Safety of Switching From a Vitamin K Antagonist to a Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant in Frail Older Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Results of the FRAIL-AF Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: There is ambiguity whether frail patients with atrial fibrillation managed with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) should be switched to a non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant (NOAC). METHODS: We conducted a pragmatic, multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled superiority trial. Older patients with atrial fibrillation living with frailty (≥75 years of age plus a Groningen Frailty Indicator score ≥3) were randomly assigned to switch from international normalized ratio-guided VKA treatment to an NOAC or to continued VKA treatment. Patients with a glomerular filtration rate <30 mL·min-1·1.73 m-2 or with valvular atrial fibrillation were excluded. Follow-up was 12 months. The cause-specific hazard ratio was calculated for occurrence of the primary outcome that was a major or clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding complication, whichever came first, accounting for death as a competing risk. Analyses followed the intention-to-treat principle. Secondary outcomes included thromboembolic events. RESULTS: Between January 2018 and June 2022, a total of 2621 patients were screened for eligibility and 1330 patients were randomly assigned (mean age 83 years, median Groningen Frailty Indicator score 4). After randomization, 6 patients in the switch-to-NOAC arm and 1 patient in the continue-with-VKA arm were excluded due to the presence of exclusion criteria, leaving 662 patients switched from a VKA to an NOAC and 661 patients continued VKAs in the intention-to-treat population. After 163 primary outcome events (101 in the switch arm, 62 in the continue arm), the trial was stopped for futility according to a prespecified futility analysis. The hazard ratio for our primary outcome was 1.69 (95% CI, 1.23-2.32). The hazard ratio for thromboembolic events was 1.26 (95% CI, 0.60-2.61). CONCLUSIONS: Switching international normalized ratio-guided VKA treatment to an NOAC in frail older patients with atrial fibrillation was associated with more bleeding complications compared with continuing VKA treatment, without an associated reduction in thromboembolic complications. REGISTRATION: URL: https://eudract.ema.europa.eu; Unique identifier: 2017-000393-11. URL: https://eudract.ema.europa.eu; Unique identifier: 6721 (FRAIL-AF study).

Standardized Data Elements for Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism: A Consensus Report From the Pulmonary Embolism Research Collaborative.

Recent advances in therapy and the promulgation of multidisciplinary pulmonary embolism teams show great promise to improve management and outcomes of acute pulmonary embolism (PE). However, the absence of randomized evidence and lack of consensus leads to tremendous variations in treatment and compromises the wide implementation of new innovations. Moreover, the changing landscape of health care, where quality, cost, and accountability are increasingly relevant, dictates that a broad spectrum of outcomes of care must be routinely monitored to fully capture the impact of modern PE treatment. We set out to standardize data collection in patients with PE undergoing evaluation and treatment, and thus establish the foundation for an expanding evidence base that will address gaps in evidence and inform future care for acute PE. To do so, >100 international PE thought leaders convened in Washington, DC, in April 2022 to form the Pulmonary Embolism Research Collaborative. Participants included physician experts, key members of the US Food and Drug Administration, patient representatives, and industry leaders. Recognizing the multidisciplinary nature of PE care, the Pulmonary Embolism Research Collaborative was created with representative experts from stakeholder medical subspecialties, including cardiology, pulmonology, vascular medicine, critical care, hematology, cardiac surgery, emergency medicine, hospital medicine, and pharmacology. A list of critical evidence gaps was composed with a matching comprehensive set of standardized data elements; these data points will provide a foundation for productive research, knowledge enhancement, and advancement of clinical care within the field of acute PE, and contribute to answering urgent unmet needs in PE management. Evidence produced through the Pulmonary Embolism Research Collaborative, as it is applied to data collection, promises to provide crucial knowledge that will ultimately produce a robust evidence base that will lead to standardization and harmonization of PE management and improved outcomes.

