Evaluating approaches for constructing polygenic risk scores for prostate cancer in men of African and European ancestry.

Genome-wide polygenic risk scores (GW-PRSs) have been reported to have better predictive ability than PRSs based on genome-wide significance thresholds across numerous traits. We compared the predictive ability of several GW-PRS approaches to a recently developed PRS of 269 established prostate cancer-risk variants from multi-ancestry GWASs and fine-mapping studies (PRS269). GW-PRS models were trained with a large and diverse prostate cancer GWAS of 107,247 cases and 127,006 controls that we previously used to develop the multi-ancestry PRS269. Resulting models were independently tested in 1,586 cases and 1,047 controls of African ancestry from the California Uganda Study and 8,046 cases and 191,825 controls of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and further validated in 13,643 cases and 210,214 controls of European ancestry and 6,353 cases and 53,362 controls of African ancestry from the Million Veteran Program. In the testing data, the best performing GW-PRS approach had AUCs of 0.656 (95% CI = 0.635-0.677) in African and 0.844 (95% CI = 0.840-0.848) in European ancestry men and corresponding prostate cancer ORs of 1.83 (95% CI = 1.67-2.00) and 2.19 (95% CI = 2.14-2.25), respectively, for each SD unit increase in the GW-PRS. Compared to the GW-PRS, in African and European ancestry men, the PRS269 had larger or similar AUCs (AUC = 0.679, 95% CI = 0.659-0.700 and AUC = 0.845, 95% CI = 0.841-0.849, respectively) and comparable prostate cancer ORs (OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.87-2.26 and OR = 2.21, 95% CI = 2.16-2.26, respectively). Findings were similar in the validation studies. This investigation suggests that current GW-PRS approaches may not improve the ability to predict prostate cancer risk compared to the PRS269 developed from multi-ancestry GWASs and fine-mapping.

Molecular mechanisms of the preventable causes of cancer in the United States.

Annually, there are 1.6 million new cases of cancer and nearly 600,000 cancer deaths in the United States alone. The public health burden associated with these numbers has motivated enormous research efforts into understanding the root causes of cancer. These efforts have led to the recognition that between 40% and 45% of cancers are associated with preventable risk factors and, importantly, have identified specific molecular mechanisms by which these exposures modify human physiology to induce or promote cancer. The increasingly refined knowledge of these mechanisms, which we summarize here, emphasizes the need for greater efforts toward primary cancer prevention through mitigation of modifiable risk factors. It also suggests exploitable avenues for improved secondary prevention (which includes the development of therapeutics designed for cancer interception and enhanced techniques for noninvasive screening and early detection) based on detailed knowledge of early neoplastic pathobiology. Such efforts would complement the current emphasis on the development of therapeutic approaches to treat established cancers and are likely to result in far greater gains in reducing morbidity and mortality.

A Population-Based Study of Genes Previously Implicated in Breast Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Population-based estimates of the risk of breast cancer associated with germline pathogenic variants in cancer-predisposition genes are critically needed for risk assessment and management in women with inherited pathogenic variants. METHODS: In a population-based case-control study, we performed sequencing using a custom multigene amplicon-based panel to identify germline pathogenic variants in 28 cancer-predisposition genes among 32,247 women with breast cancer (case patients) and 32,544 unaffected women (controls) from population-based studies in the Cancer Risk Estimates Related to Susceptibility (CARRIERS) consortium. Associations between pathogenic variants in each gene and the risk of breast cancer were assessed. RESULTS: Pathogenic variants in 12 established breast cancer-predisposition genes were detected in 5.03% of case patients and in 1.63% of controls. Pathogenic variants in BRCA1 and BRCA2 were associated with a high risk of breast cancer, with odds ratios of 7.62 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.33 to 11.27) and 5.23 (95% CI, 4.09 to 6.77), respectively. Pathogenic variants in PALB2 were associated with a moderate risk (odds ratio, 3.83; 95% CI, 2.68 to 5.63). Pathogenic variants in BARD1, RAD51C, and RAD51D were associated with increased risks of estrogen receptor-negative breast cancer and triple-negative breast cancer, whereas pathogenic variants in ATM, CDH1, and CHEK2 were associated with an increased risk of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. Pathogenic variants in 16 candidate breast cancer-predisposition genes, including the c.657_661del5 founder pathogenic variant in NBN, were not associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides estimates of the prevalence and risk of breast cancer associated with pathogenic variants in known breast cancer-predisposition genes in the U.S. population. These estimates can inform cancer testing and screening and improve clinical management strategies for women in the general population with inherited pathogenic variants in these genes. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and the Breast Cancer Research Foundation.).

