Clinical characteristics and in-hospital outcomes associated with RSV-ALRI compared to other viral ALRI in hospitalised children under two years old.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of acute lower respiratory infections (ALRIs) associated hospitalisations in children. It is unclear if hospitalized RSV-ALRI differs in clinically from other viral ALRIs. We aimed to compare the disease impact of hospitalised RSV with other viral ALRI in children under 2 years. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using electronic medical records of children under 2 hospitalized with ALRIs at Sydney Children's Hospitals Network from 2020-2022. We compared demographics and clinical features between RSV-positive and RSV-negative (positive for other viruses) cases. Poisson quasi-likelihood regression was used to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) for three in-hospital outcomes: length of stay, need for respiratory support and intensive care. RESULTS: We examined 330 children under 2 years hospitalized with RSV-positive ALRIs and 330 with RSV-negative ALRIs (positive for other viruses). RSV-positive cases were older (12 vs. 8 months, p<0.001) and more often presented with cough (99% vs. 92%), fever (80% vs. 58%), crackles (89% vs. 76%), hypoxia (50% vs. 36%), and lethargy (36% vs. 20%). They were also more likely to undergo chest x-rays (74% vs. 49%) and receive antibiotics (65% vs. 35%). Adjusted analysis showed RSV-positive children had a higher likelihood of LOS > 2 days (aPR 1.95, 95% CI 1.14-3.36).). However, there were no differences in the need for intensive care or respiratory support. CONCLUSION: Children with RSV-ALRI exhibited more severe symptoms, received more antibiotics, and had longer hospital stays compared to those with other viral ALRIs, underscoring the need for effective prevention and treatment strategies for RSV.

Advancing One human-animal-environment Health for global health security: what does the evidence say?

In this Series paper, we review the contributions of One Health approaches (ie, at the human-animal-environment interface) to improve global health security across a range of health hazards and we summarise contemporary evidence of incremental benefits of a One Health approach. We assessed how One Health approaches were reported to the Food and Agricultural Organization of the UN, the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH, formerly OIE), and WHO, within the monitoring and assessment frameworks, including WHO International Health Regulations (2005) and WOAH Performance of Veterinary Services. We reviewed One Health theoretical foundations, methods, and case studies. Examples from joint health services and infrastructure, surveillance-response systems, surveillance of antimicrobial resistance, food safety and security, environmental hazards, water and sanitation, and zoonoses control clearly show incremental benefits of One Health approaches. One Health approaches appear to be most effective and sustainable in the prevention, preparedness, and early detection and investigation of evolving risks and hazards; the evidence base for their application is strongest in the control of endemic and neglected tropical diseases. For benefits to be maximised and extended, improved One Health operationalisation is needed by strengthening multisectoral coordination mechanisms at national, regional, and global levels.

Asthma-community acquired pneumonia co-diagnosis in children: a scoping review.

OBJECTIVE: This scoping review investigated the existing literature and identified the evidence gaps related to diagnosis and management in children aged 2-18 years presenting to hospitals with a co-diagnosis of asthma and community-acquired pneumonia. DATA SOURCES: We designed a scoping review following Arksey and O'Malley's scoping review framework and PRISMA extension for a scoping review. We searched literature using five electronic databases: PubMed, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase from 2003 to June 2023. RESULTS: A total of 1599 abstracts with titles were screened and 12 abstracts were selected for full review. Separate guidelines including Modified Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) guidelines; modified Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) guidelines; and a consensus guideline developed by the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society (PIDS) and Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) were used for diagnosing asthma and CAP individually. Chest X-rays were used in 83.3% (10/12) of studies to establish the co-diagnosis of asthma-CAP in children. Variations were observed in using different laboratory investigations across the studies. Infectious etiologies were detected in five (41.7%) studies. In 75% (9/12) of studies, children with asthma-CAP co-diagnosis were treated with antimicrobials, however, bacterial etiology was not reported in 44.4% (4/9) of the studies. CONCLUSIONS: Our scoping review suggests that chest X-rays are commonly used to establish the co-diagnosis of asthma-CAP and antibiotics are often used without laboratory confirmation of a bacterial etiology. Clinical practice guidelines for the management of asthma and pneumonia in children who present with co-diagnosis may standardize clinical care and reduce variation.