Safety of treating acute pulmonary embolism at home: an individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Home treatment is considered safe in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) patients selected by a validated triage tool (e.g. simplified PE severity index score or Hestia rule), but there is uncertainty regarding the applicability in underrepresented subgroups. The aim was to evaluate the safety of home treatment by performing an individual patient-level data meta-analysis. METHODS: Ten prospective cohort studies or randomized controlled trials were identified in a systematic search, totalling 2694 PE patients treated at home (discharged within 24 h) and identified by a predefined triage tool. The 14- and 30-day incidences of all-cause mortality and adverse events (combined endpoint of recurrent venous thromboembolism, major bleeding, and/or all-cause mortality) were evaluated. The relative risk (RR) for 14- and 30-day mortalities and adverse events is calculated in subgroups using a random effects model. RESULTS: The 14- and 30-day mortalities were 0.11% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.0-0.24, I2 = 0) and 0.30% (95% CI 0.09-0.51, I2 = 0). The 14- and 30-day incidences of adverse events were 0.56% (95% CI 0.28-0.84, I2 = 0) and 1.2% (95% CI 0.79-1.6, I2 = 0). Cancer was associated with increased 30-day mortality [RR 4.9; 95% prediction interval (PI) 2.7-9.1; I2 = 0]. Pre-existing cardiopulmonary disease, abnormal troponin, and abnormal (N-terminal pro-)B-type natriuretic peptide [(NT-pro)BNP] at presentation were associated with an increased incidence of 14-day adverse events [RR 3.5 (95% PI 1.5-7.9, I2 = 0), 2.5 (95% PI 1.3-4.9, I2 = 0), and 3.9 (95% PI 1.6-9.8, I2 = 0), respectively], but not mortality. At 30 days, cancer, abnormal troponin, and abnormal (NT-pro)BNP were associated with an increased incidence of adverse events [RR 2.7 (95% PI 1.4-5.2, I2 = 0), 2.9 (95% PI 1.5-5.7, I2 = 0), and 3.3 (95% PI 1.6-7.1, I2 = 0), respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of adverse events in home-treated PE patients, selected by a validated triage tool, was very low. Patients with cancer had a three- to five-fold higher incidence of adverse events and death. Patients with increased troponin or (NT-pro)BNP had a three-fold higher risk of adverse events, driven by recurrent venous thromboembolism and bleeding.

Patterns of comorbidities in patients with atrial fibrillation and impact on management and long-term prognosis: an analysis from the Prospective Global GLORIA-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Clinical complexity, as the interaction between ageing, frailty, multimorbidity and polypharmacy, is an increasing concern in patients with AF. There remains uncertainty regarding how combinations of comorbidities influence management and prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to identify phenotypes of AF patients according to comorbidities and to assess associations between comorbidity patterns, drug use and risk of major outcomes. METHODS: From the prospective GLORIA-AF Registry, we performed a latent class analysis based on 18 diseases, encompassing cardiovascular, metabolic, respiratory and other conditions; we then analysed the association between phenotypes of patients and (i) treatments received and (ii) the risk of major outcomes. Primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary exploratory outcomes were also analysed. RESULTS: 32,560 AF patients (mean age 70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.4% females) were included. We identified 6 phenotypes: (i) low complexity (39.2% of patients); (ii) cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (28.2%); (iii) atherosclerotic (10.2%); (iv) thromboembolic (8.1%); (v) cardiometabolic (7.6%) and (vi) high complexity (6.6%). Higher use of oral anticoagulants was found in more complex groups, with highest magnitude observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity phenotypes (odds ratio and 95% confidence interval CI): 1.76 [1.49-2.09] and 1.57 [1.35-1.81], respectively); similar results were observed for beta-blockers and verapamil or diltiazem. We found higher risk of the primary outcome in all phenotypes, except the CV risk factor one, with highest risk observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity groups (hazard ratio and 95%CI: 1.37 [1.13-1.67] and 1.47 [1.24-1.75], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidities influence management and long-term prognosis of patients with AF. Patients with complex phenotypes may require comprehensive and holistic approaches to improve their prognosis.

Optimisation of detecting chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension in acute pulmonary embolism survivors: the InShape IV study.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is often diagnosed late in acute pulmonary embolism survivors: more efficient testing to expedite diagnosis may considerably improve patient outcomes. The InShape II algorithm safely rules out CTEPH (failure rate 0.29%) while requiring echocardiography in only 19% of patients but may be improved by adding detailed reading of the computed tomography pulmonary angiography diagnosing the index pulmonary embolism. METHODS: We evaluated 12 new algorithms, incorporating the CTEPH prediction score, ECG reading, N­terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels and dedicated computed tomography pulmonary angiography reading, in the international InShape II cohort (n=341) and part of the German FOCUS cohort (n=171). Evaluation criteria included failure rate, defined as the incidence of confirmed CTEPH in pulmonary embolism patients in whom echocardiography was deemed unnecessary by the algorithm, and the overall net reclassification index compared to the InShape II algorithm. RESULTS: The algorithm starting with computed tomography pulmonary angiography reading of the index pulmonary embolism for six signs of CTEPH, followed by ECG/N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide level assessment and echocardiography resulted in the most beneficial change compared to InShape II, with a need for echocardiography in 20% (+5%), a failure rate of 0% and a net reclassification index of +3.5%, reflecting improved performance over the InShape II algorithm. In the FOCUS cohort, this approach lowered echocardiography need to 24% (-6%) and missed no CTEPH cases, with a net reclassification index of +6.0%. CONCLUSION: Dedicated computed tomography pulmonary angiography reading of the index pulmonary embolism improved the performance of the InShape II algorithm and may improve the selection of pulmonary embolism survivors who require echocardiography to rule out CTEPH.

