysfunction.

Feasibility, tolerance, and safety of intravenous infusions of allogeneic mesenchymal stem cell (MSC) therapy in lung transplant recipients with bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) are not well established. MSCs were manufactured, cryopreserved, transported to our facility, thawed, and infused into nine recipients with moderate BOS (average drop in forced expiratory volume in 1 second was 56.8% ± 3.2% from post-transplant peak) who were refractory to standard therapy and not candidates for retransplant. Cells were viable and sterile prior to infusion. Patients received a single infusion of either 1 (n = 3), 2 (n = 3), or 4 (n = 3) million MSCs per kg. Patients were medically evaluated before; during; and at 24 hours, 1 week, and 1 month after infusion for evidence of infusion-related adverse events and tolerance of therapy. Vital signs, pulmonary function test results, Borg Dyspnea Index, and routine laboratory data were recorded. Vital signs and O2 saturation did not significantly change during or up to 2 hours after MSC infusion. There were no significant changes in gas exchange variables, pulmonary function test results, or laboratory values at 1, 7, and 30 days postinfusion compared with preinfusion values. Infusion of MSCs in patients with BOS was feasible, safe, and well tolerated and did not produce any significant adverse changes in clinical, functional, or laboratory variables during or up to 30 days after infusion. Manufacturing, transport, and administration of intravenous, allogeneic bone marrow-derived MSCs in doses from 1 to 4 million MSCs per kg is safe in lung transplant recipients with BOS. Stem Cells Translational Medicine 2018;7:161-167.

The long-term management of pancreas transplantation.

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a major health problem worldwide, which affects 18.2 million individuals (6.3% of the population) in the United States. Currently, the prevalence of Type 1 DM in the United States is estimated to be 1,000,000 individuals, and 30,000 new cases are diagnosed each year. In addition to end-stage renal disease (ESRD), DM is associated with blindness, accelerated atherosclerosis, dyslipidemia, cardio- and cerebrovascular disease, amputation, poor quality of life, and overall lifespan reduction. It accounts for more than 160,000 deaths per year in the United States alone. In 2002, the annual national direct and indirect costs of Types 1 and 2 DM exceeded $130 billion, which included hospital and physician care, laboratory tests, pharmaceutical products, and patient workdays lost because of disability or premature death. Hyperglycemia alone or in concert with hypertension is the primary factor influencing the development of major diabetic complications. From 1990 to 2001, the number of existing ESRD cases to DM increased by more than 300%, while the rate per million populations increased from 167% to 491%. The number is expected to grow 10-fold by 2030 to 1.3 million accounting for 60% of ESRD population. To date, DM is the leading indication for transplantation and is the cause of ESRD in more than 40% of all transplant recipients each year.

Review of major clinical trials with mycophenolate mofetil in renal transplantation.

Mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) was approved for the prevention of acute rejection following renal transplantation based on the results of three groundbreaking, large, clinical trials that demonstrated a significantly reduced risk of acute rejection in patients receiving MMF when compared with those receiving placebo or azathioprine. These three multicenter, prospective, double-blind trials performed at 55 transplant centers on three continents were the largest immunosuppressive drug trials ever attempted and the first prospective, randomized, double-blind trials ever performed in transplantation. These pivotal trials established a foundation for widespread acceptance of MMF in combination with cyclosporine and steroids as a maintenance regimen for renal transplant patients. The findings of these initial trials that led to the approval of MMF for renal transplantation, including long-term follow-up data, will be reviewed in this paper. The expanding scope of major trials of MMF, including trials in pediatric patients, combination regimens with novel induction therapies or other maintenance agents, and trials in special patient populations such as those at high immunological risk or with deteriorating kidney function, will also be discussed.

A prospective, randomized trial of tacrolimus in combination with sirolimus or mycophenolate mofetil in kidney transplantation: results at 1 year.