Parental Perceptions and Knowledge towards Asthma Action Plans.

INTRODUCTION: Personalised Asthma Action Plans (AAPs) are a cornerstone of paediatric asthma management. We aimed to assess parental knowledge and perceptions of the use of AAPs in managing their child's asthma. METHODS: In 2023 we conducted a cross-sectional survey to assess knowledge and perceptions of AAPs in parents/caregivers of children aged 0-17 years with asthma who had an AAP and attended respiratory clinics at Sydney Children's Hospital, Randwick. The questionnaire included parental perceptions on the utility of AAPs, parental asthma management self-efficacy (PAMSE), and an adapted version of the Asthma Action Plan Knowledge Interview tool (AAPKI). Descriptive statistics and regression analyses were used to assess associations between AAPKI, PAMSE and other outcomes. RESULTS: Seventy-one parents completed the survey. Mean PAMSE score was 4.2/5 (SD 0.5). Median AAPKI score was 70.2% out of 100% (IQR 20.4%). Most parents (80.0%, n = 56) were satisfied/very satisfied with using AAPs to manage their child's asthma. Most agreed/strongly agreed that AAPs were helpful in knowing when to seek medical attention for their child's asthma (81.7%, n = 58), helped their understanding of asthma severity (81.7%, n = 58), and increased their confidence in asthma management (76.0%, n = 54). Over half of parents (55.7%, n = 39) would prefer AAPs digitally and majority (78.6%, n = 55) would like colour-coded AAPs. CONCLUSION: High levels of AAP knowledge and self-efficacy scores were demonstrated. Most parents expressed understanding of the benefits of AAPs. Our findings suggest parents of children with asthma prefer AAPs in colour and in digital version which may help guide standardisation of AAPs across Australia.

Accuracy of Mothers' Perception of Birth Size to Predict Birth Weight Data in Bangladesh.

OBJECTIVES: The prevalence of low birth weight (LBW) is an important indicator of child health and wellbeing. However, in many countries, decisions regarding care and treatment are often based on mothers' perceptions of their children's birth size due to a lack of objective birth weight data. Additionally, birth weight data that is self-reported or recorded often encounters the issue of heaping. This study assesses the concordance between the perceived birth size and the reported or recorded birth weight. We also investigate how the presence of heaped birth weight data affects this concordance, as well as the relationship between concordance and various sociodemographic factors. METHODS: We examined 4,641 birth records reported in the 2019 Bangladesh Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey. The sensitivity-specificity analysis was performed to assess perceived birth size's ability to predict LBW, while Cohen's Kappa statistic assessed reliability. We used the kernel smoothing technique to correct heaping of birth weight data, as well as a multivariable multinomial logistic model to assess factors associated with concordance. RESULTS: Maternally-perceived birth size exhibited a low sensitivity (63.5%) and positive predictive value (52.6%) for predicting LBW, but a high specificity (90.1%) and negative predictive value (93.4%). There was 86.1% agreement between birth size and birth weight-based classifications (Kappa = 0.49, indicating moderate agreement). Smoothed birth weight data did not improve agreement (83.4%, Kappa = 0.45). Of the sociodemographic factors, early marriage was positively associated with discordance (i.e., overestimation). CONCLUSIONS: An important consideration when calculating the LBW prevalence is that maternally perceived birth size is not an optimal proxy for birth weight. Focus should be placed on encouraging institutional births and educating community health workers and young mothers about the significance of measuring and recording birth weight.