The History of Diagnosing Venous Thromboembolism.

An accurate and prompt diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism is important to prevent serious complications and mortality. Because the clinical presentation of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is often nonspecific, objective testing by means of radiological imaging is required to confirm the diagnosis. Historically, a diagnosis of VTE involved invasive imaging techniques like contrast venography or conventional pulmonary angiography. Technological developments toward more accurate and less invasive diagnostics have driven the implementation of a variety of newer technologies over the past decades, as well as the derivation and validation of clinical decision rules (CDRs) that can be used to rule out VTE in combination with D-dimer blood tests. In this narrative review, we provide a historical overview of the most notable developments in the imaging techniques and CDRs for VTE diagnosis.

Increase in venous thromboembolism in SARS-CoV-2 infected lung tissue: proteome analysis of lung parenchyma, isolated endothelium, and thrombi.

AIMS: COVID-19 pneumonia is characterized by an increased rate of deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. To better understand the pathophysiology behind thrombosis in COVID-19, we performed proteomics analysis on SARS-CoV-2 infected lung tissue. METHODS: Liquid chromatography mass spectrometry was performed on SARS-CoV-2 infected postmortem lung tissue samples. Five protein profiling analyses were performed: whole slide lung parenchyma analysis, followed by analysis of isolated thrombi and endothelium, both stratified by disease (COVID-19 versus influenza) and thrombus morphology (embolism versus in situ). Influenza autopsy cases with pulmonary thrombi were used as controls. RESULTS: Compared to influenza controls, both analyses of COVID-19 whole-tissue and isolated endothelium showed upregulation of proteins and pathways related to liver metabolism including urea cycle activation, with arginase being among the top upregulated proteins in COVID-19 lung tissue. Analysis of isolated COVID-19 thrombi showed significant downregulation of pathways related to platelet activation compared to influenza thrombi. Analysis of isolated thrombi based on histomorphology shows that in situ thrombi have significant upregulation of coronavirus pathogenesis proteins. CONCLUSIONS: The decrease in platelet activation pathways in severe COVID-19 thrombi suggests a relative increase in venous thromboembolism, as thrombi from venous origin tend to contain fewer platelets than arterial thrombi. Based on histomorphology, in situ thrombi show upregulation of various proteins related to SARS-CoV-2 pathogenesis compared to thromboemboli, which may indicate increased in situ pulmonary thrombosis in COVID-19. Therefore, this study supports the increase of venous thromboembolism without undercutting the involvement of in situ thrombosis in severe COVID-19.

Residual Risks of Thrombotic Complications in Anticoagulated Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: A Cluster Analysis Approach from the GLORIA-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Assessment of residual thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) prescribed oral anticoagulants (OACs) remains unexplored. We performed hierarchical cluster analysis to identify phenotypic profiles of these patients and their risks of residual thromboembolic events. METHODS: We utilised data from non-valvular AF patients on OACs, as documented in phases II and III of the GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-thrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) registry. We performed a hierarchical cluster analysis to identify distinct phenotypic profiles. We compared the incidence and risks of thromboembolic events (composite of ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack, or systemic embolism) and related outcomes (major bleeding and all-cause death) across the profiles. We determined the optimal number of profiles through visual inspection of the generated dendrograms. RESULTS: We included 22,410 patients (mean age 70 ± 8 years; 56% male), from which five phenotypes were identified: profile 1 ("uncontrolled hypertension"), profile 2 ("young with a history of coronary artery disease"), profile 3 ("young and obese"), profile 4 ("frailty"), and profile 5 ("non-paroxysmal AF with tachycardia"). Profile 4 was associated with the highest rates of thromboembolic events (1.66/100 person-years [95% confidence interval, 1.46-1.89]), major bleeding (1.92/100 person-years [1.70-2.16]), and death (6.02/100 person-years [5.62-6.43]). Profile 3 was associated with the lowest risk across all measured outcomes (thromboembolic events, 0.64 events/100 person-years [0.48-0.82]; major bleeding, 0.83 events/100 person-years [0.65-1.04]; and death, 1.44 events/100 person-years [1.21-1.71]). Profile 1 had a moderate thromboembolic event rate (1.04/100 person-years [0.91-1.08]), while profiles 2 and 5 showed lower rates. CONCLUSIONS: The phenotypic profiles of patients with AF prescribed OACs identified using hierarchical cluster analysis are associated with distinct residual thromboembolic risks and related outcomes. This approach has the potential to enhance patient risk-stratification and holistic approaches to management.

