Downward myocardial creep during stress PET imaging is inversely associated with mortality.

PURPOSE: The myocardial creep is a phenomenon in which the heart moves from its original position during stress-dynamic PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) that can confound myocardial blood flow measurements. Therefore, myocardial motion correction is important to obtain reliable myocardial flow quantification. However, the clinical importance of the magnitude of myocardial creep has not been explored. We aimed to explore the prognostic value of myocardial creep quantified by an automated motion correction algorithm beyond traditional PET-MPI imaging variables. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing regadenoson rest-stress [82Rb]Cl PET-MPI were included. A newly developed 3D motion correction algorithm quantified myocardial creep, the maximum motion at stress during the first pass (60 s), in each direction. All-cause mortality (ACM) served as the primary endpoint. RESULTS: A total of 4,276 patients (median age 71 years; 60% male) were analyzed, and 1,007 ACM events were documented during a 5-year median follow-up. Processing time for automatic motion correction was < 12 s per patient. Myocardial creep in the superior to inferior (downward) direction was greater than the other directions (median, 4.2 mm vs. 1.3-1.7 mm). Annual mortality rates adjusted for age and sex were reduced with a larger downward creep, with a 4.2-fold ratio between the first (0 mm motion) and 10th decile (11 mm motion) (mortality, 7.9% vs. 1.9%/year). Downward creep was associated with lower ACM after full adjustment for clinical and imaging parameters (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93; 95%CI, 0.91-0.95; p < 0.001). Adding downward creep to the standard PET-MPI imaging model significantly improved ACM prediction (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.790 vs. 0.775; p < 0.001), but other directions did not (p > 0.5). CONCLUSIONS: Downward myocardial creep during regadenoson stress carries additional information for the prediction of ACM beyond conventional flow and perfusion PET-MPI. This novel imaging biomarker is quantified automatically and rapidly from stress dynamic PET-MPI.

Comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for stress single-photon emission computed tomography versus positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: There is currently little information regarding the usage and comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) versus positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) within multimodality imaging laboratories. METHODS: We compared the clinical characteristics and mortality outcomes among 15,718 patients referred for SPECT-MPI and 6202 patients referred for PET-MPI between 2008 and 2017. RESULTS: Approximately two-thirds of MPI studies were performed using SPECT-MPI. The PET-MPI group was substantially older and included more patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension, diabetes, and myocardial ischemia. The annualized mortality rate was also higher in the PET-MPI group, and this difference persisted after propensity matching 3615 SPECT-MPI and 3615 PET-MPI patients to have similar clinical profiles. Among the SPECT-MPI patients, the most potent predictor of mortality was exercise ability and performance, including consideration of patients' mode of stress testing and exercise duration. Among the PET-MPI patients, myocardial flow reserve (MFR) was the most potent predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In our real-world setting, PET-MPI was more commonly employed among older patients with more cardiac risk factors than SPECT-MPI patients. The most potent predictors of mortality in our SPECT and PET-MPI groups were variables exclusive to each test: exercise ability/capacity for SPECT-MPI patients and MFR for PET-MPI patients.

Is typical angina still prognostically important? The influence of "treatment bias" upon prognostic assessments.

BACKGROUND: Since typical angina has become less frequent, it is unclear if this symptom still has prognostic significance. METHODS: We evaluated 38,383 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging followed for a median of 10.9 years. After dividing patients by clinical symptoms, we evaluated the magnitude of myocardial ischemia and subsequent mortality among medically treated versus revascularized subgroups following testing. RESULTS: Patients with typical angina had more frequent and greater ischemia than other symptom groups, but not higher mortality. Among typical angina patients, those who underwent early revascularization had substantially greater ischemia than the medically treated subgroup, including a far higher proportion with severe ischemia (44.9% vs 4.3%, P < 0.001) and transient ischemic dilation of the LV (31.3% vs 4.7%, P < 0.001). Nevertheless, the revascularized typical angina subgroup had a lower adjusted mortality risk than the medically treated subgroup (HR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.57-0.92, P = 0.009) CONCLUSIONS: Typical angina is associated with substantially more ischemia than other clinical symptoms. However, the high referral of patients with typical angina patients with ischemia to early revascularization resulted in this group having a lower rather than higher mortality risk versus other symptom groups. These findings illustrate the need to account for "treatment bias" among prognostic studies.

