Estimating the true prevalence of Mycobacterium bovis in free-ranging elk in Michigan.

Although relatively small, Michigan's elk (Cervus elaphus nelsoni) herd is highly valued by both hunters and the general public. Elk and red deer (Cervus elaphus elaphus) are highly susceptible to infection with Mycobacterium bovis, the causative agent of bovine tuberculosis (TB), and outbreaks have been documented worldwide. The Michigan elk range lies entirely within counties where TB is known to be enzootic in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus). Consequently, a project was undertaken to estimate the true prevalence of TB in Michigan's free-ranging elk herd. All elk harvested by licensed hunters during 2002-2004, and all nonharvest elk mortalities examined by the Michigan Department of Natural Resources Wildlife Disease Laboratory from November 2002-May 2005, were screened for gross lesions of TB with samples of cranial lymph nodes and palatine tonsils collected for histopathology and mycobacterial culture. In all, 334 elk were included in the study. Twenty-three elk with gross lesions were considered TB suspects; all were culture-negative for M. bovis. However, M. bovis was cultured from two elk without gross lesions. The sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value of the current TB surveillance protocol were 0%, 100%, and 99.4%, respectively, while the apparent prevalence and true prevalence calculated directly from the sample were 0% and 0.6%, respectively. The positive predictive value and the estimated true prevalence of the population were undefined. The poor sensitivity of current surveillance was likely an artifact of its application to a relatively small sample, in order to detect a disease present at very low prevalence. The low prevalence of TB in Michigan elk, and the early stage of pathogenesis of the few infected animals, does not suggest elk are maintenance hosts at the present time.

An outbreak of Eastern equine encephalitis virus in free-ranging white-tailed deer in Michigan.

Eastern equine encephalitis (EEE) virus has been recognized as affecting horses and humans in the eastern United States for 70 yr. Evidence of exposure with EEE virus has been reported in a variety of free-ranging wild birds and mammals but cases of clinical disease are much less commonly reported. In Michigan, reports of outbreaks of EEE virus in equine species extend back more than a half century. We report diagnosis of EEE virus infection of multiple free-ranging white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) from three Michigan counties during late summer of 2005. Infection was confirmed in seven of 30 deer collected based on reported neurologic signs and results from immunohistochemistry, polymerase chain reaction, and/or virus isolation. One of the deer also was infected with West Nile virus and an eighth deer had microscopic lesions in the cerebrum consistent with those reported for EEE. To our knowledge, this is the first report of multiple cases of EEE in free-ranging white-tailed deer, and highlights several issues of significance to wildlife managers and public health officials.

Epidemiology of Mycobacterium bovis in free-ranging white-tailed deer, Michigan, USA, 1995-2000.

An endemic area of bovine tuberculosis (TB) (Mycobacterium bovis) currently affecting wild white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) in northern lower Michigan, USA, constitutes the first self-sustaining outbreak of the infection in free-ranging North American cervids. Given this precedent, epidemiologic insights gained from the outbreak afford the opportunity to guide not only current surveillance and intervention but also control efforts for future outbreaks involving wildlife reservoirs. Our specific objectives were to evaluate retrospective data from field surveillance conducted from 1995 to 2000 to determine apparent prevalence, trends in apparent prevalence, and the effects of various factors on the odds of being M. bovis positive. Data were gathered from post-mortem examinations of 62,560 wild deer collected from all 83 Michigan counties. Records of survey method, sex, age, geographic area and infection status as determined by mycobacterial culture were subjected to trend analysis and multivariable logistic regression. Apparent prevalence for the period was 0.54% (336/62,560) statewide. Prevalence varied widely with geographic area, but significantly decreased since 1995 in the core area of the outbreak-which coincided with implementation of control strategies. Significant risk factors were geographic area, sex, age, and the sex-by-age interaction. The survey method by which deer were obtained for testing was not a predictor of infection. Our results to date suggest an outbreak characterized by broad areas of very low prevalence surrounding focal areas where prevalence is sometimes orders-of-magnitude higher (e.g., deer originating from the core area were up to 147 times more likely to be TB positive than deer from other areas). Our results also identify older male deer as most likely to be M. bovis positive (OR=11.3, 95% CI 3.2, 40.3 for bucks > or =5 years vs. does < or =1.5 years)-an observation consistent with the biology and behavior of the species. Synthesizing these results with those of other ongoing investigations, we hypothesize a two-stage model of disease transmission where TB is maintained at very low prevalence in matriarchal groups, with primary dissemination of the disease attributable to the dispersal and movements of bucks (as well as to the large aggregations of animals created by human activities).