Diabetes mellitus and adverse clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: A report from the GLORIA-AF registry phase III.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM) are both associated with adverse clinical events, but the associations have not been fully elucidated, particularly with concomitant insulin use. This study aimed to analyse the associations between adverse events and DM, as well as adverse events and sole insulin use. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Our analysis included individuals with AF from the prospective Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-Thrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) registry with 3-year follow-up. Outcomes included all-cause death, major bleeding, cardiovascular (CV) death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, thromboembolism and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). RESULTS: A total of 15 861 AF individuals were included (age 70.0 ± 10.2 years; 55% male, 20% Asian), of whom, 3666 had DM (age 70.0 ± 9.5 years ; 59% male, 21% Asian). After adjustment, those with DM had higher risks of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.46, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28-1.66), CV death (HR: 1.53 95% CI: 1.27-1.86), major bleeding (HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01-1.48), MI (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.17-1.94) and MACE (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.23-1.63). Compared to individuals with DM receiving oral hypoglycaemic agents, those receiving insulin alone were associated with increased risks of all-cause death (HR: 2.16, 95% CI: 1.61-2.91), CV death (HR: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.45-3.47), major bleeding (HR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1. 21-2.95), MI (HR: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.31-3.82) and MACE (HR: 2.11, 95% CI: 1.54-2.88). CONCLUSIONS: DM was independently associated with higher risks of all-cause death, CV death, MI, major bleeding and MACE in AF individuals. Individuals receiving insulin alone were associated with higher risks of all-cause death, CV death, MI, major bleeding and MACE.

Antithrombotic Usage, Including Three-Year Outcomes With Dabigatran and Vitamin K Antagonists for Atrial Fibrillation, in Eastern Europe: A Descriptive Analysis From Phase 3 of the GLORIA-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) is a prospective registry of outcomes from patients with newly diagnosed AF at risk of stroke. In the propensity score (PS)-matched global population of phase 3 GLORIA-AF, at 3 years, dabigatran-treated patients experienced reduced risk for major bleeding, and similar risk for stroke and myocardial infarction, compared with vitamin K antagonist (VKA)-treated patients. STUDY QUESTION: Do patients in Eastern Europe benefit from treatment with dabigatran versus VKA? STUDY DESIGN: Descriptive analysis, without PS matching. To contextualize the Eastern Europe results of GLORIA-AF phase 3, we also descriptively analyzed the global population without PS matching. Consecutive patients with newly diagnosed AF and CHA2DS2-VASc-score ≥1 were enrolled until December 2016 in 38 countries (9 in Eastern Europe). MEASURES AND OUTCOMES: Three-year outcomes with dabigatran and VKA. RESULTS: In Eastern Europe, 1341 patients were eligible (6% of patients globally), and incidence rates (per 100 patient-years) for the following outcomes were numerically lower with dabigatran (N = 498) versus VKA (N = 466): major bleeding (0.26 vs. 0.90), all-cause death (2.04 vs. 3.50), and a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, life-threatening bleeding, and vascular death (1.37 vs. 1.92); stroke was comparable (0.51 vs. 0.50). All incidence rates were numerically lower in Eastern Europe versus the global population for both treatments. Chronic concomitant use of high bleeding risk medications (eg, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatories) was lower in Eastern Europe (dabigatran 3.8%, VKA 9.3%) than globally (dabigatran 14.8%, VKA 20.6%) and persistence with dabigatran was higher in Eastern Europe (76%) than globally (64%). CONCLUSIONS: Dabigatran was associated with numerically reduced major bleeding, all-cause death, and cardiovascular (CV) composite, with comparable risk of stroke versus VKA, in Eastern Europe. Limitations of this descriptive analysis include few CV events (n = 11 for stroke, in the dabigatran and VKA groups combined) and a lack of statistical analysis and PS matching, which precludes definitive conclusions; however, the CV outcomes in Eastern Europe were consistent with the beneficial impact of dabigatran versus VKA in the statistically analyzed global population with PS matching.