BACKGROUND: This is the 1-year report of a randomized, multicenter, clinical trial comparing the combination of sirolimus or mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) with tacrolimus-based immunosuppression in kidney transplantation. METHODS: Prior to transplantation, recipients were randomized to receive tacrolimus plus corticosteroids with either sirolimus (n=185) or MMF (n=176). The incidence of biopsy-confirmed acute rejection at 6 months was the primary endpoint of the study. Patient and graft survival, renal function, study drug dosing and discontinuations were evaluated at 1 year. RESULTS: At 1 year, there was no difference in patient survival (95.7% sirolimus vs. 97.2% MMF; P=0.45) or graft survival (90.8% sirolimus vs. 94.3% MMF; P=0.22). Patients without delayed graft function (DGF) receiving MMF had significantly better graft survival (99% vs. 93%; P=0.01). Patients receiving a transplant from a live donor had a trend towards better graft survival with MMF as compared to sirolimus (98% vs. 91%; P=0.07). Patients receiving sirolimus had a significantly higher incidence of study drug discontinuation (26.5% vs. 14.8% MMF; P=0.006). Patients receiving MMF had significantly better renal function as shown by median serum creatinine levels (1.3 mg/dL vs. 1.5 mg/dL; P=0.03) and a trend towards higher calculated creatinine clearance (CrCl), (58.4 ml/min vs. 54.3 ml/min; P=0.06). More patients in the sirolimus group had a serum creatinine >2.0 mg/dL, (20.4% vs. 11.0%; P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Tacrolimus is safe and effective in live and deceased donor kidney transplantation when given in combination with sirolimus or MMF. Patient and graft survival were excellent in both arms. Renal function is superior for patients treated with tacrolimus + MMF combination.

Randomized trial of tacrolimus in combination with sirolimus or mycophenolate mofetil in kidney transplantation: results at 6 months.

BACKGROUND: This is the first report of a randomized, multicenter, clinical trial comparing the combination of sirolimus or mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) with tacrolimus-based immunosuppression in kidney transplantation. Results at 6 months of follow-up are presented. METHODS: Before transplantation, patients were randomized to receive tacrolimus plus corticosteroids with sirolimus (n=185) or MMF (n=176). The primary endpoint of the study was the incidence of biopsy-confirmed acute rejection. Patient and graft survival, renal function, and composite endpoints also were evaluated. Safety was assessed by monitoring laboratory parameters and adverse events. RESULTS: By 6 months of follow-up, the incidence of biopsy-confirmed acute rejection was similar in both treatment groups (13.0% tacrolimus+sirolimus vs. 11.4% tacrolimus+MMF; P=0.64 log-rank). Patient survival (97.3% tacrolimus+sirolimus vs. 97.7% tacrolimus+MMF) and graft survival (93.0% tacrolimus+sirolimus vs. 95.5% tacrolimus+MMF) were equivalent (P=0.53, overall survival log-rank). There was a significantly higher incidence of study drug discontinuation in patients receiving sirolimus (21.1% vs. 10.8%; P=0.008). Renal function was significantly better in the MMF-treatment group (serum creatinine 1.44+/-0.45 mg/dL vs. 1.77+/-1.42 mg/dL; P=0.018). Hyperlipidemia was significantly more prevalent in the sirolimus-treatment group. Diastolic blood pressure was significantly higher in sirolimus-treated patients. There were significantly more leukopenia and gastrointestinal adverse events in the MMF-treatment group. The incidence of posttransplant diabetes mellitus was 7.6% in the sirolimus group and 7.7% in the MMF group. CONCLUSION: Tacrolimus is equally effective in renal transplantation when combined with sirolimus or MMF. The tacrolimus-MMF combination may be superior in terms of improved renal function and improved cardiovascular risk factors including hyperlipidemia and hypertension.

Improved renal function in sirolimus-treated renal transplant patients after early cyclosporine elimination.