Use of a Single-item Exercise Questionnaire Predicts Prognostic Risk among Patients undergoing Stress PET-MPI.

BACKGROUND: Exercise activity reduces mortality and favorably influences mediators of risk, including myocardial flow reserve (MFR) and chronotropic responsiveness. Comprehensive research regarding the relationship between exercise activity, MFR, and chronotropic response to pharmacological stress, as assessed by heart rate response (HRR) among patients undergoing PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) has not been performed. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the relationship between exercise activity as assessed by a practical single-item questionnaire, MFR and HRR, and longitudinal clinical risk. METHODS: We studied outpatients who underwent pharmacological stress rubidium-82. PET-MPI and answered a self-reported one-item exercise activity questionnaire (0-10 scale) at the time of PET-MPI. HRR was calculated by the following equation: (stress HR-rest HR)/rest HR*100 (%). The primary outcome was death or myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Of 1,686 patients, 221 (13%) patients had hard events during our mean follow up of 3.8 years. Patients were divided into four groups: no/minimal exercise (n=551), low exercise (n=468), moderate exercise (n=485), and high exercise (n=182) based on the questionnaire. MFR and HRR increased with exercise activity in a stepwise manner. By Cox analysis adjusted for clinical and PET-MPI variables including MFR and HRR, exercise activity was independently associated with hard events (HR [95%CI] per activity scale, 0.95 [0.91-0.99]; p=0.028). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with higher exercise activity assessed by a practical single-item questionnaire had higher MFR and HRR. Exercise activity was an independent predictor of hard events in patients undergoing PET-MPI. Because of its ease of use, this single-item questionnaire should be applied among patients undergoing stress MPI.

Decline in typical angina among patients referred for cardiac stress testing.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate temporal trends in the prevalence of typical angina and its clinical correlates among patients referred for stress/rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We evaluated the prevalence of chest pain symptoms and their relationship to inducible myocardial ischemia among 61,717 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT-MPI between January 2, 1991 and December 31, 2017. We also assessed the relationship between chest pain symptom and angiographic findings among 6,579 patients undergoing coronary CT angiography between 2011 and 2017. RESULTS: The prevalence of typical angina among SPECT-MPI patients declined from 16.2% between 1991 and 1997 to 3.1% between 2011 and 2017, while the prevalence of dyspnea without any chest pain increased from 5.9 to 14.5% over the same period. The frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia declined over time within all symptom groups, but its frequency among current patients (2011-2017) with typical angina was approximately three-fold higher versus other symptom groups (28.4% versus 8.6%, p < 0.001). Overall, patients with typical angina had a higher prevalence of obstructive CAD on CCTA than those with other clinical symptoms, but 33.3% of typical angina patients had no coronary stenoses, 31.1% had 1-49% stenoses, and 35.4% had ≥ 50% stenoses. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of typical angina has declined to a very low level among contemporary patients referred for noninvasive cardiac tests. The angiographic findings among current typical angina patients are now quite heterogeneous, with one-third of such patients having normal coronary angiograms. However, typical angina remains associated with a substantially higher frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia compared to patients with other cardiac symptoms.

Increasing frequency of dyspnea among patients referred for cardiac stress testing.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the frequency, change in prevalence, and prognostic significance of dyspnea among contemporary patients referred for cardiac stress testing. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We evaluated the prevalence of dyspnea and its relationship to all-cause mortality among 33,564 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT-MPI between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2017. Dyspnea was assessed as a single-item question. Patients were divided into three temporal groups. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of dyspnea in our cohort was 30.2%. However, there was a stepwise increase in the temporal prevalence of dyspnea, which was present in 25.6% of patients studied between 2002 and 2006, 30.5% of patients studied between 2007 and 2011, and 38.7% of patients studied between 2012 and 2017. There was a temporal increase in the prevalence of dyspnea in each age, symptom, and risk factor subgroup. The adjusted hazard ratio for mortality was higher among patients with dyspnea vs those without dyspnea both among all patients, and within each chest pain subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Dyspnea has become increasingly prevalent among patients referred for cardiac stress testing and is now present among nearly two-fifths of contemporary cohorts referred for stress-rest SPECT-MPI. Prospective study is needed to standardize the assessment of dyspnea and evaluate the reasons for its increasing prevalence.

Development and validation of ischemia risk scores.