Prevalence and 3-month follow-up of cerebrovascular MRI markers in hospitalized COVID-19 patients: the CORONIS study.

PURPOSE: To investigate the prevalence of cerebrovascular MRI markers in unselected patients hospitalized for COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease 2019), we compared these with healthy controls without previous SARS-CoV-2 infection or hospitalization and subsequently, investigated longitudinal (incidental) lesions in patients after three months. METHODS: CORONIS (CORONavirus and Ischemic Stroke) was an observational cohort study in adult hospitalized patients for COVID-19 and controls without COVID-19, conducted between April 2021 and September 2022. Brain MRI was performed shortly after discharge and after 3 months. Outcomes included recent ischemic (DWI-positive) lesions, previous infarction, microbleeds, white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and intracerebral hemorrhage and were analysed with logistic regression to adjust for confounders. RESULTS: 125 patients with COVID-19 and 47 controls underwent brain MRI a median of 41.5 days after symptom onset. DWI-positive lesions were found in one patient (1%) and in one (2%) control, both clinically silent. WMH were more prevalent in patients (78%) than in controls (62%) (adjusted OR: 2.95 [95% CI: 1.07-8.57]), other cerebrovascular MRI markers did not differ. Prevalence of markers in ICU vs. non-ICU patients was similar. After three months, five patients (5%) had new cerebrovascular lesions, including DWI-positive lesions (1 patient, 1.0%), cerebral infarction (2 patients, 2.0%) and microbleeds (3 patients, 3.1%). CONCLUSION: Overall, we found no higher prevalence of cerebrovascular markers in unselected hospitalized COVID-19 patients compared to controls. The few incident DWI-lesions were most likely to be explained by risk-factors of small vessel disease. In the general hospitalized COVID-19 population, COVID-19 shows limited impact on cerebrovascular MRI markers shortly after hospitalization.

Risks of major bleeding and venous thromboembolism in patients undergoing total hip or total knee arthroplasty using therapeutic dosages of DOACs.

About 1.5% of patients undergoing total hip (THA) or total knee arthroplasty (TKA) still develop postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE), indicating that the current thromboprophylaxis strategy is not optimal. To evaluate the feasibility of therapeutic dosages of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) as thromboprophylaxis for high VTE risk patients, we determined the risks of major bleeding and VTE in patients who underwent THA/TKA and were treated with DOACs in therapeutic dosages for atrial fibrillation (AF). We conducted a registry-based cohort study from 2010 to 2018 in Denmark and included AF patients on therapeutic DOACs dose who underwent THA/TKA. AF patients were utilized as proxy since they have a life-long indication for therapeutic anticoagulant medication. The 49-days cumulative incidence (with death as competing risk) of major bleeding was assessed. The same was done for VTE at 49- and 90-days. 1,354 THA and TKA procedures were included. The 49-days cumulative incidence of major bleeding was 1.40% (95%Confidence Interval[CI] 0.88-2.14%). Most bleeding events occurred at the surgical site. The cumulative incidence of VTE at 49-days was 0.59% (95%CI 0.28-1.13%) and 0.74% (95%CI 0.38-1.32%) at 90-days. The incidence of major bleeding in THA/TKA patients on DOACs in therapeutic dosages was in line with previously reported incidences among THA/TKA patients on thromboprophylaxis dosages, while the incidence of VTE was relatively low. These data provide a solid basis for the design of randomized controlled trials to establish the safety and efficacy of therapeutic dosages of DOACs to prevent VTE in high-risk patients.

Validating the predictive ability of the 2MACE score for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from phase II/III of the GLORIA-AF registry.