BACKGROUND: Sirolimus (Rapamune; SRL) in combination with cyclosporine (CsA) reduces the incidence of acute rejection episodes in renal allograft recipients. This study evaluated whether renal function could be improved by elimination of CsA from an SRL-based regimen. METHODS: This phase 2, open-label, controlled, randomized study was conducted at 17 centers in the United States and Europe. Two hundred forty-six first cadaveric renal allograft recipients were enrolled, and 197 were randomized to full-dose CsA (microemulsion) plus fixed-dose SRL (2 mg/day; group A, n=97) or reduced-dose CsA plus concentration-controlled SRL (troughs 10-20 ng/mL; group B, n=100). Most patients with acute tubular necrosis-delayed graft function that resolved later than posttransplantation day 7 were not randomized but were assigned to a third group (nonrandomized, n=49) and received up to 5 mg per day of SRL as part of their individualized treatment regimen. All patients received standard doses of corticosteroids. At the end of posttransplantation month 2, eligible patients (those not treated for rejection within 3 weeks) in group B had CsA tapered and eliminated over the subsequent 4 to 6 weeks. RESULTS: At 12 months after transplantation, renal function was significantly better in the CsA-elimination arm. In patients who were on therapy and who had not experienced an acute rejection episode before month 6, serum creatinine level was significantly lower (1.38 mg/dL vs. 1.82 mg/dL, P < 0.001) and calculated glomerular filtration rate (Nankivell method) was significantly higher (73.5 mL/min vs. 57.1 mL/min, P < 0.001) in group B than in group A. In the intention-to-treat population, rates of biopsy-confirmed acute rejection at 12 months were similar between groups A and B (18.6% vs. 22.0%, respectively; P = 0.598). In addition, graft survival (92.8% and 95.0%) and patient survival (96.9% and 96.0%) rates at 12 months were not significantly different between groups A and B, respectively. Furthermore, there were no significant differences between black and nonblack recipients within treatment groups in terms of rejection rates and graft survival at 12 months. Black recipients in group B had better serum creatinine levels at 12 months compared with black recipients in group A (1.55 mg/dL vs. 2.69 mg/dL, respectively, P = 0.011), as did nonblack recipients in group B compared with nonblack recipients in group A (1.53 mg/dL vs. 1.75 mg/dL, respectively, P = 0.055). Black patients in group A had higher mean serum creatinine levels (2.69 mg/dL) than nonblack patients in group A (1.75 mg/dL, P = 0.028). Hypertension, edema, hypomagnesemia, and dyspnea were reported significantly less frequently in patients randomly assigned to undergo CsA elimination compared with patients in group A (P < 0.05); group B patients had a significantly greater (P < 0.05) incidence of abnormal liver function tests, diarrhea, hypokalemia, and thrombocytopenia. CONCLUSION: Concentration-controlled SRL with early elimination of CsA is safe and results in improved renal function. Reduced exposure to CsA does not result in a clinically significant increase in the incidence of acute rejection episodes. This is true for both black and nonblack recipients. SRL may be used to reduce the exposure of renal allograft recipients to the nephrotoxic effects of CsA.

Pharmacodynamics, pharmacokinetics, and safety of multiple doses of FTY720 in stable renal transplant patients: a multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled, phase I study.

BACKGROUND: FTY720, a novel immunomodulator, displays potent immunosuppressive activity in a variety of preclinical transplant models. This study examined the safety, pharmacodynamics, and pharmacokinetics of multiple doses of FTY720 in stable renal transplant patients. METHODS: This randomized, multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase I study included adults who had been maintained on a regimen of cyclosporine A (CsA) microemulsion and prednisone (or its equivalent) for at least 1 year after renal transplantation. Patients received once-daily doses of 0.125, 0.25, 0.5, 1.0, 2.5, or 5.0 mg FTY720, or placebo for 28 days. After completion of study drug administration, the patients were monitored until day 56 by serial laboratory tests, clinical examinations, and recording of adverse events. The study includes 76 treatment courses (61 FTY720 and 15 placebo), with 65 patients enrolled once and 11 reenrolled. RESULTS: FTY720 doses greater than or equal to 1.0 mg/day produced a significant reduction in peripheral blood lymphocyte count by up to 85%, which reversed within 3 days after discontinuation of study medication. Compared with placebo-treated patients, FTY720 subjects did not show a major increase in adverse events or a change in renal function. Pharmacokinetic measurements revealed that FTY720 displayed linear relations of doses and concentrations over a wide range, but had no effect on CsA exposure. CONCLUSIONS: At doses up to 5.0 mg/day for 28 days, stable renal transplant patients treated with FTY720 in combination with CsA and prednisone displayed a dose-dependent, reversible decline in peripheral blood lymphocytes without an enhanced incidence of collateral toxicities, except possibly bradycardia.