BACKGROUND: The likelihood of ischemia on myocardial perfusion imaging is central to physician decisions regarding test selection, but dedicated risk scores are lacking. We derived and validated two novel ischemia risk scores to support physician decision making. METHODS: Risk scores were derived using 15,186 patients and validated with 2,995 patients from a different center. Logistic regression was used to assess associations with ischemia to derive point-based and calculated ischemia scores. Predictive performance for ischemia was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with the CAD consortium basic and clinical models. RESULTS: During derivation, the calculated ischemia risk score (0.801) had higher AUC compared to the point-based score (0.786, p < 0.001). During validation, the calculated ischemia score (0.716, 95% CI 0.684- 0.748) had higher AUC compared to the point-based ischemia score (0.699, 95% CI 0.666- 0.732, p = 0.016) and the clinical CAD model (AUC 0.667, 95% CI 0.633- 0.701, p = 0.002). Calibration for both ischemia scores was good in both populations (Brier score  < 0.100). CONCLUSIONS: We developed two novel risk scores for predicting probability of ischemia on MPI which demonstrated high accuracy during model derivation and in external testing. These scores could support physician decisions regarding diagnostic testing strategies.

Mortality risk among patients undergoing exercise versus pharmacologic myocardial perfusion imaging: A propensity-based comparison.

BACKGROUND: The increased risk associated with pharmacologic versus exercise testing is obscured by the higher prevalence of clinical risk factors among pharmacologic patients. Thus, we assessed comparative mortality in a large risk factor-matched group of exercise versus pharmacologic patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). METHODS: 39,179 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT-MPI were followed for 13.3 ± 5.0 years for all-cause mortality (ACM). We applied propensity-matching to create pharmacologic and exercise groups with similar risk profiles. RESULTS: In comparison to exercise patients, pharmacologic patients had an increased risk-adjusted hazard ratio for ACM for each level of ischemia: increased by 3.8-fold (95%CI 3.5-4.1) among nonischemic patients, 2.5-fold (95%CI 2.0-3.2) among mildly ischemic patients, and 2.6-fold (95%CI 2.1-3.3) among moderate/severe ischemic patients. Similar findings were observed among a propensity-matched cohort of 10,113 exercise and 10,113 pharmacologic patients as well as in an additional cohort that also excluded patients with noncardiac co-morbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Patients requiring pharmacologic stress testing manifest substantially heightened clinical risk at each level of myocardial ischemia and even when myocardial ischemia is absent. These findings suggest the need to study the pathophysiological drivers of increased risk in association with pharmacologic testing and to convey this risk in clinical reports.

The prevalence and predictors of inducible myocardial ischemia among patients referred for radionuclide stress testing.

BACKGROUND: The frequency of inducible myocardial ischemia has declined in contemporary stress test cohorts, suggesting a need to re-evaluate its optimal use. To-date, however, a comprehensive analysis of the most potent predictors of myocardial ischemia among cardiac stress test patients has not been conducted. METHODS: We assessed 27,615 patients referred for stress-rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging between January 1, 2004 and December 31, 2017. Chi-square analysis was used to ascertain the most potent predictors of ischemia. RESULTS: Among our cohort, CAD status (presence/absence of known CAD), rest left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and typical angina were the most potent predictors of ischemia. The frequency of ischemia was only 6.6% among patients with an LVEF > 55% but 38.1% for patients with LVEF < 45% (P < 0.001). The frequency of myocardial ischemia was fourfold higher among patients with known CAD vs no known CAD (28.0% vs 6.5%, P < 0.001) and approximately threefold higher among patients with typical angina vs patients with atypical symptoms (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of myocardial ischemia varies markedly according to the common clinical parameters and is particularly high among patients with known CAD, low LVEF, and typical angina. These observations may be used to develop more cost-effective strategies for referring patients for cardiac stress testing.

Quantitative Assessment of Cardiac Hypermetabolism and Perfusion for Diagnosis of Cardiac Sarcoidosis.