The 2MACE score was specifically developed as a risk-stratification tool in atrial fibrillation (AF) to predict cardiovascular outcomes. We evaluated the predictive ability of the 2MACE score in the GLORIA-AF registry. All eligible patients from phase II/III of the prospective global GLORIA-AF registry were included. Major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) were defined as the composite outcome of stroke, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Cox proportional hazards were used to examine the relationship between the 2MACE score and study outcomes. Predictive capability of the 2MACE score was investigated using receiver-operating characteristic curves. A total of 25,696 patients were included (mean age 71 years, female 44.9%). Over 3 years, 1583 MACEs were recorded. Patients who had MACE were older, with more cardiovascular risk factors and were less likely to be managed using a rhythm-control strategy. The median 2MACE score in the MACE and non-MACE groups were 2 (IQR 1-3) and 1 (IQR 0-2), respectively (p < 0.001). The 2MACE score was positively associated with an increase in the risk of MACE, with a score of ≥ 2 providing the best combination of sensitivity (69.6%) and specificity (51.6%), HR 2.47 (95% CI, 2.21-2.77). The 2MACE score had modest predictive performance for MACE in patients with AF (AUC 0.655 (95% CI, 0.641-0.669)). Our analysis in this prospective global registry demonstrates that the 2MACE score can adequately predict the risk of MACE (defined as myocardial infarction, CV death and stroke) in patients with AF. Clinical trial registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifiers: NCT01468701, NCT01671007 and NCT01937377.

Diagnostic management of acute pulmonary embolism: a prediction model based on a patient data meta-analysis.

AIMS: Risk stratification is used for decisions regarding need for imaging in patients with clinically suspected acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to develop a clinical prediction model that provides an individualized, accurate probability estimate for the presence of acute PE in patients with suspected disease based on readily available clinical items and D-dimer concentrations. METHODS AND RESULTS: An individual patient data meta-analysis was performed based on sixteen cross-sectional or prospective studies with data from 28 305 adult patients with clinically suspected PE from various clinical settings, including primary care, emergency care, hospitalized and nursing home patients. A multilevel logistic regression model was built and validated including ten a priori defined objective candidate predictors to predict objectively confirmed PE at baseline or venous thromboembolism (VTE) during follow-up of 30 to 90 days. Multiple imputation was used for missing data. Backward elimination was performed with a P-value <0.10. Discrimination (c-statistic with 95% confidence intervals [CI] and prediction intervals [PI]) and calibration (outcome:expected [O:E] ratio and calibration plot) were evaluated based on internal-external cross-validation. The accuracy of the model was subsequently compared with algorithms based on the Wells score and D-dimer testing. The final model included age (in years), sex, previous VTE, recent surgery or immobilization, haemoptysis, cancer, clinical signs of deep vein thrombosis, inpatient status, D-dimer (in µg/L), and an interaction term between age and D-dimer. The pooled c-statistic was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.85-0.89; 95% PI, 0.77-0.93) and overall calibration was very good (pooled O:E ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87-1.14; 95% PI, 0.55-1.79). The model slightly overestimated VTE probability in the lower range of estimated probabilities. Discrimination of the current model in the validation data sets was better than that of the Wells score combined with a D-dimer threshold based on age (c-statistic 0.73; 95% CI, 0.70-0.75) or structured clinical pretest probability (c-statistic 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76-0.81). CONCLUSION: The present model provides an absolute, individualized probability of PE presence in a broad population of patients with suspected PE, with very good discrimination and calibration. Its clinical utility needs to be evaluated in a prospective management or impact study. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO ID 89366.

Apixaban for the Treatment of Venous Thromboembolism Associated with Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Recent guidelines recommend consideration of the use of oral edoxaban or rivaroxaban for the treatment of venous thromboembolism in patients with cancer. However, the benefit of these oral agents is limited by the increased risk of bleeding associated with their use. METHODS: This was a multinational, randomized, investigator-initiated, open-label, noninferiority trial with blinded central outcome adjudication. We randomly assigned consecutive patients with cancer who had symptomatic or incidental acute proximal deep-vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism to receive oral apixaban (at a dose of 10 mg twice daily for the first 7 days, followed by 5 mg twice daily) or subcutaneous dalteparin (at a dose of 200 IU per kilogram of body weight once daily for the first month, followed by 150 IU per kilogram once daily). The treatments were administered for 6 months. The primary outcome was objectively confirmed recurrent venous thromboembolism during the trial period. The principal safety outcome was major bleeding. RESULTS: Recurrent venous thromboembolism occurred in 32 of 576 patients (5.6%) in the apixaban group and in 46 of 579 patients (7.9%) in the dalteparin group (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.37 to 1.07; P<0.001 for noninferiority). Major bleeding occurred in 22 patients (3.8%) in the apixaban group and in 23 patients (4.0%) in the dalteparin group (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.40 to 1.69; P = 0.60). CONCLUSIONS: Oral apixaban was noninferior to subcutaneous dalteparin for the treatment of cancer-associated venous thromboembolism without an increased risk of major bleeding. (Funded by the Bristol-Myers Squibb-Pfizer Alliance; Caravaggio ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03045406.).