Quantitative viral load monitoring and cidofovir therapy for the management of BK virus-associated nephropathy in children and adults.

BACKGROUND: BK virus (BKV)-associated nephropathy (BKVAN) has been increasingly recognized as an important cause of renal transplant dysfunction. We report the role of quantitative viral load monitoring in the management of BKVAN. METHODS: We developed a real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay for BKV detection in urine and plasma. Four renal allograft recipients, including two children, with BKVAN were treated with low-dose cidofovir and followed prospectively. RESULTS: The PCR assay showed a detection limit of 10 viral copies with an intra-assay coefficient of variation of 19%. All four patients with BKVAN demonstrated intranuclear inclusions on allograft biopsy and a progressive rise in serum creatinine; three patients underwent multiple biopsies before the diagnosis of BKVAN was made. Three of the patients experienced a "viral syndrome" before the onset of renal dysfunction. One child also demonstrated an echogenic renal mass. All of the patients demonstrated strongly positive urinary PCR values (>100,000 copies/microL). BKV DNA was also detected in the plasma of three patients. All the patients were treated with intravenous low-dose cidofovir (0.25-1 mg/kg per dose, every 2-3 weeks, without probenecid). BK viruria resolved within 4 to 12 weeks (after 1-4 doses) of the cidofovir therapy, and all patients remain with stable renal function 6 to 26 months posttherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative PCR for BKV is a sensitive and reliable method for following the course of the infection in renal transplant patients. In addition, cidofovir therapy may be useful in the treatment of some of these patients, and its role needs to be investigated further.

Preoperative and perioperative predictors of the need for renal replacement therapy after orthotopic liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Acute renal failure developing after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLTx) requiring renal replacement heralds a poor prognosis. Our center has previously reported a 1-year survival of only 41.8%. We undertook this study to determine whether we could identify preoperative and perioperative factors that would predict which patients are at risk. METHODS: OLTxs performed between January 1, 1996, and December 31, 2001, were included in our retrospective database review. Combined kidney-liver transplants or patients with preoperative renal replacement therapy (RRT) were excluded. A total of 724 OLTxs were studied, which were divided into group I: no RRT, n=637; group II: hemodialysis only post-OLTx, n=17; and group III: continuous RRT post-OLTx, n=70. Univariate and stepwise logistic multivariate analyses were performed. RESULTS: Preoperative serum creatinine greater than 1.9 mg/dL (odds ratio [OR] 3.57), preoperative blood urea nitrogen greater than 27 mg/dL (OR 2.68), intensive care unit stay more than 3 days (OR 10.23), and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score greater than 21 (OR 2.5) were significant. A clinical prediction model was constructed: probability of requiring dialysis posttransplant=(-2.4586+1.2726 [creatinine >1.9] + 0.9858 [blood urea nitrogen >27] + 0.4574 [Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score >21] + 1.1625 [intensive care unit days >3]). A clinical prediction rule for patients with a score greater than 0.12 was applied to OLTx recipients who underwent transplantation in 2002. A total of 15 of 20 patients who received RRT and 111 of 121 who did not were correctly classified with the model. CONCLUSIONS: This model allowed us to identify patients at high risk for developing the need for RRT postoperatively. Strategies for these patients to prevent or ameliorate acute renal failure and reduce the need for RRT postoperatively are needed.