BACKGROUND: Quantitative assessment of cardiac hypermetabolism from 18Flourodeoxy glucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) may improve diagnosis of cardiac sarcoidosis (CS). We assessed different approaches for quantification of cardiac hypermetabolism and perfusion in patients with suspected CS. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients undergoing 18FDG PET assessment for possible CS between January 2014 and March 2019 were included. Cardiac hypermetabolism was quantified using maximal standardized uptake value (SUVMAX), cardiometabolic activity (CMA) and volume of inflammation, using relative thresholds (1.3× and 1.5× left ventricular blood pool [LVBP] activity), and absolute thresholds (SUVMAX > 2.7 and 4.1). Diagnosis of CS was established using the Japanese Ministry of Health and Wellness criteria. In total, 69 patients were studied, with definite or possible CS in 29(42.0%) patients. CMA above 1.5× LVBP SUVMAX had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC 0.92). Quantitative parameters using relative thresholds had higher AUC compared to absolute thresholds (p < 0.01). Interobserver variability was low for CMA, with excellent agreement regarding absence of activity (Kappa 0.970). CONCLUSIONS: Quantitation with scan-specific thresholds has superior diagnostic accuracy compared to absolute thresholds. Based on the potential clinical benefit, programs should consider quantification of cardiac hypermetabolism when interpreting 18F-FDG PET studies for CS.

From complex data to biological insight: 'DEKER' feature selection and network inference.

Network inference is a valuable approach for gaining mechanistic insight from high-dimensional biological data. Existing methods for network inference focus on ranking all possible relations (edges) among all measured quantities such as genes, proteins, metabolites (features) observed, which yields a dense network that is challenging to interpret. Identifying a sparse, interpretable network using these methods thus requires an error-prone thresholding step which compromises their performance. In this article we propose a new method, DEKER-NET, that addresses this limitation by directly identifying a sparse, interpretable network without thresholding, improving real-world performance. DEKER-NET uses a novel machine learning method for feature selection in an iterative framework for network inference. DEKER-NET is extremely flexible, handling linear and nonlinear relations while making no assumptions about the underlying distribution of data, and is suitable for categorical or continuous variables. We test our method on the Dialogue for Reverse Engineering Assessments and Methods (DREAM) challenge data, demonstrating that it can directly identify sparse, interpretable networks without thresholding while maintaining performance comparable to the hypothetical best-case thresholded network of other methods.

CZT camera systems may provide better risk stratification for low-risk patients.

BACKGROUND: The photon sensitivity and spatial resolution of single-photon emission-computed tomography (SPECT) has been significantly improved by solid-state camera systems using cadmium zinc telluride (CZT) detectors. While the diagnostic accuracy of these systems is well established, there is little evidence directly comparing the prognostic utility to conventional NaI cameras. METHODS AND RESULTS: Retrospective analysis of patients undergoing SPECT between 2008 and 2012. Visual SPECT assessment was performed utilizing the 17-segment model to determine summed stress scores (SSS). We identified 12,830 consecutive patients, mean age 63.2 ± 13.7 and 56.1% male, 5072 of whom underwent CZT and 7758 NaI imaging. During a median follow-up duration of 7.0 years (IQR 5.5-8.2), a total of 2788 (21.7%) patients died. Compared to SSS 0, minimal perfusion abnormality (SSS 1-3) was associated with increased all-cause mortality with CZT camera (adjusted HR 1.32, P = .017) and NaI camera (adjusted HR 1.29, P = .001, interaction P = .803). Increasing stress abnormality was associated with a similar increase in risk with CZT or NaI imaging (interaction P > .500). In a propensity matched analysis, patients with normal perfusion stress perfusion assessed with a CZT was associated with decreased mortality compared to normal perfusion assessed by a NaI camera system (hazard ratio .88, 95% CI .78-.99, P = .040). CONCLUSIONS: Increasing stress perfusion abnormality was associated with similar increase in all-cause mortality with CZT or NaI cameras. CZT and NaI camera systems provide similar risk stratification, however, normal myocardial perfusion may be associated with a more benign prognosis when assessed with a CZT camera system.

Simultaneous Tc-99m PYP/Tl-201 dual-isotope SPECT myocardial imaging in patients with suspected cardiac amyloidosis.