The impact of childhood asthma on academic performance: A matched population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is inconclusive evidence of the effect of asthma on the academic performance of young people. This study aims to compare scholastic performance and high school completion of young people hospitalized with asthma compared to matched peers not hospitalized with asthma. METHOD: A population-based matched case-comparison cohort study of young people aged ≤18 years hospitalized for asthma during 2005-2018 in New South Wales, Australia using linked birth, health, education and mortality records. The comparison cohort was matched on age, gender and residential postcode. Generalized linear mixed-modelling examined risk of school performance below the national minimum standard (NMS) and generalized linear regression examined risk of not completing high school for young people hospitalized with asthma compared to matched peers. RESULTS: Young males hospitalized with asthma had a 13% and 15% higher risk of not achieving the NMS for numeracy (95%CI 1.04-1.22) and reading (95%CI 1.07-1.23), respectively, compared to peers. Young males hospitalized with asthma had a 51% (95%CI 1.22-1.86) higher risk of not completing year 10, and around a 20% higher risk of not completing year 11 (ARR: 1.25; 95%CI 1.15-1.36) or year 12 (ARR: 1.27; 95%CI 1.17-1.39) compared to peers. Young females hospitalized with asthma showed no difference in achieving numeracy or reading NMSs, but did have a 21% higher risk of not completing year 11 (95%CI 1.09-1.36) and a 33% higher risk of not completing year 12 (95%CI 1.19-1.49) compared to peers. CONCLUSIONS: Educational attainment is worse for young people hospitalized with asthma compared to matched peers. Early intervention and strategies for better management of asthma symptoms may enhance academic performance for students.

Transplacental transfer of RSV antibody in Australian First Nations infants.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of acute lower respiratory infection hospitalisations in Aboriginal infants specifically those aged <6 months. Maternally derived RSV antibody (Ab) can protect against severe RSV disease in infancy. However, the efficiency of transplacental transfer of maternal anti-RSV Ab remains unknown in Aboriginal infants. We characterised RSV Ab in Australian First Nations mother-infant pairs (n = 78). We investigated impact of covariates including low birthweight, gestational age (GA), sex of the baby, maternal age and multiparity of the mother on cord to maternal anti-RSV Ab titre ratio (CMTR) using multivariable logistic regression model. All (n = 78) but one infant was born full term (median GA: 39 weeks, interquartile range: 38-40 weeks) and 56% were males. The mean log2 RSV Ab titre was 10.7 (SD± 1.3) in maternal serum and 11.0 (SD ± 1.3) in cord serum at birth; a ratio of 1.02 (SD ± 0.06). One-third of the pairs had a CMTR of <1 indicating impaired transfer. Almost 9% (7/78) of the term infants had cord RSV Ab levels below

Development and validation of a risk score to identify children at risk of life-threatening asthma.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a prediction risk score for identification of children at risk of developing life-threatening asthma (LTA). METHODS: Our study utilized existing medical records and retrospective analysis to develop and validate a risk score. The study population included children aged 2-17 years, admitted with a primary diagnosis of asthma, to Sydney Children's Hospital between 2011-2016. Children admitted in the intensive care unit with asthma at risk of LTA (cases) and those admitted into general ward (comparison group), were randomly divided into a derivation and a validation cohort. Candidate predictors from derivation cohort were selected through multivariable regression, which were used to estimate each child's risk of developing LTA in the validation cohort. Predictive performance of the risk score was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. RESULTS: The study population comprised of 1171 children; 586 in the derivation and 585 in the validation cohort. Four independent candidate variables from derivation cohort (age at admission, socioeconomic status, a family history of asthma/atopy and previous asthma hospitalizations) were retained in the predictive model (AUROC 0.759; 95% CI, 0.694-0.823), with a sensitivity of 78.5% and specificity of 46.6%. CONCLUSIONS: Our risk algorithm based on routinely collected clinical data may be used to develop a user-friendly risk score for early identification and monitoring of children at risk of developing LTA.

Hospital service use for young people with chronic health conditions: A population-based matched retrospective cohort study.