Post-Pulmonary Embolism Syndrome and Functional Outcomes after Acute Pulmonary Embolism.

Survivors of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) are at risk of developing persistent, sometimes disabling symptoms of dyspnea and/or functional limitations despite adequate anticoagulant treatment, fulfilling the criteria of the post-PE syndrome (PPES). PPES includes chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), chronic thromboembolic pulmonary disease, post-PE cardiac impairment (characterized as persistent right ventricle impairment after PE), and post-PE functional impairment. To improve the overall health outcomes of patients with acute PE, adequate measures to diagnose PPES and strategies to prevent and treat PPES are essential. Patient-reported outcome measures are very helpful to identify patients with persistent symptoms and functional impairment. The primary concern is to identify and adequately treat patients with CTEPH as early as possible. After CTEPH is ruled out, additional diagnostic tests including cardiopulmonary exercise tests, echocardiography, and imaging of the pulmonary vasculature may be helpful to rule out non-PE-related comorbidities and confirm the ultimate diagnosis. Most PPES patients will show signs of physical deconditioning as main explanation for their clinical presentation. Therefore, cardiopulmonary rehabilitation provides a good potential treatment option for this patient category, which warrants testing in adequately designed and executed randomized trials. In this review, we describe the definition and characteristics of PPES and its diagnosis and management.

Impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in patients with atrial fibrillation: an analysis from the GLORIA-AF registry.

AIMS: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may influence management and prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF), but this relationship has been scarcely explored in contemporary global cohorts. We aimed to investigate the association between AF and COPD, in relation to treatment patterns and major outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the prospective, global GLORIA-AF registry, we analysed factors associated with COPD diagnosis, as well as treatment patterns and risk of major outcomes in relation to COPD. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). A total of 36 263 patients (mean age 70.1 ± 10.5 years, 45.2% females) were included; 2,261 (6.2%) had COPD. The prevalence of COPD was lower in Asia and higher in North America. Age, female sex, smoking, body mass index, and cardiovascular comorbidities were associated with the presence of COPD. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with higher use of oral anticoagulant (OAC) [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.29 (1.13-1.47)] and higher OAC discontinuation [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% CI: 1.12 (1.01-1.25)]. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with less use of beta-blocker [aOR (95% CI): 0.79 (0.72-0.87)], amiodarone and propafenone, and higher use of digoxin and verapamil/diltiazem. Patients with COPD had a higher hazard of primary composite outcome [aHR (95% CI): 1.78 (1.58-2.00)]; no interaction was observed regarding beta-blocker use. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was also associated with all-cause death [aHR (95% CI): 2.01 (1.77-2.28)], MACEs [aHR (95% CI): 1.41 (1.18-1.68)], and major bleeding [aHR (95% CI): 1.48 (1.16-1.88)]. CONCLUSION: In AF patients, COPD was associated with differences in OAC treatment and use of other drugs; Patients with AF and COPD had worse outcomes, including higher mortality, MACE, and major bleeding.

Real world time trends in antithrombotic treatment for newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in China: reports from the GLORIA-AF Phase III registry : Trends in antithrombotic therapy use in China.

BACKGROUND: Stroke prevention with oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy, including non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs), is recommended in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This analysis describes the antithrombotic prescription patterns for Chinese patients enrolled post-dabigatran approval during Phase II and III of the Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Antithrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) program in China. METHODS: Patients aged ≥ 18 years with newly diagnosed (< 3 months before baseline visit) nonvalvular AF at risk of stroke (CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 1) were consecutively enrolled in the GLORIA-AF registry. This cross-sectional analysis provides descriptive comparison of Chinese patients in Phase III (2015-2016) with those enrolled in Phase II (2013-2014). RESULTS: Overall, 1,018 and 1,911 Chinese patients were eligible for analysis in Phase II and III, respectively. Most patients (69.6% and 69.1%, respectively) had high stroke risk (CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 for males and ≥ 3 for females). High bleeding risk (HAS-BLED score ≥ 3) rates were similar (17.3% for Phase II, 17.6% for Phase III). In Phase II, 5.8%, 15.2%, 36.7% and 42.2% of patients were prescribed NOACs, vitamin K antagonists (VKAs), antiplatelet therapies or no antithrombotic treatment, respectively. The corresponding figures were 17.2%, 23.5%, 37.4% and 21.8% for patients in Phase III, with an overall increase in OAC prescriptions (NOACs or VKAs). In patients with high stroke risk, the prescription patterns in Phase II were 5.6%, 14.4%, 41.0% and 38.9% for NOACs, VKAs, antiplatelets or no antithrombotic treatment, respectively. The respective proportions in Phase III were 15.1%, 23.5%, 40.9% and 20.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Since the availability of dabigatran in China, the overall trend of OAC, including NOAC, prescriptions in Chinese patients with nonvalvular AF has increased over time, albeit with VKAs as the most common antithrombotic treatment. Most patients, including those at high stroke risk, remain undertreated according to best practice guidelines. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01468701.