Progression of Bone Marrow Lesions and the Development of Knee Osteoarthritis: Osteoarthritis Initiative Data.

Background Bone marrow lesions (BMLs) are a known risk factor for incident knee osteoarthritis (OA), and deep learning (DL) methods can assist in automated segmentation and risk prediction. Purpose To develop and validate a DL model for quantifying tibiofemoral BML volume on MRI scans in knees without radiographic OA and to assess the association between longitudinal BML changes and incident knee OA. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included knee MRI scans from the Osteoarthritis Initiative prospective cohort (February 2004-October 2015). The DL model, developed between August and October 2023, segmented the tibiofemoral joint into 10 subregions and measured BML volume in each subregion. Baseline and 4-year follow-up MRI scans were analyzed. Knees without OA at baseline were categorized into three groups based on 4-year BML volume changes: BML-free, BML regression, and BML progression. The risk of developing radiographic and symptomatic OA over 9 years was compared among these groups. Results Included were 3869 non-OA knees in 2430 participants (mean age, 59.5 years ± 9.0 [SD]; female-to-male ratio, 1.3:1). At 4-year follow-up, 2216 knees remained BML-free, 1106 showed an increase in BML volume, and 547 showed a decrease in BML volume. BML progression was associated with a higher risk of developing radiographic knee OA compared with remaining BML-free (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.0; P < .001) or BML regression (HR = 2.0; P < .001). Knees with BML progression also had a higher risk of developing symptomatic OA compared with BML-free knees (HR = 1.3; P < .001). Larger volume changes in BML progression were associated with a higher risk of developing both radiographic OA (HR = 2.0; P < .001) and symptomatic OA (HR = 1.7; P < .001). In almost all subchondral plates, especially the medial femur and tibia, BML progression was associated with a higher risk of developing both radiographic and symptomatic OA compared with remaining BML-free. Conclusion Knees with BML progression, according to subregion and extent of volume changes, were associated with an increased risk of OA compared with BML-free knees and knees with BML regression, highlighting the potential utility of monitoring BML volume changes in evaluating interventions to prevent OA development. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00080171 © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Said and Sakly in this issue.

Comparison of weight loss interventions in overweight and obese adults with knee osteoarthritis: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized trials.

OBJECTIVE: To ascertain the comparative effectiveness of weight-loss strategies for osteoarthritis (OA) to develop rational treatment algorithms aimed at improving OA-related symptoms in overweight/obese individuals. DESIGN: Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to June 2023 for observational studies and randomized trials. Network meta-analyses were performed using a frequentist approach. Effect sizes for pain and function were computed as standardized mean differences, while change in body weight was computed as mean differences. RESULTS: 13 RCTs on knee OA (KOA) (2800 participants) with 7 interventions: diet (D); exercise (E); diet and exercise (DE); pharmacological (L); psychological (P); psychological, diet, and exercise (PDE); and Mediterranean diets (M) were networked. For weight change (kg), all interventions significantly outperformed control comparators, with effect sizes ranging from -11.2 (95% CI, -16.0, -6.5 kg) for the most effective approach (PDE) to -4.7 (95% CI, -6.7, -2.7 kg) for the least effective approach (DE). In terms of pain (0-20 scale), only DE outperformed control comparators (-2.2, 95% CI: -4.1, -0.21), whereas PDE was not superior to control comparators (-3.9, 95% CI: -8.4, 0.5) in improving the pain. Regardless of the chosen intervention, prediction intervals from meta-regression analysis indicate that significant pain relief may be anticipated when patients achieve at least a weight reduction of 7%. CONCLUSIONS: PDE and DE interventions may offer the most effective approach for weight loss, potentially leading to improvements in pain and physical function among overweight/obese individuals with KOA if they achieve more than 7% weight loss.