AIM: This study aims to identify the hospitalised morbidity associated with three common chronic health conditions among young people using a population-based matched cohort. METHODS: A population-level matched case-comparison retrospective cohort study of young people aged ≤18 years hospitalised with asthma, type 1 diabetes (T1D) or epilepsy during 2005-2018 in New South Wales, Australia using linked birth, health and mortality records. The comparison cohort was matched on age, sex and residential postcode. Adjusted rate ratios (ARR) were calculated by sex and age group. RESULTS: There were 65 055 young people hospitalised with asthma, 6648 with epilepsy, and 2209 with T1D. Young people with epilepsy (ARR 10.95; 95% confidence interval (CI) 9.98-12.02), T1D (ARR 8.64; 95% CI 7.72-9.67) or asthma (ARR 4.39; 95% CI 4.26-4.53) all had a higher risk of hospitalisation than matched peers. Admission risk was highest for males (ARR 11.00; 95% CI 9.64-12.56) and females with epilepsy (ARR 10.83; 95% CI 9.54-12.29) compared to peers. The highest admission risk by age group was for young people aged 10-14 years (ARR 5.50; 95% CI 4.77-6.34) living with asthma, children aged ≤4 years (ARR 12.68; 95% CI 11.35-14.17) for those living with epilepsy, and children aged 5-9 years (ARR 9.12; 95% CI 7.69-10.81) for those living with T1D compared to peers. CONCLUSIONS: The results will guide health service planning and highlight opportunities for better management of chronic health conditions, such as further care integration between acute, primary and community health services for young people.

Assessing the impact of the 13 valent pneumococcal vaccine on childhood empyema in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Empyema is a serious complication of pneumonia frequently caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP). We assessed the impact of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (13vPCV) on childhood pneumonia and empyema after inclusion in the Australian National Immunisation Program. METHODS: For bacterial pneumonia and empyema hospitalisations, we ascertained incidence rates (IRs) using the National Hospital Morbidity Database International Statistical Classification of Disease discharge codes and relevant population denominators, and calculated incidence rate ratios (IRR) comparing the 13vPCV period (June 2012-May 2017) with the 7vPCV period (June 2007-May 2011). Blood and pleural fluid (PF) cultures and PF PCR of 401 children with empyema from 11 Australian hospitals during the 13vPCV period were compared with our previous study in the 7vPCV period. FINDINGS: Across 7vPCV and 13vPCV periods, IRs per million children (95% CIs) were 1605 (1588 to 1621) and 1272 (1259 to 1285) for bacterial pneumonia, and 14.23 (12.67 to 15.79) and 17.89 (16.37 to 19.42) for empyema hospitalisations. IRRs were 0.79 (0.78 to 0.80) for bacterial pneumonia and 1.25 (1.09 to 1.44) for empyema. Of 161 empyema cases with SP serotypes, 147 (91.3%) were vaccine types. ST3 accounted for 76.4% of identified serotypes in the 13vPCV period, more than double than the 7vPCV period (p<0.001); ST19A decreased from 36.4% to 12.4%. No cases of ST1 empyema were identified in the 13vPCV period versus 14.5% in the 7vPCV period. INTERPRETATION: 13vPCV resulted in a significant reduction in all-cause hospitalisations for bacterial pneumonia but empyema hospitalisations significantly increased, with emergence of pneumococcal ST3 as the dominant serotype in empyema. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry ACTRN 12614000354684.

Role of technology in improving knowledge and confidence in asthma management in school staff.

Objective: To investigate the effectiveness of technology enabled learning in improving asthma first aid knowledge and self-confidence in providing asthma first aid to children in staff within a school setting. Study Design: A prospective randomized parallel study using a pre and post test design was conducted across Metropolitan schools of New South Wales (NSW), Australia. School staff in selected schools were randomly assigned to receive first aid asthma management training via a self-directed multimedia eBook learning resource or standard face-to-face training. Staff completed a 14 item validated Asthma First Aid Knowledge Questionnaire and a 4 item, 10-point Likert-scale asthma management self-confidence questionnaire immediately pre and post training. Results: 148 school staff from 46 schools were recruited with a total of 59 (78%) staff completing the eBook training and 62 (86%) completing face-to-face training. The mean asthma first aid knowledge score and self-confidence score in managing asthma increased significantly (p < 0.0001) in the eBook training group post training. There was no significant difference in the increase in the mean scores post training between the eBook and face-to-face training groups (p = 0.11). Conclusion: Asthma management knowledge and self-confidence increased in school staff following the eBook training. In school settings where human resources for health education are limited, technology enabled learning may be substituted to provide a self-directed approach to asthma first aid management training.