INTRODUCTION: Assessment of myocardial uptake of Tc-99m-pyrophosphate (Tc-99m PYP) is pivotal in distinguishing transthyretin-associated cardiac amyloidosis (ATTR) from light chain amyloid (AL). It is often difficult to differentiate myocardial uptake from blood pool radioactivity with planar imaging or SPECT. We studied whether simultaneous dual-isotope Tc-99m PYP/Tl-201 SPECT improves assessment of Tc-99m PYP uptake compared to single-isotope SPECT. METHODS: Simultaneous Tc-99m PYP/Tl-201 dual-isotope SPECT was acquired in 112 patients studied for possible cardiac amyloidosis. Visual interpretation was performed by two observers on single-isotope followed by dual-isotope SPECT. Heart-to-contralateral lung ratio (H/CL) of myocardial counts quantified by single-isotope and dual-isotope SPECT was compared between ATTR, AL, and no amyloidosis groups. RESULTS: In 112 patients (39 ATTR and 26 AL patients, and 47 no amyloidosis), a lower proportion of no amyloidosis and AL patients were classified visually as equivocal with dual-isotope SPECT compared to single-isotope SPECT (2% vs 19%, P = 0.02 and 8% vs 35%, P = 0.04, respectively). H/CL measurements with single-isotope and dual-isotope were lower in AL and no amyloidosis patients vs ATTR patients (P < 0.05). Interobserver agreement of visual assessment was improved with dual-isotope SPECT (P = 0.03). AUCs for detection of ATTR by visual assessment and H/CL quantification were higher with dual-isotope (0.94 and 0.95, respectively) compared to single-isotope SPECT (0.84, P = 0.001 and 0.92, P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Tc-99m PYP/Tl-201 SPECT improves visual differentiation of ATTR and AL amyloidosis compared to single-isotope SPECT. Visual assessment and H/CL quantitation with dual-isotope SPECT provide similar discrimination between patients with ATTR and AL amyloidosis.

Predicting Pattern Formation in Multilayer Networks.

We investigate how the structure of interactions between coupled oscillators influences the formation of asynchronous patterns in a multilayer network by formulating a simple, general multilayer oscillator model. We demonstrate the analysis of this model in three-oscillator systems, illustrating the role of interactions among oscillators in sustaining differences in both the phase and amplitude of oscillations leading to the formation of asynchronous patterns. Finally, we demonstrate the generalizability of our model's predictions through comparison with a more realistic multilayer model. Overall, our model provides a useful approach for predicting the types of asynchronous patterns that multilayer networks of coupled oscillators which cannot be achieved by the existing methods which focus on characterizing the synchronous state.

Safe and competent opioid prescribing education: Increasing dissemination with a train-the-trainer program.

BACKGROUND: Due to the high prevalence of prescription opioid misuse, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) mandated a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) requiring manufacturers of extended-release/long-acting (ER/LA) opioids to fund continuing education based on an FDA curricular Blueprint. This paper describes the Safe and Competent Opioid Prescribing Education (SCOPE of Pain) train-the-trainer program and its impact on (1) disseminating the SCOPE of Pain curriculum and (2) knowledge, confidence, attitudes, and performance of the participants of trainer-led compared with expert-led meetings. METHODS: SCOPE of Pain is a 3-hour ER/LA opioid REMS education. In addition to expert-led live statewide meetings, a 2-hour train-the-trainer (TTT) workshop was developed to increase dissemination nationally. The trainers were expected to conduct SCOPE of Pain meetings at their institutions. Participants of both the trainer-led and expert-led SCOPE of Pain programs were surveyed immediately post and 2 months post meetings to assess improvements in knowledge, confidence, attitudes, and self-reported safe opioid prescribing practices. RESULTS: During 9 months (May 2013 to February 2014), 89 trainers were trained during 9 TTT workshops in 9 states. Over 24 months (May 2013 to April 2015), 33% of the trainers conducted at least 1 SCOPE of Pain training, with a total of 79 meetings that educated 1419 participants. The average number of meetings of those who conducted at least 1 meeting was 2.8 (range: 1-19). The participants of the trainer-led programs were significantly more likely to be practicing in rural settings than those who participated in the expert-led meetings (39% vs. 26%, P < .001). At 2 months post training, there were no significant differences in improvements in participant knowledge, confidence, attitudes, and performance between expert-led and trainer-led meetings. CONCLUSIONS: The SCOPE of Pain TTT program holds promise as an effective dissemination strategy to increase guideline-based safe opioid prescribing knowledge, confidence, attitudes, and self-reported practices.