A perspective on the evolution of semi-quantitative MRI assessment of osteoarthritis: Past, present and future.

OBJECTIVE: This perspective describes the evolution of semi-quantitative (SQ) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in characterizing structural tissue pathologies in osteoarthritis (OA) imaging research over the last 30 years. METHODS: Authors selected representative articles from a PubMed search to illustrate key steps in SQ MRI development, validation, and application. Topics include main scoring systems, reading techniques, responsiveness, reliability, technical considerations, and potential impact of artificial intelligence (AI). RESULTS: Based on original research published between 1993 and 2023, this article introduces available scoring systems, including but not limited to Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Score (WORMS) as the first system for whole-organ assessment of the knee and the now commonly used MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS) instrument. Specific systems for distinct OA subtypes or applications have been developed as well as MRI scoring instruments for other joints such as the hip, the fingers or thumb base. SQ assessment has proven to be valid, reliable, and responsive, aiding OA investigators in understanding the natural history of the disease and helping to detect response to treatment. AI may aid phenotypic characterization in the future. SQ MRI assessment's role is increasing in eligibility and safety evaluation in knee OA clinical trials. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence supports the validity, reliability, and responsiveness of SQ MRI assessment in understanding structural aspects of disease onset and progression. SQ scoring has helped explain associations between structural tissue damage and clinical manifestations, as well as disease progression. While AI may support human readers to more efficiently perform SQ assessment in the future, its current application in clinical trials still requires validation and regulatory approval.

Development of a core domain set for ankle osteoarthritis: An international consensus study of patients and health professionals.

OBJECTIVES: To develop an internationally agreed-upon core domain set for ankle osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: In a three-part Delphi process, a group of multidisciplinary health professionals with expertise in ankle OA and people with ankle OA responded to online questionnaires. The questionnaires proposed a list of 29 candidate domains derived from a systematic review of ankle OA research, and interviews with people with ankle OA and health professionals. Consensus was defined a priori as ≥70% agreement in people with ankle OA and health professionals whether a domain should or should not be included in a core domain set. An online consensus meeting was held to discuss and resolve undecided candidate domains. RESULTS: A total of 100 people (75 health professionals and 25 people with ankle OA) from 18 countries (4 continents) participated in this study. Five domains reached consensus for inclusion in a core domain set for ankle OA - pain severity, health-related quality of life, function, disability and ankle range of motion. Twenty-one candidate domains reached agreement not to be included in the core domain set, and three domains remained undecided (ankle instability, physical capacity, and mental health). CONCLUSION: This international consensus study, which included people with ankle OA and health professionals, has established a core domain set for ankle OA with five domains that should be measured and reported in all ankle OA trials - pain severity, health-related quality of life, function, disability and ankle range of motion. This core domain set will guide the reporting of outcomes in clinical trials on ankle OA. Future research should determine which outcome measurement instruments should be used to measure each of the core domains.

Psychosocial factors in knee osteoarthritis: Scoping review of evidence and future opportunities.