Assessing appropriateness of paediatric asthma management: A population-based sample survey.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We conducted a comprehensive assessment of guideline adherence in paediatric asthma care, including inpatient and ambulatory services, in Australia. METHODS: National and international clinical practice guidelines (CPG) relating to asthma in children were searched and 39 medical record audit indicator questions were developed. Retrospective medical record review was conducted across hospital inpatient admissions, emergency department (ED) presentations, general practice (GP) and paediatrician consultations in three Australian states for children aged ≤15 years receiving care in 2012 and 2013. Eligibility of, and adherence to, indicators was assessed from medical records by nine experienced and purpose-trained paediatric nurses (surveyors). RESULTS: Surveyors conducted 18 453 asthma indicator assessments across 1600 visits for 881 children in 129 locations. Overall, the adherence for asthma care across the 39 indicators was 58.1%, with 54.4% adherence at GP (95% CI: 46.0-62.5), 77.7% by paediatricians (95% CI: 40.5-97.0), 79.9% in ED (95% CI: 70.6-87.3) and 85.1% for inpatient care (95% CI: 76.7-91.5). For 14 acute asthma indicators, overall adherence was 56.3% (95% CI: 47.6-64.7). Lowest adherences were for recording all four types of vital signs in children aged >2 years presenting with asthma attack (15.1%, 95% CI: 8.7-23.7), and reviewing patients' compliance, inhaler technique and triggers prior to commencing a new drug therapy (20.5%, 95% CI: 10.1-34.8). CONCLUSION: The study demonstrated differences between existing care and CPG recommendations for paediatric asthma care in Australia. Evidence-based interventions to improve adherence to CPG may help to standardize quality of paediatric asthma care and reduce variation of care.

Probiotics for people with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a multisystem disease and the importance of growth and nutrition has been well established, given its implications for lung function and overall survival. It has been established that intestinal dysbiosis (i.e. microbial imbalance) and inflammation is present in people with CF. Probiotics are commercially available (over-the-counter) and may improve both intestinal and overall health. OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and safety of probiotics for improving health outcomes in children and adults with CF. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis Trials Register, compiled from electronic database searches and handsearching of journals and conference abstract books. Date of last register search: 20 January 2020. We also searched ongoing trials registries and the reference lists of relevant articles and reviews. Date of last search: 29 January 2019. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised or quasi-randomised controlled trials (RCTs) assessing efficacies and safety of probiotics in children and adults with CF. Cross-over RCTs with a washout phase were included and for those without a washout period, only the first phase of each trial was analysed. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We independently extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of the included trials; we used GRADE to assess the certainty of the evidence. We contacted trial authors for additional data. Meta-analyses were undertaken on outcomes at several time points. MAIN RESULTS: We identified 17 trials and included 12 RCTs (11 completed and one trial protocol - this trial was terminated early) (464 participants). Eight trials included only children, whilst four trials included both children and adults. Trial duration ranged from one to 12 months. Nine trials compared a probiotic (seven single strain and three multistrain preparations) with a placebo preparation, two trials compared a synbiotic (multistrain) with a placebo preparation and one trial compared two probiotic preparations. Overall we judged the risk of bias in the 12 trials to be low. Three trials had a high risk of performance bias, two trials a high risk of attrition bias and six trials a high risk of reporting bias. Only two trials were judged to have low or unclear risk of bias for all domains. Four trials were sponsored by grants only, two trials by industry only, two trials by both grants and industry and three trials had an unknown funding source. Combined data from four trials (225 participants) suggested probiotics may reduce the number of pulmonary exacerbations during a four to 12 month time-frame, mean difference (MD) -0.32 episodes per participant (95% confidence interval (CI) -0.68 to 0.03; P = 0.07) (low-certainty evidence); however, the 95% CI includes the possibility of both an increased and a reduced number of exacerbations. Additionally, two trials (127 participants) found no evidence of an effect on the duration of antibiotic therapy during the same time period. Combined data from four trials (177 participants) demonstrated probiotics may reduce faecal calprotectin, MD -47.4 µg/g (95% CI -93.28 to -1.54; P = 0.04) (low-certainty evidence), but the results for other biomarkers mainly did not show any difference between probiotics and placebo. Two trials (91 participants) found no evidence of effect on height, weight or body mass index (low-certainty evidence). Combined data from five trials (284 participants) suggested there was no difference in lung function (forced expiratory volume at one second (FEV1) % predicted) during a three- to 12-month time frame, MD 1.36% (95% CI -1.20 to 3.91; P = 0.30) (low-certainty evidence). Combined data from two trials (115 participants) suggested there was no difference in hospitalisation rates during a three- to 12-month time frame, MD -0.44 admissions per participant (95% CI -1.41 to 0.54; P = 0.38) (low-certainty evidence). One trial (37 participants) reported health-related quality of life and while the parent report favoured probiotics, SMD 0.87 (95% CI 0.19 to 1.55) the child self-report did not identify any effect, SMD 0.59 (95% CI -0.07 to 1.26) (low-certainty evidence). There were limited results for gastrointestinal symptoms and intestinal microbial profile which were not analysable. Only four trials and one trial protocol (298 participants) reported adverse events as a priori hypotheses. No trials reported any deaths. One terminated trial (12 participants and available as a protocol only) reported a severe allergic reaction (severe urticaria) for one participant in the probiotic group. Two trials reported a single adverse event each (vomiting in one child and diarrhoea in one child). The estimated number needed to harm for any adverse reaction (serious or not) is 52 people (low-certainty evidence). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Probiotics significantly reduce faecal calprotectin (a marker of intestinal inflammation) in children and adults with CF, however the clinical implications of this require further investigation. Probiotics may make little or no difference to pulmonary exacerbation rates, however, further evidence is required before firm conclusions can be made. Probiotics are associated with a small number of adverse events including vomiting, diarrhoea and allergic reactions. In children and adults with CF, probiotics may be considered by patients and their healthcare providers. Given the variability of probiotic composition and dosage, further adequately-powered multicentre RCTs of at least 12 months duration are required to best assess the efficacy and safety of probiotics for children and adults with CF.