Predictors of high-risk coronary artery disease in subjects with normal SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: While uncommon, normal stress SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) can be seen in patients with high-risk coronary artery disease (CAD) by invasive coronary angiography (ICA).The predictors of high-risk CAD in patients with normal SPECT-MPI have not been described. METHODS: We studied 580 patients (age 64 ± 12 years, 49% men) without known CAD who underwent stress-gated SPECT-MPI [exercise (41%) or vasodilator (59%)] <2 months before ICA and had summed stress score (SSS) <4. High-risk CAD was defined as 3 vessels with ≥70% stenosis, 2 vessels with ≥70% stenosis including proximal left anterior descending, or left main with ≥50% stenosis. Obstructive non-high-risk CAD was defined by the presence of a ≥70% stenosis but without having other high-risk criteria. Tenfold cross-validated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) estimates were obtained to assess the predictors of high-risk CAD. RESULTS: Forty-two subjects (7.2%) had high-risk CAD and 168 (29.0%) had obstructive non-high-risk CAD. Variables associated with high-risk CAD were pretest probability of CAD ≥66% (Odds ratio [OR] 3.63, 95% CI 1.6-8.3, P = .002), SSS > 0 (OR 7.46, 95% CI 2.6-21.1, P < 0.001), and abnormal TID (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.0-4.5, P = 0.044). When substituted for TID, EF change was also predictive of high-risk CAD (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.9-1.0, P = 0.023). The prevalence of high-risk CAD increased as the number of these predictors increased. In a sub-analysis of patients in whom quantitative total perfusion deficit (TPD) was available, TPD > 0 was also a predictor of high-risk CAD (OR 6.01, 95% CI 1.5-22.2, P = 0.011). CONCLUSION: Several clinical, stress, and SPECT-MPI findings are associated high-risk CAD among patients with normal SPECT-MPI. Consideration of these factors may improve the overall assessment of the likelihood of high-risk CAD in patients undergoing stress SPECT-MPI.

Shifting Thresholds: Rapid Evolution of Migratory Life Histories in Steelhead/Rainbow Trout, Oncorhynchus mykiss.

Expression of phenotypic plasticity depends on reaction norms adapted to historic selective regimes; anthropogenic changes in these selection regimes necessitate contemporary evolution or declines in productivity and possibly extinction. Adaptation of conditional strategies following a change in the selection regime requires evolution of either the environmentally influenced cue (e.g., size-at-age) or the state (e.g., size threshold) at which an individual switches between alternative tactics. Using a population of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) introduced above a barrier waterfall in 1910, we evaluate how the conditional strategy to migrate evolves in response to selection against migration. We created 9 families and 917 offspring from 14 parents collected from the above- and below-barrier populations. After 1 year of common garden-rearing above-barrier offspring were 11% smaller and 32% lighter than below-barrier offspring. Using a novel analytical approach, we estimate that the mean size at which above-barrier fish switch between the resident and migrant tactic is 43% larger than below-barrier fish. As a result, above-barrier fish were 26% less likely to express the migratory tactic. Our results demonstrate how rapid and opposing changes in size-at-age and threshold size contribute to the contemporary evolution of a conditional strategy and indicate that migratory barriers may elicit rapid evolution toward the resident life history on timescales relevant for conservation and management of conditionally migratory species.

SCOPE of Pain: An Evaluation of an Opioid Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy Continuing Education Program.

OBJECTIVE: Due to the high prevalence of prescription opioid misuse, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) mandated a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) requiring manufacturers of extended-release/long-acting (ER/LA) opioid analgesics to fund continuing education based on a FDA Blueprint. This article describes the Safe and Competent Opioid Prescribing Education (SCOPE of Pain) program, an ER/LA opioid analgesic REMS program, and its impact on clinician knowledge, confidence, attitudes, and self-reported clinical practice. METHOD: Participants of the 3-h SCOPE of Pain training completed pre-, immediate post- and 2-month post-assessments. SUBJECTS: The primary target group (n = 2,850), and a subset (n = 476) who completed a 2-month post-assessment, consisted of clinicians licensed to prescribe ER/LA opioid analgesics, who care for patients with chronic pain and who completed the 3-h training between February 28, 2013 and June 13, 2014. RESULTS: Immediately post-program, there was a significant increase in correct responses to knowledge questions (60% to 84%, P ≤ 0.02) and 87% of participants planned to make practice changes. At 2-months post-program, there continued to be a significant increase in correct responses to knowledge questions (60% to 69%, P ≤ 0.03) and 67% reported increased confidence in applying safe opioid prescribing care and 86% reported implementing practice changes. There was also an improvement in alignment of desired attitudes toward safe opioid prescribing. CONCLUSIONS: The SCOPE of Pain program improved knowledge, attitudes, confidence, and self-reported clinical practice in safe opioid prescribing. This national REMS program holds potential to improve the safe use of opioids for the treatment of chronic pain.