OBJECTIVE: Identify, describe and produce an evidence map of studies investigating psychosocial factors association with, or effect on, clinical outcomes for people with knee osteoarthritis. METHODS: Scoping review of interventional and observational studies was performed. Medline (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), Cumulated Index in Nursing and Allied Health Literature, PsycInfo and Web of Science were searched on the 15th May 2023. Screening, data extraction and analysis was performed by two independent researchers. Extracted information included characteristics of studies plus which psychosocial factors were used to investigate association with, or effect on, clinical outcome(s). Descriptive statistics summarized the study design, temporal trend, geographic distribution, frequency of each psychosocial factor and whether associations/effects were observed. RESULTS: 23,065 records were screened, with 108 studies selected. Eighty-two percent of studies (n = 89/108) were cross-sectional in design. Number of studies increased over time and spanned 28 countries. Most research originated from the Americas region (55 %, 59/108). Twenty-four psychosocial factors (11 psychological, 13 social) were identified. Depression (47 %, n = 48/102) and education (28 %, n = 29/102) were the most frequently reported psychological and social factors, respectively. Psychological factors were often reported to have an association with/effect on pain (81 %, n = 71/88) and physical function (75 %, n = 56/74). Social factors were less frequently reported to have an association with or effect on pain (57 %, n = 46/81) and physical function (50 %, n = 18/36). CONCLUSION: Psychosocial factors are often associated with clinical outcomes for people with knee osteoarthritis. High-quality longitudinal studies examining a wide range of psychosocial factors across diverse cultural and geographical settings are key to continue informing the development of biopsychosocial models of care.

Appraisal of quality and analysis of the similarities and differences between osteoarthritis Clinical Practice Guideline recommendations: A systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPGs) aim to support management of hip and knee osteoarthritis (OA), but recommendations are often conflicting and implementation is poor, contributing to evidence-to-practice gaps. This systematic review investigated the contextual and methodological factors contributing to conflicting recommendations for hip and knee OA. METHOD: Our systematic review appraised CPGs for managing hip and knee OA in adults ≥18 years (PROSPERO CRD42021276635). We used AGREE-II and AGREE-REX to assess quality and extracted data on treatment gaps, conflicts, biases, and consensus. Heterogeneity of recommendations was determined using Weighted Fleiss Kappa (K). The relationship between (K) and AGREE-II/AGREE-REX scores was explored. RESULTS: We identified 25 CPGs across eight countries and four international organisations. The ACR, EULAR, NICE, OARSI and RACGP guidelines scored highest for overall AGREE-II quality (83%). The highest overall AGREE-REX scores were for BMJ Arthroscopy (80%), RACGP (78%) and NICE (76%). CPGs with the least agreement for pharmacological recommendations were ESCEO and NICE (-0.14), ACR (-0.08), and RACGP (-0.01). The highest agreements were between RACGP and NICE (0.53), RACGP and ACR (0.61), and NICE and ACR (0.91). Decreased internal validity determined by low-quality AGREE scores(<60%) in editorial independence were associated with less agreement for pharmacological recommendations. CONCLUSION: There were associations between guideline quality and agreement scores. Future guideline development should be informed by robust evidence, editorial independence and methodological rigour to ensure a harmonisation of recommendations. End-users of CPGs must recognise the contextual factors associated with the development of OA CPGs and balance these factors with available evidence.

Comparative effectiveness of different placebos and comparator groups for hand osteoarthritis exploring the impact of contextual factors: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the pain relief effects of comparators (placebos and untreated control groups) in hand osteoarthritis trials and the impact of contextual factors. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE and CENTRAL from inception to December 26, 2021. We included randomised controlled trials of people with hand osteoarthritis with a placebo or an untreated control group. We assessed the Risk of Bias with Cochrane Risk-of-Bias tool version 2. Each comparator was contrasted with a null-arm, imputed as having a zero change from baseline with the same standard deviation as the comparator. We combined the standardised mean differences with a random effects meta-analysis. The contextual factors' effect was explored in meta-regression and stratified models with pain as the dependent variable. RESULTS: 84 trials (7262 participants) were eligible for quantitative synthesis, of which 76 (6462 participants) were eligible for the stratified analyses. Placebos were superior to their matched null-arms in relieving pain with an effect size of -0.51 (95% confidence interval -0.61 to -0.42), while untreated control groups were not. When analysing all comparators, blinded trial designs and low risk of bias were associated with higher pain relief compared to an open-label trial design and some concern or high risk of bias. CONCLUSION: The placebo response on pain for people with hand osteoarthritis was increased by appropriate blinding and a lower risk of bias assessment. Placebos were superior to a null-arm, while untreated control groups were not. Results emphasise the importance of using appropriate comparators in clinical trials. PROSPERO REGISTRATION ID: CRD42022298984.