Assessing the appropriateness of paediatric antibiotic overuse in Australian children: a population-based sample survey.

BACKGROUND: Infections caused by antibiotic resistant pathogens are increasing, with antibiotic overuse a key contributing factor. OBJECTIVE: The CareTrack Kids (CTK) team assessed the care of children in Australia aged 0-15 years in 2012 and 2013 to determine the proportion of care in line with clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) for 17 common conditions. This study analyses indicators relating to paediatric antibiotic overuse to identify those which should be prioritised by antimicrobial stewardship and clinical improvement programs. METHOD: A systematic search was undertaken for national and international CPGs relevant to 17 target conditions for Australian paediatric care in 2012-2013. Recommendations were screened and ratified by reviewers. The sampling frame comprised three states containing 60% of the Australian paediatric population (South Australia, New South Wales and Queensland). Multi-stage cluster sampling was used to select general practices, specialist paediatric practices, emergency departments and hospital inpatient services, and medical records within these. Medical records were reviewed by experienced paediatric nurses, trained to assess eligibility for indicator assessment and compliance with indicators. Adherence rates were estimated. RESULTS: Ten antibiotic overuse indicators were identified; three for tonsillitis and one each for seven other conditions. A total of 2621 children were assessed. Estimated adherence for indicators ranged from 13.8 to 99.5% while the overall estimate of compliance was 61.9% (95% CI: 47.8-74.7). Conditions with high levels of appropriate avoidance of antibiotics were gastroenteritis and atopic eczema without signs of infection, bronchiolitis and croup. Indicators with less than 50% adherence were asthma exacerbation in children aged > 2 years (47.1%; 95% CI: 33.4-61.1), sore throat with no other signs of tonsillitis (40.9%; 95% CI: 16.9, 68.6), acute otitis media in children aged > 12 months who were mildly unwell (13.8%; 95% CI: 5.1, 28.0), and sore throat and associated cough in children aged < 4 years (14.3%; 95% CI: 9.9, 19.7). CONCLUSION: The results of this study identify four candidate indicators (two for tonsillitis, one for otitis media and one for asthma) for monitoring by antibiotic stewardship and clinical improvement programs in ambulatory and hospital paediatric care, and intervention if needed.