Prediction of revascularization after myocardial perfusion SPECT by machine learning in a large population.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate if early revascularization in patients with suspected coronary artery disease can be effectively predicted by integrating clinical data and quantitative image features derived from perfusion SPECT (MPS) by machine learning (ML) approach. METHODS: 713 rest (201)Thallium/stress (99m)Technetium MPS studies with correlating invasive angiography with 372 revascularization events (275 PCI/97 CABG) within 90 days after MPS (91% within 30 days) were considered. Transient ischemic dilation, stress combined supine/prone total perfusion deficit (TPD), supine rest and stress TPD, exercise ejection fraction, and end-systolic volume, along with clinical parameters including patient gender, history of hypertension and diabetes mellitus, ST-depression on baseline ECG, ECG and clinical response during stress, and post-ECG probability by boosted ensemble ML algorithm (LogitBoost) to predict revascularization events. These features were selected using an automated feature selection algorithm from all available clinical and quantitative data (33 parameters). Tenfold cross-validation was utilized to train and test the prediction model. The prediction of revascularization by ML algorithm was compared to standalone measures of perfusion and visual analysis by two experienced readers utilizing all imaging, quantitative, and clinical data. RESULTS: The sensitivity of machine learning (ML) (73.6% ± 4.3%) for prediction of revascularization was similar to one reader (73.9% ± 4.6%) and standalone measures of perfusion (75.5% ± 4.5%). The specificity of ML (74.7% ± 4.2%) was also better than both expert readers (67.2% ± 4.9% and 66.0% ± 5.0%, P < .05), but was similar to ischemic TPD (68.3% ± 4.9%, P < .05). The receiver operator characteristics areas under curve for ML (0.81 ± 0.02) was similar to reader 1 (0.81 ± 0.02) but superior to reader 2 (0.72 ± 0.02, P < .01) and standalone measure of perfusion (0.77 ± 0.02, P < .01). CONCLUSION: ML approach is comparable or better than experienced readers in prediction of the early revascularization after MPS, and is significantly better than standalone measures of perfusion derived from MPS.

Automatic registration of misaligned CT attenuation correction maps in Rb-82 PET/CT improves detection of angiographically significant coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate the utility of fully automated software registration intended to improve CT attenuation correction (CTAC) map misalignments during cardiac (82)Rb PET/CT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). METHODS: 171 consecutive patients (108 males, mean age 69 years), undergoing both rest-stress (82)Rb PET/CT MPI and invasive coronary angiography within 6 months (mean 14 days, range 0-170), were studied. List mode data were automatically processed in batch mode to generate transaxial attenuation corrected slices with four different CTAC alignment correction strategies: (i) no alignment correction (NONE); (ii) manual correction (MANUAL); (iii) automated 6-parameter rigid correction (AUTO); and (iv) targeted use of automated correction only where PET-CTAC alignment was initially judged as incorrect on either stress or rest scan (AUTO for misalignment only). Initial and final registration quality was graded (1-3) by an experienced radiologist (1: satisfactory alignment (<2 mm misalignment), 2: slight misalignment (2-5 mm in any direction), or 3: poor (>5 mm misalignment in any direction). Total perfusion deficit (TPD) and ischemic TPD (ITPD) were computed automatically, and their diagnostic accuracy to detect significant coronary artery disease with each realignment technique was assessed using receiver operating characteristic analysis. RESULTS: The diagnostic accuracy of ITPD, expressed as area under curve, was .81 ± .03 with no alignment correction (NONE), .83 ± .03 with MANUAL correction, .85 ± .03 with AUTO correction (P < .05 vs. NONE and MANUAL), and .87 ± .03 with the targeted use of AUTO correction (P < .05 vs. NONE, MANUAL and AUTO). Both manual and software corrections increased the percentage of cases with satisfactory PET-CTAC map alignment (P < .05 for all) at rest (from 55% for NONE to 80% for MANUAL and 92% for AUTO) and at stress (from 51% for NONE to 78% for MANUAL and 84% for AUTO). CONCLUSION: The diagnostic accuracy of (82)Rb PET/CT MPI with automated rigid alignment is improved compared to data with no CTAC scan alignment or with manual alignment. The optimal strategy for diagnostic performance is to apply automatic alignment only in cases which are visually identified as misaligned.