Collaborative model of care between orthopaedics and allied healthcare professionals (CONNACT) in knee osteoarthritis: Effectiveness-implementation hybrid randomized controlled trial of a community-based, multidisciplinary, stratified intervention.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the clinical and cost effectiveness of the Collaborative Model of Care between Orthopaedics and Allied Healthcare Professionals (CONNACT), a community-based, stratified, multidisciplinary intervention consisting of exercise, education, psychological and nutrition delivered through a chronic care model to usual hospital care in adults with knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: Pragmatic, parallel-arm, single-blinded superiority RCT trial. Community-dwelling, ambulant adults with knee OA (Kellgren-Lawrence grade > 1; Knee Injury and OA Outcome Score (KOOS4) ≤75) were enrolled. Primary outcome was KOOS4 at 12-months; secondary outcomes included: quality of life, physical performance measures, symptom satisfaction, psychological outcomes, dietary habits, and global perceived effect. Intention-to-treat analysis using generalized linear model (GLM) and regression modeling were conducted. Economic evaluation through a societal approach was embedded. RESULTS: 110 participants (55 control, 55 intervention) were randomized. No between-group difference found for the primary outcome (MD [95%CI]: -1.86 [-9.11. 5.38]), although both groups demonstrated within-group improvement over 12-months. Among the secondary outcomes, the CONNACT group demonstrated superior dietary change (12 months) and physical performance measures (3 months), and global perceived effect (6 months). While there was no between-group difference in total cost, significant productivity gains (reduced indirect cost) were seen in the CONNACT group. CONCLUSION: CONNACT was not superior to usual care at 1 year. Further efforts are needed to understand the underlying contextual and implementation factors in order to further improve and refine such community-based, stratified care models moving forward. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT03809975. Registered January 18, 2019. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03809975.

Assessing the importance of primary care diagnoses in the UK Biobank.

The UK Biobank has made general practitioner (GP) data (censoring date 2016-2017) available for approximately 45% of the cohort, whilst hospital inpatient and death registry (referred to as "HES/Death") data are available cohort-wide through 2018-2022 depending on whether the data comes from England, Wales or Scotland. We assessed the importance of case ascertainment via different data sources in UKB for three diseases that are usually first diagnosed in primary care: Parkinson's disease (PD), type 2 diabetes (T2D), and all-cause dementia. Including GP data at least doubled the number of incident cases in the subset of the cohort with primary care data (e.g. from 619 to 1390 for dementia). Among the 786 dementia cases that were only captured in the GP data before the GP censoring date, only 421 (54%) were subsequently recorded in HES. Therefore, estimates of the absolute incidence or risk-stratified incidence are misleadingly low when based only on the HES/Death data. For incident cases present in both HES/Death and GP data during the full follow-up period (i.e. until the HES censoring date), the median time difference between an incident diagnosis of dementia being recorded in GP and HES/Death was 2.25 years (i.e. recorded 2.25 years earlier in the GP records). Similar lag periods were also observed for PD (median 2.31 years earlier) and T2D (median 2.82 years earlier). For participants with an incident GP diagnosis, only 65.6% of dementia cases, 69.0% of PD cases, and 58.5% of T2D cases had their diagnosis recorded in HES/Death within 7 years since GP diagnosis. The effect estimates (hazard ratios, HR) of established risk factors for the three health outcomes mostly remain in the same direction and with a similar strength of association when cases are ascertained either using HES only or further adding GP data. The confidence intervals of the HR became narrower when adding GP data, due to the increased statistical power from the additional cases. In conclusion, it is desirable to extend both the coverage and follow-up period of GP data to allow researchers to maximise case ascertainment of chronic health conditions in the UK.