Association of Age at First Severe Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease With Subsequent Risk of Severe Asthma: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: In a population-based cohort study, we determined the association between the age at first severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease and subsequent asthma. METHODS: Incidence rates and rate ratios of the first asthma-associated hospitalization after 2 years of age in children hospitalized for RSV disease at <3 months, 3 to <6 months, 6 to <12 months, and 12-24 months of age were calculated. RESULTS: The incidence of asthma-associated hospitalization per 1000 child-years among children hospitalized for RSV disease at <3 months of age was 0.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], .2-.7); at 3 to <6 months of age, 0.9 (95% CI,.5-1.3); at 6 to <12 months of age, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.4-2.7); and at 12-24 months of age, 1.7 (95% CI, 1.0-2.5). The rate ratio of hospitalization for asthma was 2-7-fold greater among children hospitalized for RSV disease at ages ≥6 months than that among those hospitalized for RSV disease at ages 0 to <6 months. CONCLUSIONS: Although the burden of RSV disease is highest in children aged <6 months, the burden of subsequent asthma is higher in children who develop RSV disease at ages ≥6 months.

Respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalisations in Australia, 2006-2015.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate rates of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated hospitalisation across the age spectrum, and to identify groups at particular risk of serious RSV-associated disease. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective review of National Hospital Morbidity Database data for all RSV-associated hospitalisations in Australia, 2006-2015. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: RSV-coded hospitalisation rates by age, sex, Indigenous status, jurisdiction, and seasonality (month and year); hospital length of stay; in-hospital deaths. RESULTS: During 2006-2015, there were 63 814 hospitalisations with an RSV-specific principal diagnostic code; 60 551 (94.9%) were of children under 5 years of age. The hospitalisation rate for children under 5 years was 418 per 100 000 population; for children under 6 months of age it was 2224 per 100 000 population; the highest rate was for infants aged 0-2 months (2778 per 100 000 population). RSV-coded hospitalisation rates were higher for adults aged 65 or more than for people aged 5-64 years (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 6.6; 95% CI, 6.2-7.1), and were also higher for Indigenous Australians than other Australians (IRR, 3.3; 95% CI, 3.2-3.5). A total of 138 in-hospital deaths were recorded, including 82 of adults aged 65 years or more (59%). CONCLUSIONS: Prevention strategies targeting infants, such as maternal or early infant vaccination, would probably have the greatest impact in reducing RSV disease rates. Further characterisation of RSV disease epidemiology, particularly in older adults and Indigenous Australians, is needed to inform health care strategies.

Gestational Age and Child Development at Age Five in a Population-Based Cohort of Australian Aboriginal and Non-Aboriginal Children.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth and developmental vulnerability are more common in Australian Aboriginal compared with non-Aboriginal children. We quantified how gestational age relates to developmental vulnerability in both populations. METHODS: Perinatal datasets were linked to the Australian Early Development Census (AEDC), which collects data on five domains, including physical, social, emotional, language/cognitive, and general knowledge/communication development. We quantified the risk of developmental vulnerability on ≥1 domains at age 5, according to gestational age and Aboriginality, for 97 989 children born in New South Wales, Australia, who started school in 2009 or 2012. RESULTS: Seven thousand and seventy-nine children (7%) were Aboriginal. Compared with non-Aboriginal children, Aboriginal children were more likely to be preterm (5% vs. 9%), and developmentally vulnerable on ≥1 domains (20% vs. 36%). Overall, the proportion of developmentally vulnerable children decreased with increasing gestational age, from 44% at ≤27 weeks to 20% at 40 weeks. Aboriginal children had higher risks than non-Aboriginal children across the gestational age range, peaking among early term children (risk difference [RD] 19.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 16.3, 21.7; relative risk [RR] 1.91, 95% CI 1.77, 2.06). The relation of gestational age to developmental outcomes was the same in Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal children, and adjustment for socio-economic disadvantage attenuated the risk differences and risk ratios across the gestational age range. CONCLUSIONS: Although the relation of gestational age to developmental vulnerability was similar in Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal children, Aboriginal children had a higher risk of developmental vulnerability at all gestational ages, which was largely accounted for by socio-economic disadvantage.