Safety and Efficiency of Diagnostic Strategies for Ruling Out Pulmonary Embolism in Clinically Relevant Patient Subgroups : A Systematic Review and Individual-Patient Data Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: How diagnostic strategies for suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) perform in relevant patient subgroups defined by sex, age, cancer, and previous venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unknown. PURPOSE: To evaluate the safety and efficiency of the Wells and revised Geneva scores combined with fixed and adapted D-dimer thresholds, as well as the YEARS algorithm, for ruling out acute PE in these subgroups. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE from 1 January 1995 until 1 January 2021. STUDY SELECTION: 16 studies assessing at least 1 diagnostic strategy. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual-patient data from 20 553 patients. DATA SYNTHESIS: Safety was defined as the diagnostic failure rate (the predicted 3-month VTE incidence after exclusion of PE without imaging at baseline). Efficiency was defined as the proportion of individuals classified by the strategy as "PE considered excluded" without imaging tests. Across all strategies, efficiency was highest in patients younger than 40 years (47% to 68%) and lowest in patients aged 80 years or older (6.0% to 23%) or patients with cancer (9.6% to 26%). However, efficiency improved considerably in these subgroups when pretest probability-dependent D-dimer thresholds were applied. Predicted failure rates were highest for strategies with adapted D-dimer thresholds, with failure rates varying between 2% and 4% in the predefined patient subgroups. LIMITATIONS: Between-study differences in scoring predictor items and D-dimer assays, as well as the presence of differential verification bias, in particular for classifying fatal events and subsegmental PE cases, all of which may have led to an overestimation of the predicted failure rates of adapted D-dimer thresholds. CONCLUSION: Overall, all strategies showed acceptable safety, with pretest probability-dependent D-dimer thresholds having not only the highest efficiency but also the highest predicted failure rate. From an efficiency perspective, this individual-patient data meta-analysis supports application of adapted D-dimer thresholds. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Dutch Research Council. (PROSPERO: CRD42018089366).

Risk for Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism in Patients With Subsegmental Pulmonary Embolism Managed Without Anticoagulation : A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of pulmonary embolism has been increasing, but its case-fatality rate is decreasing, suggesting a lesser severity of illness. The clinical importance of patients with pulmonary embolism isolated to the subsegmental vessels is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine the rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism in patients with subsegmental pulmonary embolism managed without anticoagulation. DESIGN: Multicenter prospective cohort study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01455818). SETTING: Eighteen sites between February 2011 and February 2021. PATIENTS: Patients with isolated subsegmental pulmonary embolism. INTERVENTION: At diagnosis, patients underwent bilateral lower-extremity venous ultrasonography, which was repeated 1 week later if results were negative. Patients without deep venous thrombosis did not receive anticoagulant therapy. MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was recurrent venous thromboembolism during the 90-day follow-up period. RESULTS: Recruitment was stopped prematurely because the predefined stopping rule was met after 292 of a projected 300 patients were enrolled. Of the 266 patients included in the primary analysis, the primary outcome occurred in 8 patients, for a cumulative incidence of 3.1% (95% CI, 1.6% to 6.1%) over the 90-day follow-up. The incidence of recurrent venous thromboembolism was 2.1% (CI, 0.8% to 5.5%) and 5.7% (CI, 2.2% to 14.4%) over the 90-day follow-up in patients with single and multiple isolated subsegmental pulmonary embolism, respectively. No patients had a fatal recurrent pulmonary embolism. LIMITATION: The study was restricted to patients with low-risk subsegmental pulmonary embolism. CONCLUSION: Overall, patients with subsegmental pulmonary embolism who did not have proximal deep venous thrombosis had a higher-than-expected rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada and French Ministry of Health Programme Hospitalier de Recherche Clinique.