Association of serum calcium, vitamin D, and C-reactive protein with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in an osteoarthritis population in the UK: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis is a prevalent musculoskeletal condition, but the role of specific serum biomarkers, such as calcium, vitamin D, and C-reactive protein (CRP), in predicting mortality among individuals with osteoarthritis remains unclear. METHODS: This observational study analyzed longitudinal data from over 500,000 participants in the UK Biobank, identifying those with osteoarthritis using ICD-9/10 codes or self-reported history. We performed multivariable cox-regression and flexible parametric survival model (FPSM) for survival analysis, with adjustments made through the inverse probability of treatment weight (IPTW) for baseline covariates identified by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). RESULTS: Of the 49,082 osteoarthritis population, the average age was 60.69 years, with 58.7% being female. During the follow-up period exceeding 15 years, a total of 5,522 people with osteoarthritis died. High serum calcium levels, compared to normal serum calcium levels, were significantly associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.33, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11, 1.59), cardiovascular diseases (CVD)-related deaths (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.05, 2.29), and other deaths (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.20, 2.11). Low serum calcium levels, compared to normal serum calcium levels, was linked with CVD-related deaths (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.02, 4.14). Vitamin D insufficiency, compared to sufficient vitamin D levels, was correlated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13, 1.33), CVD-related deaths (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.20, 1.72), and other deaths (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.09, 1.45) but not with cancer-related deaths. High serum CRP levels, compared to normal CRP levels, were associated with all outcomes (all-cause mortality: HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.12, 1.33; CVD-related death: HR 1.24, 95%CI 1.03, 1.49; cancer-related death: HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.09, 1.40; other deaths: HR 1.19, 95%CI 1.03, 1.38). CONCLUSIONS: Both high and low serum calcium levels, elevated CRP, and vitamin D insufficiency are potential predictors of increased mortality risk in the osteoarthritis population. These findings emphasize the importance of monitoring and possibly addressing these serum biomarkers in osteoarthritis populations to improve long-term outcomes. Further studies are needed to understand the underlying mechanisms and to propose therapeutic interventions.

Association of quantitative measures of medial meniscal extrusion with structural and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis progression - Data from the OAI FNIH biomarker study.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association of quantitative medial meniscal position measures with radiographic and symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA) progression over 2-4 years. METHODS: The FNIH OAI Biomarkers study comprised 600 participants in four subgroups: 194 case knees with combined structural (medial minimum joint space width (minJSW) loss ≥0.7 mm) and symptomatic (persistent Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain subscale increase ≥9 [0-100 scale]) progression; 200 knees with neither structural nor symptomatic progression; 103 knees with isolated structural and 103 with isolated symptomatic progression. Coronal double echo at steady state (DESS) MRIs were used for segmenting five central slices of the medial meniscus. Associations with progression were examined using logistic regression (adjusted for demographic and clinical data). RESULTS: Greater baseline medial meniscal extrusion was associated with combined structural/symptomatic progression (OR 1.59; 95%CI: [1.25,2.04]). No relationship was observed for tibial plateau coverage or meniscal overlap distance. The two-year increase in meniscal extrusion (OR 1.48 [1.21, 1.83]), and reduction in tibial plateau coverage (OR 0.70 [0.58,0.86]) and overlap distance (OR 0.73 [0.60,0.89]) were associated with combined progression. Greater baseline extrusion was associated with isolated structural and less extrusion with isolated symptomatic progression. The longitudinal increase in meniscal extrusion, and reduction in tibial plateau coverage and overlap distance were associated with structural, but not with symptomatic progression. CONCLUSION: Baseline measures of medial meniscal extrusion were consistently positively associated with combined radiographic/symptomatic progression and with isolated structural, but not with isolated symptomatic progression. These measures may therefore allow one to assess the risk of structural knee OA progression and to monitor interventions restoring meniscal position and function.

Recommendations for the management of hip and knee osteoarthritis: A systematic review of clinical practice guidelines.