Mild Respiratory Illness Among Young Children Caused by Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A (H5N1) Virus Infection in Dhaka, Bangladesh, 2011.

Background: In March 2011, a multidisciplinary team investigated 2 human cases of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) virus infection, detected through population-based active surveillance for influenza in Bangladesh, to assess transmission and contain further spread. Methods: We collected clinical and exposure history of the case patients and monitored persons coming within 1 m of a case patient during their infectious period. Nasopharyngeal wash specimens from case patients and contacts were tested with real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction, and virus culture and isolates were characterized. Serum samples were tested with microneutralization and hemagglutination inhibition assays. We tested poultry, wild bird, and environmental samples from case patient households and surrounding areas for influenza viruses. Results: Two previously healthy case patients, aged 13 and 31 months, had influenzalike illness and fully recovered. They had contact with poultry 7 and 10 days before illness onset, respectively. None of their 57 contacts were subsequently ill. Clade 2.2.2.1 highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 viruses were isolated from the case patients and from chicken fecal samples collected at the live bird markets near the patients' dwellings. Conclusion: Identification of H5N1 cases through population-based surveillance suggests possible additional undetected cases throughout Bangladesh and highlights the importance of surveillance for mild respiratory illness among populations frequently exposed to infected poultry.

Evaluating Hospital-Based Surveillance for Outbreak Detection in Bangladesh: Analysis of Healthcare Utilization Data.

BACKGROUND: The International Health Regulations outline core requirements to ensure the detection of public health threats of international concern. Assessing the capacity of surveillance systems to detect these threats is crucial for evaluating a country's ability to meet these requirements. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We propose a framework to evaluate the sensitivity and representativeness of hospital-based surveillance and apply it to severe neurological infectious diseases and fatal respiratory infectious diseases in Bangladesh. We identified cases in selected communities within surveillance hospital catchment areas using key informant and house-to-house surveys and ascertained where cases had sought care. We estimated the probability of surveillance detecting different sized outbreaks by distance from the surveillance hospital and compared characteristics of cases identified in the community and cases attending surveillance hospitals. We estimated that surveillance detected 26% (95% CI 18%-33%) of severe neurological disease cases and 18% (95% CI 16%-21%) of fatal respiratory disease cases residing at 10 km distance from a surveillance hospital. Detection probabilities decreased markedly with distance. The probability of detecting small outbreaks (three cases) dropped below 50% at distances greater than 26 km for severe neurological disease and at distances greater than 7 km for fatal respiratory disease. Characteristics of cases attending surveillance hospitals were largely representative of all cases; however, neurological disease cases aged <5 y or from the lowest socioeconomic group and fatal respiratory disease cases aged ≥60 y were underrepresented. Our estimates of outbreak detection rely on suspected cases that attend a surveillance hospital receiving laboratory confirmation of disease and being reported to the surveillance system. The extent to which this occurs will depend on disease characteristics (e.g., severity and symptom specificity) and surveillance resources. CONCLUSION: We present a new approach to evaluating the sensitivity and representativeness of hospital-based surveillance, making it possible to predict its ability to detect emerging threats.

Respiratory syncytial virus is present in the neonatal intensive care unit.

Nosocomial transmission of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) occurs in children within the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). During peak community RSV transmission, three swabs were collected from the nose, hand and personal clothing of visitors and health care workers (HCW) in NICU once every week for eight weeks. Nasal swabs were collected from every third neonate and from any neonate clinically suspected of having a respiratory infection. Environmental sampling of high touch areas was done once during the study period. All swabs were tested for RSV using real time RT-PCR. There were 173 (519 total) and 109 (327 total) swabs, each of nose, hand and dress from 84 HCWs and 80 visitors respectively and 81 nasal swabs from 55 neonates collected. Thirty five environmental swabs from surfaces of the beds, side tables, counter tops, chairs, tables and computers were collected. Overall 1% of nasal swabs from each of HCWs, visitors and neonates, 4% of dress specimens from visitors and 9% of environmental swabs were positive for RSV-RNA. The results suggest that though the risk for RSV in the NICU remains low, personnel clothing are contaminated with RSV-RNA and may have a role in transmission.