OBJECTIVES: Guideline adherence for hip and knee osteoarthritis management is often poor, possibly related to the quality and/or inconsistent recommendations. This systematic review of hip and knee osteoarthritis guidelines aimed to appraise the quality and consistency in recommendations across higher-quality guidelines. METHODS: Eight databases, guideline repositories, and professional associations websites were searched on 27/10/2022. Guideline quality was appraised using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation II (AGREE II tool) (six domains). Higher quality was defined as scoring ≥60% for domains 3 (rigour of development), 6 (editorial independence), plus one other. Consistency in recommendations across higher-quality guidelines was reported descriptively. This review was registered prospectively (CRD42021216154). RESULTS: Seven higher-quality and 18 lesser-quality guidelines were included. AGREE II domain scores for higher-quality guidelines were > 60% except for applicability (average 46%). Higher-quality guidelines consistently recommended in favour of education, exercise, and weight management and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (hip and knee), and intra-articular corticosteroid injections (knee). Higher quality guidelines consistently recommended against hyaluronic acid (hip) and stem cell (hip and knee) injections. Other pharmacological recommendations in higher-quality guidelines (e.g., paracetamol, intra-articular corticosteroid (hip), hyaluronic acid (knee)) and adjunctive treatments (e.g., acupuncture) were less consistent. Arthroscopy was consistently recommended against in higher-quality guidelines. No higher-quality guidelines considered arthroplasty. CONCLUSION: Higher-quality guidelines for hip and knee osteoarthritis consistently recommend clinicians implement exercise, education, and weight management, alongside consideration of Non-Steroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs and intra-articular corticosteroid injections (knee). Lack of consensus on some pharmacological options and adjunctive treatments creates challenges for guideline adherence. Future guidelines must prioritise providing implementation guidance, considering consistently low applicability scores.

Comparison of evaluation metrics of deep learning for imbalanced imaging data in osteoarthritis studies.

PURPOSE: To compare the evaluation metrics for deep learning methods that were developed using imbalanced imaging data in osteoarthritis studies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study utilized 2996 sagittal intermediate-weighted fat-suppressed knee MRIs with MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score readings from 2467 participants in the Osteoarthritis Initiative study. We obtained probabilities of the presence of bone marrow lesions (BMLs) from MRIs in the testing dataset at the sub-region (15 sub-regions), compartment, and whole-knee levels based on the trained deep learning models. We compared different evaluation metrics (e.g., receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and precision-recall (PR) curves) in the testing dataset with various class ratios (presence of BMLs vs. absence of BMLs) at these three data levels to assess the model's performance. RESULTS: In a subregion with an extremely high imbalance ratio, the model achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.84, a PR-AUC of 0.10, a sensitivity of 0, and a specificity of 1. CONCLUSION: The commonly used ROC curve is not sufficiently informative, especially in the case of imbalanced data. We provide the following practical suggestions based on our data analysis: 1) ROC-AUC is recommended for balanced data, 2) PR-AUC should be used for moderately imbalanced data (i.e., when the proportion of the minor class is above 5% and less than 50%), and 3) for severely imbalanced data (i.e., when the proportion of the minor class is below 5%), it is not practical to apply a deep learning model, even with the application of techniques addressing imbalanced data issues.

Health Coaching for Low Back Pain and Hip and Knee Osteoarthritis: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Health coaching aims to empower people to reach their goals and is increasingly used in health care settings. Whether health coaching improves pain and disability for people with hip or knee osteoarthritis (OA) or low back pain (LBP) is unknown. METHODS: Six databases were searched for randomized controlled trials assessing health coaching or motivational programs in adults with hip or knee OA or LBP, with each condition investigated independently. Meta-analyses were performed with random-effects models in the Cochrane Collaboration Review Manager 5.3 program. RESULTS: Seventeen eligible studies were found. No studies analyzing hip OA alone were found. Pooled analyses found statistically significant decreases in mid-term pain (mean difference [MD]: -7.57; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -10.08 to -5.07; P < 0.001, I2 = 0%), short-term disability (standard mean difference [SMD]: -0.22; 95% CI: -0.41 to -0.03; P = 0.02, z = 2.32, I2 = 0%), and mid-term disability (SMD: -0.42; 95% CI: -0.75 to -0.09; P = 0.01, z = 2.49, I2 = 60%), favoring the intervention for chronic LBP. There were significant improvements in knee OA long-term functional disability (MD: -3.04; 95% CI: -5.70 to -0.38; P = 0.03; z = 2.24; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSION: Meta-analyses provide evidence that health coaching reduces both disability and pain in people with chronic LBP and reduces disability in people with knee OA, though the clinical significance is unknown. There is currently no evidence supporting or refuting the use of health coaching for hip OA.

In degenerative meniscal tears, PT was noninferior to arthroscopic partial meniscectomy for knee function at 5 y.

SOURCE CITATION: Noorduyn JCA, van de Graaf VA, Willigenburg NW, et al. Effect of physical therapy vs arthroscopic partial meniscectomy in people with degenerative meniscal tears: five-year follow-up of the ESCAPE randomized clinical trial. JAMA Netw Open. 2022;5:e2220394. 35802374.

Investigation of a family affected by early-onset osteoarthritis - proposal of a clinical pathway and bioinformatics pipeline for the investigation of cases of familial OA.

BACKGROUND: Familial cases of early-onset osteoarthritis (OA) are rare although the exact prevalence is unknown. Early recognition of underlying OA-associated disorders is vital for targeted treatment, when available, and genetic counselling, in case of skeletal dysplasias. Currently, there is no clear guidance on how best to investigate families affected by early-onset OA. METHODS: We investigated a family with multiple members affected by early-onset OA (age at onset ≤ 40 years). Clinical and demographic characteristics were collected, followed by laboratory investigations screening for a range of potential OA-associated disorders, and whole genome sequencing in selected individuals. RESULTS: Seventeen members of the family were included (7 affected and 10 non-affected). There was an even split between the two sexes and two participants were under 18 years old. No pattern of abnormality was seen in the laboratory investigation that could explain the OA phenotype in the family. Whole-genome sequencing was perfomed in one participant and analysed for likely pathogenic variants in genes known to be associated with skeletal dysplasias. A heterozygous variant in the COL2A1 gene was identified (p.Arg519Cys). Confirmatory tests were performed in five additional participants (four affected and one unaffected). CONCLUSION: The methodology used in this study, including the clinical pathway and bioinformatics pipeline, could be applied to other families affected by early-onset OA.

Effectiveness of an Unsupervised Online Yoga Program on Pain and Function in People With Knee Osteoarthritis : A Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Yoga is a mind-body exercise typically done in groups in person, but this delivery method can be inconvenient, inaccessible, and costly. Effective online programs may increase access to exercise for knee osteoarthritis. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of an unsupervised 12-week online yoga program. DESIGN: Two-group superiority randomized trial. (Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry: ACTRN12620000012976). SETTING: Community. PARTICIPANTS: 212 adults with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis. INTERVENTION: Both groups received online osteoarthritis information (control). The yoga group also received access to an unsupervised online yoga program delivered via prerecorded videos over 12 weeks (1 video per week, with each session to be performed 3 times per week), with optional continuation thereafter. MEASUREMENTS: Primary outcomes were changes in knee pain during walking (0 to 10 on a numerical rating scale) and physical function (0 to 68 on the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index) at 12 weeks (primary time point) and 24 weeks, analyzed using mixed-effects linear regression models. Secondary outcomes were self-reported overall knee pain, stiffness, depression, anxiety, stress, global change, quality of life, self-efficacy, fear of movement, and balance confidence. Adverse events were also collected. RESULTS: A total of 195 (92%) and 189 (89%) participants provided 12- and 24-week primary outcomes, respectively. Compared with control at 12 weeks, yoga improved function (between-group mean difference in change, -4.0 [95% CI, -6.8 to -1.3]) but not knee pain during walking (between-group mean difference in change, -0.6 [CI, -1.2 to 0.1]), with more yoga participants than control participants achieving the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) for both outcomes. At 12 weeks, knee stiffness, quality of life, and arthritis self-efficacy improved more with yoga than the control intervention. Benefits were not maintained at 24 weeks. Adverse events were minor. LIMITATION: Participants were unblinded. CONCLUSION: Compared with online education, an unsupervised online yoga program improved physical function but not knee pain at 12 weeks in people with knee osteoarthritis, although the improvement did not reach the MCID and was not sustained at 24 weeks. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Health and Medical Research Council and Centres of Research Excellence.